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El Paso Corporation




                     Fiji C. George
                      Manager, EH&S

             Emissions Accounting and
Cap-and-Trade Policy Considerations for
                    Natural Gas Sector:
      El Paso Corporation’s Perspective
                          May 20, 2008
Cautionary Statement
Regarding Forward-looking Statements

This presentation includes forward-looking statements and projections, made in reliance on the safe harbor
provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The company has made every reasonable effort
to ensure that the information and assumptions on which these statements and projections are based are current,
reasonable, and complete. However, a variety of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the
projections, anticipated results or other expectations expressed in this presentation, including, without limitation,
changes in unaudited and/or unreviewed financial information; our ability to implement and achieve our objectives
in the 2008 plan, including earnings and cash flow targets; the effects of any changes in accounting rules and
guidance; our ability to meet production volume targets in our E&P segment; uncertainties and potential
consequences associated with the outcome of governmental investigations, including, without limitation, those
related to the reserve revisions; outcome of litigation; our ability to comply with the covenants in our various
financing documents; our ability to obtain necessary governmental approvals for proposed pipeline projects and
our ability to successfully construct and operate such projects; the risks associated with recontracting of
transportation commitments by our pipelines; regulatory uncertainties associated with pipeline rate cases; actions
by the credit rating agencies; the successful close of our financing transactions; our ability to successfully exit the
energy trading business; our ability to close our announced asset sales on a timely basis; changes in commodity
prices and basis differentials for oil, natural gas, and power and relevant basis spreads; inability to realize
anticipated synergies and cost savings associated with restructurings and divestitures on a timely basis; general
economic and weather conditions in geographic regions or markets served by the company and its affiliates, or
where operations of the company and its affiliates are located; the uncertainties associated with governmental
regulation; political and currency risks associated with international operations of the company and its affiliates;
competition; and other factors described in the company’s (and its affiliates’) Securities and Exchange
Commission filings. While the company makes these statements and projections in good faith, neither the
company nor its management can guarantee that anticipated future results will be achieved. Reference must be
made to those filings for additional important factors that may affect actual results. The company assumes no
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made herein or any other forward-looking
statements made by the company, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.



                                                                                                                    2
Agenda

  Overview
  Emissions Accounting & Reporting
  Cap and trade policy issues




                                     3
Overview of El Paso Corporation

                                 Wyoming
                Colorado
                                                        Tennessee
                                 Interstate
             Interstate Gas
                                                        Gas Pipeline
                                        Cheyenne
  Mojave                              Plains Pipeline
  Pipeline
                                                                        Southern
                                                                       Natural Gas
     El Paso                                                                    Elba Island
    Natural Gas                                                                    LNG

                                                           Gulf LNG (50%)         Florida Gas
                                                                 2011         Transmission (50%)

             Premier Pipeline Franchise                   Top 10 independent E&P
       $1.3 billion of 2007 EBIT                        3.1 Tcfe YE 2007 proved reserves
       42,000 miles of interstate pipeline
                                                        Top 10 independent domestic
       with unmatched connectivity
                                                        gas producer
       17 Bcf/d throughput (28% of gas
       delivered to U.S. consumers)
       Nearly $4 billion of organic
       projects with firm customer commitment
                                                                                              4
El Paso Corporate:
Greenhouse Gas Commitment

  “Assess, engage and act”
       Commitment statement http://elpaso.com/profile/mainneighbor.shtm
  Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) 5 response
       http://www.cdproject.net/online_response_pf.asp?cid=558&year=2
  California Climate Action Registry (CCAR)
       First company in CCAR history to certify without significant errors
       First company to achieve Climate Action Leader™ for 2007
       First natural gas company to join CCAR
  Reported third party verified entity wide emissions to DoE’s 1605(b)
  program in 2007
  Serves on Advisory Committee—The Climate Registry (TCR)
       El Paso Natural Gas and Colorado Interstate Gas are TCR “Founding
       Reporters”
  2008 Southern Gas Association (SGA) Environmental Excellence Award
  for leadership on GHG matters

                                                                             5
U.S. Natural Gas Industry ~ 21.65 tcf
                                PoR under S. 2191

   Production =                                                                                           End-users ~
                                 Gathering and                        Transportation
                                                                                                           19.94 tcf
                                 Processing =                          and Storage
   ~18.5 tcf (dry)                                                                                         delivered
                                                      Imports-
                                    ~14.7 tcf                                               Industrials and Power Plants
                                                       ~4.1 tcf
                                 Processing Plant


