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The future will be “renewable
  and electric” and needs
    worldwide efforts: an
    invitation to Ireland!!
                Urs Muntwyler
      Chair Hybrid and Electric Vehicle
       Implementing Agreement (IA) -
  of the International Energy Agency (IEA)

                                             1
Contents of this presentation

• Current status of vehicle technology in the world and the
  energy challenge
• Needs and benefits of international collaboration
• The International Energy Agency (IEA)
• What is the IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Implementing
  Agreement (IA-HEV)?
• Actual work in phase 3 (2005-2009)
• How countries can participate in the IA HEV network
• Invitation to Ireland as regular member in the 4 th phase of
  the Implementing Agreement “Hybrid- and electric vehicles”




                                                         2
Current status

 figures 1998       population        private   vehicles/
                      [Mio]            cars     1000 inh.
                                       [Mio]
IEA countries           852            516,4      606
 tiger states          1‘767            159        90
  develop.             3‘235            31,6       10
  countries
With 300 vehicles/ 1‘000 inhabitants:
 ca. 2 Mia. vehicles (x 3)  3-liter-car!

                                                        3
Current Status of Vehicle Technology




           Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris
                         2008                     4
Current Status of Vehicle Technology




                                     5
© Muntwyler Energietechnik AG
New Annex “Lessons learned”




                              6
a winning combination for the future: PV+EV/PHEV!




                                                                                 source:
                                                                                 PHOTON




  Range achieved by the energy produced on 1 ha land
  (the bar of the plug-in-hybrid vehicle is 7 times longer than shown here)
   The PHEV (consumption 16 kWh/100 km) using solar energy produced by a PV installation
  on 1 ha drives 150 times further than a car (consumption 6,5 l/ 100 km fuel equivalent) using
  bio-ethanol extracted from grain produced on 1 ha.




                                                                                           7
Strategy = international collaboration

automotive industry                             Governments




                                                         act within the
                                                         boundaries of their
  acts globally                                          country




                      Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris
                                    2008                                  8
The IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle
  Implementing Agreement (IA HEV)
• The IEA (International Energy Agency) is a Paris based
  organisation of 28 Governments interested in energy issues
• The IEA has 42 different technical collaboration-programmes
  all kind of energy fields, one of them the IA HEV.
• The IA HEV is a working group of actual 12 governments
  (Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy,
  Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, USA) interested
  in advanced vehicle technologies.
• An Executive Committee directs the work of the task forces,
  plans new initiatives, and disseminates the information
  produced
• The IA HEV works by setting up task forces (called “Anne-
  xes”) on particular hybrid-, fuel cell- and electric vehicle
  subjects

                                                         9
Some activities in phase 3: 2004 - 2009
Work continued on:
• Information Exchange (Annex I)
• Electrochemical Systems (Annex X)
New Task forces (Annexes and other activities):
• IA HEV Award (not as Annex)
• Electric Cycles (Annex XI)
• Renewable Energy for Transportation (not yet started)
• Hybrid Heavy Duty Vehicles (Annex XII)
• Fuel Cells for Vehicles (Annex XIII)
• Lessons Learned (follow-up; Annex XIV)
• HEVs outlook-report (not as Annex)
• Plug-In-Hybrid Vehicles (Annex XV started march 2008)


                                                     10
Hybrid Vehicles working group (Annex VII)

• Passenger cars tend to cost a constant share of disposable
  income - features are added to increase price
• Drive trains only represent 8% - 12% of the costs of a car -
  dealer/warranty costs are largest share
• A “fuel pay-back” period of 3-5 years would make hybrid
  vehicles cost-competitive.
• Consumers can afford hybrid cars, but should be motivated
  to want them.




