7 years after calling the next wave of disruptive technologies -- social, mobile, analytics, cloud (SMAC) -- I'm prepared to talk about the next wave of disruptive technologies. This represents both the next evolution of SMAC as well as a new set of disruptive technologies that represents that next wave of technology disruption.

1. The Next Wave of
Disruptive
Technologies
The Impact of Technology on
Business
Jonathan L. Yarmis
Principal Analyst
Yarmis Group
@jyarmis
jyarmis@gmail.com
http://DoctorDisruptive.com

2. We Are in a Period of
Unprecedented Technical Change
 No kidding
 But magnitude unappreciated
 Unprecedented rapidity
 On the cusp of a new wave
 As the existing wave evolves
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013

3. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
S-Curves Drive the Technology
Industry
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave

4. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
The Now: Talking SMAC
 Social
 Mobile
 Analytics
Please don’t call it “Big Data”
 Cloud
 And they’re all coming together

5. We Are at a Pivotal Time
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave

6. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Note: We Futurists Tend to
Overstate Impact in the Short-Term

7. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
But Underestimate it in the
Medium-Term!

8. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
The Next Chapter of SMAC
 We first automate what we previously did
manually or inefficiently
 Mid-life, we ask “what can we do that we
couldn’t do before?”
 We’re at that point now
 So don’t give me another social network

9. While the Next Wave is on the
Horizon
 Internet of Things
 Augmented Reality
 Big Knowledge
 Cognitive
 Probabilistic
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave

10. Internet of Things
 When everything is
connected to the
Internet
 Not just “computing”
devices
 Sensors in everything
 Even smart dust
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: Intel

11. Augmented Reality
 Do NOT judge it by
Google Glass
 Blending the physical
with the virtual
 When reality is a
read/write medium
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: Nickelodeon

12. Cognitive and Probabilistic
Computing
 Systems aware of
their environment
 Able to make “smart”
decisions
 And learn from
outcomes
 Computing today is
largely deterministic
 Moving towards
probabilistic systems
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: IBM

13. Big Knowledge
 Moving up the value
hierarchy from data to
information to
knowledge to wisdom
 Actionable
information
 Decision-making
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013

14. The Looming Battle
 The smart marketer
 The empowered user
 New software
categories
 Vendor Relationship
Management
 Whither privacy?
The Yarmis GroupOctober 19, 2010

15. Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
So, What Do You Do Now?