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Personal Finance
Is it possible to pre-plan and manage it efficiently ?
RAM KUMAR KAKANI
LBSNAA MUSSOORIE
Why are personal finances important?
Absence/ shortage of money can lead to an acute sense of
insecurity
It can be a tremendous distraction from our normal work
Realization normally comes quite late
Thus, Clarity helps
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
2
General Rules
Money makes money
When you have got a little, it is often easy to get more.
The great difficulty is to get that little – Adam Smith
from the Wealth of Nations
Therefore, what is important for us?
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
3
Savings – The Indian Story
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
4
Savings – The Indian Story
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
5
A “Rs. 1” Investment in different types of portfolios: 1926-2011
(Year end 1925 = Rs. 1)
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
Annual Average Returns in India:
1979-2012
Returns on Investment in …
Bank Savings 3%
Insurance 5%
Inflation 8%
Fixed Deposits/Bonds 12%
Shares of Large firms 17%
Shares of Small firms 22%
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
7
Annual Average Returns in India:
1979-2012
Shares of Large Companies: 1 145 (33 years, 1979-2012)
Fixed Deposits (of private companies): 1 34 (33 years, 1979-2012)
Fixed Deposits of Banks: 1 17 (33 years, 1979-2012)
But, try looking at the yearly rates of return in each of the cases
The most fluctuating will be stocks i.e., stock returns vary widely over
time.
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
8
Ratan Tata, Ram Kakani, Rickshawalla …
Expectedreturn
Risk
Ratan
Ram
Rickshawalla
Please note that
(a)“Risk” here is “Perceived Risk”
(b) “Expected Return” is NOT “Actual Return”
(c) “Investment Decisions” are made based on the “Expected Return”
Risk and Return ….
Expectedreturn
Risk
Insurance
PPF, FDs
Lottery Ticket
Please note that
(a) As Risk Increases “Actual Returns” significantly differ from “Expected
Returns”
(b) Thus, it is important to not get carried away by High Risk Instruments
Large Stocks
Inflation
Small Shares
Principles of Saving
Have just the right amount in liquid investment + Rest in long term
deposits/ investments
Do not let money be idle
Decide your saving goals and an apt asset allocation:
♦ risk profile (risk averse, balanced, aggressive) ♦ return expectation
♦ investment horizon ♦ financial goals
Avoid Asset-Liability mismatch
Retirement_Planning.xlsx
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
11
Marketing by Financial Services Industry
– A Note of Caution
Flattery is praise insincerely given for an interested purpose  HW
Beecher
Example 1: Ponzi Scheme
Example 2: Lottery Ticket
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
12
What Multiplies MONEY?
The Power of Compounding
Money attracts money - strong brotherhood
Earn interest & interest on interest
The Early Bird Gets the Worm
Those who save early benefit more from compounding
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
13
The Power of Compounding
(1000 Rs, 10% interest)
Simple Interest Compound Interest
Year Starting
Balance
+ Interest = Ending
Balance
Starting
Balance
+ Interest = Ending
Balance
1 1000 + 100 = 1100 1000 + 100 = 1100
5 1400 + 100 = 1500 1464 + 146 = 1610
10 1900 + 100 = 2000 2358 + 236 = 2594
20 2900 + 100 = 3000 6116 + 612 = 6728
50 5900 + 100 = 6000 106,718 + 10672 = 117,390
100 10,900 + 100 = 11000 12,527,829 + 1,252,783 = 13,780,612
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
14
Investment Options
Fixed / Term Deposits and PPFs
Equity
Debt
Insurance
Mutual Funds (Equity / Balanced)
Real Estate
Precious Metals – Gold / Silver
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
15
Insurance
Avoid investing in ‘investment’ type of insurance schemes …
in other words, prefer – pure risk instruments
Protection for the family
Compulsory regular savings
Tax Benefits
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
16
Equity Markets – Getting Started
Start early and invest regularly
Stick to shares matching your risk profile (for example, if you are okay
with taking risk … then go for small/medium sized companies)
Liquidity is the single most important factor especially during volatile
periods
When there are gains, separate out money for taxes
There is no substitute to experience
Whenever you lose money, take stock of the reasons
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
17
Equity Markets – Some Thumb Rules
Never invest in businesses you don’t understand
Avoid investments in companies with a shady management record
Understand a company’s financials and corporate characteristics
before investing
Invest when others are exiting / avoiding (bear sentiment)
Exit when others are investing (bull sentiment)
Be patient
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
18
Advantages of Equity Investment
Capital appreciation
Annual Dividends
Loans against equity shares
Marketability of equity shares
Long term capital gains abolished
Shareholding in demat form
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
19
Investing in Mutual Funds
Mutual Funds are investment conduits which pool the savings of many
individual investors and combine them into a fairly large and well
diversified portfolio of investments. Many types:
Equity
Balanced
Index
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
20
Advantages of Mutual Funds
Expertise of professional management
Spread of risk
Freedom from emotional involvement
Automatic re-investment of dividends and capital gains
Liquidity
Freedom from housekeeping
Income tax exempt
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
21
Public Provident Fund
Maturity for 15 years, 5 year extensions, up to a maximum of 30
years
Min. Rs. 500 p.a.; max Rs. 100,000 p.a.
