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EVM	World	2017
CPM-200: Scope and Organization Management
Lesson C: Using Technical Performance Measures
to Inform Earned Value Performance
Glen B. Alleman
Niwot Ridge, LLC
+1 303 241 9633
glen.alleman@niwotridge.com
Learning Objectives
• TLO #1: The student will recognize what a Technical
Performance Measure (TPM) is in the context of the
Professional Education Program Case Study as well
as DOD and INCOSE Systems Engineering Guidance.
• TLO #2: The student will be able identify and select
TPMs using the example Work Breakdown Structure
from the Case Study.
• TLO #3: The student will learn how to prepare
descriptions of TPMs needed to assess the physical
“progress to plan” of the program.
• TLO #4: The student will able to judge the validity of a
TPM from a list of TPM’s from the notional program.
2
Components we’ll meet along the
way to a credible PMB
Objective	Status	and	Essential	Views	to	support	the	proactive	management	processes	needed	
to	keep	the	program	GREEN
Risk	Management
SOW
SOO
ConOps
WBS
Techncial	and	Operational	
Requirements
CWBS	&
CWBS	Dictionary
Integrated	Master	Plan
(IMP)
Integrated	Master	Schedule
(IMS)	
Measures	of	
Effectiveness
Measures	of	
Performance
Measures	of	
Progress
Key	Performance	Parameters
Program		Specific
Key	Performance	Parameters
Technical	Performance	
Measures
Earned	Value	Management	
System
TPMs	
Live	Here
Performance	Measurement	Baseline
TLO	#1
3
Can Earned Value Alone Get Us
To Our Destination?
• How do we increase visibility into program performance?
• How do we reduce cycle time to deliver the product?
• How do we foster accountability?
• How do we reduce risk?
• How do we start our journey to success?
Increasing	the	Probability	of	Success	means	…		
Connecting	The	Dots	Between	EVM	and	TPM	to	Reach	Our	Destination
TLO	#1
4
Increasing the Probability of Program
Success Means …
Risk
SOW
Cost
WBS
IMP/IMS
TPM
PMB
Building A Credible Performance Measurement Baseline
This is actually harder than it looks!
TLO	#1
5
Identifying the TPMs starts with good
Systems Engineering
TLO	#1
6
Some More Guidance
Systems	engineering	uses	technical	performance
measurements to	balance	cost,	schedule,	and	performance
throughout	the	life	cycle.	Technical	performance	
measurements	compare	actual	versus	planned	technical	
development	and	design.	They	also	report	the	degree	to	
which	system	requirements	are	met	in	terms	of	performance,	
cost,	schedule,	and progress	in	implementing	risk handling.	
Performance	metrics	are	traceable	to	user–defined	
capabilities.
―	Defense	Acquisition	Guide	
(https://dag.dau.mil/Pages/Default.aspx)
In The End ― It’s Always About Systems Engineering
TLO	#1
7
This Has All Been Said Before
… the basic tenets of the process are the need for
seamless management tools, that support an
integrated approach … and “proactive identification
and management of risk” for critical cost, schedule,
and technical performance parameters.
― Secretary of Defense, Perry memo, May 1995
Why Is This Hard To Understand?
§ We seem to be focused on EV reporting, not the use of
EV to manage the program.
§ We think getting the IPMR out the door is the end of
Program Planning and Control’s efforts, not the beginning.
TPM Handbook 1984
TLO #1
8
A Final Reminder …
TPMs are one source of Risk Management processes
§ Risk	Management	Guide	to	DOD	Acquisition,	Seventh	Edition,	December	2014
§ INCOSE	Technical	Measurement,	INCOSE-TP-2003-020-01
TLO #1
9
We see TPMs starting with the
Integrated Baseline Review (IBR)
• Confirms that the Performance Measurement
Baseline (PMB) captures the entire techncial
scope of work, which is schedule to meet
program objectives, identifies risks, assigns
resources to meet requirements, and
implements management control processes.
TLO	#1
Currently reported Earned Value data contains invaluable planning and
budgeting information … for program management, however, shortcomings of
the system are it emphasis on retrospection and lack of integration with
techncial achievement.
– Cmdr. Nicholas Pisano
10
Back To Our Technical Performance
Measures
Technical Performance Measures do
what they say,
Measure the Technical Performance
of the product or service produced by
the program.
TLO	#2
11
To develop TPMs we first need to
define some other measures
• Measures of Effectiveness (MoE)
• Measures of Performance (MoP)
• Key Performance Parameters (KPP)
• Than we can define the Technical
Performance Measures (TPM)
12
Measure of Effectiveness (MoE)
Measures of Effectiveness …
• Are stated in units meaningful to the buyer,
• Focus on capabilities independent of any technical
implementation,
• Are connected to the mission success.
Operational measures of success that are closely related to
the achievements of the mission or operational objectives
evaluated in the operational environment, under a specific set
of conditions.
MoE’s Belong to the End User
“Technical	Measurement,”	INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01
13
Measure of Performance (MoP)
Measures of Performance are …
• Attributes that assure the system has the
capability and capacity to perform,
• Assessment of the system to assure it meets
design requirements to satisfy the MoE.
