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Residential Mortgage Presentation
  (Financial Figures are as of June 30, 2007)




                             August 9, 2007
                             (Revised as to slide 29)
It should be noted that this presentation and the remarks made by AIG representatives may contain projections
concerning financial information and statements concerning future economic performance and events, plans and
objectives relating to management, operations, products and services, and assumptions underlying these projections
and statements. Please refer to AIG's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2007 and AIG's
past and future filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a description of the business environment in
which AIG operates and the factors that may affect its business. AIG is not under any obligation (and expressly
disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its projections and other statements whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.

        This presentation may also contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation of such measures
to the comparable GAAP figures are included in the Second Quarter 2007 Financial Supplement available in the
Investor Information Section of AIG's corporate website, www.aigcorporate.com.

      The consumer finance industry uses the Fair Isaac & Co. credit score, known as a FICO score, as a
standard indicator of a borrower’s credit quality.

      While the current concern in the mortgage market is sub-prime lending, there is no standard definition of
sub-prime. The banking regulators have provided some guidance and view sub-prime borrowers as those who
may have a number of credit characteristics, including previous records of delinquency, bankruptcy or
foreclosure; a low credit score; and/or a high debt to income ratio.

      The rating agencies and market participants, such as lenders, mortgage insurers, dealers and investors,
also have different definitions of sub-prime. For this presentation, AIG has segmented the consumer finance
portfolios of American General Finance and United Guaranty into three categories: Prime, as FICO greater
than or equal to 660; Non-Prime, as FICO between 659 and 620; and Sub-Prime as FICO less than 620.

       For the investment portfolios of AIG insurance companies and AIG Financial Products, the presentation
will use the securitization market’s sub-prime convention of under 660, representing an average FICO score of
the underlying mortgage collateral.

                                                                                                                       2
AIG and the US Residential Mortgage Market


AIG is active in various segments of the residential mortgage market

Certain segments of the market have experienced credit deterioration
which is affecting current results in AIG’s mortgage guaranty insurance
business

AIG does not need to liquidate any investment securities in a chaotic
market due to its strong liquidity and cash flow, and superior financial
position

AIG is very comfortable with the size and quality of its investment
portfolios and its operations

AIG has the financial wherewithal and expertise to take advantage of
opportunities as they arise


                                                                           3
The Residential Mortgage Market


                           Originates Mortgages: American General Finance
                           extends first- and second-lien mortgages to borrowers
                           Provides Mortgage Insurance: United Guaranty provides
                           mortgage guaranty insurance for first- and second-lien
                           mortgages that protect lenders against credit losses


Invests in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) & Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs):
AIG insurance companies and AIG Financial Products invest in Residential Mortgage-
Backed Securities (RMBS), in which the underlying collateral are pools of mortgages that are
repaid from mortgage payments, and CDOs and Asset-Backed Securities (ABS). CDOs are
similar in structure to RMBS, but the collateral can be composed of bank loans, corporate
debt, and asset-backed securities (such as RMBS)
Provides Credit Default Protection: AIG Financial Products provides credit protection
through credit default swaps on the “Super Senior (AAA+)” tranche of CDOs




                                                                                         4
How does the Residential Mortgage Market function?

                                                                                                                          Monoline
                                                          Mortgages are
                                                                                                                          Insurers
                                                          placed in collateral
                                                          pools with thousands
                      HOMEOWNER
                                                          of other mortgages
                                                                                                                              Provide credit
                     Borrower pays                        Dealers create              RMBS Securities                         enhancement to
                     mortgage principal &                 residential mortgage                                                tranches (“wrap”)
                     interest to lender or                backed securities          AAA        AAA
Lender provides
                     servicer                             (RMBS) with different
mortgage loan to
                                                          risk levels                 AA         AA
borrower to buy or
                                    Lenders hold or
refinance home
                                                                                       A         A
                                    sell mortgages                                                        Investors
                                    for securitization                                                    buy RMBS
                                                                                     BBB        BBB       and CDOs

                                                                                     Equity    Equity                                INVESTORS
         LENDER
                                                         DEALERS
                                                                                                          Investors are
                                                                                                          repaid from
      Provides                                                                                            payments
      mortgage                                                                                            made by
      insurance to                                                                                        borrowers
                                                         Dealers create              CDO Securities
      lenders
                                                         collateralized debt
                                                         obligations (CDOs) with     AAA        AAA
                                                         various collateral pools,
                                                         sometimes with a             AA         AA
                                                         combination of assets,
                                                         such as bank loans,           A         A
                                                                                                        Provide credit
                                                         corporate debt, RMBS,
                                                                                                                                    Credit
                                                                                                        protection above
                                                         CMBS, and ABS
         MORTGAGE                                                                    BBB        BBB                               Protection
                                                                                                        AAA tranche, known
          INSURER
                                                                                                                                  Providers
                                                                                                        as “Super Senior
                                                                                     Equity    Equity
                                                                                                        AAA+”, for a
                                                                                                        diversified pool of
                                                                                                                                               5
                                                                                                        assets
What is                      ’s role in the Residential Mortgage Market?

                                                           Mortgages are                                                    Monoline
                                                           placed in collateral                                             Insurers
                                                           pools with thousands
                         HOMEOWNER
                                                           of other mortgages
                                                                                                                                Provide credit
                       Borrower pays                       Dealers create               RMBS Securities
                                                                                                                                enhancement to
                       mortgage principal &                residential mortgage
                                                                                                                                tranches (“wrap”)
                       interest to lender or               backed securities           AAA        AAA
Lender provides
                       servicer                            (RMBS) with different
mortgage loan to
                                                           risk levels                  AA         AA
borrower to buy or
refinance home                        Lenders hold or                                    A         A      Investors
                                      sell mortgages for
                                                                                                          buy RMBS
                                      securitization
       LENDER                                                                          BBB        BBB     and CDOs

                                                                                       Equity    Equity                                 INVESTORS
  American General
                                                           DEALERS
  Finance                                                                                                   Investors are
                                                                                                            repaid from           AIG insurance cos.
                                                                                                            payments              AIG Financial Products
                          Provides                                                                          made by
                          mortgage                         Dealers create                                   borrowers
                                                                                       CDO Securities
                          insurance to                     collateralized debt
                          lenders                          obligations (CDOs) with
                                                                                       AAA        AAA
                                                           various collateral pools,
                                                           sometimes with a
                                                                                        AA         AA
                                                           combination of assets,
                                                           such as bank loans,
                                                                                                                               AIG Financial Products
                                                                                         A         A
                                                           corporate debt, RMBS,
                                                                                                           Provides credit
                                                           CMBS, and ABS
                                                                                                                                         Credit
                                                                                       BBB        BBB      protection above
         MORTGAGE
                                                                                                                                       Protection
                                                                                                           AAA tranche, known
          INSURER
                                                                                                                                       Providers
                                                                                       Equity    Equity    as “Super Senior
                United Guaranty provides
                                                                                                           AAA+”, for a
                mortgage insurance to
                                                                                                                                                    6
                                                                                                           diversified pool of
                many lenders
                                                                                                           assets
American General Finance




                           7
American General Finance (AGF)
              Overview of AGF Mortgage Business

AGF provides loans to borrowers through a network of over 1,500
branches in the U.S. that has been servicing such customers for more
than 50 years
AGF also originates and acquires loans through its centralized real
estate operations
  • Higher credit quality borrowers than through branches
Disciplined underwriting and real estate loan growth over the past few
years has been focused on:
  • Higher quality loans
  • First-lien positions and fixed interest rates
  • No negative amortization payment options
Track more than 350 markets and adjust underwriting standards
All purchased loans are re-underwritten to AGF’s standards by AGF
personnel
AGF’s mortgage banking operation also originates and sells whole
loans to third party investors on a servicing-release basis, and does
not retain a residual interest

