Market outlook stoplosstrade 18 mar 2013

1. 18-03-2013
Daily Market Insight
After logging the biggest weekly gain in
2013, the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex,
resumed its southward journey, tumbling
256 points during the week on fresh
selling pressure amid cautious approach
by investors ahead of the Reserve Bank
policy meet next week.
The market continued to reel under
pressure after Morgan Stanley on
Wednesday lowered India’s GDP growth
forecast for 2013-14 to 6 per cent from
6.2 per cent earlier, citing challenging
domestic and external environment
among other factors. HSBC has also cut
its forecast by same margin.
The 30-share Sensex resumed weak at
19,679.88 and hovered in a wide range of
19,754.66 and 19,179.33 before settling
at 19,427.56, posting a net loss 255.67
points, or 1.30 per cent. Last week, the
index had soared 764.71 points or 4.04
per cent, registering biggest weekly gain in
Outlook for the day 2013 and snapping over month-long
After a sharp rise last week, Indian markets were losing spree.
highly volatile this week. First the week saw IIP
numbers, then the fall in core inflation and then The NSE 50-share Nifty also plunged by
money laundering scam. These factors created 73.10 points, or 1.23 per cent, fall below
high amount of volatility. In February, Nifty 5900 mark and settle at 5,872.60.
futures made a bottom of 5,672 and in March it
made a high of 5,986 which was close to the INDICES LTP Change % Change
psychological barrier of 6000. The global markets
NIFTY 5872.60 -36.35 -0.62%
are at new highs and there is no reason that
Indian markets should not test new high very SENSEX
soon. Yet there could be very sharp up move 19427.56 -142.88 -0.73%
from next week if RBI cuts the rate which seems CNX
possible for compelling reasons such as GDP all SMALLCAP 3302.60 -18.75 -0.56%
time low. The only interesting aspect that need to
be seen is that whether it is 25 bps or something CNXMIDCAP 7725.70 -63.40 -0.81%
larger than that to surprise the street at the
BANKNIFTY 11816.55 -204.20 -1.70%
behest of the Govt
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2. 18-03-2013
Daily Market Insight
Option Strategy- NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST CHART
12000000
10000000
8000000
6000000 CALL OI
PUT OI
4000000
2000000
0
5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200 6300
NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST CHANGE CHART
800000
600000
400000
200000
CALL OI CHANGE
0
PUT OI CHANGE
-200000 5400 5500 5600 5700 5800 5900 6000 6100 6200 6300
-400000
-600000
-800000
The option data suggests that the market participants are currently
visualizing the 6100 mark on the higher side. Very high CALL writing at
6100 Strike price will stop market to move beyond 6100 mark. On the other
side we can see equal PUT writings on 5900 to 5700 strike price. This
indicates that NIFTY down move would be restricted below 5700 mark. Last
session’s option data indicated that NIFTY can have a range of 5700 and
6100 in near term.
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com

3. 18-03-2013
Daily Market Insight
Derivative Info
Increase In Open Interest
%Chg.
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
ALBK 1877 2115 12.68% 139.25 -2.38%
BUY LUPIN DABUR 831 923 11.07% 138.2 2.90%
LUPIN 2455 2705 10.18% 613.6 1.61%
ASIANPAINT 2569 2816 9.61% 5015.3 2.13%
JUBLFOOD 5117 5584 9.13% 1301.55 3.04%
Decrease In Open Interest
%Chg.
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
BHARATFORG 4378 3439 -21.45% 223.3 -2.28% SELL
HDFCBANK 17353 15198 -12.42% 643.2 -1.42%
BHARATFORG
ZEEL 2842 2513 -11.58% 217.35 1.35%
INDUSINDBK 2829 2506 -11.42% 422.95 -2.58%
SUNTV 1409 1252 -11.14% 447.15 -0.79%
Increase In Open Interest & Decrease In Price
%Chg.
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
ALBK 1877 2115 12.68% 139.25 -2.38%
BUY YESBANK YESBANK 5800 6276 8.21% 476.4 -2.34%
ICICIBANK 32513 35178 8.20% 1074.1 -3.88%
SYNDIBANK 853 920 7.85% 121.15 -2.61%
RELIANCE 32646 34993 7.19% 846.75 -2.16%
Decrease In Open Interest & Increase In Price
%Chg.
Symbol Prev. OI Curr. OI %Chg. OI Curr. Price Price
ZEEL 2842 2513 -11.58% 217.35 1.35%
TITAN 10386 9559 -7.96% 243.25 5.58%
SELL ZEEL
IOC 2018 1923 -4.71% 317.85 1.78%
BANKINDIA 2877 2755 -4.24% 324.55 0.74%
HCLTECH 6606 6333 -4.13% 795.4 0.14%
© Copyright 2012, HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd. info@stoplosstrade.com

4. 18-03-2013
Daily Market Insight
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5. 18-03-2013
Daily Market Insight
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