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Fundamentals of
   Business & Financial Journalism
   Week 9: Mergers & Acquisitions (& IPOs)

    Jeffrey Timmermans


Monday, 26 November, 12
News Quiz

   ✤    What are some of the reasons HSBC has been in the news recently?

   ✤    Which area of which city has the highest retail store rents in the
        world, and why might that be?

   ✤    How much of a pay rise is Cathay Pacific’s flight-attendants’ union
        seeking for next year, and what’s the significance of that number?

   ✤    EXTRA CREDIT: What are some of the ways Autonomy allegedly
        inflated its profits?



Monday, 26 November, 12
Types of M&A

   ✤    Merger: companies join as “equals”

   ✤    Acquisition: one company buys another

   ✤    Take private: all shares in a listed company are purchased from
        shareholders (typically by a private equity firm) and the company is
        restructured as a private entity before re-listing

   ✤    Joint venture: two companies form another venture

   ✤    Reverse takeover: purchase of a listed company by a private company


Monday, 26 November, 12
Global M&A activity 2004-2012




                Source: Mergermarket




Monday, 26 November, 12
Global Private Equity Activity




               Source: Mergermarket




Monday, 26 November, 12
The M&A process

   ✤    Initiated by acquirer, target, private equity firm, or investment bank

   ✤    Mandate of investment banks as advisors

   ✤    Due diligence/valuation process

   ✤    Possible emergence of rival bid

   ✤    Shareholders of target vote on deal / regulatory approval

   ✤    Unification of operations/possible mass firings


Monday, 26 November, 12
Questions to ask

   ✤    What’s the value of the deal?    ✤   What seller will do with
                                             money?
   ✤    Who’s buying what for what
        amount from whom?                ✤   Effect on companies’ revenue,
                                             earnings?
         ✤    Is it a hostile bid?
                                         ✤   Is there a large amount of debt
   ✤    The reasons for the deal – how       at the target that will be
        it “fits.”                            assumed by the acquirer?

   ✤    How buyer is paying: cash,
        stock, debt, or a combination?


Monday, 26 November, 12
More questions

   ✤    Are there regulatory or other       ✤   What are the fees the banks/
        legal concerns?                         advisors are getting?

         ✤    Antitrust issues? Political   ✤   When is the deal expected to
              issues?                           close?

   ✤    Who will run the new entity?        ✤   How did the market react to the
        Changes?                                announcement of the deal?

   ✤    What happens to employees?
        Transfers? Layoffs?



Monday, 26 November, 12
Sourcing in M&A

   ✤    Investment banks (advisors and rivals)

   ✤    Management consultants

   ✤    Institutional shareholders in target (& acquirer)

   ✤    Shareholder activists

         ✤    David Webb (HK)

         ✤    Institutional Shareholder Services (US)


Monday, 26 November, 12
Valuations

    ✤   Cash Deals: Exclude all assumed debt, multiply price-per-share offered
        by buyer by number of outstanding shares of target.

         ✤    ABC offers $1 per XYZ share x 100m XYZ shares = $100M

    ✤   Stock Deals: Multiply exchange ratio offered by Buyer’s trading price.
        ABC offers 0.64 of its shares for each XYZ share:

         ✤    0.64 x ABC trading price $2.00 = $1.28/Share for XYZ shareholders

         ✤    Total Value: $1.28 x XYZ outstanding shares 1.0B = $1.28B


Monday, 26 November, 12

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  • 1. Fundamentals of Business & Financial Journalism Week 9: Mergers & Acquisitions (& IPOs) Jeffrey Timmermans Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 2. News Quiz ✤ What are some of the reasons HSBC has been in the news recently? ✤ Which area of which city has the highest retail store rents in the world, and why might that be? ✤ How much of a pay rise is Cathay Pacific’s flight-attendants’ union seeking for next year, and what’s the significance of that number? ✤ EXTRA CREDIT: What are some of the ways Autonomy allegedly inflated its profits? Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 3. Types of M&A ✤ Merger: companies join as “equals” ✤ Acquisition: one company buys another ✤ Take private: all shares in a listed company are purchased from shareholders (typically by a private equity firm) and the company is restructured as a private entity before re-listing ✤ Joint venture: two companies form another venture ✤ Reverse takeover: purchase of a listed company by a private company Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 4. Global M&A activity 2004-2012 Source: Mergermarket Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 5. Global Private Equity Activity Source: Mergermarket Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 6. The M&A process ✤ Initiated by acquirer, target, private equity firm, or investment bank ✤ Mandate of investment banks as advisors ✤ Due diligence/valuation process ✤ Possible emergence of rival bid ✤ Shareholders of target vote on deal / regulatory approval ✤ Unification of operations/possible mass firings Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 7. Questions to ask ✤ What’s the value of the deal? ✤ What seller will do with money? ✤ Who’s buying what for what amount from whom? ✤ Effect on companies’ revenue, earnings? ✤ Is it a hostile bid? ✤ Is there a large amount of debt ✤ The reasons for the deal – how at the target that will be it “fits.” assumed by the acquirer? ✤ How buyer is paying: cash, stock, debt, or a combination? Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 8. More questions ✤ Are there regulatory or other ✤ What are the fees the banks/ legal concerns? advisors are getting? ✤ Antitrust issues? Political ✤ When is the deal expected to issues? close? ✤ Who will run the new entity? ✤ How did the market react to the Changes? announcement of the deal? ✤ What happens to employees? Transfers? Layoffs? Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 9. Sourcing in M&A ✤ Investment banks (advisors and rivals) ✤ Management consultants ✤ Institutional shareholders in target (& acquirer) ✤ Shareholder activists ✤ David Webb (HK) ✤ Institutional Shareholder Services (US) Monday, 26 November, 12
  • 10. Valuations ✤ Cash Deals: Exclude all assumed debt, multiply price-per-share offered by buyer by number of outstanding shares of target. ✤ ABC offers $1 per XYZ share x 100m XYZ shares = $100M ✤ Stock Deals: Multiply exchange ratio offered by Buyer’s trading price. ABC offers 0.64 of its shares for each XYZ share: ✤ 0.64 x ABC trading price $2.00 = $1.28/Share for XYZ shareholders ✤ Total Value: $1.28 x XYZ outstanding shares 1.0B = $1.28B Monday, 26 November, 12