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2013 IDC Spain Predictions Team




                    Rafael Achaerandio @rafaachaerandio
                    Lluís Altés @Lluis_Altes
                    José Curto @josepcurto
                    Fernando Maldonado @FmaldonadoF
                    David McNally @dave_mcnally
  #IDCpredictions
                    Marta Muñoz @MartaMunozMV



                     © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   1
Revisión de las predicciones de 2012

1-2012: La recuperación tendrá que esperar
2-Masa crítica para una nueva generación de servicios
3-La irreversibilidad de la consumerización
4- Social Business – Dejando la experimentación
5-Internet of Things – De la promesa a una realidad
6-Big Data – La disrupción llega a las decisiones
7-Las tecnologías inteligentes serán verticales
8-Cloud redefinirá la cadena de valor de la industria
9-Liderazgo tecnológico para la transformación
10-La transición tecnológica a la tercera plataforma


                © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   2
La Tercera Plataforma, la Economía
 Inteligente y la Crisis Española
De 2013 a 2020, el 90% del
Crecimiento de la Industria TIC
será realizado por tecnologías
de la 3a Plataforma, que hoy,
representan solo el 25% del
gasto TIC.

El 80% de la energía
competitiva debería enfocarse
en fortalecer las ofertas y
capacidades en esta
plataforma.

                     © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   3
La Tercera Plataforma, La Economía
Inteligente y del mercado de las TI
        Evolución la Crisis Española




        2013
        2012                                                        2010
        2011                                                        2006
        2002                                          2007 2003 2005 1997 2000

        1993                  2016                    2001 1994 2004 1996 1999

2009 1992               2014 2008 2015 1991 1990 1989 1995 1998 1987 1988

 -10%   -5>-1%   -1/%    0%    1%          2>3%          4>6%          7>9% 10>11% 12>15% 17>20%    30%+   40%+



                                    © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                 4
#1 – Telco: Movilidad y
            soluciones “en la nube”


Movilidad
                                                                 +5%
                                16%




                                                                          84%
                                                                                 -4%
                                           ICT            Movilidad



                 © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain         5
#1 – Telco: Movilidad y soluciones “en la
nube”
 Crecimiento facturación de datos
  móviles en sector empresas 5%
  2012/13
 Crecimiento facturación de Hosted
  VoIP 18% 2012/13
    Principales impulsores:
       Presión sobre coste total de comunicaciones
       Oferta: incremento de volumen de oferta y características –
        reducción de precios
       Demanda: Cambio mentalidad empresarial
           UC para MNCs
           Colaboración para PYMES


                      © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   6
Louise Bourgeois   © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   7
#2 – Cloud Computing: La nube
            explota en España

Cloud
Computing                                     8%              +25%




                                                                   92%           -5%

                                                ICT            Cloud



                 © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain         8
#2 – Cloud Computing: La nube
explota en España
                                           Adopción
                                             14,9%
2011       1,5% 4,5% 11%                              1,5%                  4,5%                 11%
                             93%                                167                        144
                                                                                            %      83%
                                                                 %



2012       4%   11% 22%                                  4%                    11%               22%
Leyenda
 Privada

 Pública                                   Adopción
 Ambas
                                                29%
                           © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain           9
#2 – Cloud Computing: Habrá más
   empresas en la nube que fuera de
   ella
                  •Situación económica
             • Madurez/competencia oferta
                 • Referencias mercado
                 • Nuevas necesidades
             • “Awareness” en el mercado.                                                        2013: +50%
                                                                                                  Ambos: +7%
                                                                                                  Convertido: 6%
                                                                                                  Anticipado: 9%
                                    2012: 29%
                                                                                                  Previsto: 6%
                                     Ambos: 4,5%
                                     Convertido: 4%
                                     Anticipado: 6%
   2011: 14,9%
                                     Previsto: 4%
    Ambos: 1,5%


Ambas es distinto de híbrido



                                 © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                      10
#2 – Cloud Computing: ¿y ahora qué?

  2012 punto de                                                                       CIO, decisor
  inflexión en la
                                                                                      clave, y CxO,
  adopción como
  resultado de la                                                                        decisor
       crisis                                                                          emergente



        Mayor
                                                                                      Nuevos actores
   penetración de
                                                                                        ganan peso
  la cloud privada,
                                                                                      (telcos, hosters,
   pero la pública
                                                                                            etc.)
      se acelera



                      © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                   11
#3 – Social Business: lo social ya
           no es una moda


Social
Business                                        <1% +45%




                                                                                 -3%
                                                    99%
                                                 ICT Social



                 © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain         12
#3 – Social Business: lo social ya no
es una moda

                                                                               23% de
                                                                               empresas
                                                                              españolas ya
                                                                             han desplegado




                                                                             Los casos de
                                                                              uso siguen
                                                                                siendo
                                                                              inmaduros




             © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                    13
#3 – Social Business: 2013 La
Revolución Social llega a la Empresa
Inteligente
                                                                                        La clave está
                                                                                             en la
   2013: año                                                                           integración en
  del shift cultural                                                                    los procesos
                                                                                         de negocio




   Gran                                                                                Más del 30%
                                                                                       de empresas
  empresa                                                                               adoptarán
    liderará el                                                                           Social
      cambio                                                                             Business



                       © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                    14
#3 – Social Business: ¿procesos?
                                Social business market
Collaborative applications                               CRM                                       Digital commerce

Enterprise social software                           Sales                                         Customer experience
                                                                                                      management
                                          Sales intelligence
Innovation management                                                                               Social commerce

                                          Sales enablement
               ERM                                                                                  Supplier networks
                                                 Marketing
            PPM
                                      Social marketing automation
 Collaborative project
     management                                                                                                                Legend
                                            Customer service
                                                                                                                           Compound market
            HCM                              Community
                                             management                                                             Secondary software markets

  Talent acquisition                          Contact center                                                            Functional software markets

                                                                                                                               Subtheme
                                            Social channel
    Social learning
                                              response

      Socialytics (network behavior, content, social data, consumer sentiment)
  Social collaboration                                                                                          Social relationship
                             Social data analytics                         Text analytics
       analytics                                                                                                    analytics


                                   © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                                            15
#4 – Big Data: fase inicial de
           adopción


Big Data
                                               <1% +40%




                                                                                -3%
                                                 99%
                                             ICT   Big Data



                © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain         16
#4 – Big Data: fase inicial de
adopción
                                                                                     4,8% de
  19,3% de                                                                         empresas están
    empresas                                                                       realizado pilotos
  familiarizadas                                                                    y desplegando
                                                                                       iniciativas




   5,2% de                                                                            52% de
    empresas
                                                                                   empresas tiene
   conocen el
                                                                                      un gap
   concepto y
                                                                                    tecnológico
   fabricantes




                   © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                       17
#4 – Big Data: grandes
expectativas de crecimiento


                2014
         2013                                Más del
 ¿Estamos preparados para billones de
  2012
                19,4%
  personas y empresas recopilando y
                de
                empresas
         analizando datos?
                                                      Más del
         4,8% de                                      7,6%
         empresas                                     de
                                                      empresas


                       © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   18
#4 – Big Data: El año de la definición
de las propuestas de valor

   ¿Tengo el
   portfolio /                                                                      Big Data +
 partnership /                                                                     Analytics: la
infraestructura                                                                   pareja de baile
  adecuados?



                                                                                      Dame
  ¿Tengo las                                                                      soluciones, no
competencias                                                                          me des
  adecuadas?                 Implementar                                          tecnología o
                           progresivamente                                           humo


                  © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                     19
#5- Retail: Salto de la
             multicanalidad al omnicanal.