                                                          11
Elektrochemical Systems (Annex X)

Batteries made a remarkable progress since 1994
(compare with the forecast by our experts of Annex V in 1996):




                                                         12
Lithium Ion Technology versus Goals
             Power-Assist HEV Goals (Low Power)
                                       Discharge Pulse Power
                                              (25 kW)
             Operating Temperature           140%              Regenerative Pulse Power
               Range (-30 to +52 °C)         120%                     (20 kW)
                                             100%
                                             80%
  Self Discharge (50 Wh/day)                 60%                     Available Energy (300 Wh)
                                             40%
                                             20%
Selling Price ($500/system                    0%
                @100k/yr)                                              Efficiency (90%)



           System Volume (32 L)                                   Cycle Life (300k on 25Wh profile)

                     System Weight (40 kg)          Calendar Life (15 Years)
                               FreedomCAR Goals       Lithium Ion



                                                                                           13
Lithium Ion Technology versus Goals
                                         EV Goals
                                   Specific Power-Discharge (300 W/kg)

        Operating Temperature                  140%
          Range (-40 to +50 °C)                120%                  Specific Energy-C/3 (150
                                               100%                  Wh/kg)
                                                80%
                                                60%
                                                40%
                                                20%
Production Price @10k/yr                         0%                        Power Density (460
             ($150/kWh)                                                    W/liter)




        Calendar Life (10 years)                                Energy Density-C/3 (230
                                                                Wh/liter)
                                Cycle Life-80% DOD (1,000 cycles)
                               USABC EV Goals           Lithium Ion


                              Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris
                                            2008                                                14
Deployment Strategies working group (Annex VIII)

• Evaluation of more than 100 government promotion measures
  for clean vehicles (electric, hybrid-, alternative fuel vehicles)
• investigation of factors decisive for success and failures
• set of recommendations for the market introduction
first joint annex of two Implementing Agreements (HEV and
 Advanced Motor Fuels AMF) in IEA - history




                                                               15
New Annex “Lessons learned”

In the past 20 years, many electric and hybrid
vehicle models have been introduced on the market.
Some where successful, many disappeared again.
The task force „Deployment Strategies“ (Annex VIII)
investigates the reasons for „failures“ and
„successes“.
This investigation will improve the success-rate of
new vehicles and technologies.
operating agent: Tom Turrentine ITS UC Davis


                                               16
History: Tour de Sol 1985




    Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris
                  2008                     17
History: Tour de Sol 1985 - 93
  • Prototyping




                   1991
EtterTron, ESORO, Horlacher Carbon Horlacher City (1991)     Horlacher Consequento (1993)




 ESORO E301 (1993)                           Horlacher Coupé (1994)


                                                                                18
History: EVs for fleet tests




VW „CityStromer“ 1995-2000;: ca 200 items sold   Citroën AX/Saxo électrique 1993-2004




Opel „Impuls“ 1991: 10 test vehicles on Rügen    Peugeot 106 electric 1993-2003

series production conversion EVs by car manufacturers: all production
stopped around 2003/2004. PSA sold about 4‘000 vehicles (Citroën+Peugeot)

                                                                            19
History: reaction on mandates/legislation




purpose design EVs by car manufacturers: all production stopped



                                                                  20
Presence: purpose design
„Survivor“?: TH!NK Nordic
former PIV
since 1998 ca. 1000 items produced (under FORD)
bought by TH!NK nordic, bancrupcy 2006,
now new attempt with new models incl. FC

 motor     27 kW
 battery   NiCd 19x6V



Cleanova by Heuliez-Dassault
 motor     permanent magnet
 battery   Li-ion 16 - 30 kWh




                                                  21
Presence: conversion design
SMART ed
    motor     permanent magnet 30 kW
    battery   Na NiCl 78 Ah (ZEBRA)
    max. speed 100 km/h
    range     150 km



TWINGO Quickshift elettra
    motor     AC asynchronous 16 kW
    battery   NaNiCl 60 Ah, 19,5 kWh
    max.speed 120 km/h
    range     130 km



FIAT Panda elettrica
    motor     AC asynchronous
    battery   NaNiCl 78 Ah ZEBRA
    max.speed 110 km/h
    range     130 km


                                       22
New Annex “Lessons learned”




hybrid vehicles great market success:
Toyota Prius with nearly 1 million vehicles/ several Lexus models
HONDA IMA more than 100‘000 vehicles sold


                                                                    23
The IA HEV “Clean Vehicle Award”


   The “Clean Vehicle Award” is given to manufacturers with
    outstanding sales figures (surpassing thresholds of 25'000,
    50'000, 100'000, or more than 250'000 clean vehicles sold).
   The “Best Practice Award” is given to the organizers of
    an outstanding promotion project
   The “Personal Award” is given to a person that has
    dedicated her/his work to the development or promotion of
    clean vehicles in an outstanding way.




