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www.florence-school.eu
Florence
School
of
Regulation
Cost	
  Benefit	
  Analysis	
  (CBA)	
  	
  
in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  the	
  Energy	
  Infrastructure	
  Package	
  
Florence	
  School	
  of	
  Regula0on	
  
April	
  30,	
  2013,	
  Florence	
  
Leonardo	
  Meeus	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   2	
  
Webinar	
  outline	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Q&A	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
ExisAng	
  EU	
  policy	
   New	
  EU	
  policy	
  
“Projects	
  of	
  Common	
  Interest”	
  
•  CBA	
  will	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  select	
  PCIs	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
3	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Focus	
  on	
  priority	
  projects	
  
	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
ExisAng	
  EU	
  policy	
   New	
  EU	
  policy	
  
4	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Enhanced	
  “10-­‐Year	
  Network	
  
Development	
  Plan”	
  
•  Will	
  use	
  the	
  CBA	
  method	
  
developed	
  for	
  PCI	
  selec0on	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Indica0ve	
  planning	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
ExisAng	
  EU	
  policy	
   New	
  EU	
  policy	
  
•  European	
  Coordinators	
  
•  Na0onal	
  one	
  stop	
  shops,	
  
and	
  deadlines	
  for	
  permit	
  
gran0ng	
  
•  Cost	
  alloca0on	
  procedure	
  
–  Using	
  the	
  results	
  of	
  the	
  CBA	
  
5	
  
European
Coordinators
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Accelerate	
  priority	
  projects	
  	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
ExisAng	
  EU	
  policy	
   New	
  EU	
  policy	
  
6	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Grants	
  for	
  feasibility	
  studies	
   Innova0ve	
  financial	
  instruments,	
  one	
  
stop	
  shop	
  for	
  EU	
  funding	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   7	
  
Webinar	
  outline	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Q&A	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   8	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Official	
  process	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   9	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
ProacAve	
  steps	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
THINK	
  report	
  
1.  Scope	
  of	
  the	
  analysis	
  
–  Project	
  defini0on 	
  	
  
–  Baseline	
  defini0on	
  	
  
–  Effect	
  mapping	
  
–  Distribu0onal	
  effects	
  
2.  Calcula0on	
  of	
  net	
  benefit	
  
–  Mone0za0on 	
  	
  
–  Inter-­‐temporal	
  discoun0ng	
  of	
  costs	
  and	
  benefits	
  
–  Uncertainty	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
THINK	
  report	
  
OF
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Poll	
  to	
  know	
  what	
  you	
  think	
  
•  A)	
  Mone0ze	
  all	
  relevant	
  effects	
  
•  B)	
  Mul0-­‐criteria	
  analysis	
  	
  
12	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
MoneAze	
  all	
  relevant	
  effects	
  
13	
  
EXTERNALITIES	
  
MACROECONOMIC	
  EFFECTS	
  
POWER	
  
SYSTEM	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   14	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
MulA-­‐criteria	
  analysis	
  
Source:	
  ENTSO-­‐E	
  (2012)	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   15	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Implicit	
  versus	
  explicit	
  moneAzaAon	
  
Mone0zed	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
net	
  benefit	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Indicators	
  
Mone0zed	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
net	
  benefit	
  
PCI	
  1	
  
PCI	
  2	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Scope of the analysis
•  (1)	
  project	
  interac0on	
  must	
  be	
  taken	
  into	
  account	
  in	
  the	
  project	
  and	
  baseline	
  defini0on	
  
•  (2)	
  data	
  consistency	
  and	
  quality	
  should	
  be	
  ensured	
  
•  (3)	
  the	
  conven0onal	
  0me	
  horizon	
  is	
  20-­‐25	
  years	
  
•  (4)	
  CBA	
  should	
  concentrate	
  on	
  a	
  reduced	
  list	
  of	
  effects	
  and	
  those	
  should	
  be	
  moneAzed	
  
•  (5)	
  distribu0onal	
  concerns	
  should	
  not	
  be	
  addressed	
  in	
  the	
  calcula0on	
  of	
  net	
  benefits	
  
Calculation net benefit
•  (6)	
  infrastructure	
  costs	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  disaggregated	
  
•  (7)	
  the	
  model	
  used	
  to	
  mone0ze	
  the	
  produc0on	
  cost	
  savings	
  and	
  gross	
  consumer	
  surplus	
  
needs	
  to	
  be	
  explicitly	
  stated	
  
•  (8)	
  a	
  common	
  discount	
  factor	
  should	
  be	
  used	
  for	
  all	
  projects	
  	
  
•  (9)	
  a	
  stochas0c	
  approach	
  consistent	
  with	
  the	
  Energy	
  Roadmap	
  2050	
  should	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  
address	
  uncertainty	
  
Ranking projects
•  (10)	
  the	
  ranking	
  should	
  be	
  primarily	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  moneAzed	
  net	
  benefit	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
THINK	
  recommendaAons	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
   17	
  
Webinar	
  outline	
  
Importance	
  of	
  CBA	
  in	
  the	
  package	
  
Towards	
  a	
  single	
  CBA	
  method	
  for	
  electricity	
  
Q&A	
  
www.#lorence-­‐school.eu	
  
Thank	
  you	
  very	
  much	
  for	
  your	
  aYenAon	
  
leonardo.meeus@eui.eu;	
  hYp://think.eui.eu	
  	
  
18	
  
THINK	
  reports	
  (published	
  2011	
  -­‐	
  2013)	
  