                                                         Compressor
                                                           Station


                                                                               Local Distribution
                                                                                 Companies

                                                     Underground
• Over 450,000 Gas Wells                                                                     LNG/ Propane
                                                     Storage Fields
                                                                               Exports-
                                    LNG Terminals                                              Air Plant
• ~14,000 operators                                                            ~0.72 tcf
                             • Gathering Pipelines
      •173 “large”
                             • Processing Plants
      operators account
      for ~78% of gas              •~530 plants
                                                                • Pipelines                         • Over 1200 LDCs
      production
                                   • Of ~14.7 tcf, ~2.75
                                                                     • 60 interstate                     •65% of gas delivered
      • 467 “intermediate”         tcf is re-injected                pipelines and 72
      operators - ~15.6%                                                                            • Utilities/ Power Plants
                                                                     intrastate
                                   • ~12 tcf or ~64% of
                                                                                                    • Industrials
      • ~ 13,000 -                 dry production is            • Storage
      remaining                                                                                          • 0.6 tcf feedstock
                                   processed                    • Interstate Systems
• Not Regulated                                                                                     • Regulated by States
                                                                  Regulated by FERC
                                   • ~638MMbbl
                                                                • Intrastate Systems
                             • Regulated in Some States
                                                                  Regulated by States
                                                                                                                                 6
2005 Emissions Profile For the Natural
  Gas Sector
           U.S. GHG Emissions by                           (Million tonnes of CO2e)                               Total
                                                                                                         Other
             Fuel/Source—2005
                                                                                         CO2                       CO2e
                                                                                                         Gases
                                                                                                CH4
                                                                                                                   83.0
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                                 35.2
                                                                                         47.8
                                                       Production
                          Oil
                      1% (Power)
                                                                                                                   53.0
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                                 11.9
                                                                                         41.1
                                                       Processing
                                                                                                                   68.8
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                                 36.8
                                                                                         32.0
                                                       Transmission and Storage
                                                                                                                   27.4
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                                 27.4
                                                                                            –
                                                       Distribution
                                                                                                                  232.2
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                                111.1
                                                                                        120.9
                                                         Gas Industry Total
           CO2 from
                                      Coal
         Transportation                                                                                          7260.4
                                                                                                        631.6
                                                                                                539.3
                                                                                      6,089.5
                                                       U.S. Total
                                   28% (Power)
              26%

                                                                                                                    3.2%
                                                                                                          0.0%
                                                                                          2.0% 20.6%
                                                       Gas Industry Share of U.S.
         CO2 from
                                                    Gas (Power)
         Industrial
                                                        4%
        Combustion
            12%
                                                                        Relative to total U.S. CO2eq emissions
                                                    HFC, PFC, SF6
                                                          2%
                                                                             Natural Gas combustion ~ 17%
                                               N20 (Soil Mgmt,
 CO2 from
                                                Combustion)
Commercial                                                                   Natural Gas Industry Share ~ 3%
                                                     7%
Combustion
   3%                                 Methane (Landfill,                     Methane emissions ~ 1.5%
          CO2 from
                                      Mining, Ag, Gas)
         Residential   CO2 from             8%
        Combustion Process and
                     Non-Energy Use
            5%
                          4%


                               Methane Emissions from the gas sector are
                               a small fraction of the total U.S. emissions
                                                                                                                    7
Emissions Accounting & Reporting




                                   8
El Paso’s Experience
in GHG Emissions Accounting
                            Development of GHG Team (2005)

                       2004 GHG Inventory – U.S. Operations (2005)

                                   Gap Analysis (2005)

                          Corporate GHG Inventory Goals (2006)

               “Pre-certified” 2005 GHG Inventory – CCAR Standards (2006)

              Corporate Inventory Management Plan/Technical Manual (2007)

         Certified 2006 GHG Inventory, CA Operations – Reported to CCAR (2007)

                           Climate Action Leader™ – CA (2007)

                                     GHG IMS (2007)

      Verified 2006 GHG Inventory, U.S. Operations – Reported to 1605(b) (Dec. 2007)

 Working on Certifiable 2007 GHG Inventory, U.S. Operations – for reporting to CCAR (2008)

                           A three year effort….
         Established a process focused on continuous improvement

