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Response to New School discussion on
US Corporations in the Recovery and Beyond
Friday, April 23, 2010



         The Role of the
 Intangibles Information Gap in
    the Financialization of the
      American Corporation

                  Mary Adams
               I-Capital Advisors
                                             ICA-1
Corporate value is increasingly
intangible
                                                         Components of S&P 500® Market Capitalization


                                    14,000


                                                                      Market Premium

                                    12,000
                                                                      Intangible Book Value


                                                                      Tangible Book Value
                                    10,000




                                      8,000
  S&P 500 Market Cap ($ billions)




                                      6,000




                                      4,000




                                      2,000




                                             -


                                                 1973   1975   1977   1979       1981         1983   1985   1987   1989   1991   1993   1995   1997   1999   2001   2003   2005




Research: Ned Davis
                                                                                                                                                                                  ICA-2
This change touches all sectors

           Intangible Value as a % of Total Market Capitalization
                                  by Sector
              100%
              90%
              80%
              70%
              60%
    1975
              50%
    2005
              40%
              30%
              20%
              10%
               0%

                   ner
                       gy         als          ials        ary   ap l
                                                                     es        ar e        cia
                                                                                               ls
                                                                                                       ice
                                                                                                           s
                                                                                                                  o gy         tie
                                                                                                                                   s
                              teri         st r        tion er St         th C in an               er v                    tili
                 E        M a
                                     I nd u
                                                  cr e                  al                        S         chn ol       U
                                             Dis o ns u
                                                             m      He             F
                                                                                           ion
                                                                                                s
                                                                                                        Te
                                          er                                           ca t        tion
                                      um             C                             u ni        ma
                               C o ns                                       o mm Inf or
                                                                         lec
                                                                      Te

                                                                                                                                       ICA-3
Here’s the
calculation:

• Total corporate value per the stock
  market
• Minus: tangible assets at historical cost
• Minus: intangibles on the balance sheet
  from mergers
• Equals: “market premium” or
  “unrecognized intangibles”
                                              ICA-4
Global mergers – 2007
(mergers are the one time these intangibles
hit the balance sheet)


                                                         Tangible, 30%



     Goodwill, 47%




                                                     Intangible, 23%
E&Y: Acquisition Accounting – What’s Next for You?
                                                                         ICA-5
The gap is not “goodwill”
• This large amount of intangibles in
  business is not the result of some abstract
  market “feeling”
• It is the result of 30+ years of investment
  in the knowledge infrastructure of
  American corporations (people,
  processes, info tech, networks)
• Annual investment in knowledge
  intangibles now exceeds tangible
  investment….
                                                ICA-6
U.S. corporate investments - 2007



                                                                             Tangible $1.2
                                                                              trillion, 43%

  Intangible $1.6
    trillion, 57%




Business Week, October 29, 2009 (using unpublished data from Corrado, Hulten and Sichel)
                                                                                              ICA-7
What are intangible investments?
 Calculations extrapolate from currently-available
 data including:
 –   Software
 –   R&D
 –   Advertising
 –   Training

      But not everything is counted because current
     measurement systems (both economic and
     accounting/financial) were built for a tangible,
     industrial economy
      And most of these investments are treated (at both
     macro and firm level) as current-year expenses
                                                           ICA-8
What it all really means
• Analysts and investors cannot rely on the
  balance sheet to help them value stocks
• So they have to rely on the income
  statement     but this is a very short-term
  source of information
• Financialization reflects this short-term
  view
• Financialization cannot be fixed without
  also closing the intangibles information
  gap
                                                ICA-9
Filling in the gap
• Field of intellectual or intangible capital
  emerged to study this information gap
• IC field—strong following in Europe & Asia
• Focus is primarily on:
  – Identifying intangibles
  – Understanding link to value creation
  – Reporting to stakeholders
• Generally identifies three classes of
  intangibles….
                                            ICA-10
Knowledge
 Assets




            ICA-11
Structural capital is special…
• Paul Romer calls it software
• Arnold Kling and Nick Schulz call it recipes
• John Zysman calls it the algorithmic
  revolution

      …Structural Capital is operationalized
    knowledge in a highly scalable, enduring
       form that is not subject to the laws of
            scarcity—it changes everything
                                             ICA-12
The economic opportunity of the
knowledge era?

