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Defining Supply Chain
Excellence
Understanding Supply Chain Excellence

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 2
The Supply Chain
is a Complex System
with Complex Processes
with Increasing Complexity

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 3
The Supply Chain Effective Frontier

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 4
Methodology: Mining 20 Years of Financial
Data to Understand the Patterns
Financial Metrics
Growth

Profitability

Cycle

Complexity

Common Shares

Cash

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

Altman Z

Employee Growth

Cash Change in Period

Days of Finished Goods

Capital Turnover

Employees

Cash on Hand

Days of Inventory

Current Ratio

Market Capitalization

Cash Ratio TTM

Days of Payables Outstanding

Quick Ratio

R&D Margin

Cash Ratio Quarter

Days of Raw Materials

Return on Assets

R&D Ratio

Cash Ratio Year

Days of Sales Outstanding

Return on Equity

R&D to COGS Ratio

Cost of Goods Sold

Days of Work in Progress

Return on Invested Capital

Revenue

EBITDA

DPO/DSO

Return on Net Assets

Revenue Growth

Free Cash Flow Ratio

Finished Goods Inventory

Revenue per Employee

Revenue Growth TTM

Gross Margin

Inventory

Working Capital Ratio

Revenue TTM

Gross Profit

Inventory Turns

SG&A Margin

Net Profit Margin

Receivables Turns

SG&A Ratio

Operating Cash Flow Ratio

Raw Materials Inventory

SG&A to COGS Ratio

Operating Margin

Work in Progress Inventory

OPEX Ratio
Pretax Margin

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 5
Operating Margins versus Cycles

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 6
The Change Management Journey

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 7
What Does Good Look Like?

As companies mature progress is seen in:
• Strength: Year-over-year improvement in metrics.
• Balance: Balance in growth, profitability, cycles
and profitability.
• Resiliency: A tight, predictable pattern in results at
the intersection of operating margin and inventory
turns irrespective of what is happening in buy or
sell-side markets.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 8
Most Interesting Patterns

• Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
• Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
• Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 9
What Have We Learned?
• Each industry has a different pattern of
trade-offs of balancing growth, profitability,
cycles and complexity.
• Companies that are supply chain leaders
have very small movement with a balanced
portfolio of metrics.
• It is about MUCH more than Return on
Assets (ROA), growth and inventory.
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 10
Understanding Supply Chain Excellence

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 11
Where Are We by Industry?

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 12
Progress in Manufacturing
Productivity

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 13
Productivity in Retail

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 14
Progress in Inventory Turns and
Operating Margin

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 15
Impact of A Recession

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 16
Where Are We?

• Nine out of ten industries are stuck: unable to
power improvements in inventory turns and
profitability.
• Manufacturers have outperformed retailers on
productivity.
• The more steps back in the supply chain that a
company is, the more important the principles
of supply chain management are.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 17
Understanding Supply Chain Excellence

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 18
Visualizing the Patterns
Best Scenario

15

Here, we plot inventory turns (y-axis)
vs. revenue per employee (x-axis).
Inventory Turns

12

Ideally, companies are increasing
inventory turns and revenue per
employee, moving towards the upper
right corner of the graph over time.

DOW
999, 6.7

9
Trace the line from
2002 point to 2012
point to follow the
performance over
time.

6

3

2002

2012

The diamond shows the company’s average over the period.
Ex: The Dow Chemical Company (DOW) has an average of 999
K$ for revenue per employee and 6.7 for inventory turns.

0
0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

Revenue per Employee (K$)
The Dow Chemical Company
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 from One Source

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 19
Understanding the Patterns

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 20
Consumer Packaged
Goods
Corporate Summary
Stock
Exchange:

(billions

Symbol
Colgate-Palmolive

Revenue

Ticker

Company

2012

USD)

NYSE: CL

2012 Global

Country

Employees

Where

(thousands)

Based

17.1

37.7

USA
(New York)

NYSE: KMB

21.1

58.0

USA
(Texas)

NYSE: PG

83.7

126.0

USA
(Ohio)

Company
Kimberly-Clark
Corporation
The Procter & Gamble
Company
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 22
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)
90
80