                                                                                             9
2006 El Paso’s GHG Emissions
                                                                               Total Emissions by Gas*
  Total Emissions by Emission Category*
                                  Emissions                                             Emissions
   Emission Category                                     Contribution          GHG                    Contribution
                                  MMT CO2e                                              MMT CO2e
                                                                        CH4                   8.70            55.9%
 Stationary Combustion                          6.58            42.3%
                                                                        CO2                   6.72            43.2%
 Process & Fugitive                             8.21            52.8%
 Mobile Combustion                              0.05             0.3%   N2O                   0.14             0.9%
 Indirects                                      0.71             4.6%   HFCs                 0.001            0.01%

 Total                                   15.56                100%      Total              15.56            100%
                                   Indirects
               Mobile
                                                                                 N2O
                                     0.71
                                                                                                    HFCs
             Combustion
                                     4.6%                                        0.14
                0.05                                                                                0.001
                                                                                 1%
                0.3%                                                                                 0%
                                                        Stationary
                                                       Combustion
                                                                          CO2
                                                           6.58
                                                                                                            CH4
                                                                          6.72
                                                          42.3%
                                                                                                            8.70
                                                                          43%
      Process &
                                                                                                            56%
       Fugitive
         8.21
        52.8%

*As reported to 1605(b), does not include ANR
                                                                                                                      10
GHG Emission Categories and Sources:
Natural Gas Transmission
                 Vast number of discrete but “small sources”
  Direct Emissions
     Stationary Combustion                   Fugitive
         Reciprocating IC engines                Transmission and Gathering Pipelines
                                                 Transmission/Storage Station Piping
         Turbines
                                                 Components
         Process heaters
                                                 Reciprocal and Centrifugal Compressors
         Process boilers
                                                 M&R Stations
         LNG vaporizers
                                                 Storage Wells
         Flares/Thermal Oxidizers
                                                 Vehicle Fleet A/C Systems
    Mobile combustion
                                                 Process Plant piping & components
         Vehicle fleet
         Aviation fleet
                                          Indirect Emissions
    Process/Vented
                                             Generation of electricity used by:
         NG blowdowns
                                                 Stations/office buildings
         Dehydrators
                                                 Electric driven compressors
         Amine units
                                                 Electric driven pumps (pump-jacks)
         Pneumatic devices
         Gas-assisted pumps
         Work-over & Completion Venting
         Storage Tanks
                                                                                          11
Unique Natural Gas Sector Inventory
Challenges

  Relative to electric sector, GHG inventorying is a “new” technical challenge
     100% of the emissions non directly measured (non CEMS)
  Several thousand emission sources for a single company
  Over 50% of the emissions profile is methane
  High uncertainty of fugitive methane factors
     Outdated and unrepresentative
          Not “cap-and-trade” quality
  Facility level versus emission unit level combustion (CO2) emissions
     Lack of fuel metering at every unit
  Computation of Indirect Emissions can be time consuming
  Frequent acquisition/divestiture activity
  Complex ownership
  Remotely located
     Data collection issue

                                                                                 12
El Paso’s GHG Reporting
Recommendations

  Consistent “national” program
     Single registry
  Consider the fact that majority of the affected sources (outside power) have
  limited experience
  Use experience from existing programs
     CCAR, TCR, CARB: AB32, and 1605(b)
  Seek input from industry “leaders” who have undertaken inventory
  development
  Limit to Scope I emissions
  Phased approach
  Reporting no more than once a year
  Consider a “de-minims” list similar to CAA’s Title V program
  Establishment of appropriate quality assurance programs



                                                                             13
Natural Gas Policy Considerations




                                    14
Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts:
Impact of Allowance Price on Fuel


                Natural Gas   Gasoline        Coal
  $/Tonne CO2    ($/MMBtu)    ($/gallon)   ($/MMBtu)
      $10           $0.53       $0.10         $0.95

     $20           $1.06        $0.21        $1.90
     $30           $1.60        $0.31        $2.85
     $40           $2.13        $0.41        $3.80
     $50           $2.66        $0.51        $4.75




                                                       15
Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts:
Summary of Allowance Prices
         Bill                    Design                   Study    $/tonne CO2   $/tonne CO2
                                                                      2015          2030
S.2191                Upstream - EPW version        CRA/EEI           $48           $76
S.2191                                              Duke Univ.
                      Downstream - Prior to                           $18           $38
                      EPW
                      Upstream - EPW version        EPA
S.2191 (avg of                                                        $38           $78
ADAGE cases)
S. 2191 (Low Cost)    Upstream - EPW version        NAM               $42           $228

