The document discusses recent enrollment trends in Massachusetts public higher education, noting that total undergraduate enrollment has declined for the third consecutive year after peaking in 2013, with community colleges seeing the largest decreases. Enrollment varies between segments, with the University of Massachusetts seeing growth from international students. The profile of new undergraduate students in 2015 is also presented, showing over half enrolled at community colleges and most were in-state, white, and female.

1. Highlights:
2016 Enrollment Estimates
Board of Higher Education Meeting | October 11, 2016

2. 2
163,993
196,847
186,103
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
220,000
Fall-
2006
Fall-
2007
Fall-
2008
Fall-
2009
Fall-
2010
Fall-
2011
Fall-
2012
Fall-
2013
Fall-
2014
Fall-
2015
Fall Undergraduate Enrollment: SystemTotal
Fall-
2016
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
ThirdYear of Decline in Last 10Years
PeakYear
-10,744 (-5.5%)
Decline
from Peak

3. 3
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Consensus Among Multiple Projections
40000
45000
50000
55000
60000
65000
70000
75000
80000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
NumberHighSchoolGraduates
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
220,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
FallHeadcount
Donahue: Public Higher Ed EnrollmentsWICHE: High School Graduates
NCES: 2010-2023 Change in
Public High School Graduates
Decline 5% or more
Decline up to 5%
Grow up to 5%
Grow 5% or more

4. 4
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Enrollment Booms and Busts are Normal
Source: MA DHE, USDOE
166,674
148,538
196,540
186,103
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
220,000
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Fall Undergraduate Enrollment 1988 - 2016

5. 5
42,390 41,461
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
State Universities
100,798
87,711
80,000
85,000
90,000
95,000
100,000
105,000
110,000
Community Colleges
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Recent Enrollment ChangeVaries by Segment
PeakYear
52,986
56,931
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
University of Massachusetts
PeakYear

6. 6
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
University of Massachusetts
Recent increases in undergraduate enrollment associated with
notable increase in international student enrollment.
University of Massachusetts Undergraduate Enrollment
Fall-2013 Fall-2014 Fall-2015 Fall-2016
2015-2016
Change
In-State 45,668 45,924 46,418 46,614 0.7%
Out-of-State 6,806 6,823 6,731 6,621 -0.7%
International 2,162 2,630 3,150 3,680 12.4%

7. 7
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
State Universities
Growth in state university undergraduate enrollment has slowed
in recent years with slight enrollment declines the last three falls.
1.8%
2.9% 2.6% 2.3% 2.8%
0.5%
1.3%
-0.6% -0.6% -1.0%-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
06–07 07–08 08–09 09–10 10–11 11–12 12–13 13–14 14–15 15–16
State UniversityYear-to-Year
Fall Undergraduate Enrollment Change

8. 8
3.6%
5.0%
10.3%
2.5%
0.0%
0.4%
-1.0%
-2.9%
-4.4%
-5.4%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
06–07 07–08 08–09 09–10 10–11 11–12 12–13 13–14 14–15 15–16
Community CollegeYear toYear
Fall Undergraduate Enrollment Change
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Community Colleges
Accelerated enrollment declines in recent years follow years of
unprecedented enrollment growth. Rapid growth from ‘06 to ‘10
coincided with both a boom in high school graduates and the
onslaught of the great recession.

