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Booz & Company                             Kuwait City, April 17th, 2012




Getting it right: effective private
engagement in rail & metro
systems
Kuwait Rail & Metro Conference 2012
Dr. Ulrich Koegler, Vice President at Booz & Company
This document is confidential and is intended solely for
the use and information of the client to whom it is addressed.
Regional rail development and key questions
Core components of effective private sector engagement




Booz & Company     120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx   Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                               1
GCC region is the midst of a massive rail and metro development
drive
                                    Al Jalamid
          Al Hadetha   Qurayyat
                        Station
                                      Mine /
                                      Hazm
                                                                                                    Planned Rail Networks in GCC

                                     Al Jouf                            Kuwait          Umm Qasr
                         Al
                       Baithaa
                                                                                          Boubyan Port                                                                                      Comments
                                                                               Salemy
                                                                                        Kuwait City Station to Airport

                                                                                                                                                                        The GCC in general, Kuwait
                                               Ha’il                                       Qasr

                                                                                                 Ras Az Zawr          United Arab
                                                           Zubariya
                                                                                   Nairiyah        Jubail              Emirates
                                                                                                                                                                         included, is in the midst of a massive
                                                                                                              Bahrain
                                                           Al           Al Majma’a
                                                                          Station
                                                                                  Workshop              Damma
                                                                                                        m       Qatar Sharjah Ras Al Khaimah                             rail development drive
                                                         Qassim
                                                                                                                                                Khor Fakkan
                   Yanbu                                              Sudair                                      Ras Laffan Port Khalifa   v

                                                                                             Hafouf                                              Fujairah
                                Al                                                                      Dukhan

                                                                                                                                                                        With little prior experience in
                                                                                                                   Port Messieed
                              Madina                                     Riyadh
                              Station                                                                                                         Sohar
                                                                                            Hardh                          Musaffah                           Muscat
                                 King Abdullah
                                                                                                            Ghweifat Ruwais
                                                                                                          (KSA border)
                                                                                                                                    Al Ain/Oman
                                                                                                                                       border
                                                                                                                                                                         railways, GCC governments faced
                                 Economic City
                    Rabigh
                                                                                                                               Shah                                      significant challenges in aiming to:
                                                                                                                                                Oman
                     Jeddah
                                                                                                                                                                         – Deliver various urban and national
                                                                                         Saudi Arabia                                                                      rail projects
                           Makkah          Al Taaf
                                                                                                                                                    Duqm
                                                                                                                                                                         – Meet their policy goals of economic
                                                          Khamis
                                                                                                                                                                           diversification
                                                          Mesheet
                                                                                                                                                                         – Sustainably delivering quality
                                                       Gizan                                                                                                               service levels that attract users
                                                                                                                                                                         – Determining the right approach
                                                                                         Yemen                                                                             private sector engagement is a key
                                                                                                                                                                           enabler.


Source: Booz & Company analysis


                                               120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                             Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2
So far, most are being directly procured through government-
owned entities
                                                                    Selected Rail Project Overview                                                                                      EXAMPLES

                                                                                                                                            Envisaged or Likely                          Operation
          Project                                Description                                           Type                   Status
                                                                                                                                           Procurement Approach                            Date

 Kuwait National Rail    Rail system connecting Boubyan port to                                    Long-haul
                          Kuwait city and to the border with KSA                                                           Feasibility                    PPP                                  2018
 Road                                                                                                  rail

 North – South Rail      Phosphate line from Jalamid to Ras El Kheir                               Long-haul                              Direct procurement through
                          with extension to Jubail/DMM and to Riyadh                                                      operational                                                          2011
 (SAR – state owned)                                                                                   rail                               SAR (state-owned Company)

 Haramain High           High Speed Line of 440 Km, linking Mecca,                                                          Under        Direct procurement through
                          Madinah, Rabigh (KAEC), and Jeddah                                            HSR                                                                                    2014
 Speed Line                                                                                                               construction        SRO (state-owned)

                         Rail system in Makkah to ease transport of                                                                          Direct Procurement
 Al Mashaer Al                                                                                                          Completed/Op
                          Makkah residents and Pilgrims during Haj                                  Light Rail                                3 year O&M contract                              2011
 Moqadassa (MMMP)                                                                                                         erational
                          season                                                                                                               Awarded to Serco

 Princess Noura          A 11.5 km automatic light rail at Princess
                          Noura Bint Abdulrahman women’s university                                  Monorail              Completed           Direct Procurement                              2013
 University

                         Construction of four new lines to provide                                                        Feasibility/
 Makkah MRT               passenger transport through Makkah                                           Metro                                   Direct Procurement                              20151)
                                                                                                                            Design

                         Three metro lines connecting Jeddah Airport
 Jeddah Monorail          and different locations within the city                                    Monorail                Tender            Direct Procurement                              20161)

                         Two high speed light rail lines (North-South
 Riyadh Light Rail        and East-West) providing passenger                                         Light rail              Delayed                      PPP                                  2018
                          transport through Riyadh


Booz & Company           120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx             Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
April, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3
Identifying where and how private sector participation is most
beneficial comes down to a few key questions


 Government objectives: What are the government broad policy goals (attracting know-how,
  assuring service delivery, safeguard / asset , funding, developing capital markets) ?


 Project goals: What are the government specific project objectives in terms of timeline, funding/
  fares, network connections, and primary target users? How important is safeguarding long-term
  reliability of the asset ?


 Institutional enablers: What institutional framework and land transport regulations are required
  to be developed? And what institutional capabilities and entities are needed to manage and
  oversee project delivery?


 Engagement model development and implementation: How could the right engagement model
  be developed and tested in the market? How available is project finance for metro and rail
  projects?



                   120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                            Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                               4
Regional rail development and key questions
Core components of effective private sector engagement




Booz & Company     120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx   Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                               5
Three core components account for success

                                            Core Components of Effective Private Sector Engagement

                                                                                                                               Government Role
                                                                                                            Clear strategy for projects selection and development
                                                                                                            Strong institutional framework and capabilities to
                                                                                                             manage private participation and regulate the sector
                                            1                                                               Transparent governance and procurement process

                                   Government
                                                                                                                              Funding Strategy
                                  Goals and Role
                                                                                                            Understanding of socioeconomic benefits vs. costs
                                                                                                            Accurate knowledge of funding requirements and
                                                                                                             funding sourced based on balanced risk allocation
                                  Core Financing
                                   Components
                                                                                                                         Private Engagement Enablers
                   2                                                       3                                Definition of objectives behind adopting a PPP scheme
                                                                                                            Identification of the right PPP enablers that attract
               Benefits &                                       Private
                                                                                                             investors in a given market / economy
                Funding                                       Engagement
                                                                                                            Enactment of planning and operational standards that
               Strategies                                       Enablers
                                                                                                             ensure successful implementation of the scheme
Source: Booz & Company analysis


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                       Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                          6
1 Government Role



The government role spans policy, regulation, procurement, and
enforcement
                                                                   Government Contribution Roles

      Policy Setting & Planning                                                                                                                      Regulation

   Integrated Transport                                                                                                           Fares Definition and
    Planning                                                                                                                        Economic Regulation
   Rail sector planning                                                                                                           Demand Management
   Budgeting and Funding                                                                                                          Performance Monitoring
   Standards Development

                                                                              Government Roles
                   Procurement                                                                                                                     Enforcement