IDC Retail
Insights


                                                                          06%
                                                                           -0,3%



             Manufacturing Energy                                     Retail
             Government    Financial                                  Otros




                     © IDC Retail Insights   Visit us at IDC-ri.com             20
#5- Retail: del multicanal al
omnicanal.

  Consumidor    Experiencia       Nuevo
  OmniCanal     de usuario      Ecosistema




                 Big Data

                                             21
#5- Retail: Del multicanal al
omniCanal




                                22
#5- La naturaleza cambiante
del proceso de compra
Tradicionalmente:




       Estímulos   Primer momento       Segundo
                     de la verdad     momento de la
                     En la estantería    verdad
                      En la tienda        Uso


 Secuencial
 “Se compra lo que está en stock”
                                                      23
#5- El nuevo proceso de compra
                                           Descuento /
 Estímulos    Navegación   Investigación                  Transacción   Seguimiento
                                           Fidelización



 Facebook                                                    Call          Blogs
                                                            Center

 Daily deal                   Digital                                     Review
   sites                      Store                          POS           site

  Blogs         Printed     Facebook                        In-store       Store
                                            Groupon
¡10 puntos de contacto de media!
 Word of
               Catalogue

                               In-site
                                                             kiosk

                                                                           Email
                 Store                        Wrapp        Facebook
 Mouth                        reviews                                       CC

                Mobile        Click to       Coupon         Mobile
  Twitter                                                                 Twitter
                 app           chat           sites          app

                Online        Review         Loyalty        Online
   Email                                                                 Facebook
                store          sites         scheme         store




                                                                                    24
#5- Momentos OmniCanal de
participación
             Investigación



                                            Nuevo mapa de
Navegación
                             Descuento /
                             Fidelización   experiencia:
                                             Continua
                                             “Tenemos lo que
                                            compraras”

Estímulos                    Transacción




             Seguimiento




                                                                25
#5- El modelo (o3) para la próxima
  década
  “Los nuevos clientes serán OmniCanal: conectados digitalmente ,
  instrumentado y con un estilo de vida impulsado e inspirado por las
  experiencias únicas con sus marcas preferidas”



  Omnicanal                         Experiencia de
                                       usuario
  Orquestación

  Optimización



                                                                  Consumidor
                                                       Nuevo
Source: IDC Retail Insights, 2012                                 OmniCanal
                                                     Ecosistema
                                                                          26
#6- Manufacturing: Orientación a
                la información, construyendo la
                fábrica del futuro.
IDC
Manufacturing                                                                 25%

Insights                                                                            -0,4%




                  Manufacturing Energy                                         Retail
                  Government    Financial                                      Otros




                      © IDC Manufacturing Insights   Visit us at IDC-mi.com             27
#6 – Orientación a la información clave de la
industria inteligente del futuro
2009




2012




                                                28
#6 – Productividad, productividad y
  productividad.
        P. ¿Cuáles son las estrategias de negocio
        que seguirá su compañía en los próximos
                       dos años?
   Mejorar la respuesta de la                                                               Productividad de los procesos.
    cadena de suministro              4

   Conseguir la excelencia
  operacional en fabricación          4

   Impulsar la Innovación de
                                                                                            Productividad del ecosistema.
           Producto                   4,1

Explotar nuevos Mercados y
         Segmentos                    4,1
                                                                                            Productividad de las personas
Estrechar las Relaciones con
     los Clientes Clave                     4,4

    Reducir los costes e
incrementar la productividad                 4,5
                                                                                            Gestión de la productividad.
                                3,5           4                 4,5                    5

                                          Fuente: IDC Manufacturing Insights 2012 – N=155 Grandes Empresas Industriales Españolas

                                               © IDC Manufacturing Insights   Visit us at IDC-mi.com                                29
#6 – Productividad y tercera
plataforma
Productividad y ecosistema   Gestión de la productividad




Productividad persona        Productividad de procesos




                                                           30
#6 – La fábrica del futuro

 Producción
   masiva /                                      Intensiva en
personalizada
                                                   personas


                Entorno de toma de decisiones

                                                Intensiva en TIC



                    Datos en tiempo real
 Producción
                                                 Centrada en
   masiva                                       automatización



                                                                   31
#6 – El camino hacia las fábricas
  del futuro
"La gente va a estar en el centro de la fábrica del futuro, ya que proporcionan
el grado de flexibilidad y capacidad de decisión que se requieren para hacer
frente a la creciente complejidad"


 Impresoras 3D

 Automatización

 Plataforma TI operacional




                                                                          32
#7- Utilities: Las utilities abrazan
             la tercera plataforma.

IDC Energy
Insights

                                                     02%
                                                    1,6%




             Manufacturing Energy           Retail
             Government    Financial        Otros



                                                       33
#7 – Las utilities abrazan la tercera
plataforma
                      Creciente experimentación en tarifas por uso para
                    Flexibilidad “por defecto” en la de los usuarios. –
                      condicionar el comportamiento
                    implantación de “Smart grids” En general, se
                        prioridad menor en residencial-.
                     desarrollarán servicios basados en la inteligencia de
                    Demoras regulatorias frenan el
                     Mayor competencia en elysegmento retail empuja a
                               red para retener adquirir clientes.
                   despliegue de “Smart metering” generar nuevos
                       un mayor uso de analíticas para
                     servicios, entender mejor al cliente y proveer de una
                   CIOs necesitarán recursos para
                                  mayor flexibilidad al negocio.
                   Búsqueda de soluciones que integren una
                     transformar las operaciones
              La movilidad distribuida (ej. en la fuerzageneración y
               generación impacta tanto Plantas de de ventas
               el área de mantenimiento como en el cliente final.
                Involucrar al cliente será el nombre
              virtuales), microredes descentralizadas, gestión de
                           del demanda (ej. ralentizará,
                                juego en 2013
          El despliegue de Smart meter seVE),etc.
          aumentando la presión sobre los precios de
      equipos. Las utilities harán énfasis en data para de
                 Apuesta por analíticas/big la gestión
     La convergencia de IT ya la información generada
              sacar sentido OT continúa, lo cual puede
         demanda con foco en redes domésticas (HAN)
      representar una oportunidad para que el CIO tome
                    Estalla la fiebre de apps y
                        el liderazgo.
                       dispositivos móviles

                 El efecto “Smart cities” seguirá en
                               2013
                     Visit us at www.idc-ei.com Follow us on Twitter@IDCSpainInsights   34
#7 – El efecto Smart cities seguirá en
2013
   Financiación de las Smartcities

                                                                   Objetivos de eficiencia energética


                                                                   Iniciativas internacionales -Ej.
                                                                    Convenant of Mayors- y nacionales -Red
                                                                    de Ciudades Inteligentes en España-


                                                                   Fondos estructurales


  Source: Spanish Smart Cities survey, IDC Energy Insights 2012




                                                                                                         35
#7 – El efecto Smart cities
Las smart cities son el laboratorio de las utilities, una vez probado el
concepto, el reto será su escalado.

 Uso de smart cities como
plataforma de iniciativas de Smart
Grids.

 Búsqueda del ecosistema
adecuado para aprovechar el
efecto smart cities.

 Búsqueda de reusabilidad de
proyectos.


