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ANXIETYINDEX
          EGYPT
        NOVEMBER 2010
AGENDA
    Background and Methodology               ........................................................................3

    What is making Egyptians anxious today?..................................................5




2
BACKGROUND AND
    METHODOLOGY
    The JWT AnxietyIndex was launched in February 2003 during the run-up
    to the war in Iraq.
    It tracks the level and intensity of consumer anxiety and the drivers of
    that anxiety. It examines safety and security concerns—the threat of
    terrorism, potential and current military hostilities, crime—as well as
    economic worries, such as the cost of health care, the cost of living and
    job security.
    JWT launched the baseline study for AnxietyIndex in Egypt in November
    2010, less than three months before the popular uprising.
        Quantitative online survey: n=580 adults age 18+




3
What was simmering here ...




                Tahrir Square, Cairo



    ... that made this a reality?




4
WHAT IS MAKING
    EGYPTIANS ANXIOUS
    TODAY?



5
Leading up to the current crisis, anxiety was
        running high: Three out of four Egyptians said
        they felt somewhat or very nervous/anxious.
         70
                          77                                                                  2010
         60
                                   54
         50

         40
                                                                          24
         30
                   23
                                                                  20
         20

         10
                                                                                      4
          0
                   Very          Somewhat                       Not very        Not at all
              nervous/anxious nervous/anxious               nervous/anxious nervous/anxious

    %

                               Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life,
                                                               how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?

6
In a global context, Egypt ranks among the
    most anxious nations, and it’s significantly more
       anxious than other markets in the region.
                      Percent who are Very/Somewhat Nervous/Anxious
        100

         90

         80

         70

         60

         50    90
                       84
         40                    77
                                       74
         30
                                               70      70       66      63      61       57       54       51
         20
                                                                                                                   35
         10

          0
              Japan   Russia   Egypt   India   U.S.    Spain   Brazil   U.K.   Australia U.A.E   Canada   Saudi    China
                                                                                                          Arabia
    %

                                         Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life,
7                                                                        how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
ANXIETYINDEX MAP

                        SAFETY/SECURITY                          ECONOMIC
                                           The Current State of the
                                                 Economy


                    The Potential Threat                                  The Cost of Health
                        of Terrorism                                     Care in Your Country
    FURTHER                                                                                       FURTHER
      FROM                                                                                          FROM
     “HOME”                                                                                        “HOME”
         Potential Military
         Hostilities Around                                                         The Current Cost
            the World                                                                    of Living
                                                                                     in Your Country




    CLOSER                                                                                        CLOSER
      TO                                                                                            TO
    “HOME”     Current Military
                                                                                You and Your
                                                                                                  “HOME”
              Hostilities Around
                  the World                                                    Family’s Current
                                                                                 Job Security


                               The Current Political         The Rate of Crime in
                            Leadership in Your Country         Your Community

                        SAFETY/SECURITY                          ECONOMIC
8
On a macro level, Egyptians are most
         concerned about economic issues: the overall
         state of the economy and the cost of living ...
                                                       The Current State
                                                        of the Economy
                                                             600
                             The Potential                                               The Cost of
                               Threat of                     500                        Health Care in
                               Terrorism                                                Your Country
                                                             400

                                                             300

                                                             200
              Potential                                                                              The Current
         Military Hostilities                                100                                    Cost of Living
         Around the World                                                                          in Your Country
                                                               0




                 Current Military                                                              You and Your Family’s
                   Hostilities                                                                  Current Job Security
                Around the World



                                         The Current                       The Rate of Crime
                                     Political Leadership                 in Your Community
                                       in Your Country
                                                                       AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not
    Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate
9                                                                                   how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
... which translates on a micro level to
                 anxiety around the basics of getting by:
                       employment and food prices.
                                                         Quality of Products
                                                             from China
                                                                 700                Your Government’s
                           Global Pandemic Diseases
                                                                                      Budget Deficit
                                                                 600

                Impact of Global Warming                         500                         The Stock Market
                                                                 400

                                                                 300

                   Natural Disasters                             200                                 Bank Failures

                                                                 100


                                                                   0
           The war in Afghanistan                                                                      The Housing Market




                        The war in Iraq                                                           Unemployment Rates



                      The State of Your National                                            Gasoline Prices
                            Infrastructure
                                                 Safety of the Food      Food Prices
                                                       Supply
                                                                        AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not
     Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate
10                                                                                   how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
When asked pre-crisis about sources of anxiety
           specific to Egypt, Egyptians cited political
     instability/government as one of their key concerns ...
                                                              The Rising Cost of
                                   I Worry about Losing         Living/Inflation
                                 My Job/Not Finding a Job         700            The Quality of Education
                            Religious
                   Tension/Conflicts/Fanaticism                   600                      Traffic Congestion

