Bringing About A Broadband Future For Thailand2

ICT2020 Broadband Challenges

Bringing about a
Broadband Future
for Thailand

Thaweesak Koanantakool
Vice President,
National Science and Technology Development Agency
28 January 2010
Bringing about a Broadband Future for Thailand
Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010

Agenda
• What can you do with broadband?
• Global broadband situation -
Who has the fastest broadband?
• Does broadband contribute to our
economy?
• ICT Policies: IT2010-IT2020
• Our Entangled Regulatory Environment
• National Broadband Goals for Thailand
2020
• Challenges and The Way Forward

Thaweesak Koanantakool, 28 January 2010 2

What can you do with broadband?


Applications, Bandwidth and Technology
Source: Verizon

Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf for Thailand
Bringing about a Broadband Future

Which screen will you
be using?


Who has the fastest broadband service?

Best Broadband Speeds of Selected Countries
-
2000 2009

200

150
Mbps

100

50

0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

USA UK Sweden Korea Japan

* In case of missing data, the previous year’s speed is used.
Source: OECD 2005-2008 and countries’ broadband data

Broadband status: World


Who has the fastest broadband service?

100 000

90 000
OECD Broadband statistics
[oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband]
80 000

70 000
5a. Average advertised broadband
download speed, by country, kbit/s,
60 000
Sept 2008
50 000

40 000

30 000

20 000

10 000

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Spa
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Tur k
Fr an

Finla

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Stat

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Nor w

Mex
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ICT Status: Fixed, Mobile and Internet Usage
in Thailand
Fixed Lines Mobile Internet
Subscribers Penetration Subscribers Penetration Number of Penetration
(in 000s) Rate (in 000s) Rate Users Rate
(in 000s)
2003 6,320 9.9 21,828 34.1 6,000 9.4

2004 6,481 10.0 27,379 42.5 6,970 10.8

2005 6,671 10.3 31,137 47.9 9,909 15.2

2006 6,708 10.2 40,723 62.2 11,413 17.4

2007 6,709 10.2 53,000 80.4 13,416 20.3

2008 N/A N/A 62,000 93.7 16,100 24.3

Source: TOT; ITU; and NECTEC Bringing about a Broadband Future for Thailand

Broadband Status: Broadband Subscribers

* The NTC reports the number of broadband subscribers in Q2/2552 at 1.8 millions

Source: IDC Thailand; the NTC Bringing about a Broadband Future for Thailand

Does broadband availability contributes
to economy?

Economy Broadband


ICT Policy - IT2000
• Thailand to become a Sustainable Economy
• Three main development “pillars”
– National Information Infrastructure
– Human Development
– Good Governance
• Key driver: The National IT Committee
– NII: Privatization of CAT, TOT; Establishment of
NTC/NBC; Providing a universal access law
– HD: IT in schools, SchoolNet Thailand
– Good Governance;:Government CIO program, Y2K
handling, Government IT Service Organization (GITS),
minimum IT equipment in government agencies

ICT Policy - IT2010
• Drive Thailand towards a Knowledge-based
Economy
• Three Policy Issues:
– Strengthen information
infrastructure and industry
– Build human capital
– Promote innovation


ICT Policy - IT2010
Five main focuses:
– eSociety
– eEducation
– eGovernment
– eIndustry
– eCommerce
• Implemented by two ICT Master Plans
– ICT Master Plan 1 (2003-2008)
– ICT Master Plan 2 (2009-2012)
• Create a Ministry to execute the work
– NECTEC → Ministry of Information and
Communications Technology

In progress – ICT2020

• NECTEC and MICT jointly formulating a
comprehensive ICT policy framework for the
next 10 years with all stakeholders
• To take into consideration:
– Lessons learned: ICT2010 and past ICT Masterplans
– World’s economic, social and environmental trends
– Thailand’s development plan set forth by the NESDB
• To set an ambitious yet realistic goal to drive
Thailand’s ICT development


Does broadband contributes to our
economy?

• Broadband development is not “for the sake of
having broadband”
• but to ensure that Thailand will have the best
infrastructure to accommodate
– Vibrant ICT industry: Hardware, software, and digital content
sectors
– Strong participatory and transparent governments at both
national and local levels
– Sound economic development, especially in the agricultural
sector
– Solid social development and social inclusion, especially in
health and education
– Proactive environmental protection and disaster management


Who will you be talking to?

Social media needs “always-on” narrowband services.

