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Lake
                        Victoria


                       Mwanza


                  Kigoma                      Tanga


                   Lake            Tanzania   Dar es
                Tanganyika                    Salaam



                                     Lake
                                     Nyasa       Mtwara




                                                 Tanzania Ports Master Plan
                                                                  Final Report




Tanzania Ports Authority

February 2009


9R8821




                             in association with





                                                                        
                                                                                                   




                                                                      George Hintzenweg 85
                                                                              P.O. Box 8520
                                                                         Rotterdam 3009 AM
                                                                            The Netherlands
                                                                         +31 (0)10 443 36 66       Telephone
                                                                                                   Fax
                                                           info@rotterdam.royalhaskoning.com       E-mail
                                                                    www.royalhaskoning.com         Internet
                                                                           Arnhem 09122561         CoC



     Document title    Tanzania Ports Master Plan
                       Final Report
Document short title
             Status
               Date    February 2009
      Project name     East Africa Trade and Facilitation Project
                       Project ID No P079734
                       Port Master Plan Study
                       United Republic of Tanzania
    Project number     9R8821
              Client   Tanzania Ports Authority
         Reference     9R8821/R/903617/Rott
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY



I – Introduction

The Tanzania Ports Authority (TPA) assigned Royal Haskoning – in association with
Ardhi University (formerly known as UCLAS) and Interconsult Ltd. – to prepare a Port
Master Plan covering all coastal and manned Lake ports of Tanzania. Key events during
the course of the study were as follows:
•    Contract signature        March 3, 2008
•    Kick-off meeting          March 26/28, 2008
•    Inception report          April 25, 2008
•    Interim Report            August 8, 2008
•    Interim workshop          September 19, 2008
•    TPA workshop              October 16-18, 2008
•    Draft Final Report        November 7, 2008
•    TPA workshop              January 9, 2009

This Report presents the final conclusions of the study. The following main issues came
to light during the course of the study:
•    The need to increase the capacity of the existing facilities at Dar es Salaam until
     new facilities can be built elsewhere.
•    The location of new facilities for Dar es Salaam overspill traffic once traffic growth
     can no longer be accommodated within the existing port footprint.
•    The need for new port facilities at Mtwara to support and stimulate development of
     the Mtwara Corridor.
•    The role of the smaller coastal ports in supporting local trade, including new
     terminals for resource-based exports.
•    The potential of the Lakes ports as gateways to the rapidly growing transit
     countries, particularly Uganda and DR Congo.

Before going on to consider these issues, the main factors influencing the future pattern
of port development in Tanzania are briefly discussed.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                             9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                -i-                               February 2009
II – Perspective on national port development

National context

National transport infrastructure
Logistics chains in Tanzania are still very inefficient. Port performance is being severely
impeded by inability to clear cargo from the ports quickly, and the country’s role as a
channel for trade from the land-locked countries1 is impeded by incomplete road and rail
networks, and the poor quality and high cost of land transport. It is essential that over
the next 20 years there is much closer integration of planning across all modes of
transport, as many of the recommendations in this report are conditional on parallel
actions being taken in respect of other forms of transport infrastructure.

Tanzania has two main railway systems with different gauges, i.e. the Tanzania-Zambia
Railway Authority (TAZARA) with connections to Zambia Railway system, and the
Tanzania Railway Limited with links to Uganda, DRC Congo, and Kenya. Only limited
areas of the country are rail-connected, and the railway sector has performed badly
during the last ten years. The infrastructure has deteriorated and services are below
standard due to the age and obsolescence of the infrastructure and shortage of
locomotives and wagons. Improvements to rail infrastructure and availability of rolling
stock (locomotives and wagons) are urgently required.

Between 2001 and 2007, TRL’s share of dry cargo imports through Dar es Salaam fell
from 22% to 3%, whilst TAZARA’s crept up slightly from 2.5% to 4.5%. Rail should be
the predominant mode for cargo movements in excess of 400-600km, so even allowing
for the limited extent of the rail network, there is scope for increasing rail’s share of port
traffic (excluding oil) from around 7.5% today to a target of 30-35% in 10-15 years time.
This would lead to a significant reduction in inland transport costs, environmental
improvements, and more efficient port operations.

The national trunk road network is undergoing substantial improvements, but still
includes large sections which are unpaved. Development of a paved and well
maintained road network connecting the major ports to the transit countries is critical to
the overall success of the ports master plan.

Development corridors
To ensure balanced regional growth, the Tanzanian Government has charged the
National Development Corporation with exploiting the economic potential of three
corridors running inland from the coast as follows:

•   Tanga Corridor
•   Central Corridor
•   Mtwara Corridor

The Tanga Corridor study has identified several large agricultural and mining projects,
but these are less well-defined than in the other two corridor studies. There is a desire to
boost manufacturing activity in Tanga and Arusha, and a project – which has been


1
        Zambia, DR Congo, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda

9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                 Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                - ii -                                Final Report
around for many years – to build a new rail link from Tanga to Musoma via Arusha,
providing Uganda with a more direct route to the sea than via Dar es Salaam.

The principal investment projects in the Central Corridor are in mining and agriculture,
supported by large public investments in energy and transport. The additional traffic
which they generate will go mainly to Dar es Salaam.

Work on the Mtwara Corridor is the most advanced, and seems likely to generate
substantial volumes of port traffic, mainly for Mtwara but also for ports on Lake Nyasa.

Economic development zones
Economic Development Zones (EDZ) provide an important stimulus to trade and attract
inward investment. Thirteen locations have been identified for EDZs, with the highest
priority being given to the one in Bagamoyo, followed by Mtwara and Arusha.

If the EDZ program were to increase foreign direct investment in manufacturing by 50%,
equivalent to US$ 35 to 40 million of additional investment each year, this would
generate approximately 8,000 to10,000 tons per annum of project cargo. The permanent
increase in trade would depend very much on the type of industry attracted to the zone,
but experience elsewhere suggests an “order of magnitude” rate of build-up of around
2,000 to 5,000 tons per annum in each successive year.

Urban development
Most of Tanzania’s ports are located close to their city centres, where they contribute to
traffic congestion and other adverse environmental effects. Difficulties in acquiring land
have led to cramped and inefficient port layouts, and imposed serious constraints on
port expansion plans.

At the same time, the ports are important sources of local employment, and have
spawned a wide range of support activities nearby. It will therefore be difficult and costly
to move them. In order to achieve a proper balance of development, it is important that
port master plans are not viewed in isolation, but are related to much broader national
and local planning objectives.

Environmental considerations
Generic environmental impacts connected with port development have been identified,
and mitigation measures proposed. However these issues can only be properly
addressed in the detailed planning and design of projects. At this stage no irrevocable
environmental constraints have been encountered which prevent the recommended
projects from proceeding to the next stage of investigation.

Competitive position of Tanzanian ports
Although Tanzanian ports face competition from ports as far away as Durban, the
SWOT analysis demonstrates their potential to attract additional transit cargoes for the
landlocked countries PROVIDING they are operated more efficiently and developed in
closer harmony with hinterland road and rail connections.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                              9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                               - iii -                             February 2009
Vision on port development

Shipping developments.
Vessel sizes in global container shipping have grown strongly over the last years. The
largest vessels sail on East-West routes between the Far East and Europe, while East
Africa is mostly served by feeders from Middle East ports. It is expected that the present
pattern of shipping corridors will continue during the coming years. However, with
increasing volumes, some direct calls from Asian ports to the North Indian Ocean
including Tanzania may be introduced. Therefore, the expected maximum vessel size
for these routes is assessed by us at 5,000 TEU.

Port management models
At present TPA ports function as a mix between a public service port and landlord port.
Most terminals are operated by TPA (service port) and some terminals are operated by
private parties (e.g. TICTS). Investments in port infrastructure by private parties are
however very low. Under the Port Act of 2004, Tanzania Ports Authority was formed as
a landlord port authority, implying that port operations are handed over to private
terminal operators.

In order to further establish this shift, TPA should speedily step back in its role of
supervising authority and encourage private participation in port development and
terminal operations through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP).

Physically, terminals should have dedicated facilities and each be fenced and have its
own access gates. All security is to be in place under ISPS regulations, under the
responsibility of the private operator. Ownership of equipment and facilities and
employment of operational staff for terminals are to be transferred from TPA to private
terminal operators under the concession agreement. Such a shift may be undertaken in
the confidence that market forces of free competition and – last but not least – return on
investments will drive efficiency improvements and cargo growth in the port.

TPA is therefore strongly encouraged to further focus on this shift to increase efficiency,
attract private capital and gain market share. The first step would be to give all newly
developed terminals (such as berth 13/14 in Dar es Salaam) in concession to private
operators. The next step could be to segregate operations in the existing port areas and
give terminal operation concessions to one or more private entities.

Port development
Dar es Salaam port is by far the largest port in Tanzania, serving all major economic
centres in the country as well as the transit countries. All major existing infrastructure
corridors in Tanzania lead to Dar es Salaam, and it is the only place where both railway
systems (TAZARA and TRL) join. The port has shown a strong growth over the past
years, especially in the container sector. This has lead to congestion in the port and a
search for additional land area in or near the port.

In a city which is growing strongly and where road capacity is inadequate to cope with
the growing number of vehicles, port development, urban development and transport
plans must be closely inter-linked.



9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                 Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                               - iv -                                 Final Report
Land availability for the Tanzanian city ports is limited. Development of a green-field port
at a limited distance of the existing ports (but well outside the urban area) would allow
unrestricted port development, while connections to existing economic and physical
infrastructure can easily be made. A green-field port can be started as a modern port
facility to match latest developments in shipping and logistics, without having the
heritage of outdated infrastructure, equipment and organization.

Port logistics
A port is a node in supply chains, including physical flows (shipping, land transport,
(temporary) storage), value added operations (logistics, production) and processes
(custom clearance, inspections, payments). TPA is to facilitate the supply chain and
improve the competitiveness of Tanzanian ports by continually improving the quality of
port services on strategic, tactical land operational levels.

ICDs
An Inland Container Depot is generally defined as a common user facility offering
services for handling and temporary storage of containers carried under customs
control. ICDs are often located in the interiors (well outside the port towns) of the country
and well away from the servicing ports.

The present ICDs inside and near Dar es Salaam are used as temporary storage of
containers, and basically function as a remote terminal stack. Although necessary given
the limited space availability in the DSM sea port terminals (TICTS and TPA), the
additional handling and transport between the sea terminal and the ICDs add to the total
costs of the logistics chain without adding value. With sufficient terminal area available
at the sea port, the ICDs in Dar es Salaam would no longer be required for the present
purpose.

The future network of ICDs will develop further away from the sea port on major
transport axes near the major consumption and production areas. Transit countries may
have a dedicated ICD either near the border in Tanzania or in the transit country itself.
ICDs will develop near EDZs and on major transport corridors, such as near Isaka,
Mbeya and Kigoma.

Plan period
While the master plan gives guidance and direction on the long term development,
investment planning must be done on the basis of a five year updated forecast to ensure
that development of port capacity is demand driven. These five year forecasts must be
frequently updated by TPA to ensure that sufficient capacity is available ahead of
demand, without creating over-capacity.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                               9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                -v-                                 February 2009
Traffic forecasts

The Tanzanian ports system comprises:
•      One large international port, Dar es Salaam, with a throughput of 7.1 million tons in
       2007
•      Two medium sized coastal ports, Tanga and Mtwara, with throughputs of 445,000
       and 90,000 tons respectively in 2007
•      A tail of smaller coastal ports with current throughputs of less than 50,000 tons per
       annum: Pangani, Kilindoni (Mafia), Kilwa Masoko and Kilwa Kivinje, Rushungi, Lindi
       and Mikindoni
•      Lake Victoria ports: Mwanza North and South, Bukoba, Kemondo Bay, Nansio and
       Musoma, plus 17 smaller unmanned ports
•      Lake Tanganyika ports: Kigoma and Kasanga, plus 19 smaller unmanned ports
•      Lake Nyasa ports: Itungi, Manda, Liuli and Mbamba Bay, plus 9 smaller unmanned
       ports

The quality and level of detail of the statistics for the smaller coastal ports and all of the
Lakes ports is poor, and there is a significant amount of informal trade which has made
it difficult to identify the potential demand for new port facilities.

In addition, transit country trade through the Great Lakes ports is only just beginning to
take off, and has almost certainly been held down by the poor quality of existing port
infrastructure, a shortage of modern, commercial shipping services, and the poor quality
of road and rail connections from the ports. Much of the existing cargo is still carried on
passenger ferries.

    Port                   Liquid         Dry         Break   Container       Total      ,000 TEU
                             bulk        bulk          bulk
    Dar es Salaam           2,189       1,161           515       3,259      7,124             334
    Tanga                      97          56           194          98        445              10
    Mtwara                       6          -            63         21          90               5
    Lake Victoria                                                              481
 Lake Tanganyika                        Not available                          108
 Lake Nyasa                                                                     18
2007 cargo volumes (,000 tons)




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                  Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                - vi -                                   Final Report
In addition, some of the ports handle large numbers of passengers: Dar es Salaam
handled 732,000 passengers in 2007, whilst passenger traffic through the Lakes ports
was as follows:

 Lake                                 ‘000 passengers 2005-6
 Lake Victoria               Mwanza                        206
                             Nansio                        189
                             Bukoba                         87
                             Kemondo Bay                     9
 Lake Tanganyika             Kigoma                         16
 Lake Nyasa                  Itungi                          7
                             Mbamba Bay                      1

Since the beginning of the decade peace and macro-economic stability throughout most
of the region has resulted in high traffic growth rates. Between 2001 and 2007 the
average growth rate for the coastal ports was 9.2% per annum. Container traffic has
been growing even faster, at around 13.5% per annum, and there has also been strong
growth in dry bulk cargoes such as wheat, fertilizers and cement. Liquid bulk traffic
(mainly oil) has been growing at an average rate of 5.4% per annum, but break-bulk
traffic has been static.

Transit traffic to the land-locked countries makes up a growing proportion of Dar es
Salaam’s traffic. Since 2001 it has increased from 10% to 41% of liquid bulks, and from
25% to 39% of containers. Dry bulk and break bulk flows to/from the transit countries
have remained fairly small, and fluctuate from year to year.

The traffic forecasts assume a continuation of past GDP growth rates of 6 to 8% per
annum in Tanzania and neighbouring countries. Although the short-term forecasts to
2013 will be affected by the global recession, its impact is likely to be smaller and slower
than in developed countries. There is a good chance of a speedy recovery, making the
timing of port development the main issue rather than its form.

The traffic forecasts have been based on trend analysis, interviews with leading
business organizations, and studies of individual issues such as:
•   Macro-economic growth and the restructuring of the economy
•   Agriculture, forestry and fisheries resources
•   Energy policy
•   Mining projects
•   Economic development zones
•   Corridor development plans
•   Road and rail infrastructure
•   Transit traffic, including competition from ports in other countries.

Low and high forecasts have been made for individual ports, reflecting the envelope
within which cargo handling is expected to develop. It is emphasized that future
investment planning is to be based on annually updated five-year forecasts, with an
appropriate level of substantiation and stakeholder commitment.

The forecasts are summarized for each individual port separately.

Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                              9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                     - vii -                       February 2009
III – Dar es Salaam

High and low cargo forecasts have been used to demonstrate the high level of
uncertainty associated with future traffic volumes, particularly after 2018.