Measures that characterize physical or functional attributes
relating to the system operation, measured or estimated
under specific conditions.
“Technical	Measurement,”	INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01
MoP’s belong to the Program – Developed by the Systems
Engineer, Measured By CAMs, and Analyzed by PP&C
14
Key Performance Parameters (KPP)
Key Performance Parameters …
• Have a threshold or objective value,
• Characterize the major drivers of performance,
• Are considered Critical to Customer (CTC).
Measures that Represent the capabilities and characteristics
so significant that failure to meet them can be cause for
reevaluation, reassessing, or termination of the program
The acquirer defines the KPPs during the operational concept
development – KPPs say what DONE looks like
TLO	#2
“Technical	Measurement,”	INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01
15
Technical Performance Measures
(TPM)
Technical Performance Measures …
• Assess design progress,
• Define compliance to performance requirements,
• Identify technical risk,
• Are limited to critical thresholds,
• Include projected performance.
Attributes that determine how well a system or system
element is satisfying or expected to satisfy a technical
requirement or goal
TLO	#2
“Technical	Measurement,”	INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01
16
TPMs start with the WBS
TLO	#2
1.0	
Safer	Counties	/	Safer	
Cities
1.1	
SC2	Prime	Mission	
Equipment
1.1.1.	Camera	Systems
1.1.1.1	Camera
1.1.1.2	Camera	
Interface	Hardware
1.1.1.3	Camera	
Integration
1.1.2		Wireless	Tower	
System
1.1.2.1	Wireless	Tower
1.1.2.2	Tower	Interface	
Tower
1.1.2.3	Tower	
Integration,	Test,	
Assembly,	and	
Checkout
1.1.3		Monitoring	
Stations
1.1.3.1	PC	Stations
1.1.3.2	PC	Interface	
Hardware
1.1.3.3	Monitoring	
Stations	Integration,	
Test,	Assembly	and	
Checkout
1.2	
System	Engineering	
/Program	Management
1.3	
System	Test	and	
Evaluation
1.4	
Data
1.5	
Training
Let’s	focus	on	the	wireless	towers	
and	the	services	they	provide	to	
public	safety,	as	well	as	convenience	
for	the	citizens.
We’ll	need	MOPs,	MOEs,	KPPs,	
before	we	define	the	TPMs
Then	we’ll	connect	these	TPM’s	to	
assessing	the	performance	of	the	
work	in	the	IMS.
17
§ This is where
TPMs are
connected with
the MoE’s and
MoP’s
§ For each
deliverable from
the program, all
the “measures”
must be defined
in units
meaningful to the
decision makers.
§ Here’s some
“real” examples.
Connecting the MoE, MoP, KPP, and TPMs
1. Provide	bandwidth	for	
5,000	simultaneous	
voice	and	data		users
2. Provide	location	
service	for	911
3. Provide	99.5%	
availability	to	users
Measures	of	
Effectiveness	(MoE)
1. Net	Ready
2. E911	Location	Quality
3. Phone	
Interoperability
4. Manpower
5. Availability
Key	Performance	
Parameters	(KPP)
1. Net	Ready
§ IPv4/6	compliance
§ 1Gb	Ethernet
2. Location	quality
§ Accuracy	threshold	
@60M
§ Integrity	threshold		
@40M	
3. Phone	interoperability
§ Processing	capability	
meets	growth	matrix
4. Manpower
§ MTBC	>1000	hrs
§ MCM	<	2	hrs
5. Availability
§ Clear	threshold	>99%
§ Noise	threshold	>90%
Measures	of	Performance	
(MoP)
1. Net	Ready
§ Standard	message	packets
2. Location	Quality
§ Multipath	allocation	
budget
§ Multipath	bias	protection
3. Phone	Interoperability
§ MOSA	compliant
§ Civil	compliant
4. Manpower
§ Operating	elapsed	time	
meters
§ Standby	elapsed	time	
indicators
5. Availability
§ Phase	center	variations	
Technical	Performance	
Measures	(TPM)
Mission	Capabilities	and	Operational	Need
Technical	Insight	– Risk	adjusted	performance	to	plan	
TLO	#2
18
Identifying Technical Performance
Measures
Technical Performance Measures must be techncial
and must describe the performance in units of measure
meaningful to the decision makers.
TPM’s are not counts of things delivered. TPMs are not
assessments of completed work through effort or cost.
TPMs are measures of Technical Performance
TLO	#3
19
How can we possibly know we’re on schedule or on
budget without knowing if we’re technically compliant?
TLO	#3
20
Measures of Technical Parameters†
Attribute Description
Achieved	to	Date
§ Measured	technical	progress	or	estimate	of	progress	
in	units of	performance
Current	Estimate
§ Value	of	a	technical	parameter	that	is	predicted	to	be	
achieved	now	or in	the	future
Milestone
§ Point	in	time	when an	evaluation	of	the	technical	
measure	is	accomplished
Planned	Value § Predicted	value	of	the	technical	parameter
Planned	Performance	
Profile
§ Profile	representing	the	project	time	phased	
demonstration	of	a	technical	parameter
Tolerance	Band § Management	alert	limits
Threshold § Limiting acceptable	value	of	a	technical	parameter
Variances
§ Demonstrated	technical	variance
§ Predicted	technical	variance
TLO	#3
†	INCOSE	Systems	Engineering	Handbook	 21
A Familiar Graphic for TPMs
Variance
Planned	Value
Planned	Profile
Current	Estimate
Milestones
Threshold
Upper	Control	Limit
Lower	Control	Limit
Mean	To	Between	Failure
Time	=	Program	Maturity
Achieved	to	Date
TPM
TLO	#3
22
What Do We Need To Know About This
Program Through The TPMs?
