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An Alberta Case Study
             Diana Gibson, Parkland Institute
๏ฝ   Less reliance on taxes
๏ฝ   Regulatory capture
๏ฝ   undermining democracy
๏ฝ   Dutch disease
๏ฝ   Inequality and a system skewed in the
    interest of corporations and the corporate
    elite.
๏ฝ   From 1989 to 2008, Albertaโ€™s spending as a portion
    of GDP shrank 40 percentโ€”and is easily lowest
    among provinces.
๏ฝ   Albertaโ€™s economy has grown 76 percent more than
    population and inflation in the past 20 years.
๏ฝ   Corporate profits more than doubled their
    share of Albertaโ€™s economy from 1989 to
    2008, rising from 9.6 percent to 22.6 percent.
60000




                  50000




                  40000



$Million (2002)

                  30000
                          Corporate Profits

                          Corporate Tax Revenues



                  20000




                  10000




                      0
Table 1: Changes in selected fiscal indicators in Alberta, 1989-1993 vs. 2004-2008




                          1989-1993            2004-2008
                      Five Year Average    Five Year Average         Change
                      (per capita, 02 $)   (per capita, 02 $)   (per capita, 02 $)   Change (%)

Health Care                 2,061                2,563                 502            24.35%

K-12 Education              1,248                1,276                 28              2.28%

Post Secondary               819                 1,014                 195            23.87%

Social Services             1,546                1,032                -514            -33.26%

Personal Income            28,214               37,041                8,828           31.29%

Corporate profits           2,923                13,290              10,367           354.68%
ROYALTIES
85%




80%




75%


                                                                            Rest of Canada

                                                                            Alberta
70%




65%




60%

      2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
Share of Earnings top and bottom half of households
                               90%



                               80%



                               70%



                               60%



                               50%



                               40%



                               30%



                               20%



                               10%



                                0%

                                           Bottom 50%   Top 50%
$700,000



$600,000



$500,000



$400,000

                                                                       Threshold

$300,000                                                               Average



$200,000



$100,000



     $0

           NL   PEI   NS   NB   QC   ON   MB   SK   AB   BC   Canada
Median Alberta Income        Median CEO Income

Top 5 Median CEO Income

                                   $11,084,12
                                      3.00




                  $2,473,439.
                        00




    $68,100.00


             Median Alberta Incomes
Year                            %
2008                            40.6
2004                            44.7
2001                            52.8
1997                            52.8
1993                            60.2




 In the last election Alberta had the lowest turnout for a Canadian
 provincial election in the last 50 years.
2
Albertans Believe that Government Should be Doing More




  Believe govโ€™t should be doing more or at least the same to
             protect free, high quality healthcare.




                                                       Believe govโ€™t should be doing more or at least the same to
                                                                             reduce GHGs.
21
    By a 2:1 margin, Albertans believe in funding social
           programs over eliminating the deficit
Q   Which statement is closest to your view?
        The provincial government should increase finding for social programs such as health and education even
        if it means running a deficit
                                                        -or-
        The provincial government should eliminate the deficit, even if it means reducing funding for social
        programs such as health and education
22




Q   Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?




                                     Note: โ€˜Donโ€™t know/Refusedโ€™ not shown

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Diana Gibson April 13 Corner Brook

  • 1. An Alberta Case Study Diana Gibson, Parkland Institute
  • 2. ๏ฝ Less reliance on taxes ๏ฝ Regulatory capture ๏ฝ undermining democracy ๏ฝ Dutch disease ๏ฝ Inequality and a system skewed in the interest of corporations and the corporate elite.
  • 3. ๏ฝ From 1989 to 2008, Albertaโ€™s spending as a portion of GDP shrank 40 percentโ€”and is easily lowest among provinces. ๏ฝ Albertaโ€™s economy has grown 76 percent more than population and inflation in the past 20 years. ๏ฝ Corporate profits more than doubled their share of Albertaโ€™s economy from 1989 to 2008, rising from 9.6 percent to 22.6 percent.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. 60000 50000 40000 $Million (2002) 30000 Corporate Profits Corporate Tax Revenues 20000 10000 0
  • 7.
  • 8. Table 1: Changes in selected fiscal indicators in Alberta, 1989-1993 vs. 2004-2008 1989-1993 2004-2008 Five Year Average Five Year Average Change (per capita, 02 $) (per capita, 02 $) (per capita, 02 $) Change (%) Health Care 2,061 2,563 502 24.35% K-12 Education 1,248 1,276 28 2.28% Post Secondary 819 1,014 195 23.87% Social Services 1,546 1,032 -514 -33.26% Personal Income 28,214 37,041 8,828 31.29% Corporate profits 2,923 13,290 10,367 354.68%
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. 85% 80% 75% Rest of Canada Alberta 70% 65% 60% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
  • 15. Share of Earnings top and bottom half of households 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Bottom 50% Top 50%
  • 16. $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 Threshold $300,000 Average $200,000 $100,000 $0 NL PEI NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC Canada
  • 17. Median Alberta Income Median CEO Income Top 5 Median CEO Income $11,084,12 3.00 $2,473,439. 00 $68,100.00 Median Alberta Incomes
  • 18.
  • 19. Year % 2008 40.6 2004 44.7 2001 52.8 1997 52.8 1993 60.2 In the last election Alberta had the lowest turnout for a Canadian provincial election in the last 50 years.
  • 20. 2 Albertans Believe that Government Should be Doing More Believe govโ€™t should be doing more or at least the same to protect free, high quality healthcare. Believe govโ€™t should be doing more or at least the same to reduce GHGs.
  • 21. 21 By a 2:1 margin, Albertans believe in funding social programs over eliminating the deficit Q Which statement is closest to your view? The provincial government should increase finding for social programs such as health and education even if it means running a deficit -or- The provincial government should eliminate the deficit, even if it means reducing funding for social programs such as health and education
  • 22. 22 Q Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Note: โ€˜Donโ€™t know/Refusedโ€™ not shown

Editor's Notes

  1. What I will talk about today.
  2. growth losers, such as Nigeria, Zambia, Sierra Leone, Angola, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, are all resource-rich, while the Asian tigers: Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are all resource-poor.However Australia, Canada and Norway are opposite experiences. Recent studies look at institutional strength to break the resource curse. Studies of growth impacts of resource wealth โ€“ institutions - especially low levels of corruption, law and democracy.
  3. From 2005 to 2008, for example, Albertaโ€™s per capita spending on social services was 33 percent lower than the national average.
  4. The top and bottom bars are illustrations that Albertans are not the stereotypical โ€œhard right-wingersโ€ that some might believe.