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Dr. Bernard Malamud, Department of Economics, UNLV
       Anne Chahal, President & CEO, Janalent
Rocky Griggs, Marketing Manager-Southwest, Microsoft
     Joe Honan, Vice President-Solutions, Janalent
Where we are &
how we got here   Dr. Bernard Malamud, UNLV

Southern Nevada
& SW US Outlook   Anne Chahal, Janalent

What our
customers are     Rocky Griggs, Microsoft
doing

What every
company needs     Joe Honan, Janalent
to consider
Dr. Bernard Malamud
Professor of Economics
A “Global Saving Glut”
                                                            The best
                                                            of times

                   Capital Inflows




Easy                                                         Escalating
Money                                                       House Prices
  Policy

                                               Eager Home
                            Ambitious            Buyers
                        Mortgage Brokers
                                                              Developer Clout
           Innovative
             Banks


                                       Securitization   Rating
                    Gov’t Sponsored      MBSs          Agencies
Bank Regulators
                     Enterprises
The Boom Years: High Real GDP Growth  Declining
                  Unemployment
                    1997 – 2000
                   2003/4 - 2006




Growth > ~ 2.5 %  Unemployment
The best
                                                               of times

                   Capital
                   Inflows



 Easy                                                           Escalating
 Money                                                         House Prices
 Policy

                                                 Eager Home
                              Ambitious            Buyers
                          Mortgage Brokers
                                                                 Developer Clout
           Innovative
             Banks



                                          Securitization   Rating
                        Gov’t Sponsored
Bank Regulators          Enterprises        MBSs          Agencies
The Downturn: Slowing GDP Growth  Rising Unemployment




                           Growth < ~ 2.5%  Unemployment
Employment in Las Vegas Metro Area
             January 2009 vs. January 2008
                                         January   January
                                          2009      2008     % Change

Total All Industries                     880.9     919.5      -4.2%
Basic Industries
      Accommodation                       164.7     176.7     -6.8%
      Casino Hotels and Gaming            158.9     171.2     -7.2%
      Construction                         82.6      95.0    -13.1%
      Manufacturing                        24.3      25.9     -6.2%

Other Industries
      Financial Activities (FIRE)          45.9      48.0     -4.4%
      Retail & Wholesale Trade            120.8     125.6     -3.8%
      Trans, Warehousing & Utilities       37.2     37.6      -1.1%
      Professional & Business Services    106.9     115.9     -7.8%
                   Employment Services     10.7     15.7     -31.8%

      Education and Health Services       67.1      64.6      +3.9%

Government                                100.9     98.6      +2.3%
        Federal                            11.5     11.3      +1.2%
        State                              15.4     14.9      +3.4%
        Local                              74.0     72.4      +2.2%


                   Unemployment Rate     10.0%      5.6%
Financial System Meltdown
 At home
                                    Interventions/
                                    Nationalizations/
Gov’t Supported Takeovers           Pre-privatizations        Bankruptcies

•Countrywide  BofA                 •IndyMac                  •New Century Financial
•Bear Stearns  JPMorgan Chase      •Fannie Mae/              •Lehman Brothers
•Silver State Bank Nevada State      Freddie Mac             •Washington Mutual Inc.

                                    •AIG
•Merrill Lynch  BofA
•Washington Mutual  JPM Chase
•Wachovia  Wells Fargo
•Security Saving  Bank of Nevada


 Abroad

•HBOS  Lloyds Bank                 •Northern Rock
•Fortis  PNB Paribus               •Royal Bank of Scotland
                                    •Dexia
                                    •Glitnir/Kaupthing/
                                              Landsbanki
Baa-AAA Interest Differential
The Good News: 1932 was worse
The Bad News: This downturn isn’t over until 2010

  6.00
         May 32
         5.64%
  5.00


  4.00                                          Dec 08
                                                3.38
                  Apr 38             Sep 82
  3.00
                  3.17%              2.69%

  2.00


  1.00


  0.00
Responses Lender of Last Resort / Spender of Last Resort
•   Tax Rebate $124 bil.
•   Fed Fund Rate Cuts
•   Fannie/Freddie $200 bil.
•   Bear-Stearns $29 bil.
•   AIG $174 bil.