• What WBS elements represent the TPMs?
• What Work Packages produce these WBS
elements?
• Where do these Work Packages live in the IMS?
• What are the Earned Value baseline values for
these Work Packages?
• How are we going to measure all these variables?
• What does the curve look like for these
measurements?
TLO	#3
23
Let’s Connect Some More Dots
TLO	#3
Risk
SOW
Cost
WBS
IMP/IMS
TPM
PMB
❺ Deliverables	
defined	in	the	SOW,	
traced	to	the	WBS,	
with	narratives	and	
Measures	of	
Performance	(MoP)
❹ Budget	at	the	Work	
Package	level,	rolled	to	
the	Control	Accounts	
showing	cost	spreads	for	
all	work	in	the	IMS
❻ Measures	of	
Performance	(MOP)	for	
each	critical	deliverable	in	
the	WBS	and	identified	in	
each	Work	Package	in	the	
IMS,	used	to	assess	
maturity	in	the	IMP
❶ The	Products	and	
Processes	in	a	“well	
structured”	decomposition,	
traceable	to	the	deliverables
❷ IMS	contains	all	
the	Work	Packages,	
BCWS,	Risk	mitigation	
plans,	with	traces	to	
the	IMP	measuring	
increasing	maturity	
through	Measures	of	
Effectiveness	(MOE)	
and	KPPs
❸ Technical	and	Programmatic	
Risks Connected	through	the	
WBS,	Risk	Register,	IMP	and	IMS
The	PMB	is	the	Document	
of	Record	for	the	Program
Performance	is	Measured	
through	the	PMB
24
Raison d'etre for Technical
Performance Measures
The real purpose of
Technical
Performance
Measures is to
reduce
Programmatic and
Technical RISK
Risk
SOW
Cost
WBS
IMP/IMS
TPM
PMB
TLO	#4
25
Key Elements of A Good TPM
• Traceability – Requirements to WBS to
TPMs to EV control accounts.
• Impact – How much WBS work, & therefore
EV money, is covered by the TPM(s)? What
is effect?
• TPM Banding/Sensitivity – What banding
(R/Y/G) and sensitivity (EV impact) should be
used for each TPM?
• Technical Readiness Level – What’s the
state of the technology supporting the
requirement(s) for which TPM is a metric?
Implementing	Technical	Performance	Measurement	,	Mike	Ferraro	,	General	Engineer,	PEO/SYSCOM	Conference
TLO	#4
26
Determination of Physical % Complete must be
informed by both task completion and technical status
4Progress of a set of tasks
– Drawings Completed
– Lines of Code Written
– Work Products Produced
– Reviews Completed
• Progress of the technical status
– Critical TPM Achievement
– System Capabilities Met
– Quality of Work Products
– System Under Review Acceptable
Measuring	progress	
of	what	people	do
Measuring	progress	of	the	
Result	of	what	people	do
Progress	is	measured	by	effectiveness of	outcomes	to	the	end	user
Physical	%	Complete	P%C
TLO	#4
BCWPi
i=1
N
∑ = BCWSi × P%Ci
i=1
N
∑
27
Connecting the EV Variables
Integrating	Cost,	Schedulele,	and	Technical	Performance
Assures	Program	Management	has	the	needed	performance	information	to	deliver	
on‒time,	on‒budget,	and	on‒specification
Technical	Performance	Measures
Cost Schedule
Conventional	Earned	Value
+
=
§ Master	Schedule	is	used	to	
derive	Basis	of	Estimate	
(BOE)	not	the	other	way	
around.
§ Probabilistic	cost	
estimating	uses	past	
performance	and	cost	risk	
modeling.
§ Labor,	Materiel,	and	other	
direct	costs	accounted	for	
in	Work	Packages.
§ Risk	adjustments	for	all	
elements	of	cost.
Cost	Baseline
§ Earned	Value	is	diluted	by	
missing	technical	
performance.
§ Earned	Value	is	diluted	by	
postponed	features.
§ Earned	Value	is	diluted	by	
non	compliant	quality.
§ All	these	dilutions	require	
adjustments	to	the	
Estimate	at	Complete	
(EAC)	and	the	To	Complete	
Performance	Index	(TCPI).
Technical	Performance
§ Requirements	are	
decomposed	into	physical	
deliverables.
§ Deliverables	are	produced	
through	Work	Packages.
§ Work	Packages	are	
assigned	to	accountable	
manager.
§ Work	Packages	are	
sequenced	to	form	the	
highest	value	stream	with	
the	lowest	technical	and	
programmatic	risk.
