11. 11
Exhibit A-13: Gaming-Device Spending Ratios in Major US Markets
(Total Annual Spending on Slots and/or VLTs Per "Distance-Adjusted" Adult in FY2010)
Northeastern Medium to Large Rural Markets
US Markets Midwest (+/-) Markets West & Midwest
Deadwood, SD $909 e
S Dakota Indian avg. (8) $873 e
Upstate Michigan avg. $840 e
Kansas Natives avg. $818 e
Mississippi / Louisiana $809 e
(average of MANY facilities)
Diamond Jo N'wood, IA $793
Iowa Natives average $784 e
Terribles Lakeside. IA $773
Upstate Wisconsin avg. $770 e
Emmetsburg, IA $765
Colorado (2) $762
Horseshoe / Bluffs Run, IA $749 Dodge City, KS $747
Dubuque Mystique, IA $743
Dubuque Diamond Jo, IA $741
Riverside, IA $740
Harrahs NKCMO $734 IOC Boonville, MO $735 o
Niagara (NY) casino $729 e Albuquerque, NM avg. $729 e IOC Marquette, IA $730 o
Ameristar Council Bluffs, IA $727
Other New Mexico avg. $718 e
Atlantic City, NJ avg. $719 Mt. Pleasant, MI $718 e
IOC Waterloo, IA $715 Wisconsin Dells $715 e
Argosy Riverside, MO $707
Midwest Standard +10%
12. 12
Iowa Natives average $784 e
Terribles Lakeside. IA $773
Upstate Wisconsin avg. $770 e
Emmetsburg, IA $765
Colorado (2) $762
Horseshoe / Bluffs Run, IA $749 Dodge City, KS $747
Dubuque Mystique, IA $743
Dubuque Diamond Jo, IA $741
Riverside, IA $740
Harrahs NKCMO $734 IOC Boonville, MO $735 o
Niagara (NY) casino $729 e Albuquerque, NM avg. $729 e IOC Marquette, IA $730 o
Ameristar Council Bluffs, IA $727
Other New Mexico avg. $718 e
Atlantic City, NJ avg. $719 Mt. Pleasant, MI $718 e
IOC Waterloo, IA $715 Wisconsin Dells $715 e
Argosy Riverside, MO $707
Ameristar KCMO $698
Michigan City, IN $694
Harrahs W St Louis $690
Harrahs Council Bluffs, IA $689
Prairie Meadows, IA $685
Mohegan Sun, CT $670 o Ameristar St Chas, MO $668
Jumers Rock Island, IL $668
Clinton, IA $668
Harrahs Joliet, IL $665 o
Belterra, Florence, IN $665
Argosy Sioux City, IA $664 o
St Jo MO $662 o Metropolis, IL/KY $663 o
Catfish Bend Burlington, IA $660
Salamanca, NY casino $656 e Mark Twain, MO $655 o
Foxwoods, CT $649 o East St Louis, IL (2 boats) $651 o
Dover Downs, DE $640 IOC Bettendorf, IA $640 o
Charles Town, WV $638
Tioga Downs, NY $636 Ameristar, E Chicago IN $631 o
Midwest Standard +10%
"Midwest Standard"
13. 13
Exhibit A-14: Gaming-Device "Power Ratings"
(Total Annual Spending versus benchmark of $700)
Northeastern Medium to Large Rural Markets
US Markets Midwest (+/-) Markets West & Midwest
Deadwood, SD 129.9
S Dakota Indian avg. (8) 124.7 e
Upstate Michigan avg. 120.0 e
Kansas Natives avg. 116.9 e
Mississippi / Louisiana 115.5
(average of MANY facilities) Diamond Jo Northwood, IA 113.3
Iowa Natives average 112.0 e
Terribles Lakeside. IA 110.4
Upstate Wisconsin avg. 110.0 e
Emmetsburg, IA 109.3
Colorado (2) 108.9
Horseshoe / Bluffs Run, IA 107.0 Dodge City, KS 106.7
Dubuque Mystique, IA 106.1
Dubuque Diamond Jo, IA 105.9
Riverside, IA 105.7
Harrahs NKCMO 104.9 IOC Boonville, MO 105.0 o
Niagara (NY) casino 104.1 e Albuquerque, NM avg. 104.2 e IOC Marquette, IA 104.3 o
Ameristar Council Bluffs, IA 103.9
Mt. Pleasant, MI 102.6 e
Atlantic City, NJ avg. 102.7 Other New Mexico avg. 102.5 e
IOC Waterloo, IA 102.1 Wisconsin Dells 102.1 e
Argosy Riverside, MO 101.0
Ameristar KCMO 99.7
Michigan City, IN 99.1
Harrahs W St Louis 98.6
Harrahs Council Bluffs, IA 98.4
Prairie Meadows, IA 97.9
Mohegan Sun, CT 95.7 o Ameristar St Chas, MO 95.4
Jumers Rock Island, IL 95.4
Clinton, IA 95.4
Midwest Standard +10%
"Midwest Standard"
14. 14
Exhibit 5: Projected Power Ratings, etc.