                                                                  500                              Political Instability
           Fulfilling Financial Obligations
             (Defaulting on My Loans)                                                               and Government
                                                                  400

                                                                  300                                    The Quality of
                    Starting a Family                                                                  Health Care in Egypt
                                                                  200

                  The Increasing                                  100                                     Being Able to Afford
                 Level of Pollution                                                                        Proper Education
                     in Egypt                                        0

                                                                                                         The Effect of Internet
                     Time Pressure                                                                         and Satellite on
                                                                                                        Egypt’s Societal Values

                      New Presidential                                                                The Increasing Level
                         Elections                                                                    of Violence and Crime
                               Welfare and                                                      Future of the
                           Retirement Benefits                                                Economy/Country
                                      Buying a Home                                    Food Hygiene
                                       or Apartment
                                                      The Increasing     Consumer Protection
                                                   Level of Health Risks     and Safety
                                                   and Diseases in Egypt
                                                                         AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not
      Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate
11                                                                                    how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
... and were highly pessimistic, especially
              around the factors that affect them every day.
                                             2010                                       WORSE                           BETTER
                                        Bank failures                                                              -5
            The state of your national infrastructure                                                        -16
                                   The stock market                                                          -16
          You and your family’s current job security                                                        -17
                    The potential threat of terrorism                                                 -23
     The current political leadership in your country                                                 -23
                          Global pandemic diseases                                              -30
        Current military hostilities around the world                                          -31
      Potential military hostilities around the world                                         -33
                   Your government’s budget deficit                                         -38
                           Safety of the food supply                                       -39
                                 The housing market                                       -40
                The rate of crime in your community                                      -41
              The cost of health care in your country                                    -41
                   The current state of the economy                                     -44
                                     Gasoline prices                              -52
                                Unemployment rates                              -56
                                         Food prices                      -64
           The current cost of living in your country                   -66

          %
                                      % who expect it will get “better” minus % who expect it will get “worse” in the next six months
                                                          And over the next six months, do you expect that each of the following will…?
12
While many Egyptians report finding it
          difficult to keep up their standard of living,
         perhaps most telling is the fairly low level of
               satisfaction with their current lot.
                                           Sources of Anxiety: Economics
                        It is getting harder to maintain
                                     my living standards
                                                                         47                  36          82
        The economic situation is getting worse and
     resluting in higher levels of violence and crimes
                                                                37                      45               82
      The cost of education is increasing; it’s harder
         to get a good education for myself/my kids
                                                                35                      46              81

                 I would like to slow down, but I can’t              44                 29         73
                        afford the luxury of doing less

         I am satisfied with my current living standard                  43       13    55
                    I am satisfied with my current job                   38      17     55             Somewhat Agree
                        Employment opportunities are                                                   Strongly Agree
                            becoming more available
                                                           18        7    25



     %

     Given everything that is going on in the world, in your country and in your family’s life, how much would you say you agree or
13                                                                                   disagree with each of the following sentences?
A majority of Egyptians report that the
     recession has impacted them personally, with
     one in three indicating a high level of impact.
                   How much has the recession impacted you personally?


                                                                              60%

                                                                                          36%
         Total 6%4% 7% 6%                17%          11%          13%        11%       6%        19%




              1-Hasn’t impacted me                                                   10-Has impacted me a
                                                                                                great deal


             No Impact                                                                             Great Impact




     %

           On a scale of 1-10, where 1 means the recession hasn’t impacted me personally at all and 10 means the recession has
14                                                           impacted me personally a great deal, how would you rate yourself?
Few expressed hope that things would
      improve soon, with close to half saying they had
     no idea when the economy would start looking up.
                                    When will the economy get better?
          60

          50                                                                                   48

          40                                                    In the Future



          30

          20
                                                                            19
                   12                                    14
          10
                                                                                                               5
                                      2
           0
               It has already    It will start to    It will start to   It will start to   I have no idea      I never
               started to get       get better          get better         get better        when it will   considered
                   better       this fall (2010)    next year (2011)        in 2012           get better    the country
                                                                             or later                        to be in a
      %                                                                                                      recession
                                                                        When, if ever, do you think the economy wil start to get better?