                                                2007        2013    2018          2023            2028
 High forecast
 Liquid Bulk                                    2,189       3,724   4,820        6,099            7,652
 Dry Bulk                                       1,161       2,449   3,693        4,779            6,056
 Break Bulk                                      515         655     934         1,317            1,842
 Total excl. containers (‘000 tons)             3,865       6,828   9,447       12,195           15,550
 Containers (‘000 TEU)                           334         775    1,554        2,728            4,719
 Vehicles ('000 units)                             41         81     143           230             370
 Ferry Passengers ('000 )                        732         981    1,253        1,599            2,040
 Cruise Passengers (‘000)                             -        3      18            28              50
 Low forecast
 Liquid Bulk                                    2,189       2,824   3,251        3,790            4,260
 Dry Bulk                                       1,161       2,020   2,624        3,245            3,726
 Break Bulk                                      515         424     551           741             992
 Total excl. containers (‘000 tons)             3,865       5,268   6,426        7,776            8,978
 Containers (‘000 TEU)                           334         649    1,074        1,637            2,486
 Vehicles ('000 units)                             41         69     106           155             228
 Ferry Passengers ('000)                         732         849     961         1,087            1,230
 Cruise Passengers (‘000)                             -        1       8            12              23
Dar es Salaam cargo forecasts (,000 tons)

The existing footprint of Dar es Salaam port – including the planned development of
berths 13-14 – is estimated to have the following capacity.

 Commodity                         Capacity
 Liquid bulk                10 million tons per annum
 Dry bulk                  6.1 million tons per annum
 Break bulk                4.0 million tons per annum
 Containers                1.2 million TEU per annum
 Vehicles                   120,000 units per annum
Capacity of Dar es Salaam Port’s Existing Footprint
(including berths 13-14 and the new SPM)

To reach this capacity, significant improvements must be made with regard to
operational efficiency, traffic flows in the port and dwell time reduction. Also changes are
required to port infrastructure and layout, as discussed below.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                    - viii -                         Final Report
Liquid bulks

     Construction of a new single point mooring (SPM), which will handle the majority of
     black and white oil products as well as crude oil.

This SPM is being designed to handle ships of up to 150,000dwt, and is already at the
detailed design stage. Although it will not do away with the need for a small jetty for
specialist oil products such as LPG, and other liquid bulks such as vegetable oil and
molasses – such a jetty is desirable anyway for emergency back-up purposes – it will
substantially reduce traffic at the Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ).

Dry bulks

     Creation of a specialist dry bulks terminal at berths 5-7
     Expansion of grain silo to allow handling of larger vessels

Major bulk cargoes should no longer be bagged on the quay, but transferred to bulk
storage directly. If required, bagging can take place at the bulk storage facility,
independently from the vessel operation.

The plan envisages all grains being transported to the existing silo, which would be used
primarily for intermediate storage to increase the unloading capacity of the quay.
Traders would be required to remove the grain as quickly as practical. In order to handle
a full shipload, the storage capacity of the existing grain silo should be expanded from
30,000 tons to 60,000 tons. Further expansion will be required if the silo is to be used for
long-term storage of grain, an additional demand which could occur if silo operations
were privatized.

Dangote cement imports should be transported from berth 7 by conveyor belt to the
recently leased packaging area at the back of the port. The conveyor should have an
elevation of at least 6m to allow trucks and small equipment to pass underneath.

Fertilizers should be stored in a bulk warehouse / Shed 7, from where the product can
be bagged and loaded onto trucks or rail wagons.

Other dry bulks can be handled on either of berth 5, 6 or 7 and stored in one of the
sheds, depending on allocation and availability.

Containers

     Construction of container berths 13-14 upstream of the Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ)
     Relocation of the KOJ jetty for safety and operational efficiency
     Development of a large scale ICD outside Dar es Salaam

In view of high traffic growth rates, congestion at the TICTS terminal, the limited amount
of storage space available for containers elsewhere in the port, and the inefficiency of
using ICDs, two additional container berths (berths 13-14) are required as soon as
possible.



Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                              9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                               - ix -                              February 2009
Berths 13-14 provide the only possibility to create additional container terminal capacity
on the short and medium term. This additional capacity is required in 2013 to handle
forecasted volumes until new terminals can be developed elsewhere (refer Section IV).
Delayed development of berths 13-14 could result in congestion, loss of market share of
Tanzanian ports and impeded economic development.

Once berths 13-14 are operational (2013) TPA should discontinue container operations
on berths 1-7 to allow for the growth of other commodities.

Nautical access to berths 13-14 will be impeded by KOJ. Navigational safety must be
improved to limit the risk of collision. Also a safety zone must be created with a 260m
radius from the KOJ, within which no cargo handling or shipping activity is allowed. The
following options for improving navigational safety have been considered:
•   Widening the approach channel to berths 13-14, so that container ships can
    manoeuvre at a safe distance from the moored tankers, and moving the quay line
    for berths 13-14 outwards so that it lines up with the KOJ rather than berths 5-11.
•   Shortening the KOJ trestle so that the jetty head is in line with the TICTS and
    B13-14 terminal. Construction can start after the new SPM is operational.
•   Relocating the oil jetty to the Kigamboni site of the creek, physically separating all
    liquid bulk activities from the container operations

The last option – relocating the oil jetty to the opposite site of the creek – is preferred
because of the navigational safety, operational safety, optimal use of container terminal
area, and minimal disruption of operations during construction.

The need for additional off-dock ICDs to support the container terminals(s) will depend
on the ability and willingness of shippers to reduce container dwell times. The situation
should be closely monitored.

There is a proposal to construct a large new large ICD for transit traffic at Kisarawe
25 km west of the port, where TRL and TAZARA are about 7 km apart. Containers
would be shuttled between the port and ICD by rail only, using a private rail operator.
Development costs would be high (US$ 30-40 million) because the area is hilly and
significant road improvements are required, and the costs would have to be recovered
over a relatively short period (6-8 years) until new container terminal capacity can be
developed in the port(s). A site with lower investment costs would be preferable.

Break bulks

•   Deepening of berths 1-4

In the short term much of the space at Berths 1-4 will be needed for container stacking,
but more space will become available for general cargo storage as new facilities are
developed for containers and dry bulks.

The design depth of berth 1-4 should be increased to 12 m –CD. This will require a new
quay wall to be built in front of the existing gravity structure.



9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                               Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                              -x-                                   Final Report
Ro-Ro / vehicles

•    Construction of a new 260m quay in line with the Lighter Quay
•    Reclamation of the area behind it to provide additional storage space.
•    Construction of a two multi-storey car parks

Ro-Ro vessels and specialist vehicle carriers would use the new break-bulk quay
between berth 1 and the Lighter Quay, with berths 1-4 in reserve.

A multi-storey car park for 5,000 vehicles is already planned adjacent to the Malindi
marshalling yard, but a second multi-storey car park of comparable size will be required
to accommodate the forecast growth in demand until a new vehicle terminal can be
opened.

The feasibility of developing parking areas outside the port – Inland Car Depots much
like the principle of Inland Container Depots – should be investigated. Inland car depots
could reduce the requirements for multi-storey car parks inside the port.

In the longer term car terminals can be built at another location, most probably
Bagamoyo.

Logistics area

•    Development of the Kurasini warehouse area for port logistics and distribution

There is potential to develop the Kurasini warehouse area on the other side of Bandari
Street to the port for logistics and distribution activities. This land should be transferred
to TPA for port-related activities at the earliest opportunity, as it provides a rare chance
to over-come existing space constraints in the port, and would open up new options for
improving port layout and traffic circulation.

Passengers

•    Redevelopment of the waterfront adjacent to the city centre

The waterfront development for passengers, tourists and commercial activities will be
located near the city centre. The development area must lie outside the navigation
channel to the cargo port, and passenger terminals should be located outside of the
main port area to avoid security issues.

The lighter wharf will remain in use for dhows, coasters and service vessels.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                               9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                - xi -                              February 2009
Ship repairs

•    Acquisition of new floating dock
•    Relocation of related workshops

A floating dock is the preferred solution for ship repairs. The dock and the related
workshops can best be placed on the outer edge of berth 13/14, where sufficient space
is available and noise and light nuisance is minimized. Alternatively the dock could be
placed in Mtwara.

Channel dredging

•    Deepening of the port access channel from -10.5m to -12.0m CD

Deepening of the channel would reduce the number of ships having to wait for the tide,
and associated demurrage costs. Deepening to -12.0m CD would allow an estimated
85% of all ships in 2028 to enter at all states of the tide, allowing 1.0 m for under-keel
clearance.

Further deepening to -13.0m CD was considered, along with widening and straightening
of the channel to allow two way operation and longer ships. However, high costs and
constraints on longer-term development at Dar es Salaam suggest that relocating the
larger vessels to new port facilities outside of Dar es Salaam would be a more cost-
effective alternative.

Traffic circulation

•    Improvement of traffic circulation
•    Development of parking areas outside the port

A traffic circulation plan has been prepared based on dedicated in and out gates for
each of the four terminals (break bulk, dry bulk, TICTS and berths 13-14) and a one-way
road system.

Dedicated parking areas for trucks should be provided near each port entrance, and
trucks should only be allowed to enter the port once all documents are in order and the
cargo is ready for collection/delivery. Improvements in signing are needed, and a traffic
management unit should be created in the Port Manager’s office to enforce the
regulations and remove obstructions.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                              Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                             - xii -                               Final Report
Proposed traffic circulation pattern

Better management of the rail-port interface is required, together with the purchase of
additional rolling stock and cargo handling equipment, and relocation of rail tracks to the
back of the port.

Summary of development plan of Dar es Salaam existing footprint
The master plan for development of the existing footprint is shown below.


                                                    Offshore SPM
                                                    Crude, oil products




                                                                                           Liquid
                                                                                            bulk
                                                                                            jetty
  Waterfront
  Passengers, cruise, ferries

                                                                                                                  Floating
                                                                                                                    dock

                                             Berths 5-7              Berths 8-11 (TICTS)            Berth 13/14
                                              Dry bulk                   Containers                 Containers
                                        -4
                                      s1 k
    Lighter wharf                 r th u l
                                Be ak B
  Dhows, coasters                  e
                     Roro        Br

                                                      Kurasini logistics
                                                      Value added logistics
                                                      Light manufacturing


                  Car park




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                                          9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                              - xiii -                                            February 2009
Recommended actions are summarized below:

 Key Actions for                      Short       Medium      Long     Remarks
 Dar es Salaam                       2009-11      2012-18    2019-28
 Liquid bulk
 • Construction of a new single                                       At detailed design stage
    point mooring (SPM)
 Dry bulk
 • Creation of a specialist dry                                       Cement, grain, fertilizer and other dry
    bulks terminal at berths 5-7                                       bulks. No bagging on the quay.
 • Expansion of grain silo                                            Allowing for larger vessel sizes
 Containers
 •    Development of                                                  Only location for short term development
      berths 13-14                                                     of container handling capacity, needs to
                                                                       be fast-tracked
 •   Relocation of KOJ                                                Preferred relocation to Kigamboni side
 •   Develop a large ICD near                                         In Kisarawe or other location. In use until
     DSM                                                               2018.
 Break bulk
 •   Deepening of berths 1-4                                          Deepening to -12m CD
 Vehicles
 •   New Ro-Ro quay                                                   Creating a dedicated Ro-Ro / vehicle
 •   Reclamation Kurasini creek                                       terminal
       st
 •   1 multi-storey car park                                          In progress, capacity 5,000 cars
       nd
 •   2 multi-storey car park                                          Determine feasibility of Inland Car Depots
                                                                       as alternative solution
 Logistics
 •   Development of Kurasini                                          Land to be transferred to TPA, gradual
     warehouse area                                                    development for port related logistics and
                                                                       light industries.
 Passengers
 •    Redevelopment of                                                Avoid negative impact on shipping and
      waterfront                                                       commercial port operations
 Ship repairs
 •    Acquisition of floating dock                       
 •    Redevelopment of                                   
      workshops
 Channel dredging
 •    Deepen channel to 12 m –                                        Reduce tidal restrictions and waiting times
      CD                                                               for container vessels and tankers
 Traffic circulation
 •    Traffic circulation plan                                        Traffic plan to include enforcement
 •    Parking areas outside            
      port area




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                   Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                  - xiv -                                Final Report
IV – Development plan – Port expansion

The short-term plan for Dar es Salaam (existing footprint) provides sufficient capacity to
handle the expected traffic up to 2016 in the high forecast case, and 2020 in the low
forecast case. After that, a completely new area will have to be opened up for port
development.

After examining the whole of the Tanzanian coastline for potential sites, three were
identified as the most suitable locations for handling Dar es Salaam overspill traffic:
•    Kigamboni (on the other side of the creek to the existing port)
•    Bagamoyo
•    Mwambani Bay (near Tanga)

Consideration was also given to a site at Manza, near the Kenyan border, proposed as
the site for a new port to handle Mombasa as well as Dar es Salaam overspill traffic.
However poor land transport infrastructure, high development costs and the political
challenges of jointly developing a port which would serve the Kenyan as well as the
Tanzanian market made this significantly less attractive than the above alternatives.

Development scenarios
Four port development scenarios were defined based on different combinations of the
three most suitable port sites, as shown in the table below. It was assumed that the new
port(s) would handle the Dar es Salaam overspill traffic as well as North Tanzania’s
traffic. Development scenarios were therefore based on the combined traffic forecasts of
Dar es Salaam and Tanga.


     Scenario 1            Scenario 2        Scenario 3         Scenario 4
                             Tanga
    Mwambani                                                    Mwambani


                                             Mwambani
       DSM                Bagamoyo
                                                                Bagamoyo
    Kigamboni




               Dar es Salaam – Existing footprint (incl. berth 13-14)




Economic analyses and comparison of non-monetary aspects show that Scenario 4
(Bagamoyo and Mwambani) is the preferred development alternative. This is explained
further below.

Distribution scenarios for the merged Dar es Salaam and Tanga traffic forecasts for the
four scenarios are as follows:




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                   9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                       - xv -                           February 2009
High forecast             2013      2018      2023       2028      2013      2018       2023       2028
 Scenario 1 : Development at Kigamboni and Mwambani Bay
                                     Kigamboni                                Mwambani Bay
 Dry bulks('000 tons)            -         -         -          -         -   2,366      2,942      3,026
 Break bulk ('000 tons)          -         -         -          -         -     359       426         516
 Containers ('000 TEU)           -    394      1,566      3,520           -     122       211         361
 Vehicles ('000 units)           -        23    110        250            -          -          -          -
 Scenario 2 : Development at Bagamoyo only
                                                                                Tanga
                                      Bagamoyo
                                                                    (lighterage, coasters, dhows)
 Dry bulks('000 tons)            -         -    919       2,196       552     626      702     786
 Break bulk ('000 tons)          -         -         -          -        63         98    120         145
 Containers ('000 TEU)           -    506      1,768      3,870          10         10         10         10
 Vehicles ('000 units)           -        23    110        250            -          -          -          -
 Scenario 3 : Development at Mwambani Bay only
                                                                              Mwambani Bay
                                                                     -        2,366      2,942      3,026
                                                                     -          359       426         516
                                                                     -          516      1,778      3,880
                                                                     -              23    110         250
 Scenario 4 : Development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay
                                      Bagamoyo                                Mwambani Bay
 Dry bulks('000 tons)            -         -         -          -         -   2,366      2,942      3,026
 Break bulk ('000 tons)          -         -         -          -         -     359       426         516
 Containers ('000 TEU)           -    394      1,566      3,520           -     122       211         361
 Vehicles ('000 units)           -        23    110        250            -          -          -          -
Traffic at the new ports (,000 tons) – High forecast

The low forecast for the preferred scenario 4 is shown in the table below.