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

70

KMB
5.9, 67

2000

60
2000
50

2000

40

2012
2012

30
CL
5.7, 43

20
10

2012

PG
5.6, 39

Best Scenario

0
4

5

6

7

Inventory Turns
Colgate-Palmolive Company
The Procter & Gamble Company

Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 23
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
7

Best Scenario
2012
2000

Inventory Turns

2012

2000

6
2000

CL
0.21, 5.7

KMB
0.15, 5.7
2012

5
PG
0.18, 5.6

4
0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

Operating Margin
Colgate-Palmolive Company
The Procter & Gamble Company

Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 24
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
Best Scenario

Inventory Turns

8

2002

KMB
309, 5.9

PG
536, 5.6

2012

6

2012

2002

2002
2012
4

CL
361, 5.5

2
200

300

400

500

600

700

Revenue per Employee (K$)
Colgate-Palmolive Company
The Procter & Gamble Company

Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 25
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Colgate-Palmolive Company

59

62

46

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

61

35

51

The Procter & Gamble Company

61

40

27

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Colgate-Palmolive Company

67

67

44

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

63

38

50

The Procter & Gamble Company

69

55

31

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Colgate-Palmolive Company

68

64

38

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

63

54

47

The Procter & Gamble Company

68

66

28

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Colgate-Palmolive Company

70

66

36

Kimberly-Clark Corporation

60

63

39

The Procter & Gamble Company

58

68

26

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Summary

Consumer packaged goods companies have
strength and resilience in their metrics
performance, but have lost balance in the last
three years. New techniques in supply chain
management are needed to power the next
level of improvement.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 27
Retail
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 29
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory
Turns (2000-2012)
75
CVS
6.07, 58

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

2000

50

2001

2012

2012

25
WAG
6.00, 39

Best Scenario

0
4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Inventory Turns
CVS Caremark Corporation
Walgreen Company
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 30
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 31
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 32
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

CVS Caremark Corporation

83

33

16

Walgreen Company

N/A

N/A

N/A

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

CVS Caremark Corporation

73

30

20

Walgreen Company

65

37

14

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

CVS Caremark Corporation

48

19

21

Walgreen Company

57

35

14

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

CVS Caremark Corporation

39

18

19

Walgreen Company

50

31

11

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 34
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory
Turns (2000-2012)
60

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

TGT
6.2, 39.6

2012

40

2000

WMT
7.8, 13.5

2000

20

2012

Best Scenario

0
5

6

7

8

9

10

Inventory Turns
Target Corporation
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 35
Inventory Turns vs.
Operating Margin (2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 36
Inventory Turns vs.
Revenue per Employee (2003-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 37
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Target Corporation

62

57

32

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

52

36

3

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Target Corporation

58

63

39

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

49

38

2

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Target Corporation

57

51

41

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

42

37

4

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Target Corporation

60

47

31

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

44

40

5

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 38
Corporate Summary
Stock
Exchange:

The Kroger Co.

(billions

Symbol
Safeway Inc.

Revenue

Ticker

Company

2012

USD)

NYSE: SWY
NYSE: KR

2012 Global

Country

Employees

Where

(thousands)

Based

41.1

178.0

USA
(Idaho)

82.2

338.0

USA
(Ohio)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 39
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)
25

20

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

2000
KR
10.6, 11.9

15
2000

10
2012

SWY
10.5, 10.3

5

2012

Best Scenario

0
7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

Inventory Turns
Safeway Inc.
The Kroger Co.
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 40
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
15

Best Scenario
2012

14

Inventory Turns

13

2012

12
11

SWY
0.04, 10.5

KR
0.03, 10.6

10
9

2000

8

2000

7
-0.02

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

Operating Margin
Safeway Inc.
The Kroger Co.
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 41
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
15

Best Scenario
2012

14

Inventory Turns

13

2012

12

SWY
211, 10.7
KR
218, 11.1

11
10
9
2003

2002

8
7
150

200

250

300

Revenue per Employee (K$)
Safeway Inc.
The Kroger Co.
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 42
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Safeway Inc.

N/A

N/A

N/A

The Kroger Co.

42

31

5

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Safeway Inc.

37

28

4

The Kroger Co.

36

30

4

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Safeway Inc.

N/A

N/A

N/A

The Kroger Co.

31

25

4

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Safeway Inc.

29

35

7

The Kroger Co.

