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{ Women {
at
  Wheel
the
 Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success?
contents
        Executive Summary                                                                                   3


   1    Methodology                                                                                         5

  1.1   	 VentureSource Database	                                                                           5

 1.2    	Executive Information                                                                              5

 1.3    	 Success                                                                                           5

 1.4    	 Industry Breakdown                                                                                5

 1.5    	 Statistical Methods                                                                               5


   2    Venture Industry  Female Executives                                                                6

 2.1    	 Venture Capital Industry Trends                                                                   6

2.1.1   	 Female Executives in Venture-backed Companies	                                                    8

2.1.2   	 Exited Venture Companies                                                                         10

 2.2    	 Proportion of Female Executives by Industry                                                      13

 2.3    	 Title Analysis                                                                                   15


   3    Successful vs. Unsuccessful Companies                                                              18

  3.1   	 Dependence Relationship between Proportion of Female Executives and Successful Rate of Company   19

 3.2    	 Industry Analysis                                                                                22

3.2.1   	 Successful vs. Unsuccessful by Industry                                                          22

3.2.2   	 Proportion of Female Executives in Successful Companies by Industry                              23

 3.3    	 Titles and Successful Companies	                                                                 25

3.3.1   	 Female Executives and Predicting the Success of the Start-up                                     25


   4    Success vs. Failed Companies                                                                       27

 4.1    	 Industry Analysis                                                                                28

4.1.1   	 Proportion of Female Executives in Failed Companies by Industry                                  30


   5    Conclusion                                                                                         32


   6    Appendix                                                                                           33
executive
      summary
 A        ccording to the 2010 U.S. Census, more adults over the
          age of 25 than ever before (30%) have college degrees, with
 more women earning bachelor’s and advanced degrees than men.
 While women have outnumbered men in college enrollment since
 the 1980s and undergraduate degrees earned since 1996, 2010 was
 the first time women earned more advanced degrees than men.
 This leaves the open question: Why are women so poorly represented
 in senior executive roles?

 This study focuses on the current state of women in U.S. venture-
 backed companies and how women in leadership roles affect the
 success of a start-up. To accomplish this, we reviewed more than
 15 years of venture-backed company data and executive information
 in the VentureSource database.

 In comparing successful versus unsuccessful companies,
 our analysis unveils:

  	 1.3% of privately held companies have a female founder, 6.5% have
 	 a female CEO, and 20% have one or more female C-level executives.        Study Authors




                                                                                                                    Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                                                                            Jessica Canning, Global Research
  	 The most common positions held by female executives were
                                                                            Director (formerly), Dow Jones
 	 within Sales  Marketing roles, accounting for 27% of the total
                                                                            VentureSource
 	 population sample.
                                                                            Maryam Haque, Senior Research
  	 The overall median proportion of female executives is 7.1% at           Analyst, Dow Jones VentureSource
 	 successful companies and 3.1% at unsuccessful companies,
                                                                            Yimeng Wang,
 	 demonstrating the value that having more females can
                                                                            Research Assistant, Dow Jones
 	 potentially bring to a management team.
                                                                            VentureSource

  	 By industry, we identify the median proportion of female executives
 	 at successful companies as higher than that of unsuccessful              Acknowledgments
 	 companies in the IT, healthcare, consumer services, and business
                                                                            Guidance given by
 	 and financial services industries, which are the four largest sectors.
                                                                            Prof. Eric A. Suess, California State
                                                                            University, East Bay
  	 We see that a company’s odds for success (versus unsuccess)
 	 increase with more female executives at the VP and director levels.      Editing assistance by
                                                                            Valerie Foo, Senior Research
  	 For start-ups with five or more females, 61% were successful and        Manager, Dow Jones VentureSource
 	 only 39% failed.




                                                                                                                                             3
women
                                                                 at the wheel
                                                                     Do Fem a le Executi ves Dr i ve Sta rt-up Success?
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                     Does having a
                                                                     higher proportion of
                                                                     female executives
                                                                     at a venture-backed
                                                                     start-up
                                                                     improve the
                                                                     company’s chances
                                                                     for success?
              4
1 Methodology

1.1	 VentureSource Database                                    Exit ratios are calculated as exit valuation/total
Dow Jones VentureSource has been tracking financing            venture investment. Acquisitions with an unknown
events, people, companies, and investors involved              exit ratio have been excluded from the “Successful”
in the venture capital (VC) industry. With more                versus “Unsuccessful” data set.
than 25 years of historical data, VentureSource has
comprehensive industry statistics dating back to               1.4	Industry Breakdown
1987 for the U.S., 2000 for Europe and Israel, 2005            VentureSource groups companies into the following
for China, 2007 for India, and 2008 for Canada. Data           industries: business and financial services, consumer
is collected through a combination of primary and              goods, consumer services, energy and utilities,
secondary sources with each datapoint thoroughly               healthcare, industrial goods and materials, and
reviewed under rigorous methodology.                           information technology (IT).

1.2	Executive Information                                      1.5	Statistical Methods
VentureSource tracks over 300,000 current                      All of the statistical methods in this report are
and former executives globally. Each person is a               benchmarked against the 0.05 significance level,
senior-level executive with direct decision-making             meaning our conclusions are claimed with 95%
responsibilities for the company or investment firm.           confidence. When we refer to a distribution as normal,
                                                               we are observing that the distribution is a Gaussian
For this study, we looked at companies headquartered           distribution, or bell-shaped curve symmetrical about
in the United States but included all executives,              the mean, which is equal to the median. We applied
regardless of location. The 20,194 VC-backed                   the Shapiro-Wilk test for normality. When results
companies analyzed in this report received an equity           produce a p-value less than 0.05, the data is
financing between 1997 and 2011, or exited between             considered not normal, and we perform non-
1997 and 2011. The resulting sample size consisted of          parametric tests on the data.
167,556 executives, of which 11,193 were female.
                                                               For all boxplots, bars at the end of dotted lines
Company executives in this study were grouped in the           represent the lower inner fence and upper inner fence
following categories: founder, board member, C-level,          of the dataset, excluding the outliers. The lower inner
VP level, and director.                                        fence and upper inner fence are calculated as the




                                                                                                                         Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                                                               (First Quartile)-(1.5 x Interquartile Range) and (Third
1.3	Success                                                    quartile)+(1.5 x Interquartile Range), respectively.
In this study, companies are defined in two ways:              The lines, from bottom to top, in the box are the 25th,
                                                               50th (median), and 75th percentile marks, respectively.
    	 “Successful” is considered: exited through an initial
                                                               The 25th percentile mark often overlaps with the lower
	     public offering (IPO), is in IPO registration, is
                                                               inner fence mark, in which case only the former is
	     privately-held and consistently profitable or has been
                                                               labeled in the boxplots. Green dots denote averages.
	     acquired for an amount greater than its total venture
	     investment (i.e. had an exit ratio greater than one).

 	 “Unsuccessful” companies are divided into
	 two categories:

		  “Not Yet Successful” are still private and
			 independent but have not yet become
			 successful, as defined above.

		  “Failed” companies have ceased operations,
			 gone bankrupt, or exited at a valuation below 	
			 their total venture capital funding.


                                                                                                                                                  5
2 Venture Industry  Female Executives

                                                                          2.1	 Venture Capital Industry Trends                                            that raised $34.14 billion, of which $8.24 billion went to
                                                                          Historically, IT has dominated venture investment                               IT. This is a 16% increase in financing over 2010 but still
                                                                          globally. In 2011, there were 3,344 U.S. venture deals                          64% below the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000.



                                                                                                                                                    fig 2-1

                                                                                                                                 U.S. Venture Capital Deal Flow by Industry
                                                                                         7000


                                                                                        6000
                                                                 Number of Financings




                                                                                         5000


                                                                                        4000


                                                                                         3000


                                                                                         2000


                                                                                         1000


                                                                                            0
                                                                                                 1997   1998      1999    2000     2001   2002   2003     2004    2005   2006      2007     2008   2009   2010   2011
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                                                                    fig 2-2

                                                                                                                                   U.S. Venture Capital Investment ($B)
                                                                                         $100
                                                                 Amount Invested ($B)




                                                                                          $80


                                                                                          $60


                                                                                          $40


                                                                                          $20


                                                                                           $0
                                                                                                 1997   1998      1999    2000     2001   2002   2003     2004    2005   2006      2007     2008   2009   2010   2011


                                                                                           business                                                                                        industrial
                                                                                        and financial          consumer            consumer          energy                               goods and        information
                                                                                          services             goods              services       and utilities        healthcare          materials       technology


              6
There were 568 exits in 2011, an 8% and 19% decline                          nearly 39% of total venture exits in 2011 with 205
      from 2010 and 2000, respectively. IT accounted for                           acquisitions and 16 IPOs.



