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Digital World Overview Final La 020411
1.
The Digital World
in 40 Minutes February 4, 2011, Long Beach Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.
2.
overestimate what can
be done in one year and to underestimate what can be done in five to ten years J. C. R. Licklider, 1965 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 2
3.
In 2006 were
Over 600 million people being social News reporting in under 140 characters 10 Billion apps downloaded on new platform Gaming control in thin air #1 smartphone OS you never heard of Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 3
4.
Digital Consumers
Media Consumption Gadgets Clouds Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 4
5.
Digital Consumers
5
6.
The Digital World
- People Global Population 6.9 Billion Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Accenture analysis 6
7.
The Digital World
- People Global Population 6.9 Billion 5.3 Billion Mobile Subscriptions Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Accenture analysis 7
8.
The Digital World
- People Global Population 6.9 Billion 5.3 Billion Mobile Subscriptions 4.3 Billion Mobile Subscribers Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Accenture analysis 8
9.
The Digital World
- People Global Population 6.9 Billion 5.3 Billion Mobile Subscriptions 4.3 Billion Mobile Subscribers 2.2 Billion Internet Users Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Accenture analysis 9
10.
The Digital World
- People Global Population 6.9 Billion 5.3 Billion Mobile Subscriptions 4.3 Billion Mobile Subscribers 2.2 Billion Internet Users 824 Million Mobile Internet Users Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Accenture analysis 10
11.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 11
12.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households 1.4 Billion TV Households Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 12
13.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households 1.4 Billion TV Households 640 Million Pay TV Households Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 13
14.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households 1.4 Billion TV Households 640 Million Pay TV Households 640 Million 600 Million Pay TV Households Households with PCs Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 14
15.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households 1.4 Billion TV Households 640 Million Pay TV Households 640 Million 550 Million 600 Million 600 Million Households Households Pay TV Households with PCs with Internet with PCs Households Access Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 15
16.
The Digital World
- Households 1.8 Billion Households 1.4 Billion TV Households 640 Million Pay TV Households 550 Million Households with 640 Million 600 Million Internet Access 600 Million Households with PCs Pay TV Households with PCs Households 100 Million Households with Internet TV Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: United Nations, ITU, Gartner, Nielsen, Accenture analysis 16
17.
Internet
Mobile Internet Users Subscribers World 2 Billion 824 Million 611 Million North 312m 43m 195m America Western 286m 77m 121m Europe AsiaPac 767m 539m 103m 555m ROW 165m 192m Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: UN, ITU, Socialbakers, Accenture Analysis 17
18.
Internet
Digital Ad Digital Ad Users Spend (USD) ARPU (USD) World 2 Billion $92 Billion $46 North $122 312m $38b America Western 286m $27b $94 Europe AsiaPac 767m $22b $27 555m $9 ROW $5b Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: UN, ITU, Socialbakers, Accenture Analysis 18
19.
Media Consumption
19
20.
People spend nearly
8 hours a day in front of a screen TV dominates. Average Daily Screen Time, US Mobile 50 min (11%) TV PC 4 hr 24 min 2 hr 35 min (56%) (33%) Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: eMarketer, Accenture analysis 20
21.
Increased concurrency puts
the actual time closer to 6 hours. Average Daily Screen Time, US TV PC Mobile 22% Concurrent 43% Concurrent 19% Concurrent Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: eMarketer, Ball State, Accenture analysis 21
22.
TV
520 Daily Television Consumption per Household, US 500 501 501 494 494 491 480 55 Minutes per Day 481 478 460 464 Mins 460 455 440 446 420 400 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: eMarketer, Ball State, Accenture analysis 22
23.
The Social Network
Unlike any web phenomenon before. 700 Millions 611 600 580 550 485 500 470 410 400 Rest of 463 320 443 World 425 300 360 375 231 320 200 250 150 115 180 90 100 68 110 38 49 56 63 83 110 110 125 136 148 US 9 11 13 15 30 35 45 70 90 21 40 51 17 19 21 23 27 32 0 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Facebook, Socialbakers, Accenture Analysis 23
24.
Android & iPhone
driving mobile internet use. Mobile Web Usage Growth over 24 Months in US 4,000 3,500 3,000 55% of Ads Requested (Millions) 2,500 Growth 2,000 1,500 41% of 1,000 Growth 500 0 RIM Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Others incl. Palm & Windows Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Admob, Accenture Analysis 24
25.
Copyright © 2011
Accenture All Rights Reserved. 25
26.
Gadgets
26
27.
More and More
Connected Devices. Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 27
28.
