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ANXIETYINDEX
     ARGENTINA
        JANUARY 2010
AGENDA
    Background ..............................................................................................................3
    Methodology ............................................................................................................5
    What’s making people anxious today?                                   ........................................................6

    A closer look at Argentina ..............................................................................17
         The recession’s impact on Argentina vs. other countries................................18
         The recession’s impact on lifestyle ................................................................21
         Media and the recession ................................................................................30
         Shopping behavior and the recession ............................................................36
         Looking to the future: The next generation ....................................................39

    In Conclusion ........................................................................................................42



2
BACKGROUND
    The JWT AnxietyIndex was launched in February 2003 during the run-up
    to the war in Iraq.
    It tracks the level and intensity of consumer anxiety and the drivers of
    that anxiety. It examines safety and security concerns—the threat of
    terrorism, potential and current military hostilities, crime—as well as
    economic worries, such as the cost of health care, the cost of living and
    job security.
    The AnxietyIndex is also designed to discover consumer insights that will
    help marketers formulate strategies during times of high or low anxiety.




3
BACKGROUND (CONT’D.)
                                  Argentina - GDP Percent Change
                15


                        8.7               9.2
                10              8.3               8.5       8.7
                                                                        6.8
                 5


                 0
                                                                                      -2.5
    % Change     -5


                -10
                      2004     2005       2006     2007     2008        2009       2010
                                                                                   (est.)

    JWT launched the baseline study for AnxietyIndex in Argentina in 2010.

    Following the global economic downturn, forecasts predict a recession for Argentina in 2010.
                                                                               Source: CIA World Fact Book


4
METHODOLOGY
    Quantitative survey conducted by JWT SONARTM, our proprietary online
    research tool
    Data collected January 2010
        328 adults aged 18-59, living in Argentina
    Data weighted by age and gender




5
WHAT’S MAKING PEOPLE
    ANXIOUS TODAY?



6
Overall anxiety levels in Argentina are
          high—among the highest in the world ...
    100
            10 16 18
     90              21 22 22
                              26 28
                                    30
     80                                                                     34 35
                                                                                           41 42
                                                                                                 45
     70                                                                                                           58
     60                                                                                                                   65
     50     90
                  84 82
     40                         79 78 78
                                         74 72 70
     30                                           66 65
                                                                                           59 58
                                                                                                 55
     20                                                                                                           42
                                                                                                                          35
     10

      0
           Japan Russia Saudi Argentina Mexico UAE   India   U.S.    Spain Brazil   U.K. Australia Colombia Canada France China
                        Arabia

                                % Nervous/Anxious                   % Not Nervous/Anxious                        Brazil: January   2009
                                                                                                        India, China: April-May    2009
                                                                                                   Russia, Spain, Japan: March     2009
                                                                             U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, France: September      2009
                                                                                                   Saudi Arabia, UAE: October      2009
                                                                                         Argentina, Colombia, Mexico: January      2010
                                  Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life,
7                                                                 how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
... with a full quarter of respondents
         saying they are “very nervous/anxious.”
    50
                                                                                     % Very Nervous/Anxious


    40



    30



    20
          38
                  30
                         28 26
    10                                  25 25 21
                                                 18 16
                                                       12 10
                                                                                           9      8       8      7      6
     0   Russia   India Saudi    UAE Argentina Japan Mexico Brazil   U.S.   Spain France U.K. Australia CanadaColombia China
                        Arabia
                                                                                                                 Brazil: January   2009
                                                                                                        India, China: April-May    2009
                                                                                                   Russia, Spain, Japan: March     2009
                                                                             U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, France: September      2009
                                                                                                   Saudi Arabia, UAE: October      2009
                                                                                         Argentina, Colombia, Mexico: January      2010
                                   Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life,
8                                                                  how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
ANXIETYINDEX MAP

                     SAFETY/SECURITY                                 ECONOMIC

                                                  Political Leadership
                                                       900

                              Threat of
                                                                                   State of Economy
                              Terrorism
    FURTHER                                            600
                                                                                                         FURTHER
      FROM                                                                                                 FROM
     “HOME”                                                                                               “HOME”
                                                       300
         Potential Military                                                                 Cost of Health
            Hostilities                                                                         Care
                                                         0



    CLOSER                                                                                                   CLOSER
      TO                                                                                                       TO
    “HOME”    Current Military                                                          Cost of Living       “HOME”
                Hostilities




                                          Crime                          Job Security


                     SAFETY/SECURITY                                 ECONOMIC
9
Financial security and personal safety
     stand out as anxieties, while wars and terrorism
      are further from the collective consciousness.
                                                Political Leadership
                                                                                                         Argentina
                                                      1000
                                                                                                         Global average
                                                       900
                            Threat of
                                                       800                       State of Economy
                            Terrorism
                                                       700
                                                       600
                                                       500             517
                                                       400
                                                             235
                                                       300
                                                       200
       Potential Military                        52                                            Cost of
          Hostilities                                  100
                                                                       228                   Health Care
                                                        0
                                                74

                                                 81


                                                              298
           Current Military                                                             Cost of Living
             Hostilities                                                     985
                                           575



                                        Crime                          Job Security
                                                              AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not