                                                                           36
#8 – El año de la reinvención del
             sector público - Menos
             inversión y distinto gasto
IDC
Government
Insights


                                                                             -2,1%
                                                                          10%


                Manufacturing Energy                                      Retail
                Government    Financial                                   Otros




                     © IDC Government Insights   Visit us at IDC-gi.com            37
#8 – El año de la reinvención del sector
     público - Menos inversión y distinto gasto
                                                                     % PIB

                                                                           ESPAÑA
                                               2,900


                                                                              ,400                         ,300
                                                                   -,300
                                                                                        -1,400    -1,600

                                                         -3,700



                                        2008      2009      2010       2011      2012      2013      2014




                                                                     Economía

           Desempleo
30

20
                              EU (27)
10                            España
                              Italia
0




      Fuente: Eurostat y Funcas


                                                                                                                  38
#8 – Un Gran Reto para los CIOs
                                                                                                  Mejorar los
   Proteger datos            ¡Cumplir con                                                          servicios
   sensibles a la           la regulación!                                                         básicos           Mejorar la
   vez que se es                                                                                                     eficiencia
        más                                                                                                         operacional
    transparente

                                                                                                                       Racionalizar
                                                                                                                        los costes
Ser más ágiles                                                                                                         TIC sin poder
    en la                                                                                                                  tomar
 respuesta a                                                                                                              muchas
     las                                                                                                                decisiones
 necesidades
   públicas




        Enriquecer los
     perfiles internos en
                                                                                                                     Integrar los
           ocasiones
                                                                                                                       sistemas
      desmotivados a la
                                                                                                                   heredados con
    vez que se colabora
                                                                                                                nuevos entornos de
        con empresas
                                                                                                                  la 3ª Plataforma
    privadas en entornos
          de escasez



                                             © IDC Government Insights   Visit us at IDC-gi.com                                   39
#8 – Otras Aproximaciones




Francis Maude - Minister for the Cabinet Office and Paymaster General, and as a Member of Parliament representing the constituency of Horsham



                                                    © IDC Government Insights   Visit us at IDC-gi.com                            40
#8 – Distintas Estrategias




                                                                   TIR = 27,7%
                                                                   VAN = 7,7M€


              © IDC Government Insights   Visit us at IDC-gi.com             41
#9 – 2013 crítico para el "run the
            bank", lo Social y Big Data
            marcarán la diferencia en el
            "change the bank”
IDC
Financial
Insights



                                                     11%               -2,8%
               Manufacturing Energy                                    Retail
               Government    Financial                                 Otros




                     © IDC Financial Insights Visit us at IDC-fi.com            42
#9 – 2013 crítico para el "run the bank", lo
Social y Big Data marcarán la diferencia en el
"change the bank”




                  © IDC Financial Insights Visit us at IDC-fi.com   43
Aceleradores Tecnológicos y de
Negocio 2013



 Big Data/
                Regulation      Effectiveness    Growth
                                                 Growth
 Analytics




                 Channel        Infrastructure   Expense
                Proliferation     Resilience     Control




                                                          44
Las Entidades Exitosas...
         Aumentarán las inversiones –
          “Change Bank”




         Reducirán costes TIC – “Run the
          Bank”




           © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   45
Canales: Estrategia Omnicanal




          © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   46
Algún Ejemplo … Nacional




          © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   47
#10 – By 2016, business
             executives will be directly
             involved in 80% of IT
CIO AGENDA   investments
                            The Future of the CIO Role
                                        10%




                                                                                  50%

                   40%




                                           Business Innovator
                                           Services Manager
                                           Operational CIO
                  © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain    48
Agenda


 IT Investment Outlook for 2013

 2013 CIO Top Ten Predictions

 Essential Guidance




                                   4
CIO’s 2013 Personal Agenda
Q. In 2013, which of the following goals will be top of your personal agenda as CIO?
   Please select your top 3 goals.

       Focus the IT organization more on business
           strategy than technology strategy
          Foster a culture within IT that drives more
                          innovation
      Foster a culture within IT where IT more often
        provides a qualified "yes" to the business

                   Better align IT with the business

     Focus IT organization on better understanding                                                             US
          the requirements of the consumers
                                                                                                               WE
                  Carve out more IT budget for new
                     projects/innovative projects                                                              Total
               More effectively attract new IT talent

                           Re-skill existing IT talent

    Implement a more rigorous process to evaluate
             new ideas for IT to take on

                                                     0%   5%   10%      15%         20%        25%
                                                               n = 70
                                                               WE respondents = 21; US respondents = 49
                                                               Source: IDC 2013 CIO Agenda Survey, Fall 2012
                                                                                                                 5
2013 IT Budget Outlook

Q. In 2013, do you expect your total IT budget to increase, decrease or remain the same as 2012?
   Please indicate the percentage change in your IT budget from 2012 to 2013.

    50%
    45%
    40%
             Avg. increase = 11.4%
    35%
    30%
                                                      Avg. decrease = 3.6%
    25%
    20%
    15%
    10%
      5%
      0%
                            Increase                           Decrease          Stay the Same
   n= 68
   US and WE respondents
   Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment Survey, Fall 2012



                                                                                                 6
Drivers of IT Budget Changes
                Increases                                                Decreases
You Indicated in the previous question that you              You indicated in the previous question that you
expect your organization’s IT budget to increase            expect your organization’s IT budget to decrease
 in 2013, please select all contributing factors              in 2013, please select all contributing factors
                   that apply.                                                  that apply.

                Growth                                77%    Negative Economy                          62%
        New Projects                             64%
                                                              Weak Biz Outlook                  39%
            New Gear                          55%

           Repl. Gear                      46%                       IT Effiency                 46%

           Regulatory                27%                           Lost Funding           23%
   Positive Economy                18%
                                                               Open IT Projects          15%
Positive Biz Outlook               18%

                   M&A             18%                       Increased Inhouse           15%

                          0% 20% 40% 60% 80%100%                                   0%   20% 40% 60% 80%
   n= 68
   US and WE respondents
   Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment Survey, Fall 2012



                                                                                                         7
The 3rd Platform Shift:
From IT Productivity to Business Productivity

                      Public               Omnichannel              Smart
     Innovation
                      Safety    Smart         Retail   Connected    Cities
                               Buildings                 Health
                      Smart                Connected                Mobile
                       Grid                 Vehicles               Payments
     Information


   Business Agility
                                    Intelligent Industries

      IT Agility


      Services



      Systems


                                                                              8
#1 - By 2016, LOB executives will be directly
       involved in 80% of new IT investments

                                                   Of the new internal IT projects initiated at your
Prediction
                                                   company this year, what percentage will be led
 58% of new IT investments in 2013 will           under the following scenarios?
  involve direct participation by LOB executives
 Companies will initiate an average of 40 new           Project solely led /
                                                                                                                42%
  IT projects in 2013 (with or without IT)                managed by IT

 Line of business’ participation in IT projects
  will grow to 80% in 3 years                         Project jointly led /
 The implications are vast on how the CIO           managed by IT and the                           33%
  works with the line of business                           LOBs

Situation Assessment
                                                   Project led / managed by
 Cloud, social and mobile services are the          LOBs, but subject to                  17%
  great equalizers, the balance-wheel of the             review by IT
  corporate machinery
 Notable instances of CEOs and CFOs driving
                                                      Project solely led /
  the migration to Cloud and Managed Services                                         8%
                                                     managed by the LOBs


   It is Time to Revisit IT Planning, Governance, and                           0%   10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
             Portfolio Management Methods                                  N = 57
                                                                           Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment
                                                                           Survey, Fall 2012

