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The Future of Television and Online Video   Sept 21, 2009
62%  of marketers believe the effectiveness of TV  advertising has decreased since 2006.  Source: ANA and Forrester Research, 2008
62%  of marketers believe the effectiveness of TV  advertising has decreased since 2006.  Source: ANA and Forrester Research, 2008 McKinsey: By 2010, traditional TV  advertising will be  1/3  as  effective as it was in 1990!
What % of Internet Users  Watch Video Online? ?
What % of Internet Users  Watch Video Online? comScore…  81% eMarketer…  72% Frank Magid…  75% LightSpeed…  72% AP/AOL……..  40% Universal McCann..  83% Ipsos……...…  67% Forrester.…  31% Pew…  52% Nielsen Online…  69% ABI Research…  63% Horowitz…  86%
 
% Online Users Watching Video: Forrester…………...  31% Pew………..............  52% ABI Research……..  63% Ipsos………………  67% Nielsen……………..  69% eMarketer………… 72% Lightspeed………...  72% Frank Magid Asso...  75% comScore……........  81% Universal McCann..  83%
Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290  Million* 144  million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly)
Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290  Million* 144  million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly) Watch an average of  4.7  hours per  day --Nielsen, 2009 View online video  < 4  hours per  month   3.8 hours …… comScore 3.6 hours …… CTAM 3.5 hours …… Nielsen
Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290  Million* 144  million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly) Watch an average of  4.7  hours per  day --Nielsen, 2009 View online video  < 4  hours per  month   3.8 hours …… comScore 3.6 hours …… CTAM 3.5 hours …… Nielsen According to  Ball State University , based on actual  observance  of consumer behavior, online video accounts for only  1%  of total video viewing time
What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form  =  83%  of  online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009
What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form  =  83%  of  online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009  % Watching Full- Length TV Shows: 28% --eMarketer, 2009 % of Internet Users Watching Full Length TV Shows Online: Blinkx/Harris Interactive……..  44% Deloitte*………………………  37% Conference Board…………...  36% Pew……………………………  35% TNS (AOL/Google)**…………  29% eMarketer…………………….. 28% AvenueA/Razorfish***………..  27% Nielsen Online*…………….. ..  25%   Forrester* ……………………..  25% Ofcom…………………………..  23% Knowledge Networks…………  21% *Weekly usage; **past month usage; ***frequent or regular usage; ***adults viewing in past 3 months
What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form  =  83%  of  online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009  % Watching Full- Length TV Shows: 28% --eMarketer, 2009 % of Internet Users Watching Full Length TV Shows Online: Blinkx/Harris Interactive……..  44% Deloitte*………………………  37% Conference Board…………...  36% Pew……………………………  35% TNS (AOL/Google)**…………  29% eMarketer…………………….. 28% AvenueA/Razorfish***………..  27% Nielsen Online*…………….. ..  25%   Forrester* ……………………..  25% Ofcom…………………………..  23% Knowledge Networks…………  21% *Weekly usage; **past month usage; ***frequent or regular usage; ***adults viewing in past 3 months Are marketers tuning in?
% of US companies deploying some form of online video *Among senior-level marketing executives with over $1.0 million ad budgets Convergence!
% of US companies deploying some form of online video *Among senior-level marketing executives with over $1.0 million ad budgets Convergence!
“ 1  b illion dollars”
US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 4.3%
US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 MAGNA Global……  $699 LiveRail……………  $876 Oppenheimer……..  $900 Barclays…………..  $917 SNL Kagan……….  $980 Piper Jaffray……...  $1,006 eMarketer………… $1,054 BMO Capital……...  $1,200 Citi……..………….  $1,447 4.3%
US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 MAGNA Global……  $699 LiveRail……………  $876 Oppenheimer……..  $900 Barclays…………..  $917 SNL Kagan……….  $980 Piper Jaffray……...  $1,006 eMarketer………… $1,054 BMO Capital……...  $1,200 Citi……..………….  $1,447 Growth Rate for 2009: Oppenheimer………  10% Barclays……………  25% MAGNA Global……  32% Piper Jaffray……….  37% SNL Kagan………..  41% eMarketer………… 44% Barclays…………..  45% Citi………………….  50% BMO Capital……….  56% 4.3%
Perspective: online video ad spending =  $1.1 billion  in 2009 $69.8 B US TV Spending
Perspective: online video ad spending =  $1.1 billion  in 2009 $69.8 B US TV Spending =  1.6% of TV $s
Online video viewers are more engaged versus those watching television
Online video viewers are more engaged versus those watching television ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
*Video Roadblocks Video Roadblocks ,[object Object]
*Video Roadblocks Video Roadblocks ,[object Object],“ No one wants to advertise next to crap.” --Andrew Keen, author, Cult of the Amateur
Let’s talk… Tim Hanlon Vivaki Tara Maitra Geoff Ramsey CEO eMarketer Avner Ronen Boxee Peter Naylor NBC Get the full deal: [email_address] TWITTER: @GeoffRamsey
Let’s talk… Tim Hanlon Vivaki Tara Maitra Geoff Ramsey CEO eMarketer Avner Ronen Boxee Peter Naylor NBC