15
And while the human spirit to improve one’s
           well-being is strong in Egypt, some signs of
         societal discontent hinted at what was to come.
                                              Sources of Anxiety: Egyptian Society
              I am making an effort to improve the person I am             39                     50             89
                          I am actively trying to figure out what
                                                makes me happy              41                    48             89
                    More and more, I find I am looking for ways
                                              to simplify my life           45                     41           87
         Scheduling down time or ‘me’ time is important to me               43                    43            87
     I worry society has become too shallow, focusing on things
                                       that don’t really matter       28                   58                   86
      I’ve become more concerned about the need to conserve
                      natural resources in the past 12 months
                                                                          43              39        82
                                 Life is becoming less enjoyable          44               37      81
                As a society we have become intellectually lazy           39            39        78
                     I am increasingly worried about the threat         36             41         77
                                                 of health risks
                             It is getting harder to start a family       40            36       76
                                     I have become less patient           45           23     68
                I am more pessimistic about the future of Egypt          34         30       64
                      I don’t feel I can make much difference in
                                               Egypt on my own          35         26      61
               I am planning to emigrate soon, because Egypt’s
                                        future is not promising        32        22     54
                           Society is getting more conservative       25     9 34
          %                                                                      Somewhat Agree           Strongly Agree

           Given everything that is going on in the world, in your country and in your family’s life, how much would you say you agree or
                                                                                           disagree with each of the following sentences?

16
THANK YOU
Mark Truss                                                                                           Ann M. Mack
Director of Brand Intelligence                                                               Director of Trendspotting
JWT Worldwide                                                                                          JWT Worldwide
mark.truss@jwt.com                                                                                ann.mack@jwt.com
                                            www.AnxietyIndex.com


                                 (c) 2011 J. Walter Thompson Company. All Rights Reserved.

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JWT AnxietyIndex: Egypt (November 2010)