 Low forecast              2013      2018      2023       2028      2013      2018       2023       2028
 Scenario 4 : Development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay
                                      Bagamoyo                                Mwambani Bay
 Dry bulks('000 tons)        -        -         -           -        -         667       1,004       763
 Break bulk ('000 tons)      -        -         -           -        -         221       227         241
 Containers ('000 TEU)       -        -        453        1,302      -         82        126         191
 Vehicles ('000 units)       -        -         35        108        -          -          -          -
Traffic at the new ports (,000 tons) – Low forecast (Scenario 4)

In practice the traffic mix is likely to be more varied than shown in the table – not least
because of the unknown effects of EDZ development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay.
However the total tonnages in the high forecast give a reasonable indication of the
maximum scale and speed of development required for port planning purposes, whilst
the tonnages in the low forecast have been used to test the financial robustness of the
alternative scenarios.

9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                            Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                   - xvi -                                             Final Report
Layouts and capital cost estimates were developed for each scenario. In the high
forecast the difference in capital costs between the most and least expensive schemes,
phased over 15 years, is just over US$ 150m.

Cost estimates
For the preferred scheme (Scenario 4) capital expenditure from 2013-28 is about
US$ 845m in the high forecast, and US$ 445m in the low forecast. This includes
superstructure and equipment, which could be privately funded, and road and rail
access which would be funded by public entities other than TPA.

    High forecasts             2013-18     2018-23         2023-28   Total
    Scenario 1
    Kigamboni                       90           190          375        655
    Mwambani Bay                   110             25          30        165
    Total                          200           215          405        820
    Scenario 2
    Bagamoyo                       200           210          365        775
    Scenario 3
    Mwambani Bay                   150           200          345        695
    Scenario 4
    Bagamoyo                       170           190          320        680
    Mwambani Bay                   110             25          30        165
    Total                          280           215          350        845
    Low forecasts
    Scenario 4
    Bagamoyo                       100             95         135        330
    Mwambani Bay                    90                 5       20        115
    Total                          190           100          155        445
Capital cost estimates (rounded, US$ m)

Operating and inland transport costs
Estimates were made of differences in operating costs between the four scenarios, but
these turned out to be relatively small, of the order of US$ 7-8m per annum by 2028,
with Scenario 3 the least expensive and Scenario 4 the most expensive. Differences in
operating costs were caused primarily by differences in maintenance costs (including
maintenance dredging) and the need to duplicate certain facilities at each separate port
site.

The main cost difference between the four scenarios was in inland transport costs.
These were modelled on the basis of the following:
•      Origin-destination pattern of the cargo (21 regions in Tanzania plus six transit
       countries)
•      Assumed modal split, with an increase in rail’s market share once its current
       problems have been resolved
•      Distance-based cost formulae for road and rail transport costs for different types of
       cargo. These were derived from a mixture of Tanzanian and international data, and

Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                               9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                - xvii -                            February 2009
allowed for a reduction in unit costs for rail resulting from economies of scale and
    general efficiency improvements.

Discounted cash flow
Discounted cash flow analysis of the capital, operating and land transport costs
associated with the four alternative scenarios showed Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo /
Mwambani Bay) to be the lowest cost option in all of the situations tested.

Although the cost differences between Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo/Mwambani) and the next
most expensive Scenario 1 (Kigamboni/Mwambani) are large in absolute terms, they are
relatively small in terms of the total costs considered. On the other hand the cost
advantage of Scenario 4 over Scenario 3 (Mwambani Bay only) is overwhelming
because of the Mwambani Bay’s peripheral location in relation to national and transit
country markets.

                           Evaluation period to 2028     Evaluation period to 2038
                             NVP @ 5%       NPV@10%        NVP @ 5%       NPV@10%
 High forecast
 Scenario 1                        +1.2%         +1.0%           +1.4%         +1.2%
 Scenario 2                        +3.1%         +2.9%           +3.2%         +3.1%
 Scenario 3                        +8.5%         +7.7%          +10.7%         +9.6%
 Scenario 4                             -             -               -             -
 Low forecast
 Scenario 1                        +0.8%         +0.5%           +1.2%         +0.9%
 Scenario 2                        +2.9%         +2.6%           +3.2%         +2.9%
 Scenario 3                       +12.6%        +11.9%          +10.7%        +10.7%
 Scenario 4                             -             -               -             -
Increase in total discounted costs (compared with Scenario 4)

Other considerations
Other (non monetary) economic considerations were taken into account to select the
preferred development option, including:
•   Security of supply
•   Level of commercial risk
•   Increased competition
•   Longer-term potential for port development
•   Contribution to regional development
•   Stimulus to Economic Development Zones
•   Impact on urban planning
•   Traffic congestion relief.

Some of these criteria favoured different port locations, but on balance they reinforced
the view that Scenario 4 – large scale development of container and vehicle facilities at
Bagamoyo, combined with smaller scale dry bulk and multi-purpose terminals at
Mwambani Bay – offers the best way forward.


9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                  Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                               - xviii -                               Final Report
Preferred Scenario
The economic analysis and the analysis of other considerations both confirm Scenario 4
(Bagamoyo / Mwambani) as the preferred layout. The conceptual layouts for this
scenario at Bagamoyo and Mwambani are shown below:


      Land                                                                   N
      Very shallow areas
      Shallow water (<14m)
      Deep water (> 14m)            Access
      Channel & turning circle(s)   Channel
      Container terminal area
      Vehicle/RoRo terminal




             Vehicles

                                    2018
                                           2023
                                                        2028


  0            1 km                  Containers


Layout Scenario 4 – Bagamoyo (high forecast)




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                         9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                  - xix -                     February 2009
Land

      Shallow water
                                                                    N
      Channel & turning circle(s)
      Container terminal area

      Break bulk

      Dry bulk




                                    Dry bulk
   Break Bulk

                                                        Access
                         2018                           Channel
                         2028




      Containers




  0              1 km


Layout Scenario 4 – Mwambani (high forecast)

Financial Analyses
A preliminary financial evaluation of Scenario 4 showed that the basic infrastructure to
be developed by TPA, and the individual terminals which could be funded by either
private investors or TPA, all generated relatively high rates of return, with the possible
exception of the multi-purpose terminal at Mwambani Bay (7% in the low forecast).

A more detailed feasibility study for the development of Bagamoyo is in the process of
being commissioned. A similar study is needed for Mwambani Bay, as the traffic
forecasts for Tanga have a much higher margin of error because of their dependence on
large dry bulk projects which may or may not go ahead. The Mwambani Bay feasibility
study should also update and evaluate proposals for a new rail link between Arusha and
Musoma.

Although the construction of a new port at Bagamoyo is unlikely to start before 2013, the
development of a green-field site requires considerable amount of preparatory work.
Particular attention should be paid to land acquisition and the agreement of a publicly
acceptable resettlement programme, covering not just residential properties but also
public buildings such as schools.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                              Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                  - xx -                           Final Report
V – Tanga

The wide spread in the cargo forecasts between the high and the low forecast for Tanga
is illustrated below:

                              2013        2018           2023        2028
 High forecast
 Existing cargoes            1,075        1,415          1,770       2,242
 New projects                  756        1,781          2,311       2,341
 Total                       1,831        3,196          4,081       4,583
 Low forecast
 Existing cargoes              791          662          1,075         934
 New projects                  513          515            523         530
 Total                       1,304        1,177          1,598       1,464
Tanga Cargo Forecast (‘000 tons)

The high forecast growth of dry bulk cargoes will only materialize if direct vessel calls at
alongside berths are possible (i.e. the Mwambani Bay scheme goes ahead). If it does
not, small scale lighterage operations are likely to continue, although for containers this
will depend on the availability of geared container ships, which are likely to become less
common in future.

The main issue is whether any investments are needed to create a temporary increase
in capacity until a new port can be built at Mwambani Bay. Tanga port is located near
the city centre, and does not have enough space for expansion. Port development would
increase city traffic, and the noise and dust would have negative environmental impact.
Investment in fixed assets such as new quays or storage areas is therefore unlikely to
be desirable, although proposals for investment in mobile assets which can be written
off quickly, such as cranes and (possibly) lighters, should be considered on their merits.

Even when Mwambani Bay has been completed, some traffic may also continue to be
handled at Tanga on coasters and dhows, but only for local markets and the Zanzibar /
Pemba trade.

 Key actions                     Short        Medium        Long     Remarks
 Tanga                          2009-11       2012-18      2019-28

 Maintenance of port                 
 equipment
 Additional barges and                              
 pontoons
 Redevelop Tanga port for                                           Port activities will move to
 recreational and urban use                                          Mwambani




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                               - xxi -                                February 2009
VI – Mtwara

The forecasts for Mtwara have an even larger spread between the high and low figures,
largely because of uncertainty about the viability, form and timing of several large
projects in the Mtwara Corridor. These include compressed natural gas, bio-diesel,
woodchips, hardwood timber, cement, urea, coal and iron ore. Some of the projects
could involve substantially larger ships than those using the port at present.

The high and low forecasts for Mtwara are shown in the table below.

 High forecast                   2013          2018      2023          2028
 Liquid bulks                     263           421        619           867
 Dry bulks                      2,380         4,500     15,050        22,850
 Break bulk                       139           270        455           682
 Containerized                    141           229        332           387
 Total                          2,923         5,420     16,456        24,786
 Containers(‘000 TEU)              34            49         68            76
 Low forecast                    2013          2018      2023           2028
 Liquid bulks                      11            25         41            61
 Dry bulks                        130           500      1,500         1,900
 Break bulk                        81           121        175           228
 Containerized                     70           114        158           196
 Total                            292           760      1,874         2,384
 Containers (‘000 TEU)             17            24         32            37
Mtwara forecasts ‘000 tons

The Mtwara Corridor project includes the construction of a railway from Mtwara to
Mbamba Bay. Although intended primarily to facilitate coal exports, this would also allow
Mtwara to become a natural gateway to Malawi and parts of Zambia. Mtwara has also
been selected as the site for an EDZ

Container and break bulk operations can continue in the existing port area, where some
limited expansion is possible to provide sufficient capacity. For dry bulk operations an
area away from the existing port must be found with sufficient land close to the main
road and (future) rail network. Development of CNG exports will require a dedicated jetty
just east of the existing port.

Each of the major dry bulk commodities will have its own handling requirements, and the
larger ones may require their own dedicated terminals. Some of the dry bulk facilities
may be funded by major shippers, leaving TPA responsible for the basic port
infrastructure, improvements to the existing port, and any common user bulk terminals.

The proposed port development of Mtwara port is shown below.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                             Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                            - xxii -                              Final Report
Mtwara Port:
               - Containers            CNG
               - Break bulk            jetty                Dry bulk
               - Liquid bulk import




Proposed port development Mtwara

Because of uncertainty about the Mtwara Corridor projects, the attraction of gas-related
industries, and the speed and type of development envisaged for the EDZ, the most
appropriate layout and development sequence for the port cannot be set out in detail at
present. It is recommended that TPA and the National Development Corporation (NDC)
take the lead in establishing a permanent Working Group for the joint planning of
Mtwara port and related economic activities.

 Key Actions                           Short       Medium           Long     Remarks
 Mtwara                               2009-11      2012-18         2019-28
 Dangote cement terminal                                                    In progress.
                                                                             Private financing.
 CNG export jetty                                                           Discussions with Artumas in
                                                                             progress. Private financing
 Woodchips terminal                                                         Discussions in progress.
                                                                             Development on new
                                                                             terminal, private financing
 Other bulks                                                               Timing linked to individual
                                                                             industrial projects
 Establish permanent Working                                                TPA and NDC cooperation
 Group                                                                       for joint planning of port and
                                                                             corridor development




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                        9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                    - xxiii -                                 February 2009
VII – Small coastal ports

Pangani
Pangani port serves local trade only. No new developments were identified which could
increase the national strategic importance of the port. To facilitate local trade a basic
port facility needs to be developed.

Kilindoni (Mafia)
No significant trade volumes were identified. However, construction of a jetty is seen as
a government obligation to the island’s 45,000 inhabitants to allow passenger traffic,
improve working conditions, and facilitate trade.

The development of a jetty similar to the existing Tanpesca jetty is recommended, with
mooring facilities for two vessels and a draft of 3m -CD. Based on bathymetric surveys
a location should be selected that minimizes the length of the jetty. A basic facility
should be also developed in Kisiju, the landing point on the main land for Mafia dhows,

Kilwa
Two potential bio-energy projects have been identified in the region, initiated by SEKAB
and Bioshape. These projects could generate significant export volumes of liquid bulk
(bio-ethanol) and (mostly containerized) jatropha nuts. Dedicated facilities need to be
constructed in close coordination with the private developers to handle these exports.

The existing jetty at Kilwa Masoko needs to be rehabilitated to handle project cargo
associated with these projects and other small scale exports. No developments are
required at Kilwa Kivinje.

Gypsum exports through Rushungi must be monitored, and if required a basic facility
should be constructed and the access road improved.

Lindi
Lindi port presently serves local trade only. No new developments were identified which
could increase the national strategic importance of the port. To serve local trade the
dredging or modification of the existing pier is required.

Mikindani
No potential for Mikindani was identified and it is recommended that the site is not
developed.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                             Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                            - xxiv -                              Final Report
Key recommended actions           Short    Medium     Long     Remarks
 Small coastal ports              2009-11   2012-18   2019-28
 Pangani
 Develop basic mooring facility                                Local use only
 Kilindoni
 Develop jetty short jetty in                                  Local use. Social obligation to
 Kilindoni                                                      island population.
 Develop basic mooring facility                                Facility to serve Mafia trade with
 in Kisiju                                                      the mainland
 Kilwa
 Jatropha nuts                                                 Bioshape, preparations in
 (containers / dry bulk)                                        progress. Private financing.
 Bio-ethanol export jetty                                      SEKAB, preparations in
                                                                progress. Private financing.
 Jetty rehabilitation                                          Linked to projects above, user
                                                                requirements to be determined
 Lindi
 Dredge or modify existing pier                                Local use only
 to allow direct berthing
 Mikindani
 No action                                                      No development recommended




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                               9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                - xxv -                              February 2009
VII– Lake Victoria

Lake Victoria has many public and private ports. Traffic forecasts for the most important
public ports are shown below. They assume that container shipping will develop on Lake
Victoria within the next 5 years, that there will be substantial improvements to the rail
service to Mwanza, and that the public ports will suffer no further loss of market share to
the private ports, some of which are closely linked to shipping services or fish landing
activities.