26

22

4

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 43
Retail Comments

• Retailers have not been able to power the
levels of productivity (revenue/employee) of
consumer packaged goods, and mass
merchants are doing better on performance
improvements than grocery retailers.
• Wal-Mart is the leader in driving The
Effective Frontier.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 44
Chemical
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 46
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 47
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 48
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 49
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

BASF SE

82

50

72

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co.

95

51

44

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

BASF SE

66

38

61

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co.

86

49

53

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

BASF SE

64

30

54

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co.

100

66

49

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

BASF SE

64

30

50

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co.

106

69

42

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 50
Chemical Comments

• BASF has outperformed DuPont.
• Chemical companies have less resilience
than CPG.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 51
Food and Beverage
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 53
Cash-To-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)

Cash-To-Cash Cycle

70

2012

PEP
8.3, 30

50

2000
KO
5.4, 48

30

2012
10

4

5

6

7

8

9

-10

2000
-30

Best Scenario

Inventory Turns
PepsiCo Inc.
The Coca-Cola Company
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-To-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 54
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
9

2012

Best Scenario
2000

Inventory Turns

8

7

PEP
0.17, 8.3

6
2000

KO
0.27, 5.4

2012

5

4
0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

Operating Margin
PepsiCo Inc.
The Coca-Cola Company
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 55
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2000-2012)
10

Best Scenario

9

2012

Inventory Turns

2002
8
PEP
207, 8.2

7

KO
351, 5.4
2012

6

2002
5

4
0

100

200

300

400

500

Revenue per Employee (K$)
PepsiCo Inc.
The Coca-Cola Company
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 56
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

PepsiCo Inc.

43

46

36

The Coca-Cola Company

63

N/A

38

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

PepsiCo Inc.

45

49

37

The Coca-Cola Company

70

N/A

39

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

PepsiCo Inc.

46

51

33

The Coca-Cola Company

71

46

41

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

PepsiCo Inc.

42

52

34

The Coca-Cola Company

63

35

36

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 57
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 58
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

50
2000

GIS
6.2, 37.5

40

2012
2012
K
7.4, 26.5

30

20
2000
10

Best Scenario

0
4

5

6

7

8

9

Inventory Turns
General Mills, Inc.
Kellogg Company
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 59
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
9

Best Scenario

Inventory Turns

8

2000

K
0.16, 7.4
2012

7

6

2012

GIS
0.18, 6.2

2000

5

4
0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

Operating Margin
General Mills, Inc.
Kellogg Company
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 60
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
9

Best Scenario

Inventory Turns

8
2012

2002
K
398, 7.4

7

2012

6

GIS
424, 6.6
2003

5

4
300

350

400

450

500

Revenue per Employee (K$)
General Mills, Inc.
Kellogg Company
Average (Revenue per Employee, Operating Margin)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 61
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

General Mills, Inc.

71

85

40

Kellogg Company

49

48

32

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

General Mills, Inc.

54

47

31

Kellogg Company

49

56

28

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

General Mills, Inc.

57

36

27

Kellogg Company

50

56

31

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

General Mills, Inc.

51

39

29

Kellogg Company

57

58

37

Company (2004-2007)

General
Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc.

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Food and Beverage

• General Mills has outperformed Kellogg.
PepsiCo has outperformed Coke.
• With rising commodity volatility, the focus
on balanced portfolio metrics is critical.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 63
Pharmaceuticals
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 65
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)
350
300
2001

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

250

MRK
2.4, 175

200
150
2012
100
2000
50

BMY
3.2, 57

0
0
-50

1

2

2012

3

4

5

Best Scenario

Inventory Turns
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Merck & Co., Inc.
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 66
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
8

Best Scenario

2000
7

Inventory Turns

6

5

BMY
0.22, 3.2

MRK
0.31, 2.8

4
2012

3

2012

2

2000

1
0
0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Operating Margin
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Merck & Co., Inc.
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 67
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
5

Best Scenario

Inventory Turns

4

BMY
526, 3.3

2002

3
2012
2012
2

MRK
412, 2.5
2002

1

0
200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Revenue per Employee (K$)
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Merck & Co., Inc.
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 68
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

109

110

72

Merck & Co., Inc.

222

N/A

74

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

136

105

69

Merck & Co., Inc.

119

33

53

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

99

133

45

Merck & Co., Inc.