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Mixx IAB 2009 - Video

  • 1. The Future of Television and Online Video Sept 21, 2009
  • 2. 62% of marketers believe the effectiveness of TV advertising has decreased since 2006. Source: ANA and Forrester Research, 2008
  • 3. 62% of marketers believe the effectiveness of TV advertising has decreased since 2006. Source: ANA and Forrester Research, 2008 McKinsey: By 2010, traditional TV advertising will be 1/3 as effective as it was in 1990!
  • 4. What % of Internet Users Watch Video Online? ?
  • 5. What % of Internet Users Watch Video Online? comScore… 81% eMarketer… 72% Frank Magid… 75% LightSpeed… 72% AP/AOL…….. 40% Universal McCann.. 83% Ipsos……...… 67% Forrester.… 31% Pew… 52% Nielsen Online… 69% ABI Research… 63% Horowitz… 86%
  • 6.  
  • 7. % Online Users Watching Video: Forrester…………... 31% Pew……….............. 52% ABI Research…….. 63% Ipsos……………… 67% Nielsen…………….. 69% eMarketer………… 72% Lightspeed………... 72% Frank Magid Asso... 75% comScore……........ 81% Universal McCann.. 83%
  • 8. Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290 Million* 144 million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly)
  • 9. Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290 Million* 144 million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly) Watch an average of 4.7 hours per day --Nielsen, 2009 View online video < 4 hours per month 3.8 hours …… comScore 3.6 hours …… CTAM 3.5 hours …… Nielsen
  • 10. Reality Check! Audience size Watching weekly 290 Million* 144 million*** 249 million** 53 million*** Source: *Nielsen Media Research, 2009; **BIGresearch, 2008 (86% of TV watchers); ***eMarketer, 2009 (based on aggregated data, about 37% of online video watchers watch weekly) Watch an average of 4.7 hours per day --Nielsen, 2009 View online video < 4 hours per month 3.8 hours …… comScore 3.6 hours …… CTAM 3.5 hours …… Nielsen According to Ball State University , based on actual observance of consumer behavior, online video accounts for only 1% of total video viewing time
  • 11. What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form = 83% of online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009
  • 12. What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form = 83% of online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009 % Watching Full- Length TV Shows: 28% --eMarketer, 2009 % of Internet Users Watching Full Length TV Shows Online: Blinkx/Harris Interactive…….. 44% Deloitte*……………………… 37% Conference Board…………... 36% Pew…………………………… 35% TNS (AOL/Google)**………… 29% eMarketer…………………….. 28% AvenueA/Razorfish***……….. 27% Nielsen Online*…………….. .. 25% Forrester* …………………….. 25% Ofcom………………………….. 23% Knowledge Networks………… 21% *Weekly usage; **past month usage; ***frequent or regular usage; ***adults viewing in past 3 months
  • 13. What Are Online Video Viewers Watching? Short form = 83% of online video viewing (Nielsen, 2009) 8 of the top 10 most-popular video genres are short form --Frank Magid Assoc, 2009 % Watching Full- Length TV Shows: 28% --eMarketer, 2009 % of Internet Users Watching Full Length TV Shows Online: Blinkx/Harris Interactive…….. 44% Deloitte*……………………… 37% Conference Board…………... 36% Pew…………………………… 35% TNS (AOL/Google)**………… 29% eMarketer…………………….. 28% AvenueA/Razorfish***……….. 27% Nielsen Online*…………….. .. 25% Forrester* …………………….. 25% Ofcom………………………….. 23% Knowledge Networks………… 21% *Weekly usage; **past month usage; ***frequent or regular usage; ***adults viewing in past 3 months Are marketers tuning in?
  • 14. % of US companies deploying some form of online video *Among senior-level marketing executives with over $1.0 million ad budgets Convergence!
  • 15. % of US companies deploying some form of online video *Among senior-level marketing executives with over $1.0 million ad budgets Convergence!
  • 16. “ 1 b illion dollars”
  • 17. US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 4.3%
  • 18. US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 MAGNA Global…… $699 LiveRail…………… $876 Oppenheimer…….. $900 Barclays………….. $917 SNL Kagan………. $980 Piper Jaffray……... $1,006 eMarketer………… $1,054 BMO Capital……... $1,200 Citi……..…………. $1,447 4.3%
  • 19. US online video ad spending, in millions US online video ad spending, in millions Source: eMarketer, March, 2009 MAGNA Global…… $699 LiveRail…………… $876 Oppenheimer…….. $900 Barclays………….. $917 SNL Kagan………. $980 Piper Jaffray……... $1,006 eMarketer………… $1,054 BMO Capital……... $1,200 Citi……..…………. $1,447 Growth Rate for 2009: Oppenheimer……… 10% Barclays…………… 25% MAGNA Global…… 32% Piper Jaffray………. 37% SNL Kagan……….. 41% eMarketer………… 44% Barclays………….. 45% Citi…………………. 50% BMO Capital………. 56% 4.3%
  • 20. Perspective: online video ad spending = $1.1 billion in 2009 $69.8 B US TV Spending
  • 21. Perspective: online video ad spending = $1.1 billion in 2009 $69.8 B US TV Spending = 1.6% of TV $s
  • 22. Online video viewers are more engaged versus those watching television
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Let’s talk… Tim Hanlon Vivaki Tara Maitra Geoff Ramsey CEO eMarketer Avner Ronen Boxee Peter Naylor NBC Get the full deal: [email_address] TWITTER: @GeoffRamsey
  • 27. Let’s talk… Tim Hanlon Vivaki Tara Maitra Geoff Ramsey CEO eMarketer Avner Ronen Boxee Peter Naylor NBC