10
Anxiety over personal finances is
          pronouced even compared with other
              LATAM markets we studied.
                                              Political Leadership
                                                                                                         Argentina
                                                    1000
                                                                                                         LATAM* average
                                                     900
                          Threat of
                                                     800                       State of Economy
                          Terrorism
                                                     700
                                                     600
                                                     500             517
                                                     400
                                                           235
                                                     300
                                                     200
     Potential Military                        52                                               Cost of
        Hostilities                                  100
                                                                     228                      Health Care
                                                      0
                                              74

                                               81


                                                            298
         Current Military                                                               Cost of Living
           Hostilities                                                     985
                                         575



                                      Crime                          Job Security
                                                            AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not
                                                                                    *Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico
11
In addition to current concerns like food prices and
     national infrastructure, Argentines also worry about the
     future, specifically natural disasters and global warming.
                                                            The War in Iraq                                               Argentina
                                   Impact of Global                                   The War in                          Global average
                                      Warming                   800                   Afghanistan



                  Natural Disasters                             600                             The Housing
                                                                                                  Market
                                                       360
                                                                400


                Safety of the                    296                49                                  Gasoline Prices
                Food Supply                                     200
                                                                           43 103
                                                   112                              156
                                                       35         0

                Quality of
           Products Imported                          193                                              Food Prices
                                                                      49
               from China                                                   84                   784
                                                              275                   367


                  The Government’s
                                                                                                 Unemployment Rates
                    Budget Deficit


                                      The State
                                        of the                                        Bank Failures
                                National Infrastructure     The Stock Market

                                                                            AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not

12
Argentina shares the same specific concerns as
     LATAM in general, although Argentines have heightened
         anxiety around food prices and infrastructure.
                                                          The War in Iraq                                                Argentina
                                                                                 The War in                              LATAM* average
                                       Corruption              800
                                                                                 Afghanistan


                    Impact of Global                           600                             The Housing
                       Warming                                                                   Market
                                                     495
                                                               400

                                             360
           Natural Disasters                                   200
                                                                                                       Gasoline Prices
                                                                  49
                                                                       43 103
                                           296                                  156
                                                                 0

             Safety of the                          112
                                                                                                         Food Prices
             Food Supply                                  35
                                                                     49    84                    784
                                                      193
                                                                                   367
                 Quality of                                     275
            Products Imported                                                                      Unemployment Rates
                from China


                     The Government’s
                       Budget Deficit                                                    Bank Failures

                                    The State of the
                                                                          The Stock Market
                                 National Infrastructure
                                                                          AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not
                                                                                                  *Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico
13
In general, Argentines are fairly pessimistic
     about the prospect of positive change in the near term.
                                                                               WORSE                        BETTER
                    Safety of the food supply                                             -25
                                                                                                            1
                         The housing market                 Argentina                           -19
                                                            Global average                            -3
                           The stock market
                                                                                                -15
                                                            More optimistic
                                                                                                            2
                                Bank failures               More pessimistic                               0
                                                                                                            1
                        Unemployment rates                                          -35
                                                                                          -27
                             Gasoline prices                       -67
                                                                                    -34
                                 Food prices                 -72
                                                                                    -35
             The government’s budget deficit                                  -45
                                                                                       -29


                              % who expect it will get “better” minus % who expect it will get “worse” in the next six months
          And over the next six months, do you expect that each of the following will get better, stay the same or get worse?
14
Likely because people are still feeling
                the sting of the economic downturn …

                   Intensity of Personal Impact from Tough Economic Times


                                                          33
                                                                                     47
                               20




                  1        2        3        4        5        6        7        8        9       10
               Haven’t                                                                           Have
              impacted                                                                         impacted
               me at all                                                                       me a great
                                                                                                 deal
              No Impact                                                                        Great Impact




     %

         On a scale of 1-10, where 1 means tough economic times haven’t impacted me personally at all and 10 means tough
15                                  economic times have impacted me personally a great deal, how would you rate yourself?
... though many believe they
         have fared better than their countrymen.

                      Intensity of Impact from Tough Economic Times



                 Impact on Argentina                              Impact on me =    47
                 Impact on Me                              Impact on Argentina =    67




             1         2      3        4   5        6        7        8        9       10
          Haven’t                                                                     Have
         impacted                                                                   impacted
          me at all                                                                 me a great
                                                                                      deal
         No Impact                                                                  Great Impact




     %

                                               How would you rate the impact of the recession on your country?
16
A CLOSER LOOK
     AT ARGENTINA



17
THE RECESSION’S
     IMPACT ON ARGENTINA
     VS. OTHER COUNTRIES



18
Most think the recession has affected Argentina to
     about the same degree as other countries in the region.
            Impact of Recession on Argentina vs. Other Latin American Countries
             70
                                                            63
            60

            50

            40

            30

            20               19                                                            18
            10

             0
                   My country has been          My country has been         My country has been LESS
                 MORE affected than other affected ABOUT THE SAME            affected than other Latin
                 Latin American countries as other Latin American countries     American countries
        %

       Thinking about the effect of the global economic downturn on your country, do you think your country has been affected
                                                    more, less, or about the same compared to other Latin American countries?

