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Same same or different?

 REFLECTIONS
 ON MANAGING
 PEOPLE THROUGH
 THE DOWNTURN          2011 WHITE PAPER




sladepartners.com.au
REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


                                                                      Introduction


Welcome to the Slade Partners EMA Executive           And yet this national bonhomie shouldn’t override
Search White Paper: ‘Next time…Same, same or          the individual and organisational pain felt by many
different? Reflections on managing people through     whilst navigating the two particularly difficult years
the downturn.’                                        of 2008–2009.
We are told repeatedly that Australia bypassed        We believe that a deep impression was made
the global downturn with nary a scratch, however      on those who were at the helm of organisations
our observations of personal and organisational       through the downturn in Australia. We also know
‘war stories and injuries’ tell a different tale.     people were hard pressed to find advisers who could
                                                      be relied on to provide support and advice based on
The headline story is thus: Globally, the financial
                                                      previous experience. The findings from the in-depth
crisis of 2007–2011 is judged by many as the
                                                      interviews undertaken for this White Paper deliver
worst financial crisis since the 1930’s and for
                                                      some absorbing insights. Perhaps the collective
many Western countries, the pain is not yet over.
                                                      wisdom and observations will be filed away today
Large financial institutions collapsed or neared
                                                      to be used by others in the future.
collapse as governments engineered rescue
packages for major commercial institutions.           We hope you find this White Paper interesting. If you
Throughout the US and Europe, a prevailing            would like more information, please don’t hesitate
uncertainty about future economic prospects,          to contact us.
the housing market decline and high
unemployment continues.
In Australia, political commentator Laurie Oakes
pointed out in mid–2010 that, ‘We have a net
debt dramatically lower than any other advanced
economy. We will have our budget back in surplus
before any of the major economies. We were one of
the only two advanced economies to avoid recession
after the GFC. Our economy grew by 1.3 per cent       Anita Ziemer                  Bill Sakellaris
last year while advanced economies as a whole         Managing Director             General Manager
contracted by 3.2 per cent.’                          Slade Group                   Slade Partners




“      The struggle that many found was the tension between being
       upbeat and at the same time, sharing the challenge of a doom and
       gloom market. Too much either way was inappropriate, and yet


                                                                                                        ”
       transparency and confidence remained critical.




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Next time…Same same or different?                   REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


           About us                                                                                                                                                  White Paper Highlights


Slade Partners EMA Executive Search is the           We have an extensive network of both private            Preparation for a downturn                                Talking about the cost savings required to keep
executive search arm of Slade Group. We are an       industry and public sector clients and have managed     Critical thinking was applied by those in industries      people employed was found to be a powerful way
Australian-owned, full service, Human Resource       a wide range of senior level appointments over          where an impact could be foreseen:                        to engage with employees and generate cost
and Recruitment firm, with offices in Melbourne,     many years. Slade Partners is also a member                                                                       saving initiatives.
Sydney and Brisbane. Across the recruitment          of EMA Partners International, an expanding             » Where is the likely impact going to hit us hardest
                                                                                                               and where will we feel it least? What did we do         Some commented on the fact that their leadership
industry we are recognised for our professionalism   global network of like-minded executive search                                                                    team moved from consensus mode to directive
and best practice approach to senior executive       professionals servicing the needs of clients in over      last time that worked?
                                                                                                                                                                       mode and that motivational leaders came into their
appointments and are AS9001 accredited.              50 cities around the world.                             » What can I do…and what can I influence?                 own.
                                                                                                               What can’t I do…and what is going to be
                                                                                                                                                                       Pitcher Partners reflected that their business was
                                                                                                               the impact?
                                                                                                                                                                       born out of a recession. The founding Partners were
                                                                                                             » How do I make myself useful?                            people who had left KPMG, unimpressed with the
                                                                                                                                                                       way that firm had managed the 1991 downturn.
                                                                                                             » What is our spread of business, what is our core
                                                                                                                                                                       Their approach this time was strongly linked back
                                                                                                               and what do we need to change?
                                                                                                                                                                       to their collective history of managing people in the
                                                                                                                                                                       best possible way through a downturn.
                                                                                                             Our People
                                                                                                                                                                       Communication
                                                                                                             Considerations and observations
                                                                                                                                                                       Everyone interviewed said communication with
                                                                                                             The responsibility to retain staff weighed heavily on
                                                                                                                                                                       staff was a critical facet of managing through the
                                                                                                             employers, although some felt they had no option
                                                                                                                                                                       downturn.
                                                                                                             but to cut headcount for overall survival.
                                                                                                                                                                       The struggle that many found was the tension
                                                                                                             A number of leaders remarked on the noticeable
                                                                                                                                                                       between being upbeat and at the same time,
                                                                                                             difference between the calm displayed by more
                                                                                                                                                                       sharing the challenge of a doom and gloom market.
                                                                                                             mature workers who had been through previous
                                                                                                                                                                       Too much either way was inappropriate, and yet
                                                                                                             downturns and younger staff who hadn’t. Some
                                                                                                                                                                       transparency and confidence remained critical.
                                                                                                             also said it was necessary to better understand
                                                                                                             the ‘younger generation’s’ fears of facing                One CEO reflected his frustration with this tension
                                                                                                             uncertain times.                                          in communication and pitching the right message.
                                                                                                                                                                       For example, he carried the burden and stress of
                                                                                                             Being aware and mindful that most people are risk
                                                                                                                                                                       leadership in tough times and worked overtime to
                                                                                                             averse was useful.
                                                                                                                                                                       save jobs and keep the ‘ship afloat and travelling
                                                                                                             Short-term, manageable tasks became the focus,            forward’. And yet he felt many of his staff seemed
                                                                                                             because as with the last downturn, nobody knew            to take a cavalier attitude to the business’ efforts
                                                                                                             how long the downturn would last.                         on their behalf.
                                                                                                             Where management was committed to keeping
                                                                                                             staff, working through as many flexible working
                                                                                                             options as possible was key. Typically, people
                                                                                                             appreciated this and ‘got on board’.

                                                                                                                                         Reflections on ‘What They Would Do Differently’
                                                                                                             » Go earlier;                                             » Manage people’s performance better in
                                                                                                             » Should have listened to the ‘Black Hats’;                 the good times – always – so that habitual
                                                                                                                                                                         underperformers don’t have to be managed
                                                                                                             » Increase level of communication to staff;                 through bad times;
                                                                                                             » Improve quality and pitch of communication              » Prepare a disaster contingency plan every year
                                                                                                               with staff;                                               and manage with a strong memory;
                                                                                                             » Improve forecasting and modelling for a downturn;       » Remember that during good times, we’re too
                                                                                                             » Recruit better – now and always;                          short-sighted and not courageous enough.

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Next time…Same same or different?                   REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


            The Results                                                                                                                                                                  The Results


Background                                              Jason Murray of The Just Group (retail) expressed a     Online/Recruitment                                       Breadth of activity within the business
Reflections on Managing People through                  view that in Just Group’s case, they had experienced    The recruitment sector is much like professional         Where an organisation was involved in a number
the Downturn                                            two downturns (Winter 2008 and from December            services. SEEK’s core employment business                of different activities within their business, many
Researcher Samantha Houston spoke to some of            2009 onwards) and that the Group is still in the        experienced a huge drop as organisations                 were able to redirect their focus, thus helping their
Australia’s leading organisations, in various sectors   second downturn.                                        dramatically decreased hiring rates, and in turn,        financial position.
including retail, manufacturing, employment,                                                                    lower confidence levels cut the rate at which
                                                        Ian Campbell of GUD (consumer and industrial                                                                     For example:
professional services, publishing and entertainment.                                                            employees changed jobs. Organisations and
                                                        products) said that they are seeing a higher inquiry
The interviewees were all senior executives (CEO’s,                                                             recruiters simply no longer had many vacancies           » Hinkler Books redirected its focus to its Foreign
                                                        rate but some residual nervousness in the minds of
MD’s, Directors and Partners), who were open and                                                                to advertise.                                              Language business (previously only a small part
                                                        some purchasers of capital equipment remains.
generous with their answers. The results provide an                                                             Retailing                                                  of the product range) because it was not being
insight into the strategies of organisations during                                                             The retailers interviewed (ie Just Group, Landpower,       impacted by the downturn.
the downturn, the outcomes of these strategies, and                                                             PACCAR Australia (Kenworth Trucks)) were all able        » GUD has 6 totally unrelated businesses – they



