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Theory of Falsification and its evolution
Domain of this talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Philosophy of Science
The Middle Ages ,[object Object],[object Object],Saint Augustine   Islamic  al- Andalus  passed much of this on to Europe  The replacement of  Roman numerals  with the  decimal   positional number system  and the invention of  algebra  allowed more advanced mathematics .  First Crusade 1095-1099 Second Crusade 1147–1149 116 years of war from 1337 – 1453 Between France & England Islamic Golden Age
Heliocentrism & Church ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Galileo (1564 – 1642) Thomas Aikenhead  (c.  1678  -  8 January   1697 ) was a  Scottish  student from  Edinburgh , who was prosecuted and executed on a charge of  blasphemy
Logical Induction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bacon (1561-1626)
Laws of motion "Gravity explains the motions of the planets, but it cannot explain who set the planets in motion. God governs all things and knows all that is or can be done." [17]   Newton may have rejected the church's doctrine of the Trinity.  Newton refashioned the world governed by an interventionist God into a world crafted by a God that designs along rational and universal principles. [24]  These principles were available for all people to discover, allowed people to pursue their own aims fruitfully in this life, not  the next , and to perfect themselves with their own rational powers. [25]   Sir   Isaac Newton  ( 1643  –  1727 )
Epistemology Knowledge is justified true belief   The justification for the belief must be infallible.  The Gettier problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
18th Century Epistemologist Rationalism Descartes Spinoza Leibniz Empiricism Locke Berkeley Hume Wolff Kant It is our ideas which give form to reality, not reality which gives form to our ideas.
All A observed so far are B.   [i.e. All A are B]  X is an A not yet observed.     [i.e. X is not an A]  Therefore X is B.        [X is B.] What does it take to confirm a universal generalization? Logical Problem of Induction Deductive logic  (drastically oversimplified): All A are B.  X is an A.  Therefore X is B. Inductive logic All copper we have tested conducts electricity.  X is a piece of copper yet to be tested.  Therefore X will conduct electricity.
Logical Positivism  ,[object Object],[object Object],Tractatus   Logico-Philosophicus   Rudolf Carnap  ( 1891 - 1970 )   Bertrand Russell  ( 1872 – 1970 )   Ludwig Wittgenstein  ( 1889  – 1951 )
Goodman’s Riddle: Grue and Bleen ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bleen : X is examined before the year 2000 and found to be blue, or X is not examined until after the year 2000 and found to be green Green : X is green if examined before the year 2000 and found to be grue, or X is not examined until after the year 2000 and found to be bleen. Henry Nelson Goodman  ( 1906 - 1998 )
The Falsification Thesis Sir Karl Raimund Popper  ( 1902  – 1994 )   ,[object Object],[object Object],He published his first book, Logik der Forschung ( The Logic of Scientific Discovery ), in  1934 . Here, he criticised  psychologism ,  naturalism ,  inductionism , and  logical positivism , and put forth his theory of potential  falsifiability  as the criterion demarcating science from non-science.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],you can never justify any scientific theory, but you can falsify it   Charles Robert Darwin  ( 1809  – 1882 )   Karl Heinrich Marx  ( 1818  – 1883 )   Sigismund Freud  ( 1856  – 1939 )
Einstein’s General Relativity: If it had failed its famous test of 1919, no one would have taken it seriously. But it passed the test, and Newton’s theory of gravitation was refuted. Albert Einstein  (1879-1955) Light from a star passing near the Sun should be deflected. The evidence is the displacement of the star’s apparent position. Empirical Test of  General Relativity
Falsification of  Darwinian Evolution Richard Dawkins  said that "If there were a single hippo or rabbit in the Precambrian, that would completely blow evolution out of the water. None have ever been found.  Human DNA should be more similar to great apes than other mammals. If this is not the case, then common descent is falsified.   Popper said that natural selection "is not a testable scientific theory but a  metaphysical  research program". However, Popper later said "I have changed my mind about the testability and logical status of the theory of natural selection, and I am glad to have the opportunity to make a recantation." "Darwin's own most important contribution to the theory of evolution, his theory of natural selection, is difficult to test." However, "[t]here are some tests, even some experimental tests; and in some cases, such as the famous phenomenon known as 'industrial melanism', we can observe natural selection happening under our very eyes, as it were. Nevertheless, really severe tests of the theory of natural selection are hard to come by, much more so than tests of otherwise comparable theories in physics or chemistry." The model of  cultural evolution  known as  memetics  is as of yet unfalsifiable