8.8% interest rate (compounded annually)
Loan facility
Tax benefits - Maximum
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
22
Real Estate
Plan in the next 4 to 9 years to have your own house or apartment
Investments in real estate are not liquid
Facilitates diversification of portfolio besides sense of security; may also
bring in rental income
Do not make investment on the basis of hype… time your entry
correctly
Avail loan from Govt. on easy terms
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
23
Gold
The Annual Return (compounded) since 2000 works out to
16%
Has outperformed other asset classes in the last one
decade …
However, past need not reflect the future
Provides an excellent hedge against inflation
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
24
Asset Allocation
Age Band (yrs) Risky Instruments (%) Safe Instruments (%)
18-25 85 15
26-35 75 25
36-45 65 35
46-55 55 45
56-65 45 55
>65 35 65
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
25
Take homes
Every time you invest, clearly write down the reasons for the same
Cash (and to some extent precious metals) are the best (unwritten)
insurance products
Do not roll over your credit card bills
Never extend your investment portfolio beyond 10-15 products
(including Shares, Mutual Funds, Insurance, Real Estate etc.)
Review your portfolio – every quarter (not every day)
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
26
Take homes
Never Put off financial planning
Appreciate the power of compounding
Never Live beyond your own means
Never invest (or blow up money) by borrowing
Do not rely too much on tips i.e., investment advisory services
Do not have unrealistic expectations
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
27
Take homes
Never put more than one-fourth of your money in one investment
product
Never invest in avenues where you’re either not sure of the
business model or it’s too complicated
Never be a part of Ponzi Schemes, Pyramid Schemes, Lottery
Tickets etc.
Do you think money can buy you happiness?
My take … impossible
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
28
THANK YOU
9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
29

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2013 managing personal finance

  • 1. Personal Finance Is it possible to pre-plan and manage it efficiently ? RAM KUMAR KAKANI LBSNAA MUSSOORIE
  • 2. Why are personal finances important? Absence/ shortage of money can lead to an acute sense of insecurity It can be a tremendous distraction from our normal work Realization normally comes quite late Thus, Clarity helps 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 2
  • 3. General Rules Money makes money When you have got a little, it is often easy to get more. The great difficulty is to get that little – Adam Smith from the Wealth of Nations Therefore, what is important for us? 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 3
  • 4. Savings – The Indian Story 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 4
  • 5. Savings – The Indian Story 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 5
  • 6. A “Rs. 1” Investment in different types of portfolios: 1926-2011 (Year end 1925 = Rs. 1) 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA
  • 7. Annual Average Returns in India: 1979-2012 Returns on Investment in … Bank Savings 3% Insurance 5% Inflation 8% Fixed Deposits/Bonds 12% Shares of Large firms 17% Shares of Small firms 22% 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 7
  • 8. Annual Average Returns in India: 1979-2012 Shares of Large Companies: 1 145 (33 years, 1979-2012) Fixed Deposits (of private companies): 1 34 (33 years, 1979-2012) Fixed Deposits of Banks: 1 17 (33 years, 1979-2012) But, try looking at the yearly rates of return in each of the cases The most fluctuating will be stocks i.e., stock returns vary widely over time. 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 8
  • 9. Ratan Tata, Ram Kakani, Rickshawalla … Expectedreturn Risk Ratan Ram Rickshawalla Please note that (a)“Risk” here is “Perceived Risk” (b) “Expected Return” is NOT “Actual Return” (c) “Investment Decisions” are made based on the “Expected Return”
  • 10. Risk and Return …. Expectedreturn Risk Insurance PPF, FDs Lottery Ticket Please note that (a) As Risk Increases “Actual Returns” significantly differ from “Expected Returns” (b) Thus, it is important to not get carried away by High Risk Instruments Large Stocks Inflation Small Shares
  • 11. Principles of Saving Have just the right amount in liquid investment + Rest in long term deposits/ investments Do not let money be idle Decide your saving goals and an apt asset allocation: ♦ risk profile (risk averse, balanced, aggressive) ♦ return expectation ♦ investment horizon ♦ financial goals Avoid Asset-Liability mismatch Retirement_Planning.xlsx 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 11
  • 12. Marketing by Financial Services Industry – A Note of Caution Flattery is praise insincerely given for an interested purpose  HW Beecher Example 1: Ponzi Scheme Example 2: Lottery Ticket 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 12
