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Turmoil and Trends
   in America’s
    Workforce
       Alex Dodd, CEO
     M Squared Consulting
Agenda for today
• Current economic climate
• Talent supply and demand
• Flexible workforce
• Recommendations
Current Economic Climate

• Not likely to lose best talent
• Belt tighten, but not so much that you
  cannot take advantage of upturn
• It’s tough, but use this opportunity to
  address under performers
• Do something different – embrace the
  flexible workforce…
Talent supply & demand

• What’s happening on the demand side?
  – “the work that needs to be done”
• What’s happening on the supply side?
  – “the people that will do the work”
• Long-term relationship between supply and
  demand
3 Primary Drivers

Demographic trends…
…impacting the workforce supply
Firmagraphic changes…
…impacting the workplace
environment and the nature of work
itself
Psychographic evolution…
…creating a “new” workforce
Demographic Trends

•   Baby Boomers
•   Post-Boomer generations
•   Women in the workplace
•   “Non-traditional” households
•   College graduates
•   Immigration
•   Life expectancy
•   Birthrates
•   Cost of living
Baby Boomers

• Reaching retirement age…
  – Some retiring now
  – Some continuing to work, full-time
  – Some continuing to work, on their own
    terms!
• Health benefits…
• Financial ability to retire…
Post-Boomer Generations

• Generation X is not big enough to replace the
  Baby Boomers
• Generation Y is similar in size to the
  Boomers, but is not experienced (yet!)
• Gen X & Y are radically different in
  viewpoint than Boomers
Our Workforce
                    76.7m
                                                             73.5m



                                         49.1m




     28.5m




Traditionalists   Boomers          Generation X        Generation Y
  (1925-1945)     (1946-1964)        (1965-1980)           (1981-2000)



                                Source: 2005 U.S. Census
Women in the Workforce

• A growing segment of the workforce
• Make 83% of all consumer purchase
  decisions
• 60% of new college graduates
• 60% of working age women work
• Driving the creation of new career paths and
  workplace flexibility
Traditional Households

Non-traditional households (i.e. the vast
majority of households) want / require
(demand!) flexibility
College Graduates

• College degree is a prerequisite in the
  knowledge economy
• Declining graduates with engineering and
  professional degrees
• Many foreign nationals are returning home
Immigration

• Highly politicized issue
• H1B visa’s – 2008 lottery closed in first 24
  hours.
• No relief in sight…
Life Expectancy*
Age
80
75

70

65

60
55

50

45

40
      1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

             *Average, at birth, in the U.S. (Source: U.S. Social Security Administration)
Birth Rates
Fertility
Rate

                                                                         = 1960                            5.9
  6
                                                                         = 2000
  5
                                                                                               4.0
  4                                           3.6
        3.3
                                                           2.0                                                   3.1
  3                  2.9         2.8
                                                                       2.5         2.5
              2.0
  2                        1.7         1.7          1.6
                                                                                                     1.8
                                                                 1.4         1.3         1.2
  1

  0
            US      France       UK          Canada Japan Germany Italy                        China       India

                                                    (Source: Age Wave)
Cost of Living

• Most knowledge jobs are in or near major
  metro areas
• Housing
• Commuting costs
• Education
Workforce Projections…

                                                                              )
                                                                        m and
                                                                   e (De
                                                               forc
                                                            ork
U.S. Workforce




                                                       nW              Workforce
                                                w th i                   Gap!
                                             Gro
                                        ed
                                   j ect
                               Pro                                  ply)
                                                        kforc e (Sup
                                              wth in Wor
                               Projec ted Gro




                 1980   1990             2000                 2010          2020

                                     Year
Our Challenge:
Firmagraphic Drivers

•   The knowledge economy
•   Economic conditions
•   Unemployment
•   Financial constraints of the firm
•   Change & Complexity
•   Outsourcing / Offshoring / Globalization
•   Employer loyalty
The Changing
Nature of Work
The Changing Nature of Work
• Knowledge economy is driving the need for
  specialized workers with specialized skills
• Work is becoming more team based
• Work is becoming more project based
• Technology intensive and enabled work can be
  done from anywhere
• New organizational structures, leadership and
  management styles are emerging
Psychographics: The
Changing Workforce
4 Generations in 1 Workforce



Traditionalists         Baby Boomers       Generation X           Generation Y
Born: 1925 -1945        Born: 1946 -1964   Born: 1965 -1980       Born: 1981 - 2000