   Tendering and Licensing                                                                                                        Standards Enforcement
   Infrastructure Ownership                                                                                                       Regulations Enforcement
    and Management                                                                                                                  (economic, safety)




                         120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                  Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                     7
1 Government Role



Rail tends to be actively promoted by government policies as an
efficient and alternative mode of transportation
                                                                                                                                                                                ILLUSTRATIVE
                                        Switzerland – Key Policy Pillars of Supporting Rail Development


                                                                                         Vision
                                                                       to Shift transportation From Road to Rail



                             I                                                                             II                                                         III


    Rail Expansion and Maximization                                            Internalization of External Costs                                        Liberalization and
           of Economic Benefit                                                     of Road Freight Transport                                       Private Sector Participation

     Interconnect rail network with                                            Allocate fair share of                                        Reform sector and ensure
      major industrial and logistics                                             infrastructure, environmental and                              competition, product innovation
      hubs                                                                       safety related costs to road                                   and service improvement
     Ensure speed, convenience and                                              freight transport                                             Optimize cost recovery
      financial efficiency of both
      passenger and freight rail


                                                                                Funding Programs:
                                                                    Sidings, Terminals and Combined Transport

Source: Various EU Transport Authorities, Swiss Department of Transport and Federal Roads Office websites, Booz & Company analysis


                                 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                          Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                             8
1 Government Role



A comprehensive regulatory framework, covering technical, safety,
and economic matters is essential for sector development
                                                                 Railway Sector Regulatory Framework


                                                                                                 Railway
                                                                                                 Vision


                                                                       Sector Policies, Institutional
                                                                    Framework and Governance Model


                                                                                            Technical                                         Health,
                                             Commercial                                                                                     Safety and
                                                                                           Regulations
                                             Regulations                                                                                   Environmental
                                                                                          and Standards
                                                                                                                                            Regulations
                                                                                        Infrastructure design and                      System Certification
                                                  Fares and tickets
                                                                                         construction standards                        Approval, Inspection & Audits
                                        Access fees and policies                 Technical standards for rolling stock                 Infrastructure Protection
                                                                                                                                       Environment and Sustainability
                                  Customer rights and protection               Technical standards for interoperability                Fire Protection
                                                                                                                                       Security, Emergency and Disaster Readiness
                            Market and competition regulations                    Technical standards for operation                    Accident & Incident Investigations

                                        Land Use / Right of Way and Urban Development Regulations
Source: Booz & Company analysis


Booz & Company                120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx                  Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                         9
1 Government Role



Sector governance, a pivotal enabler, remains a challenge for GCC
to effectively develop
                                                                                                                                                                                     CONCEPTUAL
                                  Challenges for Railway Sector Governance Set-Up in GCC Countries


                                                                         Typically Unclear Roles of the
                                                                              Key Sector Entities


                                     Emerging
                                                                                                                                       Limited Capabilities
                                  Role of the GCC
                                                                                                                                          and Expertise
                                   Rail Authority
                                                                                         Railway Sector
                                                                                          Governance
                                                                                          Challenges
                                   Integration and
                                                                                                                                         Lack of Existing
                                   Interoperability
                                                                                                                                        Policies, Standards
                                      with GCC
                                                                                                                                         and Regulations
                                  Railway Systems

                                                                                      Short Time Frame


Source: Booz & Company analysis


Booz & Company                120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx          Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                 10
1 Government Role



Supporting policies remain largely underdeveloped

                                                                                                                                                                                           EXAMPLE
                   Example of Incentives to Increase Use of Metro, Light Rail and Public Transport – Benchmarks
                                                                                                                                              Singapore Hong Kong London                        Berlin
                     Success Critical
                     Factors/Levers
                             
                       PT coverage                   Reach residential areas, increase connectivity of suburbs                                                                                
                             
                       and capacity                  Optimize network layout and density according to demand                                                                                   
                                                    Set and enforce quality standards                                                                                                        
            Service quality
  PT supply                                         Encourage competition between service providers                                                                              
                                                    Fare integration: integrated tickets and multi-mode smartcards
                  Modal                             Network: feeder bus/rail services to main corridors
                                                                                                                                                                                 ()           
               integration                          Physical: interchanges / park and ride facilities
                                                    Institutional: same entity responsible for all modes
                                                    Public transport fares are set at affordable rates
            Affordable fares                                                                                                                                                      
     PT                                             Same entity sets PT fares vs. car usage fees and toll fees
   demand                                           Pedestrian and cycling access to public transport
             Access to PT                                                                                                                                                                     
                                                    Adequate waiting areas (e.g. bus/taxi shelters)
                       Limit number               Heavily tax car acquisition & ownership                                                                         
                          of cars                 Limit number of additional cars per year                                                         
                                                  Impose congestion charge                                                                                                         
    Road                  Limit car
   Demand                                         Parking spaces: limit number and increase costs                                                                                 
                           usage
                                                  Heavily tax petrol                                                                                                                            
                            Usage                 Provide on-line and on-road information about congestion
                                                                                                                                                                                               
                          Efficiency               through intelligent traffic systems
     Road                 Capacity                New roads (inc. tunnels or underground roads)                                                                                                
    Supply                Efficiency              Build reversible “tidal flow” roads                                                                             
Note: London has some integration, e.g. ticketing and fare collection, but is less developed on the other integration dimensions


                                    120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                             Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11
2 Funding Strategy



A funding strategy should be driven by clear socioeconomic
priorities and optimization of government funding
                                                            Funding Strategy Building Blocks



     Alignment
                                                                                                                                                                            Government
     Strategic
                                                                                                                                                                             Funding
     Objectives
                                                                                                                                                                              Policy
     & Policies



                                                 Government
                                                   Invest/                                                                                                                   Degree of
      Financial                                                                        Funding                           Funding                                           Public-Private
                                                  Procure-
      Appraisal                                                                        Strategy                          Sourcing                                             Sectors
                                                    ment
                                                  Strategy                                                                                                                  Cooperation




                                                                                                                                                                           Governmental
   Prioritization
                                                                                                                                                                               Risk
    and Work
                                                                                                                                                                            Allocation
       Plans
                                                                                                                                                                             Policies




                    120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                    Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                       12
2 Funding Strategy



Rail investments have significant potential socioeconomic benefits
in GCC, where people and freight mobility needs are growing fast
                                               Potential Socio-economic Benefits for GCC – Overview

                                            Benefit                                                                                    Impact

                                                                               Enhance road safety through a safer mode of transport for passenger and freight traffics
                              Accidents Costs Savings                           which will reduce collisions and associated property damage, insurance and medical
                                                                                costs and personal and production losses
                                                                               Reduce greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution and transport noise through a more eco-
                            Environmental Cost Savings
                                                                                friendly mode of transport
      Benefits from
                                                                               Reduce fuel consumption through a more fuel efficient mode of transport for passenger
       Modal Shift                Fuel Efficiency Savings
                                                                                and freight traffics
                                                                               Allow time savings for the new rail passengers due to improved services and for routes
                                   Travel Time Savings
                                                                                travelers due to fewer vehicles on the road
                                                                               Enhance reliability for rail passengers and especially for rail freight traffic due to
                              Reliability Improvements
                                                                                scheduled and precise time estimation for rail trips
                                                                               Other qualitative benefits arise from implementing the rail project as a PPP e.g. quality of
                                    Intangible Benefits
                                                                                service, institutional capacity, promotion of competitive markets
                                  Positive Impact of Rail                      Further strengthen country economy through direct and indirect stimulation of economic
      Benefits from                Market on Economy                            activity
       Economic               Land Use Improvements                            Allow further developments in areas traversed by rail
       Stimulation
                                  End-user Satisfaction                        If users expectations are being met

