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Managing Risks of Operations in the High North
Korea-Norway Business Cooperation Seminar in Seoul

Jon Rysst
May 15th 2012
The Arctic is very diverse




Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.   2
A region of opportunity and interest leading to opening of
 new areas to industrial activity

  «Cold Climate» operations
     Seismic and drilling activity, some shipping activity
     Cold climate conditions, mainly in summer season
     First year ice conditions, or ice free
     Darkness, low temperatures, remote


                     2012                       2013   2014                2015-2020

                                                              «High Arctic» operations
                                                                 Extended season drilling
                                                                 Oil/Gas offshore production
                                                                 Shipping and mining
                                                                 Multi-year ice conditions


Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
We should, as a minimum, require
 The same risk level in the Arctic as in the North Sea
    Risk  Probability x Consequence                                                       North Sea risk

    Severity of consequences and probability drive risks                                   Additional risk

                                                Risk




                                                                           Acceptable risk level




                                                                                 Rescue

     Material failure

                                                               Oil spill


                               Risk mitigated through technology and regulatory measures

Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.              4
The five Arctic coastal states have fundamentally different
 regulatory approach to offshore petroleum activities




                                                                                                                                           Performance-based
              Prescriptive




                                                                Mainly         Hybrid approach
                                      Prescriptive and
                                                             prescriptive          that uses         Performance-        Performance-
                                           detailed
                                                          regulations, often    prescriptive and   based approach      based, requires
                                         regulations.
                                                          requiring industry     performance-      with non-binding     the operator to
                                      However, not yet
                                                              standards              based          guidelines and           adopt
                                      fully adopted for
                                                               through           requirements       recommended       international best
                                           offshore
                                                              regulatory        depending upon        standards            practices
                                          activities.
                                                            incorporation.     the circumstance




   A performance based system is more suited for the Arctic due to better management
                                                   of new challenges, technologies and risks
Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.                                         5
We believe that safe and sustainable oil and gas activity can
 be ensured in the Arctic
 Way forward:


 Key preventive measures:
  A risk based a approached to be adapted
  Adequate and harmonized regulations, rules,
   and technical standards, ref. Barents 2020
  Sharing of “best-practices” on Arctic operations


 Key consequence reducing measures:
  Search and rescue capacity
  Oil spill response capability


Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.   6
The North East Passage or Northern Sea Route
   Politically related challenges:
    Totally dependent on Russian jurisdiction
          and predictability incl. disposition of the
          Atomflot fleet of icebreakers


   Climate, physical and financial challenges:
    Temperature incl. ice and darkness
    Limited draft and width
    Short season (3-4 months)
    Claimed fees for icebreaker assistance
    Price tag of ice class requirements

Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.           7
Safeguarding life, property
       and the environment

       www.dnv.com




Managing Risks in the Arctic
May 15th 2012
© Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.   8

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Managing risks of operations in the high north

  • 1. Managing Risks of Operations in the High North Korea-Norway Business Cooperation Seminar in Seoul Jon Rysst May 15th 2012
  • 2. The Arctic is very diverse Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 2
  • 3. A region of opportunity and interest leading to opening of new areas to industrial activity «Cold Climate» operations  Seismic and drilling activity, some shipping activity  Cold climate conditions, mainly in summer season  First year ice conditions, or ice free  Darkness, low temperatures, remote 2012 2013 2014 2015-2020 «High Arctic» operations  Extended season drilling  Oil/Gas offshore production  Shipping and mining  Multi-year ice conditions Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
  • 4. We should, as a minimum, require The same risk level in the Arctic as in the North Sea Risk  Probability x Consequence North Sea risk Severity of consequences and probability drive risks Additional risk Risk Acceptable risk level Rescue Material failure Oil spill Risk mitigated through technology and regulatory measures Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 4
  • 5. The five Arctic coastal states have fundamentally different regulatory approach to offshore petroleum activities Performance-based Prescriptive Mainly Hybrid approach Prescriptive and prescriptive that uses Performance- Performance- detailed regulations, often prescriptive and based approach based, requires regulations. requiring industry performance- with non-binding the operator to However, not yet standards based guidelines and adopt fully adopted for through requirements recommended international best offshore regulatory depending upon standards practices activities. incorporation. the circumstance A performance based system is more suited for the Arctic due to better management of new challenges, technologies and risks Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 5
  • 6. We believe that safe and sustainable oil and gas activity can be ensured in the Arctic Way forward: Key preventive measures:  A risk based a approached to be adapted  Adequate and harmonized regulations, rules, and technical standards, ref. Barents 2020  Sharing of “best-practices” on Arctic operations Key consequence reducing measures:  Search and rescue capacity  Oil spill response capability Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 6
  • 7. The North East Passage or Northern Sea Route Politically related challenges:  Totally dependent on Russian jurisdiction and predictability incl. disposition of the Atomflot fleet of icebreakers Climate, physical and financial challenges:  Temperature incl. ice and darkness  Limited draft and width  Short season (3-4 months)  Claimed fees for icebreaker assistance  Price tag of ice class requirements Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 7
  • 8. Safeguarding life, property and the environment www.dnv.com Managing Risks in the Arctic May 15th 2012 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved. 8