179

55

68

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

131

174

35

Merck & Co., Inc.

145

39

62

Company (2004-2007)

General
Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc.

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Healthcare Value Chain
Financial Metrics

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 70
Pharmaceutical Companies

• Pharmaceutical companies lack supply
chain muscle.
• The industry lacks balance and resiliency.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 71
Automotive Suppliers
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 73
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)
100

2000

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

DHR
5.4, 73.1
75

2012

50
JCI
20.1, 19.5
25

2012

2000

Best Scenario

0
0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Inventory Turns
Danaher Corporation
Johnson Controls, Inc.
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 74
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)
30

Best Scenario
2000

25

Inventory Turns

JCI
0.04, 20.1
20
2012
15

DHR
0.15, 5.4

10

5
2000

-0.05

0
0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

2012

0.20

Operating Margin
Danaher Corporation
Johnson Controls, Inc.
Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 75
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
30

Best Scenario
2002

Inventory Turns

25

20

JCI
234, 18.9

2012

15

DHR
224, 5.4

10

5

2002

2012

0
150

200

250

300

Revenue per Employee (K$)
Danaher Corporation
Johnson Controls, Inc.
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 76
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Danaher Corporation

65

45

61

Johnson Controls, Inc.

15

60

55

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Danaher Corporation

68

63

65

Johnson Controls, Inc.

19

60

64

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Danaher Corporation

70

66

63

Johnson Controls, Inc.

23

64

65

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Danaher Corporation

75

64

65

Johnson Controls, Inc.

23

62

64

Company (2004-2007)

Company (2008-2011)

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Automotive Industry

• The automotive supplier has more
resiliency than pharmaceutical or chemical
companies, but is going backwards, not
forwards in driving improvement in results.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 78
Consumer Electronics
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 80
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 81
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 82
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 83
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

LG Electronics

62

61

49

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

48

47

38

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

LG Electronics

62

41

37

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

46

30

38

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

LG Electronics

47

44

45

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

48

30

44

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

LG Electronics

47

52

50

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

59

29

46

Company (2004-2007)

General
Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc.

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 84
Consumer Electronics

• Samsung has outperformed LG.
• Demand and price volatility has impacted
strength, balance and resiliency of
performance.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 85
Packaging
Corporate Summary

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 87
Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns
(2000-2012)
100

Cash-to-Cash Cycle

80

2000

OI
5.2, 67.9
SON
9.2, 42.6

60
2000
2012

2012

40

20

Best Scenario

0
3

5

7

9

11

Inventory Turns
Owens-Illinois Inc.
Sonoco Products Company
Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 88
Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin
(2000-2012)

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 89
Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per
Employee (2002-2012)
11

Best Scenario
2012

Inventory Turns

9

2002

SON
210, 9.5

7

5
2012
OI
258, 5.3

2002
3
100

150

200

250

300

350

Revenue per Employee (K$)
Owens-Illinois Inc.
Sonoco Products Company
Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns)
Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 90
Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components
Company (2000-2003)

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Owens-Illinois Inc.

79

45

49

Sonoco Products Company

44

40

43

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Owens-Illinois Inc.

70

60

55

Sonoco Products Company

40

41

44

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Owens-Illinois Inc.

63

58

55

Sonoco Products Company

37

44

43

Days of Inventory

Days of Payables

Days of Receivables

Owens-Illinois Inc.

74

67

50

Sonoco Products Company

35

40

47

Company (2004-2007)

General
Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc.

Company (2012)

Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
Packaging

• Sonoco Products has outperformed Owens
Illinois in strength, resiliency and balance.
• The more steps back that a company is in
the supply chain, the greater the
importance of supply chain principles.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 92
Summary
• Nine out of ten industries are stuck in their ability to
power The Effective Frontier. The potential and
pattern of each industry is different.
• It is a trade-off of strength, balance and resiliency.
• The larger the company, and the more steps back
in the supply chain, the more important the
principles of supply chain management.
• For leaders, progress is made in small increments
based on strategy.