                                         2013           2018      2023         2028
 High forecast ('000 tons)
 Dry cargo
 Mwanza South                             541            833      1,114        1,491
 Mwanza North                             152            185        225          273
 Bukoba                                    38             46         56           68
 Kemondo Bay                               32             38         47           57
 Nansio                                    19             23         28           34
 Liquid bulks
 Mwanza South                              40              51        65           84
 Musoma                                    20              26        33           42
 Total                                    842           1,202     1,569        2,050
 Low forecast ('000 tons)
 Dry cargo
 Mwanza South                              170          228        305           408
 Mwanza North                               56            52        49            49
 Bukoba                                     25            20        15            10
 Kemondo Bay                                20            15        10             5
 Nansio                                     20            26        33            42
 Liquid bulks
 Mwanza South                               36            42        48            56
 Musoma                                     18            21        24            28
 Total                                     345          403        484           597
Lake Victoria Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports (‘000 tons)

Mwanza South
The existing link span for rail wagon ferries is sufficient and does not require expansion.
Rehabilitation of the wooden mooring is required.

Container operations are expected to be introduced on Lake Victoria in a coordinated
effort between private shipping lines and Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya ports. Break
bulk and container operations can best be organized as a multi-purpose terminal, with
one berth used for containers and one for break bulk handling. Some additional land for
break bulk storage and container stacking adjacent to the existing port will be required.

Ship building and repair facilities could be further developed on the northern side of the
port in combination with the existing floating docks and ship building activities.

Although the volumes are small, a liquid bulk jetty could be constructed on the south
side of the link span to separate liquid bulk handling from general cargo operations. This

9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                 Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                - xxvi -                              Final Report
should be built around 2018, when occupancy of the multipurpose terminal becomes
higher.

A development scenario for Mwanza South port is shown below.

  Mwanza
  South Port




                               Ship building
          Floating                repair
          docks

                                General cargo
                                  terminal



                                   Container
                                    terminal


       Rail link span



           Liquid bulk jetty




Port development scenario Mwanza South port

Mwanza North
Mwanza North Port is located close to the city centre, and is mostly used for passenger
vessels and local cargo. Dredging at both berths is urgently required to allow alongside
mooring of the ferries.

There are longer-term plans for a new passenger terminal, which could include shops, a
bar/restaurant and other commercial developments, and a new Ro-Ro berth suitable for
larger vessels. A potential development plan for Mwanza North port is shown below.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                           9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                    - xxvii -                   February 2009
Mwanza
            North Port




                  Roro
                  Pier

                               Passenger
                                terminal



                  Kamanga
                  ferries




Development of Mwanza North Port



Bukoba
The port area is completely surrounded by urban development. It is more popular than
nearby Kemondo Bay for passengers and local cargo because it is located in the city.
However port expansion will require some resettlement of houses and/or a redesign of
the current port area. A possible layout of the port expansion is shown below.




                       New
                       berth
                                      New
                                      berths


                                                 Existing
                                                  berths


                                   Port area




                           Relocated
                           warehouses




Development of Bukoba Port




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                          Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                  - xxviii -                   Final Report
Kemondo Bay
Kemondo Bay depends largely on the performance of TRL and the Lake ferry wagons.
Unfortunately, neither are performing well at present. The wagon ferry will continue to
call Kemondo Bay, but because Bukoba is the preferred port for passengers and local
cargo, the development potential for Kemondo port is considered to be low. Significant
investments are unlikely to be justified.

Nansio
The existing pier must be modified to allow proper mooring of the vessel and level
(dis)embarkation and (un)loading. This would require extension of the pier, dredging or
lowering of the existing pier. A floating pontoon could also be considered.

Musoma
Because of the good road connection to Mwanza, the potential for port development in
Musoma is low. Construction of the Arusha – Musoma railway line would provide an
opportunity for further development, but it is not likely that this will happen soon.


 Key actions                       Short      Medium     Long     Remarks
 Lake Victoria                    2009-11     2012-18   2019-28
 Mwanza South Port
 Purchase container handling                                    Development of container
 equipment                                                        shipping could enhance trade
 Relocate rail yard                                              Area required for other port
                                                                  development
 Expansion shipbuilding &                                        Strategic investment to promote
 repair facilities                                                lake transport, private financing
 Develop new oil jetty                                           Improved safety
 Mwanza North Port
 Initiate dredging program                                       Urgently required
 Develop new Ro-Ro berth and                                     Requirements need to be
 passenger terminal                                               substantiated
 Bukoba
 Develop additional quay                                         Requirements need to be
                                                                  substantiated
 Kemondo Bay
 No action
 Nansio
 Modify existing berth to allow     
 level (dis)embarkation and
 cargo handling
 Musoma
 No action




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                             9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                - xxix -                           February 2009
IX – Lake Tanganyika

The Lake Tanganyika ports handle traffic for DR Congo, parts of Zambia, Burundi and
(less directly) Rwanda. Because of the recent history of civil disturbances, the traffic
has begun to grow again only recently, and its full potential is difficult to estimate. As a
result, the traffic forecasts for Kigoma and Kasanga shown below are indicative.

                                        2013          2018          2023         2028
 High forecast ('000 tons)
 Kigoma
 Local                                    38             74           104          155
 Imports                                  46            957         1,342        1,883
 Exports                                 134            461           647          907
 Total                                   218          1,492         2,093        2,945
 Kasanga
 Total                                    40           100           197           305
 Low forecast ('000 tons)
 Kigoma
 Local                                    24            38             53           68
 Imports                                  30           506            716        1,004
 Exports                                 113           305            422          582
 Total                                   167           849          1,191        1,654
 Kasanga
 Total                                    27            40            53            76
Lake Tanganyika Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports (‘000 tons)

Kigoma
As in the case of Mwanza, the traffic forecasts for Kigoma assume substantial
improvements to the TRL rail service from Dar es Salaam. The high forecast is very
ambitious, and market developments must be closely monitored to ensure the supply of
new port facilities does not run too far ahead of the growth in demand.

In the high forecast berth requirements reach 1,130m in 2028, compared with the 300m
available now. The best area for expansion is on the North-East side of the port, where
land can be reclaimed along the railway line to create a 700m quay and terminal area.

The long-term port development plan is shown below.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                   Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                               - xxx -                                  Final Report
0                          500 m



                                            Possible future
                                              expansion




           Kigoma port                      Break Bulk /
                                             Containers




Development potential of Kigoma

Kasanga
The forecast for Kasanga indicates a volume of 76,000 tons in 2028, which is conditional
on the improvement of road access. Using mechanized handling this volume can easily
be handled on one berth using one crane.

 Key actions                           Short      Medium       Long                Remarks
 Lake Tanganyika
                                   2009-11        2012-18     2019-28
 Kigoma
 Upgrading of the roads                               
 - Nyankanazi to Kigoma
 - Mpanda, Uvinza to Kigoma
 - Tunduma to Sanga &
   Kasanga
 Phased development of berths                                         Demand is uncertain,
 and terminal area                                                      development only when
                                                                        justified by committed cargo.
 Kasanga
 Hinterland connection                                                 Under development.
                                                                        Prerequisite for further port
                                                                        development.
 Develop additional handling                          
 facilities




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                       9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                      - xxxi -                               February 2009
X – Lake Nyasa

Port development on Lake Nyasa is dependent on the ability of the Mtwara Corridor to
compete with the Nacala Corridor (Mozambique) for Malawi’s foreign trade; the growth
of local/regional commerce; and the upgrading of Lakes shipping services which are
currently operated mainly by Malawi companies.

The cargo forecast for the main Lake Nyasa ports is shown below.

                                        2013           2018     2023         2028
 High forecast ('000 tons)
 Itungi / Kiwira                         144            183      229           292
 Mbamba Bay                               25            405      680         1,102
 Low forecast ('000 tons)
 Itungi / Kiwira                          84           110       142           171
 Mbamba Bay                               15            30        76           136
Lake Nyasa Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports(‘000 tons)

Itungi / Kiwira
A choice between Kiwira and Itungi should be made to focus port development in this
part of the lake. Itungi port is faced with continuous sedimentation problems, which will
result in high maintenance dredging costs. Development at Kiwira is expected to be a
better solution provided that the road connection to the site is improved.

The high forecast 292,000 tons in 2028 would require operations to be mechanised,
using two mobile cranes shared between two berths (120m in total). Each crane has a
typical annual capacity of 220,000 tons.

Mbamba Bay
The high forecast shows a potential cargo of 1.1 million tons through Mbamba Bay, split
between dry bulks and break bulk. Depending on the commodity and the type of
mechanization selected, the capacity of a mechanized dry bulk terminal using one
(un)loader would be sufficient to handle the dry bulk traffic. Handling of break bulk would
require two or three berths and mobile cranes, depending on vessel sizes and crane
capacity used. Sufficient area is reported to be available near Mbamba Bay port for
these expansions.

Because development at Mbamba Bay is closely linked to the Mtwara Corridor, planning
responsibility should be transferred to the Working Group proposed for Mtwara Port.




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                               Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                              - xxxii -                             Final Report
Summary of Projects Outside of Dar es Salaam/Bagamoyo/Mwambani Bay

The projects in the smaller coastal ports and manned lake ports are less well developed
than those in Dar es Salaam, Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay, which makes it difficult to
estimate their costs and prioritise their timing. This is something which needs to be done
fairly quickly, by:
•    Setting up a permanent planning organization (the Mtwara Port Working Group)
     which would coordinate developments at Mtwara and Mbamba Bay with those
     taking place elsewhere in the Mtwara Corridor.
•    Commissioning more detailed studies for the two most important projects, namely
     the expansion/modernization of Mwanza South and Kigoma.
•    Verifying the accuracy of existing cargo statistics for the Lakes ports and minor
     coastal ports, and expanding their scope.
•    Continuing discussions with potential private investors.
•    Consulting with local communities about some of the smaller or less certain projects
     (Kilindoni, Mwanza North, Bukoba, Kiwira)


All of the projects identified by this study are dependent on continuous improvements to
the road and rail networks. The Ministry of Infrastructure Development has a crucial role
to play in co-ordinating all of the necessary infrastructure investments, and fast-tracking
the projects which are most urgently required.




Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                             9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                              - xxxiii -                          February 2009
9R8821/R/903617/Rott               Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009          - xxxiv -                 Final Report
CONTENTS

                                                                                                                              Page

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

I          INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................I.1
           I.1              GENERAL ...........................................................................................I.1
           I.2              OVERVIEW OF TANZANIA PORT SECTOR.....................................I.2
           I.3              PROJECT METHODOLOGY ..............................................................I.5
           I.4              CONTENTS OF THIS REPORT .........................................................I.7

II         PERSPECTIVE ON NATIONAL PORT DEVELOPMENT......................................II.1
           II.1             NATIONAL TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE................................II.1
           II.1.1           Railways .............................................................................................II.2
           II.1.1.1         Tanzania Zambia Railway Authority (TAZARA).................................II.2
           II.1.1.2         Tanzania Railways Limited (TRL) ......................................................II.4
           II.1.1.3         Isaka inland port .................................................................................II.6
           II.1.1.4         New rail links ......................................................................................II.6
           II.1.2           Roads .................................................................................................II.8
           II.1.3           Pipelines...........................................................................................II.10
           II.2             TANZANIA DEVELOPMENT CORRIDORS ....................................II.12
           II.2.1           Tanga Corridor .................................................................................II.12
           II.2.2           Central Corridor................................................................................II.12
           II.2.3           Mtwara Corridor................................................................................II.14
           II.3             ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ZONES............................................II.16
           II.4             URBAN DEVELOPMENT ................................................................II.18
           II.5             ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS.........................................II.19
           II.5.1           Introduction on Environmental Assessment.....................................II.19
           II.5.2           Potential environmental impacts of port development .....................II.20
           II.5.3           Possible mitigation measures ..........................................................II.21
           II.6             COMPETITIVE POSITION OF TANZANIAN PORTS......................II.22
           II.6.1           Introduction.......................................................................................II.22
           II.6.2           Kenya ...............................................................................................II.23
           II.6.2.1         Port of Mombasa ..............................................................................II.23
           II.6.2.2         Lamu Port.........................................................................................II.29
           II.6.3           Mozambique.....................................................................................II.30
           II.6.3.1         Port of Nacala...................................................................................II.30
           II.6.3.2         Port of Beira, Mozambique...............................................................II.34
           II.6.4           South Africa......................................................................................II.38
           II.6.4.1         Port of Durban ..................................................................................II.38
           II.6.5           Other Potential Competitive Ports....................................................II.41
           II.6.5.1         Namibia ............................................................................................II.41
           II.6.5.2         Angola ..............................................................................................II.41
           II.6.6           Summary ..........................................................................................II.41

Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                                              9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                               - xxxv -                                                February 2009
II.6.7           SWOT Analysis DSM versus Regional Competitive Ports.............. II.43
          II.6.8           Transhipment Market....................................................................... II.44
          II.6.8.1         Port Louis, Mauritius........................................................................ II.44
          II.6.8.2         South Africa ..................................................................................... II.44
          II.7             BASIS FOR TRAFFIC FORECASTS .............................................. II.44
          II.7.1           Overview of past trends................................................................... II.45
          II.7.2           Drivers of port traffic growth ............................................................ II.49
          II.7.2.1         Tanzania Economic Growth ............................................................ II.50
          II.7.2.2         Agriculture, Forests and Fisheries................................................... II.52
          II.7.2.3         Energy ............................................................................................. II.52
          II.7.2.4         Transit Traffic................................................................................... II.60
          II.8             VISION ON PORT DEVELOPMENT............................................... II.67
          II.8.1           Shipping developments ................................................................... II.67
          II.8.2           Port management models ............................................................... II.68
          II.8.3           Port development ............................................................................ II.70
          II.8.4           Port logistics .................................................................................... II.72
          II.8.5           ICDs................................................................................................. II.73
          II.8.6           Plan period ...................................................................................... II.74

III       DAR ES SALAAM ................................................................................................. III.1
          III.1            PORT DESCRIPTION ...................................................................... III.1
          III.1.1          General description .......................................................................... III.1
          III.1.2          Navigational access.......................................................................... III.2
          III.1.2.1        Entrance channel.............................................................................. III.2
          III.1.2.2        Tides, wind and waves ..................................................................... III.4
          III.1.2.3        Vessel statistics .............................................................................. III.11
          III.1.3          Port infrastructure ........................................................................... III.13
          III.1.3.1        Berths 1-11 ..................................................................................... III.13
          III.1.3.2        Storage areas ................................................................................. III.18
          III.1.3.3        Container yards .............................................................................. III.19
          III.1.3.4        Grain terminal ................................................................................. III.25
          III.1.3.5        Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ) .................................................................. III.26
          III.1.3.6        SPM ................................................................................................ III.26
          III.1.3.7        Dockyards....................................................................................... III.27
          III.1.3.8        Lighter wharf ................................................................................... III.28
          III.1.4          Terminal operations........................................................................ III.28
          III.1.4.1        Berth occupancy............................................................................. III.29
          III.1.4.2        Liquid bulk handling........................................................................ III.30
          III.1.4.3        Dry bulk handling............................................................................ III.31
          III.1.4.4        Break bulk handling ........................................................................ III.32
          III.1.4.5        Motor vehicles ................................................................................ III.35
          III.1.4.6        Containers ...................................................................................... III.36
          III.1.5          Land access and infrastructure ...................................................... III.39
          III.1.5.1        Rail.................................................................................................. III.39
          III.1.5.2        Road Access .................................................................................. III.41
          III.1.6          Ongoing development projects....................................................... III.43