                                                                             fig 2-3

                                                   U.S. Venture-backed IPOs by Industry and Year of IPO
                   300


                   250
Number of IPOs




                   200


                   150


                   100


                    50


                     0
                          1997   1998      1999     2000    2001   2002   2003     2004   2005    2006     2007     2008   2009   2010   2011




                                                                             fig 2-4

                                 U.S. Venture-backed Mergers  Acquisitions by Industry and Year of Acquisition
                   700


                   600




                                                                                                                                                 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                   500
Number of MAs




                   400


                   300


                   200


                   100


                     0
                          1997   1998      1999     2000    2001   2002   2003     2004   2005    2006     2007     2008   2009   2010   2011


                    business                                                                                       industrial
                 and financial          consumer            consumer          energy                              goods and        information
                   services             goods              services       and utilities       healthcare          materials       technology




                                                                                                                                                                             7
2.1.1	Female Executives in Venture-                                      Companies are likely to have just one or two female
                                                                          		 backed Companies                                                      executives (approximately 40% of the sample),
                                                                          Since 1997, 55% of the pool of 20,194 U.S. VC-backed                     compared with five or more male executives (78%
                                                                          companies have had at least one female executive.                        of the sample). However, looking at just the number
                                                                          The proportion of female to male executives at these                     of females does not tell the full story. Analyzing the
                                                                          companies is two to nine. (Figure 2-5)                                   proportion of females to males and the subgroups
                                                                                                                                                   of success and industries are where differences
                                                                                                                                                   between genders are more evident.




                                                                                                                                            fig 2-5

                                                                                                  Number of Companies by Total Number of Males and Females on Management Team



                                                                                                                                                                                                 15,608
                                                                                                                                                                                                 companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                 have five or
                                                                                  20000                                                                                                          more male
                                                                                                                                                                                                 executives
                                                                 Number of Companies




                                                                                       15000
                                                                                               5,174
                                                                                               companies
                                                                                               have only
                                                                                       10000   one female
                                                                                               executive


                                                                                       5000
                                                                                                                 2711
                                                                                                       1140                   1074         1430       1108                     1147       1069
                                                                                                                                                                   809
                                                                                          0
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                 1 Executive            2 Executives            3 Executives             4 Executives        5+ Executives


                                                                                                                                       female            male




              8
Currently privately-held companies make up 44% of                         Companies that received initial equity financing in
         this sample. Nearly half of these 9,978 companies                         2006 or earlier are more likely to have one or more
         have at least one female executive. Of the 94,000                         female executives, whereas companies backed in
         employees who have worked in a director-level position                    2011 have the fewest. (Figure 2-6) The trend
         or higher at these companies, some 10% (9,300) were                       implies that companies hire more female executives
         female and 90% (84,000) male.                                             as they advance.



                                                                             fig 2-6

                                    Percent of Still Private Companies with Female Executives by Initial Financing Year



                      1400

                                                                                                                                          24%
                      1200

                                                                                                                                          24%
                      1000
Number of Companies




                                                                                                                                   33%
                      800
                                                                                                                     43%
                                                                                                              49%                         76%
                                                                                                                            33%
                      600
                                                                                                       55%

                      400
                                                                                            59%
                                                   75%
                                                                                   63%                               57%    67%    67%
                                            78%           63%                                                 51%
                      200




                                                                                                                                                 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                                                                 69%       66%                         45%
                             61%     73%                                                    41%
                                                   25%    37%                      37%
                             39%            22%                   31%      34%
                        0            27%

                             1997    1998   1999   2000   2001   2002      2003    2004     2005       2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
                                                                   Year of Initial Equity Financing

                                                                        0 female           1+ female




                                                                                                                                                                         9
Early-stage companies are more likely to have no                                        1.3% of privately held companies have a female founder,
                                                                             female executives and few employees, often with                                         6.5% have a female CEO, and 20% have one or more
                                                                             a limited group comprising a founder, CEO,                                              female C-level executives.
                                                                             and few high-level executives. In our sample,



                                                                                               development stage                 0 female                             1+ female                    all companies
                                                                                               Startup                           83%                                  17%                          395
                                                                                               Product Development               59%                                  41%                          2003
                                                                                               Generating Revenue                49%                                  51%                          5372
                                                                                               Profitable                        34%                                  66%                          1188
                                                                                               Restart                           50%                                  50%                          20
                                                                                               All Companies                     51%                                  49%                          8978




                                                                             2.1.2		Exited Venture Companies                                                         that exited between 1997 and 2011. The overall median
                                                                             A VC-backed exit refers to a company that was                                           number of executives at these companies was 13,
                                                                             acquired, merged, or went public, and as a result, its                                   while the median number for male executives and
                                                                             investors no longer hold any equity. Figure 2-7 shows                                   female executives was 12 and 2, respectively.
                                                                             the median number of all executives at companies




                                                                                                                                                               fig 2-7

                                                                                                                     Median Number of Executives in Exited Companies by Gender and Exit Year
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                  20
                                                                 Median Number of Executives




                                                                                                  16


                                                                                                  12


                                                                                                   8


                                                                                                   4


                                                                                                   0


                                                                                                            1997   1998   1999   2000       2001      2002   2003     2004    2005   2006   2007   2008   2009     2010   2011
                                                                                                                                                               Year of Exit

                                                                                                                                                   female           male          overall




              10
2.1.2.1	 Proportion of Exited Companies with                            of 71% in the exit doldrums of 2003, the percent of
       			Female Executives Over Time                                          venture-backed exits with at least one female executive
       The percentage of VC-backed exits with at least one                     dropped to 61% in 2011. Of successful VC-backed exits,
       female executive has been steadily increasing from                      64% of companies had at least one female executive.
       43% in 1997. During the 1999 dot-com bubble, women                      (See Section 3.)
       crossed the 50% threshold. Upon reaching a high




                                                                       fig 2-8

                                      Percent of Exited Companies with One or More Female Executives



                  800


                  700


                  600
Number of Exits




                  500
                                             57%

                                      57%
                                                                                                                               60%
                  400
                                                                                71%    70%         70%    69%
                                                    57%                                                                               61%

                                                           68%
                  300
                        43%                                          71%                                         64%    61%
                               47%

                  200




                                                                                                                                             Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                        57%    53%    43%    43%    43%                                                                        40%    39%
                  100
                                                           34%       29%       29%     30%         30%    31%    36%    39%


                    0

                        1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002      2003      2004    2005        2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
                                                                           Exit Year


                                                                  0 female             1+ female




                                                                                                                                                          11
2.1.2.2 Comparing Female Presence in IPOs                                              For 1997 and 1998, the median proportion of females
                                                                                         			vs. Acquisitions Over Time                                                          at companies that exited was 0.0% with an upper
                                                                                         The presence of female senior executives differs                                       quartile of 11.1%. This was due to a smaller portion of
                                                                                         notably between companies that had an IPO versus an                                    exit data at that time. The median and the mean have
                                                                                         acquisition. The percentage of VC-backed MAs with                                     been increasing since 1998, reaching a peak in 2003
                                                                                         at least one female executive between 1997 and 2011                                    but declining in the 2008 recession; the median went
                                                                                         hovered between 60% and 70%. However, the same                                         from 5.9% in 1999 to 8.3% in 2003, and the mean
                                                                                         metric for IPOs was much higher: 75% or more of IPOs                                   went from 6.9% in 1998 to 10% in 2003. This is likely
                                                                                         had at least one female executive since 2003. In 2011,                                 because of a contraction in the liquidity environment
                                                                                         58% of acquisitions had at least one female executive                                  for start-ups in 2008, not a change in the proportion of
                                                                                         compared to 84% of IPOs.                                                               females in the start-up community.