Fed “Facilities”
•   Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) $58 bil.
•   Treasury Security Loan Facility (TSLF) $133 bil.
•   Term Auction Facility (TAF) $416 bil.
•   Asset- Backed Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) $1,777 bil.
•   Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF) $540 bil.
•   More Fed Fund Rate Cuts … Hold At ~0%
•   Fed Purchases of Long-Term Securities: GSEs & MBSs $600 bil.
•   Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) $200 bil.
•   Emergency Economic Stabilization Act/TARP $700 bil.
        Government Loans
        Government Equity
•   Stimulus Package $787 bil.
        aka The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
•   TARP II
        • Stress Tests
•   Total funds to State of Nevada             ~$ 1,710 mil.
          •   Education Stabilization & Construction   610 mil.
          •   Medicaid Assistance                      419 mil.
          •   General Budget & Other                   249 mil.
          •   Highways & Bridges                       218 mil.
          •   State energy & Weatherization             80 mil.
          •   Clean Water Programs                      48 mil.
          •   Transit capital                           45 mil.
          •   Unemployment & Worker Training            22 mil.
          •   Child Care/ Foster Care/adoption          19 mil.
Anne Chahal
CEO & President
•   “Las Vegas 1st Place” in Bizjournal’s analysis of the
    nation’s current growth centers. Metros with most
    momentum entering the recession
    – Nov 2008

•   “Nevada Ranked Number Two” in the Small Business &
    Entrepreneurship Council's "Small Business Survival Index
    2008"
    – Dec 2008

•   US LEI (leading economic indicators) have trended
    positive in the last two months.
    – Feb 2009

•   US New Housing Starts up 22% in February 2009
    according to the Commerce Department
    – March 17, 2009
•   Fastest growing region over the next 25 years
•   5 of the top 10 fastest growing states (Nevada,
    Arizona, Utah in top 5)
•   Predicted to be the hub for renewable energy
    and “green collar” research, jobs, & industry
•   ~Possibly $7.35 B in energy investments or
    borrowing authority for Nevada -Feb 2009
    estimates
•   70% of all goods from pacific rim will go
    through SouthWest
•   Well positioned as leader for solar, geo-thermal, wind, and
    other green collar industries
•   Hoover Dam bypass bridge evolving “western-slope” Hwy 93
    NAFTA trade route
•   High-speed rail between SoCal & Las Vegas becoming a
    reality and partially funded
•   Affordable and available commercial & residential property
•   Business friendly regulatory and tax climate
•   Unmatched ability to transform
•   Well established base community & industries
•   Fantastic retirement community
•   Technology and infrastructure (i.e. supernap datacenter)
•   World’s center for hospitality and entertainment
    •   Film production industries
    •   Gaming/resort industry administration
•   Increased funding for education, healthcare &
    energy
•   Possibly $3.25 B in borrowing authority for
    upgrading NV regional power grid
•   $15 B in Small Business assistance
•   $250 M in local NV transportation projects
•   Ability to write down 5 years of losses
•   Reduction of estimated tax payments by 10%
•   Accelerated asset depreciation
•   Increased SBA loan guarantees (from 50 to 95%)
+ Climate & Weather
+ Positioning as renewable resource hub
+ Leadership in national “clean energy”
+ Business friendly
+ Supply & demand
+ Population migration trends
+ Increased industry expansion / diversification
+ Stability & ease of access
+ World class hospitality and tourism
•   Don’t just sit and watch it happen or watch other
    companies make money off of it.

•   Change happens. Technology happens. Embrace it!

•   No one plans to fail, but too many companies fail to
    plan or make necessary adjustments

•   If small businesses do some effective planning,
    manage their cash flow, keep on selling and accept
    change, they will be well-positioned in the SW
    marketplace as we move into the future.
Rocky Griggs
Partner Marketing Manager
•   It’s not that bad, you got a free meal

•   Words of wisdom

•   Industry Insights from Microsoft customers large
    and small
•   50 million = 38/13/5

•   Who was Federal Expresses largest customer?