Popperian Cosmology World 1 : the world of physical  objects  and  events , including  biological  entities  World 2 : the world of  mental  objects and events  World 3 : the world of the products of the human  mind
Critical Rationalism Critical Rationalism is the acceptance of human fallibility Critical Rationalism:  Scientific  theories , and any other claims to knowledge, can and should be rationally criticized, and (if they have  empirical  content) can and should be subjected to tests which may falsify them.  Fallibilism   Evolutionary Epistemology The mere fact that a theory has survived the most rigorous empirical tests available does not, in the calculus of probability, predict its ability to survive future testing  Evolutionary epistemologists argue that units of knowledge themselves, particularly scientific  theories , evolve according to selection  Brian Skyrms
Is it really falsifiable ,[object Object],Newtonian Gravitation Theory: Predicts that every acceleration of every body can be traced to an interaction with some other body, according to their masses and the distance between them. What to do when we observe an acceleration that has no visible source? Is the theory refuted? No : The theory demands that the missing mass be found.
Duhem-Quine Thesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Theory-Laden: interpretation of observation is dependent on theory   Dark Matter underdetermination  of theories  Pierre Duhem  ( 1861 – 1916 )
Reductionism  ,[object Object],[object Object],Descartes argued the world was like a machine, its pieces like clockwork mechanisms, and that the machine could be understood by taking its pieces apart, studying them, and then putting them back together to see the larger picture.  behavioral sciences should become "genuine" scientific disciplines by being based on genetic biology, and on the systematic study of culture (cf. Dawkins's concept of  memes )  Daniel Dennett   Steven Arthur Pinker
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Paradigm Shifts
Multiple Realizability Contrary to the famous claim of type-identity theory, it was not true that "pain is identical to  C- fibre  firing."  Against  Type-Identity functional isomorphism = "Two systems are functionally isomorphic if there is a correspondence between the states of one and the states of the other that preserves functional relations."  Functionalism  is a theory of the mind in contemporary  philosophy , developed largely as an alternative to both the  identity theory of mind  and  behaviorism . Its core idea is that mental states (beliefs, desires, being in pain, etc.) are constituted solely by their functional role — that is, their causal relations to other mental states, sensory inputs, and behavioral outputs.  Hilary Whitehall Putnam
[object Object],Radical   T ranslation  /  Indeterminacy   of   Translation I don’t know Source:   http://www.consciousentities.com/gavagai.htm Imagine you come across a new tribe in the Brazilian jungle, and the task is to interpret their language: to find out word-meanings and rules of grammar. This situation is entirely different from second-language learning. There are no familiar-sounding words, no teacher who speaks both languages, etc.
Two Dogmas of Empiricism ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Analyticity and Circularity Quine’s Holism Quantum Logic Duhem–Quine Thesis Cats are animals evidence confirms or disconfirms not just a specific hypothesis, but a whole theory   we do not, or should not, regard any sentence as "immune from revision," since there may be circumstances in which the best way to revise our overall theory is to give up some sentence which had previously seemed unshakeable--even "definitions."  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Holism Math logic The totality of our so-called knowledge or beliefs ... is a man-made fabric which impinges on experience only along the edges ... A conflict with experience at the periphery occasions readjustments in the interior of the field ... But the total field is so undetermined by its boundary conditions, experience, that there is much latitude of choice as to what statements to re-evaluate in the light of any single contrary experience ... If this view is right, it is misleading to speak of the empirical content of an individual statement ...