                              Economic Stimulation of                          Enhance economic productivity of planned industrial and residential/urban expansions by
                                 Industrial Activity                            providing them with a more efficient, cost-effective and reliable mean of doing business
Source: Booz & Company analysis


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                            Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                               13
2 Funding Strategy



Yet, they typically do not recover costs, hence, the need for
sustainable funding
                                                                                                                                                                                              INDICATIVE
                           Comparative Cost Recovery Ratios of International Urban Mass Transit Providers
        Population

                          Hong Kong                                                                                                      157.0%
                          Singapore                                                                                        126.0%
 Mega Cities




                             London                                                            81.0%
               > 4 mn.      New York                                                  67.3%
                          Washington                                            57.0%
                              Madrid                                        51.5%
                                                                                                                                                                            Typically,
                                Cairo                                     47.0%                  Average 83.3%                                                            Urban Rail and
                                                                                                                                                                         Public Transport
                           Budapest                                                       72.5%                                                                          requires sustain-
               2-4 mn.        Vienna                                      48.5%                                                                                            able funding
                               Berlin                                  42.5%                                                                                                 schemes
                                                                            Average 52.3%

                         Copenhagen

               < 2 mn.     Marseilles                                         54.0%
                             Helsinki                                        53.0%
                             Prague                            30.5% Average 51.4 %
Source: Booz & Company analysis


                                120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                  Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                      14
2 Funding Strategy



A wide range of funding possibilities can explored for railway
projects …
                                                  Overview of finance methods and examples

                   Funding Sources                                                                                            Operating Models
  Internal                                                                                                    Public utilities
   – Tax revenues (land and non-based)                                                                         Community
   – User charges
                                                                                                               State Corporation
   – Developer contributions
   – Central government development loans and                                                                  Management Contract
     grants                                                                                                    Lease
   – Municipal property assets                                                                                 PPPs
   – Value Capture
                                                                                                                – BOT
  External                                                                                                     – BOO
   – Venture Capital & Infrastructure Funds                                                                     – BOOT
   – Non-Recourse or Project finance
                                                                                                                – DBFO
   – Corporate Finance
   – Export Credit Finance                                                                                      – Etc.
   – Bond Finance                                                                                              Operating Franchise
   – Guarantees or Credit Enhancement Programs                                                                 Private companies
   – Overdraft facilities and short-term loans from
     banks and building societies                                                                              Infrastructure Trusts


                     120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                               Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                  15
2 Funding Strategy



… while Governments would have to subsidize remaining
requirements through up to three levers
                                                                                                                                                                    ILLUSTRATIVE
                                                                 Government Invest/Subsidies

   Subsidy Type         Subsidy Model                                                       Description                                            Assessment
                                                                                                                              Pros:
                           Monetary                            Monetary subsidies for investing in Capex
       Capex                                                                                                                   Easy, one-off monitoring
      Subsidies                                                                                                               Cons:
                             In-Kind                           Government contributes certain assets
                                                                                                                               Require large one-off investment

                                                               Fixed subsidy independent of performance                      Pros:
                        Fixed Simple
                                                                or ridership                                                   Performance dependent
                   Fixed Performance                           Performance based subsidy independent of                       Subsidies provided in smaller
                         Based                                  ridership                                                       regular installments
        Opex
      Subsidies                                                Variable subsidy independent of
                     Variable Simple
                                                                performance but dependent on ridership
                                                                                                                              Cons:
                         Variable                              Variable subsidy dependent on both the                         Require constant monitoring
                   Performance Based                            performance as well as ridership

                                                               Indirect subsidies consisting of tax relief,                  Pros:
                    Indirect – Investor
       Special                                                  right of way, land development, etc.                           Target only the most needy
      Subsidies                                                Targeted directly at passengers based on                      Cons:
                   Indirect – Customers
                                                                need and social status                                         Difficult to implement


                     120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                              Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                 16
2 Funding Strategy



Hence, private sector engagement schemes (such as PPPs) and cost
recovery policies need to be well synchronized
                                                                                                                                                         ILLUSTRATIVE FOR ROADS
Involvement PSP Scheme                            Definition                                                                                     Cost Recovery Approaches
 of Private
   Sector
    High                Private company is granted the right to develop, finance,
               BOO       design, build, own, operate, and maintain transportation                                                                         Ticket revenue
                                                                                                                                         Fares
                         project                                                                                                                          Access charges

                                   The responsibilities for designing, building, financing and
                    DBFO            operating are bundled together and transferred to private
                                    sector partners                                                                                                       Granting agency pays for the
                                                                                                                                        Service            availability of the infrastructure
                                                                                                                                       Availability        services regardless the volume
                                   Single contractor has the responsibility for designing and                                         Payments
                                                                                                                                                          Payment usually linked to KPis
                    DBOM            constructing a facility, as well of operating and maintaining it
                                    for specified period prior to handing it over to client
                                                                                                                                                          Retail
                                   Integrated partnership that combines the design and                                                 Ancillary
                                                                                                                                                          Property development
                   BOT/BTO          construction responsibilities of design-build procurements                                          Services
                                                                                                                                                          Advertising
                                    with operations and maintenance

                                   Combines two, usually separate services into a single                                               Develop-          Neighboring land-related fees
                                    contract                                                                                             ment              to capture the developers’
                     DB                                                                                                                  Gains             gains
                                   Owners execute a single fixed- fee contract for both
                                    architectural/engineering services and construction
                                                                                                                                                          Government provides capital
                   Manage-                                                                                                               Gov’t             grants and subsidies
                                   The process of managing the facility from the beginning of                                          Grants &
                    ment                                                                                                               Incentives         Government provides tax
                                    the contract till the end of the contract date
     Low           Contract                                                                                                                                incentives and exemptions


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                          Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                             17
3 PPP Enablers



The starting point is capturing government objectives from
engaging the private sector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ILLUSTRATIVE
                                                                                       Potential Government Objectives & Benefits
                                                                                                       Objectives                                                                              Benefits
                                          1                      Share financial risk of project development with private
                     +
                                                                  sector thus redirecting public funds towards more                                                 Free public funds for other uses
                                               Fiscal             urgently needed sectors                                                                           Reduce risk for the public sector
                                                                 Avoid cost over-runs by adopting a life cycle approach                                            Reduce project life cycle costs
                                                                  to project costing
                         Key Objectives




                                          2                      Enhance economic growth and deepen financial                                                        Accelerate speed of delivery
                                                                  markets by attracting domestic savings and                                                          Increase service coverage and improve quality
                                              Economic            international investment                                                                            Increase time and cost reliability
                                                                 Improve project efficiency, cost, speed of delivery and                                             Increase efficiency in project execution
                                                                  accessibility of services                                                                           Attract international and domestic capital
 Order of Priority




                                          3
                                                                                                                                                                    Enable technology transfer and exchange
                                                         Provide technological benefits in terms of transfer of                                                    Train resources on advanced technology in road
                                          Technological                                                                                                              operations / maintenance
                                                          know how, service update and innovation delivered by
                                                          greater private sector participation                                                                      Promote innovation