19
Argentines are split on how the country
                  has fared compared wealthier countries.
                       Impact of Recession on Argentina vs. Richer Countries
            70

            60

            50

            40                36
                                                             32                            32
            30

            20

            10

              0
                    My country has been              My country has been        My country has been LESS
                    MORE affected than           affected ABOUT THE SAME               affected than
                      richer countries                as richer countries            richer countries
        %



     Thinking about the effect of the global economic downturn on your country, do you think your country has been affected
20                                                             more, less, or about the same compared to richer countries?
THE RECESSION’S
     IMPACT ON LIFESTYLE



21
Argentines consider ivory-tower politicians,
          class inequalities, crime and corruption as
         the primary social impacts of the recession.
                                                           % who agree

       Politicians in my country are out of touch with
     how the average person is being affected by the                                    61
                           global economic downturn

      Government corruption in my country is as bad
                                as it has ever been                                  58
      I’m worried that crime in my neighborhood will
                increase as people fall on hard times                               58
         I worry that the global economic downturn is
         widening the economic gap between the rich                                 58
                            and the poor in my country
           My social class is being dealt an unfair blow
            because of this global economic downturn
                                                                             45
         I have started to notice that the values in my
         country have changed a bit as a result of the                32
                            global economic downturn

         The economic crisis has brought me closer to
                                my friends and family
                                                             13

      The economic crisis has distanced me from my
                                   friends and family
                                                            8
     %

                                                      How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?


22
Behavior-wise, people
                        are retrenching to their homes ...
              Changes in Social Behavior as a Result of the Economic Downturn


                                                         2
                            Going to concerts/theatre                   36
                                                                                          62
                                                         3
                             Going out to the movies                    36
                                                                                         61
                                                         2
                              Going out to clubs, bars                   38
                                                                                         60
                                                         3
                                     Going out to eat                    38
                                                                                         59
                                                         2
                                  Going out shopping                          44
                                                                                    54
                                                         2
                          Going out to parties/events                         44                     More
                                                                                    54               Same
                                                                              44                     Less
                              Spending time at home                            45
                                                             11




       %

     Some people have told us that recently they have made some changes in how they are spending their time. Looking at the
      list of activities below, are you doing each more often, less often, or about the same amount as you did before the global
                                                                                                          economic downturn?
23
... especially women.
                                        % Doing Activity LESS by Gender



                                                                                                  66
                            Going to concerts/theatre                                   59
                                                                                             64
                             Going out to the movies
                                                                                        57
                                                                                                   69
                              Going out to clubs, bars
                                                                                   51
                                                                                                  68
                                     Going out to eat
                                                                                  49
                                                                                             63
                                  Going out shopping
                                                                             45
                                                                                             62
                          Going out to parties/events                                                   Women
                                                                             45
                                                                                                        Men




       %

     Some people have told us that recently they have made some changes in how they are spending their time. Looking at the
      list of activities below, are you doing each more often, less often, or about the same amount as you did before the global
                                                                                                          economic downturn?
24
As one might expect, people are spending more
     time at home primarily to cut back on spending.
                           Why People Are Spending MORE Time at Home



                           To cut back on spending                                        80
              Because of crime in my neighborhood                31
          I want to spend more time with my family          24

                    Because most of my friends are          23
           There seems to be less going on (parties,
                                     concerts, etc.)   12
     I improved my home entertainment/bought new
                     items for home entertainment
                                                       2

                                              Other    10




     %

     You mentioned that you have been spending more time at home recently. What are the reasons you have been spending
                                                                                                   more time at home?

25
Crime is a prime driver of anxiety ...
                  How concerned are you about crime in your neighborhood?

           70
                                    84
           60
                              52
           50

           40
                                             32
           30                                                                    16
           20
                                                                          14
           10
                                                                                          2
             0
                               Very        Somewhat                     Not very       Not at all
                            concerned      concerned                   concerned      concerned

       %

     Now, we’d like to talk to you about crime in your neighborhood. How concerned are you about crime in your neighborhood?


26
... and appears to be tied to the downturn,
        as anxiety related to crime has risen steeply ...
                  How has your concern about crime changed over the past year?

            80

            70                68
            60

            50

            40
                                                              31
            30

            20

            10
                                                                                           1
              0
                            Increased                   Stayed the Same                 Decreased

        %

     Thinking about the past year, has your concern about crime in your neighborhood increased, decreased, or stayed the same?


27
... impacting the daily
                lives of many, especially women.
              Has your routine changed due to concerns about crime?
         80

         70    Women
               Men
                                   63
         60
                        55
         50
                                                                45
         40                                                             37
         30

         20

         10

          0
                             Yes                                     No




     %

                   Have you changed your routine at all due to your concern about the crime in your neighborhood?


28
People have adopted coping mechanisms impacting
     various areas of their lives, from going out less often
     to showing less bling to shopping in different areas/stores.
                        Has your routine changed due to concerns about crime?

                      Going out less often than I used to                                                   61
                                                                                            47
                Not wearing certain pieces of clothing or                                         52
                  accessories so I don’t attract attention                                       51

                                   Not going out at night
                                                                                                       57
                                                                                     36

               Choosing to shop in different areas/stores                                  45
                                                                                          41

        Making sure that when I am out, I am not alone                                          50
                                                                                     36

            Choosing different methods of transportation                                    47
                                                                           20

                               Buying fewer luxury items                   21
                                                                                29
                                                                                                                         Women
            Entertaining myself and friends at home so I              16                                                 Men
                          don’t have to go out as much           11

                                                    Other        11
                                                                 9


        %                                                    Among those who have changed their routine due to concerns about crime
                                                                                                                 And how or what have you changed?