                                                        “
learnings for the future.                                                                                       to significantly reduce prices in order to move stock,
                                                             The majority of organisations                      although this was not enough to protect them from
                                                                                                                                                                           were not all impacted by the downturn.
The Results                                                  also indicated, as of late 2010,                   the downturn.                                            » SEEK’s educational business was counter cyclical
Discussions first established whether the recent                                                                                                                           and improved during the downturn (although it
downturn had an impact on their business, and if
                                                             that they were not yet through                     Manufacturing                                              didn’t completely counter the downturn in the



                                                                                                            ”
                                                                                                                Manufacturing companies were significantly
so, how?                                                     the downturn.                                      impacted as it is more difficult for them to transform
                                                                                                                                                                           online job advertising business).

Answers ranged from “Absolutely!” to “It had a                                                                  or quickly adapt and change what they do. This           » Pitcher Partners was able to review the industries
significant impact, but not all negative,” to “2009                                                             appears to be exacerbated if the product is a capital      it worked in and focus on areas of growth.
was the best year ever, …so if it had an impact it      Only Nadika Garber of Hinkler Books indicated that      purchase that can be postponed e.g. MacDonald              It did not rely solely on transaction work as some
was a positive one.” (Zoos Victoria). The majority      they had not felt the impact of the recession until     Johnston, PACCAR and Dexion (part of GUD).                 accounting firms did and continue to do.
however, acknowledged some or significant negative      very recently.                                          Organisations in industry sectors that were              » Maddocks was somewhat protected by the
impact on their business.                                                                                       perceived as being ‘needed’ or could position              breadth of its client base, and the fact that fifty
                                                        How much the downturn impacted any particular
The majority of organisations also indicated,           business seemed to be related to:                       themselves as ‘needed’ seemed to suffer less.              per cent of its work comes from government
as of late 2010, that they were not yet through                                                                                                                            projects. As David Rennick said, “The machine of
                                                        1. The industry in which the organisation operates;     For example:
the downturn.                                                                                                                                                              government needs to keep going.”
                                                        2. The breadth of activity within the business; and      » VECCI – the importance of its role as an advocate
Professional services firms such as legal and                                                                      and support for business owners and managers
accounting were immediately impacted as they            3. The ability to ‘change’ what they do or offer.                                                                An organisation’s flexibility
                                                                                                                   helped raise their profile during this time, which    A number of the business leaders spoke about being
are reliant on the business activity levels of their                                                               was beneficial for the organisation.
clients. These transactions dried up very quickly.      Industry                                                                                                         able to ‘reinvent’ themselves to suit the downturn.
Both Maddocks (lawyers) and Pitcher Partners                                                                     » Zoos Victoria – Victorian people were looking for     Zoos Victoria presented itself as ‘good value for
                                                        Professional Services
(accountants) indicated that while transactions have                                                               local, good value entertainment as they were          money.’ “We went into a really big repositioning
                                                        These firms were impacted because they rely
picked up, they have not returned to the same levels                                                               travelling less. The Zoo fitted this profile.         exercise. It was brought about by more than the
                                                        on healthy client activity. If their clients reduce
as prior to the downturn.                               their own activity, then this flows on directly                                                                  financial crisis…it led us to repositioning ourselves
Other firms echoed this view. David Waldron of          to professional service providers in legal and                                                                   as a Conservation Organisation…and we focused on
MacDonald Johnston (manufacturing and industrial)       accounting. Interestingly, Greg Nielsen of Pitcher                                                               the Membership product which was great value,”



                                                                                                                “
doesn’t believe they will be out of the downturn        Partners indicated that he believes the smaller                                                                  said Jenny Gray CEO. Jenny also observed, “When
until the 2nd quarter of 2011, as businesses have       accounting firms might not have suffered as much              It was an opportunity to                           finances are tough you need to know why you exist.”
deferred major capital expenditure decisions.           as the larger (more prestigious) firms, due to the            reinforce all the fundamentals                     VECCI was also in the middle of a Business Re-
                                                        ‘dropdown’ effect—part of clients’ belt tightening
Richard Wilson of Landpower (agricultural
                                                        process was to move from the more expensive firms
                                                                                                                      with our management team –                         engineering Process. It was a three-year process
machinery) believes they are also still experiencing                                                                                                                     and if anything, the downturn helped them to get the
                                                        to the smaller (less expensive) firms. However,               for example that cash                              changes through.
the impact of the recession in Australia.



                                                                                                                                                                 ”
                                                        he doesn’t consider this a long-term change and               generation is the key.
The government’s Investment Allowance had
                                                        believes that as business picks up, organisations
postponed some of the impact, but the impact will
                                                        will again seek out leading advisers and move back
eventually hit.
                                                        to the larger firms.


6                                                                                                                                                                                                                           7
Next time…Same same or different?                                     REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


                  GFC Time Line 2007–2008                                                                                                                                                                                    GFC Time Line 2009–2010


Time Line Information key                                                  March                                                                        January
◊ Global events                                                            Investment bank Bear Stearns is acquired by rival JP Morgan Chase            The Bank of England cuts interest rates to 1.5%, the lowest level in its
                                                                           for US$240m in a deal backed by US$30bn of central bank loans.               315-year history, as it continues efforts to aid an economic recovery in
◊ Australian events                                                        A year earlier it would have been worth US$18bn.                             the UK.

                                                                           September                                                                    China’s exports register their biggest decline in a decade.
                                                                           Mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which account for               German Chancellor Angela Merkel unveils an economic stimulus
                                                                           nearly half of the outstanding mortgages in the US are rescued               package worth about 50bn euros to kick-start Europe’s largest
                                                                           by the US government in one of the largest bailouts in US history.           economy.
                                                                           Investment banking giant Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy,               February
                                                                           after US officials decided not to bail it out. It would be the largest and   The Rudd Government’s $42bn economic stimulus package passes
                                                                           highest-profile casualty of the global credit crisis.                        in the Senate, paving the way for promised cash bonuses for workers
                                                                                                                                                        around the country.
                                                                           Bank of America takes over rival Merrill Lynch. AIG, once the world’s
                                                                           top insurer, was on the brink. Wall Street suffers its worst day since the   President Obama signs the US$787bn stimulus plan into law. The plan
                                                                                                                                                        aims to spur job creation and industry growth, particularly in health        January
                                                                           2001 9/11 attacks.
                                                                                                                                                        care and green energy.                                                       Spain announces a plan to save 50bn euros, including government
                                                                           Icelandic bank Glitnir is nationalised at US$1bn. The other two largest                                                                                   spending cuts totalling 4% of GDP. The plan includes 4% cuts in public
                                                                           Icelandic banks follow on October 7 (Landsbank) and October 9                March                                                                        sector pay.
                                                                           (Kaupthing). The banks’ total liabilities are ten times the country’s GDP;   President Obama instructs Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to
                                                                                                                                                        block AIG from spending $165m on executive bonuses. Taxpayers had            May
                                                                           the stock market falls by 90%, along with the krona.                                                                                                      European governments and the IMF agree to make available up to
                                                                                                                                                        thus far given AIG $165m in aid.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     750bn euros in loans to halt the spread of the Greek debt crisis.
April                                                                      October                                                                      Australia’s economy slumps 0.5%, its first quarter of negative growth
New Century Financial, which specialises in sub-prime mortgages, files     Germany announces a 50bn euro plan to save one of the country’s              in 8 years.                                                                  Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show the current account
for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and cuts half of its workforce.       biggest banks – Hypo Real Estate.                                                                                                                         deficit has improved from almost $18.5bn in the December quarter
                                                                                                                                                        April                                                                        to $16.55bn in the March quarter, although this was worse than
The Australian stock market (ASX 200) reaches its peak after four years    The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered official rates by a full 1%,     US car giant Chrysler files for bankruptcy in an effort to clear the final   market forecasts.
of double digit growth from April 2003 to April 2007.                      more than double what most analysts were predicting.                         hurdles before its alliance with Fiat.