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 93

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What is Supply Chain Excellence? A Closer Look at Industry Performance

  • 2. Understanding Supply Chain Excellence Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 2
  • 3. The Supply Chain is a Complex System with Complex Processes with Increasing Complexity Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 3
  • 4. The Supply Chain Effective Frontier Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 4
  • 5. Methodology: Mining 20 Years of Financial Data to Understand the Patterns Financial Metrics Growth Profitability Cycle Complexity Common Shares Cash Cash-to-Cash Cycle Altman Z Employee Growth Cash Change in Period Days of Finished Goods Capital Turnover Employees Cash on Hand Days of Inventory Current Ratio Market Capitalization Cash Ratio TTM Days of Payables Outstanding Quick Ratio R&D Margin Cash Ratio Quarter Days of Raw Materials Return on Assets R&D Ratio Cash Ratio Year Days of Sales Outstanding Return on Equity R&D to COGS Ratio Cost of Goods Sold Days of Work in Progress Return on Invested Capital Revenue EBITDA DPO/DSO Return on Net Assets Revenue Growth Free Cash Flow Ratio Finished Goods Inventory Revenue per Employee Revenue Growth TTM Gross Margin Inventory Working Capital Ratio Revenue TTM Gross Profit Inventory Turns SG&A Margin Net Profit Margin Receivables Turns SG&A Ratio Operating Cash Flow Ratio Raw Materials Inventory SG&A to COGS Ratio Operating Margin Work in Progress Inventory OPEX Ratio Pretax Margin Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 5
  • 6. Operating Margins versus Cycles Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 6
  • 7. The Change Management Journey Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 7
  • 8. What Does Good Look Like? As companies mature progress is seen in: • Strength: Year-over-year improvement in metrics. • Balance: Balance in growth, profitability, cycles and profitability. • Resiliency: A tight, predictable pattern in results at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns irrespective of what is happening in buy or sell-side markets. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 8
  • 9. Most Interesting Patterns • Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns • Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin • Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 9
  • 10. What Have We Learned? • Each industry has a different pattern of trade-offs of balancing growth, profitability, cycles and complexity. • Companies that are supply chain leaders have very small movement with a balanced portfolio of metrics. • It is about MUCH more than Return on Assets (ROA), growth and inventory. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 10
  • 11. Understanding Supply Chain Excellence Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 11
  • 12. Where Are We by Industry? Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 12
  • 13. Progress in Manufacturing Productivity Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 13
  • 14. Productivity in Retail Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 14
  • 15. Progress in Inventory Turns and Operating Margin Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 15
  • 16. Impact of A Recession Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 16
  • 17. Where Are We? • Nine out of ten industries are stuck: unable to power improvements in inventory turns and profitability. • Manufacturers have outperformed retailers on productivity. • The more steps back in the supply chain that a company is, the more important the principles of supply chain management are. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 17
  • 18. Understanding Supply Chain Excellence Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 18
  • 19. Visualizing the Patterns Best Scenario 15 Here, we plot inventory turns (y-axis) vs. revenue per employee (x-axis). Inventory Turns 12 Ideally, companies are increasing inventory turns and revenue per employee, moving towards the upper right corner of the graph over time. DOW 999, 6.7 9 Trace the line from 2002 point to 2012 point to follow the performance over time. 6 3 2002 2012 The diamond shows the company’s average over the period. Ex: The Dow Chemical Company (DOW) has an average of 999 K$ for revenue per employee and 6.7 for inventory turns. 0 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 Revenue per Employee (K$) The Dow Chemical Company Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 from One Source Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 19
  • 20. Understanding the Patterns Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 20
  • 22. Corporate Summary Stock Exchange: (billions Symbol Colgate-Palmolive Revenue Ticker Company 2012 USD) NYSE: CL 2012 Global Country Employees Where (thousands) Based 17.1 37.7 USA (New York) NYSE: KMB 21.1 58.0 USA (Texas) NYSE: PG 83.7 126.0 USA (Ohio) Company Kimberly-Clark Corporation The Procter & Gamble Company Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 22
  • 23. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 90 80 Cash-to-Cash Cycle 70 KMB 5.9, 67 2000 60 2000 50 2000 40 2012 2012 30 CL 5.7, 43 20 10 2012 PG 5.6, 39 Best Scenario 0 4 5 6 7 Inventory Turns Colgate-Palmolive Company The Procter & Gamble Company Kimberly-Clark Corporation Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 23
  • 24. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 7 Best Scenario 2012 2000 Inventory Turns 2012 2000 6 2000 CL 0.21, 5.7 KMB 0.15, 5.7 2012 5 PG 0.18, 5.6 4 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Operating Margin Colgate-Palmolive Company The Procter & Gamble Company Kimberly-Clark Corporation Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 24