29
MEDIA AND
     THE RECESSION



30
As in most markets, people understand
         the downturn as much as it affects them but
           don’t possess an in-depth understanding.
                Knowledge of the Global Economic Downturn
         60
                                  52
         50
                                                              44
         40

         30

         20

         10
                   4
                                                                                0
          0
                I know a lot  I know a fair              I’ve heard of it,    I’ve never
                   about it  amount about it            but that’s about it   heard of it

     %

                                        How much would you say you know about the global economic downturn?


31
Argentines get their news through
         several sources, primarily TV and the Web ...

               % of people who use source for news at least once a day
         100
          90           87
          80                             76
          70
          60                                                    57
          50                                                                      46
          40
          30
          20
          10
           0
                        TV               Online                Radio            Newspaper


     %

                   About how often, if at all, do you get your current news and information from each of the following?


32
... which have been a source of information
           about the downturn, especially among men.
            % of people who saw news about the downturn through their usual
                             news and information sources
           100
            90                                                                                Women
                                  85                                                          Men
            80
                                             75
            70
            60
            50
            40
            30                                                                     25
            20                                                          15
            10
             0
                                       Yes                                    No


       %

     Have you watched/read/heard reports about the global economic downturn from your usual news and information sources?


33
Most Argentines feel the media has covered the
     downturn in the right proportion. If anything, there’s
           been less coverage than they’d like ...
                       Has the media coverage of the downturn been ...?
           80

           70
                                                           60
           60

           50

           40

           30               29
           20
                                                                                       11
           10

            0
                          Too Little                   Right Amount                  Too Much

       %

                And do you think the media has been giving reports about the global economic downturn too much, too little,
                                                                                                or just enough coverage?

34
... perhaps that’s why most Argentines
           were unaware of reports that LATAM will
                   enter a recession this year.
         Awareness of reports that Latin America will enter a recession in 2010
          80

         70
                                                                     59
         60

         50
                            41
         40

         30

         20

         10

          0
                             Yes                                      No

     %

                             Are you aware of the recent reports that Latin America will enter a recession in 2010?


35
SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
     AND THE RECESSION



36
In the past year, most people have changed their
     behavior in response to the global downturn—though
          these steps are more passive than active ...
                               Actions taken as a result of the global downturn
      Paying closer attention to prices while I’m shopping                                    69
                   More actively looking for items on sale                                    69
               Doing more comparison shopping to make
                               sure I get the best price                                 62
                  Buying only when I am close to running                            54
                                       out of something

      Shopping more at discount or less expensive stores                      45
                        Switching to lower priced brands                     43
           Buying more store brands/private label brands                36
             Buying smaller amounts of items, more often           26
                                     Using more coupons           22
                                      Buying more in bulk    13
                   I haven’t changed my spending habits      11
                              as a result of the recession



         %

      Now, we would like to talk to you about your shopping over the past year. Please take a moment and think about how your
           spending habits have or have not changed over the past year when it comes to what you buy for your household (i.e.,
      groceries, supplies, etc.). Which of the following, if any, have you begun to do as a result of the global economic downturn?
37
... and defensive recessionary behavior
                       seems yet to have gripped Argentines.

                                                         % who agree strongly



           I have started to cut back on things I don’t need                      40
     I worry that because of the global economic downturn
                 I won’t be able to attain the lifestyle I want
                                                                                34
                 I have noticed my friends have cut back in
                                       their spending habits               28
     I worry that because of the global economic downturn                 27
        I won’t be able to keep up the lifestyle I am used to
        I haven’t personally felt the effects of the recession
          but have modified my spending habits just in case
                                                                    16
                        The recession hasn’t really changed
                               what I do in my everyday life
                                                                   13




            %

                                                              How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?


38
LOOKING TO THE FUTURE:
     THE NEXT GENERATION



39
While a majority of Argentines are generally
     anxious about the world their children and their
            children’s children will inherit ...
               % of people anxious about themselves vs. anxious about the
                         future for their children/grandchildren
         100
          90
                                                 90
          80                 79
          70
          60
          50                                                                               43
          40
          30                                                           25
          20
          10
           0
                         Anxious about       Anxious about       Very Anxious about   Very Anxious about
                          themselves         their children/         themselves         their children/
                                              grandchildren                             grandchildren
     %                                                                                         Among those who have children
     Given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, how nervous or anxious would you say
                                                          you are about the world your child(ren) or grandchildren will inherit?

40
... which tends to manifest in financial concerns.

                                                % agreeing strongly or somewhat


     I worry about the effect this economy will have on the
                   ability of my child(ren) to find a good job
                                                                                                         79

     I worry about my ability to afford the type of education                                           75
                                      I’d like for my child(ren)

          I worry about my retirement funds and that I may                                         69
             someday have to rely on my child(ren) for help

          This is a good lesson for my child(ren) about living                          49
                                          within your means
         I’ve lived through recessions before, and so did my
                       parents—my child(ren) will be just fine
                                                                                      46

           The schools are doing a good job of teaching my                  27
                             child(ren) about the recession




            %                                                                                           Among those who have children
                                                               How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?


41
IN CONCLUSION


42
IN CONCLUSION
     Argentinean consumers are accustomed to economic turmoil (inflation,
     recession, etc.) and have lived with various forms of economic crisis for
     decades. They are adaptable, expanding and shrinking their spending in
     accordance with the times.
     This is why the main driver of anxiety is the state of the economy,
     specifically the uncertain future that people constantly face.
     Within the economy, the most relevant issue is inflation, which causes a
     day-to-day rise in the cost of living. Argentina, which is not experiencing
     the same recession as most of the world, has been grappling with
     permanent price fluctuation under the ghost of inflation since the 1970s.