  • 1. ANXIETYINDEX EGYPT NOVEMBER 2010
  • 2. AGENDA Background and Methodology ........................................................................3 What is making Egyptians anxious today?..................................................5 2
  • 3. BACKGROUND AND METHODOLOGY The JWT AnxietyIndex was launched in February 2003 during the run-up to the war in Iraq. It tracks the level and intensity of consumer anxiety and the drivers of that anxiety. It examines safety and security concerns—the threat of terrorism, potential and current military hostilities, crime—as well as economic worries, such as the cost of health care, the cost of living and job security. JWT launched the baseline study for AnxietyIndex in Egypt in November 2010, less than three months before the popular uprising. Quantitative online survey: n=580 adults age 18+ 3
  • 4. What was simmering here ... Tahrir Square, Cairo ... that made this a reality? 4
  • 5. WHAT IS MAKING EGYPTIANS ANXIOUS TODAY? 5
  • 6. Leading up to the current crisis, anxiety was running high: Three out of four Egyptians said they felt somewhat or very nervous/anxious. 70 77 2010 60 54 50 40 24 30 23 20 20 10 4 0 Very Somewhat Not very Not at all nervous/anxious nervous/anxious nervous/anxious nervous/anxious % Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are? 6
  • 7. In a global context, Egypt ranks among the most anxious nations, and it’s significantly more anxious than other markets in the region. Percent who are Very/Somewhat Nervous/Anxious 100 90 80 70 60 50 90 84 40 77 74 30 70 70 66 63 61 57 54 51 20 35 10 0 Japan Russia Egypt India U.S. Spain Brazil U.K. Australia U.A.E Canada Saudi China Arabia % Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, 7 how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
  • 8. ANXIETYINDEX MAP SAFETY/SECURITY ECONOMIC The Current State of the Economy The Potential Threat The Cost of Health of Terrorism Care in Your Country FURTHER FURTHER FROM FROM “HOME” “HOME” Potential Military Hostilities Around The Current Cost the World of Living in Your Country CLOSER CLOSER TO TO “HOME” Current Military You and Your “HOME” Hostilities Around the World Family’s Current Job Security The Current Political The Rate of Crime in Leadership in Your Country Your Community SAFETY/SECURITY ECONOMIC 8
  • 9. On a macro level, Egyptians are most concerned about economic issues: the overall state of the economy and the cost of living ... The Current State of the Economy 600 The Potential The Cost of Threat of 500 Health Care in Terrorism Your Country 400 300 200 Potential The Current Military Hostilities 100 Cost of Living Around the World in Your Country 0 Current Military You and Your Family’s Hostilities Current Job Security Around the World The Current The Rate of Crime Political Leadership in Your Community in Your Country AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate 9 how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
  • 10. ... which translates on a micro level to anxiety around the basics of getting by: employment and food prices. Quality of Products from China 700 Your Government’s Global Pandemic Diseases Budget Deficit 600 Impact of Global Warming 500 The Stock Market 400 300 Natural Disasters 200 Bank Failures 100 0 The war in Afghanistan The Housing Market The war in Iraq Unemployment Rates The State of Your National Gasoline Prices Infrastructure Safety of the Food Food Prices Supply AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate 10 how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
  • 11. When asked pre-crisis about sources of anxiety specific to Egypt, Egyptians cited political instability/government as one of their key concerns ... The Rising Cost of I Worry about Losing Living/Inflation My Job/Not Finding a Job 700 The Quality of Education Religious Tension/Conflicts/Fanaticism 600 Traffic Congestion 500 Political Instability Fulfilling Financial Obligations (Defaulting on My Loans) and Government 400 300 The Quality of Starting a Family Health Care in Egypt 200 The Increasing 100 Being Able to Afford Level of Pollution Proper Education in Egypt 0 The Effect of Internet Time Pressure and Satellite on Egypt’s Societal Values New Presidential The Increasing Level Elections of Violence and Crime Welfare and Future of the Retirement Benefits Economy/Country Buying a Home Food Hygiene or Apartment The Increasing Consumer Protection Level of Health Risks and Safety and Diseases in Egypt AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not Events in your life, in the country and in the world can make people nervous or anxious. For each of the following, please indicate 11 how nervous or anxious you currently are, or not.
  • 12. ... and were highly pessimistic, especially around the factors that affect them every day. 2010 WORSE BETTER Bank failures -5 The state of your national infrastructure -16 The stock market -16 You and your family’s current job security -17 The potential threat of terrorism -23 The current political leadership in your country -23 Global pandemic diseases -30 Current military hostilities around the world -31 Potential military hostilities around the world -33 Your government’s budget deficit -38 Safety of the food supply -39 The housing market -40 The rate of crime in your community -41 The cost of health care in your country -41 The current state of the economy -44 Gasoline prices -52 Unemployment rates -56 Food prices -64 The current cost of living in your country -66 % % who expect it will get “better” minus % who expect it will get “worse” in the next six months And over the next six months, do you expect that each of the following will…? 12
  • 13. While many Egyptians report finding it difficult to keep up their standard of living, perhaps most telling is the fairly low level of satisfaction with their current lot. Sources of Anxiety: Economics It is getting harder to maintain my living standards 47 36 82 The economic situation is getting worse and resluting in higher levels of violence and crimes 37 45 82 The cost of education is increasing; it’s harder to get a good education for myself/my kids 35 46 81 I would like to slow down, but I can’t 44 29 73 afford the luxury of doing less I am satisfied with my current living standard 43 13 55 I am satisfied with my current job 38 17 55 Somewhat Agree Employment opportunities are Strongly Agree becoming more available 18 7 25 % Given everything that is going on in the world, in your country and in your family’s life, how much would you say you agree or 13 disagree with each of the following sentences?
  • 14. A majority of Egyptians report that the recession has impacted them personally, with one in three indicating a high level of impact. How much has the recession impacted you personally? 60% 36% Total 6%4% 7% 6% 17% 11% 13% 11% 6% 19% 1-Hasn’t impacted me 10-Has impacted me a great deal No Impact Great Impact % On a scale of 1-10, where 1 means the recession hasn’t impacted me personally at all and 10 means the recession has 14 impacted me personally a great deal, how would you rate yourself?
  • 15. Few expressed hope that things would improve soon, with close to half saying they had no idea when the economy would start looking up. When will the economy get better? 60 50 48 40 In the Future 30 20 19 12 14 10 5 2 0 It has already It will start to It will start to It will start to I have no idea I never started to get get better get better get better when it will considered better this fall (2010) next year (2011) in 2012 get better the country or later to be in a % recession When, if ever, do you think the economy wil start to get better? 15
  • 16. And while the human spirit to improve one’s well-being is strong in Egypt, some signs of societal discontent hinted at what was to come. Sources of Anxiety: Egyptian Society I am making an effort to improve the person I am 39 50 89 I am actively trying to figure out what makes me happy 41 48 89 More and more, I find I am looking for ways to simplify my life 45 41 87 Scheduling down time or ‘me’ time is important to me 43 43 87 I worry society has become too shallow, focusing on things that don’t really matter 28 58 86 I’ve become more concerned about the need to conserve natural resources in the past 12 months 43 39 82 Life is becoming less enjoyable 44 37 81 As a society we have become intellectually lazy 39 39 78 I am increasingly worried about the threat 36 41 77 of health risks It is getting harder to start a family 40 36 76 I have become less patient 45 23 68 I am more pessimistic about the future of Egypt 34 30 64 I don’t feel I can make much difference in Egypt on my own 35 26 61 I am planning to emigrate soon, because Egypt’s future is not promising 32 22 54 Society is getting more conservative 25 9 34 % Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree Given everything that is going on in the world, in your country and in your family’s life, how much would you say you agree or disagree with each of the following sentences? 16
  • 17. THANK YOU Mark Truss Ann M. Mack Director of Brand Intelligence Director of Trendspotting JWT Worldwide JWT Worldwide mark.truss@jwt.com ann.mack@jwt.com www.AnxietyIndex.com (c) 2011 J. Walter Thompson Company. All Rights Reserved.