                                                                         8
American General Finance
                           Net Real Estate Loan Growth

             As the real estate market softened, AGF maintained its
             underwriting discipline despite experiencing lower volume
$ Billions

             $1.4
   $1.5
                    $1.2

   $1.0



                           $0.4
   $0.5
                                  $0.3
                                                                              $0.2
                                                $0.1
                                         $0.1
                                                                       $0.0
   $0.0
                                                       -$0.1
                                                               -$0.3
  -$0.5
          1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07

                                                                                     9
American General Finance
                Real Estate Credit Quality


      AGF’s portfolio has performed better than target

5%


4%
                   60+ Day Delinquency Target 3.0% - 4.0%
3%


2%

       Net Charge-off Target .75% - 1.25%
1%


0%
     YE03        YE04           YE05            YE06         2Q07

                60+Delinquency              Net Charge-off
                                                                    10
American General Finance @ 6/30/07
Real Estate Portfolio              Total Portfolio               FICO (≥ 660)                  FICO (620-659)                      FICO (< 620)
Outstandings                          $19.2 Billion                $9.7 Billion                    $3.2 Billion                     $6.0 Billion
  Loan To Value (LTV)                      81%                          84%                            80%                             75%
  60+ Day Delinquency                     1.95%                        0.81%                          2.13%                           3.68%
2007 Vintage                           $2.0 Billion               $598.9 Million                 $403.1 Million                     $1.0 Billion
  LTV                                     77%                         84%                            78%                               73%
  60+ Day Delinquency                    0.11%                       0.00%                          0.03%                             0.21%
2006 Vintage                           $3.8 Billion                $1.3 Billion                  $722.7 Million                     $1.8 Billion
  LTV                                      79%                          86%                            80%                             75%
  60+ Day Delinquency                     1.57%                        0.70%                          1.22%                           2.33%
2005 Vintage                           $5.2 Billion                $3.1 Billion                  $940.8 Million                     $1.2 Billion
  LTV                                     82%                         85%                            82%                               76%
  60+ Day Delinquency                    2.07%                       0.95%                          2.67%                             4.31%
2004 Vintage                           $4.9 Billion                $3.7 Billion                  $618.2 Million                    $577.6 Million
  LTV                                    81%                          83%                            80%                                74%
  60+ Day Delinquency                   1.55%                        0.76%                          2.67%                              5.42%
LTV Greater than 95.5%                $3.6 Billion                 $3.0 Billion                  $373.8 Million                    $174.2 Million
  LTV                                    99%                          99%                            99%                                98%
  60+ Day Delinquency                   1.53%                        1.15%                          2.83%                              5.29%
Low Documentation                    $500.8 Million               $287.4 Million                 $142.7 Million                     $70.7 Million
  LTV                                    76%                          78%                            75%                                69%
  60+ Day Delinquency                   2.30%                        2.07%                          1.88%                              4.04%
Interest-Only                          $1.7 Billion                $1.4 Billion                  $279.4 Million                    $20.0 Million
  LTV                                      89%                          90%                            88%                             78%
  60+ Day Delinquency                     1.70%                        1.30%                          2.95%                           11.49%
  This table is for informational purposes only. AGF’s loan underwriting process does not use FICO scores as a primary
                                                                                                                                               11
  determinant for credit decisions. AGF uses proprietary risk scoring models in making credit decisions. Delinquency figures are
  shown as a percentage of outstanding loan balances, consistent with mortgage lending practice.
American General Finance
    Risk Mitigating Practices - Real Estate Portfolio


97.4% of mortgages are underwritten with full income verification
85.4% are fixed-rate mortgages
Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs): borrowers are qualified on
fully-indexed and fully-amortizing basis at origination
About 11% of the total mortgage portfolio resets by the end of
2008
No delegation of underwriting to unrelated parties
No Option ARMs
Substantially all loans are:
 • First mortgages (91%)
 • Owner occupied borrowers (94.5%)
Geographically diverse portfolio


                                                                    12
United Guaranty




                  13
United Guaranty (UGC)
         Overview of UGC Mortgage Insurance Business

Established in 1963, UGC insures primarily high credit quality, high LTV
(loan-to-value) mortgage loans
UGC offers risk-transfer products, which include mortgage guaranty
insurance for first- and second-lien mortgages to protect lenders against
credit losses
Majority of the portfolio is conforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
products
UGC sources its business from major U.S. and international mortgage
lenders. To maintain these relationships, UGC is expected to insure a
wide variety of mortgage products and borrowers. This may negatively
affect short-term profitability
UGC’s sophisticated default and pricing models and predictive real estate
scoring systems enable UGC to manage its risk and product mix over the
long term cycles of the mortgage business
As a broad market participant in a cyclical business, UGC has
experienced an average domestic mortgage loss ratio of 27% over the
last 10 years
                                                                            14
United Guaranty
                                       Delinquency Rates – UGC vs. Industry (First-Lien)
6.00



5.50

                                                                                                                                                    Industry
                                                  5.01
                                           4.94                                                                                       4.92
5.00                                4.80
                                                                                                                                             4.73
                                                         4.69                                                                  4.68                                      4.68
                             4.62                                                                                       4.62
                                                                                                                 4.59
                                                                                                                                                    4.52          4.52
                                                                                                          4.51
                                                                                                   4.49                                                    4.44
                                                                4.41                        4.39
                     4.38
4.50                                                                          4.29   4.29
              4.27                                                     4.26
       4.22

                                                                                                                                                                         3.98
                                                                                                                                      3.91
4.00
                                                  3.76                                                                                       3.74
                                                                                                                               3.72                               3.71
                                           3.70
                                    3.66
                                                                                                                        3.59
                                                                                                                 3.56                               3.56   3.56
                                                         3.51
                             3.50                                                                         3.48
                                                                                                   3.39
                                                                                            3.36
3.50
                                                                3.26                 3.26
                     3.25                                                     3.20
              3.14                                                     3.14
                                                                                                                                       United Guaranty
       3.08
3.00


                            UGC’s domestic first-lien mortgage business represents 90% of
2.50                        the domestic mortgage net risk-in-force. The first–lien mortgage
                            delinquency ratio has consistently run below the industry average
2.00
    Jul-      Aug-   Sep-    Oct-   Nov-   Dec-   Jan-   Feb-   Mar-   Apr-   May-   Jun-   Jul-   Aug-   Sep-   Oct-   Nov-   Dec-   Jan-   Feb-   Mar-   Apr-   May-     Jun-
     05        05     05      05     05     05     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     06     07     07     07     07     07       07

                             Industry (excluding UGC, Radian)                                                                  United Guaranty

                                                                                                                                                                  15
              Figures (for UGC and industry) are based on primary insurance and does not include pool insurance.
United Guaranty @ 6/30/07
Real Estate Portfolio                        Total Portfolio            FICO (≥ 660)             FICO (620- 659)            FICO (<620)
Domestic Mortgage Net                           $25.9 Billion             $18.0 Billion              $5.7 Billion             $2.2 Billion
Risk-in-Force
         60+ Day Delinquency                        2.5%                       1.3%                      4.6%                       10.8%
2007 Vintage                                    $3.7 Billion               $2.5 Billion              $845 Million            $439 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          0.7%                       0.2%                      0.9%                       4.3%
2006 Vintage                                    $6.8 Billion               $4.6 Billion              $1.4 Billion            $702 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          2.3%                       1.1%                      4.1%                       10.9%
2005 Vintage                                    $5.4 Billion               $3.9 Billion              $1.1 Billion            $331 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          2.2%                       1.3%                      4.5%                       11.3%
2004 Vintage                                    $3.5 Billion               $2.5 Billion              $786 Million            $246 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          2.6%                       1.3%                      5.0%                       14.2%
LTV > 95%                                       $8.4 Billion               $5.3 Billion              $2.2 Billion            $978 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          2.8%                       1.3%                      4.9%                       10.5%
Low Documentation                               $4.2 Billion               $3.7 Billion              $454 Million            $100 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          2.2%                       1.8%                      4.7%                       10.4%
Interest Only & Option ARMs                     $2.3 Billion               $1.9 Billion              $357 Million             $61 Million