                                          4
                                                                 Decrease government direct involvement in provision                                                 Mitigate repercussions of privatization
                                                                  of infrastructure sector services                                                                   Redefine the role of the government
                                              Political                                                                                                            
                                                                 Redefine role of government to become a regulator of                                                 Enforce social stability
                                                                  transport sector                                                                                    Increase transparency of government processes
                                          5
                                                                 Raise standards of living by providing infrastructure                                               Meet people’s needs
                                               Social                                                                                                                 Raise living standards
                                                                  services in a timely manner within an environmentally
                                                                                                                                                                      Promote environmental sustainability
                                                                  sustainable framework
                     -                                                                                                                                                Balance social and commercial priorities


                                                          120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   18
3 PPP Enablers



This will ultimately help determine the most effective model for
private sector participation
                                                                               Procurement Model Options Description
                                                                                                                                                                             Retain                    Retain
                                    Asset                                                                              Potential PPP options                                Revenue                   Revenue
                                  Revenues/                                                                                                              Collect             Collect                   Collect
                                   Benefits                                                                                                             Revenue             Revenue                   Revenue
                                                                                                                                                  (Might provide              Own                        Own
            Private Sector Role




                                    Asset                                                                                                         equity at times)
                                   Operate                                                                                                              Finance             Finance                    Finance
                                     and
                                   Maintain            Operate                                                       Operate                            Operate             Operate                    Operate

                                                      Maintain                                                       Maintain                           Maintain            Maintain                   Maintain

                                                                                                                     Finance                            Finance             Finance                    Finance

                                    Asset                                          Construct                        Construct                           Construct          Construct                  Construct
                                   Delivery
                                                                                     Design                           Design                             Design              Design                     Design

                                                                                                                                                  Design, Build
 High Public                                                                     Design and                 Build Operate and                                          Build Own and
                                   Options              O&M                                                                                       Operate, and                                     Privatization
 Sector Risk                                                                       Build                         Transfer                                                 Operate
                                                                                                                                                    Finance
            Government Role




                                                                                Govt Financial                   Govt Financial                    Govt Financial        Govt Financial
                                                   Govt Finance                   Support                          Support                           Support               Support
                                  Government                                                                                                                                                                     High Private
                                     Cost          Costs Funded                  Costs Funded                     Costs Funded                     Costs Funded                                                  Sector Risk

                                  Government           Owned                         Owned                            Owned                              Owned
                                    Benefit        Tolling Rights                Tolling Rights                   Tolling Rights                   Tolling Rights

Source: Booz & Company analysis


                                               120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                     Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           19
3 PPP Enablers



Results reveal a significant improvement in time and cost when
adopting PPP schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                    ILLUSTRATIVE
                                                        Performance of PPP’s vs. Traditional Procurements

                                                                           Cost Over-Run                                                                Time Over-Run

                                                                              (% of Cost)                                                                  (% of Time)
                                                                 35.3%

                                                                                                                                               25.6%
                                                                                                    11.6%                                                                        13.2%

             54 Projects
             (21 PPP’s)                                     Traditional                               PPP                                    Traditional                          PPP
                                                           Procurement                                                                      Procurement

                                                                           (% of Projects)                                                              (% of Projects)
                                                                 73.0%                                                                         70.0%


                                                                                                                                                                                 24.0%
                                                                                                    22.0%

            37 Projects1)
             (37 PPP’s)                                     Traditional                               PPP                                    Traditional                          PPP
                                                           Procurement                                                                      Procurement
1)      Traditional procurement figures relate to previous public sector experience besides PPP projects in focus
Source: ACG/University of Melbourne, Australia; National Audit Office, PFI: Construction Performance, 2003 ,UK


                                   120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                               Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20
3 PPP Enablers



However, not every PPP has become a success – Failure cases exist

                                                                               Worst Case PPP-Examples

                                                                                                                                                                                    Channel Tunnel
                    STAR and PUTRA                                       Arlanda Express                                                 Metronet
                                                                                                                                                                                       Rail Link
                         (1994)                                               (1999)                                                      (2003)
                                                                                                                                                                                        (2007)
 BOT and Design-Construct-                       An airport rail link connecting                             Partial privatization of London                 Mainland railway (108 km)
  Operate contracts with 60-year                   Stockholm City with Arlanda                                  tube (Infrastructure maintenance)                linking the Channel Tunnel
  lease / concession for STAR                      Airport                                                     Investment volume of £15,3bn                     with London
  and PUTRA Malaysian Light                       Operated by A-Train under a 30                              Selection of PPP experienced                    Investment volume of £2,2 bn
  Rail Transits respectively                       year concession                                              consortium                                      Operated by London
 Investment volume lower than                                                                                 Expected ROI 15-20%,                             Continental Railways (LCR)
  the budgeted RM 3.5Bn                                                                                         cost savings of £2-4bn
                   Weaknesses                                      Weaknesses                                                   Weaknesses                                   Weaknesses


 Lack of transparency:                            Revenue risk was transferred                               Major delays caused by judicial                 Financial risk transferred
  Contracts not bid for / unclear                   completely to private sector                                conflicts, complex bidding and                   completely to private sector
  cost of systems to the public                                                                                 approval process                                Low public infrastructure
                                                   Due to too optimistic passenger                            Financial problems of                            service charge and too
 Forecast of revenues too
                                                    demand forecasts, revenue                                   consortium partners finally led to               optimistic passenger
  optimistic
                                                    targets were not achieved                                   bankruptcy of Metronet                           forecasts
 Lack of exit strategy, the                                                                                   Responsibilities were trans-                    As a result LCR sold back
  government thus having to bail-                                                                               ferred back to City of London                    operating license to
  out and eventually takeover the                                                                                                                                Network Rail
  LRT systems



                                120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                   21
3 PPP Enablers



A crucial element for successful PPP’s is to understand investors’
perspectives
                                                                             Market Testing Dimensions

1                             Get an overview of the firm’s appetite for rail projects (greenfield in the GCC)
        General               Get details on the firm approach and experience in:
        Appetite               – Middle East market
                               – PPP transaction
2
                              Determine firm appetite for project different elements and its envisaged role
      Contractual
                              Get firm’s comments about different contractual structure components e.g. package size, phasing, contract term
       Structure
                               duration, risk allocation, etc.

3
                              Determine firm familiarity/experience with project technical specifications
       Technical
                              Get firm’s comments on project technical specifications e.g. contract packages size, potential challenges, etc.

4
                              Determine firm appetite to invest its own capital on the project
       Financing              Get firm’s comments about several financing considerations e.g. raising third party equity, raising of project debt,
                               proportion of Kuwaiti shares, currency risk approach, Islamic Finance, Export Credit, etc.

