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BOILING THE HUMAN




   CONVENIENCE AND CONFUSION
 ON THE PATH TO THE SINGULARITY
                 Tony Greenberg & Alex Veytsel
                                     RampRate
                                     Eric Pulier
                                    ServiceMesh
BASIC CHALLENGES



       Getting There from Here: Change is not inherently
        positive. Value-driven direction is vital.
       Land of the Lost: Exponential Tech can overwhelm
        Linear Human decision-making.
       Madoff’s Law: Anywhere a profit can be made, it
        will be, regardless of human consequences


    THE CONCERN:
        Madoff’s Law could thrive, creating an ugly future.
STUMBLING INTO
THE LAND OF THE LOST




    Technological
    Progress
                    Development


    Human-Scale
    Adaptation

                                          The Land
                                         Of the Lost


                                  Time
INNOVATING PAST THE
CHALLENGES…MAYBE




    Technological
    Progress


    Business-Model
    Adaptation                              v   ate
                                    In   no
                               e to
                           ilur
    Human-Scale       Fa
    Adaptation              Exploitative
                       Business Models
BOILING THE FROG
DRAWING THE LINE




     BUSINESS MODEL ADAPTATION
YESTERDAY’S REVOLUTIONS



          Revolutions in Connecting…
             People to People
             Information to Information
             People to Information


          And Now in Sharing…
BUILDING THE NEXT REVOLUTION:
             Bandwidth Heading to Zero
BUILDING THE NEXT REVOLUTION:
              Storage Heading to Zero
EXPONENTIAL “LAWS”
   TRANSFORMING BUSINESS




       Moore’s Law: Number of transistors on a circuit
        doubles and price halves every 12 to 18
        months.
       Metcalfe’s Law: A network’s value rises based
        on the square of the number of users.
       Zuckerberg’s Law: The amount of information
        shared between people doubles every 12 to 18
        months.
       Pulier’s Law: The time and cost to launch a
        venture that reaches 100M people halves
        every 12 to 18 months.
THE CONVENIENCE EFFECT



•Default becomes “open”
•Privacy becomes a “process”

                AMAZON
                GOOGLE
                FACEBOOK
                TWITTER
                ZYNGA
                FOURSQUARE


                 Then… we turn up the heat a little more…
WITH GREAT POWER…




     …COMES GREAT RESPONSIBILITY
   Or just a great opportunity to make a LOT of money…
INNOVATION:
SOME MARKETS ARE WILDLY SUCCESSFUL




1943 (apocryphal) target market:   2009 market:
5 units worldwide (faux photo)     274 million units per year
INNOVATION:
     the PROMISE




  In 1962          In 1989
Innovation:
The PAYOFF?
FAILURE TO INNOVATE




    Technological
    Progress


    Business Model
    Adaptation                              v   ate
                                    In   no
                               e to
                           ilur
    Human Scale       Fa
    Adaptation
EXPLOITED IN
THE LAND OF THE LOST




    Technological
    Progress


    Business Model
    Adaptation


    Human Scale
    Adaptation              Exploitative
                       Business Models
THE PARADOX OF CHOICE




           happiness
 Alfred                             Greg
 Toffler                     Easterbrook




                   choices
FLEEING FROM CHOICE…
          …TO CONFORMITY
CUSTOMER DISSERVICE:
2010’S WORST COMPANIES




                        21 of 32 nominees are pure services
                         companies
                        3 of 4 finalists-
                        The eventual “winner”?



                        The Lesson: Services Markets
                         Reward Poor Customer Service
ARE WE BUILDING
A TRANSHUMANIST SERVICES MARKET?




                                   Future Services
                                    Virtual reality
                                    Bio-Uploading

                                    Cryonics

                                    Nanotech
OR ARE WE BUILDING A…
Transhumanist DISSERVICES Market?
HUMAN-SCALE ADAPTATION:
         SHIFTING THE CURVE
MUCH ADO ABOUT…
      SOMETHING?




          Fear mongering not the same as
           organizing behavior change…

           We Need Systemic Solutions.
YOUR ASSIGNMENT:
HOW TO CREATE THE RIGHT MARKET?




          Focus on:
              More Innovation
              Less Exploitation

          Resources needed:
              Regulation – In time? Not co-opted?
              Covenants – How many altruists are there?
              Impartial Arbiters – Who’s really impartial?
              Individual Choice – Did you go open source? Did
               you ditch Facebook?
WHERE NEXT?
ERIC’S IDEAS



         Create A Singularity Bill of Rights for humans
          and machines.

         The Singularity Stock Exchange SSE rates
          companies against its Bill of Rights. Capture the
          conscious capitalist!

         The Next Green Movement. Encourage
          support, pacts with higher-ranked companies.