       60+ Day Delinquency                          4.1%                       3.4%                      6.9%                       8.0%
  This table is for informational purposes only.
  Net Risk in Force (RIF) = Insurance risk on mortgages net of risk sharing and reinsurance
                                                                                                                                            16
  Loans with unknown FICO scores are included in the FICO (620-659) based on similar performance characteristics.
  Delinquency figures are based on number of policies (not dollar amounts), consistent with mortgage insurance industry practice.
United Guaranty
                                                     United Guaranty Domestic Mortgage Risk in Force
Although second-lien mortgages                                        June 30, 2007
constitute only 10% of UGC’s
domestic mortgage insurance risk,             Domestic Second
they account for a disproportionate              Lien - $2.5B
share of the 2007 losses incurred              10% of portfolio


The softening of the U.S. housing                                                Domestic First
market has affected all segments of                                              Lien - $23.4B
                                                                                 90% of portfolio
the mortgage business, but the high
LTV second-lien product is particularly
sensitive to declining home values

Second-lien mortgages experience
default earlier due to the lack of a               United Guaranty Domestic Mortgage Losses Incurred
foreclosure requirement for claims to                             Second Quarter 2007
be paid
                                                                                              Domestic First
                                          Domestic Second                                     Lien - $116M
                                           Lien - $159M
As a result of the accelerated claim                                                          42% of losses
                                           58% of losses
cycle, losses are expected to work                                                               incurred
                                              incurred
through the portfolio much faster

Significant tightening of product and
program eligibility in 2006 for second-
lien business is resulting in improved
credit quality of new business
production
                                                                                                               17
United Guaranty
                              Risk Mitigating Factors
UGC uses several mitigants to minimize the losses transferred from lenders, which is
reflected in the net risk-in-force figures:
  •   Risk sharing: funded arrangements through captive reinsurance with most major
      lenders, in which the lenders share in losses above a determined attachment
      point
  •   Reinsurance: quota share reinsurance on a portion of UGC’s sub-prime first-lien
      product and segments of its second-lien product
  •   Stop loss: second-mortgage business has an aggregate stop loss provision
      limiting losses to a percentage (generally 10%) of the gross risk
  •   Fraud: UGC maintains a fraud exclusion on both its first-lien (1st party) and its
      second-lien mortgage businesses (1st and 3rd party)
77% of first lien mortgages are fixed rate, which have much lower delinquency (about
one-third less) than ARMs
87% single family residences and 91% owner occupied
Tighter underwriting standards by lenders, as well as elimination of certain risk factors
by UGC, will improve credit quality of new business production. Moreover, current
market conditions have reinforced the benefit of mortgage insurance, resulting in
higher volume and improved pricing for UGC
                                                                                          18
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios




                                      19
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
                     Residential Mortgage Holdings Overview
                                                         Total Residential       $94.6 Billion
                                                         Mortgage Market
Holdings in the residential mortgage market total                                  Of which:
                                                         Holdings
approximately $94.6 Billion at June 30, 2007, or
about 11.4% of AIG’s total invested assets                                          $16.1
                                                         Agency Pass-Through
                                                         and CMO Issuances         (17.0%)
Within AIG’s $78.5 Billion non-agency portfolio,
                                                                                    $26.1
                                                         Prime (Jumbo) Non
about 89% are AAA-rated and 8% are AA-rated
                                                         Agency CMOs               (27.6%)
  • Holdings rated BBB or below total
                                                                                    $21.0
      approximately $400 Million, well under 1% of       Alt-A RMBS
                                                                                   (22.2%)
      the portfolio and less than 1/10 of 1% of total
                                                                                    $28.7
      invested assets                                    Sub-prime RMBS
                                                                                   (30.3%)
  • About $7.7 Billion (10%) of the $78.5 Billion
                                                                                     $2.7
      is “wrapped” by monoline insurance                 Other Housing-Related
                                                         Paper                      (2.9%)

 Non-agency RMBS are issued in tranche structures, such that the lower
 tranches absorb any losses on the underlying collateral in the pool in order to
 insulate the higher rated tranches from loss
   • The structure and size of each tranche depend on the nature of the
      collateral and rating agency analysis and models of default scenarios
   • As a general rule, AAA and AA securities can withstand default losses
      within the collateral that are multiples of historical norms without any
      loss of principal or interest
                                                                                             20
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
Sub-Prime Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) - $28.7 Billion

                                         Payment Waterfall
       RMBS
       RMBS
                                         (principal + interest)
 (collateral pool of
(collateral pool of
     residential                               Priority
    residential
                                                First
    mortgages)
    mortgages)

       AAA             AAA tranche
                       AAA tranche
$24.8 Billion (86%)

                     AA               AA tranche
                                      AA tranche
            $3.3 Billion (11.5%)

                                     A                  A tranche
                                                        A tranche
                            $647 Million (2.3%)
                                                                                       Last
                                                  BBB               BBB tranche
                                                                    BBB tranche
                                            $29 Million (0.1%)

                                                                              BB and lower
                                                                             BB and lower
                                                          Equity <$500,000
                                                                             Equity tranche
                                                                             Equity tranche
                                                               (0.0%)


                                                                                              21
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
                             Sub-Prime Exposure by Vintage - $28.7 Billion
             14.0
                                                                                            AAA
                     AIG focuses almost exclusively
                     on AAA and AA investments with
             12.0

                     relatively short tenors
$ Billions




             10.0
                         Weighted average expected life
                                                                            AAA
                         (WAL) is 3.35 years
              8.0




              6.0
                                                                                                             AAA



              4.0




              2.0
                                                                                       AA
                                                          AAA
                                          AAA
                         AAA                         AA                AA
                                     AA                                                                 AA
                    AA                                                             A
              0.0                                                A
                                                 A                                                                  A
                                                                                                    A
                                 A
             Year        Prior            2003            2004              2005            2006             2007
                         0.17             0.42            0.68              8.24            10.54            4.70
     AAA
                         0.00             0.04            0.03              0.30            2.51             0.39
     AA
                         0.02             0.13            0.24              0.18            0.06             0.03
     A
                         0.01             0.00            0.00              0.01            0.00             0.00
     BBB
                         0.00             0.00            0.00              0.00            0.00             0.00
     Below BBB

