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Maximizing Business Value Through
Projects:
Doing less and achieving more!
Thomas G. Lechler
Stevens Institute of Technology
Hoboken NJ
2
Destroying Value by Doing too Much!
• A large communications company that develops
infrastructure equipment completed,
• 20 projects all were delayed.
• 4 projects consumed 80% of the human resources.
3
Introduction
• In the planning stage managers try to allocate 100% of all
available resources to implement the selected projects.
• The problem is, that this strategy would not allow for acting on
potential risks and uncertainties while implementing the projects.
• We develop a simple and effective counter-intuitive heuristic to
address this problem.
• We create a simulation tool allowing us to test resource allocation
strategies in realistic environments.
4
Research Question & Methodology
Research Question:
• How does project selection and resource allocation affect the
value of an organization?
Methodology:
• A self developed simulation platform is used to test different
project scenarios.
• Different scenarios of multitasking and non-multitasking
approaches for various sets of projects are simulated.
• Main variables are value, resource buffer and project risk.
5
Assumptions
• Stochastic vs. deterministic environment.
• Specific vs. general resources.
• Resource bottlenecks average out across different types of
projects.
• Organizational value is average net profit of project portfolio.
• Project revenues are lump sum payments.
• Project risks: actual work exceeds planned work.
• Each scenario is constantly repeated.
6
Scenarios
Buffers and Project Risks and Allocation Strategies
• Buffer size ranges between:
 0% (full 100% use of available resources) and
 25% (working at 75% of capacity).
• Project risks: Standard deviation of each activity ranges between:
 0% (deterministic case) and
 25% (stochastic case).
• Multitasking vs. Non multitasking
7
Results – Scenario 1: No Multitasking
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
AverageNetProfit
Standard Deviation
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
100% resource allocation is the worst strategy!
8
Results – Scenario 2: Multitasking
-30,000
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
AverageNetProfit
Standard Deviation
0% 5% 10% 20% 25%
Multitasking strategies do not find a stable resource
buffer strategy!
9
Results – Scenario 3: Multitasking vs. No Multitasking
-30,000
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
AverageNetProfit
Standard Deviation
Multitasking; Buffer=0% Multitasking; Buffer=25%
Non-multitasking;Buffer=0% Non-multitasking; Buffer=25%
Multitasking strategies are inferior to non-
multitasking strategies!
10
25-25 Heuristic: Simple Implementation Concept
• Eliminate 25% of all active projects: Strategic Gating
• Reduce 25% in workload: Simplify remaining active
projects
Oysters
White Elephants
Low Hanging
Fruit
Pearls
$Importance
Ease to complete
11
25-25 Implementation Impact at Company P
• 2002, company P was losing money
• Change production methods and procedures,
• Improved quality,
• Cut average manufacturing lead time by 50%,
• Reduced inventories by 30%, and
• increased throughput by 40%,
• reduced setup times from 2 hours to less than 10
minutes
• 2003 company P is profitable again
12
25-25 Implementation Impact at Company P
• 2006, the number of R&D projects in process exceeded
40
– High percentage of missed deadlines
– Excessive overtime
– increased time spent on client support
• Focusing Matrix: Only 14 of the 40 R&D projects in the
current portfolio passed the screening.
• Company sold for 10-times the initial value
13
Lessons Learned
• The higher the level of multitasking within a multi-project system
the less project portfolio value could be created.
• A general resource buffer of around 10% will enable the portfolio
to achieve an overall value that is close to the maximum.
• Costs for idle resources lower than losses from delayed projects.
• 25-25 heuristic a good process to influence value immediately.
14
Thank you
15
Results – Scenario 1
Hypothesis 1 - Buffers and Project Variation
• The results show that when no variation is included, the highest
project value is produced when 100% of resources are employed.
• When variation is introduced, the value of projects utilizing 100%
of resources deteriorates much quicker than in scenarios where we
use buffers.
16
Results – Hypothesis 2
Multitasking vs. Non-Multitasking
• In the deterministic scenario both multitasking and non-
multitasking strategies no buffer is necessary and both strategies
produce identical results.
• In the stochastic scenario, the portfolio value in the multitasking
case deteriorates much quicker than in the non-multitasking case.
This supports hypothesis 2a.

