Learning Scenarios
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These are the slides used by Willem Manders and Hans de Zwart to help facilitate a workshop at Online Educa 2011 in which learning scenarios were developed.
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Learning Scenarios
- 2. Willem Manders Hans de Zwart Laura Overton Charles Jennings David Mallon
- 3. “Scenarios are stories about the future, but their purpose is to make better decisions in the present”
- 4. "When a meeting, or part thereof, is held under the Chatham House Rule, participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed"
- 6. @lrnscen #lrnscen
- 7. Today (from 10:00 – 13:00) Workshop participants Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 8. This afternoon Willem, Hans and interested others Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 9. During the conference All Business Educa participants Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 10. After the conference Everybody individually + teleconference Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 11. Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 12. Identifying driving forces adapted from Kees van der Heijden
- 13. The Systems Iceberg (adapted from Peter Senge)
- 14. News events Patterns of system behaviour (Trends) Deep system structure (Driving Forces)
- 15. Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 16. Uncertainties...
- 17. In 60 minutes: Time horizon: 5 – 10 years out (2015-2020) 1. Brainstorm key trends and uncertainties Make sure to capture extreme outcomes: 2. Cluster, prioritise and eliminate duplicates 3. Report back to the whole group
- 18. Introduction to scenarios Brainstorming and clustering trends & uncertainties Create mini-scenarios Consolidate scenarios Signs and signals Review learning challenges and strategy
- 19. In 60 minutes: 1. Put two key independent uncertainties in a matrix 2. Describe scenario characteristics for each quadrant 3. Create a name for each quadrant 4. Report back to the whole group
- 20. What is next?
- 21. We will consolidate the scenarios and present them tomorrow
- 22. We need your help!
- 23. Our minimum requirements: 1. A newspaper headline for 2020 2. Three signals from the conference that relate to a particular scenario 3. Reflection on how this impacts your strategy
- 24. Touch base Friday afternoon... Touch (virtual) base in two months?
- 25. Sunset in Sarasota By Flickr user livingonimpulse Image Credits Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic (CC BY 2.0) license Chatham house © 2011 Google Past and Future © Alex Slobodkin (licensed via istockphoto) Tip of the iceberg © paul kline (licensed via istockphoto) Decision making © mattjeacock (licensed via istockphoto)