                                                          $ Billions
                                                                                                                        22
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
                         Sub-Prime RMBS Risk Mitigating Factors
AAA and AA sub-prime securities have several structural
protections:                                                         Example of a Sub-prime
 • LTV of underlying mortgages averages about 80%                       Capital Structure
                                                                          at Inception
 • Subordination cushions generally increase over time as the
    AAA and AA tranches amortize                                    Rating     Subordination
     - Below AAA, cushion is generally 20-25% at inception, more
                                                                    AAA               22.00%
       than 3x the worst cumulative losses of about 6.5% (2000
       vintage)*
                                                                    AA                13.10%
     - AA securities on average can sustain cumulative losses of
       roughly 18%. For example, the average subordination level    A                  7.65%
       of AIG’s 2005 vintage sub-prime non-AAA holdings is
       approximately 20%                                            BBB                4.10%
 • The majority of AIG’s AA holdings are structured to pay down     XS
    early, regardless of whether performance triggers are tripped                   2.0% p.a.
                                                                    Interest
 • Excess interest is also used to absorb losses
 • 6.8% of AIG’s AAA sub-prime holdings are “wrapped” by major
    monoline insurers
 • Third-party mortgage insurance provides additional recovery
    support in some cases
                                                                                         23
     *Source: Credit Suisse
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
                         Sub-Prime RMBS Risk Mitigating Factors
  Diversity: collateral pools are comprised of thousands of mortgages and have
  various diversification features, including geography, tenor and size. Securities
  must be constructed with certain levels of diversity established by the rating
  agencies
  Monitoring: AIG, collateral managers and the rating agencies monitor the
  performance of the underlying collateral
  Tenor: AIG generally targets the shorter end of the sub-prime RMBS market
  with a weighted average expected life of 3.35 years
  Since the 2000 vintage, cumulative losses in sub-prime securities have ranged
  from 2% to 6.5%*. The rating agencies expect losses in the 2006 vintage to be
  in the 11 – 14% range, which would still be substantially below the attachment
  points for the AAA and AA tranches
  Originator selection: focus on pools originated and serviced by organizations
  with strong financial discipline
  Avoiding higher risk collateral, such as 80/20 (“piggy-back”) loans and option
  ARMs
  Structure: focus on early pre-pay portions of the sub-prime RMBS structure
                                                                                      24
*Source: Credit Suisse
AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios
       Sub-Prime Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO)

The holdings of sub-prime related CDO paper in AIG insurance portfolios
are modest ($253 Million), and consist primarily of investments in CDOs
that are secured by AAA and AA underlying collateral. All transactions are
currently performing in accordance with AIG’s underwriting expectations,
and AIG does not anticipate losses on its holdings
Diversity: collateral pools are comprised of thousands of mortgages and
have various diversification features, including geography, tenor and size.
Securities must be constructed with certain levels of diversity established
by the rating agencies
Monitoring: AIG, collateral managers and the rating agencies monitor the
performance of the underlying collateral
Active collateral management: most CDOs are actively managed by their
collateral managers, which may replace underperforming assets in the
pool
Extremely limited originator selection



                                                                              25
AIG Alternative Investments



AIG has no direct private equity investments in portfolio
companies exposed to or seeking to capitalize on the residential
mortgage market

AIG has no knowledge of indirect exposures through private
equity fund investments

AIG has no investments in hedge fund managers focused on
residential mortgages




                                                                   26
AIG Financial Products




                         27
AIG Financial Products
                             Credit Default Swaps
AIGFP has been writing “Super Senior” (“AAA+”) protection through credit default
swaps (“CDS”) since 1998, with a total net exposure of $465 Billion (net of
subordination) at June 30, 2007
Large notional amount but extremely remote risk. The “Super Senior” risk portion is
the last tranche to suffer losses, which are allocated sequentially within the capital
structure. The structure would have to take losses that erode all of the tranches below
the “Super Senior” level, including a significant AAA buffer, before AIGFP would be at
risk
The book is divided into “Super Senior” exposures of:
   • Corporate Loans:                                    $258 Billion
   • Non U.S. Residential Mortgages:                     $128 Billion
   • Multi-sector CDO’s:                                 $79 Billion
AIGFP provides “Super Senior” protection to multi-sector CDOs, which consist of
pools of reference securities whose underlying collateral pools are a mix of collateral,
including sub-prime mortgages. Within any of these CDOs, there are about 175-200
different underlying obligors but not all of these obligations are exposed to sub-prime
collateral. Typically, about 50% has such exposure and the rest is a mix of CMBS,
auto loans, credit cards and other assets
The $79 Billion CDO exposure consists of:
   • Deals with no exposure to sub-prime:                   $15 Billion
   • Deals with mixed collateral including sub-prime: $64 Billion
All transactions have been structured and selected to afford the maximum protection
to AIG’s risk position
                                                                                     28
AIG Financial Products - Credit Default Swaps
       “Super Senior (AAA+)” Credit Default Swaps on Portfolios that
                Include a Portion of Sub-Prime Exposures
All “Super Senior” transactions are underwritten to a zero loss standard. At inception, the attributes of the
underlying collateral assets, which may include varying quality by external rating, are analyzed and
modeled to determine appropriate risk attachment points so that all transactions have AAA tranches of
protection below AIGFP’s attachment point

$64 Billion (103 deals) of “Super Senior” CDO exposure consists of sub-prime RMBS and other ABS
collateral

   • $44.6 Billion (45 deals) “Super Senior” exposure relates to deals where the underlying collateral is
       predominantly AA and AAA
            - Collateral protection in every transaction is specifically modeled under continuous
               recessionary scenarios to determine minimum attachment points for the “Super Senior
               (AAA+)” threshold
            - Average attachment point is 16%; 44% of this subordination is AAA
            - AIG FP exposure to sub-prime collateral is $17.5 Billion
   •   $19.4 Billion (58 deals) “Super Senior” exposure relates to deals where the underlying collateral is
       predominantly BBB
            - Collateral protection in every transaction is specifically modeled under continuous
               recessionary scenarios to determine minimum attachment points for the “Super Senior
               (AAA+)” threshold
            - Average attachment point is 36%, much higher than for AAA/AA deals; 37% of the
               subordination underneath our exposure is AAA
            - AIGFP exposure to sub-prime collateral is $8.8 Billion
All of AIGFP’s exposures continue to have AAA tranches below AIGFP’s attachment point, and only 3
deals have had any junior tranches downgraded. These 3 deals make up less than 0.5% of AIGFP’s total
CDO exposure, totaling just $296 Million

AIG does not expect to incur any losses from this exposure                                             29
AIG Financial Products
         Credit Default Swaps - Risk Mitigating Factors


AIGFP determines the “Super Senior” (AAA+) status of the credit default swap
protection for each transaction through a careful credit analysis of each
transaction’s structure, a review of each individual security within the
transaction’s collateral pool and by use of a rigorous internal model that
stresses the robustness of the transaction’s structure. This analytical effort
includes assigning “haircuts” to all collateral security ratings and assuming a
constant “worst case” recessionary environment. In addition, AIGFP requires
that all “Super Senior” transactions have at least one AAA tranche
subordinated to its “Super Senior” position

AIGFP stopped committing to writing “Super Senior” protection that included
sub-prime collateral in December 2005, so the total exposure across all deals
to the vintages of 2006 and 2007 totals just $31 Million

Over half of all of the deals have started to amortize, thereby reducing AIGFP’s
exposure which is paid off first in the waterfall structure




                                                                                30
AIG Financial Products
    Cash Multi-Sector CDO Exposure to Sub-Prime RMBS

AIGFP invests in high grade securities rated almost exclusively AAA
AIGFP has $3.6 Billion (70 deals) of cash multi-sector CDO securities
where some portion of the collateral is sub-prime RMBS
 • 65 securities are AAA and 5 securities totaling only $50 Million
     are AA
 • No security owned has ever been downgraded or had any junior
     tranche downgraded
 • $1 Billion of AIGFP’s multi-sector CDO securities are backed by
     high grade collateral
       - Within which AIGFP exposure to sub-prime is $359 Million
 • $2.6 Billion of AIGFP’s multi-sector CDO securities are backed
     by mezzanine collateral
       - Within which AIGFP exposure to sub-prime is $1.6 Billion
 • AIGFP total exposure to all sub-prime collateral originated in
     2006 and 2007 is only $10 Million
 • Over 40% of the deals have started to amortize thereby
     reducing AIG’s exposure
                                                                        31
AIG Financial Products
 Cash Multi-Sector CDOs with any Sub-Prime RMBS Collateral - $3.6 Billion