                                                                                         The median time to liquidity for those that exited                                     2.1.2.3	 Proportion of Female Executives
                                                                                         between 1997 and 2011 was 4.3 years. Surprisingly,                                     			 Within Exited Companies
                                                                                         a large percentage of companies in operations for                                      The boxplots below detail participation and
                                                                                         more than four years before their exit had zero female                                 employment for female executives at exited companies
                                                                                         executives. (See Appendix Figures 6-1 and 6-2 for                                      by exit year. The boxplots show positively skewed
                                                                                         MA and IPO breakouts.)                                                                distributions, meaning that the average female
                                                                                                                                                                                proportion is greater than the median proportion of
                                                                                         The proportion of female executives at exited                                          female executives of the respective exit year, and a
                                                                                         companies climbed slightly but still remains a minority,                               large amount of companies have a smaller proportion
                                                                                         regardless of “success”, when looking at the history                                   of female executives. Since the distribution is skewed,
                                                                                         of exited companies through an IPO or acquisition                                      we examine the data by medians, a better metric
                                                                                         between 1997 to 2011.                                                                  for judging the distribution. The female executive
                                                                                                                                                                                proportion medians show small movement. However,
                                                                                         Figure 2-9 shows the proportion of female executives                                   the proportion of female executives at exit companies
                                                                                         in boxplots according to the company’s exit year.                                      has been trending upward, with the median proportion
                                                                                                                                                                                of female executives from 2002 to 2011 generally
                                                                                                                                                                                higher than those from 1997 to 2001.
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                                                                                           fig 2-9

                                                                                                                                     Proportion of Female Executives in Companies That Exited Between 1997 and 2011
                                                                 Proportion of Female Executives (Director and Above)




                                                                                                                        0.4


                                                                                                                        0.3


                                                                                                                        0.2


                                                                                                                        0.1


                                                                                                                        0.0
                                                                                                                              1997    1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005    2006   2007   2008    2009   2010    2011




              12
2.2	 Proportion of Female Executives                                      executives differ depending on the industry. Again,
              		 by Industry                                                            all the averages are higher than the medians since the
              This section examines female executives by their                          distributions are positively skewed.
              industry groups.
                                                                                        Companies in the business and financial services and
              The boxplots below depict the distributions of female                     healthcare industries tend to have a higher percentage
              executive proportions in all the companies in the study,                  of female executives. Companies in the energy and
              by industry groups. The green dots represent averages                     utilities and industrial goods and materials industries
              of the female executive proportion for each industry.                     hire fewer women overall and have a smaller proportion
              The boxplots suggest the distributions of female                          of female executives than that of other industries.




                                                                                   fig 2-10

                                                       Close-Up of Proportion of Female Executives by Industry Group



                                  0.5
Proportion of Female Executives




                                  0.4


                                  0.3


                                  0.2


                                  0.1




                                                                                                                                                  Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                                  0.0
                                        business and                                                                 industrial
                                          financial     consumer       consumer       energy and                     goods and      information
                                          services       goods          services       utilities     healthcare       materials     technology




                                                                                                                                                          13
fig 2-11

                                                                                                            Median Proportion of Female Executives of Exited Companies per Year by Industry




                                                                                                   0.15
                                                                 Proportion of Female Executives




                                                                                                   0.10




                                                                                                   0.05




                                                                                                   0.00
                                                                                                              1998           2000          2002            2004            2006              2008             2010


                                                                                                          information   healthcare   consumer     business and    energy and      consumer     industrial goods
                                                                                                          technology                  services     financial       utilities       goods         and materials
                                                                                                                                                    services
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




              14
2.3	Title Analysis                                                director, and other titles (“other” refers to managers,
         The female roles at VC-backed companies have                      consultants, general counsels, engineers, etc.). Also,
         varied by title. While males dominated in every title             start-ups naturally have fewer director-level executives
         level (Figure 2-12), most notably the C-level and board           during their early stages.
         positions, females have made a larger dent in the VP,



                                                                      fig 2-12

                                         Executive Breakdown by Title Level and Gender for All Companies
                 90000


                 80000


                   70000


                 60000
Number of executives




                  50000


                 40000

                                93%                   94%                   85%
                  30000


                  20000




                                                                                                                                      Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                       10000


                          0
                                                                            15%                   76%
                                                                                                                        78%
                                 7%                    6%                                         24%                   22%

                               c-level            board member               vp                director                other


                                                                 female           male




         Analyzing just female executives at VC-backed                     versus 28% of males, and 19% of females served
         companies, 46% held a VP-level position, compared                 as board members compared to 36% of males.
         to 30% of males. C-level roles consist of 20% females




                                                                                                                                              15
fig 2-13

                                                                                Female Title Breakdown for All Companies




                                                                                                            other
                                                                                                             6%
                                                                                                                       director
                                                                                                                          9%




                                                                                   vp                                  board member
                                                                                  46%                                      19%




                                                                                                             c-level
                                                                                                               20%
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                 (see appendix figure 6-3 for the male title level breakdown for exited companites.)




              16
A deeper analysis of the executives’ titles shows what                               The most common positions held by female executives
verticals had higher concentrations of females.                                      were within Sales  Marketing roles, accounting for
                                                                                     27% of the total population sample. (See Figure 2-14.)




                                                                            fig 2-14

                                    Female Title Breakdown for Exited Companies



                                                              counsel/
                                             hu
                                              ma




                                                                                     other
                                                nr




                                                                       legal ro




                                                                                      7%
                                                  eso
                                                     ur




                                  business
                                                       ce


                                                                                le




                                development
                                                         s6


                                                                         5%




                                    8%
                                                        %




                                                                                              sales and/or marketing
                               operations                                                              27%
                                   8%




                                 technical
                                    11%




                                                                                                                                              Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                                                                                             finance
                                                  product                                      17%
                                                    11%




                    (Note: Administration roles appear within “Other,” as there were not enough to breakout.)




                                                                                                                                                          17
3	Successful vs. Unsuccessful Companies

                                                                 The thesis for this paper claimed that having a higher        categories in order to further analyze this section of
                                                                 proportion of female executives at venture-backed             the report: successful and unsuccessful.
                                                                 start-ups improves the ultimate success of the                (See Section 1.3 for definitions.)
                                                                 company. We grouped companies into two




                                                                                                                          fig 3-1

                                                                                                          Annual Pool of Companies per Year

                                                                  tier 1                        tier 2                         number of companies           % of companies
                                                                  Unsuccessul                   Failed                         4367                          35.8%
                                                                                                Not yet successful             7833                          64.2%
                                                                  unsuccessful total                                           12200                         60.4%
                                                                  successful                                                   4321                          21.4%
                                                                  unkown                                                       3673                          18.2%
                                                                  total number of companies                                    20194




                                                                 There are more companies entering the VC industry             companies still in an investor’s portfolio and operating
                                                                 each year than are exiting, as shown in Figure                privately but not yet profitable, in addition to the
                                                                 3-2, which means investors have to decide which               companies that went bankrupt or ceased operations,
                                                                 companies to continue supporting. For this section,           are considered “Unsuccessful.”
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




              18
fig 3-2

                                    Annual Pool of Companies that Entered, Exited, and Ceased Operations per Year



                      3000


                      2500
Number of Companies




                      2000


                      1500


                      1000


                       500


                         0

                             1997    1998     1999    2000     2001   2002   2003   2004    2005   2006    2007   2008    2009     2010    2011


                               entered (initial equity financing)             ceased operations                     exited (ma or ipo)




         3.1	Dependence Relationship between                                        The overall median proportion of female executives




                                                                                                                                                  Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
         		 Proportion of Female Executives and                                     in successful companies is 7.1%, compared to 3.1% at
         		Successful Rate of Company
                                                                                    unsuccessful companies (Figure 3-3).
         The figures below include all industries.




                                                                                                                                                          19
fig 3-3

                                                                                    Proportion of Female Executives by the Ultimate Success of the Company



                                                                    0.4


                                                                    0.3


                                                                    0.2


                                                                     0.1


                                                                    0.0

                                                                                                       no                                          yes


                                                                                             (Note: The averages, displayed by green dots, are almost identical.)




                                                                 The histograms below represent differences in the               spread out, and include more companies that have no
                                                                 distributions of female executives between successful           female executives. The distribution of the successful
                                                                 and unsuccessful companies. Successful companies                companies is less skewed, and shows that companies
                                                                 have a sample standard deviation of 0.103 while that            with an executive team composed of 5% to 25% female
                                                                 of unsuccessful companies is 0.139. The unsuccessful            executives are successful.
                                                                 companies’ female executive proportions are more
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




              20
fig 3-4

              Comparative Histograms of Proportion of Female Executives by the Ultimate Success of the Company




            6000


            5000
Frequency




            4000


            3000


            2000


            1000


               0
                   0.0                0.2                    0.4                        0.6              0.8                1.0
                                                      Proportion of Female Executives

                                       unsuccessful companies                     successful companies




                                                                                                                                   Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
    Through the application of Pearson’s Chi-Square                     population median proportions of female executives
    test with Yates’s continuity correction, we evaluated               than those of unsuccessful companies. From the
    if a dependence exists between a company with                       resulting p-value, we claim the population median
    any female executives and its success. We claim                     proportion of female executives of the successful
    with statistically significant evidence that there is               companies is statistically significantly greater than
    a dependence between a company having female                        that of unsuccessful companies.
    executives and its success.
                                                                        To better understand the relationship between female
    Since the proportion of female executives for all                   executives and the success of the company, it is
    companies is not normally distributed, we applied                   imperative to understand venture capital and how
    the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test to examine the                       changes in industry investments can affect the liquidity
    hypothesis that successful companies have greater                   options and likelihood of success for companies.