9. 9
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Community Colleges
Historically, community college enrollment has been more
volatile than enrollment at the four-year institutions.
Source: MA DHE, USDOE
72,774
66,779
100,798
87,711
42,280
33,922
41,461
51,620
43,750
56,931
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Fall Undergraduate Enrollment 1988 - 2016
Community Colleges State Universities UMass

10. 10
Highlights: 2016 Enrollment Estimates
Community Colleges
Community College fall enrollment is correlated with
annual enrollment.
Source: MA DHE, USDOE
50,000
70,000
90,000
110,000
130,000
150,000
Fall
06/FY07
Fall
07/FY08
Fall
08/FY09
Fall
09/FY10
Fall
10/FY11
Fall
11/FY12
Fall
12/FY13
Fall
13/FY14
Fall
14/FY15
Community College Headcount
Fall Headcount Annual Headcount

11. Profile: New
Undergraduate Students

12. 12
 33,907Total 2015 New Students Enrolled in
Massachusetts Public Higher Education
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
2015 New Students
State
Universities
22%
UMass
28%
Community
Colleges
50%
By Segment African
Americ
an
12%
Latino/a
19%
White
69%
By Race/Ethnicity

13. 13
 Nearly 52% were female
 Average age was 19.9 years
 24.8 years for part-time students
 More than 20% were part-time students
 Approximately 43% of those enrolling full-time
received Pell Grants
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
2015 New Students (cont’d)

14. 14
 More than half of first-time students enroll in Community
Colleges, but the share was higher during the recession and
enrollment boom.
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
Enrollment by Segment
59% 56% 51%
18% 19%
22%
23% 25% 28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Fall-2009 Fall-2012 Fall-2015
Community Colleges State Universities University of Massachusetts

15. 15
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
% Part-Time Student by Segment
1% 1%
33%
20%
2% 1%
38%
22%
2% 1%
39%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
University of
Massachusetts
State University Community College All Institutions
Percent of First-Time Undergraduates Enrolled Part-Time
Fall-2009
Fall-2012
Fall-2015

16. 16
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
Average Age by
Enrollment Status & Segment
18.6 18.6
20.3
19.3
20.3
21.8
23.7 23.6
18.6 18.6
21.7
20.2
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
University of Massachusetts State Universities Community College All Institutions
Average Age of First-Time Students, Fall 2015
Full Time
Part Time
Total

17. 17
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
% Female By Segment
48%
58%
52% 52%
47%
58%
52% 52%
46%
57%
52% 51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
University of Massachusetts State Universities Community College All Institutions
Percent of First-Time Undergraduates Who Were Women
Fall 2009
Fall 2012
Fall 2015

18. 18
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
% Pell Grant Recipient by Segment
27% 28%
47%
37%
31% 32%
55%
42%
30%
34%
57%
43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
University of
Massachusetts
State Universities Community College All Institutions
Percent of First Time, Full Time Student Receiving Pell Grants
Fall 2010
Fall 2012
Fall 2014

19. 19
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
Race/Ethnicity by Segment
4.6%
8.5%
77.8%
7.7%
UMass
6.0%
13.2
%
69.9
%
8.4%
UMass
2.6% 5.1%
86.9
%
5.1%
State U's
2.9%
10.6
%
75.2
%
7.3%
State U's
4.0%
12.5
%
70.4
%
12.6
%
Comm. Col's
4.8%
23.4
%
55.2
%
13.3
%
Comm. Col's
Fall
2006
Fall
2015
9.0%
5.0%
78.0
%
7.0%
HS Grads
11.5
%
10.3
%
66.3
%
8.3%
HS Grads
African American Asian / Pacific Islander Latino/a White

20. 20
 Latino/a students are less likely thanWhite students to finish
high school and enter college
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
Latino/White Gaps in Attainment
Sources: MA DESE, MA DHE, National StudentClearinghouse.
72%
53%
92%
73%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Graduating High School in Four Years Enrolling in Postsecondary Education After HS Graduation
Gaps in Educational Attainment for MA Public High School Students
Latino White

21. 21
 Latino/a recent HS grads are more likely thanWhite recent
HS grads to enroll in MA Public Higher Education
Profile: New Undergraduate Students
Latino/White College-Going Patterns
Enrolling MA
Public, 72%
Enrolling MA
Public, 45%
Enrolling
Other, 28%
Enrolling
Other, 55%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Latino White
Where Recent High School Graduates Enroll

22. Discussion