Schedule	Baseline
TLO	#4
28
TPM Checklist
MoE MoP TPM
Traceable	to	needs,	goals,	
objectives,	and	risks.
Traceable	to	applicable	
MOEs,	KPPs,	system	level	
performance	requirements,	
and	risks.
Traceable	to	applicable	MoPs,	
system	element	performance,	
requirements,	objectives,	risks,	
and	WBS	elements.
Defined	with associated	
KPPs.
Focused	on	technical	risks	
and	supports	trades between	
alternative	solutions.
Further	decomposed,	budgeted,	
and	allocated	to	lower	level
system	elements	in	the	WBS	and	
IMS.
Each	MoE	independent	
from	others.
Provided	insight	into	system	
performance.
Assigned	an	owner,	the	CAM	and	
Work	Package	Manager.
Each	MoE	independent	of	
technical	any	solution.
Decomposed, budgeted	and	
allocated	to	system	elements.
Sources	of	measure	identified and	
processes	for	generating	the	
measures	defined.
Address the required	KPPs.
Assigned	an	“owner,”	the	
CAM	and	Technical Manager.
Integrated	into	the	program’s	IMS	
as part	of	the	exit	criteria	for	the	
Work	Package.
TLO	#4
29
Summary of TPM Benefits
• Measures of results based on technical
achievement
• Integrated technical performance with budget and
schedule – providing an integrated systems
approach to performance measurement
• Establishes the linkage between engineering and
cost/schedule considerations in program
management decision making
• Measures the programmatic impact of technical
variance in terms of risk
• Reduces subjectivity through the establishment of
technical performance baseline
TLO	#4
30
Past Issues with
Earned Value Management and Scheduling
• Ability to take credit for all work accomplished
• How to defend what work was earned
• Identifying EV milestones in the schedule focused
attention on those tasks so that maximum earned
value could be taken
• IMS was too detailed to manage the program
• CAM’s used other means to manage and assess
progress related to their work; i.e. detailed schedules
• Detailed schedules did not reflect what was reported in
IMS
31
Solution(– Quantifiable(Backup(Data((QBD)
Quantifiable Backup Data (QBD)
• A QBD is a supplement to the IMS to help
manage discrete work at a lower level than is
maintained in the IMS
• The QBD measures the work objectively
– 748-C calls out on Page 1
– Objectively assess accomplishments at the work
performance level
• QBD’s are part of the PMB
• QBD’s do not replace the EVMS Earned
Value Techniques (EVT)
32
Quantifiable Backup Data (QBD)
• A detailed listing of tasks necessary to complete all scope in a work
package during the defined period of performance.
• It is an approach used to objectively measure performance
– Each task on the list is weighted – total weighting equals 100% of the
work package BAC (weighting is important, should not be equal
weighting on every task).
– Upon completion of QBD development the QBD is placed under
configuration control.
– The CAM assesses physical percent complete of each QBD task.
– The percent complete is calculated from the cumulative assessments.
• The purpose of the QBD is to:
– Ensure and demonstrate that all contract work is accounted for;
– Ensure the schedule and budget are realistic and achievable;
– Mitigate schedule and budget risks; and,
– Provide a basis for objectively assessing progress for discretely
measured work packages.
33
34
What We’ll Do In Our Hands On
Work Shop
Based on a notional case study for a
county surveillance system, we will
strategize about the system MOEs
and MOPs and decide upon
appropriate TPMs to inform our
program performance and BCWP
35
Case Study Set Up
• The county is concerned about controlling
disturbances, mitigating crime, and having
forensic video and sound evidence for legal
purposes
• The county desires to procure a surveillance
system with cameras and sound devices at
strategic locations, send the data feeds via
wireless technology, monitor, store and
retrieve selected incidents
36
Case Study Set Up (Continued)
• The county wants near “real time” response
and desires video quality such that they can
distinguish facial features and read a license
plates within 20 feet from the camera
• It also wants the system to alert operators
when there is evidence of a disturbance
• It wants equipment that will allow them to
store five years worth of data feeds collected
24/7
37
Case Study Set Up (Concluded)
• The county has submitted a Request for Proposal
(RFP) to procure, install, test and train personnel. The
county has set aside of budget of $40M and wants to
system operational within 18 months. Because of the
nature of the procurement, the county has required
monthly IPMRs (See Handout 1 for details)
• You are the proposal manager for the contract. Your
immediate job is to
– Determine the system’s “Measure of Effectiveness”
– Select appropriate Technical Performance Measures to
use to inform or drive reported cost and schedule progress
– Propose how you will ensure the county that cost and
schedule progress is consistent with measured technical
progress
38
Handout # 1
Safer County/Safer City
Surveillance Background and
Technical Requirements
39
Exercise # 1
• What are possible Measures of
Effectiveness (MOE) of the System?
• What are possible Technical Performance
Measures (TPM) that could be used to
drive or inform the cost and schedule
progress?