43
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     The other important driver of anxiety is concern about security and
     crime.
     The media is stoking perceptions that crime is increasing and that the
     country’s economic future is uncertain. The biggest media owners are
     using their popular newspapers to wage a battle against the
     administration because of political and economic differences. So
     coverage of these issues tends to exaggerate the facts in order to
     achieve greater political opposition.




44
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     Argentina is going through a credibility crisis. Since the last serious social,
     political and economic crisis, in 2001, Argentines have suffered a deep
     lack of credibility. The current administration is distrusted because of how
     it carries out decisions and accusations of corruption.
     Leadership is weakening because of a general perception of politicians as
     corrupt and out of touch with society’s needs.
     The high level of anxiety has resulted in widespread social tension and
     aggressiveness in the streets.




45
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     As Argentine consumers are accustomed to economic difficulties, they
     don’t consider the global downturn a relevant issue. They know about it,
     but local problems are more meaningful to them.




46
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     This gloomy picture provides brands an opportunity to offer optimistic
     messages and a positive brand experience, standing out by counteracting
     the negativity dominating Argentinean society.
     People are looking to slow down and enjoy life. Brands can play an
     important role by helping people who are seeking balance and harmony.




47
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     Walmart and Kraft Royal are two brands that are bringing some fresh air
     by communicating from a positive point of view.
     Walmart: “Save money. Live better”
         The economic crisis has led to a waning belief in the idea of saving
         money—people don’t believe it’s really possible to save much. As a
         consequence, people feel that having a happy life with friends and family is
         more important than being materialistic and money-oriented. But the “Save
         money. Live better” proposal tells customers that by saving money, they
         will have a more enjoyable life.




48
IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.)
     Kraft Royal: “Nourish their happiness”
         The target is the modern mother between 25 and 35. The brand is
         positioned as a way for mothers to be both responsible/caring and fun.
         “Nourish their happiness” tells mothers they can give their kids a nutritious
         dessert that they will love; and it’s both a cheap and simple option (it
         comes ready-made), perfect for a busy mother on a budget.




49
THANK YOU

Mark Truss                                    Alexandra Suarez                                       Ann M. Mack
Director of Brand Intelligence              Market Research Director                         Director of Trendspotting
JWT Worldwide                                    JWT Latin America                                     JWT Worldwide
mark.truss@jwt.com                         alexandra.suarez@jwt.com                               ann.mack@jwt.com



                                            www.AnxietyIndex.com
                                 (c) 2010 J. Walter Thompson Company. All Rights Reserved.

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JWT AnxietyIndex: Argentina (January 2010)