•   We always overestimate the change that will occur in the
    next 2 years and underestimate the change that will occur
    in the next 10. Don't let yourself be lulled into inaction.

•   If GM had kept up with technology like the computer
    industry has, we would all be driving $25 cars that got
    1000 MPG.

•   You don’t have to be great to start, but you have to start to
    be great
10%
100%                19%      21%

80%                                11%
                   46%                    Increase
60%
        75%                               Decrease

40%                                       No Change



20%
                                    68%
                 35%
       15%
 0%
        10-200    200-500   500+
85%

                  64%                     64%

                        57%                 44%
              37%             35%
  25%                                                 10-200
            23%                     32%
11%                                             16%   200-500

                                                      500+
•   Help our customers identify ways to take unnecessary cost
    out of doing IT

•   Enable customers to focus on their core business

•   Raise the stacks in Research and Development by
    increasing investment from $8 to $9 billion this year

•   Continue focus on key strategic partnerships that have a
    ripple effect in the economy
Joe Honan
Vice President-Solutions
Reassess strategic plan often, control spending, drive costs out
 of IT, strengthen core systems, operations, and processes.


               Key Ways to Get Fit, Get Strong
        Analyze current burn
        Identify & eliminate duplicated expenses
        Rationalize & renegotiate maintenance contracts
        Virtualize as a strategy, not a project
        Consider on-line services where appropriate


           “Leading regional healthcare provider is on track to save
           over $500,000 annually in facilities and maintenance cost
           by virtualizing and moving off of legacy platform to a
           Microsoft infrastructure. (Novell to Microsoft)”
Smart companies are increasing their bets and investments in
 strategic areas while their competitors “re-trench”


              Key Ways to Spend more… Wisely
       Spend to Save!
       Analyze & provide business case to support plans
       Identify & rank spending opportunities / priorities
       Use the opportunity to spend on value to customer
       Take advantage of stimulus & incentives


           “By focusing on business intelligence (CRM) and increased
           marketing budget, regional services firm has been able to
           drive over $300,000 in new revenue and 10 net-new
           customers so far in Q1”
Increased focus rather than “shot-gun” diversification is a key
  differentiator between leaders & laggards in turbulent times…


       Key Ways to Increase Focus & Take Advantage
        “Double down” on strengths, cull non-performers
        Identify & dump non-profitable relationships
        Create 5 new ways to increase value-proposition
        Invest in business analytics & customer mgmt.
        Find ways to save your customers money


           “By replacing legacy systems, regional photography
           organization has been able to spend more time on
           generating revenue & enhancing online presence, rather
           than managing ailing systems ”
Expanding customer base by thinking and acting in new ways is
 the what is separating the up-starts from the start-ups…


     Key Ways to Expand Base & Embrace Technology
       It’s not your father’s internet…it’s your kids…
       Viral marketing has had a HUGE impact
       Get your “out there message” out there
       Build a community of customers for customers
       PROVE technology is strategic to your organization


           “By implementing our business intelligence system and
           enabling community site links, we now have 10 times more
           visibility into the contacts and details of our prospects with
           10 times less expense”
Rely upon key vendors, deepen relationships with key partners,
 strengthen networks of friendly competitors


     Key Ways to Deepen / Strengthen Relationships
        Open up to key vendors, they’ll find ways to save
        Focus partnerships and execute on a plan
        Build bridges rather than moats w/ competitors
        Collaborate & Communicate… with everyone
        Develop an organizational “Elephant Memory”


           “By focusing on how we can help customers better
           exercise their existing Enterprise Agreements, we have
           become THE trusted advisor for several organizations by
           proactively finding ways to save by working with us”
Steps to Survive & Thrive in this recession

Get in Shape                                             Virtualize as a strategy, not a project
  Control spending, shed excess expenses, Virtualize,    Continually assess &
  strengthen core systems & processes                    Move email & collaboration on-line


Spend more…Wisely                                        Increase investments in getting your message out
                                                         Replace bad with good (e.g. legacy systems, storage)
  Increase investments in strategic areas, take
  advantage of competitors “retrenching”                 Track & evaluate your spend (eg CRM)


