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Principles of Urologic Research
& Evidence Based Urology
A Presentation
by
Farouk Ashraf Hammoud
First and foremost I would like to thank Allah
for giving me the power to accomplish this
work.
I would also like to express my gratitude to my
supervisors, Prof. Dr. Mohammed Shoeb,
Dr. Tarek Osman, and Dr. Diaa Abdelftah,
for their continuous supervision and
irreplaceable guidance. Also Prof. Dr. Amr El
Shorbagy and Prof. Dr. Khaled El Gamal,
thank you for attending, I know I put you
through some difficulties.
Finally my deep thanks goes out to my family
and friends for their constant support.
Brief History of Medicine
Ancient medicine:
Based on superstition
and medical theories

Renaissance period:
(14th to 17th century)
Revolutionary scientific
changes
Medicine & Statistics Change Research

Bradford Hill                      Archie Cochrane




First modern randomized clinical   Founding father of EBM
What is EBM?

       “The conscientious, explicit and judicious use of
        current best evidence in making decisions about
        the care of individual patients.”
   The integration of individual clinical expertise with the best
    available external clinical evidence from systematic
    research.
Conducting Research
Conducting Research
  The EBM process can be summarized by
   four steps:
(1) Formulate a sensible, focused clinical
question: PICOT
(2) Search the medical literature for evidence
related to the focused, clinical question.
(3) Rate the quality of the available studies.
(4) Apply the evidence to a particular patient
or clinical situation.
PICOT
 P = Population.
 I = Intervention.
 C = Comparison.
 O = Outcome.
 T = Type of study. Choose the best study
  design
PICOT
 P = 63 year old with BPH
 I = medical therapy
 C = surgery
 O = reducing lower urinary tract symptoms
 T = in a randomized controlled trial or
  systematic review of randomized controlled
  trials
Search for Evidence
Where to Search
   Synthesized sources: textbooks, guidelines

   Selected sources: research that is filtered
    and published as database Ex. BMJ EBM

   Bibliographic database of published journal
    articles. Ex. PubMed
Type           Name                          URL                                       Info

Database       Cochrane Library              http://www.thecochranelibrary.com         Database of systemic
                                                                                       reviews
               Medline/Pubmed                http://www.pubmed.gov                     Major source of
                                                                                       biomedical publications
               EMBASE                        http://www.embase.com/                    European equivalent of
                                                                                       Medline



               TRIP: Turning Research Into   http://www.tripdatabase.com/              Searches E-Medicine,
               Practice                                                                guidelines, & other
                                                                                       evidence-based
                                                                                       publications
Guidelines     American Urological           http://www.auanet.org/guidelines/         Practice guidelines for
               Association Guidelines                                                  patient management
                                                                                       and current standard
               European Association of       http://www.uroweb.org/
                                                                                       of care
               Urology/guidelines
Preappraised   Evidence-base Medicine        http://ebm.bmj.com/                       Provides
sources        ACPJC: American College of    http://www.acpjc.org                      structured abstract of
                                                                                       articles selected from
               Physicians Journal Club
                                                                                       journals by an editorial
                                                                                       board, plus critical
                                                                                       appraisal of the validity,
                                                                                       importance, and
                                                                                       applicability


               CENTRAL: Cochrane Central http://www.mrw.interscience.wiley.com/coch Non English studies
               Register of Controlled Trials rane/cochrane_clcentral_articles_fs.html included
Understanding Study Design
Types of Studies

 Descriptive   Studies
 Observational   Analytic Studies
  ◦ Cross Sectional studies
  ◦ Case Control studies
  ◦ Cohort studies

 Experimental    Studies
  ◦ Randomized controlled trials
Hierarchy of Study Types


        Descriptive                                         Analytic
        •Case report
        •Case series
        •Survey                      Observational                     Experimental
                                     •Cross sectional                  •Randomized
                                     •Case-control                     controlled trials
                                     •Cohort studies


Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
Descriptive Studies
Descriptive Studies

   Surveys
      “How many men in the U.S. filled Viagra
       prescriptions in 2004?”