                                                                                                            9
#2 - By 2015, 90% of IT investments will be
       evaluated in terms of strategic goals
Prediction
 Businesses will no longer view technology             IDC’s CIO 360° Model
  investments as “IT investments”
 They will be treated in the same way as any
  other investment
 Sharper clarity and accountability around risk
  and return
Situation Assessment
 Risk-to-Return: No more investments based
  on infrastructure requirements
 Sourcing-to-Service: Balancing what is
  possible vs. what is necessary to deliver IT
  services
 Process-to-Organization: Process flow and
  design follows from service requirements,
  organization follows the process stages as
  they move through the enterprise

   Key characteristics of an IT services-based model (self-service, metered use, multi-
             tenancy) create accountability and alignment to business goals


                                                                                    10
#3 - CIOs and CFOs will move to “zero capital”
      and transform the IT financial model

Prediction
 The IT financial model is fundamentally changing
 Businesses will transform the IT financial model by adopting
  an IT “service-based” IT operational and financial model
 Zero capital model will enable the business to produce true
  product-line profitability by assessing IT (services) costs

Situation Assessment
 In mature economies, 50%+ of all capital equipment is IT
                                                                   Capital Intensive
 As expensive as IT is, most orgs do not fully allocate capital
   or expenses to business units
 There are major business and economic issues with broad
   implications
 Strong business impetus to shift computing platforms to
   more capital efficient models – cloud, outsourcing, etc.


The Zero-Capital IT financial model means IT shifts
     from SG&A to a true product line expense
                                                                      Capital Lean


                                                                                       11
#4 – In 2013, CIOs deliver 3rd Platform
        mash-ups as competitive differentiators
Prediction
 Innovative CIOs will build their 3 rd Platform         Q. I see the role of CIO evolving
  mash-up (Cloud, Mobile, Social, Big Data) to              to be Chief Innovation Officer
  gain a competitive edge in their industry
 Business execs will innovate with SaaS as LOB       Strongly Agree               19%
  acquisition of Cloud Services accelerates
 CIOs will develop the Cloud Architecture and                 Agree                             52%
  Integration to build the Extended Enterprise
 Technology partners will leverage recent          Neither agree nor
  investments to foster innovation in Cloud,            disagree
  Mobile, Social and Big Data
                                                            Disagree
Background
 SaaS and Mobile Services have delivered
                                                    Strongly Disagree
  breakthrough business services
 Analytics is now on the Board agenda                                  0%     20% 40% 60%
   3rdPlatform pilots demonstrating value across
                                                               n= 64
    industries                                                 Source: IDC CIO Agenda Survey. Fall, 2011


                      The CIO dilemma: “innovate or lose relevance”

                                                                                                   12
#5 - 70% of CIOs will embrace a “cloud first”
       strategy in 2016
Prediction
 Today, only 23% of enterprises have a “cloud first”        What is on the CIO’s 2013 Agenda
  strategy on all new IT purchases
 As CIOs establish cloud architecture standards, update
  service mgmt processes for cloud and develop a cloud
  migration path, this will grow
 Experience in cloud initiatives will address the current
  “skills gap” identified by many CIOs
 PaaS solutions will be the Next Gen platform for CIOs
 IaaS will radically drive down costs for early adopters
Situation Assessment
 SaaS provides a direct linkage between solutions and
  business demand in a self-service model
 IasS will empower business users to decide on data
  retention, processing needs, and network access needs
 Software Vendors aggressively investing in Cloud
 SMB CIOs still reluctant to adopt SaaS and IaaS                n= 47
                                                                 Source: IDC CIO Cloud Study. April-June, 2012
 Architecture standards evolving in market with Cloud
  Migrations defying vendor lock-in

                                CFOs will accelerate CLOUD FIRST
                                                                                                           13
#6 - By 2013, one third of all new application
      development will target a mobile form
      factor
Prediction                                                     Q. What Percentage of New Apps will
                                                                  be for Mobile Devices vs. Non-
 In 2013, 33% of all new apps will target a mobile platform      Mobile Devices?
 In 2014, 40% of new mobile apps will target multiple OS
 IT must decide on the mobile OS and device strategy as
  46% of mobile app budget goes towards maintenance            Mobile Only Devices     17%
 More apps, integration and multi-platform development
  will drive 60% of new mobile apps to be developed by IT
  services providers in 2013
 Enterprise mobile app penetration will force either: a          Mobile and Non-
  move to a standard corporate-liable devices (for                Mobile Devices       16%
  compatibility) or multi-platform development
Situation Assessment
 “Mobile devices are the new primary design point”               Non-Mobile Only
 Development portfolios skewed toward customers, sales,              Devices                   67%
   and service functions
 Mobile development is as much as 80% of some
   development portfolios today                                                  0%       50%   100%
 Mobile development is based on SOA practices
                                                                    IDC’s CIO Mobile Survey
                                                                    Fall, 2012


                                                                                                 14
#7 - Enterprise social networks move beyond
      pilot stage with business sponsorship

Prediction
 As pilot programs demonstrate value, CIOs will seek out
  business sponsors in 2013 to move enterprise social
  networks beyond the pilot stage
 Social tools will be integrated with enterprise apps,
  connecting people inside and outside the firewall
 Solutions for collaboration and file sharing will remain
  popular projects, owned by the CIO
 E-mail persists but becomes more social
Situation Assessment
 Cultural fit is essential to success
 Business case can be difficult - 82% of CIOs are unsure or
  disagree that “We are able to accurately measure the ROI of
  our social business apps,” according to IDC social survey
 Security, compliance and IP protection will remain barriers
 Socialytics are a challenge due to complex data integration


    Social Business maturity often starts with experimentation (a pilot) and
                moves to integration after value is demonstrated

                                                                           15
#8 - Big Data & Analytics projects will be like
       no other IT project

Prediction                                                      The Challenges CIOs Will Face
 Get ready for a whole new IT project - more                                 Business Analytics Challenges
  experimenting, less predictive outcomes;                        High costs of technology                              47%
  shortage of talent available to work on your            Data integration is very complex                         40%
  project; project plans with 60-day iterations         Insufficient specialized IT skill-sets
                                                            required for implementation                      31%
Situation Assessment                                   Design and deployment time is too
                                                                                                            28%
                                                                        lengthy
 Big data/analytics projects will change the       Insufficient specialized analytical skills
                                                                                                            27%
                                                                 required for use
   way businesses make decisions
                                                                          Poor data quality            22%
 CIOs must understand what is necessary to
                                                          Insufficient computing resources             22%
   succeed
 Data architecture, data quality and data                                      Big Data Challenges
   governance is a major gap in large             Deciding what data is relevant (what data
                                                   to keep/store and what data to discard)                              25%
   enterprises
 The technology will be easy when compared                Cost of technology infrastructure               13%

   to the business case                           Not having enough or the right IT skills to
                                                         manage Big Data projects                      11%
 Seeking major funding for a rapid                Not having enough or the right analytics
                                                          staff to analyze the data                   10%
   development with no certain value
                                                         Not knowing how to decide which
                                                                                                      9%
 Talent (both IT and analytics) needs to be           technology is best/most appropriate …

   able to create answers to undefined            Lack of business support and/or business
                                                  units do not understand the benefits of …           9%
   questions
                                                  Source: IDC 2012 Vertical IT & Communications Survey
                                                  N = 2699