                                                                                                                                           21
3.2	Industry Analysis

                                                                          3.2.1		Successful vs. Unsuccessful by Industry                                success rate, it is tied with business and financial
                                                                          By industry, energy and utilities companies have seen                         services companies for having the largest failure rate
                                                                          the lowest success rate, while IT companies have the                          too. Nearly one-third of companies in the IT and business
                                                                          highest. This is attributed to the IT industry’s historical                   and financial services industries have failed. Overall,
                                                                          domination. The majority (79%) of companies that                              between 71% and 87% of each industry consists of
                                                                          entered the energy and utilities industry are still                           unsuccessful companies (consisting of those labeled
                                                                          privately held and operating, so they are classified as                       failed and not yet successful). The failed companies
                                                                          “not yet successful.” While IT is consistently one of the                     within these groups are addressed separately from
                                                                          largest investment sectors and has seen the highest                           the not yet successful companies in Section 4.




                                                                                                                                                  fig 3-5a

                                                                                                                                    Success Rates by Industry



                                                                                       8000


                                                                                       7000


                                                                                       6000
                                                                                                                                                                                              29%
                                                                                                                                                                                                         71%
                                                                 Number of Companies




                                                                                       5000


                                                                                       4000
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                                                                                                              39%
                                                                                                                                                                     25%     75%
                                                                                       3000
                                                                                                     26%           74%
                                                                                                                                                 78%
                                                                                       2000                                       22%

                                                                                                     42%                                                             56%

                                                                                                                                  55%
                                                                                       1000                                                                                                   32%

                                                                                                     32%                                                             19%
                                                                                                                                  23%
                                                                                          0
                                                                                                 business and
                                                                                              financial services            consumer services                   healthcare           information technology


                                                                                                                         failed                 not yet successful           successful




              22
fig 3-5b

                                                            Success Rates by Industry



                      400

                                                                                                               16%         84%
                      350

                                                                         13%           87%
                      300
Number of Companies




                      250       19%          81%



                      200
                                                                                                               73%

                                                                         79%
                      150
                                66%

                      100


                       50

                                15%                                                                            11%
                                                                         8%
                        0
                            consumer goods                      energy and utilities               industrial goods and materials


                                                   failed            not yet successful           successful




                                                                                                                                       Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
         3.2.2	 Proportion of Female Executives                                From comparing the medians in the boxplots below,
         			 in Successful Companies by Industry                               we see that companies in the information technology,
         When we apply the Chi-Square test to check for                        business and financial services, consumer services,
         dependence between companies with female                              and healthcare industries have more female executives
         executives and their success we encounter Simpson’s                   at successful companies than that of unsuccessful
         Paradox, one in which the observation for dependence                  ones. The green dots represent averages and are
         differs when groups are combined versus split. We                     shown above the medians, again suggesting that
         observe no dependency between success and having                      distributions are positively skewed. Confirming that
         female executives at companies in the consumer                        data groups are not normally distributed, we again
         goods and energy and utilities industries. Since                      perform the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test for each
         Simpson’s Paradox arises from over-combining data,                    industry. The population medians of female executives
         we conclude that a relationship between companies with                at successful companies are significantly higher
         female executives and their success does exist, but it is             than those of unsuccessful companies in information
         conditional on the industry.                                          technology, healthcare, consumer services, and
                                                                               business and financial services.



                                                                                                                                          23
fig 3-6

                                                                                                             Overall Proportion of Female Executives by Ultimate Success of Company and Industry


                                                                                                   information technology       business and financial             consumer goods                industrial goods
                                                                                                         companies                    companies                       company                      and materials

                                                                                                   0.5
                                                                 Proportion of Female Executives




                                                                                                   0.4


                                                                                                   0.3


                                                                                                   0.2


                                                                                                   0.1


                                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                                           no        yes          no          yes                       no       yes            no         yes

                                                                                                                                                    Successful Status




                                                                                                     consumer services            energy and utilities                  healthcare
                                                                                                        companies                     companies                         companies                 all companies

                                                                                                   0.5
                                                                 Proportion of Female Executives
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                   0.4


                                                                                                   0.3


                                                                                                   0.2


                                                                                                   0.1


                                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                                           no         yes         no          yes                       no       yes            no         yes

                                                                                                                                                    Successful Status




                                                                               Due to the data distribution within consumer goods,                            companies. This is primarily due to investment
                                                                               energy and utilities, and industrial goods and materials,                      preferences within the venture capital industry,
                                                                               we cannot conclusively say that the median proportion                          consequently resulting in smaller numbers
                                                                               of successful companies is higher than unsuccessful                            of companies for those sectors.



              24
3.3	Titles and Successful Companies

Only 6.5% of the privately held companies that received   3.3.1	Female Executives and Predicting
venture capital funding between 1997 and 2011 had         		 the Success of the Start-up
a female CEO. Such a small percentage raises the          As we observed some dependency between female
question of whether a CEO’s gender impacts the            senior executives and the ultimate success of a
success of a company in some way, as well as the          company, we now take a closer look and apply
question of whether business conduct between              regression analysis to the data. As previously
genders affects the success of private companies.         mentioned, we measure success quantitatively for
By the Chi-Square test of Independence, we see there      exited companies by exit ratios and qualitatively for
is a dependence between the success of a company and      privately held companies by their development
the existence of a female CEO. However, there is no       stage (e.g., those that are profitable). In this section,
statistically significant dependency between a female     we built a model to understand shifts in exit ratios
founder and the success of the company.                   (defined in Section 1.3 as exit valuation/total equity
                                                          raised). To take into account the non-quantifiable
Analyzing by industry group produces the same             privately held, profitable companies, we built a logistic
result for founders—the success of the company            regression model to predict the categorical dependent
is independent of its having a female founder(s).         variable of ultimate success of the company by
However, grouping by industry and applying the Chi-       analyzing the changes in odds ratios of successful
Square test to exam dependency between the success        companies versus unsuccessful companies.
status of a company having a female CEO, we see that
our earlier conclusion exhibits Simpson’s Paradox.
There is only statistically significant dependency for
companies in the consumer services industry.

Dependence should not be confused with causation.
It merely means that a relationship between the two
variables exists. Due to the relatively small number of
female founders in the overall pool of companies
(fewer than 1%), we were unable to analyze the




                                                                                                                      Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
dependence of female founders by industry. For those
industries with sufficient data, none of them confirmed
a dependence when the Chi-Square test was applied.




                                                                                                                         25
Before running any model, we find that the exit ratios        our conclusion regarding exit ratio. Given those
                                                                 are not normally distributed. To fit a linear model, we       limitations, we find that the Box-Cox transformed exit
                                                                 apply Box-Cox transformation on the exit ratios to have       ratio of the company decreases by 0.22 if there is a
                                                                 an approximately normally distributed dataset, tested         female CEO, holding all other factors constant.
                                                                 by qq plot, a model assumption for testing regression.        The transformed ratio increases by 0.13 for every
                                                                 Our full model’s predictors are companies with a              0.1 increase in the interaction term of female VP
                                                                 female CEO, with a female founder, the proportion             and director proportion. The transformed exit ratio
                                                                 of female executives at five levels (C-level, VP-level,       would decrease by 0.07, 0.05, and 0.06 for every 10%
                                                                 founder-level, director-level, and board member),             increase in female executives at the board member,
                                                                 the state in which the company is headquartered, and          VP, and director levels, respectively, if all other factors
                                                                 industry group. After running the model selection by          were held constant.
                                                                 AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) value, we come to
                                                                 our reduced model to regress exit ratio. Exit ratio is fit    To predict ultimate success of the company, which is
                                                                 by a linear model of having a female CEO; proportion          a binary categorical dependent variable of success or
                                                                 of females at board member, VP, and director level;           unsuccess, we apply logistic regression. In this study,
                                                                 interaction between proportion of female executives at        a company’s success can be regressed by statistically
                                                                 VP and director level; year of exit; and industry group.      significant factors of having a female CEO, proportion
                                                                 By analysis of variance (ANOVA), the reduced model            of females at the VP and director level, and industry
                                                                 does not fit significantly differently from the full model.   group. Looking at the statistically significant factors,
                                                                 Therefore we fit the reduced model at an adjusted             particularly the ones related to female executives,
                                                                 R-square of 0.22, meaning 22% of the variance can             a company’s odds of success increase with female
                                                                 be explained by this model.                                   executives at the VP and director levels. With every
                                                                                                                               10% increase in female executives at the VP level
                                                                 The statistically significant predictor for the exit ratio    and holding all other predictors constant, the odds
                                                                 is the proportion of female board members, VPs,               of success (versus unsuccess) increase by 1.06 fold
                                                                 and directors; year of the exit; industry group; and          or 6%; for every 10% increase in female executives
                                                                 female VP and director proportion interaction term,           at the director level, the odds of success increase
                                                                 which is the multiplication of female VP and director         by 1.03 fold or 3.3%. Having a female CEO, with all
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                 proportions. Holding all other variables constant,            other variables held constant, yields a 0.73 multiple
                                                                 we find that having a female CEO will slightly decrease       odds of success, or a 0.24 decrease. By this model,
                                                                 the exit ratio of the company. Similarly, the exit ratio      the odds of success increase by 2% and 0.7%,
                                                                 of a company slightly decreases with an increase              respectively, for a 10% increase in C-level female
                                                                 in the proportion of female directors, VPs, or board          executives and board members.
                                                                 members. However, not all merged or acquired
                                                                 companies have a calculable exit ratio since the              Thus, we see that having female executives positively
                                                                 valuation of many is not disclosed. Therefore, results        helps VC-backed companies. Particularly at VP
                                                                 are not definite for the entire industry. There also          and director levels, the participation from female
                                                                 may be confounding variables excluded in the model.           executives makes a significant difference in pushing
                                                                 Further studies must be done to complete and validate         a company to its success.