5
     Procurement
                              Get firm’s views on the procurement process and timeline and any other relevant issues, comments or
    Process & Other
                               requirements in relation to the project
        issues

Source: Booz & Company analysis


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                       Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                          22
3 PPP Enablers



PPP transaction success may currently require some government
help to address global crisis fallout, and stimulate capital markets
                           Current Situation                                                                                           Government Potential Responses
   Weakened global appetite for infrastructure                                                                                              Tactical / Short-term
    long-term finance, given liquidity crisis and                                                                    Reduce quantum of market-raised finance
    regulatory change                                                                                                 – Increase competition amongst financing sources
   Expanded role of local banks, implying:                                                                             to influence pricing
      – Shorter-term financing (can cover construction)                                                               – Utilize government finance to lower PPP cost of
                                                                                                                        capital and availability fee
      – Refinancing risks exist, complicated by a                                                                    Reduce private capital risk
        shortage of infrastructure-focused investors                                                                  – Undertake part or all of its ultimate repayment,
      – Potential market congestion with raft of PPP                                                                    but distinguish between senior and mezzanine
        projects scheduled in coming years in Kuwait                                                                    equity
                                                                                                                     Reduce tenor of capital required
   Other forms of transport infrastructure
                                                                                                                      – Employ shorter term private sector capital which
    financing remain largely unproven, for
                                                                                                                        could be more plentiful and cheaper
    example:
                                                                                                                                            Strategic / Long-term
      – Islamic finance
                                                                                                                     Promote development of infrastructure funds,
      – Projects bonds
                                                                                                                      equity, and debt markets
   Mismatch between government PPP ambitions                                                                        Encourage export credit in equipment
    and regional investor mix                                                                                         purchases and infrastructure development
Source: Booz & Company analysis


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                   23
3 PPP Enablers



A robust evaluation methodology for procurement process is key
to conclude a PPP transaction
                                                                                                                                                               NON-EXHAUSTIVE
                                            Rail PPP Procurement – Key Evaluation Principles

          Principle                                                                                  Description

                       Provide clarity with respect to the methodology, process and results, with all parties having access to the same
    Transparency
                        data


       Neutrality      Create a “level playing field” by not advantaging/disadvantaging any party over another


                       Allow for “apples-to-apples” comparison of applicants/bids by clearly defining the type and form of data to be
    Comparability
                        provided by applicants/bidders as part of their RFQ application/bid submissions


   Confidentiality     Preserve utmost confidentiality of all evaluation materials, discussions and results



      Auditability     Provide an audit trail to allow relevant parties with the necessary access rights to revisit the basis of decisions


                       Provide consistency of approach across projects in the same sector being procured by the same
     Consistency
                        government/procuring authority



                      120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                               Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                  24
3 PPP Enablers



Ultimately, PPP is about ensuring long-term service performance,
hence need for monitoring against KPIs
                                                                                                                                                                                   NON EXHAUSTIVE
                            Sample Scorecard for Operations Performance Indicators of Public transport

            Category                                                         KPI                                                       Frequency               Target                   Actual        Score

                                Punctuality – On time availability of vehicles                                                           M         95%

                                Fleet Failure – Number of failures per coach.km                                                          M         OEM Guidelines
     Service Availability
                                Fleet Availability                                                                                       M         85%

                                On board equipment reliability                                                                           S         98%

                                Coaches cleanliness                                                                                      M         TBD

                                Clarity of on board information signage and systems                                                      M         TBD
        Service Quality
                                Average time to repair defects                                                                           S         Less than 24 hours

                                Average time to respond to emergency incidents                                                           S         Less than 1 hour

                                Nr of complaints resolved within 1 hour as % total number of                                             M         More than 95%
                                 complaints
      Customer Service          No of complaints as % of total passengers                                                                M         Less than 5%

                                No of resolved complaints as % of total complaints                                                       M         More than 90%

         Sustainability         Excess energy consumption per pax.km                                                                     S         TBD

                                Number of safety defects per year                                                                        S         Less than 10
     Safety and Security
                                Number of accidents per year                                                                             S         None

   Above 100% of Target        90% – 100% of Target                    Less than 90% of Target               M = Monthly ; S = Semi-Annually


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                                   Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                        25
Overall, successful PPP schemes require a collaborative approach
between the private and public sectors
                   Demand Side – Public Sector                                                                                         Supply Side – Private Sector
  1 Create the appropriate legal and regulatory                                                                 1 Local developers and operators should partner
    framework to encourage international private                                                                  with international infrastructure operators to
    investments (e.g. PPP, concession law)                                                                        – bid for PPP projects in the region
                                                                                                                  – acquire best practices in managing and
  2 Prioritize the projects according to long term
    strategy and structure them in order to allow for                                                               developing infrastructures
    easier debt and equity financing                                                                              – optimize the life cycle cost, and quality of the
                                                                                                                    service delivered
  3 Adopt a value for money approach to define the
    risk allocation and to select the PPP scheme                                                                2 Institutional investors should start to
  4 Support the development of local institutional                                                                – Use other forms of financing which may involve
    investors (e.g. infrastructure funds) with medium to                                                            tapping into capital markets
    long term investment perspectives                                                                             – Plan to be engaged for a longer term
                                                                                                                    (e.g. 15+ years)
  5 Further market targeted infrastructure projects
    in order to attract world-class investors and
                                                                                                                3 Banks should accept to step in for short term
    developers
                                                                                                                  financing (provided that they receive the comfort of
                        Understand Customers!                                                                     government and sponsor guarantees) in order to
                                                                                                                  kick-start infrastructure projects
Source: Booz & Company analysis


                              120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx
Booz & Company
April 17th, 2012
                                                                                                                                               Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                  26

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Dr. ulrich koegler effective psp in metro and rail projects vfff