40
All	these	measures	
used	to	inform	BCWP	
Reminder: MOEs, MOPs, and TPMs
are Connected to the IMP/IMS
SOW
ConOps
WBS
CWBS
Technical	
Performance	
Measures
Messages	of	
Performance
Measures	of	
EffectivenessKPPs
Integrated	
Master	Plan
Integrated	
Master	
Schedule
Performance	
Measurement	
Baseline
Techncial	and	Operational	
Requirements
41
Handout # 2
Safer County/Safer City
Surveillance System
School Solution
42
Exercise # 2
• Discuss school solution
43
Handout # 3
Safer County/Safer City Surveillance
System
Work Breakdown Structure and
Integrated Master Schedule
44
Exercise # 3
• Which WBS elements & IMS Work
Packages need to be informed by TPM
progress?
45
Presentation of Workshop Results
With our MOE’s, MOP’s, KPP’s, and
TPM’s let’s assess out needed
capabilities against the technical
solution
46
OFFICIAL VERSION
COLLEGE	OF	PERFORMANCE	MANAGEMENT
PROGRAM	OF	INSTRUCTION
200C		VERSION	3
18	Sep	2014
Approvals:
William	Mathis,	V.P	of	Education	and	Certification 18	Sep	2014
[Add	appropriate	approval	individual	name	and	title] Date
[Add	appropriate	approval	individual	name	and	title] Date
[Add	appropriate	approval	individual	name	and	title] Date
47
VERSION
NUMBER
DATE NUMBER OF
FIGURE, TABLE
OR PARAGRAPH
A*
M D
TITLE OR BRIEF DESCRIPTION CHANGE
REQUEST
NUMBER
2 29 Sep 2013 ALL A,M Added page numbers, moved pictures up
2 11 Oct 2013 A.M Format change
3 22 Feb 2014 A,M Format changes for EVM World 2014
4 18 Sep 2014 A,M Format change for IPMW 2014.
5 22 Feb 2015 A,M Changed example from UAV to Wireless Tower
6 26 Feb 2015 A,M Added hands on exercise
7 11 Mar 2015 A,M Added workshop materials
Record of Changes
48

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Cpm 200 c technical performance measures - alleman (ppm)

  • 1. EVM World 2017 CPM-200: Scope and Organization Management Lesson C: Using Technical Performance Measures to Inform Earned Value Performance Glen B. Alleman Niwot Ridge, LLC +1 303 241 9633 glen.alleman@niwotridge.com
  • 2. Learning Objectives • TLO #1: The student will recognize what a Technical Performance Measure (TPM) is in the context of the Professional Education Program Case Study as well as DOD and INCOSE Systems Engineering Guidance. • TLO #2: The student will be able identify and select TPMs using the example Work Breakdown Structure from the Case Study. • TLO #3: The student will learn how to prepare descriptions of TPMs needed to assess the physical “progress to plan” of the program. • TLO #4: The student will able to judge the validity of a TPM from a list of TPM’s from the notional program. 2
  • 3. Components we’ll meet along the way to a credible PMB Objective Status and Essential Views to support the proactive management processes needed to keep the program GREEN Risk Management SOW SOO ConOps WBS Techncial and Operational Requirements CWBS & CWBS Dictionary Integrated Master Plan (IMP) Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) Measures of Effectiveness Measures of Performance Measures of Progress Key Performance Parameters Program Specific Key Performance Parameters Technical Performance Measures Earned Value Management System TPMs Live Here Performance Measurement Baseline TLO #1 3
  • 4. Can Earned Value Alone Get Us To Our Destination? • How do we increase visibility into program performance? • How do we reduce cycle time to deliver the product? • How do we foster accountability? • How do we reduce risk? • How do we start our journey to success? Increasing the Probability of Success means … Connecting The Dots Between EVM and TPM to Reach Our Destination TLO #1 4
  • 5. Increasing the Probability of Program Success Means … Risk SOW Cost WBS IMP/IMS TPM PMB Building A Credible Performance Measurement Baseline This is actually harder than it looks! TLO #1 5
  • 6. Identifying the TPMs starts with good Systems Engineering TLO #1 6
  • 7. Some More Guidance Systems engineering uses technical performance measurements to balance cost, schedule, and performance throughout the life cycle. Technical performance measurements compare actual versus planned technical development and design. They also report the degree to which system requirements are met in terms of performance, cost, schedule, and progress in implementing risk handling. Performance metrics are traceable to user–defined capabilities. ― Defense Acquisition Guide (https://dag.dau.mil/Pages/Default.aspx) In The End ― It’s Always About Systems Engineering TLO #1 7
  • 8. This Has All Been Said Before … the basic tenets of the process are the need for seamless management tools, that support an integrated approach … and “proactive identification and management of risk” for critical cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters. ― Secretary of Defense, Perry memo, May 1995 Why Is This Hard To Understand? § We seem to be focused on EV reporting, not the use of EV to manage the program. § We think getting the IPMR out the door is the end of Program Planning and Control’s efforts, not the beginning. TPM Handbook 1984 TLO #1 8
  • 9. A Final Reminder … TPMs are one source of Risk Management processes § Risk Management Guide to DOD Acquisition, Seventh Edition, December 2014 § INCOSE Technical Measurement, INCOSE-TP-2003-020-01 TLO #1 9
  • 10. We see TPMs starting with the Integrated Baseline Review (IBR) • Confirms that the Performance Measurement Baseline (PMB) captures the entire techncial scope of work, which is schedule to meet program objectives, identifies risks, assigns resources to meet requirements, and implements management control processes. TLO #1 Currently reported Earned Value data contains invaluable planning and budgeting information … for program management, however, shortcomings of the system are it emphasis on retrospection and lack of integration with techncial achievement. – Cmdr. Nicholas Pisano 10
