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This document discusses a study on climate change adaptation focusing on developing countries, water resources, and land use. The study will examine options and costs of adaptation to droughts, floods, and saltwater intrusion in deltas. It will develop a vulnerability typology of river basins and deltas based on risks from these climate impacts under future climate change and development scenarios. The assessment of adaptation options will address behavioral, technical, and land use measures and consider adaptive capacity factors.

Tecnologia

Climate change and adaptation
climate water land use

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker, Joost-Jan Schrander,
Joost Knoop, Arno Bouwman, Lex Bouwman

Scope of PBL DGIS research on adaptation 2

Focus 1: developing countries
Focus 2: climate change water land use
Encompassing
Drought
Floods
Salinisation of deltas
part of integrated
Options and costs of adaptation assessment
Synergies/trade-offs with MDG strategies,
conserving biodiversity, forestry/REDD, biofuels
Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Drought: scoping study
Potential of deep aquifers water scarcity 3

Vulnerability with respect to water scarcity

Source: IWMI (2007)

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Vulnerability with respect to floods
4

Willem Ligtvoet

Interactions trade-offs within river basins 5

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Typology of vulnerabilities: bridging scales

Aim: vulnerability typology of river basins/deltas 7

Based on:
- Risks of drought potential use of deep aquifers
- Risks of floods
- Risk of salinisation of deltas

- Future developments
* climate change Changes in
* population growth vulnerability
* land use changes pattern?
* …….. - drought
- floods
- salinisation

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Future risks
of droughts 8

and floods

New facility
Flood
risks
2010/2011

drought
Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Assessment:
options and costs of adaptation 9

Addressing:
- Drought
- Floods
- Salinisation in deltas

Types of measures
- Adjustment of behaviour/management
- Technical measures
- Land use development Starting point:
- Migration (tipping points?) - Global study Worldbank
- Country study Worldbank
- other literature

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Assessment:
options and costs of adaptation 10

Addressing:
- Drought
- Floods
- Salinisation in deltas

Types Adaptive capacity
- Adjustment of behaviour/management - Institutional
- Technical measures - Education
- Land use development - Finances
- Migration (tipping points?)

Building blocks
Analysis of main actors for effective
adaptation strategies
Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

Integration
11

adaptation
options

Flood
risks

Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

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PBL project

1. Climate change and adaptation climate water land use Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker, Joost-Jan Schrander, Joost Knoop, Arno Bouwman, Lex Bouwman

2. Scope of PBL DGIS research on adaptation 2 Focus 1: developing countries Focus 2: climate change water land use Encompassing Drought Floods Salinisation of deltas part of integrated Options and costs of adaptation assessment Synergies/trade-offs with MDG strategies, conserving biodiversity, forestry/REDD, biofuels Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

3. Drought: scoping study Potential of deep aquifers water scarcity 3 Vulnerability with respect to water scarcity Source: IWMI (2007) Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

4. Vulnerability with respect to floods 4 Willem Ligtvoet

5. Interactions trade-offs within river basins 5 Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

6. Typology of vulnerabilities: bridging scales

7. Aim: vulnerability typology of river basins/deltas 7 Based on: - Risks of drought potential use of deep aquifers - Risks of floods - Risk of salinisation of deltas - Future developments * climate change Changes in * population growth vulnerability * land use changes pattern? * …….. - drought - floods - salinisation Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

8. Future risks of droughts 8 and floods New facility Flood risks 2010/2011 drought Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

9. Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 9 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types of measures - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Technical measures - Land use development Starting point: - Migration (tipping points?) - Global study Worldbank - Country study Worldbank - other literature Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

10. Assessment: options and costs of adaptation 10 Addressing: - Drought - Floods - Salinisation in deltas Types Adaptive capacity - Adjustment of behaviour/management - Institutional - Technical measures - Education - Land use development - Finances - Migration (tipping points?) Building blocks Analysis of main actors for effective adaptation strategies Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

11. Integration 11 adaptation options Flood risks Willem Ligtvoet, Marloes Bakker

12. Adaptation?

PBL project

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