              26
4	Success vs. Failed Companies

         The previous section compared companies that                                   While the overall median number of females at both
         achieved success with those that have not. However,                            successful and failed companies was two, Figure 4-1
         it is important to separate those companies that                               shows that companies with only one or two female
         have not achieved success into two categories: not                             executives saw a higher number of failures, whereas
         yet successful and failed. (See Section 1.3.) Since the                        those with three or four female executives had a
         fortune of the former group is not definitive, they are                        slightly better chance of success. For start-ups with
         excluded in this section of the analysis, which focuses                        five or more female executives, 61% were successful
         solely on true success versus failure.                                         and only 39% failed.

         Of the 8,688 companies for which their success/failure
         was definitive, 49.7% achieved success (based on the
         above definition) and 50.3% failed.



                                                                                 fig 4-1

                                                Overall Success Rates of Companies with Female Executives



                      1400

                                         1201
                             1169
                      1200


                      1000
Number of Companies




                      800

                                                     668        703




                                                                                                                                                  Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?
                      600


                      400
                                                                                352        338                                 360
                                                                                                          239                             229
                                                                                                                     200
                      200


                        0
                                    1 female               2 females                  3 females                 4 females            5+ females


                                                                       failed                successful




                                                                                                                                                        27
4.1	Industry Analysis                                                    Of the industries with more than 1,000 companies
                                                                          With the varied nature of industries within venture                      (e.g., business and financial services, consumer
                                                                          capital, companies in some industries are bound                          services, healthcare, and IT), only healthcare has a
                                                                          to have higher success rates than others. While                          positive success rate. Business and financial services
                                                                          consumer goods, energy and utilities, and industrial                     and IT have seen the largest number of companies
                                                                          goods and materials all have fewer companies than                        but also the highest failure rates.
                                                                          other industries, they all show positive success rates.




                                                                                                                                              fig 4-2

                                                                                                                     Overall Success Rates of Companies by Industry



                                                                                       4000
                                                                 Number of Companies




                                                                                                                                                                                                     48%
                                                                                       3000


                                                                                       2000

                                                                                                 46%
                                                                                                                                                                      57%                            52%
                                                                                       1000
                                                                                                                               49%
                                                                                                               55%                                 63%                               61%
                                                                                                 54%           45%             51%                 37%                43%            39%
                                                                                          0
                                                                                              business and                                                                        industrial
                                                                                                financial    consumer        consumer           energy and                        goods and       information
                                                                                                services      goods           services           utilities       healthcare        materials      technology
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                                                     failed              successful




                                                                          Again, there is not much disparity between a                             averages, and overall distributions are very similar.
                                                                          company’s success and failure by its proportion of                       Confirmed by the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test, there
                                                                          female executives, as shown from the boxplots below.                     is no statistically significant difference in the population
                                                                          The overall median proportion of female executives                       median between female executives of successful and
                                                                          in successful companies is 7.1%, which is the same as                    failed companies.
                                                                          the 7.1% median for failed companies. The medians,




              28
fig 4-3

                                                Proportion of Female Executives by Success



                                  0.5
Proportion of Female Executives




                                  0.4


                                  0.3


                                  0.2


                                  0.1


                                  0.0
                                                   fail                              success

                                                               Successful Status




              Through the Chi-Square test, we find there is a            company. There also is a dependence between the
              statistically significant dependence between having        survival of the company and having a female CEO,
              female executives and the success and failure of a         but no dependency for having a female founder.




                                                                                                                            Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                                                              29
4.1.1	 Proportion of Female Executives in                                    healthcare, and IT), Figure 4-4 further isolates just
                                                                          		Failed Companies by Industry                                               the failed companies within those industries. Past
                                                                          Companies with female executives have played a                               trends suggest that companies with one to two
                                                                          large role in liquidity events as well as influenced failed                  female executives have failed more than those
                                                                          companies in the industry. Looking at Figure 4-2 and                         with zero females. However, within each of these
                                                                          the four industries with the greatest sample sizes                           industries, companies with three or more female
                                                                          (business and financial services, consumer services,                         executives have failed less.




                                                                                                                                                  fig 4-4

                                                                                                                       Failed Companies by Industry and Female Presence



                                                                                       2500
                                                                                                                                                                                                    80

                                                                                       2000                                                                                                        222
                                                                 Number of Companies




                                                                                       1500
                                                                                                                                                                                                   957


                                                                                       1000            49
                                                                                                       134
                                                                                                                                                                       62
                                                                                                                                      36
                                                                                                       394                                                            109
                                                                                        500                                           67
                                                                                                                                                                      284                          867
                                                                                                                                      227
                                                                                                       350
                                                                                                                                      207                             211
Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success?




                                                                                          0
                                                                                              business and financial
                                                                                                     services                  consumer services                  healthcare             information technology


                                                                                                     0 females                      1-2 females                     3-4 females                  5+ females




              30
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success
Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success

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Women at the Wheel: Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success