9R8821/R/903617/Rott                                                                              Tanzania Ports Master Plan
February 2009                                             - xxxvi -                                                    Final Report
III.2          FORECASTS ..................................................................................III.46
           III.2.1        Liquid Bulks .....................................................................................III.46
           III.2.2        Dry Bulks .........................................................................................III.50
           III.2.3        Break Bulk Cargo ............................................................................III.53
           III.2.4        Motor Vehicle Forecasts .................................................................III.56
           III.2.5        Containers .......................................................................................III.57
           III.2.6        Passengers .....................................................................................III.66
           III.2.7        Fish..................................................................................................III.67
           III.2.8        Summary .........................................................................................III.72
           III.3          PORT REQUIREMENTS ................................................................III.73
           III.3.1        Nautical requirements .....................................................................III.73
           III.3.2        Terminal requirements ....................................................................III.74
           III.3.2.1      Liquid bulk .......................................................................................III.75
           III.3.2.2      Dry bulk ...........................................................................................III.76
           III.3.2.3      Break Bulk .......................................................................................III.77
           III.3.2.4      Motor vehicles .................................................................................III.78
           III.3.2.5      Containers .......................................................................................III.78
           III.3.2.6      Passengers .....................................................................................III.80
           III.3.2.7      Fish..................................................................................................III.81
           III.3.2.8      Summary .........................................................................................III.82
           III.4          DAR ES SALAAM – DEVELOPMENT OF EXISTING
                          FOOTPRINT....................................................................................III.83
           III.4.1        Liquid bulk .......................................................................................III.84
           III.4.2        Dry bulk ...........................................................................................III.88
           III.4.3        Break bulk .......................................................................................III.89
           III.4.4        Motor vehicles .................................................................................III.89
           III.4.5        Containers .......................................................................................III.90
           III.4.6        Passengers .....................................................................................III.91
           III.4.7        Dhows / lighters...............................................................................III.91
           III.4.8        Kurasini logistic area .......................................................................III.91
           III.4.9        Traffic circulation .............................................................................III.91
           III.4.10       Inland Container Depots .................................................................III.92
           III.4.11       Dry docking facilities .......................................................................III.93
           III.5          CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................III.95
           III.6          RECOMMENDED ACTIONS ..........................................................III.97

IV         NEW PORT DEVELOPMENT .............................................................................. IV.1
           IV.1           EXPANSION POSSIBILITIES.......................................................... IV.1
           IV.1.1         Expansion in Dar es Salaam............................................................ IV.1
           IV.1.2         Alternative port locations .................................................................. IV.3
           IV.1.2.1       Potential port development locations ............................................... IV.3
           IV.1.2.2       Manza............................................................................................... IV.6
           IV.1.2.3       Mwambani ........................................................................................ IV.8
           IV.1.2.4       Bagamoyo ...................................................................................... IV.10
           IV.1.2.5       Kilwa Masoko ................................................................................. IV.13
           IV.1.2.6       Mtwara............................................................................................ IV.13
           IV.1.3         Comparison of potential container port development sites ............ IV.13


Tanzania Ports Master Plan                                                                             9R8821/R/903617/Rott
Final Report                                            - xxxvii -                                                February 2009
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Final report tanzania ports master plan 1 to 100