      CDOs with any
     CDOs with any
                                         Payment Waterfall
        Sub-prime
       Sub-prime
                                         (principal + interest)
     RMBS collateral
     RMBS collateral
                                               Priority
                                                 First
        AAA             AAA tranche
                        AAA tranche
$3.6 Billion (98.6%)

                        AA             AA tranche
                                       AA tranche
                $50 Million (1.4%)


                                                        A tranche
                                                        A tranche
                                A $0

                                                                                         Last
                                                                      BBB tranche
                                                                      BBB tranche
                                           BBB $0

                                                                                BB and lower
                                                                               BB and lower
                                                                  Equity $0    Equity tranche
                                                                               Equity tranche

                                                                                                32
Summary and Conclusions




                          33
Enterprise Risk Management
AIG has a strong enterprise risk management process where risks to
the mortgage market are identified, assessed, analyzed, monitored and
managed at all levels of the organization
 All business units involved in the mortgage markets have credit functions and
 underwriting practices which utilize their own analysis and conclusions prior to
 inception of risk exposures and on an ongoing basis
 The foundation of AIG’s decision-making process is based on independent
 analysis. Business units determine risk appetite for underwriting, investing and
 maintaining exposures based upon ongoing analysis, modeling and monitoring.
 AIG does not rely on external ratings to drive decisions
 Decisions are made under credit authorities granted by AIG’s corporate level
 Credit Risk Committee (CRC). The CRC also reviews and governs credit risk
 tolerances for the business units
 AIG’s corporate Credit Risk Management Department and the CRC conduct
 ongoing reviews of the portfolios and provide independent assessments to senior
 management
 AIG establishes prudent credit reserves for all its exposures through a process
 that includes recommendations from the business units and approval by AIG
 actuaries, comptrollers and AIG’s Chief Credit Officer
                                                                                    34
Summary Conclusions
AGF’s businesses are performing better than delinquency and net charge-off
target ranges. Disciplined underwriting based upon over 50 years of
experience in the sub-prime market is serving the company well
As a broad player in a cyclical market, UGC has experienced a low domestic
mortgage loss ratio over the past 10 years. UGC is currently experiencing a
significant decline in operating income due primarily to unfavorable loss
experience in the domestic second- and first-lien mortgage businesses as a
result of the continued softening in the U.S. housing market. UGC is beginning
to observe tighter underwriting standards on new business production within
the mortgage market
The exposures to the residential mortgage-backed securities market within
AIG’s portfolios are of high quality and enjoy substantial protection through
collateral subordination
AIG does not need to trade mortgage related securities and does not depend
on them for its liquidity needs. Temporary market disruptions may have some
non-economic effect on AIG through unrealized losses. However, the sound
credit quality of the portfolios should result in collection of substantially all
principal and interest under any reasonable scenario
AIG Financial Products’ portfolio of “Super Senior” credit default swaps is well
structured, undergoes ongoing monitoring, modeling and analysis and enjoys
significant protection from collateral subordination                                35

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AIG Residential Mortgage Presentation - August 9, 2007