1)	
  Public	
  Support	
  of	
  RD&D	
  	
  
2)	
  Smart	
  Ci0es	
  
3)	
  Energy	
  Roadmap	
  for	
  2050	
  
4)	
  Public	
  Budget	
  of	
  EU	
  Member	
  States	
  	
  
5)	
  Offshore	
  Grids	
  
6)	
  Transmission	
  Grid	
  Tarifica0on	
  	
  
7)	
  Building	
  refurbishment	
  
8)	
  Electricity	
  Storage	
  
9)	
  EU	
  technology	
  policy	
  for	
  2050	
  
10)	
  CBA	
  for	
  infrastructure	
  package	
  
Ongoing	
  (to	
  be	
  published	
  in	
  June)	
  
11)	
  Demand	
  response	
  
12)	
  Role	
  of	
  DSOs	
  

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Mais de Vlerick Business School & Florence School of Regulation (6)

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Webinar on cost benefit analysis in the context of the energy infrastructure package

  • 1. www.florence-school.eu Florence School of Regulation Cost  Benefit  Analysis  (CBA)     in  the  context  of  the  Energy  Infrastructure  Package   Florence  School  of  Regula0on   April  30,  2013,  Florence   Leonardo  Meeus  
  • 2. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   2   Webinar  outline   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Q&A  
  • 3. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   ExisAng  EU  policy   New  EU  policy   “Projects  of  Common  Interest”   •  CBA  will  be  used  to  select  PCIs                 3   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Focus  on  priority  projects    
  • 4. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   ExisAng  EU  policy   New  EU  policy   4   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Enhanced  “10-­‐Year  Network   Development  Plan”   •  Will  use  the  CBA  method   developed  for  PCI  selec0on                 Indica0ve  planning  
  • 5. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   ExisAng  EU  policy   New  EU  policy   •  European  Coordinators   •  Na0onal  one  stop  shops,   and  deadlines  for  permit   gran0ng   •  Cost  alloca0on  procedure   –  Using  the  results  of  the  CBA   5   European Coordinators Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Accelerate  priority  projects    
  • 6. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   ExisAng  EU  policy   New  EU  policy   6   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Grants  for  feasibility  studies   Innova0ve  financial  instruments,  one   stop  shop  for  EU  funding  
  • 7. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   7   Webinar  outline   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Q&A  
  • 8. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   8   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Official  process  
  • 9. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   9   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   ProacAve  steps  
  • 10. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   THINK  report   1.  Scope  of  the  analysis   –  Project  defini0on     –  Baseline  defini0on     –  Effect  mapping   –  Distribu0onal  effects   2.  Calcula0on  of  net  benefit   –  Mone0za0on     –  Inter-­‐temporal  discoun0ng  of  costs  and  benefits   –  Uncertainty  
  • 11. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   THINK  report   OF
  • 12. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Poll  to  know  what  you  think   •  A)  Mone0ze  all  relevant  effects   •  B)  Mul0-­‐criteria  analysis     12  
  • 13. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   MoneAze  all  relevant  effects   13   EXTERNALITIES   MACROECONOMIC  EFFECTS   POWER   SYSTEM  
  • 14. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   14   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   MulA-­‐criteria  analysis   Source:  ENTSO-­‐E  (2012)  
  • 15. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   15   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Implicit  versus  explicit  moneAzaAon   Mone0zed                                         net  benefit         Indicators   Mone0zed                                   net  benefit   PCI  1   PCI  2  
  • 16. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Scope of the analysis •  (1)  project  interac0on  must  be  taken  into  account  in  the  project  and  baseline  defini0on   •  (2)  data  consistency  and  quality  should  be  ensured   •  (3)  the  conven0onal  0me  horizon  is  20-­‐25  years   •  (4)  CBA  should  concentrate  on  a  reduced  list  of  effects  and  those  should  be  moneAzed   •  (5)  distribu0onal  concerns  should  not  be  addressed  in  the  calcula0on  of  net  benefits   Calculation net benefit •  (6)  infrastructure  costs  need  to  be  disaggregated   •  (7)  the  model  used  to  mone0ze  the  produc0on  cost  savings  and  gross  consumer  surplus   needs  to  be  explicitly  stated   •  (8)  a  common  discount  factor  should  be  used  for  all  projects     •  (9)  a  stochas0c  approach  consistent  with  the  Energy  Roadmap  2050  should  be  used  to   address  uncertainty   Ranking projects •  (10)  the  ranking  should  be  primarily  based  on  the  moneAzed  net  benefit   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   THINK  recommendaAons  
  • 17. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   17   Webinar  outline   Importance  of  CBA  in  the  package   Towards  a  single  CBA  method  for  electricity   Q&A  
  • 18. www.#lorence-­‐school.eu   Thank  you  very  much  for  your  aYenAon   leonardo.meeus@eui.eu;  hYp://think.eui.eu     18   THINK  reports  (published  2011  -­‐  2013)   1)  Public  Support  of  RD&D     2)  Smart  Ci0es   3)  Energy  Roadmap  for  2050   4)  Public  Budget  of  EU  Member  States     5)  Offshore  Grids   6)  Transmission  Grid  Tarifica0on     7)  Building  refurbishment   8)  Electricity  Storage   9)  EU  technology  policy  for  2050   10)  CBA  for  infrastructure  package   Ongoing  (to  be  published  in  June)   11)  Demand  response   12)  Role  of  DSOs