S.2191 (avg of all    Upstream - EPW version                          $36           $94
                                                    EIA (2006$)
cases)
                      Upstream - EPW version        CATF (2004$)
S.2191 (avg of all                                                    $17           $45
cases)
S.2191 (avg of all    Upstream - EPW version                          $52           $93
                                                    MIT (2005$)
cases)
                                                                      $36           $93
                AVERAGE (S.2191) PROJECTIONS
                                                                      $38           $78
                MEDIAN (S.2191) PROJECTIONS =
                      Upstream                EIA
S. 1766 (Core                                                         $10           $25
case)
S. 280 (CORE)         Downstream              EIA                     $15           $48
Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts:
Example of Compliance Liability

                          IMPACTS TO NATURAL GAS SECTOR—2015
                                                                      Processing/               Transmission
   Bill/Design Framework                     Production                Importers                  & Storage                Distribution



   1   S.2191 (Median
        Allowance Price)—
        $Billion                                                          $50.39

   1   S. 1766— $Billion                                                  $13.60

   2   S. 280—$Billion                            $1.25                    $0.80                       $1.04                    $0.41


1Based on 2006: Median Price Forecast ($37.83/tonne) and 2006 U.S. Processing: Natural Gas = 14.68 Tcf; natural gas liquids =
 637 MMBbl; U.S. gas imports = 4.18 Tcf
2Based on 2005 emissions from USEPA Inventory and S.280 EIA analysis
                                                                                                                                        17
Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained
Environment: “Mega” Design Issues

   Point of regulation
       Upstream (fuel proxy method) OR
       Downstream (actual emissions) OR
       Hybrid
   Treatment of fugitive emissions
       In the cap or via offsets?
   Treatment residential and commercial sector
       In the cap or via codes/standards?
   Emissions reporting
       Protocols? Frequency?
   Existing regulatory framework
       FERC, PUC
   Transitional assistance
       Free Allocation vs. Auctions
   Supply/demand dynamics

                                                 18
Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment:
Cost Flow Through and Price Signals


    In an upstream program, would natural gas entities be able to pass
    through the full compliance costs downstream per the economic
    theory?
    Regulatory/Legal/Contractual issues may prohibit pass through
        Processors/Transmission Companies generally do not own title to
        the gas
           Long term contractual arrangements and regulated by FERC
           (transmission)
                Therefore, any new carbon costs must be re-negotiated and incase of
                transmission companies approved by the FERC
           Discounting practices in the natural gas transmission sector may prevent
           full transmittal of price signal
           Double counting
           Cost of service (~$0.10-0.50/MMbtu) <<< Projected Allowance Prices
           (>$1.60/MMBtu)



                                                                                      19
Natural Gas in a
Carbon Constrained Environment: Fairness
   Fairness – the coal “downstream” vs. gas “upstream”
       Upstream gas “covered entities” (processors/importers) have limited
       ability to influence reductions on the end-users
          Lack of ownership of gas and inability to attach carbon costs to gas
          prices
          Emissions profile for natural gas covered entities are < 5% of the
          entire natural gas related emissions in the US economy
       If 100% of the allowance costs are passed through, natural gas end
       users would see the “market price” of the allowances as an
       incremental cost to fuel prices – i.e. a Btu tax
          Insignificant emissions profile, limited reduction opportunities
       Since regulated at the stacks, coal end users retain the cap-and-trade”
       advantages”
          The potential flexibility to achieve reductions at the lowest marginal cost (<
          market price of the allowance)

       State/Regional “downstream” design vs. “upstream” Federal
       Program?
          Example, a gas power plant in RGGI would face higher “Btu tax”
          due to federal upstream design + face a downstream
          state/regional program focused on its emissions



                                                                                           20
Natural Gas in a Carbon
Constrained Environment: Coverage
                   Total Natural Gas Consumed in the Economy = ~21.6 tcf
                         • However, ~ 1.7 tcf is consumed prior to end users
                                  • ~ 0.6 tcf is used as “feedstock”
                                       • ~ 0.72 tcf is exported

   Processors
         ~ 18.5 dry production of which ~14.7 tcf of gas processing;
              Therefore, about ~3.8 tcf is not processed
         Within the processed amount (14.7 tcf), ~ 12 tcf is processed put into the natural gas value chain
              ~2.75 tcf of gas is processed but re-injected in Alaska
            Coverage ~ 55% of the total natural gas consumed in the economy
   Imported gas ~ 4.1 tcf
         ~ 0.5 tcf is imported and processed
            Coverage ~ 19% of gas consumed
   Coverage - Processors + Importers ~71% of gas consumed
   Pipelines
         ~ 14 tcf (interstates)
         ~ 4.3 tcf (intrastates)
         84% of gas consumed
   In all cases, 111 MM tonnes of fugitive emissions can not covered since upstream
   method is a fuel proxy method