                                 2007                                                                     2008                                                                             2009                                                                   2010
September                                                                  October                                                                      May                                                                          May
The UK’s fifth largest mortgage lender, Northern Rock, was granted         The UK Government announced a massive bailout package, worth more            Treasurer Wayne Swan announced that projected government revenue             Italy’s cabinet approves a 24bn euro austerity package with
emergency financial support by the Bank of England in the latter’s role    than US$64bn for the country’s struggling banking sector.                    had fallen by $200bn since the last budget with an anticipated deficit of    the aim of cutting the deficit to 2.7% of GDP in 2012 from
as lender of last resort. A day later, depositors withdraw £1bn, in what                                                                                $57.6bn.                                                                     5.3% in 2009.
is the biggest run on a British bank in more than a century.               The International Monetary Fund, famous for its fiscal and monetary
                                                                           conservatism, effectively encourages governments to cut interest rates       June                                                                         Spain wins parliamentary approval for its 15bn euro austerity
December                                                                   as far as possible and spend as much as they can afford, and to do it        General Motors Corporation files for bankruptcy.                             package by just one vote.
Kevin Rudd elected Prime Minister.                                         now, there is clearly no time to be lost.
                                                                                                                                                        Australia avoids a recession after the Australian Bureau of Statistics       June
                                                                           The US taps into the $700bn available from the Emergency Economic            reveals the economy for the March quarter grew by 0.4% from the final        Julia Gillard becomes Prime Minister.
                                                                           Stabilization Act and announces the injection of $250bn of public            quarter of 2008.
                                                                           money into the US banking system.                                                                                                                         November
                                                                                                                                                        Japan’s economy contracted at an annualised rate of 14.2% in the first       Concerns about sovereign debt in Europe continued to weigh on global
                                                                           November                                                                     three months of 2009, a record rate of decline.                              investors’ minds, with Ireland resisting pressure to take funds from
                                                                           Barack Obama is elected the 44th president of the United States.                                                                                          the US$1 trillion European rescue fund set up in May.
                                                                                                                                                        Unemployment in Australia peaked during the global financial crisis at
                                                                           The US government agrees to rescue Citigroup after an attack by              5.8%, whereas in the US it rose above 10%.
                                                                           investors causes the stock price to plummet 60% over the previous
                                                                           week under a detailed plan that included injecting another $20bn of          July
                                                                           capital into Citigroup, bringing the total infusion to $45bn.                Citing insufficient regulation as a cause of the current economic crisis,
                                                                                                                                                        President Obama proposes increasing the government’s authority over
                                                                           December                                                                     financial institutions. The plan would give more power to the Federal
                                                                           French President Nicolas Sarkozy unveils a 26bn euro stimulus plan to        Reserve, create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency and take
                                                                           help France fend off financial crisis, with money to be spent on public      measures to discourage risky lending.
                                                                           sector investments and loans for the country’s troubled carmakers.
                                                                                                                                                        November
                                                                           The RBA lowers the cash rate by 100 basis points to 4.25%. Australian        Greece’s new government says the 2009 budget deficit will be 12.7%
                                                                           inflation is at 5% in late October. The Australian dollar has fallen 28%     of GDP – more than double the previously published figure.
                                                                           against the US dollar since end-July.
                                                                                                                                                        December
                                                                                                                                                        In Ireland, the budget delivers savings of over 4bn euros.
                                                                                                                                                        Public service pension age rises to 66 from 65.
                                                                                                                                                        ABS results showed that the Australian balance of goods and services
                                                                                                                                                        was a deficit of $1.7bn in November, seasonally adjusted, from a
                                                                                                                                                        revised deficit of $2.08bn in October.




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Next time…Same same or different?                   REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


            The Results                                                                                                                                                                  The Results


What was the impact of the downturn?                    Some of those interviewed also observed an              companies were unsure how long the downturn              Some firms made a conscious decision that people
The key impact on most businesses was on sales          increase in ‘risk averse behaviours’. For example,      would last and didn’t want to overreact.                 initiatives would not be cut, although they may be
revenue and therefore the ability to generate profit.   according to Greg Nielsen, there was zero mobility.                                                              reduced. For example, SEEK and Pitcher Partners
                                                                                                                David Rennick [Maddocks] said, ”We agreed as
                                                        “You couldn’t prise good people out of firms, and                                                                still held their Christmas parties; The Just Group
However, there were other impacts.                                                                              a partnership we would do everything we could,
                                                        people’s focus became much shorter.” Much of this                                                                still held their Annual Awards nights.
                                                                                                                including reducing profit, before making people
For some organisations the downturn was an              was not seen as a good outcome, but rather leading      redundant.”                                              Fundamentally, organisations were looking to
opportunity to refocus the organisation, returning      to bad consequences. David Rennick believes,                                                                     make cuts without significantly impacting people.
their attention to core values.                         “People forgot that one day this would be over and      Richard Wilson of Landpower said, “The first
                                                                                                                                                                         Therefore cuts were made to expenses such as:
                                                        they didn’t ask themselves what is the longer term      decision was that we wanted to protect our staff.”
Ian Campbell, MD of GUD Ltd said, “It was an            impact of these decisions?”                             This was not purely altruistic. He felt he had           » Marketing;
opportunity to reinforce all the fundamentals with                                                              invested a lot in recruitment and the selection of his
our management team – for example that cash             Finally, some of those interviewed experienced a                                                                 » Travel;
                                                                                                                team and he wanted to keep them.
generation is the key.” Joe Powell of SEEK said,        positive impact from the downturn. The Sunbeam
                                                                                                                                                                         » Tea, coffee, biscuits;
“The downturn forced us to question a lot of things,    business (part of GUD) experienced a positive           SEEK made a decision, “Very early on, because our
to go back to our roots.”                               impact. ‘Sales demand did not fluctuate greatly from    culture,engagement and people are so important,          » Gardening;
                                                        other years, but the downturn in the US and Europe      we decided not to do redundancies. Redundancies
At Pitcher Partners it prompted ‘an introspective                                                                                                                        » Christmas gifts; and
                                                        meant that our suppliers in China were less busy        have a dreadful impact on culture and are typically
look at what parts of the business could do with fine   and so suddenly they were more interested in us.’       only a short-term benefit.”                              » Project budgets
tuning…sometimes an economic crisis gives you
pause to stop and look at your business.’                                                                       However, ultimately some firms needed to make            Landpower initiated ‘Project Save $1million’ looking
                                                        What did interviewees do to manage their                redundancies.                                            at how they could take costs out of the business
Richard Wilson of Landpower believes that, “…this is    organisations through the downturn?                                                                              without reducing head count. By talking about cost
a healthy process. We continued to make money, not                                                              Greg Nielsen (Pitcher Partners) said, “We didn’t
                                                        By and large organisations were very considered         actually have redundancies but we had long and           savings in terms of keeping people employed, the
as much as usual, but it brought us back to our core    about what actions to take in the face of the                                                                    business uncovered a powerful way to engage their
principles.”                                                                                                    difficult discussions with those who were not
                                                        downturn.                                               working out. We came to the realisation that these       people. ‘Project Save $1million’ ultimately found
Similarly, a few of the organisations interviewed                                                               people were not developing and by allowing them          $2m in cost savings.
                                                        David Rennick advised, “Firstly, we didn’t do
used the downturn as a catalyst for implementing        anything precipitously. We were very considered         to plod along, we were actually hurting their future     The Just Group focused on their suppliers to ensure
organisational change that was already needed           about what actions we would take. We planned and        opportunities to develop…When times were good,           the burden was shared, before any head count was
and/or planned.                                         then worked on it quickly.”                             we could afford to carry people we shouldn’t carry.      affected.
At MacDonald Johnston, (Australian subsidiary of                                                                We weren’t necessarily doing them a favour.”
                                                        Jason Murray MD, The Just Group indicated that,                                                                  At an employee level, many of the organisations
a European parent) MD David Waldron ‘used the           “During the first downturn (2008) our view was that     During the second and more protracted downturn           interviewed did one or more of the following:
downturn to implement major projects needed by          the right response was not purely cost focused…         The Just Group looked at roles that had been
the organisation to become stronger.’                                                                                                                                    » asked or insisted that people use up their
                                                        we had to focus on three things. One, where do          created during good times but had become less
                                                                                                                                                                           holidays;
There were also human impacts, particularly in the      we really make our money – sales. Two, the way          relevant in difficult times. They did make some
way individuals behaved. For the younger generation     out was growth and this extra pain might create         redundancies but also used natural attrition to          » enforced holidays over the Christmas period
this was the first downturn they had experienced.       opportunities. Three, cost control.”                    reduce headcount.                                          e.g. a two week closure;
This created fear and uncertainty, as they saw          Most of those interviewed indicated their primary       Other responses to address the downturn were             » asked for volunteers to take leave of absence/a
others being retrenched.                                concern was to avoid redundancies wherever              more tactical. Organisations:                              sabbatical e.g. to study or travel, and in the case
                                                        possible. This was a very different approach to         » Reviewed their hiring – often looking to hire
                                                                                                                                                                           of SEEK, offered a percentage of salary during



