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Memorial Event
for the Great East Japan Earthquake
         Paris; 14/03/2012

   Ambassador Richard H. Jones

FUKUSHIMA and WORLD ENERGY




                                      © OECD/IEA 2012
Will Fukushima dampen the
recent nuclear renaissance?

                                 Nuclear reactor construction starts, 1951-2011

                                                  Three Mile Island                         Fukushima
                                                                                              Daiichi
                                           First oil shock     Chernobyl
                       40                                                                           400




                                                                                                          GW
  Number of reactors




                       35                                                                           350
                       30                                                                           300
                       25                                                                           250
                       20                                                                           200
                       15                                                                           150
                       10                                                                           100
                        5                                                                           50
                        0                                                                           0
                          1951      1961        1971         1981      1991        2001        2011
                                    OECD           Non-OECD           Total capacity (right axis)



                                                                                                               © OECD/IEA 2012
Second thoughts on nuclear would have
far-reaching consequences

 “Low Nuclear Case” examines impact of nuclear component
  of future energy supply being cut in half
 Gives a boost to renewables, but increases import bills,
  reduces diversity & makes it harder to combat climate change
 By 2035, compared with the New Policies Scenario:
   coal demand increases by twice Australia’s steam coal exports

   natural gas demand increases by two-thirds Russia’s natural gas net exports

   power- sector CO2 emissions increase by 6.2%

 Biggest implications are for countries with limited energy resources
  that planned to rely on nuclear power

                                                                          © OECD/IEA 2012
© OECD/IEA 2012
© OECD/IEA 2012
© OECD/IEA 2012
Smart Communities

 Smart communities should be a key target for the 21st
  century
 Smart communities are achievable for new and existing
  projects
 Smart communities require a holistic approach
 Energy is one of the most important parts of any smart
  community project
 Involvement of residents and other stakeholders is a
  key parameter for the success of a smart community
  project
                                                    © OECD/IEA 2012
Mayor of Minamisoma City, Katsunobu Sakurai:
“Change the adversity into an economic,
environmental and social opportunity.”



                                               © OECD/IEA 2012

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FUKUSHIMA and WORLD ENERGY

  • 1. Memorial Event for the Great East Japan Earthquake Paris; 14/03/2012 Ambassador Richard H. Jones FUKUSHIMA and WORLD ENERGY © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 2. Will Fukushima dampen the recent nuclear renaissance? Nuclear reactor construction starts, 1951-2011 Three Mile Island Fukushima Daiichi First oil shock Chernobyl 40 400 GW Number of reactors 35 350 30 300 25 250 20 200 15 150 10 100 5 50 0 0 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 OECD Non-OECD Total capacity (right axis) © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 3. Second thoughts on nuclear would have far-reaching consequences  “Low Nuclear Case” examines impact of nuclear component of future energy supply being cut in half  Gives a boost to renewables, but increases import bills, reduces diversity & makes it harder to combat climate change  By 2035, compared with the New Policies Scenario:  coal demand increases by twice Australia’s steam coal exports  natural gas demand increases by two-thirds Russia’s natural gas net exports  power- sector CO2 emissions increase by 6.2%  Biggest implications are for countries with limited energy resources that planned to rely on nuclear power © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 7. Smart Communities  Smart communities should be a key target for the 21st century  Smart communities are achievable for new and existing projects  Smart communities require a holistic approach  Energy is one of the most important parts of any smart community project  Involvement of residents and other stakeholders is a key parameter for the success of a smart community project © OECD/IEA 2012
  • 8. Mayor of Minamisoma City, Katsunobu Sakurai: “Change the adversity into an economic, environmental and social opportunity.” © OECD/IEA 2012

Notas do Editor

  1.