  • 1. Booz & Company Kuwait City, April 17th, 2012 Getting it right: effective private engagement in rail & metro systems Kuwait Rail & Metro Conference 2012 Dr. Ulrich Koegler, Vice President at Booz & Company This document is confidential and is intended solely for the use and information of the client to whom it is addressed.
  • 2. Regional rail development and key questions Core components of effective private sector engagement Booz & Company 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 April 17th, 2012 1
  • 3. GCC region is the midst of a massive rail and metro development drive Al Jalamid Al Hadetha Qurayyat Station Mine / Hazm Planned Rail Networks in GCC Al Jouf Kuwait Umm Qasr Al Baithaa Boubyan Port Comments Salemy Kuwait City Station to Airport  The GCC in general, Kuwait Ha’il Qasr Ras Az Zawr United Arab Zubariya Nairiyah Jubail Emirates included, is in the midst of a massive Bahrain Al Al Majma’a Station Workshop Damma m Qatar Sharjah Ras Al Khaimah rail development drive Qassim Khor Fakkan Yanbu Sudair Ras Laffan Port Khalifa v Hafouf Fujairah Al Dukhan  With little prior experience in Port Messieed Madina Riyadh Station Sohar Hardh Musaffah Muscat King Abdullah Ghweifat Ruwais (KSA border) Al Ain/Oman border railways, GCC governments faced Economic City Rabigh Shah significant challenges in aiming to: Oman Jeddah – Deliver various urban and national Saudi Arabia rail projects Makkah Al Taaf Duqm – Meet their policy goals of economic Khamis diversification Mesheet – Sustainably delivering quality Gizan service levels that attract users – Determining the right approach Yemen private sector engagement is a key enabler. Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 2
  • 4. So far, most are being directly procured through government- owned entities Selected Rail Project Overview EXAMPLES Envisaged or Likely Operation Project Description Type Status Procurement Approach Date Kuwait National Rail  Rail system connecting Boubyan port to Long-haul Kuwait city and to the border with KSA Feasibility PPP 2018 Road rail North – South Rail  Phosphate line from Jalamid to Ras El Kheir Long-haul Direct procurement through with extension to Jubail/DMM and to Riyadh operational 2011 (SAR – state owned) rail SAR (state-owned Company) Haramain High  High Speed Line of 440 Km, linking Mecca, Under Direct procurement through Madinah, Rabigh (KAEC), and Jeddah HSR 2014 Speed Line construction SRO (state-owned)  Rail system in Makkah to ease transport of Direct Procurement Al Mashaer Al Completed/Op Makkah residents and Pilgrims during Haj Light Rail 3 year O&M contract 2011 Moqadassa (MMMP) erational season Awarded to Serco Princess Noura  A 11.5 km automatic light rail at Princess Noura Bint Abdulrahman women’s university Monorail Completed Direct Procurement 2013 University  Construction of four new lines to provide Feasibility/ Makkah MRT passenger transport through Makkah Metro Direct Procurement 20151) Design  Three metro lines connecting Jeddah Airport Jeddah Monorail and different locations within the city Monorail Tender Direct Procurement 20161)  Two high speed light rail lines (North-South Riyadh Light Rail and East-West) providing passenger Light rail Delayed PPP 2018 transport through Riyadh Booz & Company 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 April, 2012 3
  • 5. Identifying where and how private sector participation is most beneficial comes down to a few key questions  Government objectives: What are the government broad policy goals (attracting know-how, assuring service delivery, safeguard / asset , funding, developing capital markets) ?  Project goals: What are the government specific project objectives in terms of timeline, funding/ fares, network connections, and primary target users? How important is safeguarding long-term reliability of the asset ?  Institutional enablers: What institutional framework and land transport regulations are required to be developed? And what institutional capabilities and entities are needed to manage and oversee project delivery?  Engagement model development and implementation: How could the right engagement model be developed and tested in the market? How available is project finance for metro and rail projects? 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 4
  • 6. Regional rail development and key questions Core components of effective private sector engagement Booz & Company 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 April 17th, 2012 5
  • 7. Three core components account for success Core Components of Effective Private Sector Engagement Government Role  Clear strategy for projects selection and development  Strong institutional framework and capabilities to manage private participation and regulate the sector 1  Transparent governance and procurement process Government Funding Strategy Goals and Role  Understanding of socioeconomic benefits vs. costs  Accurate knowledge of funding requirements and funding sourced based on balanced risk allocation Core Financing Components Private Engagement Enablers 2 3  Definition of objectives behind adopting a PPP scheme  Identification of the right PPP enablers that attract Benefits & Private investors in a given market / economy Funding Engagement  Enactment of planning and operational standards that Strategies Enablers ensure successful implementation of the scheme Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 6
  • 8. 1 Government Role The government role spans policy, regulation, procurement, and enforcement Government Contribution Roles Policy Setting & Planning Regulation  Integrated Transport  Fares Definition and Planning Economic Regulation  Rail sector planning  Demand Management  Budgeting and Funding  Performance Monitoring  Standards Development Government Roles Procurement Enforcement  Tendering and Licensing  Standards Enforcement  Infrastructure Ownership  Regulations Enforcement and Management (economic, safety) 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 7
  • 9. 1 Government Role Rail tends to be actively promoted by government policies as an efficient and alternative mode of transportation ILLUSTRATIVE Switzerland – Key Policy Pillars of Supporting Rail Development Vision to Shift transportation From Road to Rail I II III Rail Expansion and Maximization Internalization of External Costs Liberalization and of Economic Benefit of Road Freight Transport Private Sector Participation  Interconnect rail network with  Allocate fair share of  Reform sector and ensure major industrial and logistics infrastructure, environmental and competition, product innovation hubs safety related costs to road and service improvement  Ensure speed, convenience and freight transport  Optimize cost recovery financial efficiency of both passenger and freight rail Funding Programs: Sidings, Terminals and Combined Transport Source: Various EU Transport Authorities, Swiss Department of Transport and Federal Roads Office websites, Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 8
  • 10. 1 Government Role A comprehensive regulatory framework, covering technical, safety, and economic matters is essential for sector development Railway Sector Regulatory Framework Railway Vision Sector Policies, Institutional Framework and Governance Model Technical Health, Commercial Safety and Regulations Regulations Environmental and Standards Regulations Infrastructure design and System Certification Fares and tickets construction standards Approval, Inspection & Audits Access fees and policies Technical standards for rolling stock Infrastructure Protection Environment and Sustainability Customer rights and protection Technical standards for interoperability Fire Protection Security, Emergency and Disaster Readiness Market and competition regulations Technical standards for operation Accident & Incident Investigations Land Use / Right of Way and Urban Development Regulations Source: Booz & Company analysis Booz & Company 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 April 17th, 2012 9
  • 11. 1 Government Role Sector governance, a pivotal enabler, remains a challenge for GCC to effectively develop CONCEPTUAL Challenges for Railway Sector Governance Set-Up in GCC Countries Typically Unclear Roles of the Key Sector Entities Emerging Limited Capabilities Role of the GCC and Expertise Rail Authority Railway Sector Governance Challenges Integration and Lack of Existing Interoperability Policies, Standards with GCC and Regulations Railway Systems Short Time Frame Source: Booz & Company analysis Booz & Company 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 April 17th, 2012 10
  • 12. 1 Government Role Supporting policies remain largely underdeveloped EXAMPLE Example of Incentives to Increase Use of Metro, Light Rail and Public Transport – Benchmarks Singapore Hong Kong London Berlin Success Critical Factors/Levers  PT coverage Reach residential areas, increase connectivity of suburbs      and capacity Optimize network layout and density according to demand     Set and enforce quality standards     Service quality PT supply  Encourage competition between service providers     Fare integration: integrated tickets and multi-mode smartcards Modal  Network: feeder bus/rail services to main corridors   ()  integration  Physical: interchanges / park and ride facilities  Institutional: same entity responsible for all modes  Public transport fares are set at affordable rates Affordable fares    PT  Same entity sets PT fares vs. car usage fees and toll fees demand  Pedestrian and cycling access to public transport Access to PT      Adequate waiting areas (e.g. bus/taxi shelters) Limit number  Heavily tax car acquisition & ownership   of cars  Limit number of additional cars per year   Impose congestion charge   Road Limit car Demand  Parking spaces: limit number and increase costs    usage  Heavily tax petrol   Usage  Provide on-line and on-road information about congestion     Efficiency through intelligent traffic systems Road Capacity  New roads (inc. tunnels or underground roads)    Supply Efficiency  Build reversible “tidal flow” roads   Note: London has some integration, e.g. ticketing and fare collection, but is less developed on the other integration dimensions 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 11