         A well designed “downstream” design can offer equal or higher
                                  coverage
                                                                                                              21
Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment:
Potential Effects of an Upstream Design


    Partial or no pass through of price signals to the end users
    Intended mitigation measures by end users are not realized
    However, the upstream regulated entities are “saddled” with
    huge compliance costs (potentially greater than gross
    revenues)
    Incomplete coverage at processor/importer or transportation
    upstream design
    Since required reductions aspired by the program are not
    being achieved this may drive up allowance prices in the
    market
    Therefore, an upstream program is a potential “recipe” for
    higher compliance costs without environmental benefits

                                                                   22
Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment:
Efficient Cap-and-trade Program


    Would “fugitive” emissions be part of the cap or
    available as offsets?
       Dispersed along thousands of miles of pipelines and
       thousands of components
       Substantial uncertainty related to entity-wide fugitive
       emissions methodology
         Methodologies exists to quantify “discrete” projects
       EIA (S.2191) considered fugitive emissions as part
       of the cap


                                                                23
Natural Gas in a
Carbon Constrained Environment




       A well thought out cap-and-trade program
                is needed for natural gas

                                                  24
Summary and Conclusions

  National bill likely in < 5 years
     Natural Gas will be regulated…but how?
  Upstream regulatory design requires significant
  review of legal, regulatory and technical Issues with
  respect to natural gas sector
  Unintentional consequences to natural gas sector
  could be significant

         Will Natural Gas be the “bridge” fuel in
          a carbon constrained environment?


                                                      25
El Paso Corporation




                     Fiji C. George
                      Manager, EH&S

             Emissions Accounting and
Cap-and-Trade Policy Considerations for
                    Natural Gas Sector:
      El Paso Corporation’s Perspective
                          May 20, 2008

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Us Chamber Of Commerce (May 20)Final