  • 11. Back To Our Technical Performance Measures Technical Performance Measures do what they say, Measure the Technical Performance of the product or service produced by the program. TLO #2 11
  • 12. To develop TPMs we first need to define some other measures • Measures of Effectiveness (MoE) • Measures of Performance (MoP) • Key Performance Parameters (KPP) • Than we can define the Technical Performance Measures (TPM) 12
  • 13. Measure of Effectiveness (MoE) Measures of Effectiveness … • Are stated in units meaningful to the buyer, • Focus on capabilities independent of any technical implementation, • Are connected to the mission success. Operational measures of success that are closely related to the achievements of the mission or operational objectives evaluated in the operational environment, under a specific set of conditions. MoE’s Belong to the End User “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 13
  • 14. Measure of Performance (MoP) Measures of Performance are … • Attributes that assure the system has the capability and capacity to perform, • Assessment of the system to assure it meets design requirements to satisfy the MoE. Measures that characterize physical or functional attributes relating to the system operation, measured or estimated under specific conditions. “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 MoP’s belong to the Program – Developed by the Systems Engineer, Measured By CAMs, and Analyzed by PP&C 14
  • 15. Key Performance Parameters (KPP) Key Performance Parameters … • Have a threshold or objective value, • Characterize the major drivers of performance, • Are considered Critical to Customer (CTC). Measures that Represent the capabilities and characteristics so significant that failure to meet them can be cause for reevaluation, reassessing, or termination of the program The acquirer defines the KPPs during the operational concept development – KPPs say what DONE looks like TLO #2 “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 15
  • 16. Technical Performance Measures (TPM) Technical Performance Measures … • Assess design progress, • Define compliance to performance requirements, • Identify technical risk, • Are limited to critical thresholds, • Include projected performance. Attributes that determine how well a system or system element is satisfying or expected to satisfy a technical requirement or goal TLO #2 “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 16
  • 17. TPMs start with the WBS TLO #2 1.0 Safer Counties / Safer Cities 1.1 SC2 Prime Mission Equipment 1.1.1. Camera Systems 1.1.1.1 Camera 1.1.1.2 Camera Interface Hardware 1.1.1.3 Camera Integration 1.1.2 Wireless Tower System 1.1.2.1 Wireless Tower 1.1.2.2 Tower Interface Tower 1.1.2.3 Tower Integration, Test, Assembly, and Checkout 1.1.3 Monitoring Stations 1.1.3.1 PC Stations 1.1.3.2 PC Interface Hardware 1.1.3.3 Monitoring Stations Integration, Test, Assembly and Checkout 1.2 System Engineering /Program Management 1.3 System Test and Evaluation 1.4 Data 1.5 Training Let’s focus on the wireless towers and the services they provide to public safety, as well as convenience for the citizens. We’ll need MOPs, MOEs, KPPs, before we define the TPMs Then we’ll connect these TPM’s to assessing the performance of the work in the IMS. 17
  • 18. § This is where TPMs are connected with the MoE’s and MoP’s § For each deliverable from the program, all the “measures” must be defined in units meaningful to the decision makers. § Here’s some “real” examples. Connecting the MoE, MoP, KPP, and TPMs 1. Provide bandwidth for 5,000 simultaneous voice and data users 2. Provide location service for 911 3. Provide 99.5% availability to users Measures of Effectiveness (MoE) 1. Net Ready 2. E911 Location Quality 3. Phone Interoperability 4. Manpower 5. Availability Key Performance Parameters (KPP) 1. Net Ready § IPv4/6 compliance § 1Gb Ethernet 2. Location quality § Accuracy threshold @60M § Integrity threshold @40M 3. Phone interoperability § Processing capability meets growth matrix 4. Manpower § MTBC >1000 hrs § MCM < 2 hrs 5. Availability § Clear threshold >99% § Noise threshold >90% Measures of Performance (MoP) 1. Net Ready § Standard message packets 2. Location Quality § Multipath allocation budget § Multipath bias protection 3. Phone Interoperability § MOSA compliant § Civil compliant 4. Manpower § Operating elapsed time meters § Standby elapsed time indicators 5. Availability § Phase center variations Technical Performance Measures (TPM) Mission Capabilities and Operational Need Technical Insight – Risk adjusted performance to plan TLO #2 18
  • 19. Identifying Technical Performance Measures Technical Performance Measures must be techncial and must describe the performance in units of measure meaningful to the decision makers. TPM’s are not counts of things delivered. TPMs are not assessments of completed work through effort or cost. TPMs are measures of Technical Performance TLO #3 19
  • 20. How can we possibly know we’re on schedule or on budget without knowing if we’re technically compliant? TLO #3 20