                                                         24
Energy ressources in the world




         Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie                             25
                                              © Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie
Tour de Sol: EV+PV grid-connected




                                                26
                        © Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie
Future energy supply of Europe


                                              Grafik:
                                              ABB




   100% production with hydro-/ solar- and windenergy
New subtask “PHVs and smart grids”


The winning combination of future mobility is:
- electric drive trains
- renewable energies
- linked to a smart grid (see Internet...)
The use of renewable energies as hydro-, wind-,
solar-, biomass-, waste-, -wave eetc. -energies offers
a broad range of efficient combinations.
Subtask leader: Robert Horbaty (CH)

                                                 28
Elements of “Smart Grids”




…. including storage capacities in Plug-In Hybrid cars
     19.02.2009
   Source: Andrew Tang, Senior Director - Smart Energy Web, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, Plugin 2008
Possible Development of the V2G-
            Concept                                                     Grid regulating
                                                                       ancillary servecies
                                                                         Vehicle to Grid
                                                                               V2G
 Deployment V2G



                                                          Smart Charging
                                                           bi-directional
                                                          Vehicle to home
                                                                V2H

                                             Smart Charging
                                             Grid to vehicle
                                                  G2V
                                      Charging
                              A      everywhere
                  Charging at Home



         2008
       19.02.2009
                                  2010                 2012             2014



                                                                            Quelle: ENCO Energie-Consulting AG
EBL* Solar Power Station
               since 1992
A




    19.02.2009

                 EBL = Swiss Utility
EU Future Network Vision: „Smart
           Grids“ ...
                                                                                                 Prediction




                                  Small Hydro                                   Off-Shore Wind
   Big Hydro
                                                                Biomass
Thermal Power Plant




                                 CHP Appartements   Solar
   Photovoltaic




                                                              Efficient Energy use
                                                                                         PHEV
      19.02.2009                                        CHP Offices and Industry
               Thermal Storage
IEA IA Hybrid & Electric Vehicles
                   4th phase 2009-2014

The IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Agreement looks
forward to continuing to provide balanced, reliable
information for member Governments and research
organizations, and encourages new Governments and
organizations to join.
We invite Ireland to join our efforts and to participate as
member country in the Implementing Agreement Hybrid- and
Electric Vehicles (IA HEV).

Contact:   Mr. Martijn van Walwijk , Secretary
            <secretariat.ieahev@wanadoo.fr>
Thank you for your attention




