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                                                                                                                 5%


         Dear INFUthiast,

         here you have the opportunity to react on the eighteen visions on Innovation-Futures developed by the INFU
         Foresight team.
         If you have not done so already, please have a look at the 10-minutes movie that gives an overview of all visions.

         http://www.innovation-futures.org/?q=video/

         Afterwards just click here to comment on each individual vision.
         Your input will be taken into account for further visioning, scenario building and policy recommendations.

         If you want to play an even more active part in the INFU futures dialogue just let us know … there are many different
         inroads for creative thinkers to join.

         Thank you for your participation


         Dr. Philine Warnke                                             François Jégou
         Fraunhofer-Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI   Strategic Design Scenarios
         Innovation and Technology Management and Foresight             Telefon: +32 (0)495 / 50 24 - 33
         Telefon: +49 (0)721 / 68 09 - 326                              E-Mail: f.jegou@gmail.com
         E-Mail: philine.warnke@isi.fraunhofer.de




         Please enter your e-mail address into the field below to start the survey
Survey




                                                                                                                     9%




                                                              What if open source development is no longer limited to software
                                                              development but becomes an all-encompassing innovation pattern?


                                                              Many products and services are provided by people contributing bits
                                                              and pieces to various technological and social innovation projects.
                                                              Open source business models and coordination mechanism abound.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




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Survey




                                                                                                                         14%




                                                              What if many innovations would be enjoyed only virtually?


                                                              Virtual-Only products satisfy human appetite for newness. They are
                                                              displayed in virtual galleries for public perception or projected into
                                                              homes and offices for individuals on demand. Most of these
                                                              products are never materialised.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




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         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                         18%




                                                              What if innovation becomes publicly negotiated?


                                                              Companies advertise for innovation proposals to citizens, competing
                                                              to get 'innovation credits' from them in order to get approval for the
                                                              development of new products.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


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Survey




                                                                                                                      23%




                                                              What if companies generate most innovations on special request
                                                              from user communities?


                                                              Together with sociologists, designers and developers, communities
                                                              of users develop innovation scenarios and sell them to companies.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                        27%




                                                              What if experimenting social and technological innovation would be
                                                              at the core of successful innovation systems?


                                                              Public authorities strive to foster a permanent stage of collective
                                                              experimentation through a loosely connected network of local
                                                              bottom-up projects. Enablers for collective experimentation such as
                                                              innovation toolkits form the critical infrastructure for public
                                                              experimentation.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                           32%




                                                              What if innovation fatigue takes over and No-Innovation is
                                                              en-vogue?


                                                              The innovation rush is finally slowing down. Product cycles are
                                                              becoming longer again. For market success, unchanging quality is
                                                              more important than ever new offers.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                         36%




                                                              New visualisation
                                                              What if innovation camps, where people gather for a few days to
                                                              innovate together, become widely established as a means of
                                                              problem solving?


                                                              Innovation camps are used by companies, public sector and civil
                                                              society to solve problems from high-tech challenges to
                                                              neighbourhood facilities. Most people regularly join innovation
                                                              camps.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                           41%




                                                              What if innovation is primarily directed at the “other 90%” of the
                                                              world population living in poverty?


                                                              Extreme low-cost/high-innovation strategies prevail. Rich world
                                                              companies struggle as they lack the competences and culture
                                                              required. Innovators from today’s emerging markets fare much
                                                              better due to their longstanding experience.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                         45%




                                                              What if fabrication laboratories for everybody with flexible
                                                              manufacturing equipment, become widely available and allow
                                                              people to produce ever more products themselves?


                                                              Self-production of personalised objects is the standard way of
                                                              producing commodities directly at home or in “create it yourself
                                                              shops/malls” with optional professional support. Companies just
                                                              deliver materials, components, equipment and design tools. Brands
                                                              do hardly play a role any more.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                        50%




                                                              What if the current emphasis on innovation and creativity for
                                                              designers, programmers and engineers spreads to all workplaces?


                                                              All employees from the janitor to top management are constantly
                                                              involved into innovation activities. Creativity is part of any jobs
                                                              daily routine and is key in performance measurements. Part of the
                                                              job is to redefine the job it-self.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


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Survey




                                                                                                                          55%




                                                              Visualisation from Innovation Marketplace
                                                              What if companies no longer innovate themselves but fully
                                                              externalise innovation to an open innovation marketplace?


                                                              Nomadic innovators bid on innovation tenders and contests in
                                                              constantly changing teams. They gather in co-working spaces some
                                                              of which are top-favourite employers for creative people.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


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Survey




                                                                                                                          59%




                                                              Visualisation stemming from “Externalisation/MINATEC”
                                                              What if companies would collaborate in joint innovation places?