  • 1. { Women { at Wheel the Do Female Executives Drive Start-up Success?
  • 2. contents Executive Summary 3 1 Methodology 5 1.1 VentureSource Database 5 1.2 Executive Information 5 1.3 Success 5 1.4 Industry Breakdown 5 1.5 Statistical Methods 5 2 Venture Industry Female Executives 6 2.1 Venture Capital Industry Trends 6 2.1.1 Female Executives in Venture-backed Companies 8 2.1.2 Exited Venture Companies 10 2.2 Proportion of Female Executives by Industry 13 2.3 Title Analysis 15 3 Successful vs. Unsuccessful Companies 18 3.1 Dependence Relationship between Proportion of Female Executives and Successful Rate of Company 19 3.2 Industry Analysis 22 3.2.1 Successful vs. Unsuccessful by Industry 22 3.2.2 Proportion of Female Executives in Successful Companies by Industry 23 3.3 Titles and Successful Companies 25 3.3.1 Female Executives and Predicting the Success of the Start-up 25 4 Success vs. Failed Companies 27 4.1 Industry Analysis 28 4.1.1 Proportion of Female Executives in Failed Companies by Industry 30 5 Conclusion 32 6 Appendix 33
  • 3. executive summary A ccording to the 2010 U.S. Census, more adults over the age of 25 than ever before (30%) have college degrees, with more women earning bachelor’s and advanced degrees than men. While women have outnumbered men in college enrollment since the 1980s and undergraduate degrees earned since 1996, 2010 was the first time women earned more advanced degrees than men. This leaves the open question: Why are women so poorly represented in senior executive roles? This study focuses on the current state of women in U.S. venture- backed companies and how women in leadership roles affect the success of a start-up. To accomplish this, we reviewed more than 15 years of venture-backed company data and executive information in the VentureSource database. In comparing successful versus unsuccessful companies, our analysis unveils: 1.3% of privately held companies have a female founder, 6.5% have a female CEO, and 20% have one or more female C-level executives. Study Authors Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? Jessica Canning, Global Research The most common positions held by female executives were Director (formerly), Dow Jones within Sales Marketing roles, accounting for 27% of the total VentureSource population sample. Maryam Haque, Senior Research The overall median proportion of female executives is 7.1% at Analyst, Dow Jones VentureSource successful companies and 3.1% at unsuccessful companies, Yimeng Wang, demonstrating the value that having more females can Research Assistant, Dow Jones potentially bring to a management team. VentureSource By industry, we identify the median proportion of female executives at successful companies as higher than that of unsuccessful Acknowledgments companies in the IT, healthcare, consumer services, and business Guidance given by and financial services industries, which are the four largest sectors. Prof. Eric A. Suess, California State University, East Bay We see that a company’s odds for success (versus unsuccess) increase with more female executives at the VP and director levels. Editing assistance by Valerie Foo, Senior Research For start-ups with five or more females, 61% were successful and Manager, Dow Jones VentureSource only 39% failed. 3
  • 4. women at the wheel Do Fem a le Executi ves Dr i ve Sta rt-up Success? Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? Does having a higher proportion of female executives at a venture-backed start-up improve the company’s chances for success? 4
  • 5. 1 Methodology 1.1 VentureSource Database Exit ratios are calculated as exit valuation/total Dow Jones VentureSource has been tracking financing venture investment. Acquisitions with an unknown events, people, companies, and investors involved exit ratio have been excluded from the “Successful” in the venture capital (VC) industry. With more versus “Unsuccessful” data set. than 25 years of historical data, VentureSource has comprehensive industry statistics dating back to 1.4 Industry Breakdown 1987 for the U.S., 2000 for Europe and Israel, 2005 VentureSource groups companies into the following for China, 2007 for India, and 2008 for Canada. Data industries: business and financial services, consumer is collected through a combination of primary and goods, consumer services, energy and utilities, secondary sources with each datapoint thoroughly healthcare, industrial goods and materials, and reviewed under rigorous methodology. information technology (IT). 1.2 Executive Information 1.5 Statistical Methods VentureSource tracks over 300,000 current All of the statistical methods in this report are and former executives globally. Each person is a benchmarked against the 0.05 significance level, senior-level executive with direct decision-making meaning our conclusions are claimed with 95% responsibilities for the company or investment firm. confidence. When we refer to a distribution as normal, we are observing that the distribution is a Gaussian For this study, we looked at companies headquartered distribution, or bell-shaped curve symmetrical about in the United States but included all executives, the mean, which is equal to the median. We applied regardless of location. The 20,194 VC-backed the Shapiro-Wilk test for normality. When results companies analyzed in this report received an equity produce a p-value less than 0.05, the data is financing between 1997 and 2011, or exited between considered not normal, and we perform non- 1997 and 2011. The resulting sample size consisted of parametric tests on the data. 167,556 executives, of which 11,193 were female. For all boxplots, bars at the end of dotted lines Company executives in this study were grouped in the represent the lower inner fence and upper inner fence following categories: founder, board member, C-level, of the dataset, excluding the outliers. The lower inner VP level, and director. fence and upper inner fence are calculated as the Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? (First Quartile)-(1.5 x Interquartile Range) and (Third 1.3 Success quartile)+(1.5 x Interquartile Range), respectively. In this study, companies are defined in two ways: The lines, from bottom to top, in the box are the 25th, 50th (median), and 75th percentile marks, respectively. “Successful” is considered: exited through an initial The 25th percentile mark often overlaps with the lower public offering (IPO), is in IPO registration, is inner fence mark, in which case only the former is privately-held and consistently profitable or has been labeled in the boxplots. Green dots denote averages. acquired for an amount greater than its total venture investment (i.e. had an exit ratio greater than one). “Unsuccessful” companies are divided into two categories: “Not Yet Successful” are still private and independent but have not yet become successful, as defined above. “Failed” companies have ceased operations, gone bankrupt, or exited at a valuation below their total venture capital funding. 5
  • 6. 2 Venture Industry Female Executives 2.1 Venture Capital Industry Trends that raised $34.14 billion, of which $8.24 billion went to Historically, IT has dominated venture investment IT. This is a 16% increase in financing over 2010 but still globally. In 2011, there were 3,344 U.S. venture deals 64% below the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000. fig 2-1 U.S. Venture Capital Deal Flow by Industry 7000 6000 Number of Financings 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? fig 2-2 U.S. Venture Capital Investment ($B) $100 Amount Invested ($B) $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 business industrial and financial consumer consumer energy goods and information services goods services and utilities healthcare materials technology 6
  • 7. There were 568 exits in 2011, an 8% and 19% decline nearly 39% of total venture exits in 2011 with 205 from 2010 and 2000, respectively. IT accounted for acquisitions and 16 IPOs. fig 2-3 U.S. Venture-backed IPOs by Industry and Year of IPO 300 250 Number of IPOs 200 150 100 50 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 fig 2-4 U.S. Venture-backed Mergers Acquisitions by Industry and Year of Acquisition 700 600 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 500 Number of MAs 400 300 200 100 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 business industrial and financial consumer consumer energy goods and information services goods services and utilities healthcare materials technology 7
  • 8. 2.1.1 Female Executives in Venture- Companies are likely to have just one or two female backed Companies executives (approximately 40% of the sample), Since 1997, 55% of the pool of 20,194 U.S. VC-backed compared with five or more male executives (78% companies have had at least one female executive. of the sample). However, looking at just the number The proportion of female to male executives at these of females does not tell the full story. Analyzing the companies is two to nine. (Figure 2-5) proportion of females to males and the subgroups of success and industries are where differences between genders are more evident. fig 2-5 Number of Companies by Total Number of Males and Females on Management Team 15,608 companies have five or 20000 more male executives Number of Companies 15000 5,174 companies have only 10000 one female executive 5000 2711 1140 1074 1430 1108 1147 1069 809 0 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 1 Executive 2 Executives 3 Executives 4 Executives 5+ Executives female male 8
  • 9. Currently privately-held companies make up 44% of Companies that received initial equity financing in this sample. Nearly half of these 9,978 companies 2006 or earlier are more likely to have one or more have at least one female executive. Of the 94,000 female executives, whereas companies backed in employees who have worked in a director-level position 2011 have the fewest. (Figure 2-6) The trend or higher at these companies, some 10% (9,300) were implies that companies hire more female executives female and 90% (84,000) male. as they advance. fig 2-6 Percent of Still Private Companies with Female Executives by Initial Financing Year 1400 24% 1200 24% 1000 Number of Companies 33% 800 43% 49% 76% 33% 600 55% 400 59% 75% 63% 57% 67% 67% 78% 63% 51% 200 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 69% 66% 45% 61% 73% 41% 25% 37% 37% 39% 22% 31% 34% 0 27% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year of Initial Equity Financing 0 female 1+ female 9
  • 10. Early-stage companies are more likely to have no 1.3% of privately held companies have a female founder, female executives and few employees, often with 6.5% have a female CEO, and 20% have one or more a limited group comprising a founder, CEO, female C-level executives. and few high-level executives. In our sample, development stage 0 female 1+ female all companies Startup 83% 17% 395 Product Development 59% 41% 2003 Generating Revenue 49% 51% 5372 Profitable 34% 66% 1188 Restart 50% 50% 20 All Companies 51% 49% 8978 2.1.2 Exited Venture Companies that exited between 1997 and 2011. The overall median A VC-backed exit refers to a company that was number of executives at these companies was 13, acquired, merged, or went public, and as a result, its while the median number for male executives and investors no longer hold any equity. Figure 2-7 shows female executives was 12 and 2, respectively. the median number of all executives at companies fig 2-7 Median Number of Executives in Exited Companies by Gender and Exit Year Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 20 Median Number of Executives 16 12 8 4 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year of Exit female male overall 10
  • 11. 2.1.2.1 Proportion of Exited Companies with of 71% in the exit doldrums of 2003, the percent of Female Executives Over Time venture-backed exits with at least one female executive The percentage of VC-backed exits with at least one dropped to 61% in 2011. Of successful VC-backed exits, female executive has been steadily increasing from 64% of companies had at least one female executive. 43% in 1997. During the 1999 dot-com bubble, women (See Section 3.) crossed the 50% threshold. Upon reaching a high fig 2-8 Percent of Exited Companies with One or More Female Executives 800 700 600 Number of Exits 500 57% 57% 60% 400 71% 70% 70% 69% 57% 61% 68% 300 43% 71% 64% 61% 47% 200 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 57% 53% 43% 43% 43% 40% 39% 100 34% 29% 29% 30% 30% 31% 36% 39% 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Exit Year 0 female 1+ female 11