  • 1. ANXIETYINDEX ARGENTINA JANUARY 2010
  • 2. AGENDA Background ..............................................................................................................3 Methodology ............................................................................................................5 What’s making people anxious today? ........................................................6 A closer look at Argentina ..............................................................................17 The recession’s impact on Argentina vs. other countries................................18 The recession’s impact on lifestyle ................................................................21 Media and the recession ................................................................................30 Shopping behavior and the recession ............................................................36 Looking to the future: The next generation ....................................................39 In Conclusion ........................................................................................................42 2
  • 3. BACKGROUND The JWT AnxietyIndex was launched in February 2003 during the run-up to the war in Iraq. It tracks the level and intensity of consumer anxiety and the drivers of that anxiety. It examines safety and security concerns—the threat of terrorism, potential and current military hostilities, crime—as well as economic worries, such as the cost of health care, the cost of living and job security. The AnxietyIndex is also designed to discover consumer insights that will help marketers formulate strategies during times of high or low anxiety. 3
  • 4. BACKGROUND (CONT’D.) Argentina - GDP Percent Change 15 8.7 9.2 10 8.3 8.5 8.7 6.8 5 0 -2.5 % Change -5 -10 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (est.) JWT launched the baseline study for AnxietyIndex in Argentina in 2010. Following the global economic downturn, forecasts predict a recession for Argentina in 2010. Source: CIA World Fact Book 4
  • 5. METHODOLOGY Quantitative survey conducted by JWT SONARTM, our proprietary online research tool Data collected January 2010 328 adults aged 18-59, living in Argentina Data weighted by age and gender 5
  • 6. WHAT’S MAKING PEOPLE ANXIOUS TODAY? 6
  • 7. Overall anxiety levels in Argentina are high—among the highest in the world ... 100 10 16 18 90 21 22 22 26 28 30 80 34 35 41 42 45 70 58 60 65 50 90 84 82 40 79 78 78 74 72 70 30 66 65 59 58 55 20 42 35 10 0 Japan Russia Saudi Argentina Mexico UAE India U.S. Spain Brazil U.K. Australia Colombia Canada France China Arabia % Nervous/Anxious % Not Nervous/Anxious Brazil: January 2009 India, China: April-May 2009 Russia, Spain, Japan: March 2009 U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, France: September 2009 Saudi Arabia, UAE: October 2009 Argentina, Colombia, Mexico: January 2010 Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, 7 how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
  • 8. ... with a full quarter of respondents saying they are “very nervous/anxious.” 50 % Very Nervous/Anxious 40 30 20 38 30 28 26 10 25 25 21 18 16 12 10 9 8 8 7 6 0 Russia India Saudi UAE Argentina Japan Mexico Brazil U.S. Spain France U.K. Australia CanadaColombia China Arabia Brazil: January 2009 India, China: April-May 2009 Russia, Spain, Japan: March 2009 U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, France: September 2009 Saudi Arabia, UAE: October 2009 Argentina, Colombia, Mexico: January 2010 Overall, given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, 8 how nervous or anxious would you say you currently are?
  • 9. ANXIETYINDEX MAP SAFETY/SECURITY ECONOMIC Political Leadership 900 Threat of State of Economy Terrorism FURTHER 600 FURTHER FROM FROM “HOME” “HOME” 300 Potential Military Cost of Health Hostilities Care 0 CLOSER CLOSER TO TO “HOME” Current Military Cost of Living “HOME” Hostilities Crime Job Security SAFETY/SECURITY ECONOMIC 9
  • 10. Financial security and personal safety stand out as anxieties, while wars and terrorism are further from the collective consciousness. Political Leadership Argentina 1000 Global average 900 Threat of 800 State of Economy Terrorism 700 600 500 517 400 235 300 200 Potential Military 52 Cost of Hostilities 100 228 Health Care 0 74 81 298 Current Military Cost of Living Hostilities 985 575 Crime Job Security AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not 10
  • 11. Anxiety over personal finances is pronouced even compared with other LATAM markets we studied. Political Leadership Argentina 1000 LATAM* average 900 Threat of 800 State of Economy Terrorism 700 600 500 517 400 235 300 200 Potential Military 52 Cost of Hostilities 100 228 Health Care 0 74 81 298 Current Military Cost of Living Hostilities 985 575 Crime Job Security AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not *Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico 11
  • 12. In addition to current concerns like food prices and national infrastructure, Argentines also worry about the future, specifically natural disasters and global warming. The War in Iraq Argentina Impact of Global The War in Global average Warming 800 Afghanistan Natural Disasters 600 The Housing Market 360 400 Safety of the 296 49 Gasoline Prices Food Supply 200 43 103 112 156 35 0 Quality of Products Imported 193 Food Prices 49 from China 84 784 275 367 The Government’s Unemployment Rates Budget Deficit The State of the Bank Failures National Infrastructure The Stock Market AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not 12
  • 13. Argentina shares the same specific concerns as LATAM in general, although Argentines have heightened anxiety around food prices and infrastructure. The War in Iraq Argentina The War in LATAM* average Corruption 800 Afghanistan Impact of Global 600 The Housing Warming Market 495 400 360 Natural Disasters 200 Gasoline Prices 49 43 103 296 156 0 Safety of the 112 Food Prices Food Supply 35 49 84 784 193 367 Quality of 275 Products Imported Unemployment Rates from China The Government’s Budget Deficit Bank Failures The State of the The Stock Market National Infrastructure AnxietyIndex: % who are nervous or anxious/% who are not *Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico 13
  • 14. In general, Argentines are fairly pessimistic about the prospect of positive change in the near term. WORSE BETTER Safety of the food supply -25 1 The housing market Argentina -19 Global average -3 The stock market -15 More optimistic 2 Bank failures More pessimistic 0 1 Unemployment rates -35 -27 Gasoline prices -67 -34 Food prices -72 -35 The government’s budget deficit -45 -29 % who expect it will get “better” minus % who expect it will get “worse” in the next six months And over the next six months, do you expect that each of the following will get better, stay the same or get worse? 14
  • 15. Likely because people are still feeling the sting of the economic downturn … Intensity of Personal Impact from Tough Economic Times 33 47 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Haven’t Have impacted impacted me at all me a great deal No Impact Great Impact % On a scale of 1-10, where 1 means tough economic times haven’t impacted me personally at all and 10 means tough 15 economic times have impacted me personally a great deal, how would you rate yourself?