  • 25. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) Best Scenario Inventory Turns 8 2002 KMB 309, 5.9 PG 536, 5.6 2012 6 2012 2002 2002 2012 4 CL 361, 5.5 2 200 300 400 500 600 700 Revenue per Employee (K$) Colgate-Palmolive Company The Procter & Gamble Company Kimberly-Clark Corporation Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 25
  • 26. Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Colgate-Palmolive Company 59 62 46 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 61 35 51 The Procter & Gamble Company 61 40 27 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Colgate-Palmolive Company 67 67 44 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 63 38 50 The Procter & Gamble Company 69 55 31 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Colgate-Palmolive Company 68 64 38 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 63 54 47 The Procter & Gamble Company 68 66 28 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Colgate-Palmolive Company 70 66 36 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 60 63 39 The Procter & Gamble Company 58 68 26 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 27. Summary Consumer packaged goods companies have strength and resilience in their metrics performance, but have lost balance in the last three years. New techniques in supply chain management are needed to power the next level of improvement. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 27
  • 29. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 29
  • 30. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 75 CVS 6.07, 58 Cash-to-Cash Cycle 2000 50 2001 2012 2012 25 WAG 6.00, 39 Best Scenario 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Inventory Turns CVS Caremark Corporation Walgreen Company Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 30
  • 31. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 31
  • 32. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 32
  • 33. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables CVS Caremark Corporation 83 33 16 Walgreen Company N/A N/A N/A Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables CVS Caremark Corporation 73 30 20 Walgreen Company 65 37 14 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables CVS Caremark Corporation 48 19 21 Walgreen Company 57 35 14 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables CVS Caremark Corporation 39 18 19 Walgreen Company 50 31 11 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 34. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 34
  • 35. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 60 Cash-to-Cash Cycle TGT 6.2, 39.6 2012 40 2000 WMT 7.8, 13.5 2000 20 2012 Best Scenario 0 5 6 7 8 9 10 Inventory Turns Target Corporation Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 35
  • 36. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 36
  • 37. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2003-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 37
  • 38. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Target Corporation 62 57 32 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 52 36 3 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Target Corporation 58 63 39 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 49 38 2 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Target Corporation 57 51 41 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 42 37 4 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Target Corporation 60 47 31 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 44 40 5 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 38
  • 39. Corporate Summary Stock Exchange: The Kroger Co. (billions Symbol Safeway Inc. Revenue Ticker Company 2012 USD) NYSE: SWY NYSE: KR 2012 Global Country Employees Where (thousands) Based 41.1 178.0 USA (Idaho) 82.2 338.0 USA (Ohio) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 39
  • 40. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 25 20 Cash-to-Cash Cycle 2000 KR 10.6, 11.9 15 2000 10 2012 SWY 10.5, 10.3 5 2012 Best Scenario 0 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Inventory Turns Safeway Inc. The Kroger Co. Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 40
  • 41. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 15 Best Scenario 2012 14 Inventory Turns 13 2012 12 11 SWY 0.04, 10.5 KR 0.03, 10.6 10 9 2000 8 2000 7 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 Operating Margin Safeway Inc. The Kroger Co. Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 41
  • 42. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) 15 Best Scenario 2012 14 Inventory Turns 13 2012 12 SWY 211, 10.7 KR 218, 11.1 11 10 9 2003 2002 8 7 150 200 250 300 Revenue per Employee (K$) Safeway Inc. The Kroger Co. Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 42
  • 43. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Safeway Inc. N/A N/A N/A The Kroger Co. 42 31 5 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Safeway Inc. 37 28 4 The Kroger Co. 36 30 4 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Safeway Inc. N/A N/A N/A The Kroger Co. 31 25 4 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Safeway Inc. 29 35 7 The Kroger Co. 26 22 4 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 43
  • 44. Retail Comments • Retailers have not been able to power the levels of productivity (revenue/employee) of consumer packaged goods, and mass merchants are doing better on performance improvements than grocery retailers. • Wal-Mart is the leader in driving The Effective Frontier. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 44
  • 46. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 46
  • 47. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 47