                                                              Independent innovation plants will rent large open spaces for
                                                              companies to settle their innovation staff with private areas and all
                                                              sorts of collaborative facilities in between.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




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         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                        64%




                                                              What if companies use digital systems to randomly create and test
                                                              innovation variants before selecting the “fittest” for further
                                                              development?


                                                              Enormous amounts of variants are tested, often with an unexpected
                                                              outcome. Design, creativity and consumer research loose relevance.
                                                              Engineers dream of ultimately simulating the end-user and thus
                                                              fully automate the innovation process.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                          68%




                                                              What if we scan the internet for ideas and automatically pick the
                                                              ones that best answer to current customer needs?


                                                              Sophisticated semantic web-filters track changes in consumer
                                                              preferences and new ideas in real time, and automatically extract
                                                              innovations with outstanding market potential.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




         Desirability




         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                            73%




                                                              What if innovation skills would be high on the education agenda
                                                              right from kindergarden?


                                                              Children are motivated to maintain their “discovery spirits” and
                                                              learn how to question facts and think things differently. Learning is
                                                              project oriented with a high emphasis on bricolage.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




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Survey




                                                                                                                           77%




                                                              What if the bulk of successful and disruptive innovations were to
                                                              come from today’s emerging markets?


                                                              The West adopts the role of a follower and has to face products
                                                              primarily designed for different cultural context. Western companies
                                                              wishfully look to Asia, often with the help of industrial espionage.
                                                              Creative people migrate to the new innovation hot spots in Asia and
                                                              send back their money home to the US and Europe.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

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         Newness




         Impact




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         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                            82%




                                                              What if the principle of “Waste equals Food”/”cradle to cradle”
                                                              would be widely adopted?


                                                              Instead of raw materials, databases with used components and
                                                              materials serve as a starting point for innovations. The whole world
                                                              becomes one eternal circle. Everything that is made of something is
                                                              part of making something.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

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         Newness




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Survey




                                                                                                                            86%




                                                              What if stores were to become laboratories where companies and
                                                              customers co-develop innovations?


                                                              Laboratory Department Stores would offer theme-worlds such as
                                                              “Family Life” or “New Sports”, where customers can experience
                                                              unreleased products, individualize existing goods and in return get
                                                              access to products fitting better their needs and desires.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

         Clarity




         Newness




         Impact




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         Likelihood


         Do you have further comments?
Survey




                                                                                                                              91%




                                                              What if cities became stronger actors in the field of innovation by
                                                              proactively pushing for needed solutions?


                                                              Cities could take on the investment risks for the development and
                                                              implementation of needed innovations and use this as a new
                                                              economic factor by patenting and marketing their solutions to other
                                                              cities.




         Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position)

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         Newness




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Survey




                                                                                                 95%


                                              Finally, some personal questions.

         Where are you based?


         What is your main perspective on innovation?
             Creator

             Industry

             User

             Researcher

             Consultant

             Policy maker

             Others:


         What is your type of innovation you are concerned with?
             Product Innovation

             Process Innovation

             Social Innovation

             Service Innovation

             Public Sector Innovation

             Others:

         Do you have further comments?




         If you are interested in further information, you can enter your e-mail address here:
Survey




                                             100%




         Thank you for your participation!