  • 12. 2.1.2.2 Comparing Female Presence in IPOs For 1997 and 1998, the median proportion of females vs. Acquisitions Over Time at companies that exited was 0.0% with an upper The presence of female senior executives differs quartile of 11.1%. This was due to a smaller portion of notably between companies that had an IPO versus an exit data at that time. The median and the mean have acquisition. The percentage of VC-backed MAs with been increasing since 1998, reaching a peak in 2003 at least one female executive between 1997 and 2011 but declining in the 2008 recession; the median went hovered between 60% and 70%. However, the same from 5.9% in 1999 to 8.3% in 2003, and the mean metric for IPOs was much higher: 75% or more of IPOs went from 6.9% in 1998 to 10% in 2003. This is likely had at least one female executive since 2003. In 2011, because of a contraction in the liquidity environment 58% of acquisitions had at least one female executive for start-ups in 2008, not a change in the proportion of compared to 84% of IPOs. females in the start-up community. The median time to liquidity for those that exited 2.1.2.3 Proportion of Female Executives between 1997 and 2011 was 4.3 years. Surprisingly, Within Exited Companies a large percentage of companies in operations for The boxplots below detail participation and more than four years before their exit had zero female employment for female executives at exited companies executives. (See Appendix Figures 6-1 and 6-2 for by exit year. The boxplots show positively skewed MA and IPO breakouts.) distributions, meaning that the average female proportion is greater than the median proportion of The proportion of female executives at exited female executives of the respective exit year, and a companies climbed slightly but still remains a minority, large amount of companies have a smaller proportion regardless of “success”, when looking at the history of female executives. Since the distribution is skewed, of exited companies through an IPO or acquisition we examine the data by medians, a better metric between 1997 to 2011. for judging the distribution. The female executive proportion medians show small movement. However, Figure 2-9 shows the proportion of female executives the proportion of female executives at exit companies in boxplots according to the company’s exit year. has been trending upward, with the median proportion of female executives from 2002 to 2011 generally higher than those from 1997 to 2001. Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? fig 2-9 Proportion of Female Executives in Companies That Exited Between 1997 and 2011 Proportion of Female Executives (Director and Above) 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 12
  • 13. 2.2 Proportion of Female Executives executives differ depending on the industry. Again, by Industry all the averages are higher than the medians since the This section examines female executives by their distributions are positively skewed. industry groups. Companies in the business and financial services and The boxplots below depict the distributions of female healthcare industries tend to have a higher percentage executive proportions in all the companies in the study, of female executives. Companies in the energy and by industry groups. The green dots represent averages utilities and industrial goods and materials industries of the female executive proportion for each industry. hire fewer women overall and have a smaller proportion The boxplots suggest the distributions of female of female executives than that of other industries. fig 2-10 Close-Up of Proportion of Female Executives by Industry Group 0.5 Proportion of Female Executives 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 0.0 business and industrial financial consumer consumer energy and goods and information services goods services utilities healthcare materials technology 13
  • 14. fig 2-11 Median Proportion of Female Executives of Exited Companies per Year by Industry 0.15 Proportion of Female Executives 0.10 0.05 0.00 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 information healthcare consumer business and energy and consumer industrial goods technology services financial utilities goods and materials services Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 14
  • 15. 2.3 Title Analysis director, and other titles (“other” refers to managers, The female roles at VC-backed companies have consultants, general counsels, engineers, etc.). Also, varied by title. While males dominated in every title start-ups naturally have fewer director-level executives level (Figure 2-12), most notably the C-level and board during their early stages. positions, females have made a larger dent in the VP, fig 2-12 Executive Breakdown by Title Level and Gender for All Companies 90000 80000 70000 60000 Number of executives 50000 40000 93% 94% 85% 30000 20000 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 10000 0 15% 76% 78% 7% 6% 24% 22% c-level board member vp director other female male Analyzing just female executives at VC-backed versus 28% of males, and 19% of females served companies, 46% held a VP-level position, compared as board members compared to 36% of males. to 30% of males. C-level roles consist of 20% females 15
  • 16. fig 2-13 Female Title Breakdown for All Companies other 6% director 9% vp board member 46% 19% c-level 20% Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? (see appendix figure 6-3 for the male title level breakdown for exited companites.) 16
  • 17. A deeper analysis of the executives’ titles shows what The most common positions held by female executives verticals had higher concentrations of females. were within Sales Marketing roles, accounting for 27% of the total population sample. (See Figure 2-14.) fig 2-14 Female Title Breakdown for Exited Companies counsel/ hu ma other nr legal ro 7% eso ur business ce le development s6 5% 8% % sales and/or marketing operations 27% 8% technical 11% Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? finance product 17% 11% (Note: Administration roles appear within “Other,” as there were not enough to breakout.) 17
  • 18. 3 Successful vs. Unsuccessful Companies The thesis for this paper claimed that having a higher categories in order to further analyze this section of proportion of female executives at venture-backed the report: successful and unsuccessful. start-ups improves the ultimate success of the (See Section 1.3 for definitions.) company. We grouped companies into two fig 3-1 Annual Pool of Companies per Year tier 1 tier 2 number of companies % of companies Unsuccessul Failed 4367 35.8% Not yet successful 7833 64.2% unsuccessful total 12200 60.4% successful 4321 21.4% unkown 3673 18.2% total number of companies 20194 There are more companies entering the VC industry companies still in an investor’s portfolio and operating each year than are exiting, as shown in Figure privately but not yet profitable, in addition to the 3-2, which means investors have to decide which companies that went bankrupt or ceased operations, companies to continue supporting. For this section, are considered “Unsuccessful.” Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 18
  • 19. fig 3-2 Annual Pool of Companies that Entered, Exited, and Ceased Operations per Year 3000 2500 Number of Companies 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 entered (initial equity financing) ceased operations exited (ma or ipo) 3.1 Dependence Relationship between The overall median proportion of female executives Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? Proportion of Female Executives and in successful companies is 7.1%, compared to 3.1% at Successful Rate of Company unsuccessful companies (Figure 3-3). The figures below include all industries. 19
  • 20. fig 3-3 Proportion of Female Executives by the Ultimate Success of the Company 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 no yes (Note: The averages, displayed by green dots, are almost identical.) The histograms below represent differences in the spread out, and include more companies that have no distributions of female executives between successful female executives. The distribution of the successful and unsuccessful companies. Successful companies companies is less skewed, and shows that companies have a sample standard deviation of 0.103 while that with an executive team composed of 5% to 25% female of unsuccessful companies is 0.139. The unsuccessful executives are successful. companies’ female executive proportions are more Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 20
  • 21. fig 3-4 Comparative Histograms of Proportion of Female Executives by the Ultimate Success of the Company 6000 5000 Frequency 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Proportion of Female Executives unsuccessful companies successful companies Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? Through the application of Pearson’s Chi-Square population median proportions of female executives test with Yates’s continuity correction, we evaluated than those of unsuccessful companies. From the if a dependence exists between a company with resulting p-value, we claim the population median any female executives and its success. We claim proportion of female executives of the successful with statistically significant evidence that there is companies is statistically significantly greater than a dependence between a company having female that of unsuccessful companies. executives and its success. To better understand the relationship between female Since the proportion of female executives for all executives and the success of the company, it is companies is not normally distributed, we applied imperative to understand venture capital and how the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test to examine the changes in industry investments can affect the liquidity hypothesis that successful companies have greater options and likelihood of success for companies. 21
  • 22. 3.2 Industry Analysis 3.2.1 Successful vs. Unsuccessful by Industry success rate, it is tied with business and financial By industry, energy and utilities companies have seen services companies for having the largest failure rate the lowest success rate, while IT companies have the too. Nearly one-third of companies in the IT and business highest. This is attributed to the IT industry’s historical and financial services industries have failed. Overall, domination. The majority (79%) of companies that between 71% and 87% of each industry consists of entered the energy and utilities industry are still unsuccessful companies (consisting of those labeled privately held and operating, so they are classified as failed and not yet successful). The failed companies “not yet successful.” While IT is consistently one of the within these groups are addressed separately from largest investment sectors and has seen the highest the not yet successful companies in Section 4. fig 3-5a Success Rates by Industry 8000 7000 6000 29% 71% Number of Companies 5000 4000 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 39% 25% 75% 3000 26% 74% 78% 2000 22% 42% 56% 55% 1000 32% 32% 19% 23% 0 business and financial services consumer services healthcare information technology failed not yet successful successful 22
  • 23. fig 3-5b Success Rates by Industry 400 16% 84% 350 13% 87% 300 Number of Companies 250 19% 81% 200 73% 79% 150 66% 100 50 15% 11% 8% 0 consumer goods energy and utilities industrial goods and materials failed not yet successful successful Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 3.2.2 Proportion of Female Executives From comparing the medians in the boxplots below, in Successful Companies by Industry we see that companies in the information technology, When we apply the Chi-Square test to check for business and financial services, consumer services, dependence between companies with female and healthcare industries have more female executives executives and their success we encounter Simpson’s at successful companies than that of unsuccessful Paradox, one in which the observation for dependence ones. The green dots represent averages and are differs when groups are combined versus split. We shown above the medians, again suggesting that observe no dependency between success and having distributions are positively skewed. Confirming that female executives at companies in the consumer data groups are not normally distributed, we again goods and energy and utilities industries. Since perform the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test for each Simpson’s Paradox arises from over-combining data, industry. The population medians of female executives we conclude that a relationship between companies with at successful companies are significantly higher female executives and their success does exist, but it is than those of unsuccessful companies in information conditional on the industry. technology, healthcare, consumer services, and business and financial services. 23