                                                                                                                   16
#9 - IT Talent will be become the biggest
      barrier to innovation
Prediction
 CIOs will find a wide range of IT talent issues highly correlated to
  location and industry including:
   Recruiting
   Retention
   Talent Development – Skills and Leadership
   Performance Management
 Inability to access new skill sets will limit an IT innovation
Situation Assessment
 By 2016, the U.S. market has a severe shortage of IT labor
 Technology developments are far outpacing workforce
   development while the first-generation IT workforce retires
 CIOs will need to cultivate best practices in IT talent strategies:
    Assess current state and today’s needs
    Define future organization model and skill needs
    Create the internal talent strategy
    Re-think sourcing strategies to augment IT talent
    External IT talent has also become critical



                                                                         17
#10 - By 2018, 50% of business execs will
     view the CIO as a business innovator
Prediction
 By 2018, 50% of business executives will view their CIO primarily as a partner for business
  innovation and improvement, while 50% will still view the CIO primarily as the overseer of IT
  costs, risks and services. While CIOs may need to play all three roles, the key is business
  perception. This has broad implications for the CIO Agenda
 The transition from a portfolio of systems and technologies to a portfolio of services positions the
  CIO to engage in business innovation and improvement

                    Operational CIO        Business Services Manager         Chief Innovation Officer

  1993            90%                     10%                                0%

  2013            70%                     20%                                10%

  2018            10%                     40%                                50%

  Goal            Keep the Lights On      Provide an agile portfolio of      Business Innovator
                                          Business Services
  Focus           Costs and Risk          Service Excellence                 Business Value

  Jobs Scope      Data Center, IT Ops     Business and Technology            Business Processes,
                                          Service Catalog                    Capabilities and Analytics


                                                                                                         18
Essential Guidance:
    Focus on the Information not the Technology

    Economic growth will be uneven in 2013; beyond will be
     followed by modest economic expansion
    Intense global competition accelerating innovation and
     the pace of business change                                  Adapt and Thrive!
    IT strategies must be adaptable to seize opportunities
     and counter global competition
    Plan for an Extended Enterprise Architecture model as a
     foundation for the agile enterprise
    The compelling economic advantages of IaaS (Zero-
     Capital) will soon make Cloud First a CFO imperative
    Adoption, integration and management of information
     services will be keys to IT agility
    Next-gen sourcing and IT talent strategies will enable the
     transition from Information Systems to Services


    The right portfolio of services and systems
         will enable the agile enterprise and
            separate winners from losers


                                                                                      19
El pilar fundamental y sus derivadas


Lluís Altés
                                      @Lluis_Altes
Director General

                                       #IDCpredictions
“The simplicity of happiness”




           © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   66
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   67
Velocidad adaptación al cambio




          © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   68
La sombra de TI se alarga




          © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   69
“Innovación como palanca de cambio y de
evolución, buscando nuevas formas de hacer
las cosas y de enfrentarse a los retos.”
                                                                                  Mariano Ferrera
                                                                             BSPreviews Magazine




             © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                     70
IDC CxO Programme
Whitepaper                                             CxOs Connections en
“Enterprise Tech Strategy”                             Colaboración con:




CFO Summit
Noviembre 2013
                                                           Diálogos CxOs




                 CIO Summit
                 Septiembre 2013
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   72
Feliz Navidad
         y
Próspero Año 2013


  © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain   73
#IDCpredictions




@IDCSpain                                                          IDC Research España




       © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain                     74

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Idc predictions españa 2013

  • 1. 2013 IDC Spain Predictions Team Rafael Achaerandio @rafaachaerandio Lluís Altés @Lluis_Altes José Curto @josepcurto Fernando Maldonado @FmaldonadoF David McNally @dave_mcnally #IDCpredictions Marta Muñoz @MartaMunozMV © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 1
  • 2. Revisión de las predicciones de 2012 1-2012: La recuperación tendrá que esperar 2-Masa crítica para una nueva generación de servicios 3-La irreversibilidad de la consumerización 4- Social Business – Dejando la experimentación 5-Internet of Things – De la promesa a una realidad 6-Big Data – La disrupción llega a las decisiones 7-Las tecnologías inteligentes serán verticales 8-Cloud redefinirá la cadena de valor de la industria 9-Liderazgo tecnológico para la transformación 10-La transición tecnológica a la tercera plataforma © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 2
  • 3. La Tercera Plataforma, la Economía Inteligente y la Crisis Española De 2013 a 2020, el 90% del Crecimiento de la Industria TIC será realizado por tecnologías de la 3a Plataforma, que hoy, representan solo el 25% del gasto TIC. El 80% de la energía competitiva debería enfocarse en fortalecer las ofertas y capacidades en esta plataforma. © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 3
  • 4. La Tercera Plataforma, La Economía Inteligente y del mercado de las TI Evolución la Crisis Española 2013 2012 2010 2011 2006 2002 2007 2003 2005 1997 2000 1993 2016 2001 1994 2004 1996 1999 2009 1992 2014 2008 2015 1991 1990 1989 1995 1998 1987 1988 -10% -5>-1% -1/% 0% 1% 2>3% 4>6% 7>9% 10>11% 12>15% 17>20% 30%+ 40%+ © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 4
  • 5. #1 – Telco: Movilidad y soluciones “en la nube” Movilidad +5% 16% 84% -4% ICT Movilidad © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 5
  • 6. #1 – Telco: Movilidad y soluciones “en la nube”  Crecimiento facturación de datos móviles en sector empresas 5% 2012/13  Crecimiento facturación de Hosted VoIP 18% 2012/13  Principales impulsores:  Presión sobre coste total de comunicaciones  Oferta: incremento de volumen de oferta y características – reducción de precios  Demanda: Cambio mentalidad empresarial  UC para MNCs  Colaboración para PYMES © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 6
  • 7. Louise Bourgeois © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 7
  • 8. #2 – Cloud Computing: La nube explota en España Cloud Computing 8% +25% 92% -5% ICT Cloud © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 8
  • 9. #2 – Cloud Computing: La nube explota en España Adopción 14,9% 2011 1,5% 4,5% 11% 1,5% 4,5% 11% 93% 167 144 % 83% % 2012 4% 11% 22% 4% 11% 22% Leyenda Privada Pública Adopción Ambas 29% © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 9
  • 10. #2 – Cloud Computing: Habrá más empresas en la nube que fuera de ella •Situación económica • Madurez/competencia oferta • Referencias mercado • Nuevas necesidades • “Awareness” en el mercado. 2013: +50%  Ambos: +7%  Convertido: 6%  Anticipado: 9% 2012: 29%  Previsto: 6%  Ambos: 4,5%  Convertido: 4%  Anticipado: 6% 2011: 14,9%  Previsto: 4%  Ambos: 1,5% Ambas es distinto de híbrido © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 10
  • 11. #2 – Cloud Computing: ¿y ahora qué? 2012 punto de CIO, decisor inflexión en la clave, y CxO, adopción como resultado de la decisor crisis emergente Mayor Nuevos actores penetración de ganan peso la cloud privada, (telcos, hosters, pero la pública etc.) se acelera © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 11
  • 12. #3 – Social Business: lo social ya no es una moda Social Business <1% +45% -3% 99% ICT Social © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 12
  • 13. #3 – Social Business: lo social ya no es una moda 23% de empresas españolas ya han desplegado Los casos de uso siguen siendo inmaduros © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 13
  • 14. #3 – Social Business: 2013 La Revolución Social llega a la Empresa Inteligente La clave está en la 2013: año integración en del shift cultural los procesos de negocio Gran Más del 30% de empresas empresa adoptarán liderará el Social cambio Business © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 14
  • 15. #3 – Social Business: ¿procesos? Social business market Collaborative applications CRM Digital commerce Enterprise social software Sales Customer experience management Sales intelligence Innovation management Social commerce Sales enablement ERM Supplier networks Marketing PPM Social marketing automation Collaborative project management Legend Customer service Compound market HCM Community management Secondary software markets Talent acquisition Contact center Functional software markets Subtheme Social channel Social learning response Socialytics (network behavior, content, social data, consumer sentiment) Social collaboration Social relationship Social data analytics Text analytics analytics analytics © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 15
  • 16. #4 – Big Data: fase inicial de adopción Big Data <1% +40% -3% 99% ICT Big Data © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 16
  • 17. #4 – Big Data: fase inicial de adopción 4,8% de 19,3% de empresas están empresas realizado pilotos familiarizadas y desplegando iniciativas 5,2% de 52% de empresas empresas tiene conocen el un gap concepto y tecnológico fabricantes © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 17
  • 18. #4 – Big Data: grandes expectativas de crecimiento 2014 2013 Más del ¿Estamos preparados para billones de 2012 19,4% personas y empresas recopilando y de empresas analizando datos? Más del 4,8% de 7,6% empresas de empresas © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 18
  • 19. #4 – Big Data: El año de la definición de las propuestas de valor ¿Tengo el portfolio / Big Data + partnership / Analytics: la infraestructura pareja de baile adecuados? Dame ¿Tengo las soluciones, no competencias me des adecuadas? Implementar tecnología o progresivamente humo © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 19
  • 20. #5- Retail: Salto de la multicanalidad al omnicanal. IDC Retail Insights 06% -0,3% Manufacturing Energy Retail Government Financial Otros © IDC Retail Insights Visit us at IDC-ri.com 20
  • 21. #5- Retail: del multicanal al omnicanal. Consumidor Experiencia Nuevo OmniCanal de usuario Ecosistema Big Data 21
  • 22. #5- Retail: Del multicanal al omniCanal 22
  • 23. #5- La naturaleza cambiante del proceso de compra Tradicionalmente: Estímulos Primer momento Segundo de la verdad momento de la En la estantería verdad En la tienda Uso  Secuencial  “Se compra lo que está en stock” 23
  • 24. #5- El nuevo proceso de compra Descuento / Estímulos Navegación Investigación Transacción Seguimiento Fidelización Facebook Call Blogs Center Daily deal Digital Review sites Store POS site Blogs Printed Facebook In-store Store Groupon ¡10 puntos de contacto de media! Word of Catalogue In-site kiosk Email Store Wrapp Facebook Mouth reviews CC Mobile Click to Coupon Mobile Twitter Twitter app chat sites app Online Review Loyalty Online Email Facebook store sites scheme store 24
  • 25. #5- Momentos OmniCanal de participación Investigación Nuevo mapa de Navegación Descuento / Fidelización experiencia:  Continua  “Tenemos lo que compraras” Estímulos Transacción Seguimiento 25
  • 26. #5- El modelo (o3) para la próxima década “Los nuevos clientes serán OmniCanal: conectados digitalmente , instrumentado y con un estilo de vida impulsado e inspirado por las experiencias únicas con sus marcas preferidas” Omnicanal Experiencia de usuario Orquestación Optimización Consumidor Nuevo Source: IDC Retail Insights, 2012 OmniCanal Ecosistema 26
  • 27. #6- Manufacturing: Orientación a la información, construyendo la fábrica del futuro. IDC Manufacturing 25% Insights -0,4% Manufacturing Energy Retail Government Financial Otros © IDC Manufacturing Insights Visit us at IDC-mi.com 27
  • 28. #6 – Orientación a la información clave de la industria inteligente del futuro 2009 2012 28
  • 29. #6 – Productividad, productividad y productividad. P. ¿Cuáles son las estrategias de negocio que seguirá su compañía en los próximos dos años? Mejorar la respuesta de la  Productividad de los procesos. cadena de suministro 4 Conseguir la excelencia operacional en fabricación 4 Impulsar la Innovación de  Productividad del ecosistema. Producto 4,1 Explotar nuevos Mercados y Segmentos 4,1  Productividad de las personas Estrechar las Relaciones con los Clientes Clave 4,4 Reducir los costes e incrementar la productividad 4,5  Gestión de la productividad. 3,5 4 4,5 5 Fuente: IDC Manufacturing Insights 2012 – N=155 Grandes Empresas Industriales Españolas © IDC Manufacturing Insights Visit us at IDC-mi.com 29
  • 30. #6 – Productividad y tercera plataforma Productividad y ecosistema Gestión de la productividad Productividad persona Productividad de procesos 30
  • 31. #6 – La fábrica del futuro Producción masiva / Intensiva en personalizada personas Entorno de toma de decisiones Intensiva en TIC Datos en tiempo real Producción Centrada en masiva automatización 31
  • 32. #6 – El camino hacia las fábricas del futuro "La gente va a estar en el centro de la fábrica del futuro, ya que proporcionan el grado de flexibilidad y capacidad de decisión que se requieren para hacer frente a la creciente complejidad"  Impresoras 3D  Automatización  Plataforma TI operacional 32
  • 33. #7- Utilities: Las utilities abrazan la tercera plataforma. IDC Energy Insights 02% 1,6% Manufacturing Energy Retail Government Financial Otros 33