         Create predictable correlation between stock
          price and market success with Singularity Stock
          Exchange price.
ALEX’S IDEAS




          Divorce political organization from
           geography
          Create self-selecting communities
          Virtual societies compete for citizens
          More citizens = More influence
          Political service becomes political
           imperative
TONY’S IDEAS



A    world without exploitative
    sales and salesmanship
   But How?
       Awareness.
       Expectations.
       Accountability/Transparency
       Automagical software that meshes people/technology
        needs and consciousness
THANK YOU




            Write us at:


            tony@ramprate.com




                           This presentation will be available at
                                        www.BoilTheMan.com

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Building a Services Market for the Transhuman Era - Tony Greenberg - H+ Summit @ Harvard

  • 1. BOILING THE HUMAN CONVENIENCE AND CONFUSION ON THE PATH TO THE SINGULARITY Tony Greenberg & Alex Veytsel RampRate Eric Pulier ServiceMesh
  • 2. BASIC CHALLENGES  Getting There from Here: Change is not inherently positive. Value-driven direction is vital.  Land of the Lost: Exponential Tech can overwhelm Linear Human decision-making.  Madoff’s Law: Anywhere a profit can be made, it will be, regardless of human consequences THE CONCERN: Madoff’s Law could thrive, creating an ugly future.
  • 3. STUMBLING INTO THE LAND OF THE LOST Technological Progress Development Human-Scale Adaptation The Land Of the Lost Time
  • 4. INNOVATING PAST THE CHALLENGES…MAYBE Technological Progress Business-Model Adaptation v ate In no e to ilur Human-Scale Fa Adaptation Exploitative Business Models
  • 6. DRAWING THE LINE BUSINESS MODEL ADAPTATION
  • 7. YESTERDAY’S REVOLUTIONS  Revolutions in Connecting…  People to People  Information to Information  People to Information  And Now in Sharing…
  • 8. BUILDING THE NEXT REVOLUTION: Bandwidth Heading to Zero
  • 9. BUILDING THE NEXT REVOLUTION: Storage Heading to Zero
  • 10. EXPONENTIAL “LAWS” TRANSFORMING BUSINESS  Moore’s Law: Number of transistors on a circuit doubles and price halves every 12 to 18 months.  Metcalfe’s Law: A network’s value rises based on the square of the number of users.  Zuckerberg’s Law: The amount of information shared between people doubles every 12 to 18 months.  Pulier’s Law: The time and cost to launch a venture that reaches 100M people halves every 12 to 18 months.
  • 11. THE CONVENIENCE EFFECT •Default becomes “open” •Privacy becomes a “process”  AMAZON  GOOGLE  FACEBOOK  TWITTER  ZYNGA  FOURSQUARE Then… we turn up the heat a little more…
  • 12. WITH GREAT POWER… …COMES GREAT RESPONSIBILITY Or just a great opportunity to make a LOT of money…
  • 13. INNOVATION: SOME MARKETS ARE WILDLY SUCCESSFUL 1943 (apocryphal) target market: 2009 market: 5 units worldwide (faux photo) 274 million units per year
  • 14. INNOVATION: the PROMISE In 1962 In 1989
  • 16. FAILURE TO INNOVATE Technological Progress Business Model Adaptation v ate In no e to ilur Human Scale Fa Adaptation
  • 17. EXPLOITED IN THE LAND OF THE LOST Technological Progress Business Model Adaptation Human Scale Adaptation Exploitative Business Models
  • 18. THE PARADOX OF CHOICE happiness Alfred Greg Toffler Easterbrook choices
  • 19. FLEEING FROM CHOICE… …TO CONFORMITY
  • 20. CUSTOMER DISSERVICE: 2010’S WORST COMPANIES  21 of 32 nominees are pure services companies  3 of 4 finalists-  The eventual “winner”?  The Lesson: Services Markets Reward Poor Customer Service
  • 21. ARE WE BUILDING A TRANSHUMANIST SERVICES MARKET? Future Services  Virtual reality  Bio-Uploading  Cryonics  Nanotech
  • 22. OR ARE WE BUILDING A… Transhumanist DISSERVICES Market?
  • 23. HUMAN-SCALE ADAPTATION: SHIFTING THE CURVE
  • 24. MUCH ADO ABOUT… SOMETHING? Fear mongering not the same as organizing behavior change… We Need Systemic Solutions.
  • 25. YOUR ASSIGNMENT: HOW TO CREATE THE RIGHT MARKET?  Focus on:  More Innovation  Less Exploitation  Resources needed:  Regulation – In time? Not co-opted?  Covenants – How many altruists are there?  Impartial Arbiters – Who’s really impartial?  Individual Choice – Did you go open source? Did you ditch Facebook?
  • 27. ERIC’S IDEAS  Create A Singularity Bill of Rights for humans and machines.  The Singularity Stock Exchange SSE rates companies against its Bill of Rights. Capture the conscious capitalist!  The Next Green Movement. Encourage support, pacts with higher-ranked companies.  Create predictable correlation between stock price and market success with Singularity Stock Exchange price.
  • 28. ALEX’S IDEAS  Divorce political organization from geography  Create self-selecting communities  Virtual societies compete for citizens  More citizens = More influence  Political service becomes political imperative
  • 29. TONY’S IDEAS A world without exploitative sales and salesmanship  But How?  Awareness.  Expectations.  Accountability/Transparency  Automagical software that meshes people/technology needs and consciousness
  • 30. THANK YOU Write us at: tony@ramprate.com This presentation will be available at www.BoilTheMan.com