“
                                                        previous downturns. Wayne Kayler-Thomson                                                                           this time;
     Very early on, because our culture,                                                                          better/more experienced people who would ‘get
                                                        said that in the past, the immediate query from           them through the downturn’. GUD changed some           » asked people to take long service leave;
     engagement and people are so                       members contacting VECCI was, ‘How to manage              of their management team to ‘slightly harder-
     important, we decided not to                       redundancies and downsizing?’ The significant                                                                    » moved people between offices (Maddocks);
                                                                                                                  nosed business people’. “I don’t like taking people
                                                        change was that calls were coming in as usual but         out and I don’t do it lightly, but it was the right    » moved people into new jobs in different areas
     do redundancies. Redundancies                      this time they were about ‘how can I keep my staff,       thing to do for the business.”                           (MacDonald Johnston); and
     have a dreadful impact on culture                  how can I reduce hours to keep them?’ Wayne’s
                                                        view is that whilst this was partly a compassionate     » Employed HR Managers where they had                    » moved people to a four-day week (MacDonald
     and are typically only a short-                    response, it was also because the downturn came           previously had none.                                     Johnston and PACCAR).



                                                 ”
     term benefit.                                      off the back of a keenly-felt skills shortage and       » Delayed recruitment.

10                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11
Next time…Same same or different?                     REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


            The Results                                                                                                                                                                The Results




“      Past experience had taught many of those interviewed ‘not to panic’                                     How did people react?                                   Interestingly, a number of organisations indicated
                                                                                                               The organisations interviewed placed a significant      that they were surprised by people’s reactions since
       and the importance of leadership at a time of recession. Nadika                                         emphasis on communicating with staff, and this          coming out of the downturn. Many of the younger
       Garber at Hinkler Books was a sales executive during a previous                                         seems to have had a positive impact on how              generation expected immediate salary increases;
                                                                                                               their staff reacted to the downturn initiatives. For    they had unrealistic expectations as to how quickly
       downturn and so understood what it was like from an employee’s                                          example, PACCAR cut out tea, coffee and biscuits.       an organisation would recover.
       perspective. “Now my role is motivational, you want people to be                                        When it was communicated that this equated to 2–3       There was also a hint that perhaps some



                                                                                                         ”
       more engaged than ever.”                                                                                people keeping their jobs, it was accepted.             employees hadn’t appreciated the lengths to
                                                                                                               Most staff felt concerned and uncertain but were        which organisations had gone in order to avoid
                                                                                                               interested to hear how their organisation was going     redundancies.
                                                                                                               to manage through the downturn, and the impact on
What drove them to make these decisions               KPMG when 14 Partners didn’t like how the firm           them. If anything, people’s response was that they      What would you do differently next time?
or follow this strategy?                              was handling the 1991 recession. “So move to 2008        wanted to hear more.                                    Most of the executives interviewed were satisfied
                                                      and these Senior Partners are the most vocal in                                                                  with the way they led their organisations through
Did past experience play a part?                                                                                Methods of communications included:
                                                      saying ‘we will have Christmas parties, we will have                                                             the downturn and many wouldn’t do anything
The fact that all those interviewed had experienced   biscuits in the tea room.’”                               » Newsletters;                                         significantly different. “What we did got us through
an economic downturn in their working lives, as                                                                                                                        and it has got us through before.” (Andrew
                                                      Past experience also impacted how quickly people          » Blogs;
business leaders or in their early career roles,                                                                                                                       Hadjikakou, PACCAR).
                                                      responded. “I think I was too slow to react the
had a significant impact on their approach. And in                                                              » Team meetings;
                                                      first time. I have learnt to consult, but also to back                                                           Amongst those who would do things differently
most cases their organisations had too. As Andrew
                                                      my own instinct as well,” said Richard Wilson of          » Video conferences;                                   the most common responses were ‘go earlier’ and
Hadjikakou put it, “PACCAR (US owned) operates in
                                                      Landpower.                                                                                                       ‘increase the level of communication even more’.
a cyclical environment…this company knows what it                                                               » All-of-company meetings; and
needs to do in a cyclical downturn.”                                                                                                                                   “Even though we did a lot and I think the Town Hall
                                                      What were their feelings going into the                   » One-on-one meetings as needed.
                                                                                                                                                                       style is good, you need to get right down to individual
Past experience had taught many of those              downturn?
interviewed ‘not to panic’ and the importance of                                                               In some organisations such as Maddocks, they            people and do this in a more coordinated way. My
leadership at a time of recession. Nadika Garber      Many of those interviewed went into the downturn         asked staff to contribute ideas on how the firm could   Practice Group Heads could have been trained up a
of Hinkler Books was a sales executive during a       with mixed feelings.                                     save money and they received a lot of input. People     bit better, and got out there a lot more and talked to
previous downturn and so understood what it was       There was definitely a sense of uncertainty and          got into the spirit of it.                              people.” David Rennick [Maddocks].
like from an employee’s perspective. “Now my role     nervousness, but at the same time, many of those         Some generational differences were evident.             Another response was to make tougher decisions in
is motivational, you want people to be more engaged   interviewed saw the downturn as an opportunity.          It was widely felt that the younger generation          the good times, ie better manage underperforming
than ever.”                                                                                                    needed more reassurance than older generations          people, and to have better forecasting tools in place
                                                      Jason Murray’s view was, “We can manage our way
Similarly, for David Waldron of MacDonald Johnston    through this as long as we know what we have to do       or needed more information on why initiatives were      in order to ‘get a better read’ on what is happening.
the past was in the back of his mind but this was     and we do it quickly.”                                   being implemented.
his first time as an MD and he realised his role                                                                                                                       How has the downturn impacted the
                                                      Others shared a sense of ‘professional
was now to guide the organisation. It was a year in
                                                      disappointment’. Richard Wilson said, “It had been
                                                                                                                                                                       culture of the organisation ?
which he worked harder than ever, analysing every                                                                                                                      The majority of those interviewed indicated that the
                                                      such a stellar time, we were all enjoying great



