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As indicated, the
    underlying price and
   strike price determine
  the intrinsic value; the
 time until expiration and
  volatility determine the
       probability of a
    profitable move; the
 interest rates determine
  the cost of money; and
  dividends can cause an
    adjustment to share
            price.


There are six primary
      factors that
   influence option
        prices:
The most influential
factor    on    an    option
premium is the current              If
                                             Call prices   Put prices
market        price       of   underlying
                                              will ...      will ...
                                prices ...
the underlying asset. In
general, as the price of the
underlying increases, call
prices increase and put         Increase      Increase     Decrease
prices             decrease.
Conversely, as the price of
the underlying decreases,      Decrease      Decrease      Increase
call prices decrease and
put prices increase.
Volatility is the degree to which price moves,
regardless of direction. It is a measure of the speed and
magnitude of the underlying's price changes. Historical
volatility refers to the actual price changes that have been
observed over a specified time period. Option traders can
evaluate historical volatility to determine possible
volatility in the future. Implied volatility, on the other
hand, is a forecast of future volatility and acts as an
indicator of the current market sentiment. While implied
volatility is often difficult to quantify, option premiums
will generally be higher if the underlying exhibits higher
volatility, because it will have higher expected price
fluctuations.


         The greater the expected volatility, the higher the option
                                  value
The strike price determines if the option has
any intrinsic value. Remember, intrinsic value is
the difference between the strike price of the
option and the current price of the underlying.
The premium typically increases as the option
becomes further in-the-money (where the strike
price becomes more favorable in relation to the
current underlying price). The premium generally
decreases as the option becomes more out-of-
the-money (when the strike price is less
favorable in relation to the underlying).


Premiums increase as options become
       further in-the-money
The longer an option has until expiration, the
greater the chance that it will end up in-the-money, or
profitable. As expiration approaches, the option's time
value decreases. In general, an option loses one-third of
its time value during the first half of its life and two-
thirds of its value during the second half. The underlying's
volatility is a factor in time value; if the underlying is
highly volatile, one could reasonably expect a greater
degree of price movement before expiration. The
opposite holds true where the underlying typically
exhibits low volatility; the time value will be lower if the
underlying price is not expected to move much.

          The longer the time until expiration, the
                  higher the option price


          The shorter the time until expiration, the
                   lower the option price
Interest     rates      and
  dividends also have small, but
  measurable, effects on option        If interest   Call prices   Put prices
  prices. In general, as interest       rates ...      will ...     will ...
  rates rise, call premiums will
  increase and put premiums will
  decrease. This is because of the        Rise        Increase     Decrease
  costs associated with owning the
  underlying; the purchase will           Fall       Decrease      Increase
  incur either interest expense (if
  the money is borrowed) or lost
  interest income (if existing funds            Dividends     can    affect
  are used to purchase the             option     prices    because     the
  shares). In either case, the buyer   underlying stock's price typically
  will have interest costs.
                                       drops by the amount of any cash
                                       dividend on the ex-dividend date.
     If                                As a result, if the underlying's
          Call prices Put prices       dividend increases, call prices will
dividends
            will ...   will ...        decrease and put prices will
    ...
                                       increase.     Conversely,  if    the
  Rise      Decrease      Increase     underlying's dividend decreases,
                                       call prices will increase and put
  Fall       Increase    Decrease      prices will decrease.

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Qualitative analysis

  • 1.
  • 2. As indicated, the underlying price and strike price determine the intrinsic value; the time until expiration and volatility determine the probability of a profitable move; the interest rates determine the cost of money; and dividends can cause an adjustment to share price. There are six primary factors that influence option prices:
  • 3. The most influential factor on an option premium is the current If Call prices Put prices market price of underlying will ... will ... prices ... the underlying asset. In general, as the price of the underlying increases, call prices increase and put Increase Increase Decrease prices decrease. Conversely, as the price of the underlying decreases, Decrease Decrease Increase call prices decrease and put prices increase.
  • 4. Volatility is the degree to which price moves, regardless of direction. It is a measure of the speed and magnitude of the underlying's price changes. Historical volatility refers to the actual price changes that have been observed over a specified time period. Option traders can evaluate historical volatility to determine possible volatility in the future. Implied volatility, on the other hand, is a forecast of future volatility and acts as an indicator of the current market sentiment. While implied volatility is often difficult to quantify, option premiums will generally be higher if the underlying exhibits higher volatility, because it will have higher expected price fluctuations. The greater the expected volatility, the higher the option value
  • 5. The strike price determines if the option has any intrinsic value. Remember, intrinsic value is the difference between the strike price of the option and the current price of the underlying. The premium typically increases as the option becomes further in-the-money (where the strike price becomes more favorable in relation to the current underlying price). The premium generally decreases as the option becomes more out-of- the-money (when the strike price is less favorable in relation to the underlying). Premiums increase as options become further in-the-money
  • 6. The longer an option has until expiration, the greater the chance that it will end up in-the-money, or profitable. As expiration approaches, the option's time value decreases. In general, an option loses one-third of its time value during the first half of its life and two- thirds of its value during the second half. The underlying's volatility is a factor in time value; if the underlying is highly volatile, one could reasonably expect a greater degree of price movement before expiration. The opposite holds true where the underlying typically exhibits low volatility; the time value will be lower if the underlying price is not expected to move much. The longer the time until expiration, the higher the option price The shorter the time until expiration, the lower the option price
  • 7. Interest rates and dividends also have small, but measurable, effects on option If interest Call prices Put prices prices. In general, as interest rates ... will ... will ... rates rise, call premiums will increase and put premiums will decrease. This is because of the Rise Increase Decrease costs associated with owning the underlying; the purchase will Fall Decrease Increase incur either interest expense (if the money is borrowed) or lost interest income (if existing funds Dividends can affect are used to purchase the option prices because the shares). In either case, the buyer underlying stock's price typically will have interest costs. drops by the amount of any cash dividend on the ex-dividend date. If As a result, if the underlying's Call prices Put prices dividend increases, call prices will dividends will ... will ... decrease and put prices will ... increase. Conversely, if the Rise Decrease Increase underlying's dividend decreases, call prices will increase and put Fall Increase Decrease prices will decrease.