  • 1. El Paso Corporation Fiji C. George Manager, EH&S Emissions Accounting and Cap-and-Trade Policy Considerations for Natural Gas Sector: El Paso Corporation’s Perspective May 20, 2008
  • 2. Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking Statements This presentation includes forward-looking statements and projections, made in reliance on the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The company has made every reasonable effort to ensure that the information and assumptions on which these statements and projections are based are current, reasonable, and complete. However, a variety of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the projections, anticipated results or other expectations expressed in this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in unaudited and/or unreviewed financial information; our ability to implement and achieve our objectives in the 2008 plan, including earnings and cash flow targets; the effects of any changes in accounting rules and guidance; our ability to meet production volume targets in our E&P segment; uncertainties and potential consequences associated with the outcome of governmental investigations, including, without limitation, those related to the reserve revisions; outcome of litigation; our ability to comply with the covenants in our various financing documents; our ability to obtain necessary governmental approvals for proposed pipeline projects and our ability to successfully construct and operate such projects; the risks associated with recontracting of transportation commitments by our pipelines; regulatory uncertainties associated with pipeline rate cases; actions by the credit rating agencies; the successful close of our financing transactions; our ability to successfully exit the energy trading business; our ability to close our announced asset sales on a timely basis; changes in commodity prices and basis differentials for oil, natural gas, and power and relevant basis spreads; inability to realize anticipated synergies and cost savings associated with restructurings and divestitures on a timely basis; general economic and weather conditions in geographic regions or markets served by the company and its affiliates, or where operations of the company and its affiliates are located; the uncertainties associated with governmental regulation; political and currency risks associated with international operations of the company and its affiliates; competition; and other factors described in the company’s (and its affiliates’) Securities and Exchange Commission filings. While the company makes these statements and projections in good faith, neither the company nor its management can guarantee that anticipated future results will be achieved. Reference must be made to those filings for additional important factors that may affect actual results. The company assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made herein or any other forward-looking statements made by the company, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. 2
  • 3. Agenda Overview Emissions Accounting & Reporting Cap and trade policy issues 3
  • 4. Overview of El Paso Corporation Wyoming Colorado Tennessee Interstate Interstate Gas Gas Pipeline Cheyenne Mojave Plains Pipeline Pipeline Southern Natural Gas El Paso Elba Island Natural Gas LNG Gulf LNG (50%) Florida Gas 2011 Transmission (50%) Premier Pipeline Franchise Top 10 independent E&P $1.3 billion of 2007 EBIT 3.1 Tcfe YE 2007 proved reserves 42,000 miles of interstate pipeline Top 10 independent domestic with unmatched connectivity gas producer 17 Bcf/d throughput (28% of gas delivered to U.S. consumers) Nearly $4 billion of organic projects with firm customer commitment 4
  • 5. El Paso Corporate: Greenhouse Gas Commitment “Assess, engage and act” Commitment statement http://elpaso.com/profile/mainneighbor.shtm Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) 5 response http://www.cdproject.net/online_response_pf.asp?cid=558&year=2 California Climate Action Registry (CCAR) First company in CCAR history to certify without significant errors First company to achieve Climate Action Leader™ for 2007 First natural gas company to join CCAR Reported third party verified entity wide emissions to DoE’s 1605(b) program in 2007 Serves on Advisory Committee—The Climate Registry (TCR) El Paso Natural Gas and Colorado Interstate Gas are TCR “Founding Reporters” 2008 Southern Gas Association (SGA) Environmental Excellence Award for leadership on GHG matters 5
  • 6. U.S. Natural Gas Industry ~ 21.65 tcf PoR under S. 2191 Production = End-users ~ Gathering and Transportation 19.94 tcf Processing = and Storage ~18.5 tcf (dry) delivered Imports- ~14.7 tcf Industrials and Power Plants ~4.1 tcf Processing Plant Compressor Station Local Distribution Companies Underground • Over 450,000 Gas Wells LNG/ Propane Storage Fields Exports- LNG Terminals Air Plant • ~14,000 operators ~0.72 tcf • Gathering Pipelines •173 “large” • Processing Plants operators account for ~78% of gas •~530 plants • Pipelines • Over 1200 LDCs production • Of ~14.7 tcf, ~2.75 • 60 interstate •65% of gas delivered • 467 “intermediate” tcf is re-injected pipelines and 72 operators - ~15.6% • Utilities/ Power Plants intrastate • ~12 tcf or ~64% of • Industrials • ~ 13,000 - dry production is • Storage remaining • 0.6 tcf feedstock processed • Interstate Systems • Not Regulated • Regulated by States Regulated by FERC • ~638MMbbl • Intrastate Systems • Regulated in Some States Regulated by States 6