                                                                                                               “
opportunity and communicating with staff.                                                                                                                              downturn had no long-term impact on their culture.
                                                      KPI success and reporting was getting better and              The cultural change has been
For Jason Murray of The Just Group, his previous      better…we felt frustrated… ‘not yet surely’ we                                                                   However, a few indicated that it had made them
experience as a Management Consultant gave him        wanted to say.”                                               our understanding that you can’t                   more performance-driven, more of a short-term
the background knowledge to help him calibrate                                                                      take anything for granted.                         driven culture, and less courageous.
                                                      Another common feeling was one of responsibility.
what a downturn does to a business: “What’s a good
drop and what’s a bad drop and which levers to pull
                                                      Andrew Hadjikakou from PACCAR summed up                       The downturn exposed the                           Wayne Kayler-Thomson said, “The cultural change
                                                      this feeling. “I felt a huge responsibility on my                                                                has been that you can’t take anything for granted.
to compensate.”
                                                      shoulders. It’s all about incoming orders and I knew          fact that we are part of a global                  The downturn exposed the fact that we are part of a



                                                                                                                                                               ”
History and culture also impacted how companies       it was going to get tough…it was going to have dire           economy.                                           global economy.”
chose to address the downturn.                        consequences on those working here and those who
For example, Pitcher Partners was born out of         supply to us.”
a recession. The founding Partners split from

12                                                                                                                                                                                                                        13
Next time…Same same or different?                  REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN


            The Results                                                                                                                                                Acknowledgements


                                                                                                               We would like to thank the following organisations
                                 How will you prepare for the next time?                                       and specific individuals for their involvement in the
While some of those interviewed felt that they                                                                 development of this research:
                                                      » We will start with a more strategic orientation and
couldn’t do a lot to prepare for a downturn, others     from that, clarify financial and brand goals. We ask
recognised that their organisation could make           more often… ‘What is our business? What are we
                                                                                                               Greg Nielsen                                            David Waldron
additional changes and preparations for future          trying to achieve? What does success look like?
                                                                                                               Executive Director                                      Managing Director
downturns.                                              Know this and you will know what you are chasing’;                                                             MacDonald Johnston
                                                                                                               Pitcher Partners
Some of the responses were:                           » We will maintain the ‘disaster plan/contingency
» We have learnt to be a lot more careful about how
                                                        plan’ as part of the planning process each year;
                                                                                                               David Rennick                                           Joe Powell
  we recruit;                                         » We will retain a file and roll up learnings into       Managing Partner                                        Managing Director
» We have embedded the learnings into our values,
                                                        the Strategic Review. Actually plan for the next       Maddocks                                                SEEK Employment (Aust & NZ)
  systems, processes, goals and culture;                downturn; and
                                                      » We are now better at planning a year ahead and
» We openly talk about the downturn in management                                                              Nadika Garber                                           Wayne Kayler-Thomson
  meetings;                                             also being able to turn things on and off as needed.
                                                                                                               Managing Director                                       Chief Executive Officer
                                                                                                               Hinkler Books                                           VECCI


                                                                                                               Jason Murray                                            Jenny Gray
                                                                                                               Managing Director                                       Chief Executive Officer



“
                                                                                                               The Just Group                                          Zoos Victoria
      We will start with a more strategic orientation and from that,
      clarify financial and brand goals. We ask more often… ‘What is our
                                                                                                               Ian Campbell                                            Andrew Hadjikakou
      business? What are we trying to achieve? What does success look                                          Managing Director                                       Director Sales and Marketing



                                                                                                           ”
      like? Know this and you will know what you are chasing.’                                                 GUD Holdings Limited                                    PACCAR Australia


                                                                                                               Richard Wilson
                                                                                                               Group CEO
                                                                                                               Landpower Aust & NZ




                                                                                                               Researchers
                                                                                                               Samantha Houston
                                                                                                               Julian Doherty
                                                                                                               Sarah Law


                                                                                                               Design & Layout
                                                                                                               Kim Bear

14                                                                                                                                                                                                    15
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Slade White Paper 2011