Picture source: slideshare.net

Crowd-sourcing of contents - Power!!

• Swine-flu exploration
• Disaster in China, Haiti
• Amazing collaboration at the global scale
• YouTube Orchestra
• etc.

Health Application- Nurse Gudrun, Sweden
• Senior citizen in Karlskrona can get remote medical advice
• IPTV linked to the local healthcare clinic through broadband.

• Healthcare channel - Nurse Gudrun to appear on the screen, saving
time, effort, and money.
• Typical visit to the clinic costs patient around €150;
the cost for video call counseling is €10
Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf

Education Application – Singapore iN2015
Students
• Connecting with teachers via e-books, games, videos, intelligent
assessment, virtual experiment, etc.
• Being active in online communities and learning through games
• Learning via virtual tutors and mentors
• Communicating real-time with peers in other countries
• Teachers
• Giving lessons to students overseas
• Participating in think-tank and research groups
• Sharing ideas and experience in community of practice
• Upgrading themselves professionally
• Parents
• Connecting to teachers and children to monitor their progress in
school


Source: Singapore’s iN2015

Ultimate Broadband Goals for Thailand in 2020

• Everyone in Thailand will
– have access to a “sustainable” national broadband
network and
– Be guaranteed broadband services that are affordable
and of high-quality
• How?


Broadband Challenge 1:

• Concession trap
– Delay in 3G licensing & deployment
– Problems with existing concessions and loss of
revenues to state-owned telcos once 2G providers
moving their customers over to their new 3G network
– State-owned telcos: rolling back of privatization and
lack of incentives to compete

Our Entangled Regulatory
Environment needs a big clean up

Existing Mobile Concessions
Operator Network Concession Period Revenue
Granted by (Year expired) Sharing

AIS 900 GSM TOT 25 years 15-30%
(2015)

DTAC 1800 GSM CAT 27 years 12-30%
(2017)

Orange 1800 GSM CAT 16 years 25-30%
(True move) (2013)

DPC 1800 GSM CAT 16 years 25-30%
(2015)

End the concessions sooner...
Source: Adapted from http://www.ndaventures.com/Thailand_Telecom_Brief.pdf p.6

Challenge 2:

• FTTx/ FTTP for Thailand
– Upgrading from copper to optical fiber
– Migrating to IP-based/ packet-switched networks
– Appropriate investment models – Government
funding? Public-private partnership? Private
investment? Combination of methods?

New technologies needs solid national
open access network backbone

Challenge 3:

• Some pressing regulatory issues
– Strong competition policy to discourage abuse of
power by incumbents
• Account separation/ structural separation
– Open access backbone network
• Reducing redundancy
– Unbundling policy for last miles
– Hand-off policy for value-added services
– Consumer protection: Price, speed & quality of
service


Infrastructure Sweet Spots lead to
Happy Operators


Challenge 4:

• Bridging the digital divide
– Moving forwards technologically while ensuring
nobody is left behind
– Appropriate investment models to encourage
broadband deployment in rural and other cost-
prohibitive areas
• Deployment of wired + wireless networks
• Appropriate USO/ funding mechanisms

Watch for LTE and Femtocells,
and be watchful for 3G and WiMAX.

Further Steps for the next 10 years?

• Addressing management and regulatory issues
– End of concession era
– ICT2020 and the national broadband plan?
• Upgrading the networks
– Backbone: Complete migration from copper to fiber
– Last miles: 100% coverage using a combination of wired and
wireless technologies
• Investing in infrastructure with “sustainability” in
mind
– Gradual upgrades
– Shared resources with little redundancy/ Open access networks
– Reuse of equipment where possible


The Way Forward
• Clean up the Concession Contracts
• Redefine TOT/CAT Infrastructure Sweet Spots
• Create happy operator environment –
level-playing field
• Creating local industry on broadband
infrastructure
– Service Innovations by Thai Companies
– Export potential
• Protecting & educating consumers
– Focus on price, speed, and quality of broadband
services
– Channels to address grievance

Thank you for your attention
htk@nectec.or.th

Image credits:

Slide 1: http://www.flickr.com/photos/darthmaus/386383244/
Slide 4: http://www.youtube.com
Slide 5: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf
Slide 6: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf
Slide 7: Singapore’s iN2015
Slide 9: OECD and ITIF Broadband Rankings [Information Technology and Innovation Foundation]
Slide 10: Internet World Stats Broadband Penetration [Information Technology and Innovation
Foundation]
Slide 12: IDC Thailand


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