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HOW BRAZIL CAN
                CAPITALIZE ON
                CELLULOSIC
                ETHANOL




Cynthia Bryant
Director, Global Biomass Business Development, Novozymes
Sugar and Ethanol Conference, Monday March 28, 2011
NOVOZYMES IN BRIEF
                                              2010 Novozymes sales by industry

                                                              4% 2%
GLOBAL PRESENCE                                             8%
                                                                                  32%
•   World leader in industrial enzymes             22%
    and microorganisms
•   Products for > 30 different
    industries                                                         32%

•   >700 products sold in 130
    countries
                                            Detergents           Technical          Food
•   > 5,400 employees worldwide             Feed                 Microorganisms     Biopharmaceuticals




                                           2010 market share of enzymes (industrial use)
R&D
•   Market leader in all main industries
•   47% global market share within                         26%
                                                                                        47%
    industrial enzymes                             6%
•   ~ 14% of sales invested in R&D
•   > 6,500 patents granted or                              21%

    pending

                                                         Novozymes    Danisco     DSM    Other
          2
OUR DEVELOPING WORLD
FACES CHALLENGES




                       Novozymes uses science to
                       reduce carbon emissions for
                       many of our everyday needs;
                       helping to create a cleaner and
                       safer world today and in the
                       future.
BIOFUEL IS ONE STEP TO A FUTURE
OF CLEANER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY

    • World leader in biofuel enzymes
    • Global R&D focus on cellulosic ethanol
    • Broad partnership strategy – we are working on many
      feedstocks and technologies
    • More than 150 people dedicated to cellulosic ethanol


                                                           Inbicon
                     Lignol     GreenField
                              POET                           M&G
                                    ICM
                     Ceres
                                Fiberight
                                                                                      COFCO-Sinopec

                                                                            Praj




                                               Petrobras
                                             CTC




4                                 Some of Novozymes cellulosic ethanol partners across the globe
WORLD DEMAND FOR
      TRANSPORT FUEL IS GROWING


                                          Global transport energy consumption by fuel
                  3,000                        (450 ppm stabilization scenario)




                  2,000




                  1,000




                      0
                                      2007                            2020                      2030


                                              Oil      Gas        Electricity      Biofuels   Other



Source: OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2009, USDA, EU Commission/Refuel, McKinsey
GLOBAL DEMAND FOR FUELS WITH
  LOWER GHG EMISSIONS IS GROWING
   100%          WEIGHTED AVERAGE OF %GHG SAVINGS BY YEAR FOR US RFS2 VOLUMES
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%
    20%
    10%
     0%
          2008

                  2009




                                2011

                                       2012

                                              2013




                                                            2015

                                                                   2016

                                                                          2017




                                                                                        2019

                                                                                               2020
                         2010




                                                     2014




                                                                                 2018




                                                                                                      2021

                                                                                                             2022
The EU is also placing a
higher value on cellulosic
ethanol by double counting
its use to reach RED goals.
BRAZILIAN CELLULOSIC ETHANOL IS
    AN IMPORTANT GLOBAL FUEL SOURCE
      POTENTIAL PRODUCTION OF ETHANOL FROM AGRICULTURAL RESIDUES AND FOREST PRODUCTS

            China
             India
            Brazil
        Argentina
          Mexico
              USA
          Canada
   European Union
          Europe                                                                                                                           Million Liters

                                    0                          20                          40                      60                80                100
                        EtOH based on current wood fuel production                                       EtOH based on estimated residue potential


                                                                                                                        The world has the ability to
                                                                                                                        produce close to half a
                                                                                                                        trillion liters of cellulosic
Source:
                                                                                                                        ethanol using agricultural
 Niclas Scott Bentsen and Claus Felby,
 Technical potentials of biomass for energy services from current agriculture and forestry in selected
                                                                                                                        residues and forest products.
countries in Europe, The Americas and Asia , 2010
BRAZIL HAS MANY
 CELLULOSIC ETHANOL ADVANTAGES


   Challenge             Valued Solutions

Feedstock      • Bagasse is collected and at the plants
                 today
               • ~10-17B Ltr/yr availability after
                 adjusting for bioelectricity use
Capital        • Co-location offers shared equipment
Costs            and facility use