  • 34. #7 – Las utilities abrazan la tercera plataforma Creciente experimentación en tarifas por uso para Flexibilidad “por defecto” en la de los usuarios. – condicionar el comportamiento implantación de “Smart grids” En general, se prioridad menor en residencial-. desarrollarán servicios basados en la inteligencia de Demoras regulatorias frenan el Mayor competencia en elysegmento retail empuja a red para retener adquirir clientes. despliegue de “Smart metering” generar nuevos un mayor uso de analíticas para servicios, entender mejor al cliente y proveer de una CIOs necesitarán recursos para mayor flexibilidad al negocio. Búsqueda de soluciones que integren una transformar las operaciones La movilidad distribuida (ej. en la fuerzageneración y generación impacta tanto Plantas de de ventas el área de mantenimiento como en el cliente final. Involucrar al cliente será el nombre virtuales), microredes descentralizadas, gestión de del demanda (ej. ralentizará, juego en 2013 El despliegue de Smart meter seVE),etc. aumentando la presión sobre los precios de equipos. Las utilities harán énfasis en data para de Apuesta por analíticas/big la gestión La convergencia de IT ya la información generada sacar sentido OT continúa, lo cual puede demanda con foco en redes domésticas (HAN) representar una oportunidad para que el CIO tome Estalla la fiebre de apps y el liderazgo. dispositivos móviles El efecto “Smart cities” seguirá en 2013 Visit us at www.idc-ei.com Follow us on Twitter@IDCSpainInsights 34
  • 35. #7 – El efecto Smart cities seguirá en 2013 Financiación de las Smartcities  Objetivos de eficiencia energética  Iniciativas internacionales -Ej. Convenant of Mayors- y nacionales -Red de Ciudades Inteligentes en España-  Fondos estructurales Source: Spanish Smart Cities survey, IDC Energy Insights 2012 35
  • 36. #7 – El efecto Smart cities Las smart cities son el laboratorio de las utilities, una vez probado el concepto, el reto será su escalado.  Uso de smart cities como plataforma de iniciativas de Smart Grids.  Búsqueda del ecosistema adecuado para aprovechar el efecto smart cities.  Búsqueda de reusabilidad de proyectos. 36
  • 37. #8 – El año de la reinvención del sector público - Menos inversión y distinto gasto IDC Government Insights -2,1% 10% Manufacturing Energy Retail Government Financial Otros © IDC Government Insights Visit us at IDC-gi.com 37
  • 38. #8 – El año de la reinvención del sector público - Menos inversión y distinto gasto % PIB ESPAÑA 2,900 ,400 ,300 -,300 -1,400 -1,600 -3,700 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Economía Desempleo 30 20 EU (27) 10 España Italia 0 Fuente: Eurostat y Funcas 38
  • 39. #8 – Un Gran Reto para los CIOs Mejorar los Proteger datos ¡Cumplir con servicios sensibles a la la regulación! básicos Mejorar la vez que se es eficiencia más operacional transparente Racionalizar los costes Ser más ágiles TIC sin poder en la tomar respuesta a muchas las decisiones necesidades públicas Enriquecer los perfiles internos en Integrar los ocasiones sistemas desmotivados a la heredados con vez que se colabora nuevos entornos de con empresas la 3ª Plataforma privadas en entornos de escasez © IDC Government Insights Visit us at IDC-gi.com 39
  • 40. #8 – Otras Aproximaciones Francis Maude - Minister for the Cabinet Office and Paymaster General, and as a Member of Parliament representing the constituency of Horsham © IDC Government Insights Visit us at IDC-gi.com 40
  • 41. #8 – Distintas Estrategias TIR = 27,7% VAN = 7,7M€ © IDC Government Insights Visit us at IDC-gi.com 41
  • 42. #9 – 2013 crítico para el "run the bank", lo Social y Big Data marcarán la diferencia en el "change the bank” IDC Financial Insights 11% -2,8% Manufacturing Energy Retail Government Financial Otros © IDC Financial Insights Visit us at IDC-fi.com 42
  • 43. #9 – 2013 crítico para el "run the bank", lo Social y Big Data marcarán la diferencia en el "change the bank” © IDC Financial Insights Visit us at IDC-fi.com 43
  • 44. Aceleradores Tecnológicos y de Negocio 2013 Big Data/ Regulation Effectiveness Growth Growth Analytics Channel Infrastructure Expense Proliferation Resilience Control 44
  • 45. Las Entidades Exitosas...  Aumentarán las inversiones – “Change Bank”  Reducirán costes TIC – “Run the Bank” © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 45
  • 46. Canales: Estrategia Omnicanal © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 46
  • 47. Algún Ejemplo … Nacional © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 47
  • 48. #10 – By 2016, business executives will be directly involved in 80% of IT CIO AGENDA investments The Future of the CIO Role 10% 50% 40% Business Innovator Services Manager Operational CIO © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 48
  • 49. Agenda  IT Investment Outlook for 2013  2013 CIO Top Ten Predictions  Essential Guidance 4
  • 50. CIO’s 2013 Personal Agenda Q. In 2013, which of the following goals will be top of your personal agenda as CIO? Please select your top 3 goals. Focus the IT organization more on business strategy than technology strategy Foster a culture within IT that drives more innovation Foster a culture within IT where IT more often provides a qualified "yes" to the business Better align IT with the business Focus IT organization on better understanding US the requirements of the consumers WE Carve out more IT budget for new projects/innovative projects Total More effectively attract new IT talent Re-skill existing IT talent Implement a more rigorous process to evaluate new ideas for IT to take on 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% n = 70 WE respondents = 21; US respondents = 49 Source: IDC 2013 CIO Agenda Survey, Fall 2012 5
  • 51. 2013 IT Budget Outlook Q. In 2013, do you expect your total IT budget to increase, decrease or remain the same as 2012? Please indicate the percentage change in your IT budget from 2012 to 2013. 50% 45% 40% Avg. increase = 11.4% 35% 30% Avg. decrease = 3.6% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Increase Decrease Stay the Same n= 68 US and WE respondents Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment Survey, Fall 2012 6
  • 52. Drivers of IT Budget Changes Increases Decreases You Indicated in the previous question that you You indicated in the previous question that you expect your organization’s IT budget to increase expect your organization’s IT budget to decrease in 2013, please select all contributing factors in 2013, please select all contributing factors that apply. that apply. Growth 77% Negative Economy 62% New Projects 64% Weak Biz Outlook 39% New Gear 55% Repl. Gear 46% IT Effiency 46% Regulatory 27% Lost Funding 23% Positive Economy 18% Open IT Projects 15% Positive Biz Outlook 18% M&A 18% Increased Inhouse 15% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% n= 68 US and WE respondents Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment Survey, Fall 2012 7
  • 53. The 3rd Platform Shift: From IT Productivity to Business Productivity Public Omnichannel Smart Innovation Safety Smart Retail Connected Cities Buildings Health Smart Connected Mobile Grid Vehicles Payments Information Business Agility Intelligent Industries IT Agility Services Systems 8
  • 54. #1 - By 2016, LOB executives will be directly involved in 80% of new IT investments Of the new internal IT projects initiated at your Prediction company this year, what percentage will be led  58% of new IT investments in 2013 will under the following scenarios? involve direct participation by LOB executives  Companies will initiate an average of 40 new Project solely led / 42% IT projects in 2013 (with or without IT) managed by IT  Line of business’ participation in IT projects will grow to 80% in 3 years Project jointly led /  The implications are vast on how the CIO managed by IT and the 33% works with the line of business LOBs Situation Assessment Project led / managed by  Cloud, social and mobile services are the LOBs, but subject to 17% great equalizers, the balance-wheel of the review by IT corporate machinery  Notable instances of CEOs and CFOs driving Project solely led / the migration to Cloud and Managed Services 8% managed by the LOBs It is Time to Revisit IT Planning, Governance, and 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Portfolio Management Methods N = 57 Source: IDC 2013 CIO Sentiment Survey, Fall 2012 9
  • 55. #2 - By 2015, 90% of IT investments will be evaluated in terms of strategic goals Prediction  Businesses will no longer view technology IDC’s CIO 360° Model investments as “IT investments”  They will be treated in the same way as any other investment  Sharper clarity and accountability around risk and return Situation Assessment  Risk-to-Return: No more investments based on infrastructure requirements  Sourcing-to-Service: Balancing what is possible vs. what is necessary to deliver IT services  Process-to-Organization: Process flow and design follows from service requirements, organization follows the process stages as they move through the enterprise Key characteristics of an IT services-based model (self-service, metered use, multi- tenancy) create accountability and alignment to business goals 10
  • 56. #3 - CIOs and CFOs will move to “zero capital” and transform the IT financial model Prediction  The IT financial model is fundamentally changing  Businesses will transform the IT financial model by adopting an IT “service-based” IT operational and financial model  Zero capital model will enable the business to produce true product-line profitability by assessing IT (services) costs Situation Assessment  In mature economies, 50%+ of all capital equipment is IT Capital Intensive  As expensive as IT is, most orgs do not fully allocate capital or expenses to business units  There are major business and economic issues with broad implications  Strong business impetus to shift computing platforms to more capital efficient models – cloud, outsourcing, etc. The Zero-Capital IT financial model means IT shifts from SG&A to a true product line expense Capital Lean 11