  • 7. 2005 Emissions Profile For the Natural Gas Sector U.S. GHG Emissions by (Million tonnes of CO2e) Total Other Fuel/Source—2005 CO2 CO2e Gases CH4 83.0 – 35.2 47.8 Production Oil 1% (Power) 53.0 – 11.9 41.1 Processing 68.8 – 36.8 32.0 Transmission and Storage 27.4 – 27.4 – Distribution 232.2 – 111.1 120.9 Gas Industry Total CO2 from Coal Transportation 7260.4 631.6 539.3 6,089.5 U.S. Total 28% (Power) 26% 3.2% 0.0% 2.0% 20.6% Gas Industry Share of U.S. CO2 from Gas (Power) Industrial 4% Combustion 12% Relative to total U.S. CO2eq emissions HFC, PFC, SF6 2% Natural Gas combustion ~ 17% N20 (Soil Mgmt, CO2 from Combustion) Commercial Natural Gas Industry Share ~ 3% 7% Combustion 3% Methane (Landfill, Methane emissions ~ 1.5% CO2 from Mining, Ag, Gas) Residential CO2 from 8% Combustion Process and Non-Energy Use 5% 4% Methane Emissions from the gas sector are a small fraction of the total U.S. emissions 7
  • 9. El Paso’s Experience in GHG Emissions Accounting Development of GHG Team (2005) 2004 GHG Inventory – U.S. Operations (2005) Gap Analysis (2005) Corporate GHG Inventory Goals (2006) “Pre-certified” 2005 GHG Inventory – CCAR Standards (2006) Corporate Inventory Management Plan/Technical Manual (2007) Certified 2006 GHG Inventory, CA Operations – Reported to CCAR (2007) Climate Action Leader™ – CA (2007) GHG IMS (2007) Verified 2006 GHG Inventory, U.S. Operations – Reported to 1605(b) (Dec. 2007) Working on Certifiable 2007 GHG Inventory, U.S. Operations – for reporting to CCAR (2008) A three year effort…. Established a process focused on continuous improvement 9
  • 10. 2006 El Paso’s GHG Emissions Total Emissions by Gas* Total Emissions by Emission Category* Emissions Emissions Emission Category Contribution GHG Contribution MMT CO2e MMT CO2e CH4 8.70 55.9% Stationary Combustion 6.58 42.3% CO2 6.72 43.2% Process & Fugitive 8.21 52.8% Mobile Combustion 0.05 0.3% N2O 0.14 0.9% Indirects 0.71 4.6% HFCs 0.001 0.01% Total 15.56 100% Total 15.56 100% Indirects Mobile N2O 0.71 HFCs Combustion 4.6% 0.14 0.05 0.001 1% 0.3% 0% Stationary Combustion CO2 6.58 CH4 6.72 42.3% 8.70 43% Process & 56% Fugitive 8.21 52.8% *As reported to 1605(b), does not include ANR 10
  • 11. GHG Emission Categories and Sources: Natural Gas Transmission Vast number of discrete but “small sources” Direct Emissions Stationary Combustion Fugitive Reciprocating IC engines Transmission and Gathering Pipelines Transmission/Storage Station Piping Turbines Components Process heaters Reciprocal and Centrifugal Compressors Process boilers M&R Stations LNG vaporizers Storage Wells Flares/Thermal Oxidizers Vehicle Fleet A/C Systems Mobile combustion Process Plant piping & components Vehicle fleet Aviation fleet Indirect Emissions Process/Vented Generation of electricity used by: NG blowdowns Stations/office buildings Dehydrators Electric driven compressors Amine units Electric driven pumps (pump-jacks) Pneumatic devices Gas-assisted pumps Work-over & Completion Venting Storage Tanks 11
  • 12. Unique Natural Gas Sector Inventory Challenges Relative to electric sector, GHG inventorying is a “new” technical challenge 100% of the emissions non directly measured (non CEMS) Several thousand emission sources for a single company Over 50% of the emissions profile is methane High uncertainty of fugitive methane factors Outdated and unrepresentative Not “cap-and-trade” quality Facility level versus emission unit level combustion (CO2) emissions Lack of fuel metering at every unit Computation of Indirect Emissions can be time consuming Frequent acquisition/divestiture activity Complex ownership Remotely located Data collection issue 12
  • 13. El Paso’s GHG Reporting Recommendations Consistent “national” program Single registry Consider the fact that majority of the affected sources (outside power) have limited experience Use experience from existing programs CCAR, TCR, CARB: AB32, and 1605(b) Seek input from industry “leaders” who have undertaken inventory development Limit to Scope I emissions Phased approach Reporting no more than once a year Consider a “de-minims” list similar to CAA’s Title V program Establishment of appropriate quality assurance programs 13
  • 14. Natural Gas Policy Considerations 14
  • 15. Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts: Impact of Allowance Price on Fuel Natural Gas Gasoline Coal $/Tonne CO2 ($/MMBtu) ($/gallon) ($/MMBtu) $10 $0.53 $0.10 $0.95 $20 $1.06 $0.21 $1.90 $30 $1.60 $0.31 $2.85 $40 $2.13 $0.41 $3.80 $50 $2.66 $0.51 $4.75 15
  • 16. Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts: Summary of Allowance Prices Bill Design Study $/tonne CO2 $/tonne CO2 2015 2030 S.2191 Upstream - EPW version CRA/EEI $48 $76 S.2191 Duke Univ. Downstream - Prior to $18 $38 EPW Upstream - EPW version EPA S.2191 (avg of $38 $78 ADAGE cases) S. 2191 (Low Cost) Upstream - EPW version NAM $42 $228 S.2191 (avg of all Upstream - EPW version $36 $94 EIA (2006$) cases) Upstream - EPW version CATF (2004$) S.2191 (avg of all $17 $45 cases) S.2191 (avg of all Upstream - EPW version $52 $93 MIT (2005$) cases) $36 $93 AVERAGE (S.2191) PROJECTIONS $38 $78 MEDIAN (S.2191) PROJECTIONS = Upstream EIA S. 1766 (Core $10 $25 case) S. 280 (CORE) Downstream EIA $15 $48