Operating      • Co-location offers shared resource
Costs            advantages
               • Low cost feedstock significantly
                 improves economics
Business       • Additional revenue stream for mills
Model          • Opportunity to maximize value of the
                 bagasse
Industry       • Approximately 2-3 years behind the
Focus            US and Europe in up-scaling

                                                          8
CO-LOCATING CELLULOSIC ETHANOL
PROVIDES A PROJECT NPV BENEFIT

                    R$ 160,00
                                                                                      At an annual crush greater
NPV (Million BRL)




                                                                                      than 2.5 MMTY, co-locating a
                    R$ 140,00
                                                                                      cellulosic ethanol facility has
                                                                                      a greater payout than
                    R$ 120,00
                                                                                      building a standard sugar
                                                                                      based ethanol plant.
                    R$ 100,00


                     R$ 80,00                                                         NPV 1G
                                                                                      NPV 1G+2G (no C5)
                     R$ 60,00                                                         NPV 1G+2G (with C5)
                                                                                      NPV 1G+2G (Co-fermentation)

                     R$ 40,00


                     R$ 20,00


                        R$ -
                                1,00   2,00                3,00                4,00
                                       MMTCY (Million Metric Tons Crush per Year)
CO-LOCATING CELLULOSIC ETHANOL
REDUCES LAND USE NEEDS FOR
ETHANOL PRODUCTION




                                               Co-locating cellulosic
  Brazilian ethanol    Approximately 103
                                               ethanol reduces land
demand is expected    additional plants will
                                                 use by up to 20%
 to reach 60 BLY by   need to go online to
                                               The equivalent of 20
         2015          meet this demand
                                                      plants
CELLULOSIC ETHANOL IS
READY FOR COMMERCIALIZATION
•   The uncertainty of petroleum supply is renewing energy
    security concerns
•   Ground breaking this year on 3 plants around the world




              Novozymes' area of focus
                                                             1
NOVOZYMES CELLIC® CTEC2
THE FIRST COMMERCIALLY VIABLE ENZYME
                                                                          Average 1.8X performance improvement
     Cellic CTec2 provides many
     benefits that are helping to
  enable our partners’ processes to
    become commercially viable




Performance improvement at higher TS                                                      Commercially relevant dosage
100
                            Cellic CTec       Cellic CTec2                                Hydrolysis of unwashed NREL PCS, 20% TS, 8-days
 90
                                                                                        100,0%
 80                                                              Cellulose conversion
                                                                                        80,0%
 70                                                                                     60,0%
 60                                                                                     40,0%
                                                                                                                            CTec2        CTec
                                                                         (%)



 50                                                                                     20,0%
      Enzyme Dose 1      Enzyme Dose 1           Enzyme Dose 2                           0,0%
                                                                                             0,01        0,02        0,03        0,04       0,05
      12% Total Solids              16% Total Solids
                                                                                                        Enzyme dosage (ml/g cellulose)
THE NOVOZYMES CELLIC®
PRODUCT FAMILY IS ENABLING
COMMERCIAL VIABILITY

Enzyme costs are becoming a smaller   Production costs are coming in line
and smaller percentage of the total   with corn-based ethanol costs
process costs
NOVOZYMES AND OUR PARTNERS
ARE PROGRESSING IN BRAZIL


• Implementation                                       • Leading energy
  of technology                                          company
• Leading sugar                                        • Full value chain
  cane and                                             • Ethanol distribution
  bagasse                                                and logistics
• Technical and                                          (domestic and export)
  agronomical
  expertise




                   • Best performing enzymes in the
                     industry
                   • Process technology expertise in
                     pretreatment, hydrolysis and
                     fermentation
                   • In depth modeling capabilities
NOVOZYMES PARTNERS IN BRAZIL ARE ON
A PATH TO COMMERCIAL VIABILITY


    Cellulosic ethanol costs are also coming into alignment with sugar
                               based ethanol.
NOVOZYMES ENZYMES
   POTENTIAL TO REDUCE THE DOSE REQUIRED


About CTC:
 • The largest technology center
   for sugarcane in Brazil
 • Process development pilot
   plant running for more than 1
   year
 • Focus on sugarcane bagasse