  • 21. Measures of Technical Parameters† Attribute Description Achieved to Date § Measured technical progress or estimate of progress in units of performance Current Estimate § Value of a technical parameter that is predicted to be achieved now or in the future Milestone § Point in time when an evaluation of the technical measure is accomplished Planned Value § Predicted value of the technical parameter Planned Performance Profile § Profile representing the project time phased demonstration of a technical parameter Tolerance Band § Management alert limits Threshold § Limiting acceptable value of a technical parameter Variances § Demonstrated technical variance § Predicted technical variance TLO #3 † INCOSE Systems Engineering Handbook 21
  • 22. A Familiar Graphic for TPMs Variance Planned Value Planned Profile Current Estimate Milestones Threshold Upper Control Limit Lower Control Limit Mean To Between Failure Time = Program Maturity Achieved to Date TPM TLO #3 22
  • 23. What Do We Need To Know About This Program Through The TPMs? • What WBS elements represent the TPMs? • What Work Packages produce these WBS elements? • Where do these Work Packages live in the IMS? • What are the Earned Value baseline values for these Work Packages? • How are we going to measure all these variables? • What does the curve look like for these measurements? TLO #3 23
  • 24. Let’s Connect Some More Dots TLO #3 Risk SOW Cost WBS IMP/IMS TPM PMB ❺ Deliverables defined in the SOW, traced to the WBS, with narratives and Measures of Performance (MoP) ❹ Budget at the Work Package level, rolled to the Control Accounts showing cost spreads for all work in the IMS ❻ Measures of Performance (MOP) for each critical deliverable in the WBS and identified in each Work Package in the IMS, used to assess maturity in the IMP ❶ The Products and Processes in a “well structured” decomposition, traceable to the deliverables ❷ IMS contains all the Work Packages, BCWS, Risk mitigation plans, with traces to the IMP measuring increasing maturity through Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) and KPPs ❸ Technical and Programmatic Risks Connected through the WBS, Risk Register, IMP and IMS The PMB is the Document of Record for the Program Performance is Measured through the PMB 24
  • 25. Raison d'etre for Technical Performance Measures The real purpose of Technical Performance Measures is to reduce Programmatic and Technical RISK Risk SOW Cost WBS IMP/IMS TPM PMB TLO #4 25
  • 26. Key Elements of A Good TPM • Traceability – Requirements to WBS to TPMs to EV control accounts. • Impact – How much WBS work, & therefore EV money, is covered by the TPM(s)? What is effect? • TPM Banding/Sensitivity – What banding (R/Y/G) and sensitivity (EV impact) should be used for each TPM? • Technical Readiness Level – What’s the state of the technology supporting the requirement(s) for which TPM is a metric? Implementing Technical Performance Measurement , Mike Ferraro , General Engineer, PEO/SYSCOM Conference TLO #4 26
  • 27. Determination of Physical % Complete must be informed by both task completion and technical status 4Progress of a set of tasks – Drawings Completed – Lines of Code Written – Work Products Produced – Reviews Completed • Progress of the technical status – Critical TPM Achievement – System Capabilities Met – Quality of Work Products – System Under Review Acceptable Measuring progress of what people do Measuring progress of the Result of what people do Progress is measured by effectiveness of outcomes to the end user Physical % Complete P%C TLO #4 BCWPi i=1 N ∑ = BCWSi × P%Ci i=1 N ∑ 27
  • 28. Connecting the EV Variables Integrating Cost, Schedulele, and Technical Performance Assures Program Management has the needed performance information to deliver on‒time, on‒budget, and on‒specification Technical Performance Measures Cost Schedule Conventional Earned Value + = § Master Schedule is used to derive Basis of Estimate (BOE) not the other way around. § Probabilistic cost estimating uses past performance and cost risk modeling. § Labor, Materiel, and other direct costs accounted for in Work Packages. § Risk adjustments for all elements of cost. Cost Baseline § Earned Value is diluted by missing technical performance. § Earned Value is diluted by postponed features. § Earned Value is diluted by non compliant quality. § All these dilutions require adjustments to the Estimate at Complete (EAC) and the To Complete Performance Index (TCPI). Technical Performance § Requirements are decomposed into physical deliverables. § Deliverables are produced through Work Packages. § Work Packages are assigned to accountable manager. § Work Packages are sequenced to form the highest value stream with the lowest technical and programmatic risk. Schedule Baseline TLO #4 28
  • 29. TPM Checklist MoE MoP TPM Traceable to needs, goals, objectives, and risks. Traceable to applicable MOEs, KPPs, system level performance requirements, and risks. Traceable to applicable MoPs, system element performance, requirements, objectives, risks, and WBS elements. Defined with associated KPPs. Focused on technical risks and supports trades between alternative solutions. Further decomposed, budgeted, and allocated to lower level system elements in the WBS and IMS. Each MoE independent from others. Provided insight into system performance. Assigned an owner, the CAM and Work Package Manager. Each MoE independent of technical any solution. Decomposed, budgeted and allocated to system elements. Sources of measure identified and processes for generating the measures defined. Address the required KPPs. Assigned an “owner,” the CAM and Technical Manager. Integrated into the program’s IMS as part of the exit criteria for the Work Package. TLO #4 29