  • 16. ... though many believe they have fared better than their countrymen. Intensity of Impact from Tough Economic Times Impact on Argentina Impact on me = 47 Impact on Me Impact on Argentina = 67 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Haven’t Have impacted impacted me at all me a great deal No Impact Great Impact % How would you rate the impact of the recession on your country? 16
  • 17. A CLOSER LOOK AT ARGENTINA 17
  • 18. THE RECESSION’S IMPACT ON ARGENTINA VS. OTHER COUNTRIES 18
  • 19. Most think the recession has affected Argentina to about the same degree as other countries in the region. Impact of Recession on Argentina vs. Other Latin American Countries 70 63 60 50 40 30 20 19 18 10 0 My country has been My country has been My country has been LESS MORE affected than other affected ABOUT THE SAME affected than other Latin Latin American countries as other Latin American countries American countries % Thinking about the effect of the global economic downturn on your country, do you think your country has been affected more, less, or about the same compared to other Latin American countries? 19
  • 20. Argentines are split on how the country has fared compared wealthier countries. Impact of Recession on Argentina vs. Richer Countries 70 60 50 40 36 32 32 30 20 10 0 My country has been My country has been My country has been LESS MORE affected than affected ABOUT THE SAME affected than richer countries as richer countries richer countries % Thinking about the effect of the global economic downturn on your country, do you think your country has been affected 20 more, less, or about the same compared to richer countries?
  • 21. THE RECESSION’S IMPACT ON LIFESTYLE 21
  • 22. Argentines consider ivory-tower politicians, class inequalities, crime and corruption as the primary social impacts of the recession. % who agree Politicians in my country are out of touch with how the average person is being affected by the 61 global economic downturn Government corruption in my country is as bad as it has ever been 58 I’m worried that crime in my neighborhood will increase as people fall on hard times 58 I worry that the global economic downturn is widening the economic gap between the rich 58 and the poor in my country My social class is being dealt an unfair blow because of this global economic downturn 45 I have started to notice that the values in my country have changed a bit as a result of the 32 global economic downturn The economic crisis has brought me closer to my friends and family 13 The economic crisis has distanced me from my friends and family 8 % How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? 22
  • 23. Behavior-wise, people are retrenching to their homes ... Changes in Social Behavior as a Result of the Economic Downturn 2 Going to concerts/theatre 36 62 3 Going out to the movies 36 61 2 Going out to clubs, bars 38 60 3 Going out to eat 38 59 2 Going out shopping 44 54 2 Going out to parties/events 44 More 54 Same 44 Less Spending time at home 45 11 % Some people have told us that recently they have made some changes in how they are spending their time. Looking at the list of activities below, are you doing each more often, less often, or about the same amount as you did before the global economic downturn? 23
  • 24. ... especially women. % Doing Activity LESS by Gender 66 Going to concerts/theatre 59 64 Going out to the movies 57 69 Going out to clubs, bars 51 68 Going out to eat 49 63 Going out shopping 45 62 Going out to parties/events Women 45 Men % Some people have told us that recently they have made some changes in how they are spending their time. Looking at the list of activities below, are you doing each more often, less often, or about the same amount as you did before the global economic downturn? 24
  • 25. As one might expect, people are spending more time at home primarily to cut back on spending. Why People Are Spending MORE Time at Home To cut back on spending 80 Because of crime in my neighborhood 31 I want to spend more time with my family 24 Because most of my friends are 23 There seems to be less going on (parties, concerts, etc.) 12 I improved my home entertainment/bought new items for home entertainment 2 Other 10 % You mentioned that you have been spending more time at home recently. What are the reasons you have been spending more time at home? 25
  • 26. Crime is a prime driver of anxiety ... How concerned are you about crime in your neighborhood? 70 84 60 52 50 40 32 30 16 20 14 10 2 0 Very Somewhat Not very Not at all concerned concerned concerned concerned % Now, we’d like to talk to you about crime in your neighborhood. How concerned are you about crime in your neighborhood? 26
  • 27. ... and appears to be tied to the downturn, as anxiety related to crime has risen steeply ... How has your concern about crime changed over the past year? 80 70 68 60 50 40 31 30 20 10 1 0 Increased Stayed the Same Decreased % Thinking about the past year, has your concern about crime in your neighborhood increased, decreased, or stayed the same? 27
  • 28. ... impacting the daily lives of many, especially women. Has your routine changed due to concerns about crime? 80 70 Women Men 63 60 55 50 45 40 37 30 20 10 0 Yes No % Have you changed your routine at all due to your concern about the crime in your neighborhood? 28
  • 29. People have adopted coping mechanisms impacting various areas of their lives, from going out less often to showing less bling to shopping in different areas/stores. Has your routine changed due to concerns about crime? Going out less often than I used to 61 47 Not wearing certain pieces of clothing or 52 accessories so I don’t attract attention 51 Not going out at night 57 36 Choosing to shop in different areas/stores 45 41 Making sure that when I am out, I am not alone 50 36 Choosing different methods of transportation 47 20 Buying fewer luxury items 21 29 Women Entertaining myself and friends at home so I 16 Men don’t have to go out as much 11 Other 11 9 % Among those who have changed their routine due to concerns about crime And how or what have you changed? 29
  • 30. MEDIA AND THE RECESSION 30
  • 31. As in most markets, people understand the downturn as much as it affects them but don’t possess an in-depth understanding. Knowledge of the Global Economic Downturn 60 52 50 44 40 30 20 10 4 0 0 I know a lot I know a fair I’ve heard of it, I’ve never about it amount about it but that’s about it heard of it % How much would you say you know about the global economic downturn? 31
  • 32. Argentines get their news through several sources, primarily TV and the Web ... % of people who use source for news at least once a day 100 90 87 80 76 70 60 57 50 46 40 30 20 10 0 TV Online Radio Newspaper % About how often, if at all, do you get your current news and information from each of the following? 32
  • 33. ... which have been a source of information about the downturn, especially among men. % of people who saw news about the downturn through their usual news and information sources 100 90 Women 85 Men 80 75 70 60 50 40 30 25 20 15 10 0 Yes No % Have you watched/read/heard reports about the global economic downturn from your usual news and information sources? 33
  • 34. Most Argentines feel the media has covered the downturn in the right proportion. If anything, there’s been less coverage than they’d like ... Has the media coverage of the downturn been ...? 80 70 60 60 50 40 30 29 20 11 10 0 Too Little Right Amount Too Much % And do you think the media has been giving reports about the global economic downturn too much, too little, or just enough coverage? 34
