Synopsis The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights, including: Historic and forecast tourist volumes covering the entire Chinese travel
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1. Synopsis
The report provides detailed market analysis, information and
insights, including:
Historic and forecast tourist volumes covering the entire Chinese
travel and tourism sector
Detailed analysis of tourist spending patterns in China
The total, direct and indirect tourism output generated by each category within the Chinese travel
and tourism sector
Employment and salary trends for various categories in the Chinese travel and tourism sector, such
as accommodation, sightseeing and entertainment, foodservice, transportation, retail, and travel
intermediaries
Detailed market classification across each category, with analysis using similar metrics
Detailed analysis of the airline, hotel, car rental and travel intermediaries industries.
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and-opportunities-to-2017
Executive summary
After the relatively slow growth of 7.8% in 2012, the lowest annual rate of expansion since 1999, the
economy is expected to stabilize with annual growth edging up to an average of 8% over 2013–17. This
reflects continued urbanization and industrial upgrading. The economy is also expected to become more
balanced, assuming that the government’s policy measures, which include greater rural social welfare,
are successful in boosting domestic consumption.
Scope
This report provides an extensive analysis related to the tourism demands and flows in China:
It details historical values for the Chinese tourism sector for 2008–2012, along with forecast figures
for 2013–2017
It provides comprehensive analysis of the travel and tourism demand factors with values for both the
2008–2012 review period and the 2013–2017 forecast period
The report provides a detailed analysis and forecast of domestic, inbound and outbound tourist flows
in China.
2. It provides employment and salary trends for various categories of
the travel and tourism sector
It provides comprehensive analysis of the trends in airline, hotel, car
rental and travel intermediaries industries, with values for both the
2008–2012 review period and the 2013–2017 forecast period
Reasons to buy
Take strategic business decisions using historic and forecast market
data related to the Chinese travel and tourism sector.
Understand the demand-side dynamics within the Chinese travel and tourism sector, along with key
market trends and growth opportunities.
Identify the spending patterns of domestic, inbound and outbound tourists by individual categories.
Analyze key employment and compensation data related to the travel and tourism sector in China.
Key highlights
After the relatively slow growth of 7.8% in 2012, the lowest annual rate of expansion since 1999, the
economy is expected to stabilize with annual growth edging up to an average of 8% in 2013–17. This
reflects continued urbanization and industrial upgrading. The economy is also expected to become
more balanced, assuming that the government’s policy measures, which include greater rural social
welfare, are successful in boosting domestic consumption.
Domestic tourist volume increased from 958.8 million tourists in 2008 to 1.6 billion in 2012, at a
CAGR of 14.02% during the review period. Over the forecast period, trip volumes will increase at a
CAGR of 13.83% to reach 3.1 billion by 2017. The key growth drivers over the forecast period will be
increased wealth and leisure time, and an improved transport network. Over the forecast period,
domestic tourist expenditure is expected to increase at a CAGR of 26.17%, to reach CNY7.8 trillion
(US$1.2 trillion) by 2017.
China’s tourism sector is dependent on domestic tourism due to the country’s strict visa policy and
group tour restrictions for traveling abroad. Domestic tourist flows are very high as compared to
inbound tourist volumes. In 2012, China registered 1.6 billion domestic trips, while inbound trips
were recorded at 59.4 million. China’s is the world’s largest domestic tourism market.
Inbound spending increased across all categories except foodservice during the review period, with
the transportation category registering the largest growth at a CAGR of 3.78%. Transportation
accounted for the largest proportion of total inbound tourist expenditure in 2012 with a 35.5% share.
Over the forecast period, the travel intermediaries category is expected to record the highest CAGR
of 7.82%, followed by retail with a CAGR of 4.70% and foodservice with 4.65%. The total inbound
expenditure is expected to increase from CNY3.1 trillion (US$498.4 billion) in 2012 to CNY3.9 trillion
(US$618.4 billion) in 2017. Economic improvement in the eurozone countries and favorable
regulatory changes will be the key growth drivers of inbound tourism.
Chinese tourists are high spenders, and outbound tourism is also increasing, so numerous countries
are creating strategies to attract Chinese tourists. Cambodia’s Ministry of Tourism, for example, has
developed a five-year strategic plan to attract at least 1.3 million Chinese visitors by 2018.
3. China’s air traffic volume, both domestically and internationally,
increased during the review period. Passengers carried by Chinese
as well as foreign airlines reached 313.8 million in 2012, expanding
at a CAGR of 12.90% during the review period. Over the forecast
period, the number of passengers carried is expected to increase at
a CAGR of 6.90% to reach 437.9 million. The total revenue is also
anticipated to increase from CNY333.9 billion (US$52.8 billion) in
2012 to CNY515.0 billion (US$81.5 billion) in 2017. The growth is in
line with the increasing tourist volumes and air capacity.
Total revenues generated by hotels in China increased at a CAGR of 14.89% during the review period.
Total revenues are expected to increase at a CAGR of 8.57% to reach CNY480.4 billion (US$79.2
billion) by 2017, in line with a steady rise in tourism volumes, rising disposable incomes, and
accommodation available at competitive prices. The highest numbers of inbound trips in 2012 came
from Hong Kong with 36.4 million and Macau with 10.6 million.
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China’s car rental market grew at a CAGR of 18.15% during the review period to reach a value of
CNY22.8 million (US$3.6 billion) in 2012. It is expected to reach CNY47.3 billion (US$7.5 billion) by
2017, recording a CAGR of 15.87% over the forecast period. Increases in international and domestic
tourists, increase in urbanization rates, the high costs of owning and driving a car, and new
government policies are curbing private car usage.
China’s travel intermediaries market value is anticipated to increase at a CAGR of 17.12% over the
forecast period to reach CNY726.3 billion (US$4.1 billion) in 2017. This increase will be driven by a
rise in discretionary spending, increased business travel, and rising efforts to promote the travel
sector in China internationally. The market share of online intermediaries is expected to increase
with growing internet penetration. The online travel channel’s share of the travel intermediaries
industry is expected to increase from 21.1% in 2012 to 36.4% in 2017. Consequently, the in-store
channels market share is anticipated to decline from 78.9% in 2012 to 63.6% in 2017.
Contact
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Tel: +1-518-618-1030