Peninsula / Kansas Star Global / WinSpirit
2012 2014 2016 Full Build 2012 2014 2016 Full Build
Slot Machines 1,310 1,500 2,000 2,000 1,300 1,550 1,800 2,000
Table Games (not inc. poker) 32 42 50 50 30 40 40 40
Total Gaming Positions ( " " ) 1,502 1,752 2,300 2,300 1,480 1,790 2,040 2,240
Baselines for Slots:
Midwest Standard 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Distance from Major Population Center 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00
Temporary Facility (if applicable) (5.00)
Bricks & Mortar $ / Gaming Position (in $100ks) 0.94 1.15 1.13 1.13 0.93 0.83 0.92 1.00
Casino Square Footage / Gaming Position (x .02) 0.59 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.99 0.86 0.89 0.92
Hotel Rooms / Gaming Position (x 2) 0.17 0.26 0.26 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.18
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Total Power Rating 97.52 102.86 102.94 102.94 111.02 110.78 110.89 111.10
"Reach" (miles before extra decline with distance) 120 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Compare: Last year at this location 102.78 N/C
Note: 100 = "Midwest Standard" power rating. Latest major facilities in Iowa range from 102 to 107. Boot Hill today = 106.7.
Slot power ratings at the "Big Three" KCMO facilities currently range from 100 to 106; table ratings 100 to 105.
I have assumed 103 for tables at both facilities (the "3" reflects poker).
47. 47
Exhibit A: Summary of Projections
(all in then-year $)
Global / WinSpirit
2012 2014 2016 Full Build
Slot Machines 1,300 1,550 1,800 2,000
Table Games (not inc. poker) 30 40 40 40
Total Gaming Positions ( " " ) 1,480 1,790 2,040 2,240
Slot Power Rating 111.0 110.8 110.9 111.1
Total Gaming Revenues ($million): (6 mos)
With no Local Competition $62.1 $141.2 $155.8 $160.5
With Competitor in Park City $46.8 $111.7 $127.3 $109.1
Total Annual Visitation (000): (6 mos)
With no Local Competition 716 1,583 1,684 1,760
With Competitor in Park City 578 1,316 1,434 1,278
Annual "Tourist" Visitation (000): (6 mos)
With no Local Competition 67 173 187 198
With Competitor in Park City * 68 175 189 197
48. 48
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Full Build
TotalGamingWin($mn)
Note: Cummings projections are for "stabilized operations"
Exhibit B: Cummings Projections Compared to Global Gaming's
Global
Cummings
51. 51
Exhibit A: Summary of Projections
(all in then-year $)
Peninsula / Kansas Star
2012 2014 2016 Full Build
Slot Machines 1,310 1,500 2,000 2,000
Table Games (not inc. poker) 32 42 50 50
Total Gaming Positions ( " " ) 1,502 1,752 2,300 2,300
Slot Power Rating 97.5 102.9 102.9 102.9
Total Gaming Revenues ($million):
With no Local Competition $159.1 $192.1 $213.4 $213.4
With Competitor in Park City $109.3 $143.7 $169.4 $141.0
Total Annual Visitation (000):
With no Local Competition 1,741 1,997 2,248 2,248
With Competitor in Park City 1,329 1,620 1,886 1,634
Annual "Tourist" Visitation (000):
With no Local Competition 70 121 144 144
With Competitor in Park City * 70 122 145 142
52. 52
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 = Full Build
TotalGamingWin($mn)
Note: Cummings projections are for "stabilized operations"
Exhibit C: Cummings Projections Compared to Peninsula's
Peninsula
Cummings