  • 1. Residential Mortgage Presentation (Financial Figures are as of June 30, 2007) August 9, 2007 (Revised as to slide 29)
  • 2. It should be noted that this presentation and the remarks made by AIG representatives may contain projections concerning financial information and statements concerning future economic performance and events, plans and objectives relating to management, operations, products and services, and assumptions underlying these projections and statements. Please refer to AIG's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2007 and AIG's past and future filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a description of the business environment in which AIG operates and the factors that may affect its business. AIG is not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its projections and other statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This presentation may also contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation of such measures to the comparable GAAP figures are included in the Second Quarter 2007 Financial Supplement available in the Investor Information Section of AIG's corporate website, www.aigcorporate.com. The consumer finance industry uses the Fair Isaac & Co. credit score, known as a FICO score, as a standard indicator of a borrower’s credit quality. While the current concern in the mortgage market is sub-prime lending, there is no standard definition of sub-prime. The banking regulators have provided some guidance and view sub-prime borrowers as those who may have a number of credit characteristics, including previous records of delinquency, bankruptcy or foreclosure; a low credit score; and/or a high debt to income ratio. The rating agencies and market participants, such as lenders, mortgage insurers, dealers and investors, also have different definitions of sub-prime. For this presentation, AIG has segmented the consumer finance portfolios of American General Finance and United Guaranty into three categories: Prime, as FICO greater than or equal to 660; Non-Prime, as FICO between 659 and 620; and Sub-Prime as FICO less than 620. For the investment portfolios of AIG insurance companies and AIG Financial Products, the presentation will use the securitization market’s sub-prime convention of under 660, representing an average FICO score of the underlying mortgage collateral. 2
  • 3. AIG and the US Residential Mortgage Market AIG is active in various segments of the residential mortgage market Certain segments of the market have experienced credit deterioration which is affecting current results in AIG’s mortgage guaranty insurance business AIG does not need to liquidate any investment securities in a chaotic market due to its strong liquidity and cash flow, and superior financial position AIG is very comfortable with the size and quality of its investment portfolios and its operations AIG has the financial wherewithal and expertise to take advantage of opportunities as they arise 3
  • 4. The Residential Mortgage Market Originates Mortgages: American General Finance extends first- and second-lien mortgages to borrowers Provides Mortgage Insurance: United Guaranty provides mortgage guaranty insurance for first- and second-lien mortgages that protect lenders against credit losses Invests in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) & Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs): AIG insurance companies and AIG Financial Products invest in Residential Mortgage- Backed Securities (RMBS), in which the underlying collateral are pools of mortgages that are repaid from mortgage payments, and CDOs and Asset-Backed Securities (ABS). CDOs are similar in structure to RMBS, but the collateral can be composed of bank loans, corporate debt, and asset-backed securities (such as RMBS) Provides Credit Default Protection: AIG Financial Products provides credit protection through credit default swaps on the “Super Senior (AAA+)” tranche of CDOs 4
  • 5. How does the Residential Mortgage Market function? Monoline Mortgages are Insurers placed in collateral pools with thousands HOMEOWNER of other mortgages Provide credit Borrower pays Dealers create RMBS Securities enhancement to mortgage principal & residential mortgage tranches (“wrap”) interest to lender or backed securities AAA AAA Lender provides servicer (RMBS) with different mortgage loan to risk levels AA AA borrower to buy or Lenders hold or refinance home A A sell mortgages Investors for securitization buy RMBS BBB BBB and CDOs Equity Equity INVESTORS LENDER DEALERS Investors are repaid from Provides payments mortgage made by insurance to borrowers Dealers create CDO Securities lenders collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) with AAA AAA various collateral pools, sometimes with a AA AA combination of assets, such as bank loans, A A Provide credit corporate debt, RMBS, Credit protection above CMBS, and ABS MORTGAGE BBB BBB Protection AAA tranche, known INSURER Providers as “Super Senior Equity Equity AAA+”, for a diversified pool of 5 assets
  • 6. What is ’s role in the Residential Mortgage Market? Mortgages are Monoline placed in collateral Insurers pools with thousands HOMEOWNER of other mortgages Provide credit Borrower pays Dealers create RMBS Securities enhancement to mortgage principal & residential mortgage tranches (“wrap”) interest to lender or backed securities AAA AAA Lender provides servicer (RMBS) with different mortgage loan to risk levels AA AA borrower to buy or refinance home Lenders hold or A A Investors sell mortgages for buy RMBS securitization LENDER BBB BBB and CDOs Equity Equity INVESTORS American General DEALERS Finance Investors are repaid from AIG insurance cos. payments AIG Financial Products Provides made by mortgage Dealers create borrowers CDO Securities insurance to collateralized debt lenders obligations (CDOs) with AAA AAA various collateral pools, sometimes with a AA AA combination of assets, such as bank loans, AIG Financial Products A A corporate debt, RMBS, Provides credit CMBS, and ABS Credit BBB BBB protection above MORTGAGE Protection AAA tranche, known INSURER Providers Equity Equity as “Super Senior United Guaranty provides AAA+”, for a mortgage insurance to 6 diversified pool of many lenders assets
  • 8. American General Finance (AGF) Overview of AGF Mortgage Business AGF provides loans to borrowers through a network of over 1,500 branches in the U.S. that has been servicing such customers for more than 50 years AGF also originates and acquires loans through its centralized real estate operations • Higher credit quality borrowers than through branches Disciplined underwriting and real estate loan growth over the past few years has been focused on: • Higher quality loans • First-lien positions and fixed interest rates • No negative amortization payment options Track more than 350 markets and adjust underwriting standards All purchased loans are re-underwritten to AGF’s standards by AGF personnel AGF’s mortgage banking operation also originates and sells whole loans to third party investors on a servicing-release basis, and does not retain a residual interest 8
  • 9. American General Finance Net Real Estate Loan Growth As the real estate market softened, AGF maintained its underwriting discipline despite experiencing lower volume $ Billions $1.4 $1.5 $1.2 $1.0 $0.4 $0.5 $0.3 $0.2 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 $0.0 -$0.1 -$0.3 -$0.5 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 9
  • 10. American General Finance Real Estate Credit Quality AGF’s portfolio has performed better than target 5% 4% 60+ Day Delinquency Target 3.0% - 4.0% 3% 2% Net Charge-off Target .75% - 1.25% 1% 0% YE03 YE04 YE05 YE06 2Q07 60+Delinquency Net Charge-off 10
  • 11. American General Finance @ 6/30/07 Real Estate Portfolio Total Portfolio FICO (≥ 660) FICO (620-659) FICO (< 620) Outstandings $19.2 Billion $9.7 Billion $3.2 Billion $6.0 Billion Loan To Value (LTV) 81% 84% 80% 75% 60+ Day Delinquency 1.95% 0.81% 2.13% 3.68% 2007 Vintage $2.0 Billion $598.9 Million $403.1 Million $1.0 Billion LTV 77% 84% 78% 73% 60+ Day Delinquency 0.11% 0.00% 0.03% 0.21% 2006 Vintage $3.8 Billion $1.3 Billion $722.7 Million $1.8 Billion LTV 79% 86% 80% 75% 60+ Day Delinquency 1.57% 0.70% 1.22% 2.33% 2005 Vintage $5.2 Billion $3.1 Billion $940.8 Million $1.2 Billion LTV 82% 85% 82% 76% 60+ Day Delinquency 2.07% 0.95% 2.67% 4.31% 2004 Vintage $4.9 Billion $3.7 Billion $618.2 Million $577.6 Million LTV 81% 83% 80% 74% 60+ Day Delinquency 1.55% 0.76% 2.67% 5.42% LTV Greater than 95.5% $3.6 Billion $3.0 Billion $373.8 Million $174.2 Million LTV 99% 99% 99% 98% 60+ Day Delinquency 1.53% 1.15% 2.83% 5.29% Low Documentation $500.8 Million $287.4 Million $142.7 Million $70.7 Million LTV 76% 78% 75% 69% 60+ Day Delinquency 2.30% 2.07% 1.88% 4.04% Interest-Only $1.7 Billion $1.4 Billion $279.4 Million $20.0 Million LTV 89% 90% 88% 78% 60+ Day Delinquency 1.70% 1.30% 2.95% 11.49% This table is for informational purposes only. AGF’s loan underwriting process does not use FICO scores as a primary 11 determinant for credit decisions. AGF uses proprietary risk scoring models in making credit decisions. Delinquency figures are shown as a percentage of outstanding loan balances, consistent with mortgage lending practice.
  • 12. American General Finance Risk Mitigating Practices - Real Estate Portfolio 97.4% of mortgages are underwritten with full income verification 85.4% are fixed-rate mortgages Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs): borrowers are qualified on fully-indexed and fully-amortizing basis at origination About 11% of the total mortgage portfolio resets by the end of 2008 No delegation of underwriting to unrelated parties No Option ARMs Substantially all loans are: • First mortgages (91%) • Owner occupied borrowers (94.5%) Geographically diverse portfolio 12