            4X reduction in the
             enzyme usage in
                two years
                                         Initial              Process
                                        enzyme     CTEC 2   Improvement
                                        (CTEC 1)            with CTEC 2




                                   16
WE WILL DELIVER THE PROMISE
OF CELLULOISC ETHANOL TO BRAZIL


    Cellulosic ethanol provides
     many advantages for Brazil        Novozymes Partnership
                                             Advantages
•   Improved plant economics
•   Increased ethanol production   •   Insight into the latest enzyme
    capacity                           developments
•   More efficient land and crop   •   Process optimization for
    use                                pretreatment, hydrolysis and
•   Ability to compete at higher       fermentation
    GHG savings standards          •   Sophisticated modeling
                                       capabilities to enable the right
                                       process decisions
                                   •   World class R&D resources
                                       throughout the globe
Learn more



             www.Bioenergy.Novozymes.com
1

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How Brazil Can Capitalize on Cellulosic Ethanol

  • 1. HOW BRAZIL CAN CAPITALIZE ON CELLULOSIC ETHANOL Cynthia Bryant Director, Global Biomass Business Development, Novozymes Sugar and Ethanol Conference, Monday March 28, 2011
  • 2. NOVOZYMES IN BRIEF 2010 Novozymes sales by industry 4% 2% GLOBAL PRESENCE 8% 32% • World leader in industrial enzymes 22% and microorganisms • Products for > 30 different industries 32% • >700 products sold in 130 countries Detergents Technical Food • > 5,400 employees worldwide Feed Microorganisms Biopharmaceuticals 2010 market share of enzymes (industrial use) R&D • Market leader in all main industries • 47% global market share within 26% 47% industrial enzymes 6% • ~ 14% of sales invested in R&D • > 6,500 patents granted or 21% pending Novozymes Danisco DSM Other 2
  • 3. OUR DEVELOPING WORLD FACES CHALLENGES Novozymes uses science to reduce carbon emissions for many of our everyday needs; helping to create a cleaner and safer world today and in the future.
  • 4. BIOFUEL IS ONE STEP TO A FUTURE OF CLEANER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY • World leader in biofuel enzymes • Global R&D focus on cellulosic ethanol • Broad partnership strategy – we are working on many feedstocks and technologies • More than 150 people dedicated to cellulosic ethanol Inbicon Lignol GreenField POET M&G ICM Ceres Fiberight COFCO-Sinopec Praj Petrobras CTC 4 Some of Novozymes cellulosic ethanol partners across the globe
  • 5. WORLD DEMAND FOR TRANSPORT FUEL IS GROWING Global transport energy consumption by fuel 3,000 (450 ppm stabilization scenario) 2,000 1,000 0 2007 2020 2030 Oil Gas Electricity Biofuels Other Source: OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2009, USDA, EU Commission/Refuel, McKinsey
  • 6. GLOBAL DEMAND FOR FUELS WITH LOWER GHG EMISSIONS IS GROWING 100% WEIGHTED AVERAGE OF %GHG SAVINGS BY YEAR FOR US RFS2 VOLUMES 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2010 2014 2018 2021 2022 The EU is also placing a higher value on cellulosic ethanol by double counting its use to reach RED goals.
  • 7. BRAZILIAN CELLULOSIC ETHANOL IS AN IMPORTANT GLOBAL FUEL SOURCE POTENTIAL PRODUCTION OF ETHANOL FROM AGRICULTURAL RESIDUES AND FOREST PRODUCTS China India Brazil Argentina Mexico USA Canada European Union Europe Million Liters 0 20 40 60 80 100 EtOH based on current wood fuel production EtOH based on estimated residue potential The world has the ability to produce close to half a trillion liters of cellulosic Source: ethanol using agricultural Niclas Scott Bentsen and Claus Felby, Technical potentials of biomass for energy services from current agriculture and forestry in selected residues and forest products. countries in Europe, The Americas and Asia , 2010