  • 48. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 48
  • 49. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 49
  • 50. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables BASF SE 82 50 72 E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. 95 51 44 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables BASF SE 66 38 61 E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. 86 49 53 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables BASF SE 64 30 54 E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. 100 66 49 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables BASF SE 64 30 50 E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. 106 69 42 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 50
  • 51. Chemical Comments • BASF has outperformed DuPont. • Chemical companies have less resilience than CPG. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 51
  • 53. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 53
  • 54. Cash-To-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) Cash-To-Cash Cycle 70 2012 PEP 8.3, 30 50 2000 KO 5.4, 48 30 2012 10 4 5 6 7 8 9 -10 2000 -30 Best Scenario Inventory Turns PepsiCo Inc. The Coca-Cola Company Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-To-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 54
  • 55. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 9 2012 Best Scenario 2000 Inventory Turns 8 7 PEP 0.17, 8.3 6 2000 KO 0.27, 5.4 2012 5 4 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 Operating Margin PepsiCo Inc. The Coca-Cola Company Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 55
  • 56. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2000-2012) 10 Best Scenario 9 2012 Inventory Turns 2002 8 PEP 207, 8.2 7 KO 351, 5.4 2012 6 2002 5 4 0 100 200 300 400 500 Revenue per Employee (K$) PepsiCo Inc. The Coca-Cola Company Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 56
  • 57. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables PepsiCo Inc. 43 46 36 The Coca-Cola Company 63 N/A 38 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables PepsiCo Inc. 45 49 37 The Coca-Cola Company 70 N/A 39 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables PepsiCo Inc. 46 51 33 The Coca-Cola Company 71 46 41 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables PepsiCo Inc. 42 52 34 The Coca-Cola Company 63 35 36 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 57
  • 58. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 58
  • 59. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs Inventory Turns (2000-2012) Cash-to-Cash Cycle 50 2000 GIS 6.2, 37.5 40 2012 2012 K 7.4, 26.5 30 20 2000 10 Best Scenario 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 Inventory Turns General Mills, Inc. Kellogg Company Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 59
  • 60. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 9 Best Scenario Inventory Turns 8 2000 K 0.16, 7.4 2012 7 6 2012 GIS 0.18, 6.2 2000 5 4 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 Operating Margin General Mills, Inc. Kellogg Company Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 60
  • 61. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) 9 Best Scenario Inventory Turns 8 2012 2002 K 398, 7.4 7 2012 6 GIS 424, 6.6 2003 5 4 300 350 400 450 500 Revenue per Employee (K$) General Mills, Inc. Kellogg Company Average (Revenue per Employee, Operating Margin) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 61
  • 62. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables General Mills, Inc. 71 85 40 Kellogg Company 49 48 32 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables General Mills, Inc. 54 47 31 Kellogg Company 49 56 28 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables General Mills, Inc. 57 36 27 Kellogg Company 50 56 31 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables General Mills, Inc. 51 39 29 Kellogg Company 57 58 37 Company (2004-2007) General Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc. Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 63. Food and Beverage • General Mills has outperformed Kellogg. PepsiCo has outperformed Coke. • With rising commodity volatility, the focus on balanced portfolio metrics is critical. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 63
  • 65. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 65
  • 66. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 350 300 2001 Cash-to-Cash Cycle 250 MRK 2.4, 175 200 150 2012 100 2000 50 BMY 3.2, 57 0 0 -50 1 2 2012 3 4 5 Best Scenario Inventory Turns Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. Merck & Co., Inc. Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 66
  • 67. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 8 Best Scenario 2000 7 Inventory Turns 6 5 BMY 0.22, 3.2 MRK 0.31, 2.8 4 2012 3 2012 2 2000 1 0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Operating Margin Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. Merck & Co., Inc. Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 67
  • 68. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) 5 Best Scenario Inventory Turns 4 BMY 526, 3.3 2002 3 2012 2012 2 MRK 412, 2.5 2002 1 0 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Revenue per Employee (K$) Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. Merck & Co., Inc. Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 68
  • 69. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 109 110 72 Merck & Co., Inc. 222 N/A 74 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 136 105 69 Merck & Co., Inc. 119 33 53 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 99 133 45 Merck & Co., Inc. 179 55 68 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 131 174 35 Merck & Co., Inc. 145 39 62 Company (2004-2007) General Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc. Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 70. Healthcare Value Chain Financial Metrics Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 70