Increase focus & Take Advantage                          Hyper-focus your message, utilize CRM
                                                         Only 2 things - Support revenue generation or save $$
  Increase focus rather than diversification, leverage
  business intelligence to better understand customers   Create new value, everyone is listening


Expand Base & Embrace Technology                         Embrace and leverage the power of communities
  Find new customers through using new methods of        Build communities for your customers
  reaching them (e.g. Twitter, Social Networks)          Prove the value of technology to your organization


Deepen / Strengthen Relationships                        Ask key vendors to find way to save you money
  Rely upon key vendors, invest into key partnerships,   Use technology to prevent “slipping through the cracks”
  find ways to work with competitors                     Use trusted advisors to exercise existing agreements
UNLV Economics Professor Discusses Regional Economic Outlook

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UNLV Economics Professor Discusses Regional Economic Outlook

  • 1. Dr. Bernard Malamud, Department of Economics, UNLV Anne Chahal, President & CEO, Janalent Rocky Griggs, Marketing Manager-Southwest, Microsoft Joe Honan, Vice President-Solutions, Janalent
  • 2. Where we are & how we got here Dr. Bernard Malamud, UNLV Southern Nevada & SW US Outlook Anne Chahal, Janalent What our customers are Rocky Griggs, Microsoft doing What every company needs Joe Honan, Janalent to consider
  • 4. A “Global Saving Glut” The best of times Capital Inflows Easy Escalating Money House Prices Policy Eager Home Ambitious Buyers Mortgage Brokers Developer Clout Innovative Banks Securitization Rating Gov’t Sponsored MBSs Agencies Bank Regulators Enterprises
  • 5. The Boom Years: High Real GDP Growth  Declining Unemployment 1997 – 2000 2003/4 - 2006 Growth > ~ 2.5 %  Unemployment
  • 6. The best of times Capital Inflows Easy Escalating Money House Prices Policy Eager Home Ambitious Buyers Mortgage Brokers Developer Clout Innovative Banks Securitization Rating Gov’t Sponsored Bank Regulators Enterprises MBSs Agencies
  • 7. The Downturn: Slowing GDP Growth  Rising Unemployment Growth < ~ 2.5%  Unemployment
  • 8. Employment in Las Vegas Metro Area January 2009 vs. January 2008 January January 2009 2008 % Change Total All Industries 880.9 919.5 -4.2% Basic Industries Accommodation 164.7 176.7 -6.8% Casino Hotels and Gaming 158.9 171.2 -7.2% Construction 82.6 95.0 -13.1% Manufacturing 24.3 25.9 -6.2% Other Industries Financial Activities (FIRE) 45.9 48.0 -4.4% Retail & Wholesale Trade 120.8 125.6 -3.8% Trans, Warehousing & Utilities 37.2 37.6 -1.1% Professional & Business Services 106.9 115.9 -7.8% Employment Services 10.7 15.7 -31.8% Education and Health Services 67.1 64.6 +3.9% Government 100.9 98.6 +2.3% Federal 11.5 11.3 +1.2% State 15.4 14.9 +3.4% Local 74.0 72.4 +2.2% Unemployment Rate 10.0% 5.6%
  • 9. Financial System Meltdown At home Interventions/ Nationalizations/ Gov’t Supported Takeovers Pre-privatizations Bankruptcies •Countrywide  BofA •IndyMac •New Century Financial •Bear Stearns  JPMorgan Chase •Fannie Mae/ •Lehman Brothers •Silver State Bank Nevada State Freddie Mac •Washington Mutual Inc. •AIG •Merrill Lynch  BofA •Washington Mutual  JPM Chase •Wachovia  Wells Fargo •Security Saving  Bank of Nevada Abroad •HBOS  Lloyds Bank •Northern Rock •Fortis  PNB Paribus •Royal Bank of Scotland •Dexia •Glitnir/Kaupthing/ Landsbanki
  • 10. Baa-AAA Interest Differential The Good News: 1932 was worse The Bad News: This downturn isn’t over until 2010 6.00 May 32 5.64% 5.00 4.00 Dec 08 3.38 Apr 38 Sep 82 3.00 3.17% 2.69% 2.00 1.00 0.00
  • 11. Responses Lender of Last Resort / Spender of Last Resort • Tax Rebate $124 bil. • Fed Fund Rate Cuts • Fannie/Freddie $200 bil. • Bear-Stearns $29 bil. • AIG $174 bil. Fed “Facilities” • Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) $58 bil. • Treasury Security Loan Facility (TSLF) $133 bil. • Term Auction Facility (TAF) $416 bil. • Asset- Backed Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) $1,777 bil. • Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF) $540 bil. • More Fed Fund Rate Cuts … Hold At ~0% • Fed Purchases of Long-Term Securities: GSEs & MBSs $600 bil. • Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) $200 bil. • Emergency Economic Stabilization Act/TARP $700 bil. Government Loans Government Equity • Stimulus Package $787 bil. aka The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act • TARP II • Stress Tests