                               34

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Urs Muntwyler Iea

  • 1. The future will be “renewable and electric” and needs worldwide efforts: an invitation to Ireland!! Urs Muntwyler Chair Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Implementing Agreement (IA) - of the International Energy Agency (IEA) 1
  • 2. Contents of this presentation • Current status of vehicle technology in the world and the energy challenge • Needs and benefits of international collaboration • The International Energy Agency (IEA) • What is the IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Implementing Agreement (IA-HEV)? • Actual work in phase 3 (2005-2009) • How countries can participate in the IA HEV network • Invitation to Ireland as regular member in the 4 th phase of the Implementing Agreement “Hybrid- and electric vehicles” 2
  • 3. Current status figures 1998 population private vehicles/ [Mio] cars 1000 inh. [Mio] IEA countries 852 516,4 606 tiger states 1‘767 159 90 develop. 3‘235 31,6 10 countries With 300 vehicles/ 1‘000 inhabitants:  ca. 2 Mia. vehicles (x 3)  3-liter-car! 3
  • 4. Current Status of Vehicle Technology Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris 2008 4
  • 5. Current Status of Vehicle Technology 5 © Muntwyler Energietechnik AG
  • 6. New Annex “Lessons learned” 6
  • 7. a winning combination for the future: PV+EV/PHEV! source: PHOTON Range achieved by the energy produced on 1 ha land (the bar of the plug-in-hybrid vehicle is 7 times longer than shown here)  The PHEV (consumption 16 kWh/100 km) using solar energy produced by a PV installation on 1 ha drives 150 times further than a car (consumption 6,5 l/ 100 km fuel equivalent) using bio-ethanol extracted from grain produced on 1 ha. 7
  • 8. Strategy = international collaboration automotive industry Governments act within the boundaries of their acts globally country Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris 2008 8
  • 9. The IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Implementing Agreement (IA HEV) • The IEA (International Energy Agency) is a Paris based organisation of 28 Governments interested in energy issues • The IEA has 42 different technical collaboration-programmes all kind of energy fields, one of them the IA HEV. • The IA HEV is a working group of actual 12 governments (Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, USA) interested in advanced vehicle technologies. • An Executive Committee directs the work of the task forces, plans new initiatives, and disseminates the information produced • The IA HEV works by setting up task forces (called “Anne- xes”) on particular hybrid-, fuel cell- and electric vehicle subjects 9
  • 10. Some activities in phase 3: 2004 - 2009 Work continued on: • Information Exchange (Annex I) • Electrochemical Systems (Annex X) New Task forces (Annexes and other activities): • IA HEV Award (not as Annex) • Electric Cycles (Annex XI) • Renewable Energy for Transportation (not yet started) • Hybrid Heavy Duty Vehicles (Annex XII) • Fuel Cells for Vehicles (Annex XIII) • Lessons Learned (follow-up; Annex XIV) • HEVs outlook-report (not as Annex) • Plug-In-Hybrid Vehicles (Annex XV started march 2008) 10
  • 11. Hybrid Vehicles working group (Annex VII) • Passenger cars tend to cost a constant share of disposable income - features are added to increase price • Drive trains only represent 8% - 12% of the costs of a car - dealer/warranty costs are largest share • A “fuel pay-back” period of 3-5 years would make hybrid vehicles cost-competitive. • Consumers can afford hybrid cars, but should be motivated to want them. 11
  • 12. Elektrochemical Systems (Annex X) Batteries made a remarkable progress since 1994 (compare with the forecast by our experts of Annex V in 1996): 12
  • 13. Lithium Ion Technology versus Goals Power-Assist HEV Goals (Low Power) Discharge Pulse Power (25 kW) Operating Temperature 140% Regenerative Pulse Power Range (-30 to +52 °C) 120% (20 kW) 100% 80% Self Discharge (50 Wh/day) 60% Available Energy (300 Wh) 40% 20% Selling Price ($500/system 0% @100k/yr) Efficiency (90%) System Volume (32 L) Cycle Life (300k on 25Wh profile) System Weight (40 kg) Calendar Life (15 Years) FreedomCAR Goals Lithium Ion 13
  • 14. Lithium Ion Technology versus Goals EV Goals Specific Power-Discharge (300 W/kg) Operating Temperature 140% Range (-40 to +50 °C) 120% Specific Energy-C/3 (150 100% Wh/kg) 80% 60% 40% 20% Production Price @10k/yr 0% Power Density (460 ($150/kWh) W/liter) Calendar Life (10 years) Energy Density-C/3 (230 Wh/liter) Cycle Life-80% DOD (1,000 cycles) USABC EV Goals Lithium Ion Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris 2008 14