  • 24. fig 3-6 Overall Proportion of Female Executives by Ultimate Success of Company and Industry information technology business and financial consumer goods industrial goods companies companies company and materials 0.5 Proportion of Female Executives 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 no yes no yes no yes no yes Successful Status consumer services energy and utilities healthcare companies companies companies all companies 0.5 Proportion of Female Executives Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 no yes no yes no yes no yes Successful Status Due to the data distribution within consumer goods, companies. This is primarily due to investment energy and utilities, and industrial goods and materials, preferences within the venture capital industry, we cannot conclusively say that the median proportion consequently resulting in smaller numbers of successful companies is higher than unsuccessful of companies for those sectors. 24
  • 25. 3.3 Titles and Successful Companies Only 6.5% of the privately held companies that received 3.3.1 Female Executives and Predicting venture capital funding between 1997 and 2011 had the Success of the Start-up a female CEO. Such a small percentage raises the As we observed some dependency between female question of whether a CEO’s gender impacts the senior executives and the ultimate success of a success of a company in some way, as well as the company, we now take a closer look and apply question of whether business conduct between regression analysis to the data. As previously genders affects the success of private companies. mentioned, we measure success quantitatively for By the Chi-Square test of Independence, we see there exited companies by exit ratios and qualitatively for is a dependence between the success of a company and privately held companies by their development the existence of a female CEO. However, there is no stage (e.g., those that are profitable). In this section, statistically significant dependency between a female we built a model to understand shifts in exit ratios founder and the success of the company. (defined in Section 1.3 as exit valuation/total equity raised). To take into account the non-quantifiable Analyzing by industry group produces the same privately held, profitable companies, we built a logistic result for founders—the success of the company regression model to predict the categorical dependent is independent of its having a female founder(s). variable of ultimate success of the company by However, grouping by industry and applying the Chi- analyzing the changes in odds ratios of successful Square test to exam dependency between the success companies versus unsuccessful companies. status of a company having a female CEO, we see that our earlier conclusion exhibits Simpson’s Paradox. There is only statistically significant dependency for companies in the consumer services industry. Dependence should not be confused with causation. It merely means that a relationship between the two variables exists. Due to the relatively small number of female founders in the overall pool of companies (fewer than 1%), we were unable to analyze the Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? dependence of female founders by industry. For those industries with sufficient data, none of them confirmed a dependence when the Chi-Square test was applied. 25
  • 26. Before running any model, we find that the exit ratios our conclusion regarding exit ratio. Given those are not normally distributed. To fit a linear model, we limitations, we find that the Box-Cox transformed exit apply Box-Cox transformation on the exit ratios to have ratio of the company decreases by 0.22 if there is a an approximately normally distributed dataset, tested female CEO, holding all other factors constant. by qq plot, a model assumption for testing regression. The transformed ratio increases by 0.13 for every Our full model’s predictors are companies with a 0.1 increase in the interaction term of female VP female CEO, with a female founder, the proportion and director proportion. The transformed exit ratio of female executives at five levels (C-level, VP-level, would decrease by 0.07, 0.05, and 0.06 for every 10% founder-level, director-level, and board member), increase in female executives at the board member, the state in which the company is headquartered, and VP, and director levels, respectively, if all other factors industry group. After running the model selection by were held constant. AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) value, we come to our reduced model to regress exit ratio. Exit ratio is fit To predict ultimate success of the company, which is by a linear model of having a female CEO; proportion a binary categorical dependent variable of success or of females at board member, VP, and director level; unsuccess, we apply logistic regression. In this study, interaction between proportion of female executives at a company’s success can be regressed by statistically VP and director level; year of exit; and industry group. significant factors of having a female CEO, proportion By analysis of variance (ANOVA), the reduced model of females at the VP and director level, and industry does not fit significantly differently from the full model. group. Looking at the statistically significant factors, Therefore we fit the reduced model at an adjusted particularly the ones related to female executives, R-square of 0.22, meaning 22% of the variance can a company’s odds of success increase with female be explained by this model. executives at the VP and director levels. With every 10% increase in female executives at the VP level The statistically significant predictor for the exit ratio and holding all other predictors constant, the odds is the proportion of female board members, VPs, of success (versus unsuccess) increase by 1.06 fold and directors; year of the exit; industry group; and or 6%; for every 10% increase in female executives female VP and director proportion interaction term, at the director level, the odds of success increase which is the multiplication of female VP and director by 1.03 fold or 3.3%. Having a female CEO, with all Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? proportions. Holding all other variables constant, other variables held constant, yields a 0.73 multiple we find that having a female CEO will slightly decrease odds of success, or a 0.24 decrease. By this model, the exit ratio of the company. Similarly, the exit ratio the odds of success increase by 2% and 0.7%, of a company slightly decreases with an increase respectively, for a 10% increase in C-level female in the proportion of female directors, VPs, or board executives and board members. members. However, not all merged or acquired companies have a calculable exit ratio since the Thus, we see that having female executives positively valuation of many is not disclosed. Therefore, results helps VC-backed companies. Particularly at VP are not definite for the entire industry. There also and director levels, the participation from female may be confounding variables excluded in the model. executives makes a significant difference in pushing Further studies must be done to complete and validate a company to its success. 26
  • 27. 4 Success vs. Failed Companies The previous section compared companies that While the overall median number of females at both achieved success with those that have not. However, successful and failed companies was two, Figure 4-1 it is important to separate those companies that shows that companies with only one or two female have not achieved success into two categories: not executives saw a higher number of failures, whereas yet successful and failed. (See Section 1.3.) Since the those with three or four female executives had a fortune of the former group is not definitive, they are slightly better chance of success. For start-ups with excluded in this section of the analysis, which focuses five or more female executives, 61% were successful solely on true success versus failure. and only 39% failed. Of the 8,688 companies for which their success/failure was definitive, 49.7% achieved success (based on the above definition) and 50.3% failed. fig 4-1 Overall Success Rates of Companies with Female Executives 1400 1201 1169 1200 1000 Number of Companies 800 668 703 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 600 400 352 338 360 239 229 200 200 0 1 female 2 females 3 females 4 females 5+ females failed successful 27
  • 28. 4.1 Industry Analysis Of the industries with more than 1,000 companies With the varied nature of industries within venture (e.g., business and financial services, consumer capital, companies in some industries are bound services, healthcare, and IT), only healthcare has a to have higher success rates than others. While positive success rate. Business and financial services consumer goods, energy and utilities, and industrial and IT have seen the largest number of companies goods and materials all have fewer companies than but also the highest failure rates. other industries, they all show positive success rates. fig 4-2 Overall Success Rates of Companies by Industry 4000 Number of Companies 48% 3000 2000 46% 57% 52% 1000 49% 55% 63% 61% 54% 45% 51% 37% 43% 39% 0 business and industrial financial consumer consumer energy and goods and information services goods services utilities healthcare materials technology Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? failed successful Again, there is not much disparity between a averages, and overall distributions are very similar. company’s success and failure by its proportion of Confirmed by the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test, there female executives, as shown from the boxplots below. is no statistically significant difference in the population The overall median proportion of female executives median between female executives of successful and in successful companies is 7.1%, which is the same as failed companies. the 7.1% median for failed companies. The medians, 28
  • 29. fig 4-3 Proportion of Female Executives by Success 0.5 Proportion of Female Executives 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 fail success Successful Status Through the Chi-Square test, we find there is a company. There also is a dependence between the statistically significant dependence between having survival of the company and having a female CEO, female executives and the success and failure of a but no dependency for having a female founder. Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 29
  • 30. 4.1.1 Proportion of Female Executives in healthcare, and IT), Figure 4-4 further isolates just Failed Companies by Industry the failed companies within those industries. Past Companies with female executives have played a trends suggest that companies with one to two large role in liquidity events as well as influenced failed female executives have failed more than those companies in the industry. Looking at Figure 4-2 and with zero females. However, within each of these the four industries with the greatest sample sizes industries, companies with three or more female (business and financial services, consumer services, executives have failed less. fig 4-4 Failed Companies by Industry and Female Presence 2500 80 2000 222 Number of Companies 1500 957 1000 49 134 62 36 394 109 500 67 284 867 227 350 207 211 Women at the Wheel Do female exectives drive start-up success? 0 business and financial services consumer services healthcare information technology 0 females 1-2 females 3-4 females 5+ females 30