  • 1. Next time... Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN 2011 WHITE PAPER sladepartners.com.au
  • 2. REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN Introduction Welcome to the Slade Partners EMA Executive And yet this national bonhomie shouldn’t override Search White Paper: ‘Next time…Same, same or the individual and organisational pain felt by many different? Reflections on managing people through whilst navigating the two particularly difficult years the downturn.’ of 2008–2009. We are told repeatedly that Australia bypassed We believe that a deep impression was made the global downturn with nary a scratch, however on those who were at the helm of organisations our observations of personal and organisational through the downturn in Australia. We also know ‘war stories and injuries’ tell a different tale. people were hard pressed to find advisers who could be relied on to provide support and advice based on The headline story is thus: Globally, the financial previous experience. The findings from the in-depth crisis of 2007–2011 is judged by many as the interviews undertaken for this White Paper deliver worst financial crisis since the 1930’s and for some absorbing insights. Perhaps the collective many Western countries, the pain is not yet over. wisdom and observations will be filed away today Large financial institutions collapsed or neared to be used by others in the future. collapse as governments engineered rescue packages for major commercial institutions. We hope you find this White Paper interesting. If you Throughout the US and Europe, a prevailing would like more information, please don’t hesitate uncertainty about future economic prospects, to contact us. the housing market decline and high unemployment continues. In Australia, political commentator Laurie Oakes pointed out in mid–2010 that, ‘We have a net debt dramatically lower than any other advanced economy. We will have our budget back in surplus before any of the major economies. We were one of the only two advanced economies to avoid recession after the GFC. Our economy grew by 1.3 per cent Anita Ziemer Bill Sakellaris last year while advanced economies as a whole Managing Director General Manager contracted by 3.2 per cent.’ Slade Group Slade Partners “ The struggle that many found was the tension between being upbeat and at the same time, sharing the challenge of a doom and gloom market. Too much either way was inappropriate, and yet ” transparency and confidence remained critical. 3
  • 3. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN About us White Paper Highlights Slade Partners EMA Executive Search is the We have an extensive network of both private Preparation for a downturn Talking about the cost savings required to keep executive search arm of Slade Group. We are an industry and public sector clients and have managed Critical thinking was applied by those in industries people employed was found to be a powerful way Australian-owned, full service, Human Resource a wide range of senior level appointments over where an impact could be foreseen: to engage with employees and generate cost and Recruitment firm, with offices in Melbourne, many years. Slade Partners is also a member saving initiatives. Sydney and Brisbane. Across the recruitment of EMA Partners International, an expanding » Where is the likely impact going to hit us hardest and where will we feel it least? What did we do Some commented on the fact that their leadership industry we are recognised for our professionalism global network of like-minded executive search team moved from consensus mode to directive and best practice approach to senior executive professionals servicing the needs of clients in over last time that worked? mode and that motivational leaders came into their appointments and are AS9001 accredited. 50 cities around the world. » What can I do…and what can I influence? own. What can’t I do…and what is going to be Pitcher Partners reflected that their business was the impact? born out of a recession. The founding Partners were » How do I make myself useful? people who had left KPMG, unimpressed with the way that firm had managed the 1991 downturn. » What is our spread of business, what is our core Their approach this time was strongly linked back and what do we need to change? to their collective history of managing people in the best possible way through a downturn. Our People Communication Considerations and observations Everyone interviewed said communication with The responsibility to retain staff weighed heavily on staff was a critical facet of managing through the employers, although some felt they had no option downturn. but to cut headcount for overall survival. The struggle that many found was the tension A number of leaders remarked on the noticeable between being upbeat and at the same time, difference between the calm displayed by more sharing the challenge of a doom and gloom market. mature workers who had been through previous Too much either way was inappropriate, and yet downturns and younger staff who hadn’t. Some transparency and confidence remained critical. also said it was necessary to better understand the ‘younger generation’s’ fears of facing One CEO reflected his frustration with this tension uncertain times. in communication and pitching the right message. For example, he carried the burden and stress of Being aware and mindful that most people are risk leadership in tough times and worked overtime to averse was useful. save jobs and keep the ‘ship afloat and travelling Short-term, manageable tasks became the focus, forward’. And yet he felt many of his staff seemed because as with the last downturn, nobody knew to take a cavalier attitude to the business’ efforts how long the downturn would last. on their behalf. Where management was committed to keeping staff, working through as many flexible working options as possible was key. Typically, people appreciated this and ‘got on board’. Reflections on ‘What They Would Do Differently’ » Go earlier; » Manage people’s performance better in » Should have listened to the ‘Black Hats’; the good times – always – so that habitual underperformers don’t have to be managed » Increase level of communication to staff; through bad times; » Improve quality and pitch of communication » Prepare a disaster contingency plan every year with staff; and manage with a strong memory; » Improve forecasting and modelling for a downturn; » Remember that during good times, we’re too » Recruit better – now and always; short-sighted and not courageous enough. 4 5
  • 4. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN The Results The Results Background Jason Murray of The Just Group (retail) expressed a Online/Recruitment Breadth of activity within the business Reflections on Managing People through view that in Just Group’s case, they had experienced The recruitment sector is much like professional Where an organisation was involved in a number the Downturn two downturns (Winter 2008 and from December services. SEEK’s core employment business of different activities within their business, many Researcher Samantha Houston spoke to some of 2009 onwards) and that the Group is still in the experienced a huge drop as organisations were able to redirect their focus, thus helping their Australia’s leading organisations, in various sectors second downturn. dramatically decreased hiring rates, and in turn, financial position. including retail, manufacturing, employment, lower confidence levels cut the rate at which Ian Campbell of GUD (consumer and industrial For example: professional services, publishing and entertainment. employees changed jobs. Organisations and products) said that they are seeing a higher inquiry The interviewees were all senior executives (CEO’s, recruiters simply no longer had many vacancies » Hinkler Books redirected its focus to its Foreign rate but some residual nervousness in the minds of MD’s, Directors and Partners), who were open and to advertise. Language business (previously only a small part some purchasers of capital equipment remains. generous with their answers. The results provide an Retailing of the product range) because it was not being insight into the strategies of organisations during The retailers interviewed (ie Just Group, Landpower, impacted by the downturn. the downturn, the outcomes of these strategies, and PACCAR Australia (Kenworth Trucks)) were all able » GUD has 6 totally unrelated businesses – they “ learnings for the future. to significantly reduce prices in order to move stock, The majority of organisations although this was not enough to protect them from were not all impacted by the downturn. The Results also indicated, as of late 2010, the downturn. » SEEK’s educational business was counter cyclical Discussions first established whether the recent and improved during the downturn (although it downturn had an impact on their business, and if that they were not yet through Manufacturing didn’t completely counter the downturn in the ” Manufacturing companies were significantly so, how? the downturn. impacted as it is more difficult for them to transform online job advertising business). Answers ranged from “Absolutely!” to “It had a or quickly adapt and change what they do. This » Pitcher Partners was able to review the industries significant impact, but not all negative,” to “2009 appears to be exacerbated if the product is a capital it worked in and focus on areas of growth. was the best year ever, …so if it had an impact it Only Nadika Garber of Hinkler Books indicated that purchase that can be postponed e.g. MacDonald It did not rely solely on transaction work as some was a positive one.” (Zoos Victoria). The majority they had not felt the impact of the recession until Johnston, PACCAR and Dexion (part of GUD). accounting firms did and continue to do. however, acknowledged some or significant negative very recently. Organisations in industry sectors that were » Maddocks was somewhat protected by the impact on their business. perceived as being ‘needed’ or could position breadth of its client base, and the fact that fifty How much the downturn impacted any particular The majority of organisations also indicated, business seemed to be related to: themselves as ‘needed’ seemed to suffer less. per cent of its work comes from government as of late 2010, that they were not yet through projects. As David Rennick said, “The machine of 1. The industry in which the organisation operates; For example: the downturn. government needs to keep going.” 2. The breadth of activity within the business; and » VECCI – the importance of its role as an advocate Professional services firms such as legal and and support for business owners and managers accounting were immediately impacted as they 3. The ability to ‘change’ what they do or offer. An organisation’s flexibility helped raise their profile during this time, which A number of the business leaders spoke about being are reliant on the business activity levels of their was beneficial for the organisation. clients. These transactions dried up very quickly. Industry able to ‘reinvent’ themselves to suit the downturn. Both Maddocks (lawyers) and Pitcher Partners » Zoos Victoria – Victorian people were looking for Zoos Victoria presented itself as ‘good value for Professional Services (accountants) indicated that while transactions have local, good value entertainment as they were money.’ “We went into a really big repositioning These firms were impacted because they rely picked up, they have not returned to the same levels travelling less. The Zoo fitted this profile. exercise. It was brought about by more than the on healthy client activity. If their clients reduce as prior to the downturn. their own activity, then this flows on directly financial crisis…it led us to repositioning ourselves Other firms echoed this view. David Waldron of to professional service providers in legal and as a Conservation Organisation…and we focused on MacDonald Johnston (manufacturing and industrial) accounting. Interestingly, Greg Nielsen of Pitcher the Membership product which was great value,” “ doesn’t believe they will be out of the downturn Partners indicated that he believes the smaller said Jenny Gray CEO. Jenny also observed, “When until the 2nd quarter of 2011, as businesses have accounting firms might not have suffered as much It was an opportunity to finances are tough you need to know why you exist.” deferred major capital expenditure decisions. as the larger (more prestigious) firms, due to the reinforce all the fundamentals VECCI was also in the middle of a Business Re- ‘dropdown’ effect—part of clients’ belt tightening Richard Wilson of Landpower (agricultural process was to move from the more expensive firms with our management team – engineering Process. It was a three-year process machinery) believes they are also still experiencing and if anything, the downturn helped them to get the to the smaller (less expensive) firms. However, for example that cash changes through. the impact of the recession in Australia. ” he doesn’t consider this a long-term change and generation is the key. The government’s Investment Allowance had believes that as business picks up, organisations postponed some of the impact, but the impact will will again seek out leading advisers and move back eventually hit. to the larger firms. 6 7