Respectful of           Anti-              Self-reliant (latch-   Confident and full
authority               authoritarian      key kids)              of self-esteem
Hierarchical            Idealistic         Anti-institution       Impatient and
                                                                  eager to live life
Loyal to institutions   Motivated by       Rule-morphing          “now”. FUN!
                        changing the
Rule makers and         world              Tribal                 Socially conscious
conformists
                        Competitive        Information-rich       Highly tolerant
                                                                  Plugged-in
                                                                  Family-centric
Outcomes of the Changing
            Workforce
•   Changing definition of retirement
•   Desire for greater work/life balance
•   More career flexibility/control
•   Looking for greater meaning in work
•   View work as a “series” of engagements
•   Diminished employee loyalty
So, the workforce has already radically
changed, the nature of work is changing,
 now the workplace needs to catch up…
The Flexible
  Workforce
The Flexible Workforce is an innovative
human capital strategy that:

• Recognizes the changes that are impacting “work”
• Leverages the strengths of all 4 generations in the
  workforce
• Incorporates workplace flexibility, allowing people
  to balance work/family/life
• Provides greater flexibility and resiliency for the
  organization
Developing a Model for Working
      with Flexible Resources
1. Define the work and desired results
2. Define the skill/experience level required to
   do the work
3. Define the relationship between the worker
   and the organization
4. Select the resources to do the work
5. Manage the work
6. Capture and retain knowledge
7. Measure results and satisfaction levels
Flexible Workforce Advantages
• Expertise: Brings in targeted expertise
• Execution: Enables leadership to focus on
  execution, accelerates time to market
• Cost Control: Buy the expertise you need, as
  you need it, where you need it.
• Flexibility: Manage business peaks and valleys
• Perspective: Objective outside experience
• Recruiting: Broadens reach, “try before you
  buy”
• Retention: Demonstrates commitment to core
  FTEs
The Time to
 Act is Now
Recommendations

• There is still talent. It has just changed,
  and the supply has gotten tighter.
• Many professionals no longer want a 9-5
  job for life. Their definition of a “career”
  has evolved to being a “Free Agent”.
• You must now play on their terms to get
  their help.
There is no magic wand…

• Traditional FTE employment
• Greater use of flexible workforce

               …and…

•   Technology
•   Productivity improvements
•   Outsourcing/offshoring
•   Enlightened employment policies
•   Management practices
Embrace the flexible workforce
and make it a foundation of your
    Human Capital strategy

• It demonstrates your commitment to
  innovation, supporting your staff, and
  getting work done
• It shows you care about success!
• It enables you to get the best available
  talent
Issues and Recommendations



                  www.msquared.com/blog

                         Alex Dodd
                   Chief Executive Officer
                   adodd@msquared.com
                       415-391-1038

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Turmoil and Trends in America's Workforce