  • 57. #4 – In 2013, CIOs deliver 3rd Platform mash-ups as competitive differentiators Prediction  Innovative CIOs will build their 3 rd Platform Q. I see the role of CIO evolving mash-up (Cloud, Mobile, Social, Big Data) to to be Chief Innovation Officer gain a competitive edge in their industry  Business execs will innovate with SaaS as LOB Strongly Agree 19% acquisition of Cloud Services accelerates  CIOs will develop the Cloud Architecture and Agree 52% Integration to build the Extended Enterprise  Technology partners will leverage recent Neither agree nor investments to foster innovation in Cloud, disagree Mobile, Social and Big Data Disagree Background  SaaS and Mobile Services have delivered Strongly Disagree breakthrough business services  Analytics is now on the Board agenda 0% 20% 40% 60%  3rdPlatform pilots demonstrating value across n= 64 industries Source: IDC CIO Agenda Survey. Fall, 2011 The CIO dilemma: “innovate or lose relevance” 12
  • 58. #5 - 70% of CIOs will embrace a “cloud first” strategy in 2016 Prediction  Today, only 23% of enterprises have a “cloud first” What is on the CIO’s 2013 Agenda strategy on all new IT purchases  As CIOs establish cloud architecture standards, update service mgmt processes for cloud and develop a cloud migration path, this will grow  Experience in cloud initiatives will address the current “skills gap” identified by many CIOs  PaaS solutions will be the Next Gen platform for CIOs  IaaS will radically drive down costs for early adopters Situation Assessment  SaaS provides a direct linkage between solutions and business demand in a self-service model  IasS will empower business users to decide on data retention, processing needs, and network access needs  Software Vendors aggressively investing in Cloud  SMB CIOs still reluctant to adopt SaaS and IaaS n= 47 Source: IDC CIO Cloud Study. April-June, 2012  Architecture standards evolving in market with Cloud Migrations defying vendor lock-in CFOs will accelerate CLOUD FIRST 13
  • 59. #6 - By 2013, one third of all new application development will target a mobile form factor Prediction Q. What Percentage of New Apps will be for Mobile Devices vs. Non-  In 2013, 33% of all new apps will target a mobile platform Mobile Devices?  In 2014, 40% of new mobile apps will target multiple OS  IT must decide on the mobile OS and device strategy as 46% of mobile app budget goes towards maintenance Mobile Only Devices 17%  More apps, integration and multi-platform development will drive 60% of new mobile apps to be developed by IT services providers in 2013  Enterprise mobile app penetration will force either: a Mobile and Non- move to a standard corporate-liable devices (for Mobile Devices 16% compatibility) or multi-platform development Situation Assessment  “Mobile devices are the new primary design point” Non-Mobile Only  Development portfolios skewed toward customers, sales, Devices 67% and service functions  Mobile development is as much as 80% of some development portfolios today 0% 50% 100%  Mobile development is based on SOA practices IDC’s CIO Mobile Survey Fall, 2012 14
  • 60. #7 - Enterprise social networks move beyond pilot stage with business sponsorship Prediction  As pilot programs demonstrate value, CIOs will seek out business sponsors in 2013 to move enterprise social networks beyond the pilot stage  Social tools will be integrated with enterprise apps, connecting people inside and outside the firewall  Solutions for collaboration and file sharing will remain popular projects, owned by the CIO  E-mail persists but becomes more social Situation Assessment  Cultural fit is essential to success  Business case can be difficult - 82% of CIOs are unsure or disagree that “We are able to accurately measure the ROI of our social business apps,” according to IDC social survey  Security, compliance and IP protection will remain barriers  Socialytics are a challenge due to complex data integration Social Business maturity often starts with experimentation (a pilot) and moves to integration after value is demonstrated 15
  • 61. #8 - Big Data & Analytics projects will be like no other IT project Prediction The Challenges CIOs Will Face  Get ready for a whole new IT project - more Business Analytics Challenges experimenting, less predictive outcomes; High costs of technology 47% shortage of talent available to work on your Data integration is very complex 40% project; project plans with 60-day iterations Insufficient specialized IT skill-sets required for implementation 31% Situation Assessment Design and deployment time is too 28% lengthy  Big data/analytics projects will change the Insufficient specialized analytical skills 27% required for use way businesses make decisions Poor data quality 22%  CIOs must understand what is necessary to Insufficient computing resources 22% succeed  Data architecture, data quality and data Big Data Challenges governance is a major gap in large Deciding what data is relevant (what data to keep/store and what data to discard) 25% enterprises  The technology will be easy when compared Cost of technology infrastructure 13% to the business case Not having enough or the right IT skills to manage Big Data projects 11%  Seeking major funding for a rapid Not having enough or the right analytics staff to analyze the data 10% development with no certain value Not knowing how to decide which 9%  Talent (both IT and analytics) needs to be technology is best/most appropriate … able to create answers to undefined Lack of business support and/or business units do not understand the benefits of … 9% questions Source: IDC 2012 Vertical IT & Communications Survey N = 2699 16
  • 62. #9 - IT Talent will be become the biggest barrier to innovation Prediction  CIOs will find a wide range of IT talent issues highly correlated to location and industry including:  Recruiting  Retention  Talent Development – Skills and Leadership  Performance Management  Inability to access new skill sets will limit an IT innovation Situation Assessment  By 2016, the U.S. market has a severe shortage of IT labor  Technology developments are far outpacing workforce development while the first-generation IT workforce retires  CIOs will need to cultivate best practices in IT talent strategies:  Assess current state and today’s needs  Define future organization model and skill needs  Create the internal talent strategy  Re-think sourcing strategies to augment IT talent  External IT talent has also become critical 17
  • 63. #10 - By 2018, 50% of business execs will view the CIO as a business innovator Prediction  By 2018, 50% of business executives will view their CIO primarily as a partner for business innovation and improvement, while 50% will still view the CIO primarily as the overseer of IT costs, risks and services. While CIOs may need to play all three roles, the key is business perception. This has broad implications for the CIO Agenda  The transition from a portfolio of systems and technologies to a portfolio of services positions the CIO to engage in business innovation and improvement Operational CIO Business Services Manager Chief Innovation Officer 1993 90% 10% 0% 2013 70% 20% 10% 2018 10% 40% 50% Goal Keep the Lights On Provide an agile portfolio of Business Innovator Business Services Focus Costs and Risk Service Excellence Business Value Jobs Scope Data Center, IT Ops Business and Technology Business Processes, Service Catalog Capabilities and Analytics 18
  • 64. Essential Guidance: Focus on the Information not the Technology  Economic growth will be uneven in 2013; beyond will be followed by modest economic expansion  Intense global competition accelerating innovation and the pace of business change Adapt and Thrive!  IT strategies must be adaptable to seize opportunities and counter global competition  Plan for an Extended Enterprise Architecture model as a foundation for the agile enterprise  The compelling economic advantages of IaaS (Zero- Capital) will soon make Cloud First a CFO imperative  Adoption, integration and management of information services will be keys to IT agility  Next-gen sourcing and IT talent strategies will enable the transition from Information Systems to Services The right portfolio of services and systems will enable the agile enterprise and separate winners from losers 19
  • 65. El pilar fundamental y sus derivadas Lluís Altés @Lluis_Altes Director General #IDCpredictions
  • 66. “The simplicity of happiness” © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 66
  • 67. © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 67
  • 68. Velocidad adaptación al cambio © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 68
  • 69. La sombra de TI se alarga © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 69
  • 70. “Innovación como palanca de cambio y de evolución, buscando nuevas formas de hacer las cosas y de enfrentarse a los retos.” Mariano Ferrera BSPreviews Magazine © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 70
  • 71. IDC CxO Programme Whitepaper CxOs Connections en “Enterprise Tech Strategy” Colaboración con: CFO Summit Noviembre 2013 Diálogos CxOs CIO Summit Septiembre 2013
  • 72. © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 72
  • 73. Feliz Navidad y Próspero Año 2013 © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 73
  • 74. #IDCpredictions @IDCSpain IDC Research España © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDCSpain 74