  • 5. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN GFC Time Line 2007–2008 GFC Time Line 2009–2010 Time Line Information key March January ◊ Global events Investment bank Bear Stearns is acquired by rival JP Morgan Chase The Bank of England cuts interest rates to 1.5%, the lowest level in its for US$240m in a deal backed by US$30bn of central bank loans. 315-year history, as it continues efforts to aid an economic recovery in ◊ Australian events A year earlier it would have been worth US$18bn. the UK. September China’s exports register their biggest decline in a decade. Mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which account for German Chancellor Angela Merkel unveils an economic stimulus nearly half of the outstanding mortgages in the US are rescued package worth about 50bn euros to kick-start Europe’s largest by the US government in one of the largest bailouts in US history. economy. Investment banking giant Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy, February after US officials decided not to bail it out. It would be the largest and The Rudd Government’s $42bn economic stimulus package passes highest-profile casualty of the global credit crisis. in the Senate, paving the way for promised cash bonuses for workers around the country. Bank of America takes over rival Merrill Lynch. AIG, once the world’s top insurer, was on the brink. Wall Street suffers its worst day since the President Obama signs the US$787bn stimulus plan into law. The plan aims to spur job creation and industry growth, particularly in health January 2001 9/11 attacks. care and green energy. Spain announces a plan to save 50bn euros, including government Icelandic bank Glitnir is nationalised at US$1bn. The other two largest spending cuts totalling 4% of GDP. The plan includes 4% cuts in public Icelandic banks follow on October 7 (Landsbank) and October 9 March sector pay. (Kaupthing). The banks’ total liabilities are ten times the country’s GDP; President Obama instructs Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to block AIG from spending $165m on executive bonuses. Taxpayers had May the stock market falls by 90%, along with the krona. European governments and the IMF agree to make available up to thus far given AIG $165m in aid. 750bn euros in loans to halt the spread of the Greek debt crisis. April October Australia’s economy slumps 0.5%, its first quarter of negative growth New Century Financial, which specialises in sub-prime mortgages, files Germany announces a 50bn euro plan to save one of the country’s in 8 years. Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show the current account for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and cuts half of its workforce. biggest banks – Hypo Real Estate. deficit has improved from almost $18.5bn in the December quarter April to $16.55bn in the March quarter, although this was worse than The Australian stock market (ASX 200) reaches its peak after four years The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered official rates by a full 1%, US car giant Chrysler files for bankruptcy in an effort to clear the final market forecasts. of double digit growth from April 2003 to April 2007. more than double what most analysts were predicting. hurdles before its alliance with Fiat. 2007 2008 2009 2010 September October May May The UK’s fifth largest mortgage lender, Northern Rock, was granted The UK Government announced a massive bailout package, worth more Treasurer Wayne Swan announced that projected government revenue Italy’s cabinet approves a 24bn euro austerity package with emergency financial support by the Bank of England in the latter’s role than US$64bn for the country’s struggling banking sector. had fallen by $200bn since the last budget with an anticipated deficit of the aim of cutting the deficit to 2.7% of GDP in 2012 from as lender of last resort. A day later, depositors withdraw £1bn, in what $57.6bn. 5.3% in 2009. is the biggest run on a British bank in more than a century. The International Monetary Fund, famous for its fiscal and monetary conservatism, effectively encourages governments to cut interest rates June Spain wins parliamentary approval for its 15bn euro austerity December as far as possible and spend as much as they can afford, and to do it General Motors Corporation files for bankruptcy. package by just one vote. Kevin Rudd elected Prime Minister. now, there is clearly no time to be lost. Australia avoids a recession after the Australian Bureau of Statistics June The US taps into the $700bn available from the Emergency Economic reveals the economy for the March quarter grew by 0.4% from the final Julia Gillard becomes Prime Minister. Stabilization Act and announces the injection of $250bn of public quarter of 2008. money into the US banking system. November Japan’s economy contracted at an annualised rate of 14.2% in the first Concerns about sovereign debt in Europe continued to weigh on global November three months of 2009, a record rate of decline. investors’ minds, with Ireland resisting pressure to take funds from Barack Obama is elected the 44th president of the United States. the US$1 trillion European rescue fund set up in May. Unemployment in Australia peaked during the global financial crisis at The US government agrees to rescue Citigroup after an attack by 5.8%, whereas in the US it rose above 10%. investors causes the stock price to plummet 60% over the previous week under a detailed plan that included injecting another $20bn of July capital into Citigroup, bringing the total infusion to $45bn. Citing insufficient regulation as a cause of the current economic crisis, President Obama proposes increasing the government’s authority over December financial institutions. The plan would give more power to the Federal French President Nicolas Sarkozy unveils a 26bn euro stimulus plan to Reserve, create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency and take help France fend off financial crisis, with money to be spent on public measures to discourage risky lending. sector investments and loans for the country’s troubled carmakers. November The RBA lowers the cash rate by 100 basis points to 4.25%. Australian Greece’s new government says the 2009 budget deficit will be 12.7% inflation is at 5% in late October. The Australian dollar has fallen 28% of GDP – more than double the previously published figure. against the US dollar since end-July. December In Ireland, the budget delivers savings of over 4bn euros. Public service pension age rises to 66 from 65. ABS results showed that the Australian balance of goods and services was a deficit of $1.7bn in November, seasonally adjusted, from a revised deficit of $2.08bn in October. 8 9
  • 6. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN The Results The Results What was the impact of the downturn? Some of those interviewed also observed an companies were unsure how long the downturn Some firms made a conscious decision that people The key impact on most businesses was on sales increase in ‘risk averse behaviours’. For example, would last and didn’t want to overreact. initiatives would not be cut, although they may be revenue and therefore the ability to generate profit. according to Greg Nielsen, there was zero mobility. reduced. For example, SEEK and Pitcher Partners David Rennick [Maddocks] said, ”We agreed as “You couldn’t prise good people out of firms, and still held their Christmas parties; The Just Group However, there were other impacts. a partnership we would do everything we could, people’s focus became much shorter.” Much of this still held their Annual Awards nights. including reducing profit, before making people For some organisations the downturn was an was not seen as a good outcome, but rather leading redundant.” Fundamentally, organisations were looking to opportunity to refocus the organisation, returning to bad consequences. David Rennick believes, make cuts without significantly impacting people. their attention to core values. “People forgot that one day this would be over and Richard Wilson of Landpower said, “The first Therefore cuts were made to expenses such as: they didn’t ask themselves what is the longer term decision was that we wanted to protect our staff.” Ian Campbell, MD of GUD Ltd said, “It was an impact of these decisions?” This was not purely altruistic. He felt he had » Marketing; opportunity to reinforce all the fundamentals with invested a lot in recruitment and the selection of his our management team – for example that cash Finally, some of those interviewed experienced a » Travel; team and he wanted to keep them. generation is the key.” Joe Powell of SEEK said, positive impact from the downturn. The Sunbeam » Tea, coffee, biscuits; “The downturn forced us to question a lot of things, business (part of GUD) experienced a positive SEEK made a decision, “Very early on, because our to go back to our roots.” impact. ‘Sales demand did not fluctuate greatly from culture,engagement and people are so important, » Gardening; other years, but the downturn in the US and Europe we decided not to do redundancies. Redundancies At Pitcher Partners it prompted ‘an introspective » Christmas gifts; and meant that our suppliers in China were less busy have a dreadful impact on culture and are typically look at what parts of the business could do with fine and so suddenly they were more interested in us.’ only a short-term benefit.” » Project budgets tuning…sometimes an economic crisis gives you pause to stop and look at your business.’ However, ultimately some firms needed to make Landpower initiated ‘Project Save $1million’ looking What did interviewees do to manage their redundancies. at how they could take costs out of the business Richard Wilson of Landpower believes that, “…this is organisations through the downturn? without reducing head count. By talking about cost a healthy process. We continued to make money, not Greg Nielsen (Pitcher Partners) said, “We didn’t By and large organisations were very considered actually have redundancies but we had long and savings in terms of keeping people employed, the as much as usual, but it brought us back to our core about what actions to take in the face of the business uncovered a powerful way to engage their principles.” difficult discussions with those who were not downturn. working out. We came to the realisation that these people. ‘Project Save $1million’ ultimately found Similarly, a few of the organisations interviewed people were not developing and by allowing them $2m in cost savings. David Rennick advised, “Firstly, we didn’t do used the downturn as a catalyst for implementing anything precipitously. We were very considered to plod along, we were actually hurting their future The Just Group focused on their suppliers to ensure organisational change that was already needed about what actions we would take. We planned and opportunities to develop…When times were good, the burden was shared, before any head count was and/or planned. then worked on it quickly.” we could afford to carry people we shouldn’t carry. affected. At MacDonald Johnston, (Australian subsidiary of We weren’t necessarily doing them a favour.” Jason Murray MD, The Just Group indicated that, At an employee level, many of the organisations a European parent) MD David Waldron ‘used the “During the first downturn (2008) our view was that During the second and more protracted downturn interviewed did one or more of the following: downturn to implement major projects needed by the right response was not purely cost focused… The Just Group looked at roles that had been the organisation to become stronger.’ » asked or insisted that people use up their we had to focus on three things. One, where do created during good times but had become less holidays; There were also human impacts, particularly in the we really make our money – sales. Two, the way relevant in difficult times. They did make some way individuals behaved. For the younger generation out was growth and this extra pain might create redundancies but also used natural attrition to » enforced holidays over the Christmas period this was the first downturn they had experienced. opportunities. Three, cost control.” reduce headcount. e.g. a two week closure; This created fear and uncertainty, as they saw Most of those interviewed indicated their primary Other responses to address the downturn were » asked for volunteers to take leave of absence/a others being retrenched. concern was to avoid redundancies wherever more tactical. Organisations: sabbatical e.g. to study or travel, and in the case possible. This was a very different approach to » Reviewed their hiring – often looking to hire of SEEK, offered a percentage of salary during “ previous downturns. Wayne Kayler-Thomson this time; Very early on, because our culture, better/more experienced people who would ‘get said that in the past, the immediate query from them through the downturn’. GUD changed some » asked people to take long service leave; engagement and people are so members contacting VECCI was, ‘How to manage of their management team to ‘slightly harder- important, we decided not to redundancies and downsizing?’ The significant » moved people between offices (Maddocks); nosed business people’. “I don’t like taking people change was that calls were coming in as usual but out and I don’t do it lightly, but it was the right » moved people into new jobs in different areas do redundancies. Redundancies this time they were about ‘how can I keep my staff, thing to do for the business.” (MacDonald Johnston); and have a dreadful impact on culture how can I reduce hours to keep them?’ Wayne’s view is that whilst this was partly a compassionate » Employed HR Managers where they had » moved people to a four-day week (MacDonald and are typically only a short- response, it was also because the downturn came previously had none. Johnston and PACCAR). ” term benefit. off the back of a keenly-felt skills shortage and » Delayed recruitment. 10 11
  • 7. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN The Results The Results “ Past experience had taught many of those interviewed ‘not to panic’ How did people react? Interestingly, a number of organisations indicated The organisations interviewed placed a significant that they were surprised by people’s reactions since and the importance of leadership at a time of recession. Nadika emphasis on communicating with staff, and this coming out of the downturn. Many of the younger Garber at Hinkler Books was a sales executive during a previous seems to have had a positive impact on how generation expected immediate salary increases; their staff reacted to the downturn initiatives. For they had unrealistic expectations as to how quickly downturn and so understood what it was like from an employee’s example, PACCAR cut out tea, coffee and biscuits. an organisation would recover. perspective. “Now my role is motivational, you want people to be When it was communicated that this equated to 2–3 There was also a hint that perhaps some ” more engaged than ever.” people keeping their jobs, it was accepted. employees hadn’t appreciated the lengths to Most staff felt concerned and uncertain but were which organisations had gone in order to avoid interested to hear how their organisation was going redundancies. to manage through the downturn, and the impact on What drove them to make these decisions KPMG when 14 Partners didn’t like how the firm them. If anything, people’s response was that they What would you do differently next time? or follow this strategy? was handling the 1991 recession. “So move to 2008 wanted to hear more. Most of the executives interviewed were satisfied and these Senior Partners are the most vocal in with the way they led their organisations through Did past experience play a part? Methods of communications included: saying ‘we will have Christmas parties, we will have the downturn and many wouldn’t do anything The fact that all those interviewed had experienced biscuits in the tea room.’” » Newsletters; significantly different. “What we did got us through an economic downturn in their working lives, as and it has got us through before.” (Andrew Past experience also impacted how quickly people » Blogs; business leaders or in their early career roles, Hadjikakou, PACCAR). responded. “I think I was too slow to react the had a significant impact on their approach. And in » Team meetings; first time. I have learnt to consult, but also to back Amongst those who would do things differently most cases their organisations had too. As Andrew my own instinct as well,” said Richard Wilson of » Video conferences; the most common responses were ‘go earlier’ and Hadjikakou put it, “PACCAR (US owned) operates in Landpower. ‘increase the level of communication even more’. a cyclical environment…this company knows what it » All-of-company meetings; and needs to do in a cyclical downturn.” “Even though we did a lot and I think the Town Hall What were their feelings going into the » One-on-one meetings as needed. style is good, you need to get right down to individual Past experience had taught many of those downturn? interviewed ‘not to panic’ and the importance of In some organisations such as Maddocks, they people and do this in a more coordinated way. My leadership at a time of recession. Nadika Garber Many of those interviewed went into the downturn asked staff to contribute ideas on how the firm could Practice Group Heads could have been trained up a of Hinkler Books was a sales executive during a with mixed feelings. save money and they received a lot of input. People bit better, and got out there a lot more and talked to previous downturn and so understood what it was There was definitely a sense of uncertainty and got into the spirit of it. people.” David Rennick [Maddocks]. like from an employee’s perspective. “Now my role nervousness, but at the same time, many of those Some generational differences were evident. Another response was to make tougher decisions in is motivational, you want people to be more engaged interviewed saw the downturn as an opportunity. It was widely felt that the younger generation the good times, ie better manage underperforming than ever.” needed more reassurance than older generations people, and to have better forecasting tools in place Jason Murray’s view was, “We can manage our way Similarly, for David Waldron of MacDonald Johnston through this as long as we know what we have to do or needed more information on why initiatives were in order to ‘get a better read’ on what is happening. the past was in the back of his mind but this was and we do it quickly.” being implemented. his first time as an MD and he realised his role How has the downturn impacted the Others shared a sense of ‘professional was now to guide the organisation. It was a year in disappointment’. Richard Wilson said, “It had been culture of the organisation ? which he worked harder than ever, analysing every The majority of those interviewed indicated that the such a stellar time, we were all enjoying great “ opportunity and communicating with staff. downturn had no long-term impact on their culture. KPI success and reporting was getting better and The cultural change has been For Jason Murray of The Just Group, his previous better…we felt frustrated… ‘not yet surely’ we However, a few indicated that it had made them experience as a Management Consultant gave him wanted to say.” our understanding that you can’t more performance-driven, more of a short-term the background knowledge to help him calibrate take anything for granted. driven culture, and less courageous. Another common feeling was one of responsibility. what a downturn does to a business: “What’s a good drop and what’s a bad drop and which levers to pull Andrew Hadjikakou from PACCAR summed up The downturn exposed the Wayne Kayler-Thomson said, “The cultural change this feeling. “I felt a huge responsibility on my has been that you can’t take anything for granted. to compensate.” shoulders. It’s all about incoming orders and I knew fact that we are part of a global The downturn exposed the fact that we are part of a ” History and culture also impacted how companies it was going to get tough…it was going to have dire economy. global economy.” chose to address the downturn. consequences on those working here and those who For example, Pitcher Partners was born out of supply to us.” a recession. The founding Partners split from 12 13
  • 8. Next time…Same same or different? REFLECTIONS ON MANAGING PEOPLE THROUGH THE DOWNTURN The Results Acknowledgements We would like to thank the following organisations How will you prepare for the next time? and specific individuals for their involvement in the While some of those interviewed felt that they development of this research: » We will start with a more strategic orientation and couldn’t do a lot to prepare for a downturn, others from that, clarify financial and brand goals. We ask recognised that their organisation could make more often… ‘What is our business? What are we Greg Nielsen David Waldron additional changes and preparations for future trying to achieve? What does success look like? Executive Director Managing Director downturns. Know this and you will know what you are chasing’; MacDonald Johnston Pitcher Partners Some of the responses were: » We will maintain the ‘disaster plan/contingency » We have learnt to be a lot more careful about how plan’ as part of the planning process each year; David Rennick Joe Powell we recruit; » We will retain a file and roll up learnings into Managing Partner Managing Director » We have embedded the learnings into our values, the Strategic Review. Actually plan for the next Maddocks SEEK Employment (Aust & NZ) systems, processes, goals and culture; downturn; and » We are now better at planning a year ahead and » We openly talk about the downturn in management Nadika Garber Wayne Kayler-Thomson meetings; also being able to turn things on and off as needed. Managing Director Chief Executive Officer Hinkler Books VECCI Jason Murray Jenny Gray Managing Director Chief Executive Officer “ The Just Group Zoos Victoria We will start with a more strategic orientation and from that, clarify financial and brand goals. We ask more often… ‘What is our Ian Campbell Andrew Hadjikakou business? What are we trying to achieve? What does success look Managing Director Director Sales and Marketing ” like? Know this and you will know what you are chasing.’ GUD Holdings Limited PACCAR Australia Richard Wilson Group CEO Landpower Aust & NZ Researchers Samantha Houston Julian Doherty Sarah Law Design & Layout Kim Bear 14 15
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