  • 13. 2 Funding Strategy A funding strategy should be driven by clear socioeconomic priorities and optimization of government funding Funding Strategy Building Blocks Alignment Government Strategic Funding Objectives Policy & Policies Government Invest/ Degree of Financial Funding Funding Public-Private Procure- Appraisal Strategy Sourcing Sectors ment Strategy Cooperation Governmental Prioritization Risk and Work Allocation Plans Policies 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 12
  • 14. 2 Funding Strategy Rail investments have significant potential socioeconomic benefits in GCC, where people and freight mobility needs are growing fast Potential Socio-economic Benefits for GCC – Overview Benefit Impact  Enhance road safety through a safer mode of transport for passenger and freight traffics Accidents Costs Savings which will reduce collisions and associated property damage, insurance and medical costs and personal and production losses  Reduce greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution and transport noise through a more eco- Environmental Cost Savings friendly mode of transport Benefits from  Reduce fuel consumption through a more fuel efficient mode of transport for passenger Modal Shift Fuel Efficiency Savings and freight traffics  Allow time savings for the new rail passengers due to improved services and for routes Travel Time Savings travelers due to fewer vehicles on the road  Enhance reliability for rail passengers and especially for rail freight traffic due to Reliability Improvements scheduled and precise time estimation for rail trips  Other qualitative benefits arise from implementing the rail project as a PPP e.g. quality of Intangible Benefits service, institutional capacity, promotion of competitive markets Positive Impact of Rail  Further strengthen country economy through direct and indirect stimulation of economic Benefits from Market on Economy activity Economic Land Use Improvements  Allow further developments in areas traversed by rail Stimulation End-user Satisfaction  If users expectations are being met Economic Stimulation of  Enhance economic productivity of planned industrial and residential/urban expansions by Industrial Activity providing them with a more efficient, cost-effective and reliable mean of doing business Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 13
  • 15. 2 Funding Strategy Yet, they typically do not recover costs, hence, the need for sustainable funding INDICATIVE Comparative Cost Recovery Ratios of International Urban Mass Transit Providers Population Hong Kong 157.0% Singapore 126.0% Mega Cities London 81.0% > 4 mn. New York 67.3% Washington 57.0% Madrid 51.5% Typically, Cairo 47.0% Average 83.3% Urban Rail and Public Transport Budapest 72.5% requires sustain- 2-4 mn. Vienna 48.5% able funding Berlin 42.5% schemes Average 52.3% Copenhagen < 2 mn. Marseilles 54.0% Helsinki 53.0% Prague 30.5% Average 51.4 % Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 14
  • 16. 2 Funding Strategy A wide range of funding possibilities can explored for railway projects … Overview of finance methods and examples Funding Sources Operating Models  Internal  Public utilities – Tax revenues (land and non-based)  Community – User charges  State Corporation – Developer contributions – Central government development loans and  Management Contract grants  Lease – Municipal property assets  PPPs – Value Capture – BOT  External – BOO – Venture Capital & Infrastructure Funds – BOOT – Non-Recourse or Project finance – DBFO – Corporate Finance – Export Credit Finance – Etc. – Bond Finance  Operating Franchise – Guarantees or Credit Enhancement Programs  Private companies – Overdraft facilities and short-term loans from banks and building societies  Infrastructure Trusts 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 15
  • 17. 2 Funding Strategy … while Governments would have to subsidize remaining requirements through up to three levers ILLUSTRATIVE Government Invest/Subsidies Subsidy Type Subsidy Model Description Assessment Pros: Monetary  Monetary subsidies for investing in Capex Capex  Easy, one-off monitoring Subsidies Cons: In-Kind  Government contributes certain assets  Require large one-off investment  Fixed subsidy independent of performance Pros: Fixed Simple or ridership  Performance dependent Fixed Performance  Performance based subsidy independent of  Subsidies provided in smaller Based ridership regular installments Opex Subsidies  Variable subsidy independent of Variable Simple performance but dependent on ridership Cons: Variable  Variable subsidy dependent on both the  Require constant monitoring Performance Based performance as well as ridership  Indirect subsidies consisting of tax relief, Pros: Indirect – Investor Special right of way, land development, etc.  Target only the most needy Subsidies  Targeted directly at passengers based on Cons: Indirect – Customers need and social status  Difficult to implement 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 16
  • 18. 2 Funding Strategy Hence, private sector engagement schemes (such as PPPs) and cost recovery policies need to be well synchronized ILLUSTRATIVE FOR ROADS Involvement PSP Scheme Definition Cost Recovery Approaches of Private Sector High  Private company is granted the right to develop, finance, BOO design, build, own, operate, and maintain transportation  Ticket revenue Fares project  Access charges  The responsibilities for designing, building, financing and DBFO operating are bundled together and transferred to private sector partners  Granting agency pays for the Service availability of the infrastructure Availability services regardless the volume  Single contractor has the responsibility for designing and Payments  Payment usually linked to KPis DBOM constructing a facility, as well of operating and maintaining it for specified period prior to handing it over to client  Retail  Integrated partnership that combines the design and Ancillary  Property development BOT/BTO construction responsibilities of design-build procurements Services  Advertising with operations and maintenance  Combines two, usually separate services into a single Develop-  Neighboring land-related fees contract ment to capture the developers’ DB Gains gains  Owners execute a single fixed- fee contract for both architectural/engineering services and construction  Government provides capital Manage- Gov’t grants and subsidies  The process of managing the facility from the beginning of Grants & ment Incentives  Government provides tax the contract till the end of the contract date Low Contract incentives and exemptions 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 17
  • 19. 3 PPP Enablers The starting point is capturing government objectives from engaging the private sector ILLUSTRATIVE Potential Government Objectives & Benefits Objectives Benefits 1  Share financial risk of project development with private + sector thus redirecting public funds towards more  Free public funds for other uses Fiscal urgently needed sectors  Reduce risk for the public sector  Avoid cost over-runs by adopting a life cycle approach  Reduce project life cycle costs to project costing Key Objectives 2  Enhance economic growth and deepen financial  Accelerate speed of delivery markets by attracting domestic savings and  Increase service coverage and improve quality Economic international investment  Increase time and cost reliability  Improve project efficiency, cost, speed of delivery and  Increase efficiency in project execution accessibility of services  Attract international and domestic capital Order of Priority 3  Enable technology transfer and exchange  Provide technological benefits in terms of transfer of  Train resources on advanced technology in road Technological operations / maintenance know how, service update and innovation delivered by greater private sector participation  Promote innovation 4  Decrease government direct involvement in provision  Mitigate repercussions of privatization of infrastructure sector services  Redefine the role of the government Political   Redefine role of government to become a regulator of Enforce social stability transport sector  Increase transparency of government processes 5  Raise standards of living by providing infrastructure  Meet people’s needs Social  Raise living standards services in a timely manner within an environmentally  Promote environmental sustainability sustainable framework -  Balance social and commercial priorities 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 18