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Questionnaire INFU

  • 1. Survey 5% Dear INFUthiast, here you have the opportunity to react on the eighteen visions on Innovation-Futures developed by the INFU Foresight team. If you have not done so already, please have a look at the 10-minutes movie that gives an overview of all visions. http://www.innovation-futures.org/?q=video/ Afterwards just click here to comment on each individual vision. Your input will be taken into account for further visioning, scenario building and policy recommendations. If you want to play an even more active part in the INFU futures dialogue just let us know … there are many different inroads for creative thinkers to join. Thank you for your participation Dr. Philine Warnke François Jégou Fraunhofer-Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI Strategic Design Scenarios Innovation and Technology Management and Foresight Telefon: +32 (0)495 / 50 24 - 33 Telefon: +49 (0)721 / 68 09 - 326 E-Mail: f.jegou@gmail.com E-Mail: philine.warnke@isi.fraunhofer.de Please enter your e-mail address into the field below to start the survey
  • 2. Survey 9% What if open source development is no longer limited to software development but becomes an all-encompassing innovation pattern? Many products and services are provided by people contributing bits and pieces to various technological and social innovation projects. Open source business models and coordination mechanism abound. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 3. Survey 14% What if many innovations would be enjoyed only virtually? Virtual-Only products satisfy human appetite for newness. They are displayed in virtual galleries for public perception or projected into homes and offices for individuals on demand. Most of these products are never materialised. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 4. Survey 18% What if innovation becomes publicly negotiated? Companies advertise for innovation proposals to citizens, competing to get 'innovation credits' from them in order to get approval for the development of new products. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 5. Survey 23% What if companies generate most innovations on special request from user communities? Together with sociologists, designers and developers, communities of users develop innovation scenarios and sell them to companies. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 6. Survey 27% What if experimenting social and technological innovation would be at the core of successful innovation systems? Public authorities strive to foster a permanent stage of collective experimentation through a loosely connected network of local bottom-up projects. Enablers for collective experimentation such as innovation toolkits form the critical infrastructure for public experimentation. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 7. Survey 32% What if innovation fatigue takes over and No-Innovation is en-vogue? The innovation rush is finally slowing down. Product cycles are becoming longer again. For market success, unchanging quality is more important than ever new offers. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 8. Survey 36% New visualisation What if innovation camps, where people gather for a few days to innovate together, become widely established as a means of problem solving? Innovation camps are used by companies, public sector and civil society to solve problems from high-tech challenges to neighbourhood facilities. Most people regularly join innovation camps. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 9. Survey 41% What if innovation is primarily directed at the “other 90%” of the world population living in poverty? Extreme low-cost/high-innovation strategies prevail. Rich world companies struggle as they lack the competences and culture required. Innovators from today’s emerging markets fare much better due to their longstanding experience. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 10. Survey 45% What if fabrication laboratories for everybody with flexible manufacturing equipment, become widely available and allow people to produce ever more products themselves? Self-production of personalised objects is the standard way of producing commodities directly at home or in “create it yourself shops/malls” with optional professional support. Companies just deliver materials, components, equipment and design tools. Brands do hardly play a role any more. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 11. Survey 50% What if the current emphasis on innovation and creativity for designers, programmers and engineers spreads to all workplaces? All employees from the janitor to top management are constantly involved into innovation activities. Creativity is part of any jobs daily routine and is key in performance measurements. Part of the job is to redefine the job it-self. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 12. Survey 55% Visualisation from Innovation Marketplace What if companies no longer innovate themselves but fully externalise innovation to an open innovation marketplace? Nomadic innovators bid on innovation tenders and contests in constantly changing teams. They gather in co-working spaces some of which are top-favourite employers for creative people. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 13. Survey 59% Visualisation stemming from “Externalisation/MINATEC” What if companies would collaborate in joint innovation places? Independent innovation plants will rent large open spaces for companies to settle their innovation staff with private areas and all sorts of collaborative facilities in between. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 14. Survey 64% What if companies use digital systems to randomly create and test innovation variants before selecting the “fittest” for further development? Enormous amounts of variants are tested, often with an unexpected outcome. Design, creativity and consumer research loose relevance. Engineers dream of ultimately simulating the end-user and thus fully automate the innovation process. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 15. Survey 68% What if we scan the internet for ideas and automatically pick the ones that best answer to current customer needs? Sophisticated semantic web-filters track changes in consumer preferences and new ideas in real time, and automatically extract innovations with outstanding market potential. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 16. Survey 73% What if innovation skills would be high on the education agenda right from kindergarden? Children are motivated to maintain their “discovery spirits” and learn how to question facts and think things differently. Learning is project oriented with a high emphasis on bricolage. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 17. Survey 77% What if the bulk of successful and disruptive innovations were to come from today’s emerging markets? The West adopts the role of a follower and has to face products primarily designed for different cultural context. Western companies wishfully look to Asia, often with the help of industrial espionage. Creative people migrate to the new innovation hot spots in Asia and send back their money home to the US and Europe. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 18. Survey 82% What if the principle of “Waste equals Food”/”cradle to cradle” would be widely adopted? Instead of raw materials, databases with used components and materials serve as a starting point for innovations. The whole world becomes one eternal circle. Everything that is made of something is part of making something. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 19. Survey 86% What if stores were to become laboratories where companies and customers co-develop innovations? Laboratory Department Stores would offer theme-worlds such as “Family Life” or “New Sports”, where customers can experience unreleased products, individualize existing goods and in return get access to products fitting better their needs and desires. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 20. Survey 91% What if cities became stronger actors in the field of innovation by proactively pushing for needed solutions? Cities could take on the investment risks for the development and implementation of needed innovations and use this as a new economic factor by patenting and marketing their solutions to other cities. Please assess for the vision above (Please set the scroll bar to the desired position) Clarity Newness Impact Desirability Likelihood Do you have further comments?
  • 21. Survey 95% Finally, some personal questions. Where are you based? What is your main perspective on innovation? Creator Industry User Researcher Consultant Policy maker Others: What is your type of innovation you are concerned with? Product Innovation Process Innovation Social Innovation Service Innovation Public Sector Innovation Others: Do you have further comments? If you are interested in further information, you can enter your e-mail address here:
  • 22. Survey 100% Thank you for your participation!