  • 35. ... perhaps that’s why most Argentines were unaware of reports that LATAM will enter a recession this year. Awareness of reports that Latin America will enter a recession in 2010 80 70 59 60 50 41 40 30 20 10 0 Yes No % Are you aware of the recent reports that Latin America will enter a recession in 2010? 35
  • 36. SHOPPING BEHAVIOR AND THE RECESSION 36
  • 37. In the past year, most people have changed their behavior in response to the global downturn—though these steps are more passive than active ... Actions taken as a result of the global downturn Paying closer attention to prices while I’m shopping 69 More actively looking for items on sale 69 Doing more comparison shopping to make sure I get the best price 62 Buying only when I am close to running 54 out of something Shopping more at discount or less expensive stores 45 Switching to lower priced brands 43 Buying more store brands/private label brands 36 Buying smaller amounts of items, more often 26 Using more coupons 22 Buying more in bulk 13 I haven’t changed my spending habits 11 as a result of the recession % Now, we would like to talk to you about your shopping over the past year. Please take a moment and think about how your spending habits have or have not changed over the past year when it comes to what you buy for your household (i.e., groceries, supplies, etc.). Which of the following, if any, have you begun to do as a result of the global economic downturn? 37
  • 38. ... and defensive recessionary behavior seems yet to have gripped Argentines. % who agree strongly I have started to cut back on things I don’t need 40 I worry that because of the global economic downturn I won’t be able to attain the lifestyle I want 34 I have noticed my friends have cut back in their spending habits 28 I worry that because of the global economic downturn 27 I won’t be able to keep up the lifestyle I am used to I haven’t personally felt the effects of the recession but have modified my spending habits just in case 16 The recession hasn’t really changed what I do in my everyday life 13 % How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? 38
  • 39. LOOKING TO THE FUTURE: THE NEXT GENERATION 39
  • 40. While a majority of Argentines are generally anxious about the world their children and their children’s children will inherit ... % of people anxious about themselves vs. anxious about the future for their children/grandchildren 100 90 90 80 79 70 60 50 43 40 30 25 20 10 0 Anxious about Anxious about Very Anxious about Very Anxious about themselves their children/ themselves their children/ grandchildren grandchildren % Among those who have children Given everything that is going on in the world, the country, and your family’s life, how nervous or anxious would you say you are about the world your child(ren) or grandchildren will inherit? 40
  • 41. ... which tends to manifest in financial concerns. % agreeing strongly or somewhat I worry about the effect this economy will have on the ability of my child(ren) to find a good job 79 I worry about my ability to afford the type of education 75 I’d like for my child(ren) I worry about my retirement funds and that I may 69 someday have to rely on my child(ren) for help This is a good lesson for my child(ren) about living 49 within your means I’ve lived through recessions before, and so did my parents—my child(ren) will be just fine 46 The schools are doing a good job of teaching my 27 child(ren) about the recession % Among those who have children How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? 41
  • 43. IN CONCLUSION Argentinean consumers are accustomed to economic turmoil (inflation, recession, etc.) and have lived with various forms of economic crisis for decades. They are adaptable, expanding and shrinking their spending in accordance with the times. This is why the main driver of anxiety is the state of the economy, specifically the uncertain future that people constantly face. Within the economy, the most relevant issue is inflation, which causes a day-to-day rise in the cost of living. Argentina, which is not experiencing the same recession as most of the world, has been grappling with permanent price fluctuation under the ghost of inflation since the 1970s. 43
  • 44. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) The other important driver of anxiety is concern about security and crime. The media is stoking perceptions that crime is increasing and that the country’s economic future is uncertain. The biggest media owners are using their popular newspapers to wage a battle against the administration because of political and economic differences. So coverage of these issues tends to exaggerate the facts in order to achieve greater political opposition. 44
  • 45. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) Argentina is going through a credibility crisis. Since the last serious social, political and economic crisis, in 2001, Argentines have suffered a deep lack of credibility. The current administration is distrusted because of how it carries out decisions and accusations of corruption. Leadership is weakening because of a general perception of politicians as corrupt and out of touch with society’s needs. The high level of anxiety has resulted in widespread social tension and aggressiveness in the streets. 45
  • 46. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) As Argentine consumers are accustomed to economic difficulties, they don’t consider the global downturn a relevant issue. They know about it, but local problems are more meaningful to them. 46
  • 47. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) This gloomy picture provides brands an opportunity to offer optimistic messages and a positive brand experience, standing out by counteracting the negativity dominating Argentinean society. People are looking to slow down and enjoy life. Brands can play an important role by helping people who are seeking balance and harmony. 47
  • 48. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) Walmart and Kraft Royal are two brands that are bringing some fresh air by communicating from a positive point of view. Walmart: “Save money. Live better” The economic crisis has led to a waning belief in the idea of saving money—people don’t believe it’s really possible to save much. As a consequence, people feel that having a happy life with friends and family is more important than being materialistic and money-oriented. But the “Save money. Live better” proposal tells customers that by saving money, they will have a more enjoyable life. 48
  • 49. IN CONCLUSION (Cont’d.) Kraft Royal: “Nourish their happiness” The target is the modern mother between 25 and 35. The brand is positioned as a way for mothers to be both responsible/caring and fun. “Nourish their happiness” tells mothers they can give their kids a nutritious dessert that they will love; and it’s both a cheap and simple option (it comes ready-made), perfect for a busy mother on a budget. 49
  • 50. THANK YOU Mark Truss Alexandra Suarez Ann M. Mack Director of Brand Intelligence Market Research Director Director of Trendspotting JWT Worldwide JWT Latin America JWT Worldwide mark.truss@jwt.com alexandra.suarez@jwt.com ann.mack@jwt.com www.AnxietyIndex.com (c) 2010 J. Walter Thompson Company. All Rights Reserved.