  • 20. 3 PPP Enablers This will ultimately help determine the most effective model for private sector participation Procurement Model Options Description Retain Retain Asset Potential PPP options Revenue Revenue Revenues/ Collect Collect Collect Benefits Revenue Revenue Revenue (Might provide Own Own Private Sector Role Asset equity at times) Operate Finance Finance Finance and Maintain Operate Operate Operate Operate Operate Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain Finance Finance Finance Finance Asset Construct Construct Construct Construct Construct Delivery Design Design Design Design Design Design, Build High Public Design and Build Operate and Build Own and Options O&M Operate, and Privatization Sector Risk Build Transfer Operate Finance Government Role Govt Financial Govt Financial Govt Financial Govt Financial Govt Finance Support Support Support Support Government High Private Cost Costs Funded Costs Funded Costs Funded Costs Funded Sector Risk Government Owned Owned Owned Owned Benefit Tolling Rights Tolling Rights Tolling Rights Tolling Rights Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 19
  • 21. 3 PPP Enablers Results reveal a significant improvement in time and cost when adopting PPP schemes ILLUSTRATIVE Performance of PPP’s vs. Traditional Procurements Cost Over-Run Time Over-Run (% of Cost) (% of Time) 35.3% 25.6% 11.6% 13.2% 54 Projects (21 PPP’s) Traditional PPP Traditional PPP Procurement Procurement (% of Projects) (% of Projects) 73.0% 70.0% 24.0% 22.0% 37 Projects1) (37 PPP’s) Traditional PPP Traditional PPP Procurement Procurement 1) Traditional procurement figures relate to previous public sector experience besides PPP projects in focus Source: ACG/University of Melbourne, Australia; National Audit Office, PFI: Construction Performance, 2003 ,UK 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 20
  • 22. 3 PPP Enablers However, not every PPP has become a success – Failure cases exist Worst Case PPP-Examples Channel Tunnel STAR and PUTRA Arlanda Express Metronet Rail Link (1994) (1999) (2003) (2007)  BOT and Design-Construct-  An airport rail link connecting  Partial privatization of London  Mainland railway (108 km) Operate contracts with 60-year Stockholm City with Arlanda tube (Infrastructure maintenance) linking the Channel Tunnel lease / concession for STAR Airport  Investment volume of £15,3bn with London and PUTRA Malaysian Light  Operated by A-Train under a 30  Selection of PPP experienced  Investment volume of £2,2 bn Rail Transits respectively year concession consortium  Operated by London  Investment volume lower than  Expected ROI 15-20%, Continental Railways (LCR) the budgeted RM 3.5Bn cost savings of £2-4bn Weaknesses Weaknesses Weaknesses Weaknesses  Lack of transparency:  Revenue risk was transferred  Major delays caused by judicial  Financial risk transferred Contracts not bid for / unclear completely to private sector conflicts, complex bidding and completely to private sector cost of systems to the public approval process  Low public infrastructure  Due to too optimistic passenger  Financial problems of service charge and too  Forecast of revenues too demand forecasts, revenue consortium partners finally led to optimistic passenger optimistic targets were not achieved bankruptcy of Metronet forecasts  Lack of exit strategy, the  Responsibilities were trans-  As a result LCR sold back government thus having to bail- ferred back to City of London operating license to out and eventually takeover the Network Rail LRT systems 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 21
  • 23. 3 PPP Enablers A crucial element for successful PPP’s is to understand investors’ perspectives Market Testing Dimensions 1  Get an overview of the firm’s appetite for rail projects (greenfield in the GCC) General  Get details on the firm approach and experience in: Appetite – Middle East market – PPP transaction 2  Determine firm appetite for project different elements and its envisaged role Contractual  Get firm’s comments about different contractual structure components e.g. package size, phasing, contract term Structure duration, risk allocation, etc. 3  Determine firm familiarity/experience with project technical specifications Technical  Get firm’s comments on project technical specifications e.g. contract packages size, potential challenges, etc. 4  Determine firm appetite to invest its own capital on the project Financing  Get firm’s comments about several financing considerations e.g. raising third party equity, raising of project debt, proportion of Kuwaiti shares, currency risk approach, Islamic Finance, Export Credit, etc. 5 Procurement  Get firm’s views on the procurement process and timeline and any other relevant issues, comments or Process & Other requirements in relation to the project issues Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 22
  • 24. 3 PPP Enablers PPP transaction success may currently require some government help to address global crisis fallout, and stimulate capital markets Current Situation Government Potential Responses  Weakened global appetite for infrastructure Tactical / Short-term long-term finance, given liquidity crisis and  Reduce quantum of market-raised finance regulatory change – Increase competition amongst financing sources  Expanded role of local banks, implying: to influence pricing – Shorter-term financing (can cover construction) – Utilize government finance to lower PPP cost of capital and availability fee – Refinancing risks exist, complicated by a  Reduce private capital risk shortage of infrastructure-focused investors – Undertake part or all of its ultimate repayment, – Potential market congestion with raft of PPP but distinguish between senior and mezzanine projects scheduled in coming years in Kuwait equity  Reduce tenor of capital required  Other forms of transport infrastructure – Employ shorter term private sector capital which financing remain largely unproven, for could be more plentiful and cheaper example: Strategic / Long-term – Islamic finance  Promote development of infrastructure funds, – Projects bonds equity, and debt markets  Mismatch between government PPP ambitions  Encourage export credit in equipment and regional investor mix purchases and infrastructure development Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 23
  • 25. 3 PPP Enablers A robust evaluation methodology for procurement process is key to conclude a PPP transaction NON-EXHAUSTIVE Rail PPP Procurement – Key Evaluation Principles Principle Description  Provide clarity with respect to the methodology, process and results, with all parties having access to the same Transparency data Neutrality  Create a “level playing field” by not advantaging/disadvantaging any party over another  Allow for “apples-to-apples” comparison of applicants/bids by clearly defining the type and form of data to be Comparability provided by applicants/bidders as part of their RFQ application/bid submissions Confidentiality  Preserve utmost confidentiality of all evaluation materials, discussions and results Auditability  Provide an audit trail to allow relevant parties with the necessary access rights to revisit the basis of decisions  Provide consistency of approach across projects in the same sector being procured by the same Consistency government/procuring authority 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 24
  • 26. 3 PPP Enablers Ultimately, PPP is about ensuring long-term service performance, hence need for monitoring against KPIs NON EXHAUSTIVE Sample Scorecard for Operations Performance Indicators of Public transport Category KPI Frequency Target Actual Score  Punctuality – On time availability of vehicles M 95%  Fleet Failure – Number of failures per coach.km M OEM Guidelines Service Availability  Fleet Availability M 85%  On board equipment reliability S 98%  Coaches cleanliness M TBD  Clarity of on board information signage and systems M TBD Service Quality  Average time to repair defects S Less than 24 hours  Average time to respond to emergency incidents S Less than 1 hour  Nr of complaints resolved within 1 hour as % total number of M More than 95% complaints Customer Service  No of complaints as % of total passengers M Less than 5%  No of resolved complaints as % of total complaints M More than 90% Sustainability  Excess energy consumption per pax.km S TBD  Number of safety defects per year S Less than 10 Safety and Security  Number of accidents per year S None Above 100% of Target 90% – 100% of Target Less than 90% of Target M = Monthly ; S = Semi-Annually 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 25
  • 27. Overall, successful PPP schemes require a collaborative approach between the private and public sectors Demand Side – Public Sector Supply Side – Private Sector 1 Create the appropriate legal and regulatory 1 Local developers and operators should partner framework to encourage international private with international infrastructure operators to investments (e.g. PPP, concession law) – bid for PPP projects in the region – acquire best practices in managing and 2 Prioritize the projects according to long term strategy and structure them in order to allow for developing infrastructures easier debt and equity financing – optimize the life cycle cost, and quality of the service delivered 3 Adopt a value for money approach to define the risk allocation and to select the PPP scheme 2 Institutional investors should start to 4 Support the development of local institutional – Use other forms of financing which may involve investors (e.g. infrastructure funds) with medium to tapping into capital markets long term investment perspectives – Plan to be engaged for a longer term (e.g. 15+ years) 5 Further market targeted infrastructure projects in order to attract world-class investors and 3 Banks should accept to step in for short term developers financing (provided that they receive the comfort of Understand Customers! government and sponsor guarantees) in order to kick-start infrastructure projects Source: Booz & Company analysis 120417 Booz - Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 - Effective PSP in Metro and Rail projects vfff.pptx Booz & Company April 17th, 2012 Prepared for Kuwait Metro & Rail Conference 2012 26