   Case reports or case series
      Sildanefil-associated serous macular detachment.
Descriptive Studies
   Cannot establish causal relationships
 Play an important role in generating hypotheses
  to be tested
 Alerting physicians to a new disease
    ◦ Squamous cell carcinoma in sexual partner of Kaposi sarcoma
      patient. Lancet. 1982 Jan 30;1(8266):286.
    ◦ New outbreak of oral tumors, malignancies and infectious
      diseases strikes young male homosexuals. CDA J. 1982
      Mar;10(3):39-42.
    ◦ AIDS in the "gay" areas of San Francisco. Lancet.
        1983 Apr 23;1(8330):923-4.
Hierarchy of Study Types


        Descriptive                                         Analytic
        •Case report
        •Case series
        •Survey                      Observational                     Experimental
                                     •Cross sectional                  •Randomized
                                     •Case-control                     controlled trials
                                     •Cohort studies


Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
Analytic Studies
Analytic Studies

   Attempt to establish a link between a
    predictor/risk factor and an outcome


 Cross Sectional
 Cohort
 Case   Control
Cross Sectional Study
Cross Sectional Study: Structure



           Exposure



           Outcome



             time
Cross Sectional Study:
   Descriptive value:
    ◦ How many medical students smoke cigarettes?
    ◦ What is the age and sex distribution of medical students who
      smoke cigarettes?


   Analytic value:
    ◦ Is there an association between regular cigarette smoking and
      test scores among med students?
Cohort Study
Cohort Study: Structure
•    Prospective
•    Retrospective




    Exposure                Outcome



                     time
Cohort Study: Strength
  Exposure variable was present before
   outcome variable
  Incidence
  Multiple outcomes of a single exposure
  Retrospective cohorts where available are
   cheaper and quicker.
  Analyse predictors (risk factors) thereby
   enabling calculation of relative risk.
Measuring Relative Risk
                                    Risk ratio
                   Disease        (relative risk)
               Yes           No      A
                                    A+B
                                     C
                                    C+D
         Yes   A             B
 Risk
Factor
         No    C             D
Cohort Study: Weakness

 Confounding variables
 Selection bias
 Loss to follow up
 Recall bias
Case Control Study
Case-Control Study

   Retrospective




    Exposure               Outcome



                    time
Case-Control Study: Structure


                             TARGET CASES
                               ACTUAL CASES
                             Males with prostate cancer
                               Males with prostate cancer confirmed
Dietary Zinc intake            by biopsy
YES


Dietary Zinc intake
NO                         ACTUAL CONTROLS
                         TARGET admitted to hospital for non-
                           Males CONTROLS
                         Males withoutand non-hormone related
                           neoplastic prostate cancer
                               disease



                      time
Case Control Study: Strength

• Simple, fast and inexpensive
• Rare outcome & long latency period
• Determines the strength of the
  association between each predictor
  variable and the presence or absence
  of disease
• Determines odds ratio
Case Control Study: Weakness

 Can only look at one outcome
 Confounding variables
 Bias is a major problem
    ◦ Selection
    ◦ Recall
Hierarchy of Study Types


        Descriptive                                         Analytic
        •Case report
        •Case series
        •Survey                      Observational                     Experimental
                                     •Cross sectional                  •Randomized
                                     •Case-control                     controlled trials
                                     •Cohort studies


Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
Randomized Controlled Trials
RCTs:
   Gold standard: Causality

   Investigator controls the predictor variable
    (intervention or treatment)

   Randomization:
    ◦ The only way to avoid selection and
      confounding bias
Guarding against Bias: Design
   Randomization
    ◦ Simple
    ◦ Urn method
    ◦ Computer generated
 Equal treatment
 Blinding
    ◦ Single
    ◦ Double
    ◦ Triple
Guarding against Bias: Analysis
   Sample size

   Reporting effect size

   Intention to treat principle
Sample Size
   Optimal sample size
    ◦ Type I Error: False positives < 5%
P-value       < 0.05

     Probability that H0 is rejected
     ◦ Type II Error: False negatives > 20%
       Less than 1/20 = statistically significant
P-value & CI
   Confidence Interval relates to P-value
    ◦ Confidence level = 95%
    ◦ Confidence limits = Range

    Wider CI reflects higher confidence level
    ◦ Ex. 99% CI when mean age CI = 25 and 29
Effect Size
   The observed relationship between an
    intervention and an outcome is
    statistically expressed as an “estimate of
    effect”
    ◦ Odds ratio (OR) or a
    ◦ Relative risk (RR)
   True effect size lies within confidence
    interval
Intention-to-treat analysis:
   Including and analysing all randomised
    patients according to their original
    treatment allocation, irrespective of
    whether they actually received or completed
    the treatment.