   …creating value by leveraging
      human + relationship
       + structural capital


                                   ICA-13
To end financialization…
…and take advantage of the potential of the
 knowledge era, we need to:

  – Close the intangibles information gap
  – Offset the short term view of the income
    statement
  – Give investors and stakeholders a view
    previously provided by the balance sheet of
    the productive capacity and potential of the
    firm…its intangible capital

                                                   ICA-14
• A manager’s guide to
  identifying, managing and
  measuring intangibles
• Goal is to leverage the
  knowledge and
  competencies of firms for
  greater value, performance
  and innovation




                               ICA-15
Resources
Book: www.intangiblecapitalbook.com
Community: www.icknowledgecenter.com
Blog: www.smartercompaniesblog.com

    Mary Adams, 781-729-9650
    adams@i-capitaladvisors.com
    Twitter: maryadamsica

                                       ICA-16

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The Role of the Intangibles Information Gap in the Financialization of the American Corporation

  • 1. Response to New School discussion on US Corporations in the Recovery and Beyond Friday, April 23, 2010 The Role of the Intangibles Information Gap in the Financialization of the American Corporation Mary Adams I-Capital Advisors ICA-1
  • 2. Corporate value is increasingly intangible Components of S&P 500® Market Capitalization 14,000 Market Premium 12,000 Intangible Book Value Tangible Book Value 10,000 8,000 S&P 500 Market Cap ($ billions) 6,000 4,000 2,000 - 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Research: Ned Davis ICA-2
  • 3. This change touches all sectors Intangible Value as a % of Total Market Capitalization by Sector 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 1975 50% 2005 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ner gy als ials ary ap l es ar e cia ls ice s o gy tie s teri st r tion er St th C in an er v tili E M a I nd u cr e al S chn ol U Dis o ns u m He F ion s Te er ca t tion um C u ni ma C o ns o mm Inf or lec Te ICA-3
  • 4. Here’s the calculation: • Total corporate value per the stock market • Minus: tangible assets at historical cost • Minus: intangibles on the balance sheet from mergers • Equals: “market premium” or “unrecognized intangibles” ICA-4
  • 5. Global mergers – 2007 (mergers are the one time these intangibles hit the balance sheet) Tangible, 30% Goodwill, 47% Intangible, 23% E&Y: Acquisition Accounting – What’s Next for You? ICA-5
  • 6. The gap is not “goodwill” • This large amount of intangibles in business is not the result of some abstract market “feeling” • It is the result of 30+ years of investment in the knowledge infrastructure of American corporations (people, processes, info tech, networks) • Annual investment in knowledge intangibles now exceeds tangible investment…. ICA-6
  • 7. U.S. corporate investments - 2007 Tangible $1.2 trillion, 43% Intangible $1.6 trillion, 57% Business Week, October 29, 2009 (using unpublished data from Corrado, Hulten and Sichel) ICA-7
  • 8. What are intangible investments? Calculations extrapolate from currently-available data including: – Software – R&D – Advertising – Training But not everything is counted because current measurement systems (both economic and accounting/financial) were built for a tangible, industrial economy And most of these investments are treated (at both macro and firm level) as current-year expenses ICA-8
  • 9. What it all really means • Analysts and investors cannot rely on the balance sheet to help them value stocks • So they have to rely on the income statement but this is a very short-term source of information • Financialization reflects this short-term view • Financialization cannot be fixed without also closing the intangibles information gap ICA-9
  • 10. Filling in the gap • Field of intellectual or intangible capital emerged to study this information gap • IC field—strong following in Europe & Asia • Focus is primarily on: – Identifying intangibles – Understanding link to value creation – Reporting to stakeholders • Generally identifies three classes of intangibles…. ICA-10
  • 12. Structural capital is special… • Paul Romer calls it software • Arnold Kling and Nick Schulz call it recipes • John Zysman calls it the algorithmic revolution …Structural Capital is operationalized knowledge in a highly scalable, enduring form that is not subject to the laws of scarcity—it changes everything ICA-12
  • 13. The economic opportunity of the knowledge era? …creating value by leveraging human + relationship + structural capital ICA-13
  • 14. To end financialization… …and take advantage of the potential of the knowledge era, we need to: – Close the intangibles information gap – Offset the short term view of the income statement – Give investors and stakeholders a view previously provided by the balance sheet of the productive capacity and potential of the firm…its intangible capital ICA-14
  • 15. • A manager’s guide to identifying, managing and measuring intangibles • Goal is to leverage the knowledge and competencies of firms for greater value, performance and innovation ICA-15
  • 16. Resources Book: www.intangiblecapitalbook.com Community: www.icknowledgecenter.com Blog: www.smartercompaniesblog.com Mary Adams, 781-729-9650 adams@i-capitaladvisors.com Twitter: maryadamsica ICA-16