  • 1. Lake Victoria Mwanza Kigoma Tanga Lake Tanzania Dar es Tanganyika Salaam Lake Nyasa Mtwara Tanzania Ports Master Plan Final Report Tanzania Ports Authority February 2009 9R8821 in association with
  • 2.
  • 3.    George Hintzenweg 85 P.O. Box 8520 Rotterdam 3009 AM The Netherlands +31 (0)10 443 36 66 Telephone Fax info@rotterdam.royalhaskoning.com E-mail www.royalhaskoning.com Internet Arnhem 09122561 CoC Document title Tanzania Ports Master Plan Final Report Document short title Status Date February 2009 Project name East Africa Trade and Facilitation Project Project ID No P079734 Port Master Plan Study United Republic of Tanzania Project number 9R8821 Client Tanzania Ports Authority Reference 9R8821/R/903617/Rott
  • 4.
  • 5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY I – Introduction The Tanzania Ports Authority (TPA) assigned Royal Haskoning – in association with Ardhi University (formerly known as UCLAS) and Interconsult Ltd. – to prepare a Port Master Plan covering all coastal and manned Lake ports of Tanzania. Key events during the course of the study were as follows: • Contract signature March 3, 2008 • Kick-off meeting March 26/28, 2008 • Inception report April 25, 2008 • Interim Report August 8, 2008 • Interim workshop September 19, 2008 • TPA workshop October 16-18, 2008 • Draft Final Report November 7, 2008 • TPA workshop January 9, 2009 This Report presents the final conclusions of the study. The following main issues came to light during the course of the study: • The need to increase the capacity of the existing facilities at Dar es Salaam until new facilities can be built elsewhere. • The location of new facilities for Dar es Salaam overspill traffic once traffic growth can no longer be accommodated within the existing port footprint. • The need for new port facilities at Mtwara to support and stimulate development of the Mtwara Corridor. • The role of the smaller coastal ports in supporting local trade, including new terminals for resource-based exports. • The potential of the Lakes ports as gateways to the rapidly growing transit countries, particularly Uganda and DR Congo. Before going on to consider these issues, the main factors influencing the future pattern of port development in Tanzania are briefly discussed. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report -i- February 2009
  • 6. II – Perspective on national port development National context National transport infrastructure Logistics chains in Tanzania are still very inefficient. Port performance is being severely impeded by inability to clear cargo from the ports quickly, and the country’s role as a channel for trade from the land-locked countries1 is impeded by incomplete road and rail networks, and the poor quality and high cost of land transport. It is essential that over the next 20 years there is much closer integration of planning across all modes of transport, as many of the recommendations in this report are conditional on parallel actions being taken in respect of other forms of transport infrastructure. Tanzania has two main railway systems with different gauges, i.e. the Tanzania-Zambia Railway Authority (TAZARA) with connections to Zambia Railway system, and the Tanzania Railway Limited with links to Uganda, DRC Congo, and Kenya. Only limited areas of the country are rail-connected, and the railway sector has performed badly during the last ten years. The infrastructure has deteriorated and services are below standard due to the age and obsolescence of the infrastructure and shortage of locomotives and wagons. Improvements to rail infrastructure and availability of rolling stock (locomotives and wagons) are urgently required. Between 2001 and 2007, TRL’s share of dry cargo imports through Dar es Salaam fell from 22% to 3%, whilst TAZARA’s crept up slightly from 2.5% to 4.5%. Rail should be the predominant mode for cargo movements in excess of 400-600km, so even allowing for the limited extent of the rail network, there is scope for increasing rail’s share of port traffic (excluding oil) from around 7.5% today to a target of 30-35% in 10-15 years time. This would lead to a significant reduction in inland transport costs, environmental improvements, and more efficient port operations. The national trunk road network is undergoing substantial improvements, but still includes large sections which are unpaved. Development of a paved and well maintained road network connecting the major ports to the transit countries is critical to the overall success of the ports master plan. Development corridors To ensure balanced regional growth, the Tanzanian Government has charged the National Development Corporation with exploiting the economic potential of three corridors running inland from the coast as follows: • Tanga Corridor • Central Corridor • Mtwara Corridor The Tanga Corridor study has identified several large agricultural and mining projects, but these are less well-defined than in the other two corridor studies. There is a desire to boost manufacturing activity in Tanga and Arusha, and a project – which has been 1 Zambia, DR Congo, Malawi, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - ii - Final Report
  • 7. around for many years – to build a new rail link from Tanga to Musoma via Arusha, providing Uganda with a more direct route to the sea than via Dar es Salaam. The principal investment projects in the Central Corridor are in mining and agriculture, supported by large public investments in energy and transport. The additional traffic which they generate will go mainly to Dar es Salaam. Work on the Mtwara Corridor is the most advanced, and seems likely to generate substantial volumes of port traffic, mainly for Mtwara but also for ports on Lake Nyasa. Economic development zones Economic Development Zones (EDZ) provide an important stimulus to trade and attract inward investment. Thirteen locations have been identified for EDZs, with the highest priority being given to the one in Bagamoyo, followed by Mtwara and Arusha. If the EDZ program were to increase foreign direct investment in manufacturing by 50%, equivalent to US$ 35 to 40 million of additional investment each year, this would generate approximately 8,000 to10,000 tons per annum of project cargo. The permanent increase in trade would depend very much on the type of industry attracted to the zone, but experience elsewhere suggests an “order of magnitude” rate of build-up of around 2,000 to 5,000 tons per annum in each successive year. Urban development Most of Tanzania’s ports are located close to their city centres, where they contribute to traffic congestion and other adverse environmental effects. Difficulties in acquiring land have led to cramped and inefficient port layouts, and imposed serious constraints on port expansion plans. At the same time, the ports are important sources of local employment, and have spawned a wide range of support activities nearby. It will therefore be difficult and costly to move them. In order to achieve a proper balance of development, it is important that port master plans are not viewed in isolation, but are related to much broader national and local planning objectives. Environmental considerations Generic environmental impacts connected with port development have been identified, and mitigation measures proposed. However these issues can only be properly addressed in the detailed planning and design of projects. At this stage no irrevocable environmental constraints have been encountered which prevent the recommended projects from proceeding to the next stage of investigation. Competitive position of Tanzanian ports Although Tanzanian ports face competition from ports as far away as Durban, the SWOT analysis demonstrates their potential to attract additional transit cargoes for the landlocked countries PROVIDING they are operated more efficiently and developed in closer harmony with hinterland road and rail connections. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - iii - February 2009
  • 8. Vision on port development Shipping developments. Vessel sizes in global container shipping have grown strongly over the last years. The largest vessels sail on East-West routes between the Far East and Europe, while East Africa is mostly served by feeders from Middle East ports. It is expected that the present pattern of shipping corridors will continue during the coming years. However, with increasing volumes, some direct calls from Asian ports to the North Indian Ocean including Tanzania may be introduced. Therefore, the expected maximum vessel size for these routes is assessed by us at 5,000 TEU. Port management models At present TPA ports function as a mix between a public service port and landlord port. Most terminals are operated by TPA (service port) and some terminals are operated by private parties (e.g. TICTS). Investments in port infrastructure by private parties are however very low. Under the Port Act of 2004, Tanzania Ports Authority was formed as a landlord port authority, implying that port operations are handed over to private terminal operators. In order to further establish this shift, TPA should speedily step back in its role of supervising authority and encourage private participation in port development and terminal operations through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP). Physically, terminals should have dedicated facilities and each be fenced and have its own access gates. All security is to be in place under ISPS regulations, under the responsibility of the private operator. Ownership of equipment and facilities and employment of operational staff for terminals are to be transferred from TPA to private terminal operators under the concession agreement. Such a shift may be undertaken in the confidence that market forces of free competition and – last but not least – return on investments will drive efficiency improvements and cargo growth in the port. TPA is therefore strongly encouraged to further focus on this shift to increase efficiency, attract private capital and gain market share. The first step would be to give all newly developed terminals (such as berth 13/14 in Dar es Salaam) in concession to private operators. The next step could be to segregate operations in the existing port areas and give terminal operation concessions to one or more private entities. Port development Dar es Salaam port is by far the largest port in Tanzania, serving all major economic centres in the country as well as the transit countries. All major existing infrastructure corridors in Tanzania lead to Dar es Salaam, and it is the only place where both railway systems (TAZARA and TRL) join. The port has shown a strong growth over the past years, especially in the container sector. This has lead to congestion in the port and a search for additional land area in or near the port. In a city which is growing strongly and where road capacity is inadequate to cope with the growing number of vehicles, port development, urban development and transport plans must be closely inter-linked. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - iv - Final Report
  • 9. Land availability for the Tanzanian city ports is limited. Development of a green-field port at a limited distance of the existing ports (but well outside the urban area) would allow unrestricted port development, while connections to existing economic and physical infrastructure can easily be made. A green-field port can be started as a modern port facility to match latest developments in shipping and logistics, without having the heritage of outdated infrastructure, equipment and organization. Port logistics A port is a node in supply chains, including physical flows (shipping, land transport, (temporary) storage), value added operations (logistics, production) and processes (custom clearance, inspections, payments). TPA is to facilitate the supply chain and improve the competitiveness of Tanzanian ports by continually improving the quality of port services on strategic, tactical land operational levels. ICDs An Inland Container Depot is generally defined as a common user facility offering services for handling and temporary storage of containers carried under customs control. ICDs are often located in the interiors (well outside the port towns) of the country and well away from the servicing ports. The present ICDs inside and near Dar es Salaam are used as temporary storage of containers, and basically function as a remote terminal stack. Although necessary given the limited space availability in the DSM sea port terminals (TICTS and TPA), the additional handling and transport between the sea terminal and the ICDs add to the total costs of the logistics chain without adding value. With sufficient terminal area available at the sea port, the ICDs in Dar es Salaam would no longer be required for the present purpose. The future network of ICDs will develop further away from the sea port on major transport axes near the major consumption and production areas. Transit countries may have a dedicated ICD either near the border in Tanzania or in the transit country itself. ICDs will develop near EDZs and on major transport corridors, such as near Isaka, Mbeya and Kigoma. Plan period While the master plan gives guidance and direction on the long term development, investment planning must be done on the basis of a five year updated forecast to ensure that development of port capacity is demand driven. These five year forecasts must be frequently updated by TPA to ensure that sufficient capacity is available ahead of demand, without creating over-capacity. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report -v- February 2009
  • 10. Traffic forecasts The Tanzanian ports system comprises: • One large international port, Dar es Salaam, with a throughput of 7.1 million tons in 2007 • Two medium sized coastal ports, Tanga and Mtwara, with throughputs of 445,000 and 90,000 tons respectively in 2007 • A tail of smaller coastal ports with current throughputs of less than 50,000 tons per annum: Pangani, Kilindoni (Mafia), Kilwa Masoko and Kilwa Kivinje, Rushungi, Lindi and Mikindoni • Lake Victoria ports: Mwanza North and South, Bukoba, Kemondo Bay, Nansio and Musoma, plus 17 smaller unmanned ports • Lake Tanganyika ports: Kigoma and Kasanga, plus 19 smaller unmanned ports • Lake Nyasa ports: Itungi, Manda, Liuli and Mbamba Bay, plus 9 smaller unmanned ports The quality and level of detail of the statistics for the smaller coastal ports and all of the Lakes ports is poor, and there is a significant amount of informal trade which has made it difficult to identify the potential demand for new port facilities. In addition, transit country trade through the Great Lakes ports is only just beginning to take off, and has almost certainly been held down by the poor quality of existing port infrastructure, a shortage of modern, commercial shipping services, and the poor quality of road and rail connections from the ports. Much of the existing cargo is still carried on passenger ferries. Port Liquid Dry Break Container Total ,000 TEU bulk bulk bulk Dar es Salaam 2,189 1,161 515 3,259 7,124 334 Tanga 97 56 194 98 445 10 Mtwara 6 - 63 21 90 5 Lake Victoria 481 Lake Tanganyika Not available 108 Lake Nyasa 18 2007 cargo volumes (,000 tons) 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - vi - Final Report
  • 11. In addition, some of the ports handle large numbers of passengers: Dar es Salaam handled 732,000 passengers in 2007, whilst passenger traffic through the Lakes ports was as follows: Lake ‘000 passengers 2005-6 Lake Victoria Mwanza 206 Nansio 189 Bukoba 87 Kemondo Bay 9 Lake Tanganyika Kigoma 16 Lake Nyasa Itungi 7 Mbamba Bay 1 Since the beginning of the decade peace and macro-economic stability throughout most of the region has resulted in high traffic growth rates. Between 2001 and 2007 the average growth rate for the coastal ports was 9.2% per annum. Container traffic has been growing even faster, at around 13.5% per annum, and there has also been strong growth in dry bulk cargoes such as wheat, fertilizers and cement. Liquid bulk traffic (mainly oil) has been growing at an average rate of 5.4% per annum, but break-bulk traffic has been static. Transit traffic to the land-locked countries makes up a growing proportion of Dar es Salaam’s traffic. Since 2001 it has increased from 10% to 41% of liquid bulks, and from 25% to 39% of containers. Dry bulk and break bulk flows to/from the transit countries have remained fairly small, and fluctuate from year to year. The traffic forecasts assume a continuation of past GDP growth rates of 6 to 8% per annum in Tanzania and neighbouring countries. Although the short-term forecasts to 2013 will be affected by the global recession, its impact is likely to be smaller and slower than in developed countries. There is a good chance of a speedy recovery, making the timing of port development the main issue rather than its form. The traffic forecasts have been based on trend analysis, interviews with leading business organizations, and studies of individual issues such as: • Macro-economic growth and the restructuring of the economy • Agriculture, forestry and fisheries resources • Energy policy • Mining projects • Economic development zones • Corridor development plans • Road and rail infrastructure • Transit traffic, including competition from ports in other countries. Low and high forecasts have been made for individual ports, reflecting the envelope within which cargo handling is expected to develop. It is emphasized that future investment planning is to be based on annually updated five-year forecasts, with an appropriate level of substantiation and stakeholder commitment. The forecasts are summarized for each individual port separately. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - vii - February 2009
  • 12. III – Dar es Salaam High and low cargo forecasts have been used to demonstrate the high level of uncertainty associated with future traffic volumes, particularly after 2018. 2007 2013 2018 2023 2028 High forecast Liquid Bulk 2,189 3,724 4,820 6,099 7,652 Dry Bulk 1,161 2,449 3,693 4,779 6,056 Break Bulk 515 655 934 1,317 1,842 Total excl. containers (‘000 tons) 3,865 6,828 9,447 12,195 15,550 Containers (‘000 TEU) 334 775 1,554 2,728 4,719 Vehicles ('000 units) 41 81 143 230 370 Ferry Passengers ('000 ) 732 981 1,253 1,599 2,040 Cruise Passengers (‘000) - 3 18 28 50 Low forecast Liquid Bulk 2,189 2,824 3,251 3,790 4,260 Dry Bulk 1,161 2,020 2,624 3,245 3,726 Break Bulk 515 424 551 741 992 Total excl. containers (‘000 tons) 3,865 5,268 6,426 7,776 8,978 Containers (‘000 TEU) 334 649 1,074 1,637 2,486 Vehicles ('000 units) 41 69 106 155 228 Ferry Passengers ('000) 732 849 961 1,087 1,230 Cruise Passengers (‘000) - 1 8 12 23 Dar es Salaam cargo forecasts (,000 tons) The existing footprint of Dar es Salaam port – including the planned development of berths 13-14 – is estimated to have the following capacity. Commodity Capacity Liquid bulk 10 million tons per annum Dry bulk 6.1 million tons per annum Break bulk 4.0 million tons per annum Containers 1.2 million TEU per annum Vehicles 120,000 units per annum Capacity of Dar es Salaam Port’s Existing Footprint (including berths 13-14 and the new SPM) To reach this capacity, significant improvements must be made with regard to operational efficiency, traffic flows in the port and dwell time reduction. Also changes are required to port infrastructure and layout, as discussed below. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - viii - Final Report
  • 13. Liquid bulks Construction of a new single point mooring (SPM), which will handle the majority of black and white oil products as well as crude oil. This SPM is being designed to handle ships of up to 150,000dwt, and is already at the detailed design stage. Although it will not do away with the need for a small jetty for specialist oil products such as LPG, and other liquid bulks such as vegetable oil and molasses – such a jetty is desirable anyway for emergency back-up purposes – it will substantially reduce traffic at the Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ). Dry bulks Creation of a specialist dry bulks terminal at berths 5-7 Expansion of grain silo to allow handling of larger vessels Major bulk cargoes should no longer be bagged on the quay, but transferred to bulk storage directly. If required, bagging can take place at the bulk storage facility, independently from the vessel operation. The plan envisages all grains being transported to the existing silo, which would be used primarily for intermediate storage to increase the unloading capacity of the quay. Traders would be required to remove the grain as quickly as practical. In order to handle a full shipload, the storage capacity of the existing grain silo should be expanded from 30,000 tons to 60,000 tons. Further expansion will be required if the silo is to be used for long-term storage of grain, an additional demand which could occur if silo operations were privatized. Dangote cement imports should be transported from berth 7 by conveyor belt to the recently leased packaging area at the back of the port. The conveyor should have an elevation of at least 6m to allow trucks and small equipment to pass underneath. Fertilizers should be stored in a bulk warehouse / Shed 7, from where the product can be bagged and loaded onto trucks or rail wagons. Other dry bulks can be handled on either of berth 5, 6 or 7 and stored in one of the sheds, depending on allocation and availability. Containers Construction of container berths 13-14 upstream of the Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ) Relocation of the KOJ jetty for safety and operational efficiency Development of a large scale ICD outside Dar es Salaam In view of high traffic growth rates, congestion at the TICTS terminal, the limited amount of storage space available for containers elsewhere in the port, and the inefficiency of using ICDs, two additional container berths (berths 13-14) are required as soon as possible. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - ix - February 2009
  • 14. Berths 13-14 provide the only possibility to create additional container terminal capacity on the short and medium term. This additional capacity is required in 2013 to handle forecasted volumes until new terminals can be developed elsewhere (refer Section IV). Delayed development of berths 13-14 could result in congestion, loss of market share of Tanzanian ports and impeded economic development. Once berths 13-14 are operational (2013) TPA should discontinue container operations on berths 1-7 to allow for the growth of other commodities. Nautical access to berths 13-14 will be impeded by KOJ. Navigational safety must be improved to limit the risk of collision. Also a safety zone must be created with a 260m radius from the KOJ, within which no cargo handling or shipping activity is allowed. The following options for improving navigational safety have been considered: • Widening the approach channel to berths 13-14, so that container ships can manoeuvre at a safe distance from the moored tankers, and moving the quay line for berths 13-14 outwards so that it lines up with the KOJ rather than berths 5-11. • Shortening the KOJ trestle so that the jetty head is in line with the TICTS and B13-14 terminal. Construction can start after the new SPM is operational. • Relocating the oil jetty to the Kigamboni site of the creek, physically separating all liquid bulk activities from the container operations The last option – relocating the oil jetty to the opposite site of the creek – is preferred because of the navigational safety, operational safety, optimal use of container terminal area, and minimal disruption of operations during construction. The need for additional off-dock ICDs to support the container terminals(s) will depend on the ability and willingness of shippers to reduce container dwell times. The situation should be closely monitored. There is a proposal to construct a large new large ICD for transit traffic at Kisarawe 25 km west of the port, where TRL and TAZARA are about 7 km apart. Containers would be shuttled between the port and ICD by rail only, using a private rail operator. Development costs would be high (US$ 30-40 million) because the area is hilly and significant road improvements are required, and the costs would have to be recovered over a relatively short period (6-8 years) until new container terminal capacity can be developed in the port(s). A site with lower investment costs would be preferable. Break bulks • Deepening of berths 1-4 In the short term much of the space at Berths 1-4 will be needed for container stacking, but more space will become available for general cargo storage as new facilities are developed for containers and dry bulks. The design depth of berth 1-4 should be increased to 12 m –CD. This will require a new quay wall to be built in front of the existing gravity structure. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 -x- Final Report