  • 8. BRAZIL HAS MANY CELLULOSIC ETHANOL ADVANTAGES Challenge Valued Solutions Feedstock • Bagasse is collected and at the plants today • ~10-17B Ltr/yr availability after adjusting for bioelectricity use Capital • Co-location offers shared equipment Costs and facility use Operating • Co-location offers shared resource Costs advantages • Low cost feedstock significantly improves economics Business • Additional revenue stream for mills Model • Opportunity to maximize value of the bagasse Industry • Approximately 2-3 years behind the Focus US and Europe in up-scaling 8
  • 9. CO-LOCATING CELLULOSIC ETHANOL PROVIDES A PROJECT NPV BENEFIT R$ 160,00 At an annual crush greater NPV (Million BRL) than 2.5 MMTY, co-locating a R$ 140,00 cellulosic ethanol facility has a greater payout than R$ 120,00 building a standard sugar based ethanol plant. R$ 100,00 R$ 80,00 NPV 1G NPV 1G+2G (no C5) R$ 60,00 NPV 1G+2G (with C5) NPV 1G+2G (Co-fermentation) R$ 40,00 R$ 20,00 R$ - 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 MMTCY (Million Metric Tons Crush per Year)
  • 10. CO-LOCATING CELLULOSIC ETHANOL REDUCES LAND USE NEEDS FOR ETHANOL PRODUCTION Co-locating cellulosic Brazilian ethanol Approximately 103 ethanol reduces land demand is expected additional plants will use by up to 20% to reach 60 BLY by need to go online to The equivalent of 20 2015 meet this demand plants
  • 11. CELLULOSIC ETHANOL IS READY FOR COMMERCIALIZATION • The uncertainty of petroleum supply is renewing energy security concerns • Ground breaking this year on 3 plants around the world Novozymes' area of focus 1
  • 12. NOVOZYMES CELLIC® CTEC2 THE FIRST COMMERCIALLY VIABLE ENZYME Average 1.8X performance improvement Cellic CTec2 provides many benefits that are helping to enable our partners’ processes to become commercially viable Performance improvement at higher TS Commercially relevant dosage 100 Cellic CTec Cellic CTec2 Hydrolysis of unwashed NREL PCS, 20% TS, 8-days 90 100,0% 80 Cellulose conversion 80,0% 70 60,0% 60 40,0% CTec2 CTec (%) 50 20,0% Enzyme Dose 1 Enzyme Dose 1 Enzyme Dose 2 0,0% 0,01 0,02 0,03 0,04 0,05 12% Total Solids 16% Total Solids Enzyme dosage (ml/g cellulose)
  • 13. THE NOVOZYMES CELLIC® PRODUCT FAMILY IS ENABLING COMMERCIAL VIABILITY Enzyme costs are becoming a smaller Production costs are coming in line and smaller percentage of the total with corn-based ethanol costs process costs
  • 14. NOVOZYMES AND OUR PARTNERS ARE PROGRESSING IN BRAZIL • Implementation • Leading energy of technology company • Leading sugar • Full value chain cane and • Ethanol distribution bagasse and logistics • Technical and (domestic and export) agronomical expertise • Best performing enzymes in the industry • Process technology expertise in pretreatment, hydrolysis and fermentation • In depth modeling capabilities
  • 15. NOVOZYMES PARTNERS IN BRAZIL ARE ON A PATH TO COMMERCIAL VIABILITY Cellulosic ethanol costs are also coming into alignment with sugar based ethanol.
  • 16. NOVOZYMES ENZYMES POTENTIAL TO REDUCE THE DOSE REQUIRED About CTC: • The largest technology center for sugarcane in Brazil • Process development pilot plant running for more than 1 year • Focus on sugarcane bagasse 4X reduction in the enzyme usage in two years Initial Process enzyme CTEC 2 Improvement (CTEC 1) with CTEC 2 16
  • 17. WE WILL DELIVER THE PROMISE OF CELLULOISC ETHANOL TO BRAZIL Cellulosic ethanol provides many advantages for Brazil Novozymes Partnership Advantages • Improved plant economics • Increased ethanol production • Insight into the latest enzyme capacity developments • More efficient land and crop • Process optimization for use pretreatment, hydrolysis and • Ability to compete at higher fermentation GHG savings standards • Sophisticated modeling capabilities to enable the right process decisions • World class R&D resources throughout the globe
  • 18. Learn more www.Bioenergy.Novozymes.com
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