  • 17. Natural Gas Sector Business Impacts: Example of Compliance Liability IMPACTS TO NATURAL GAS SECTOR—2015 Processing/ Transmission Bill/Design Framework Production Importers & Storage Distribution 1 S.2191 (Median Allowance Price)— $Billion $50.39 1 S. 1766— $Billion $13.60 2 S. 280—$Billion $1.25 $0.80 $1.04 $0.41 1Based on 2006: Median Price Forecast ($37.83/tonne) and 2006 U.S. Processing: Natural Gas = 14.68 Tcf; natural gas liquids = 637 MMBbl; U.S. gas imports = 4.18 Tcf 2Based on 2005 emissions from USEPA Inventory and S.280 EIA analysis 17
  • 18. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: “Mega” Design Issues Point of regulation Upstream (fuel proxy method) OR Downstream (actual emissions) OR Hybrid Treatment of fugitive emissions In the cap or via offsets? Treatment residential and commercial sector In the cap or via codes/standards? Emissions reporting Protocols? Frequency? Existing regulatory framework FERC, PUC Transitional assistance Free Allocation vs. Auctions Supply/demand dynamics 18
  • 19. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: Cost Flow Through and Price Signals In an upstream program, would natural gas entities be able to pass through the full compliance costs downstream per the economic theory? Regulatory/Legal/Contractual issues may prohibit pass through Processors/Transmission Companies generally do not own title to the gas Long term contractual arrangements and regulated by FERC (transmission) Therefore, any new carbon costs must be re-negotiated and incase of transmission companies approved by the FERC Discounting practices in the natural gas transmission sector may prevent full transmittal of price signal Double counting Cost of service (~$0.10-0.50/MMbtu) <<< Projected Allowance Prices (>$1.60/MMBtu) 19
  • 20. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: Fairness Fairness – the coal “downstream” vs. gas “upstream” Upstream gas “covered entities” (processors/importers) have limited ability to influence reductions on the end-users Lack of ownership of gas and inability to attach carbon costs to gas prices Emissions profile for natural gas covered entities are < 5% of the entire natural gas related emissions in the US economy If 100% of the allowance costs are passed through, natural gas end users would see the “market price” of the allowances as an incremental cost to fuel prices – i.e. a Btu tax Insignificant emissions profile, limited reduction opportunities Since regulated at the stacks, coal end users retain the cap-and-trade” advantages” The potential flexibility to achieve reductions at the lowest marginal cost (< market price of the allowance) State/Regional “downstream” design vs. “upstream” Federal Program? Example, a gas power plant in RGGI would face higher “Btu tax” due to federal upstream design + face a downstream state/regional program focused on its emissions 20
  • 21. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: Coverage Total Natural Gas Consumed in the Economy = ~21.6 tcf • However, ~ 1.7 tcf is consumed prior to end users • ~ 0.6 tcf is used as “feedstock” • ~ 0.72 tcf is exported Processors ~ 18.5 dry production of which ~14.7 tcf of gas processing; Therefore, about ~3.8 tcf is not processed Within the processed amount (14.7 tcf), ~ 12 tcf is processed put into the natural gas value chain ~2.75 tcf of gas is processed but re-injected in Alaska Coverage ~ 55% of the total natural gas consumed in the economy Imported gas ~ 4.1 tcf ~ 0.5 tcf is imported and processed Coverage ~ 19% of gas consumed Coverage - Processors + Importers ~71% of gas consumed Pipelines ~ 14 tcf (interstates) ~ 4.3 tcf (intrastates) 84% of gas consumed In all cases, 111 MM tonnes of fugitive emissions can not covered since upstream method is a fuel proxy method A well designed “downstream” design can offer equal or higher coverage 21
  • 22. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: Potential Effects of an Upstream Design Partial or no pass through of price signals to the end users Intended mitigation measures by end users are not realized However, the upstream regulated entities are “saddled” with huge compliance costs (potentially greater than gross revenues) Incomplete coverage at processor/importer or transportation upstream design Since required reductions aspired by the program are not being achieved this may drive up allowance prices in the market Therefore, an upstream program is a potential “recipe” for higher compliance costs without environmental benefits 22
  • 23. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment: Efficient Cap-and-trade Program Would “fugitive” emissions be part of the cap or available as offsets? Dispersed along thousands of miles of pipelines and thousands of components Substantial uncertainty related to entity-wide fugitive emissions methodology Methodologies exists to quantify “discrete” projects EIA (S.2191) considered fugitive emissions as part of the cap 23
  • 24. Natural Gas in a Carbon Constrained Environment A well thought out cap-and-trade program is needed for natural gas 24
  • 25. Summary and Conclusions National bill likely in < 5 years Natural Gas will be regulated…but how? Upstream regulatory design requires significant review of legal, regulatory and technical Issues with respect to natural gas sector Unintentional consequences to natural gas sector could be significant Will Natural Gas be the “bridge” fuel in a carbon constrained environment? 25
  • 26. El Paso Corporation Fiji C. George Manager, EH&S Emissions Accounting and Cap-and-Trade Policy Considerations for Natural Gas Sector: El Paso Corporation’s Perspective May 20, 2008