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Week12 slides

  • 1. Maximizing Business Value Through Projects: Doing less and achieving more! Thomas G. Lechler Stevens Institute of Technology Hoboken NJ
  • 2. 2 Destroying Value by Doing too Much! • A large communications company that develops infrastructure equipment completed, • 20 projects all were delayed. • 4 projects consumed 80% of the human resources.
  • 3. 3 Introduction • In the planning stage managers try to allocate 100% of all available resources to implement the selected projects. • The problem is, that this strategy would not allow for acting on potential risks and uncertainties while implementing the projects. • We develop a simple and effective counter-intuitive heuristic to address this problem. • We create a simulation tool allowing us to test resource allocation strategies in realistic environments.
  • 4. 4 Research Question & Methodology Research Question: • How does project selection and resource allocation affect the value of an organization? Methodology: • A self developed simulation platform is used to test different project scenarios. • Different scenarios of multitasking and non-multitasking approaches for various sets of projects are simulated. • Main variables are value, resource buffer and project risk.
  • 5. 5 Assumptions • Stochastic vs. deterministic environment. • Specific vs. general resources. • Resource bottlenecks average out across different types of projects. • Organizational value is average net profit of project portfolio. • Project revenues are lump sum payments. • Project risks: actual work exceeds planned work. • Each scenario is constantly repeated.
  • 6. 6 Scenarios Buffers and Project Risks and Allocation Strategies • Buffer size ranges between:  0% (full 100% use of available resources) and  25% (working at 75% of capacity). • Project risks: Standard deviation of each activity ranges between:  0% (deterministic case) and  25% (stochastic case). • Multitasking vs. Non multitasking
  • 7. 7 Results – Scenario 1: No Multitasking 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% AverageNetProfit Standard Deviation 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 100% resource allocation is the worst strategy!
  • 8. 8 Results – Scenario 2: Multitasking -30,000 -25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% AverageNetProfit Standard Deviation 0% 5% 10% 20% 25% Multitasking strategies do not find a stable resource buffer strategy!
  • 9. 9 Results – Scenario 3: Multitasking vs. No Multitasking -30,000 -25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% AverageNetProfit Standard Deviation Multitasking; Buffer=0% Multitasking; Buffer=25% Non-multitasking;Buffer=0% Non-multitasking; Buffer=25% Multitasking strategies are inferior to non- multitasking strategies!
  • 10. 10 25-25 Heuristic: Simple Implementation Concept • Eliminate 25% of all active projects: Strategic Gating • Reduce 25% in workload: Simplify remaining active projects Oysters White Elephants Low Hanging Fruit Pearls $Importance Ease to complete
  • 11. 11 25-25 Implementation Impact at Company P • 2002, company P was losing money • Change production methods and procedures, • Improved quality, • Cut average manufacturing lead time by 50%, • Reduced inventories by 30%, and • increased throughput by 40%, • reduced setup times from 2 hours to less than 10 minutes • 2003 company P is profitable again
  • 12. 12 25-25 Implementation Impact at Company P • 2006, the number of R&D projects in process exceeded 40 – High percentage of missed deadlines – Excessive overtime – increased time spent on client support • Focusing Matrix: Only 14 of the 40 R&D projects in the current portfolio passed the screening. • Company sold for 10-times the initial value
  • 13. 13 Lessons Learned • The higher the level of multitasking within a multi-project system the less project portfolio value could be created. • A general resource buffer of around 10% will enable the portfolio to achieve an overall value that is close to the maximum. • Costs for idle resources lower than losses from delayed projects. • 25-25 heuristic a good process to influence value immediately.
  • 15. 15 Results – Scenario 1 Hypothesis 1 - Buffers and Project Variation • The results show that when no variation is included, the highest project value is produced when 100% of resources are employed. • When variation is introduced, the value of projects utilizing 100% of resources deteriorates much quicker than in scenarios where we use buffers.
  • 16. 16 Results – Hypothesis 2 Multitasking vs. Non-Multitasking • In the deterministic scenario both multitasking and non- multitasking strategies no buffer is necessary and both strategies produce identical results. • In the stochastic scenario, the portfolio value in the multitasking case deteriorates much quicker than in the non-multitasking case. This supports hypothesis 2a.