  • 71. Pharmaceutical Companies • Pharmaceutical companies lack supply chain muscle. • The industry lacks balance and resiliency. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 71
  • 73. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 73
  • 74. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 100 2000 Cash-to-Cash Cycle DHR 5.4, 73.1 75 2012 50 JCI 20.1, 19.5 25 2012 2000 Best Scenario 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Inventory Turns Danaher Corporation Johnson Controls, Inc. Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 74
  • 75. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) 30 Best Scenario 2000 25 Inventory Turns JCI 0.04, 20.1 20 2012 15 DHR 0.15, 5.4 10 5 2000 -0.05 0 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 2012 0.20 Operating Margin Danaher Corporation Johnson Controls, Inc. Average (Operating Margin, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 75
  • 76. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) 30 Best Scenario 2002 Inventory Turns 25 20 JCI 234, 18.9 2012 15 DHR 224, 5.4 10 5 2002 2012 0 150 200 250 300 Revenue per Employee (K$) Danaher Corporation Johnson Controls, Inc. Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 76
  • 77. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Danaher Corporation 65 45 61 Johnson Controls, Inc. 15 60 55 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Danaher Corporation 68 63 65 Johnson Controls, Inc. 19 60 64 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Danaher Corporation 70 66 63 Johnson Controls, Inc. 23 64 65 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Danaher Corporation 75 64 65 Johnson Controls, Inc. 23 62 64 Company (2004-2007) Company (2008-2011) Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 78. Automotive Industry • The automotive supplier has more resiliency than pharmaceutical or chemical companies, but is going backwards, not forwards in driving improvement in results. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 78
  • 80. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 80
  • 81. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 81
  • 82. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 82
  • 83. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 83
  • 84. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables LG Electronics 62 61 49 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. 48 47 38 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables LG Electronics 62 41 37 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. 46 30 38 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables LG Electronics 47 44 45 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. 48 30 44 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables LG Electronics 47 52 50 Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. 59 29 46 Company (2004-2007) General Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc. Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 84
  • 85. Consumer Electronics • Samsung has outperformed LG. • Demand and price volatility has impacted strength, balance and resiliency of performance. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 85
  • 87. Corporate Summary Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 87
  • 88. Cash-to-Cash Cycle vs. Inventory Turns (2000-2012) 100 Cash-to-Cash Cycle 80 2000 OI 5.2, 67.9 SON 9.2, 42.6 60 2000 2012 2012 40 20 Best Scenario 0 3 5 7 9 11 Inventory Turns Owens-Illinois Inc. Sonoco Products Company Average (Inventory Turns, Cash-to-Cash Cycle) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 88
  • 89. Inventory Turns vs. Operating Margin (2000-2012) Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 89
  • 90. Inventory Turns vs. Revenue per Employee (2002-2012) 11 Best Scenario 2012 Inventory Turns 9 2002 SON 210, 9.5 7 5 2012 OI 258, 5.3 2002 3 100 150 200 250 300 350 Revenue per Employee (K$) Owens-Illinois Inc. Sonoco Products Company Average (Revenue per Employee, Inventory Turns) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2002-2012 Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 90
  • 91. Cash-to-Cash Cycle Components Company (2000-2003) Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Owens-Illinois Inc. 79 45 49 Sonoco Products Company 44 40 43 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Owens-Illinois Inc. 70 60 55 Sonoco Products Company 40 41 44 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Owens-Illinois Inc. 63 58 55 Sonoco Products Company 37 44 43 Days of Inventory Days of Payables Days of Receivables Owens-Illinois Inc. 74 67 50 Sonoco Products Company 35 40 47 Company (2004-2007) General Company (2008-2011) Mills, Inc. Company (2012) Source: Supply Chain Insights LLC, Corporate Annual Reports 2000-2012
  • 92. Packaging • Sonoco Products has outperformed Owens Illinois in strength, resiliency and balance. • The more steps back that a company is in the supply chain, the greater the importance of supply chain principles. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 92
  • 93. Summary • Nine out of ten industries are stuck in their ability to power The Effective Frontier. The potential and pattern of each industry is different. • It is a trade-off of strength, balance and resiliency. • The larger the company, and the more steps back in the supply chain, the more important the principles of supply chain management. • For leaders, progress is made in small increments based on strategy. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 93