   This preserves the unbiased comparison of
    treatment groups afforded by
    randomization.
RCTs: Weakness
 Expensive
 Legnthy
 External validity
Systematic Review
Systematic Review
   Attempts to review all of the relevant
    articles in the field

   Uses study design based on the hierarchy of
    evidence
    ◦ Most use RCTs (gold standard)

   Uses clearly defined parameters
Systematic Review
 Accurate and reliable
 Reduces large quantities of information
  into manageable size
 External validity is more applicable than
  populations from single studies
Meta-analysis
Meta-analysis
   Type of systematic review that focuses on
    numerical results
    ◦ Uses statistics to integrate findings
 Can detect small effects across a group of
  studies that individually lack statistical
  power to detect the effect
 Common problem is heterogeneity of
  studies
    ◦ Noncompatibility
Rating Quality of Studies
Hierarchy of Evidence
Evidence Based Medicine
EBM
        Level        Therapy/Prognosis/Aetiology
        1a           SR (with homogeneity) of RCTs
        1b           Individual RCT (with narrow Confidence Interval)
        1c           All or none case report/series
        2a           SR (with homogeneity) of cohort studies
        2b           Cohort study
        3a           SR (with homogeneity) of case-control studies
        3b           Case-Control Study
        4            Case-series
        5            Expert opinion without explicit critical appraisal, or based on
                     physiology, bench research or "first principles"


GRADE system: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development & Evaluation
EBM - What is it?


               Clinical
               Expertise



    Research            Patient
    Evidence          Preferences
EBM Method

Ask clinical
 questions


          Acquire the     Appraise
         best evidence   the evidence

                             Apply
                           evidence to
                           patient care
Ask Clinical Questions
      P                 I             C               O
   Patient/        Intervention/
  Population                       Comparison      Outcome
                     Exposure




                       does
In patients with                   compared to   decrease LUTS?
                    treatment
     BPH                             surgery
                    with alpha
                     blocker
Acquire the Best Evidence

   Where do you find high-quality evidence?
    ◦ Textbook (print or online)
    ◦ Pre-appraised evidence
      Best Evidence
      Clinical Evidence (Therapy only)
      Cochrane Collaboration (Therapy only)
      UpToDate
    ◦ Medline or PubMed search: find and review
      articles
Appraise the Evidence


 Are   the results valid?
 What   are the results?
 Can   we apply the results to our patient?
Appraise the Evidence

   Determine if evidence is unbiased
    or flawed
    ◦ Critically appraise articles yourself
    ◦ Used a source that appraises trials for you
        Best Evidence
        Clinical Evidence
        Cochrane Library
        UpToDate
Apply the Evidence

 Evidence must be applied to each
 individual patient
 ◦ Is your patient similar enough to those
   studied?
 ◦ Do benefits outweigh harms?
 ◦ Cost
 ◦ What are your patient’s values and
   preferences?
Take Home Message
    Research is like riding a bicycle
    ◦ It needs practice

   Research needs planning
    ◦ If you fail to plan, you plan to fail

    Not all of us need to do research
    ◦ But all of us should practice EBM
Thank You