  • 14. United Guaranty (UGC) Overview of UGC Mortgage Insurance Business Established in 1963, UGC insures primarily high credit quality, high LTV (loan-to-value) mortgage loans UGC offers risk-transfer products, which include mortgage guaranty insurance for first- and second-lien mortgages to protect lenders against credit losses Majority of the portfolio is conforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac products UGC sources its business from major U.S. and international mortgage lenders. To maintain these relationships, UGC is expected to insure a wide variety of mortgage products and borrowers. This may negatively affect short-term profitability UGC’s sophisticated default and pricing models and predictive real estate scoring systems enable UGC to manage its risk and product mix over the long term cycles of the mortgage business As a broad market participant in a cyclical business, UGC has experienced an average domestic mortgage loss ratio of 27% over the last 10 years 14
  • 15. United Guaranty Delinquency Rates – UGC vs. Industry (First-Lien) 6.00 5.50 Industry 5.01 4.94 4.92 5.00 4.80 4.73 4.69 4.68 4.68 4.62 4.62 4.59 4.52 4.52 4.51 4.49 4.44 4.41 4.39 4.38 4.50 4.29 4.29 4.27 4.26 4.22 3.98 3.91 4.00 3.76 3.74 3.72 3.71 3.70 3.66 3.59 3.56 3.56 3.56 3.51 3.50 3.48 3.39 3.36 3.50 3.26 3.26 3.25 3.20 3.14 3.14 United Guaranty 3.08 3.00 UGC’s domestic first-lien mortgage business represents 90% of 2.50 the domestic mortgage net risk-in-force. The first–lien mortgage delinquency ratio has consistently run below the industry average 2.00 Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- 05 05 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 07 07 Industry (excluding UGC, Radian) United Guaranty 15 Figures (for UGC and industry) are based on primary insurance and does not include pool insurance.
  • 16. United Guaranty @ 6/30/07 Real Estate Portfolio Total Portfolio FICO (≥ 660) FICO (620- 659) FICO (<620) Domestic Mortgage Net $25.9 Billion $18.0 Billion $5.7 Billion $2.2 Billion Risk-in-Force 60+ Day Delinquency 2.5% 1.3% 4.6% 10.8% 2007 Vintage $3.7 Billion $2.5 Billion $845 Million $439 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 0.7% 0.2% 0.9% 4.3% 2006 Vintage $6.8 Billion $4.6 Billion $1.4 Billion $702 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 2.3% 1.1% 4.1% 10.9% 2005 Vintage $5.4 Billion $3.9 Billion $1.1 Billion $331 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 2.2% 1.3% 4.5% 11.3% 2004 Vintage $3.5 Billion $2.5 Billion $786 Million $246 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 2.6% 1.3% 5.0% 14.2% LTV > 95% $8.4 Billion $5.3 Billion $2.2 Billion $978 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 2.8% 1.3% 4.9% 10.5% Low Documentation $4.2 Billion $3.7 Billion $454 Million $100 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 2.2% 1.8% 4.7% 10.4% Interest Only & Option ARMs $2.3 Billion $1.9 Billion $357 Million $61 Million 60+ Day Delinquency 4.1% 3.4% 6.9% 8.0% This table is for informational purposes only. Net Risk in Force (RIF) = Insurance risk on mortgages net of risk sharing and reinsurance 16 Loans with unknown FICO scores are included in the FICO (620-659) based on similar performance characteristics. Delinquency figures are based on number of policies (not dollar amounts), consistent with mortgage insurance industry practice.
  • 17. United Guaranty United Guaranty Domestic Mortgage Risk in Force Although second-lien mortgages June 30, 2007 constitute only 10% of UGC’s domestic mortgage insurance risk, Domestic Second they account for a disproportionate Lien - $2.5B share of the 2007 losses incurred 10% of portfolio The softening of the U.S. housing Domestic First market has affected all segments of Lien - $23.4B 90% of portfolio the mortgage business, but the high LTV second-lien product is particularly sensitive to declining home values Second-lien mortgages experience default earlier due to the lack of a United Guaranty Domestic Mortgage Losses Incurred foreclosure requirement for claims to Second Quarter 2007 be paid Domestic First Domestic Second Lien - $116M Lien - $159M As a result of the accelerated claim 42% of losses 58% of losses cycle, losses are expected to work incurred incurred through the portfolio much faster Significant tightening of product and program eligibility in 2006 for second- lien business is resulting in improved credit quality of new business production 17
  • 18. United Guaranty Risk Mitigating Factors UGC uses several mitigants to minimize the losses transferred from lenders, which is reflected in the net risk-in-force figures: • Risk sharing: funded arrangements through captive reinsurance with most major lenders, in which the lenders share in losses above a determined attachment point • Reinsurance: quota share reinsurance on a portion of UGC’s sub-prime first-lien product and segments of its second-lien product • Stop loss: second-mortgage business has an aggregate stop loss provision limiting losses to a percentage (generally 10%) of the gross risk • Fraud: UGC maintains a fraud exclusion on both its first-lien (1st party) and its second-lien mortgage businesses (1st and 3rd party) 77% of first lien mortgages are fixed rate, which have much lower delinquency (about one-third less) than ARMs 87% single family residences and 91% owner occupied Tighter underwriting standards by lenders, as well as elimination of certain risk factors by UGC, will improve credit quality of new business production. Moreover, current market conditions have reinforced the benefit of mortgage insurance, resulting in higher volume and improved pricing for UGC 18
  • 19. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios 19
  • 20. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Residential Mortgage Holdings Overview Total Residential $94.6 Billion Mortgage Market Holdings in the residential mortgage market total Of which: Holdings approximately $94.6 Billion at June 30, 2007, or about 11.4% of AIG’s total invested assets $16.1 Agency Pass-Through and CMO Issuances (17.0%) Within AIG’s $78.5 Billion non-agency portfolio, $26.1 Prime (Jumbo) Non about 89% are AAA-rated and 8% are AA-rated Agency CMOs (27.6%) • Holdings rated BBB or below total $21.0 approximately $400 Million, well under 1% of Alt-A RMBS (22.2%) the portfolio and less than 1/10 of 1% of total $28.7 invested assets Sub-prime RMBS (30.3%) • About $7.7 Billion (10%) of the $78.5 Billion $2.7 is “wrapped” by monoline insurance Other Housing-Related Paper (2.9%) Non-agency RMBS are issued in tranche structures, such that the lower tranches absorb any losses on the underlying collateral in the pool in order to insulate the higher rated tranches from loss • The structure and size of each tranche depend on the nature of the collateral and rating agency analysis and models of default scenarios • As a general rule, AAA and AA securities can withstand default losses within the collateral that are multiples of historical norms without any loss of principal or interest 20
  • 21. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Sub-Prime Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) - $28.7 Billion Payment Waterfall RMBS RMBS (principal + interest) (collateral pool of (collateral pool of residential Priority residential First mortgages) mortgages) AAA AAA tranche AAA tranche $24.8 Billion (86%) AA AA tranche AA tranche $3.3 Billion (11.5%) A A tranche A tranche $647 Million (2.3%) Last BBB BBB tranche BBB tranche $29 Million (0.1%) BB and lower BB and lower Equity <$500,000 Equity tranche Equity tranche (0.0%) 21
  • 22. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Sub-Prime Exposure by Vintage - $28.7 Billion 14.0 AAA AIG focuses almost exclusively on AAA and AA investments with 12.0 relatively short tenors $ Billions 10.0 Weighted average expected life AAA (WAL) is 3.35 years 8.0 6.0 AAA 4.0 2.0 AA AAA AAA AAA AA AA AA AA AA A 0.0 A A A A A Year Prior 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 0.17 0.42 0.68 8.24 10.54 4.70 AAA 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.30 2.51 0.39 AA 0.02 0.13 0.24 0.18 0.06 0.03 A 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 BBB 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Below BBB $ Billions 22
  • 23. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Sub-Prime RMBS Risk Mitigating Factors AAA and AA sub-prime securities have several structural protections: Example of a Sub-prime • LTV of underlying mortgages averages about 80% Capital Structure at Inception • Subordination cushions generally increase over time as the AAA and AA tranches amortize Rating Subordination - Below AAA, cushion is generally 20-25% at inception, more AAA 22.00% than 3x the worst cumulative losses of about 6.5% (2000 vintage)* AA 13.10% - AA securities on average can sustain cumulative losses of roughly 18%. For example, the average subordination level A 7.65% of AIG’s 2005 vintage sub-prime non-AAA holdings is approximately 20% BBB 4.10% • The majority of AIG’s AA holdings are structured to pay down XS early, regardless of whether performance triggers are tripped 2.0% p.a. Interest • Excess interest is also used to absorb losses • 6.8% of AIG’s AAA sub-prime holdings are “wrapped” by major monoline insurers • Third-party mortgage insurance provides additional recovery support in some cases 23 *Source: Credit Suisse
  • 24. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Sub-Prime RMBS Risk Mitigating Factors Diversity: collateral pools are comprised of thousands of mortgages and have various diversification features, including geography, tenor and size. Securities must be constructed with certain levels of diversity established by the rating agencies Monitoring: AIG, collateral managers and the rating agencies monitor the performance of the underlying collateral Tenor: AIG generally targets the shorter end of the sub-prime RMBS market with a weighted average expected life of 3.35 years Since the 2000 vintage, cumulative losses in sub-prime securities have ranged from 2% to 6.5%*. The rating agencies expect losses in the 2006 vintage to be in the 11 – 14% range, which would still be substantially below the attachment points for the AAA and AA tranches Originator selection: focus on pools originated and serviced by organizations with strong financial discipline Avoiding higher risk collateral, such as 80/20 (“piggy-back”) loans and option ARMs Structure: focus on early pre-pay portions of the sub-prime RMBS structure 24 *Source: Credit Suisse