Technology power laws
will continue unabated. Camera Sensor LCD Display Megapixel per $1 Sq. In. per $100 0.4 10 0.3 8 CAGR 11% CAGR 27% 6 0.2 4 0.1 2 0.0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ARM Processor NAND Flash 3 Speed (GHz) 400 GB per $100 300 2 CAGR 33% 200 1 CAGR 85% 100 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: iSuppli, Gartner, DisplaySearch, ARM, Accenture Analysis 28
29.
sold worldwide will
have the internet built in. Sources: iSuppli, Gartner, Accenture analysis 29
30.
Mobile Phones
Smart or Ultra Low Cost. Annual Mobile Device Shipments 2009-14 CAGR 1,600 Unit Shipments (Millions) 21% Smart 453 507 Phones 390 322 1,200 247 (CMDs) 162 137 182 4% Feature 800 704 735 710 797 Phones 631 849 887 919 400 123 153 Ultra 181 290 245 198 194 13% Low Cost 214 175 178 102 0 Handsets 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Entry Level handsets Ultra Low-cost handsets Feature Phones Smart Phones Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: iSuppli, Accenture analysis 30
31.
Consumer tech spend
overtaking corporate technology spend. U.S. Corporate and Consumer Hardware Spend ($USD) Technology Spend per Person per Person1 (2000 2008) 1,400 1,300 8-Year CAGR 1,200 Corporate IT Hardware Spend2 + 7% 1,100 per Employee1 1,000 -3% 900 800 Consumer Electronic 700 Device Spend3 per 600 Person1 500 400 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: BLS, IDC, CEA, Accenture Analysis 31
32.
Stunningly High Sales
of iPad in its First 9 Months. 2010 Worldwide iPad Unit Sales Oppenheimer 1.1m Forecasts Thomas Weisel 1.1m Canaccord Adams 1.2m Merrill Lynch 1.2m Deutsche Bank 2.0m Susquehanna 2.1m BMO Capital 2.5m Barclays Capital 2.9m Piper Jaffray 3.5m RBC Capital Markets 5.0m Kauffman Bros. 5.0m Morgan Stanley 6.0m Goldman Sachs 6.2m Broadpoint AmTech 7.0m 14.8 Million Actually Sold Actual Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Asymco 32
33.
iPad earning almost
twice as much profit per day as Windows 7. Operating Income per Day (Consumer) $8.7 Million $5.3 14.8 Million Million 300 Million Sold Sold Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: Microsoft, Apple, Accenture Analysis 33
34.
Devices are being
replaced by apps. 2006 2011 and Beyond TV Video Phone Voice MP3 Player Music Camera Credit Card Payments Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Accenture Analysis 34
35.
Clouds
35
36.
SaaS
Private Clouds Multi-Tenancy Virtualization SOA IaaS On Demand Elastic Computing DaaS PaaS Grid Computing Hybrid EaaS Utility Computing Clouds Public Clouds 36 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved.
37.
Multibillion dollar physical
clouds. Prineville, OR USA Lockport , NY USA The Dalles, OR USA Maiden, NC USA Morrow, OR USA Dublin, Ireland Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 37
38.
Built largely on
consumer digital activities. Size of the Digital Universe (ZB) Global IP Traffic CAGR 09-14 Zettabytes per year Exabytes per Month PB (ZB) 64 34% 8.1 21% 35.0 Business 50 75% 6.8 Consumer 25.0 38 5.7 44x 17.8 28 55.8 37% 4.7 12.7 20 Consumer 43.1 9.1 15 3.9 32.5 6.5 3.1 23.8 4.6 3.3 16.5 1.7 2.4 11.6 .5 .8 1.2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Cisco, IDC, EMC, Accenture Analysis 38
39.
Consumer cloud scale
in action. 65 Million 100 Billion Users Searches Gaming Per Month Daily 1.2 Million 25 Billion Photos Tweets in Viewed Per 2010 Second Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Source: Zynga, Google, Twitter, Facebook, Accenture analysis 39
40.
Next
40
41.
Superhuman capabilities courtesy
of your smartphone Speak to Tweet Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 41
42.
Cash and Cash
Equivalents As of 1/26/2011 $44.2b $38.9b $35.0b $27.0b $24.8b $21.9b $10.9b $10.3b 10 Companies. $6.6b $5.9b $226 Billion. Note: Numbers are rounded Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: SEC Filings, Accenture Analysis 42
43.
By 2014: 1 Billion New
Internet Users 800 Million will be on Mobile Devices 70 Million Speak English as First Language Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Sources: UN, World Bank, US, Eurobarometer, Gartner, Accenture Analysis 43
44.
Thanks!
44
45.
The Digital World
in 40 Minutes February 4, 2011, Long Beach Copyright © 2011 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.