  • 13. What Multiplies MONEY? The Power of Compounding Money attracts money - strong brotherhood Earn interest & interest on interest The Early Bird Gets the Worm Those who save early benefit more from compounding 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 13
  • 14. The Power of Compounding (1000 Rs, 10% interest) Simple Interest Compound Interest Year Starting Balance + Interest = Ending Balance Starting Balance + Interest = Ending Balance 1 1000 + 100 = 1100 1000 + 100 = 1100 5 1400 + 100 = 1500 1464 + 146 = 1610 10 1900 + 100 = 2000 2358 + 236 = 2594 20 2900 + 100 = 3000 6116 + 612 = 6728 50 5900 + 100 = 6000 106,718 + 10672 = 117,390 100 10,900 + 100 = 11000 12,527,829 + 1,252,783 = 13,780,612 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 14
  • 15. Investment Options Fixed / Term Deposits and PPFs Equity Debt Insurance Mutual Funds (Equity / Balanced) Real Estate Precious Metals – Gold / Silver 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 15
  • 16. Insurance Avoid investing in ‘investment’ type of insurance schemes … in other words, prefer – pure risk instruments Protection for the family Compulsory regular savings Tax Benefits 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 16
  • 17. Equity Markets – Getting Started Start early and invest regularly Stick to shares matching your risk profile (for example, if you are okay with taking risk … then go for small/medium sized companies) Liquidity is the single most important factor especially during volatile periods When there are gains, separate out money for taxes There is no substitute to experience Whenever you lose money, take stock of the reasons 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 17
  • 18. Equity Markets – Some Thumb Rules Never invest in businesses you don’t understand Avoid investments in companies with a shady management record Understand a company’s financials and corporate characteristics before investing Invest when others are exiting / avoiding (bear sentiment) Exit when others are investing (bull sentiment) Be patient 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 18
  • 19. Advantages of Equity Investment Capital appreciation Annual Dividends Loans against equity shares Marketability of equity shares Long term capital gains abolished Shareholding in demat form 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 19
  • 20. Investing in Mutual Funds Mutual Funds are investment conduits which pool the savings of many individual investors and combine them into a fairly large and well diversified portfolio of investments. Many types: Equity Balanced Index 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 20
  • 21. Advantages of Mutual Funds Expertise of professional management Spread of risk Freedom from emotional involvement Automatic re-investment of dividends and capital gains Liquidity Freedom from housekeeping Income tax exempt 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 21
  • 22. Public Provident Fund Maturity for 15 years, 5 year extensions, up to a maximum of 30 years Min. Rs. 500 p.a.; max Rs. 100,000 p.a. 8.8% interest rate (compounded annually) Loan facility Tax benefits - Maximum 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 22
  • 23. Real Estate Plan in the next 4 to 9 years to have your own house or apartment Investments in real estate are not liquid Facilitates diversification of portfolio besides sense of security; may also bring in rental income Do not make investment on the basis of hype… time your entry correctly Avail loan from Govt. on easy terms 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 23
  • 24. Gold The Annual Return (compounded) since 2000 works out to 16% Has outperformed other asset classes in the last one decade … However, past need not reflect the future Provides an excellent hedge against inflation 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 24
  • 25. Asset Allocation Age Band (yrs) Risky Instruments (%) Safe Instruments (%) 18-25 85 15 26-35 75 25 36-45 65 35 46-55 55 45 56-65 45 55 >65 35 65 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 25
  • 26. Take homes Every time you invest, clearly write down the reasons for the same Cash (and to some extent precious metals) are the best (unwritten) insurance products Do not roll over your credit card bills Never extend your investment portfolio beyond 10-15 products (including Shares, Mutual Funds, Insurance, Real Estate etc.) Review your portfolio – every quarter (not every day) 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 26
  • 27. Take homes Never Put off financial planning Appreciate the power of compounding Never Live beyond your own means Never invest (or blow up money) by borrowing Do not rely too much on tips i.e., investment advisory services Do not have unrealistic expectations 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 27
  • 28. Take homes Never put more than one-fourth of your money in one investment product Never invest in avenues where you’re either not sure of the business model or it’s too complicated Never be a part of Ponzi Schemes, Pyramid Schemes, Lottery Tickets etc. Do you think money can buy you happiness? My take … impossible 9/23/2013RKK/LBSNAA 28