  • 25. AIG Insurance Investment Portfolios Sub-Prime Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) The holdings of sub-prime related CDO paper in AIG insurance portfolios are modest ($253 Million), and consist primarily of investments in CDOs that are secured by AAA and AA underlying collateral. All transactions are currently performing in accordance with AIG’s underwriting expectations, and AIG does not anticipate losses on its holdings Diversity: collateral pools are comprised of thousands of mortgages and have various diversification features, including geography, tenor and size. Securities must be constructed with certain levels of diversity established by the rating agencies Monitoring: AIG, collateral managers and the rating agencies monitor the performance of the underlying collateral Active collateral management: most CDOs are actively managed by their collateral managers, which may replace underperforming assets in the pool Extremely limited originator selection 25
  • 26. AIG Alternative Investments AIG has no direct private equity investments in portfolio companies exposed to or seeking to capitalize on the residential mortgage market AIG has no knowledge of indirect exposures through private equity fund investments AIG has no investments in hedge fund managers focused on residential mortgages 26
  • 28. AIG Financial Products Credit Default Swaps AIGFP has been writing “Super Senior” (“AAA+”) protection through credit default swaps (“CDS”) since 1998, with a total net exposure of $465 Billion (net of subordination) at June 30, 2007 Large notional amount but extremely remote risk. The “Super Senior” risk portion is the last tranche to suffer losses, which are allocated sequentially within the capital structure. The structure would have to take losses that erode all of the tranches below the “Super Senior” level, including a significant AAA buffer, before AIGFP would be at risk The book is divided into “Super Senior” exposures of: • Corporate Loans: $258 Billion • Non U.S. Residential Mortgages: $128 Billion • Multi-sector CDO’s: $79 Billion AIGFP provides “Super Senior” protection to multi-sector CDOs, which consist of pools of reference securities whose underlying collateral pools are a mix of collateral, including sub-prime mortgages. Within any of these CDOs, there are about 175-200 different underlying obligors but not all of these obligations are exposed to sub-prime collateral. Typically, about 50% has such exposure and the rest is a mix of CMBS, auto loans, credit cards and other assets The $79 Billion CDO exposure consists of: • Deals with no exposure to sub-prime: $15 Billion • Deals with mixed collateral including sub-prime: $64 Billion All transactions have been structured and selected to afford the maximum protection to AIG’s risk position 28
  • 29. AIG Financial Products - Credit Default Swaps “Super Senior (AAA+)” Credit Default Swaps on Portfolios that Include a Portion of Sub-Prime Exposures All “Super Senior” transactions are underwritten to a zero loss standard. At inception, the attributes of the underlying collateral assets, which may include varying quality by external rating, are analyzed and modeled to determine appropriate risk attachment points so that all transactions have AAA tranches of protection below AIGFP’s attachment point $64 Billion (103 deals) of “Super Senior” CDO exposure consists of sub-prime RMBS and other ABS collateral • $44.6 Billion (45 deals) “Super Senior” exposure relates to deals where the underlying collateral is predominantly AA and AAA - Collateral protection in every transaction is specifically modeled under continuous recessionary scenarios to determine minimum attachment points for the “Super Senior (AAA+)” threshold - Average attachment point is 16%; 44% of this subordination is AAA - AIG FP exposure to sub-prime collateral is $17.5 Billion • $19.4 Billion (58 deals) “Super Senior” exposure relates to deals where the underlying collateral is predominantly BBB - Collateral protection in every transaction is specifically modeled under continuous recessionary scenarios to determine minimum attachment points for the “Super Senior (AAA+)” threshold - Average attachment point is 36%, much higher than for AAA/AA deals; 37% of the subordination underneath our exposure is AAA - AIGFP exposure to sub-prime collateral is $8.8 Billion All of AIGFP’s exposures continue to have AAA tranches below AIGFP’s attachment point, and only 3 deals have had any junior tranches downgraded. These 3 deals make up less than 0.5% of AIGFP’s total CDO exposure, totaling just $296 Million AIG does not expect to incur any losses from this exposure 29
  • 30. AIG Financial Products Credit Default Swaps - Risk Mitigating Factors AIGFP determines the “Super Senior” (AAA+) status of the credit default swap protection for each transaction through a careful credit analysis of each transaction’s structure, a review of each individual security within the transaction’s collateral pool and by use of a rigorous internal model that stresses the robustness of the transaction’s structure. This analytical effort includes assigning “haircuts” to all collateral security ratings and assuming a constant “worst case” recessionary environment. In addition, AIGFP requires that all “Super Senior” transactions have at least one AAA tranche subordinated to its “Super Senior” position AIGFP stopped committing to writing “Super Senior” protection that included sub-prime collateral in December 2005, so the total exposure across all deals to the vintages of 2006 and 2007 totals just $31 Million Over half of all of the deals have started to amortize, thereby reducing AIGFP’s exposure which is paid off first in the waterfall structure 30
  • 31. AIG Financial Products Cash Multi-Sector CDO Exposure to Sub-Prime RMBS AIGFP invests in high grade securities rated almost exclusively AAA AIGFP has $3.6 Billion (70 deals) of cash multi-sector CDO securities where some portion of the collateral is sub-prime RMBS • 65 securities are AAA and 5 securities totaling only $50 Million are AA • No security owned has ever been downgraded or had any junior tranche downgraded • $1 Billion of AIGFP’s multi-sector CDO securities are backed by high grade collateral - Within which AIGFP exposure to sub-prime is $359 Million • $2.6 Billion of AIGFP’s multi-sector CDO securities are backed by mezzanine collateral - Within which AIGFP exposure to sub-prime is $1.6 Billion • AIGFP total exposure to all sub-prime collateral originated in 2006 and 2007 is only $10 Million • Over 40% of the deals have started to amortize thereby reducing AIG’s exposure 31
  • 32. AIG Financial Products Cash Multi-Sector CDOs with any Sub-Prime RMBS Collateral - $3.6 Billion CDOs with any CDOs with any Payment Waterfall Sub-prime Sub-prime (principal + interest) RMBS collateral RMBS collateral Priority First AAA AAA tranche AAA tranche $3.6 Billion (98.6%) AA AA tranche AA tranche $50 Million (1.4%) A tranche A tranche A $0 Last BBB tranche BBB tranche BBB $0 BB and lower BB and lower Equity $0 Equity tranche Equity tranche 32
  • 34. Enterprise Risk Management AIG has a strong enterprise risk management process where risks to the mortgage market are identified, assessed, analyzed, monitored and managed at all levels of the organization All business units involved in the mortgage markets have credit functions and underwriting practices which utilize their own analysis and conclusions prior to inception of risk exposures and on an ongoing basis The foundation of AIG’s decision-making process is based on independent analysis. Business units determine risk appetite for underwriting, investing and maintaining exposures based upon ongoing analysis, modeling and monitoring. AIG does not rely on external ratings to drive decisions Decisions are made under credit authorities granted by AIG’s corporate level Credit Risk Committee (CRC). The CRC also reviews and governs credit risk tolerances for the business units AIG’s corporate Credit Risk Management Department and the CRC conduct ongoing reviews of the portfolios and provide independent assessments to senior management AIG establishes prudent credit reserves for all its exposures through a process that includes recommendations from the business units and approval by AIG actuaries, comptrollers and AIG’s Chief Credit Officer 34
  • 35. Summary Conclusions AGF’s businesses are performing better than delinquency and net charge-off target ranges. Disciplined underwriting based upon over 50 years of experience in the sub-prime market is serving the company well As a broad player in a cyclical market, UGC has experienced a low domestic mortgage loss ratio over the past 10 years. UGC is currently experiencing a significant decline in operating income due primarily to unfavorable loss experience in the domestic second- and first-lien mortgage businesses as a result of the continued softening in the U.S. housing market. UGC is beginning to observe tighter underwriting standards on new business production within the mortgage market The exposures to the residential mortgage-backed securities market within AIG’s portfolios are of high quality and enjoy substantial protection through collateral subordination AIG does not need to trade mortgage related securities and does not depend on them for its liquidity needs. Temporary market disruptions may have some non-economic effect on AIG through unrealized losses. However, the sound credit quality of the portfolios should result in collection of substantially all principal and interest under any reasonable scenario AIG Financial Products’ portfolio of “Super Senior” credit default swaps is well structured, undergoes ongoing monitoring, modeling and analysis and enjoys significant protection from collateral subordination 35