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What’s so scary
about planning for
bushfire?
Workshop
October 2013
Who are we to talk about bushfire?

2
What is the point?
• Strategically and economically it makes sense
• Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission
• State Planning Policy Framework

3
What is the point?

4
Bushfire behaviour 101

5
6
Factors affecting bushfire behaviour
• Vegetation (type and structure)

7
Factors affecting bushfire behaviour
• Topography (steep v flat)

8
Other factors to consider
• Strategic access
• Urban form that would modify the underlying vegetation
(and changes bushfire behaviour)
• Look at decision guidelines at Clause 52.47-3 of the VPPs

Semi Managed
Fuel

9
Scary and unfamiliar terminology
Forms of bushfire attack
• Ember attack
• Radiant heat
• Direct flame contact

10
Can you make some judgements?

11
12
13
14
15
So why do you think it is scary?
• The maps don’t give the answer
• It is not like a flood or native vegetation
• Comparing unlike things

• Subjective judgements about risk acceptance
Overcoming our fears?
• Accept the risk exists
• Present information about the bushfire hazard to
decision makers
• Form a judgment on acceptable risk – what is the
residual risk?
Risk Assessment

Acceptable

Not Acceptable
PANEL
Practical tools…
• In most peri-urban areas we will be considering
development in areas of:
• lesser risk (direct development)
• some risk (carefully consider and make a risk
judgement)

19
Information
Establish context

• Collate information regarding the site and
surrounds:
• Locality and site description (aerials and plans)
• Bushfire hazard information
•
•
•
•
•
•

Bushfire Management Overlay, Bushfire Prone Area mapping
Other Overlays – e.g. Environmental Significance Overlay
Victorian Fire Risk Register rating
Regional Bushfire Planning Assessment
Fire history
Any other relevant information

20
Information
Establish context (Cont.)
• Strategic justification
• Why has the location been selected?
• What other lesser risk locations were considered?
If none, why?
• Is there a structure plan (or similar) providing direction?
• Does that strategic plan consider bushfire matters?

• Outline of Proposal
• Conceptual plan

21
Information
Qualitative judgement/risk assessment
• For sites where development needs to be carefully
considered, additional information is required:
• Landscape scale assessment
•
•
•

Bushfire behaviour (landscape and local scale)
Access and egress both to the site and within the site
Proximity of the site to a settlement or township area

• Proposed bushfire protection measures
• Other information that may be necessary:
•
•
•

More information on the proposal (vulnerability)
Comments from Integrated Fire Management Planning/
Emergency Management
Vegetation controls/management
22
Case Study
•
•
•
•
•

Vegetation, topography and other factors?
What are the likely bushfire risks?
Forms of bushfire attack?
Mitigation measures?
Relationship with other planning objectives/
requirements?
• Residual risk – is it acceptable?

23
‘CREATING A
SAFER
COMMUNITY’
For more information visit
www.cfa.vic.gov.au

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Mc Millan_Orsini_Workshop_What is so scary about planning for bushfire

  • 1. What’s so scary about planning for bushfire? Workshop October 2013
  • 2. Who are we to talk about bushfire? 2
  • 3. What is the point? • Strategically and economically it makes sense • Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission • State Planning Policy Framework 3
  • 4. What is the point? 4
  • 6. 6
  • 7. Factors affecting bushfire behaviour • Vegetation (type and structure) 7
  • 8. Factors affecting bushfire behaviour • Topography (steep v flat) 8
  • 9. Other factors to consider • Strategic access • Urban form that would modify the underlying vegetation (and changes bushfire behaviour) • Look at decision guidelines at Clause 52.47-3 of the VPPs Semi Managed Fuel 9
  • 10. Scary and unfamiliar terminology Forms of bushfire attack • Ember attack • Radiant heat • Direct flame contact 10
  • 11. Can you make some judgements? 11
  • 12. 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. So why do you think it is scary?
  • 17. • The maps don’t give the answer • It is not like a flood or native vegetation • Comparing unlike things • Subjective judgements about risk acceptance
  • 18. Overcoming our fears? • Accept the risk exists • Present information about the bushfire hazard to decision makers • Form a judgment on acceptable risk – what is the residual risk? Risk Assessment Acceptable Not Acceptable PANEL
  • 19. Practical tools… • In most peri-urban areas we will be considering development in areas of: • lesser risk (direct development) • some risk (carefully consider and make a risk judgement) 19
  • 20. Information Establish context • Collate information regarding the site and surrounds: • Locality and site description (aerials and plans) • Bushfire hazard information • • • • • • Bushfire Management Overlay, Bushfire Prone Area mapping Other Overlays – e.g. Environmental Significance Overlay Victorian Fire Risk Register rating Regional Bushfire Planning Assessment Fire history Any other relevant information 20
  • 21. Information Establish context (Cont.) • Strategic justification • Why has the location been selected? • What other lesser risk locations were considered? If none, why? • Is there a structure plan (or similar) providing direction? • Does that strategic plan consider bushfire matters? • Outline of Proposal • Conceptual plan 21
  • 22. Information Qualitative judgement/risk assessment • For sites where development needs to be carefully considered, additional information is required: • Landscape scale assessment • • • Bushfire behaviour (landscape and local scale) Access and egress both to the site and within the site Proximity of the site to a settlement or township area • Proposed bushfire protection measures • Other information that may be necessary: • • • More information on the proposal (vulnerability) Comments from Integrated Fire Management Planning/ Emergency Management Vegetation controls/management 22
  • 23. Case Study • • • • • Vegetation, topography and other factors? What are the likely bushfire risks? Forms of bushfire attack? Mitigation measures? Relationship with other planning objectives/ requirements? • Residual risk – is it acceptable? 23
  • 24. ‘CREATING A SAFER COMMUNITY’ For more information visit www.cfa.vic.gov.au