  • 15. Ro-Ro / vehicles • Construction of a new 260m quay in line with the Lighter Quay • Reclamation of the area behind it to provide additional storage space. • Construction of a two multi-storey car parks Ro-Ro vessels and specialist vehicle carriers would use the new break-bulk quay between berth 1 and the Lighter Quay, with berths 1-4 in reserve. A multi-storey car park for 5,000 vehicles is already planned adjacent to the Malindi marshalling yard, but a second multi-storey car park of comparable size will be required to accommodate the forecast growth in demand until a new vehicle terminal can be opened. The feasibility of developing parking areas outside the port – Inland Car Depots much like the principle of Inland Container Depots – should be investigated. Inland car depots could reduce the requirements for multi-storey car parks inside the port. In the longer term car terminals can be built at another location, most probably Bagamoyo. Logistics area • Development of the Kurasini warehouse area for port logistics and distribution There is potential to develop the Kurasini warehouse area on the other side of Bandari Street to the port for logistics and distribution activities. This land should be transferred to TPA for port-related activities at the earliest opportunity, as it provides a rare chance to over-come existing space constraints in the port, and would open up new options for improving port layout and traffic circulation. Passengers • Redevelopment of the waterfront adjacent to the city centre The waterfront development for passengers, tourists and commercial activities will be located near the city centre. The development area must lie outside the navigation channel to the cargo port, and passenger terminals should be located outside of the main port area to avoid security issues. The lighter wharf will remain in use for dhows, coasters and service vessels. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xi - February 2009
  • 16. Ship repairs • Acquisition of new floating dock • Relocation of related workshops A floating dock is the preferred solution for ship repairs. The dock and the related workshops can best be placed on the outer edge of berth 13/14, where sufficient space is available and noise and light nuisance is minimized. Alternatively the dock could be placed in Mtwara. Channel dredging • Deepening of the port access channel from -10.5m to -12.0m CD Deepening of the channel would reduce the number of ships having to wait for the tide, and associated demurrage costs. Deepening to -12.0m CD would allow an estimated 85% of all ships in 2028 to enter at all states of the tide, allowing 1.0 m for under-keel clearance. Further deepening to -13.0m CD was considered, along with widening and straightening of the channel to allow two way operation and longer ships. However, high costs and constraints on longer-term development at Dar es Salaam suggest that relocating the larger vessels to new port facilities outside of Dar es Salaam would be a more cost- effective alternative. Traffic circulation • Improvement of traffic circulation • Development of parking areas outside the port A traffic circulation plan has been prepared based on dedicated in and out gates for each of the four terminals (break bulk, dry bulk, TICTS and berths 13-14) and a one-way road system. Dedicated parking areas for trucks should be provided near each port entrance, and trucks should only be allowed to enter the port once all documents are in order and the cargo is ready for collection/delivery. Improvements in signing are needed, and a traffic management unit should be created in the Port Manager’s office to enforce the regulations and remove obstructions. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xii - Final Report
  • 17. Proposed traffic circulation pattern Better management of the rail-port interface is required, together with the purchase of additional rolling stock and cargo handling equipment, and relocation of rail tracks to the back of the port. Summary of development plan of Dar es Salaam existing footprint The master plan for development of the existing footprint is shown below. Offshore SPM Crude, oil products Liquid bulk jetty Waterfront Passengers, cruise, ferries Floating dock Berths 5-7 Berths 8-11 (TICTS) Berth 13/14 Dry bulk Containers Containers -4 s1 k Lighter wharf r th u l Be ak B Dhows, coasters e Roro Br Kurasini logistics Value added logistics Light manufacturing Car park Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xiii - February 2009
  • 18. Recommended actions are summarized below: Key Actions for Short Medium Long Remarks Dar es Salaam 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Liquid bulk • Construction of a new single  At detailed design stage point mooring (SPM) Dry bulk • Creation of a specialist dry  Cement, grain, fertilizer and other dry bulks terminal at berths 5-7 bulks. No bagging on the quay. • Expansion of grain silo  Allowing for larger vessel sizes Containers • Development of  Only location for short term development berths 13-14 of container handling capacity, needs to be fast-tracked • Relocation of KOJ  Preferred relocation to Kigamboni side • Develop a large ICD near  In Kisarawe or other location. In use until DSM 2018. Break bulk • Deepening of berths 1-4  Deepening to -12m CD Vehicles • New Ro-Ro quay  Creating a dedicated Ro-Ro / vehicle • Reclamation Kurasini creek  terminal st • 1 multi-storey car park  In progress, capacity 5,000 cars nd • 2 multi-storey car park  Determine feasibility of Inland Car Depots as alternative solution Logistics • Development of Kurasini  Land to be transferred to TPA, gradual warehouse area development for port related logistics and light industries. Passengers • Redevelopment of  Avoid negative impact on shipping and waterfront commercial port operations Ship repairs • Acquisition of floating dock  • Redevelopment of  workshops Channel dredging • Deepen channel to 12 m –  Reduce tidal restrictions and waiting times CD for container vessels and tankers Traffic circulation • Traffic circulation plan  Traffic plan to include enforcement • Parking areas outside  port area 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xiv - Final Report
  • 19. IV – Development plan – Port expansion The short-term plan for Dar es Salaam (existing footprint) provides sufficient capacity to handle the expected traffic up to 2016 in the high forecast case, and 2020 in the low forecast case. After that, a completely new area will have to be opened up for port development. After examining the whole of the Tanzanian coastline for potential sites, three were identified as the most suitable locations for handling Dar es Salaam overspill traffic: • Kigamboni (on the other side of the creek to the existing port) • Bagamoyo • Mwambani Bay (near Tanga) Consideration was also given to a site at Manza, near the Kenyan border, proposed as the site for a new port to handle Mombasa as well as Dar es Salaam overspill traffic. However poor land transport infrastructure, high development costs and the political challenges of jointly developing a port which would serve the Kenyan as well as the Tanzanian market made this significantly less attractive than the above alternatives. Development scenarios Four port development scenarios were defined based on different combinations of the three most suitable port sites, as shown in the table below. It was assumed that the new port(s) would handle the Dar es Salaam overspill traffic as well as North Tanzania’s traffic. Development scenarios were therefore based on the combined traffic forecasts of Dar es Salaam and Tanga. Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Tanga Mwambani Mwambani Mwambani DSM Bagamoyo Bagamoyo Kigamboni Dar es Salaam – Existing footprint (incl. berth 13-14) Economic analyses and comparison of non-monetary aspects show that Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo and Mwambani) is the preferred development alternative. This is explained further below. Distribution scenarios for the merged Dar es Salaam and Tanga traffic forecasts for the four scenarios are as follows: Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xv - February 2009
  • 20. High forecast 2013 2018 2023 2028 2013 2018 2023 2028 Scenario 1 : Development at Kigamboni and Mwambani Bay Kigamboni Mwambani Bay Dry bulks('000 tons) - - - - - 2,366 2,942 3,026 Break bulk ('000 tons) - - - - - 359 426 516 Containers ('000 TEU) - 394 1,566 3,520 - 122 211 361 Vehicles ('000 units) - 23 110 250 - - - - Scenario 2 : Development at Bagamoyo only Tanga Bagamoyo (lighterage, coasters, dhows) Dry bulks('000 tons) - - 919 2,196 552 626 702 786 Break bulk ('000 tons) - - - - 63 98 120 145 Containers ('000 TEU) - 506 1,768 3,870 10 10 10 10 Vehicles ('000 units) - 23 110 250 - - - - Scenario 3 : Development at Mwambani Bay only Mwambani Bay - 2,366 2,942 3,026 - 359 426 516 - 516 1,778 3,880 - 23 110 250 Scenario 4 : Development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay Bagamoyo Mwambani Bay Dry bulks('000 tons) - - - - - 2,366 2,942 3,026 Break bulk ('000 tons) - - - - - 359 426 516 Containers ('000 TEU) - 394 1,566 3,520 - 122 211 361 Vehicles ('000 units) - 23 110 250 - - - - Traffic at the new ports (,000 tons) – High forecast The low forecast for the preferred scenario 4 is shown in the table below. Low forecast 2013 2018 2023 2028 2013 2018 2023 2028 Scenario 4 : Development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay Bagamoyo Mwambani Bay Dry bulks('000 tons) - - - - - 667 1,004 763 Break bulk ('000 tons) - - - - - 221 227 241 Containers ('000 TEU) - - 453 1,302 - 82 126 191 Vehicles ('000 units) - - 35 108 - - - - Traffic at the new ports (,000 tons) – Low forecast (Scenario 4) In practice the traffic mix is likely to be more varied than shown in the table – not least because of the unknown effects of EDZ development at Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay. However the total tonnages in the high forecast give a reasonable indication of the maximum scale and speed of development required for port planning purposes, whilst the tonnages in the low forecast have been used to test the financial robustness of the alternative scenarios. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xvi - Final Report
  • 21. Layouts and capital cost estimates were developed for each scenario. In the high forecast the difference in capital costs between the most and least expensive schemes, phased over 15 years, is just over US$ 150m. Cost estimates For the preferred scheme (Scenario 4) capital expenditure from 2013-28 is about US$ 845m in the high forecast, and US$ 445m in the low forecast. This includes superstructure and equipment, which could be privately funded, and road and rail access which would be funded by public entities other than TPA. High forecasts 2013-18 2018-23 2023-28 Total Scenario 1 Kigamboni 90 190 375 655 Mwambani Bay 110 25 30 165 Total 200 215 405 820 Scenario 2 Bagamoyo 200 210 365 775 Scenario 3 Mwambani Bay 150 200 345 695 Scenario 4 Bagamoyo 170 190 320 680 Mwambani Bay 110 25 30 165 Total 280 215 350 845 Low forecasts Scenario 4 Bagamoyo 100 95 135 330 Mwambani Bay 90 5 20 115 Total 190 100 155 445 Capital cost estimates (rounded, US$ m) Operating and inland transport costs Estimates were made of differences in operating costs between the four scenarios, but these turned out to be relatively small, of the order of US$ 7-8m per annum by 2028, with Scenario 3 the least expensive and Scenario 4 the most expensive. Differences in operating costs were caused primarily by differences in maintenance costs (including maintenance dredging) and the need to duplicate certain facilities at each separate port site. The main cost difference between the four scenarios was in inland transport costs. These were modelled on the basis of the following: • Origin-destination pattern of the cargo (21 regions in Tanzania plus six transit countries) • Assumed modal split, with an increase in rail’s market share once its current problems have been resolved • Distance-based cost formulae for road and rail transport costs for different types of cargo. These were derived from a mixture of Tanzanian and international data, and Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xvii - February 2009
  • 22. allowed for a reduction in unit costs for rail resulting from economies of scale and general efficiency improvements. Discounted cash flow Discounted cash flow analysis of the capital, operating and land transport costs associated with the four alternative scenarios showed Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo / Mwambani Bay) to be the lowest cost option in all of the situations tested. Although the cost differences between Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo/Mwambani) and the next most expensive Scenario 1 (Kigamboni/Mwambani) are large in absolute terms, they are relatively small in terms of the total costs considered. On the other hand the cost advantage of Scenario 4 over Scenario 3 (Mwambani Bay only) is overwhelming because of the Mwambani Bay’s peripheral location in relation to national and transit country markets. Evaluation period to 2028 Evaluation period to 2038 NVP @ 5% NPV@10% NVP @ 5% NPV@10% High forecast Scenario 1 +1.2% +1.0% +1.4% +1.2% Scenario 2 +3.1% +2.9% +3.2% +3.1% Scenario 3 +8.5% +7.7% +10.7% +9.6% Scenario 4 - - - - Low forecast Scenario 1 +0.8% +0.5% +1.2% +0.9% Scenario 2 +2.9% +2.6% +3.2% +2.9% Scenario 3 +12.6% +11.9% +10.7% +10.7% Scenario 4 - - - - Increase in total discounted costs (compared with Scenario 4) Other considerations Other (non monetary) economic considerations were taken into account to select the preferred development option, including: • Security of supply • Level of commercial risk • Increased competition • Longer-term potential for port development • Contribution to regional development • Stimulus to Economic Development Zones • Impact on urban planning • Traffic congestion relief. Some of these criteria favoured different port locations, but on balance they reinforced the view that Scenario 4 – large scale development of container and vehicle facilities at Bagamoyo, combined with smaller scale dry bulk and multi-purpose terminals at Mwambani Bay – offers the best way forward. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xviii - Final Report
  • 23. Preferred Scenario The economic analysis and the analysis of other considerations both confirm Scenario 4 (Bagamoyo / Mwambani) as the preferred layout. The conceptual layouts for this scenario at Bagamoyo and Mwambani are shown below: Land N Very shallow areas Shallow water (<14m) Deep water (> 14m) Access Channel & turning circle(s) Channel Container terminal area Vehicle/RoRo terminal Vehicles 2018 2023 2028 0 1 km Containers Layout Scenario 4 – Bagamoyo (high forecast) Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xix - February 2009
  • 24. Land Shallow water N Channel & turning circle(s) Container terminal area Break bulk Dry bulk Dry bulk Break Bulk Access 2018 Channel 2028 Containers 0 1 km Layout Scenario 4 – Mwambani (high forecast) Financial Analyses A preliminary financial evaluation of Scenario 4 showed that the basic infrastructure to be developed by TPA, and the individual terminals which could be funded by either private investors or TPA, all generated relatively high rates of return, with the possible exception of the multi-purpose terminal at Mwambani Bay (7% in the low forecast). A more detailed feasibility study for the development of Bagamoyo is in the process of being commissioned. A similar study is needed for Mwambani Bay, as the traffic forecasts for Tanga have a much higher margin of error because of their dependence on large dry bulk projects which may or may not go ahead. The Mwambani Bay feasibility study should also update and evaluate proposals for a new rail link between Arusha and Musoma. Although the construction of a new port at Bagamoyo is unlikely to start before 2013, the development of a green-field site requires considerable amount of preparatory work. Particular attention should be paid to land acquisition and the agreement of a publicly acceptable resettlement programme, covering not just residential properties but also public buildings such as schools. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xx - Final Report
  • 25. V – Tanga The wide spread in the cargo forecasts between the high and the low forecast for Tanga is illustrated below: 2013 2018 2023 2028 High forecast Existing cargoes 1,075 1,415 1,770 2,242 New projects 756 1,781 2,311 2,341 Total 1,831 3,196 4,081 4,583 Low forecast Existing cargoes 791 662 1,075 934 New projects 513 515 523 530 Total 1,304 1,177 1,598 1,464 Tanga Cargo Forecast (‘000 tons) The high forecast growth of dry bulk cargoes will only materialize if direct vessel calls at alongside berths are possible (i.e. the Mwambani Bay scheme goes ahead). If it does not, small scale lighterage operations are likely to continue, although for containers this will depend on the availability of geared container ships, which are likely to become less common in future. The main issue is whether any investments are needed to create a temporary increase in capacity until a new port can be built at Mwambani Bay. Tanga port is located near the city centre, and does not have enough space for expansion. Port development would increase city traffic, and the noise and dust would have negative environmental impact. Investment in fixed assets such as new quays or storage areas is therefore unlikely to be desirable, although proposals for investment in mobile assets which can be written off quickly, such as cranes and (possibly) lighters, should be considered on their merits. Even when Mwambani Bay has been completed, some traffic may also continue to be handled at Tanga on coasters and dhows, but only for local markets and the Zanzibar / Pemba trade. Key actions Short Medium Long Remarks Tanga 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Maintenance of port  equipment Additional barges and   pontoons Redevelop Tanga port for  Port activities will move to recreational and urban use Mwambani Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxi - February 2009
  • 26. VI – Mtwara The forecasts for Mtwara have an even larger spread between the high and low figures, largely because of uncertainty about the viability, form and timing of several large projects in the Mtwara Corridor. These include compressed natural gas, bio-diesel, woodchips, hardwood timber, cement, urea, coal and iron ore. Some of the projects could involve substantially larger ships than those using the port at present. The high and low forecasts for Mtwara are shown in the table below. High forecast 2013 2018 2023 2028 Liquid bulks 263 421 619 867 Dry bulks 2,380 4,500 15,050 22,850 Break bulk 139 270 455 682 Containerized 141 229 332 387 Total 2,923 5,420 16,456 24,786 Containers(‘000 TEU) 34 49 68 76 Low forecast 2013 2018 2023 2028 Liquid bulks 11 25 41 61 Dry bulks 130 500 1,500 1,900 Break bulk 81 121 175 228 Containerized 70 114 158 196 Total 292 760 1,874 2,384 Containers (‘000 TEU) 17 24 32 37 Mtwara forecasts ‘000 tons The Mtwara Corridor project includes the construction of a railway from Mtwara to Mbamba Bay. Although intended primarily to facilitate coal exports, this would also allow Mtwara to become a natural gateway to Malawi and parts of Zambia. Mtwara has also been selected as the site for an EDZ Container and break bulk operations can continue in the existing port area, where some limited expansion is possible to provide sufficient capacity. For dry bulk operations an area away from the existing port must be found with sufficient land close to the main road and (future) rail network. Development of CNG exports will require a dedicated jetty just east of the existing port. Each of the major dry bulk commodities will have its own handling requirements, and the larger ones may require their own dedicated terminals. Some of the dry bulk facilities may be funded by major shippers, leaving TPA responsible for the basic port infrastructure, improvements to the existing port, and any common user bulk terminals. The proposed port development of Mtwara port is shown below. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxii - Final Report
  • 27. Mtwara Port: - Containers CNG - Break bulk jetty Dry bulk - Liquid bulk import Proposed port development Mtwara Because of uncertainty about the Mtwara Corridor projects, the attraction of gas-related industries, and the speed and type of development envisaged for the EDZ, the most appropriate layout and development sequence for the port cannot be set out in detail at present. It is recommended that TPA and the National Development Corporation (NDC) take the lead in establishing a permanent Working Group for the joint planning of Mtwara port and related economic activities. Key Actions Short Medium Long Remarks Mtwara 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Dangote cement terminal  In progress. Private financing. CNG export jetty  Discussions with Artumas in progress. Private financing Woodchips terminal  Discussions in progress. Development on new terminal, private financing Other bulks   Timing linked to individual industrial projects Establish permanent Working  TPA and NDC cooperation Group for joint planning of port and corridor development Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxiii - February 2009
  • 28. VII – Small coastal ports Pangani Pangani port serves local trade only. No new developments were identified which could increase the national strategic importance of the port. To facilitate local trade a basic port facility needs to be developed. Kilindoni (Mafia) No significant trade volumes were identified. However, construction of a jetty is seen as a government obligation to the island’s 45,000 inhabitants to allow passenger traffic, improve working conditions, and facilitate trade. The development of a jetty similar to the existing Tanpesca jetty is recommended, with mooring facilities for two vessels and a draft of 3m -CD. Based on bathymetric surveys a location should be selected that minimizes the length of the jetty. A basic facility should be also developed in Kisiju, the landing point on the main land for Mafia dhows, Kilwa Two potential bio-energy projects have been identified in the region, initiated by SEKAB and Bioshape. These projects could generate significant export volumes of liquid bulk (bio-ethanol) and (mostly containerized) jatropha nuts. Dedicated facilities need to be constructed in close coordination with the private developers to handle these exports. The existing jetty at Kilwa Masoko needs to be rehabilitated to handle project cargo associated with these projects and other small scale exports. No developments are required at Kilwa Kivinje. Gypsum exports through Rushungi must be monitored, and if required a basic facility should be constructed and the access road improved. Lindi Lindi port presently serves local trade only. No new developments were identified which could increase the national strategic importance of the port. To serve local trade the dredging or modification of the existing pier is required. Mikindani No potential for Mikindani was identified and it is recommended that the site is not developed. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxiv - Final Report
  • 29. Key recommended actions Short Medium Long Remarks Small coastal ports 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Pangani Develop basic mooring facility  Local use only Kilindoni Develop jetty short jetty in  Local use. Social obligation to Kilindoni island population. Develop basic mooring facility  Facility to serve Mafia trade with in Kisiju the mainland Kilwa Jatropha nuts  Bioshape, preparations in (containers / dry bulk) progress. Private financing. Bio-ethanol export jetty  SEKAB, preparations in progress. Private financing. Jetty rehabilitation  Linked to projects above, user requirements to be determined Lindi Dredge or modify existing pier  Local use only to allow direct berthing Mikindani No action No development recommended Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxv - February 2009