  • 30. Summary of TPM Benefits • Measures of results based on technical achievement • Integrated technical performance with budget and schedule – providing an integrated systems approach to performance measurement • Establishes the linkage between engineering and cost/schedule considerations in program management decision making • Measures the programmatic impact of technical variance in terms of risk • Reduces subjectivity through the establishment of technical performance baseline TLO #4 30
  • 31. Past Issues with Earned Value Management and Scheduling • Ability to take credit for all work accomplished • How to defend what work was earned • Identifying EV milestones in the schedule focused attention on those tasks so that maximum earned value could be taken • IMS was too detailed to manage the program • CAM’s used other means to manage and assess progress related to their work; i.e. detailed schedules • Detailed schedules did not reflect what was reported in IMS 31 Solution(– Quantifiable(Backup(Data((QBD)
  • 32. Quantifiable Backup Data (QBD) • A QBD is a supplement to the IMS to help manage discrete work at a lower level than is maintained in the IMS • The QBD measures the work objectively – 748-C calls out on Page 1 – Objectively assess accomplishments at the work performance level • QBD’s are part of the PMB • QBD’s do not replace the EVMS Earned Value Techniques (EVT) 32
  • 33. Quantifiable Backup Data (QBD) • A detailed listing of tasks necessary to complete all scope in a work package during the defined period of performance. • It is an approach used to objectively measure performance – Each task on the list is weighted – total weighting equals 100% of the work package BAC (weighting is important, should not be equal weighting on every task). – Upon completion of QBD development the QBD is placed under configuration control. – The CAM assesses physical percent complete of each QBD task. – The percent complete is calculated from the cumulative assessments. • The purpose of the QBD is to: – Ensure and demonstrate that all contract work is accounted for; – Ensure the schedule and budget are realistic and achievable; – Mitigate schedule and budget risks; and, – Provide a basis for objectively assessing progress for discretely measured work packages. 33
  • 34. 34
  • 35. What We’ll Do In Our Hands On Work Shop Based on a notional case study for a county surveillance system, we will strategize about the system MOEs and MOPs and decide upon appropriate TPMs to inform our program performance and BCWP 35
  • 36. Case Study Set Up • The county is concerned about controlling disturbances, mitigating crime, and having forensic video and sound evidence for legal purposes • The county desires to procure a surveillance system with cameras and sound devices at strategic locations, send the data feeds via wireless technology, monitor, store and retrieve selected incidents 36
  • 37. Case Study Set Up (Continued) • The county wants near “real time” response and desires video quality such that they can distinguish facial features and read a license plates within 20 feet from the camera • It also wants the system to alert operators when there is evidence of a disturbance • It wants equipment that will allow them to store five years worth of data feeds collected 24/7 37
  • 38. Case Study Set Up (Concluded) • The county has submitted a Request for Proposal (RFP) to procure, install, test and train personnel. The county has set aside of budget of $40M and wants to system operational within 18 months. Because of the nature of the procurement, the county has required monthly IPMRs (See Handout 1 for details) • You are the proposal manager for the contract. Your immediate job is to – Determine the system’s “Measure of Effectiveness” – Select appropriate Technical Performance Measures to use to inform or drive reported cost and schedule progress – Propose how you will ensure the county that cost and schedule progress is consistent with measured technical progress 38
  • 39. Handout # 1 Safer County/Safer City Surveillance Background and Technical Requirements 39
  • 40. Exercise # 1 • What are possible Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) of the System? • What are possible Technical Performance Measures (TPM) that could be used to drive or inform the cost and schedule progress? 40
  • 41. All these measures used to inform BCWP Reminder: MOEs, MOPs, and TPMs are Connected to the IMP/IMS SOW ConOps WBS CWBS Technical Performance Measures Messages of Performance Measures of EffectivenessKPPs Integrated Master Plan Integrated Master Schedule Performance Measurement Baseline Techncial and Operational Requirements 41
  • 42. Handout # 2 Safer County/Safer City Surveillance System School Solution 42
  • 43. Exercise # 2 • Discuss school solution 43
  • 44. Handout # 3 Safer County/Safer City Surveillance System Work Breakdown Structure and Integrated Master Schedule 44
  • 45. Exercise # 3 • Which WBS elements & IMS Work Packages need to be informed by TPM progress? 45
  • 46. Presentation of Workshop Results With our MOE’s, MOP’s, KPP’s, and TPM’s let’s assess out needed capabilities against the technical solution 46
  • 48. VERSION NUMBER DATE NUMBER OF FIGURE, TABLE OR PARAGRAPH A* M D TITLE OR BRIEF DESCRIPTION CHANGE REQUEST NUMBER 2 29 Sep 2013 ALL A,M Added page numbers, moved pictures up 2 11 Oct 2013 A.M Format change 3 22 Feb 2014 A,M Format changes for EVM World 2014 4 18 Sep 2014 A,M Format change for IPMW 2014. 5 22 Feb 2015 A,M Changed example from UAV to Wireless Tower 6 26 Feb 2015 A,M Added hands on exercise 7 11 Mar 2015 A,M Added workshop materials Record of Changes 48