  • 15. Deployment Strategies working group (Annex VIII) • Evaluation of more than 100 government promotion measures for clean vehicles (electric, hybrid-, alternative fuel vehicles) • investigation of factors decisive for success and failures • set of recommendations for the market introduction first joint annex of two Implementing Agreements (HEV and Advanced Motor Fuels AMF) in IEA - history 15
  • 16. New Annex “Lessons learned” In the past 20 years, many electric and hybrid vehicle models have been introduced on the market. Some where successful, many disappeared again. The task force „Deployment Strategies“ (Annex VIII) investigates the reasons for „failures“ and „successes“. This investigation will improve the success-rate of new vehicles and technologies. operating agent: Tom Turrentine ITS UC Davis 16
  • 17. History: Tour de Sol 1985 Workshop IEA Transportation IA Paris 2008 17
  • 18. History: Tour de Sol 1985 - 93 • Prototyping 1991 EtterTron, ESORO, Horlacher Carbon Horlacher City (1991) Horlacher Consequento (1993) ESORO E301 (1993) Horlacher Coupé (1994) 18
  • 19. History: EVs for fleet tests VW „CityStromer“ 1995-2000;: ca 200 items sold Citroën AX/Saxo électrique 1993-2004 Opel „Impuls“ 1991: 10 test vehicles on Rügen Peugeot 106 electric 1993-2003 series production conversion EVs by car manufacturers: all production stopped around 2003/2004. PSA sold about 4‘000 vehicles (Citroën+Peugeot) 19
  • 20. History: reaction on mandates/legislation purpose design EVs by car manufacturers: all production stopped 20
  • 21. Presence: purpose design „Survivor“?: TH!NK Nordic former PIV since 1998 ca. 1000 items produced (under FORD) bought by TH!NK nordic, bancrupcy 2006, now new attempt with new models incl. FC motor 27 kW battery NiCd 19x6V Cleanova by Heuliez-Dassault motor permanent magnet battery Li-ion 16 - 30 kWh 21
  • 22. Presence: conversion design SMART ed motor permanent magnet 30 kW battery Na NiCl 78 Ah (ZEBRA) max. speed 100 km/h range 150 km TWINGO Quickshift elettra motor AC asynchronous 16 kW battery NaNiCl 60 Ah, 19,5 kWh max.speed 120 km/h range 130 km FIAT Panda elettrica motor AC asynchronous battery NaNiCl 78 Ah ZEBRA max.speed 110 km/h range 130 km 22
  • 23. New Annex “Lessons learned” hybrid vehicles great market success: Toyota Prius with nearly 1 million vehicles/ several Lexus models HONDA IMA more than 100‘000 vehicles sold 23
  • 24. The IA HEV “Clean Vehicle Award”  The “Clean Vehicle Award” is given to manufacturers with outstanding sales figures (surpassing thresholds of 25'000, 50'000, 100'000, or more than 250'000 clean vehicles sold).  The “Best Practice Award” is given to the organizers of an outstanding promotion project  The “Personal Award” is given to a person that has dedicated her/his work to the development or promotion of clean vehicles in an outstanding way. 24
  • 25. Energy ressources in the world Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie 25 © Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie
  • 26. Tour de Sol: EV+PV grid-connected 26 © Copyright Muntwylers SolarAkademie
  • 27. Future energy supply of Europe Grafik: ABB 100% production with hydro-/ solar- and windenergy
  • 28. New subtask “PHVs and smart grids” The winning combination of future mobility is: - electric drive trains - renewable energies - linked to a smart grid (see Internet...) The use of renewable energies as hydro-, wind-, solar-, biomass-, waste-, -wave eetc. -energies offers a broad range of efficient combinations. Subtask leader: Robert Horbaty (CH) 28
  • 29. Elements of “Smart Grids” …. including storage capacities in Plug-In Hybrid cars 19.02.2009 Source: Andrew Tang, Senior Director - Smart Energy Web, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, Plugin 2008
  • 30. Possible Development of the V2G- Concept Grid regulating ancillary servecies Vehicle to Grid V2G Deployment V2G Smart Charging bi-directional Vehicle to home V2H Smart Charging Grid to vehicle G2V Charging A everywhere Charging at Home 2008 19.02.2009 2010 2012 2014 Quelle: ENCO Energie-Consulting AG
  • 31. EBL* Solar Power Station since 1992 A 19.02.2009 EBL = Swiss Utility
  • 32. EU Future Network Vision: „Smart Grids“ ... Prediction Small Hydro Off-Shore Wind Big Hydro Biomass Thermal Power Plant CHP Appartements Solar Photovoltaic Efficient Energy use PHEV 19.02.2009 CHP Offices and Industry Thermal Storage
  • 33. IEA IA Hybrid & Electric Vehicles 4th phase 2009-2014 The IEA Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Agreement looks forward to continuing to provide balanced, reliable information for member Governments and research organizations, and encourages new Governments and organizations to join. We invite Ireland to join our efforts and to participate as member country in the Implementing Agreement Hybrid- and Electric Vehicles (IA HEV). Contact: Mr. Martijn van Walwijk , Secretary <secretariat.ieahev@wanadoo.fr>
  • 34. Thank you for your attention 34