  • 30. VII– Lake Victoria Lake Victoria has many public and private ports. Traffic forecasts for the most important public ports are shown below. They assume that container shipping will develop on Lake Victoria within the next 5 years, that there will be substantial improvements to the rail service to Mwanza, and that the public ports will suffer no further loss of market share to the private ports, some of which are closely linked to shipping services or fish landing activities. 2013 2018 2023 2028 High forecast ('000 tons) Dry cargo Mwanza South 541 833 1,114 1,491 Mwanza North 152 185 225 273 Bukoba 38 46 56 68 Kemondo Bay 32 38 47 57 Nansio 19 23 28 34 Liquid bulks Mwanza South 40 51 65 84 Musoma 20 26 33 42 Total 842 1,202 1,569 2,050 Low forecast ('000 tons) Dry cargo Mwanza South 170 228 305 408 Mwanza North 56 52 49 49 Bukoba 25 20 15 10 Kemondo Bay 20 15 10 5 Nansio 20 26 33 42 Liquid bulks Mwanza South 36 42 48 56 Musoma 18 21 24 28 Total 345 403 484 597 Lake Victoria Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports (‘000 tons) Mwanza South The existing link span for rail wagon ferries is sufficient and does not require expansion. Rehabilitation of the wooden mooring is required. Container operations are expected to be introduced on Lake Victoria in a coordinated effort between private shipping lines and Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya ports. Break bulk and container operations can best be organized as a multi-purpose terminal, with one berth used for containers and one for break bulk handling. Some additional land for break bulk storage and container stacking adjacent to the existing port will be required. Ship building and repair facilities could be further developed on the northern side of the port in combination with the existing floating docks and ship building activities. Although the volumes are small, a liquid bulk jetty could be constructed on the south side of the link span to separate liquid bulk handling from general cargo operations. This 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxvi - Final Report
  • 31. should be built around 2018, when occupancy of the multipurpose terminal becomes higher. A development scenario for Mwanza South port is shown below. Mwanza South Port Ship building Floating repair docks General cargo terminal Container terminal Rail link span Liquid bulk jetty Port development scenario Mwanza South port Mwanza North Mwanza North Port is located close to the city centre, and is mostly used for passenger vessels and local cargo. Dredging at both berths is urgently required to allow alongside mooring of the ferries. There are longer-term plans for a new passenger terminal, which could include shops, a bar/restaurant and other commercial developments, and a new Ro-Ro berth suitable for larger vessels. A potential development plan for Mwanza North port is shown below. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxvii - February 2009
  • 32. Mwanza North Port Roro Pier Passenger terminal Kamanga ferries Development of Mwanza North Port Bukoba The port area is completely surrounded by urban development. It is more popular than nearby Kemondo Bay for passengers and local cargo because it is located in the city. However port expansion will require some resettlement of houses and/or a redesign of the current port area. A possible layout of the port expansion is shown below. New berth New berths Existing berths Port area Relocated warehouses Development of Bukoba Port 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxviii - Final Report
  • 33. Kemondo Bay Kemondo Bay depends largely on the performance of TRL and the Lake ferry wagons. Unfortunately, neither are performing well at present. The wagon ferry will continue to call Kemondo Bay, but because Bukoba is the preferred port for passengers and local cargo, the development potential for Kemondo port is considered to be low. Significant investments are unlikely to be justified. Nansio The existing pier must be modified to allow proper mooring of the vessel and level (dis)embarkation and (un)loading. This would require extension of the pier, dredging or lowering of the existing pier. A floating pontoon could also be considered. Musoma Because of the good road connection to Mwanza, the potential for port development in Musoma is low. Construction of the Arusha – Musoma railway line would provide an opportunity for further development, but it is not likely that this will happen soon. Key actions Short Medium Long Remarks Lake Victoria 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Mwanza South Port Purchase container handling   Development of container equipment shipping could enhance trade Relocate rail yard  Area required for other port development Expansion shipbuilding &  Strategic investment to promote repair facilities lake transport, private financing Develop new oil jetty  Improved safety Mwanza North Port Initiate dredging program  Urgently required Develop new Ro-Ro berth and  Requirements need to be passenger terminal substantiated Bukoba Develop additional quay  Requirements need to be substantiated Kemondo Bay No action Nansio Modify existing berth to allow  level (dis)embarkation and cargo handling Musoma No action Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxix - February 2009
  • 34. IX – Lake Tanganyika The Lake Tanganyika ports handle traffic for DR Congo, parts of Zambia, Burundi and (less directly) Rwanda. Because of the recent history of civil disturbances, the traffic has begun to grow again only recently, and its full potential is difficult to estimate. As a result, the traffic forecasts for Kigoma and Kasanga shown below are indicative. 2013 2018 2023 2028 High forecast ('000 tons) Kigoma Local 38 74 104 155 Imports 46 957 1,342 1,883 Exports 134 461 647 907 Total 218 1,492 2,093 2,945 Kasanga Total 40 100 197 305 Low forecast ('000 tons) Kigoma Local 24 38 53 68 Imports 30 506 716 1,004 Exports 113 305 422 582 Total 167 849 1,191 1,654 Kasanga Total 27 40 53 76 Lake Tanganyika Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports (‘000 tons) Kigoma As in the case of Mwanza, the traffic forecasts for Kigoma assume substantial improvements to the TRL rail service from Dar es Salaam. The high forecast is very ambitious, and market developments must be closely monitored to ensure the supply of new port facilities does not run too far ahead of the growth in demand. In the high forecast berth requirements reach 1,130m in 2028, compared with the 300m available now. The best area for expansion is on the North-East side of the port, where land can be reclaimed along the railway line to create a 700m quay and terminal area. The long-term port development plan is shown below. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxx - Final Report
  • 35. 0 500 m Possible future expansion Kigoma port Break Bulk / Containers Development potential of Kigoma Kasanga The forecast for Kasanga indicates a volume of 76,000 tons in 2028, which is conditional on the improvement of road access. Using mechanized handling this volume can easily be handled on one berth using one crane. Key actions Short Medium Long Remarks Lake Tanganyika 2009-11 2012-18 2019-28 Kigoma Upgrading of the roads  - Nyankanazi to Kigoma - Mpanda, Uvinza to Kigoma - Tunduma to Sanga & Kasanga Phased development of berths   Demand is uncertain, and terminal area development only when justified by committed cargo. Kasanga Hinterland connection  Under development. Prerequisite for further port development. Develop additional handling  facilities Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxxi - February 2009
  • 36. X – Lake Nyasa Port development on Lake Nyasa is dependent on the ability of the Mtwara Corridor to compete with the Nacala Corridor (Mozambique) for Malawi’s foreign trade; the growth of local/regional commerce; and the upgrading of Lakes shipping services which are currently operated mainly by Malawi companies. The cargo forecast for the main Lake Nyasa ports is shown below. 2013 2018 2023 2028 High forecast ('000 tons) Itungi / Kiwira 144 183 229 292 Mbamba Bay 25 405 680 1,102 Low forecast ('000 tons) Itungi / Kiwira 84 110 142 171 Mbamba Bay 15 30 76 136 Lake Nyasa Traffic Forecasts for Major TPA Ports(‘000 tons) Itungi / Kiwira A choice between Kiwira and Itungi should be made to focus port development in this part of the lake. Itungi port is faced with continuous sedimentation problems, which will result in high maintenance dredging costs. Development at Kiwira is expected to be a better solution provided that the road connection to the site is improved. The high forecast 292,000 tons in 2028 would require operations to be mechanised, using two mobile cranes shared between two berths (120m in total). Each crane has a typical annual capacity of 220,000 tons. Mbamba Bay The high forecast shows a potential cargo of 1.1 million tons through Mbamba Bay, split between dry bulks and break bulk. Depending on the commodity and the type of mechanization selected, the capacity of a mechanized dry bulk terminal using one (un)loader would be sufficient to handle the dry bulk traffic. Handling of break bulk would require two or three berths and mobile cranes, depending on vessel sizes and crane capacity used. Sufficient area is reported to be available near Mbamba Bay port for these expansions. Because development at Mbamba Bay is closely linked to the Mtwara Corridor, planning responsibility should be transferred to the Working Group proposed for Mtwara Port. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxxii - Final Report
  • 37. Summary of Projects Outside of Dar es Salaam/Bagamoyo/Mwambani Bay The projects in the smaller coastal ports and manned lake ports are less well developed than those in Dar es Salaam, Bagamoyo and Mwambani Bay, which makes it difficult to estimate their costs and prioritise their timing. This is something which needs to be done fairly quickly, by: • Setting up a permanent planning organization (the Mtwara Port Working Group) which would coordinate developments at Mtwara and Mbamba Bay with those taking place elsewhere in the Mtwara Corridor. • Commissioning more detailed studies for the two most important projects, namely the expansion/modernization of Mwanza South and Kigoma. • Verifying the accuracy of existing cargo statistics for the Lakes ports and minor coastal ports, and expanding their scope. • Continuing discussions with potential private investors. • Consulting with local communities about some of the smaller or less certain projects (Kilindoni, Mwanza North, Bukoba, Kiwira) All of the projects identified by this study are dependent on continuous improvements to the road and rail networks. The Ministry of Infrastructure Development has a crucial role to play in co-ordinating all of the necessary infrastructure investments, and fast-tracking the projects which are most urgently required. Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxxiii - February 2009
  • 38. 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxxiv - Final Report
  • 39. CONTENTS Page EXECUTIVE SUMMARY I INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................I.1 I.1 GENERAL ...........................................................................................I.1 I.2 OVERVIEW OF TANZANIA PORT SECTOR.....................................I.2 I.3 PROJECT METHODOLOGY ..............................................................I.5 I.4 CONTENTS OF THIS REPORT .........................................................I.7 II PERSPECTIVE ON NATIONAL PORT DEVELOPMENT......................................II.1 II.1 NATIONAL TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE................................II.1 II.1.1 Railways .............................................................................................II.2 II.1.1.1 Tanzania Zambia Railway Authority (TAZARA).................................II.2 II.1.1.2 Tanzania Railways Limited (TRL) ......................................................II.4 II.1.1.3 Isaka inland port .................................................................................II.6 II.1.1.4 New rail links ......................................................................................II.6 II.1.2 Roads .................................................................................................II.8 II.1.3 Pipelines...........................................................................................II.10 II.2 TANZANIA DEVELOPMENT CORRIDORS ....................................II.12 II.2.1 Tanga Corridor .................................................................................II.12 II.2.2 Central Corridor................................................................................II.12 II.2.3 Mtwara Corridor................................................................................II.14 II.3 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ZONES............................................II.16 II.4 URBAN DEVELOPMENT ................................................................II.18 II.5 ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS.........................................II.19 II.5.1 Introduction on Environmental Assessment.....................................II.19 II.5.2 Potential environmental impacts of port development .....................II.20 II.5.3 Possible mitigation measures ..........................................................II.21 II.6 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF TANZANIAN PORTS......................II.22 II.6.1 Introduction.......................................................................................II.22 II.6.2 Kenya ...............................................................................................II.23 II.6.2.1 Port of Mombasa ..............................................................................II.23 II.6.2.2 Lamu Port.........................................................................................II.29 II.6.3 Mozambique.....................................................................................II.30 II.6.3.1 Port of Nacala...................................................................................II.30 II.6.3.2 Port of Beira, Mozambique...............................................................II.34 II.6.4 South Africa......................................................................................II.38 II.6.4.1 Port of Durban ..................................................................................II.38 II.6.5 Other Potential Competitive Ports....................................................II.41 II.6.5.1 Namibia ............................................................................................II.41 II.6.5.2 Angola ..............................................................................................II.41 II.6.6 Summary ..........................................................................................II.41 Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxxv - February 2009
  • 40. II.6.7 SWOT Analysis DSM versus Regional Competitive Ports.............. II.43 II.6.8 Transhipment Market....................................................................... II.44 II.6.8.1 Port Louis, Mauritius........................................................................ II.44 II.6.8.2 South Africa ..................................................................................... II.44 II.7 BASIS FOR TRAFFIC FORECASTS .............................................. II.44 II.7.1 Overview of past trends................................................................... II.45 II.7.2 Drivers of port traffic growth ............................................................ II.49 II.7.2.1 Tanzania Economic Growth ............................................................ II.50 II.7.2.2 Agriculture, Forests and Fisheries................................................... II.52 II.7.2.3 Energy ............................................................................................. II.52 II.7.2.4 Transit Traffic................................................................................... II.60 II.8 VISION ON PORT DEVELOPMENT............................................... II.67 II.8.1 Shipping developments ................................................................... II.67 II.8.2 Port management models ............................................................... II.68 II.8.3 Port development ............................................................................ II.70 II.8.4 Port logistics .................................................................................... II.72 II.8.5 ICDs................................................................................................. II.73 II.8.6 Plan period ...................................................................................... II.74 III DAR ES SALAAM ................................................................................................. III.1 III.1 PORT DESCRIPTION ...................................................................... III.1 III.1.1 General description .......................................................................... III.1 III.1.2 Navigational access.......................................................................... III.2 III.1.2.1 Entrance channel.............................................................................. III.2 III.1.2.2 Tides, wind and waves ..................................................................... III.4 III.1.2.3 Vessel statistics .............................................................................. III.11 III.1.3 Port infrastructure ........................................................................... III.13 III.1.3.1 Berths 1-11 ..................................................................................... III.13 III.1.3.2 Storage areas ................................................................................. III.18 III.1.3.3 Container yards .............................................................................. III.19 III.1.3.4 Grain terminal ................................................................................. III.25 III.1.3.5 Kurasini Oil Jetty (KOJ) .................................................................. III.26 III.1.3.6 SPM ................................................................................................ III.26 III.1.3.7 Dockyards....................................................................................... III.27 III.1.3.8 Lighter wharf ................................................................................... III.28 III.1.4 Terminal operations........................................................................ III.28 III.1.4.1 Berth occupancy............................................................................. III.29 III.1.4.2 Liquid bulk handling........................................................................ III.30 III.1.4.3 Dry bulk handling............................................................................ III.31 III.1.4.4 Break bulk handling ........................................................................ III.32 III.1.4.5 Motor vehicles ................................................................................ III.35 III.1.4.6 Containers ...................................................................................... III.36 III.1.5 Land access and infrastructure ...................................................... III.39 III.1.5.1 Rail.................................................................................................. III.39 III.1.5.2 Road Access .................................................................................. III.41 III.1.6 Ongoing development projects....................................................... III.43 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Tanzania Ports Master Plan February 2009 - xxxvi - Final Report
  • 41. III.2 FORECASTS ..................................................................................III.46 III.2.1 Liquid Bulks .....................................................................................III.46 III.2.2 Dry Bulks .........................................................................................III.50 III.2.3 Break Bulk Cargo ............................................................................III.53 III.2.4 Motor Vehicle Forecasts .................................................................III.56 III.2.5 Containers .......................................................................................III.57 III.2.6 Passengers .....................................................................................III.66 III.2.7 Fish..................................................................................................III.67 III.2.8 Summary .........................................................................................III.72 III.3 PORT REQUIREMENTS ................................................................III.73 III.3.1 Nautical requirements .....................................................................III.73 III.3.2 Terminal requirements ....................................................................III.74 III.3.2.1 Liquid bulk .......................................................................................III.75 III.3.2.2 Dry bulk ...........................................................................................III.76 III.3.2.3 Break Bulk .......................................................................................III.77 III.3.2.4 Motor vehicles .................................................................................III.78 III.3.2.5 Containers .......................................................................................III.78 III.3.2.6 Passengers .....................................................................................III.80 III.3.2.7 Fish..................................................................................................III.81 III.3.2.8 Summary .........................................................................................III.82 III.4 DAR ES SALAAM – DEVELOPMENT OF EXISTING FOOTPRINT....................................................................................III.83 III.4.1 Liquid bulk .......................................................................................III.84 III.4.2 Dry bulk ...........................................................................................III.88 III.4.3 Break bulk .......................................................................................III.89 III.4.4 Motor vehicles .................................................................................III.89 III.4.5 Containers .......................................................................................III.90 III.4.6 Passengers .....................................................................................III.91 III.4.7 Dhows / lighters...............................................................................III.91 III.4.8 Kurasini logistic area .......................................................................III.91 III.4.9 Traffic circulation .............................................................................III.91 III.4.10 Inland Container Depots .................................................................III.92 III.4.11 Dry docking facilities .......................................................................III.93 III.5 CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................III.95 III.6 RECOMMENDED ACTIONS ..........................................................III.97 IV NEW PORT DEVELOPMENT .............................................................................. IV.1 IV.1 EXPANSION POSSIBILITIES.......................................................... IV.1 IV.1.1 Expansion in Dar es Salaam............................................................ IV.1 IV.1.2 Alternative port locations .................................................................. IV.3 IV.1.2.1 Potential port development locations ............................................... IV.3 IV.1.2.2 Manza............................................................................................... IV.6 IV.1.2.3 Mwambani ........................................................................................ IV.8 IV.1.2.4 Bagamoyo ...................................................................................... IV.10 IV.1.2.5 Kilwa Masoko ................................................................................. IV.13 IV.1.2.6 Mtwara............................................................................................ IV.13 IV.1.3 Comparison of potential container port development sites ............ IV.13 Tanzania Ports Master Plan 9R8821/R/903617/Rott Final Report - xxxvii - February 2009