  • 1. Turmoil and Trends in America’s Workforce Alex Dodd, CEO M Squared Consulting
  • 2. Agenda for today • Current economic climate • Talent supply and demand • Flexible workforce • Recommendations
  • 3. Current Economic Climate • Not likely to lose best talent • Belt tighten, but not so much that you cannot take advantage of upturn • It’s tough, but use this opportunity to address under performers • Do something different – embrace the flexible workforce…
  • 4. Talent supply & demand • What’s happening on the demand side? – “the work that needs to be done” • What’s happening on the supply side? – “the people that will do the work” • Long-term relationship between supply and demand
  • 5. 3 Primary Drivers Demographic trends… …impacting the workforce supply Firmagraphic changes… …impacting the workplace environment and the nature of work itself Psychographic evolution… …creating a “new” workforce
  • 6. Demographic Trends • Baby Boomers • Post-Boomer generations • Women in the workplace • “Non-traditional” households • College graduates • Immigration • Life expectancy • Birthrates • Cost of living
  • 7. Baby Boomers • Reaching retirement age… – Some retiring now – Some continuing to work, full-time – Some continuing to work, on their own terms! • Health benefits… • Financial ability to retire…
  • 8. Post-Boomer Generations • Generation X is not big enough to replace the Baby Boomers • Generation Y is similar in size to the Boomers, but is not experienced (yet!) • Gen X & Y are radically different in viewpoint than Boomers
  • 9. Our Workforce 76.7m 73.5m 49.1m 28.5m Traditionalists Boomers Generation X Generation Y (1925-1945) (1946-1964) (1965-1980) (1981-2000) Source: 2005 U.S. Census
  • 10. Women in the Workforce • A growing segment of the workforce • Make 83% of all consumer purchase decisions • 60% of new college graduates • 60% of working age women work • Driving the creation of new career paths and workplace flexibility
  • 11. Traditional Households Non-traditional households (i.e. the vast majority of households) want / require (demand!) flexibility
  • 12. College Graduates • College degree is a prerequisite in the knowledge economy • Declining graduates with engineering and professional degrees • Many foreign nationals are returning home
  • 13. Immigration • Highly politicized issue • H1B visa’s – 2008 lottery closed in first 24 hours. • No relief in sight…
  • 14. Life Expectancy* Age 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 *Average, at birth, in the U.S. (Source: U.S. Social Security Administration)
  • 15. Birth Rates Fertility Rate = 1960 5.9 6 = 2000 5 4.0 4 3.6 3.3 2.0 3.1 3 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.0 2 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.2 1 0 US France UK Canada Japan Germany Italy China India (Source: Age Wave)
  • 16. Cost of Living • Most knowledge jobs are in or near major metro areas • Housing • Commuting costs • Education
  • 17. Workforce Projections… ) m and e (De forc ork U.S. Workforce nW Workforce w th i Gap! Gro ed j ect Pro ply) kforc e (Sup wth in Wor Projec ted Gro 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Year
  • 19. Firmagraphic Drivers • The knowledge economy • Economic conditions • Unemployment • Financial constraints of the firm • Change & Complexity • Outsourcing / Offshoring / Globalization • Employer loyalty
  • 21. The Changing Nature of Work • Knowledge economy is driving the need for specialized workers with specialized skills • Work is becoming more team based • Work is becoming more project based • Technology intensive and enabled work can be done from anywhere • New organizational structures, leadership and management styles are emerging
  • 23. 4 Generations in 1 Workforce Traditionalists Baby Boomers Generation X Generation Y Born: 1925 -1945 Born: 1946 -1964 Born: 1965 -1980 Born: 1981 - 2000 Respectful of Anti- Self-reliant (latch- Confident and full authority authoritarian key kids) of self-esteem Hierarchical Idealistic Anti-institution Impatient and eager to live life Loyal to institutions Motivated by Rule-morphing “now”. FUN! changing the Rule makers and world Tribal Socially conscious conformists Competitive Information-rich Highly tolerant Plugged-in Family-centric
  • 24. Outcomes of the Changing Workforce • Changing definition of retirement • Desire for greater work/life balance • More career flexibility/control • Looking for greater meaning in work • View work as a “series” of engagements • Diminished employee loyalty
  • 25. So, the workforce has already radically changed, the nature of work is changing, now the workplace needs to catch up…
  • 26. The Flexible Workforce
  • 27. The Flexible Workforce is an innovative human capital strategy that: • Recognizes the changes that are impacting “work” • Leverages the strengths of all 4 generations in the workforce • Incorporates workplace flexibility, allowing people to balance work/family/life • Provides greater flexibility and resiliency for the organization
  • 28. Developing a Model for Working with Flexible Resources 1. Define the work and desired results 2. Define the skill/experience level required to do the work 3. Define the relationship between the worker and the organization 4. Select the resources to do the work 5. Manage the work 6. Capture and retain knowledge 7. Measure results and satisfaction levels
  • 29. Flexible Workforce Advantages • Expertise: Brings in targeted expertise • Execution: Enables leadership to focus on execution, accelerates time to market • Cost Control: Buy the expertise you need, as you need it, where you need it. • Flexibility: Manage business peaks and valleys • Perspective: Objective outside experience • Recruiting: Broadens reach, “try before you buy” • Retention: Demonstrates commitment to core FTEs
  • 30. The Time to Act is Now
  • 31. Recommendations • There is still talent. It has just changed, and the supply has gotten tighter. • Many professionals no longer want a 9-5 job for life. Their definition of a “career” has evolved to being a “Free Agent”. • You must now play on their terms to get their help.
  • 32. There is no magic wand… • Traditional FTE employment • Greater use of flexible workforce …and… • Technology • Productivity improvements • Outsourcing/offshoring • Enlightened employment policies • Management practices
  • 33. Embrace the flexible workforce and make it a foundation of your Human Capital strategy • It demonstrates your commitment to innovation, supporting your staff, and getting work done • It shows you care about success! • It enables you to get the best available talent
  • 34. Issues and Recommendations www.msquared.com/blog Alex Dodd Chief Executive Officer adodd@msquared.com 415-391-1038