  • 12. Total funds to State of Nevada ~$ 1,710 mil. • Education Stabilization & Construction 610 mil. • Medicaid Assistance 419 mil. • General Budget & Other 249 mil. • Highways & Bridges 218 mil. • State energy & Weatherization 80 mil. • Clean Water Programs 48 mil. • Transit capital 45 mil. • Unemployment & Worker Training 22 mil. • Child Care/ Foster Care/adoption 19 mil.
  • 13.
  • 14. Anne Chahal CEO & President
  • 15. “Las Vegas 1st Place” in Bizjournal’s analysis of the nation’s current growth centers. Metros with most momentum entering the recession – Nov 2008 • “Nevada Ranked Number Two” in the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council's "Small Business Survival Index 2008" – Dec 2008 • US LEI (leading economic indicators) have trended positive in the last two months. – Feb 2009 • US New Housing Starts up 22% in February 2009 according to the Commerce Department – March 17, 2009
  • 16. Fastest growing region over the next 25 years • 5 of the top 10 fastest growing states (Nevada, Arizona, Utah in top 5) • Predicted to be the hub for renewable energy and “green collar” research, jobs, & industry • ~Possibly $7.35 B in energy investments or borrowing authority for Nevada -Feb 2009 estimates • 70% of all goods from pacific rim will go through SouthWest
  • 17. Well positioned as leader for solar, geo-thermal, wind, and other green collar industries • Hoover Dam bypass bridge evolving “western-slope” Hwy 93 NAFTA trade route • High-speed rail between SoCal & Las Vegas becoming a reality and partially funded • Affordable and available commercial & residential property • Business friendly regulatory and tax climate • Unmatched ability to transform • Well established base community & industries • Fantastic retirement community • Technology and infrastructure (i.e. supernap datacenter) • World’s center for hospitality and entertainment • Film production industries • Gaming/resort industry administration
  • 18. Increased funding for education, healthcare & energy • Possibly $3.25 B in borrowing authority for upgrading NV regional power grid • $15 B in Small Business assistance • $250 M in local NV transportation projects • Ability to write down 5 years of losses • Reduction of estimated tax payments by 10% • Accelerated asset depreciation • Increased SBA loan guarantees (from 50 to 95%)
  • 19. + Climate & Weather + Positioning as renewable resource hub + Leadership in national “clean energy” + Business friendly + Supply & demand + Population migration trends + Increased industry expansion / diversification + Stability & ease of access + World class hospitality and tourism
  • 20. Don’t just sit and watch it happen or watch other companies make money off of it. • Change happens. Technology happens. Embrace it! • No one plans to fail, but too many companies fail to plan or make necessary adjustments • If small businesses do some effective planning, manage their cash flow, keep on selling and accept change, they will be well-positioned in the SW marketplace as we move into the future.
  • 22. It’s not that bad, you got a free meal • Words of wisdom • Industry Insights from Microsoft customers large and small
  • 23. 50 million = 38/13/5 • Who was Federal Expresses largest customer? • We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next 2 years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next 10. Don't let yourself be lulled into inaction. • If GM had kept up with technology like the computer industry has, we would all be driving $25 cars that got 1000 MPG. • You don’t have to be great to start, but you have to start to be great
  • 24. 10% 100% 19% 21% 80% 11% 46% Increase 60% 75% Decrease 40% No Change 20% 68% 35% 15% 0% 10-200 200-500 500+
  • 25. 85% 64% 64% 57% 44% 37% 35% 25% 10-200 23% 32% 11% 16% 200-500 500+
  • 26.
  • 27. Help our customers identify ways to take unnecessary cost out of doing IT • Enable customers to focus on their core business • Raise the stacks in Research and Development by increasing investment from $8 to $9 billion this year • Continue focus on key strategic partnerships that have a ripple effect in the economy
