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US Leveraged Finance Market Update
            June, 2012
  Steve Miller - Managing Director
S&P/LSTA Index - Average Price
97




 95




 93




 91




 89

  1/31 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12


Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Visible Loan Flows

$6B

                                         CLO Issuance
                                         Loan Mutual Flows
$3B




                                                     Text
$0B




-$3B




-$6B
   6/11    7/11    8/11    9/11    10/11 11/11 12/11        1/12   2/12   3/12   4/12   5/12


   Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data, EPFR
Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans
9%




8%




7%




6%




5%
 1/31 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12


Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Loan Forward Calendar

                        All                                             M&A
$45B                                              $30B




$30B                                              $20B




$15B                                              $10B




$0B                                               $0B
        2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/1112/112/12 4/12          2/11 4/11 6/11 8/1110/1112/112/12 4/12 5/12




Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
Loan Default Rate

 12%


10%


 7%



5%



2%



0%
 12/98       8/00       4/02       12/03    8/05   4/07   12/08   8/10   4/12

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
A few final points



• Worries high for another European driven bear market


• Negative tone blocks most opportunistic business


• Light volume summer expected
Follow LCD

www.lcdcomps.com
news, analysis, research, archives


www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432
LCD Leveraged Loan Group ...
8,000+ contacts


www.twitter.com/lcdnews
Headlines, market chatter


www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/
Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis
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June 2012, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

  • 1. Text US Leveraged Finance Market Update June, 2012 Steve Miller - Managing Director
  • 2. S&P/LSTA Index - Average Price 97 95 93 91 89 1/31 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 3. Visible Loan Flows $6B CLO Issuance Loan Mutual Flows $3B Text $0B -$3B -$6B 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data, EPFR
  • 4. Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 1/31 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 5. Loan Forward Calendar All M&A $45B $30B $30B $20B $15B $10B $0B $0B 2/11 4/11 6/11 8/11 10/1112/112/12 4/12 2/11 4/11 6/11 8/1110/1112/112/12 4/12 5/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 6. Loan Default Rate 12% 10% 7% 5% 2% 0% 12/98 8/00 4/02 12/03 8/05 4/07 12/08 8/10 4/12 Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data
  • 7. A few final points • Worries high for another European driven bear market • Negative tone blocks most opportunistic business • Light volume summer expected
  • 8. Follow LCD www.lcdcomps.com news, analysis, research, archives www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432 LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 8,000+ contacts www.twitter.com/lcdnews Headlines, market chatter www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/ Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis
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