Claims (Lessons) from this talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Theory Of Falsification And Its Evolution

  • 1. Theory of Falsification and its evolution
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  • 6. Laws of motion "Gravity explains the motions of the planets, but it cannot explain who set the planets in motion. God governs all things and knows all that is or can be done." [17] Newton may have rejected the church's doctrine of the Trinity. Newton refashioned the world governed by an interventionist God into a world crafted by a God that designs along rational and universal principles. [24] These principles were available for all people to discover, allowed people to pursue their own aims fruitfully in this life, not the next , and to perfect themselves with their own rational powers. [25] Sir Isaac Newton ( 1643  – 1727 )
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  • 8. 18th Century Epistemologist Rationalism Descartes Spinoza Leibniz Empiricism Locke Berkeley Hume Wolff Kant It is our ideas which give form to reality, not reality which gives form to our ideas.
  • 9. All A observed so far are B.   [i.e. All A are B] X is an A not yet observed.     [i.e. X is not an A] Therefore X is B.       [X is B.] What does it take to confirm a universal generalization? Logical Problem of Induction Deductive logic (drastically oversimplified): All A are B. X is an A. Therefore X is B. Inductive logic All copper we have tested conducts electricity. X is a piece of copper yet to be tested. Therefore X will conduct electricity.
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  • 13. Einstein’s General Relativity: If it had failed its famous test of 1919, no one would have taken it seriously. But it passed the test, and Newton’s theory of gravitation was refuted. Albert Einstein (1879-1955) Light from a star passing near the Sun should be deflected. The evidence is the displacement of the star’s apparent position. Empirical Test of General Relativity
  • 14. Falsification of Darwinian Evolution Richard Dawkins said that "If there were a single hippo or rabbit in the Precambrian, that would completely blow evolution out of the water. None have ever been found. Human DNA should be more similar to great apes than other mammals. If this is not the case, then common descent is falsified. Popper said that natural selection "is not a testable scientific theory but a metaphysical research program". However, Popper later said "I have changed my mind about the testability and logical status of the theory of natural selection, and I am glad to have the opportunity to make a recantation." "Darwin's own most important contribution to the theory of evolution, his theory of natural selection, is difficult to test." However, "[t]here are some tests, even some experimental tests; and in some cases, such as the famous phenomenon known as 'industrial melanism', we can observe natural selection happening under our very eyes, as it were. Nevertheless, really severe tests of the theory of natural selection are hard to come by, much more so than tests of otherwise comparable theories in physics or chemistry." The model of cultural evolution known as memetics is as of yet unfalsifiable
  • 15. Popperian Cosmology World 1 : the world of physical objects and events , including biological entities World 2 : the world of mental objects and events World 3 : the world of the products of the human mind
  • 16. Critical Rationalism Critical Rationalism is the acceptance of human fallibility Critical Rationalism: Scientific theories , and any other claims to knowledge, can and should be rationally criticized, and (if they have empirical content) can and should be subjected to tests which may falsify them. Fallibilism Evolutionary Epistemology The mere fact that a theory has survived the most rigorous empirical tests available does not, in the calculus of probability, predict its ability to survive future testing Evolutionary epistemologists argue that units of knowledge themselves, particularly scientific theories , evolve according to selection Brian Skyrms
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  • 21. Multiple Realizability Contrary to the famous claim of type-identity theory, it was not true that "pain is identical to C- fibre firing." Against Type-Identity functional isomorphism = "Two systems are functionally isomorphic if there is a correspondence between the states of one and the states of the other that preserves functional relations." Functionalism is a theory of the mind in contemporary philosophy , developed largely as an alternative to both the identity theory of mind and behaviorism . Its core idea is that mental states (beliefs, desires, being in pain, etc.) are constituted solely by their functional role — that is, their causal relations to other mental states, sensory inputs, and behavioral outputs. Hilary Whitehall Putnam
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  • 24. Holism Math logic The totality of our so-called knowledge or beliefs ... is a man-made fabric which impinges on experience only along the edges ... A conflict with experience at the periphery occasions readjustments in the interior of the field ... But the total field is so undetermined by its boundary conditions, experience, that there is much latitude of choice as to what statements to re-evaluate in the light of any single contrary experience ... If this view is right, it is misleading to speak of the empirical content of an individual statement ...
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