  • 29. Reassess strategic plan often, control spending, drive costs out of IT, strengthen core systems, operations, and processes. Key Ways to Get Fit, Get Strong Analyze current burn Identify & eliminate duplicated expenses Rationalize & renegotiate maintenance contracts Virtualize as a strategy, not a project Consider on-line services where appropriate “Leading regional healthcare provider is on track to save over $500,000 annually in facilities and maintenance cost by virtualizing and moving off of legacy platform to a Microsoft infrastructure. (Novell to Microsoft)”
  • 30. Smart companies are increasing their bets and investments in strategic areas while their competitors “re-trench” Key Ways to Spend more… Wisely Spend to Save! Analyze & provide business case to support plans Identify & rank spending opportunities / priorities Use the opportunity to spend on value to customer Take advantage of stimulus & incentives “By focusing on business intelligence (CRM) and increased marketing budget, regional services firm has been able to drive over $300,000 in new revenue and 10 net-new customers so far in Q1”
  • 31. Increased focus rather than “shot-gun” diversification is a key differentiator between leaders & laggards in turbulent times… Key Ways to Increase Focus & Take Advantage “Double down” on strengths, cull non-performers Identify & dump non-profitable relationships Create 5 new ways to increase value-proposition Invest in business analytics & customer mgmt. Find ways to save your customers money “By replacing legacy systems, regional photography organization has been able to spend more time on generating revenue & enhancing online presence, rather than managing ailing systems ”
  • 32. Expanding customer base by thinking and acting in new ways is the what is separating the up-starts from the start-ups… Key Ways to Expand Base & Embrace Technology It’s not your father’s internet…it’s your kids… Viral marketing has had a HUGE impact Get your “out there message” out there Build a community of customers for customers PROVE technology is strategic to your organization “By implementing our business intelligence system and enabling community site links, we now have 10 times more visibility into the contacts and details of our prospects with 10 times less expense”
  • 33. Rely upon key vendors, deepen relationships with key partners, strengthen networks of friendly competitors Key Ways to Deepen / Strengthen Relationships Open up to key vendors, they’ll find ways to save Focus partnerships and execute on a plan Build bridges rather than moats w/ competitors Collaborate & Communicate… with everyone Develop an organizational “Elephant Memory” “By focusing on how we can help customers better exercise their existing Enterprise Agreements, we have become THE trusted advisor for several organizations by proactively finding ways to save by working with us”
  • 34. Steps to Survive & Thrive in this recession Get in Shape Virtualize as a strategy, not a project Control spending, shed excess expenses, Virtualize, Continually assess & strengthen core systems & processes Move email & collaboration on-line Spend more…Wisely Increase investments in getting your message out Replace bad with good (e.g. legacy systems, storage) Increase investments in strategic areas, take advantage of competitors “retrenching” Track & evaluate your spend (eg CRM) Increase focus & Take Advantage Hyper-focus your message, utilize CRM Only 2 things - Support revenue generation or save $$ Increase focus rather than diversification, leverage business intelligence to better understand customers Create new value, everyone is listening Expand Base & Embrace Technology Embrace and leverage the power of communities Find new customers through using new methods of Build communities for your customers reaching them (e.g. Twitter, Social Networks) Prove the value of technology to your organization Deepen / Strengthen Relationships Ask key vendors to find way to save you money Rely upon key vendors, invest into key partnerships, Use technology to prevent “slipping through the cracks” find ways to work with competitors Use trusted advisors to exercise existing agreements