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Evidence Based Urology

  • 1. Principles of Urologic Research & Evidence Based Urology A Presentation by Farouk Ashraf Hammoud
  • 2. First and foremost I would like to thank Allah for giving me the power to accomplish this work. I would also like to express my gratitude to my supervisors, Prof. Dr. Mohammed Shoeb, Dr. Tarek Osman, and Dr. Diaa Abdelftah, for their continuous supervision and irreplaceable guidance. Also Prof. Dr. Amr El Shorbagy and Prof. Dr. Khaled El Gamal, thank you for attending, I know I put you through some difficulties. Finally my deep thanks goes out to my family and friends for their constant support.
  • 3. Brief History of Medicine
  • 4. Ancient medicine: Based on superstition and medical theories Renaissance period: (14th to 17th century) Revolutionary scientific changes
  • 5. Medicine & Statistics Change Research Bradford Hill Archie Cochrane First modern randomized clinical Founding father of EBM
  • 6. What is EBM?  “The conscientious, explicit and judicious use of current best evidence in making decisions about the care of individual patients.”  The integration of individual clinical expertise with the best available external clinical evidence from systematic research.
  • 8. Conducting Research  The EBM process can be summarized by four steps: (1) Formulate a sensible, focused clinical question: PICOT (2) Search the medical literature for evidence related to the focused, clinical question. (3) Rate the quality of the available studies. (4) Apply the evidence to a particular patient or clinical situation.
  • 9. PICOT  P = Population.  I = Intervention.  C = Comparison.  O = Outcome.  T = Type of study. Choose the best study design
  • 10. PICOT  P = 63 year old with BPH  I = medical therapy  C = surgery  O = reducing lower urinary tract symptoms  T = in a randomized controlled trial or systematic review of randomized controlled trials
  • 12. Where to Search  Synthesized sources: textbooks, guidelines  Selected sources: research that is filtered and published as database Ex. BMJ EBM  Bibliographic database of published journal articles. Ex. PubMed
  • 13. Type Name URL Info Database Cochrane Library http://www.thecochranelibrary.com Database of systemic reviews Medline/Pubmed http://www.pubmed.gov Major source of biomedical publications EMBASE http://www.embase.com/ European equivalent of Medline TRIP: Turning Research Into http://www.tripdatabase.com/ Searches E-Medicine, Practice guidelines, & other evidence-based publications Guidelines American Urological http://www.auanet.org/guidelines/ Practice guidelines for Association Guidelines patient management and current standard European Association of http://www.uroweb.org/ of care Urology/guidelines Preappraised Evidence-base Medicine http://ebm.bmj.com/ Provides sources ACPJC: American College of http://www.acpjc.org structured abstract of articles selected from Physicians Journal Club journals by an editorial board, plus critical appraisal of the validity, importance, and applicability CENTRAL: Cochrane Central http://www.mrw.interscience.wiley.com/coch Non English studies Register of Controlled Trials rane/cochrane_clcentral_articles_fs.html included
  • 15. Types of Studies  Descriptive Studies  Observational Analytic Studies ◦ Cross Sectional studies ◦ Case Control studies ◦ Cohort studies  Experimental Studies ◦ Randomized controlled trials
  • 16. Hierarchy of Study Types Descriptive Analytic •Case report •Case series •Survey Observational Experimental •Cross sectional •Randomized •Case-control controlled trials •Cohort studies Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
  • 18. Descriptive Studies  Surveys  “How many men in the U.S. filled Viagra prescriptions in 2004?”  Case reports or case series  Sildanefil-associated serous macular detachment.
  • 19. Descriptive Studies  Cannot establish causal relationships  Play an important role in generating hypotheses to be tested  Alerting physicians to a new disease ◦ Squamous cell carcinoma in sexual partner of Kaposi sarcoma patient. Lancet. 1982 Jan 30;1(8266):286. ◦ New outbreak of oral tumors, malignancies and infectious diseases strikes young male homosexuals. CDA J. 1982 Mar;10(3):39-42. ◦ AIDS in the "gay" areas of San Francisco. Lancet. 1983 Apr 23;1(8330):923-4.
  • 20. Hierarchy of Study Types Descriptive Analytic •Case report •Case series •Survey Observational Experimental •Cross sectional •Randomized •Case-control controlled trials •Cohort studies Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
  • 22. Analytic Studies  Attempt to establish a link between a predictor/risk factor and an outcome  Cross Sectional  Cohort  Case Control
  • 24. Cross Sectional Study: Structure Exposure Outcome time
  • 25. Cross Sectional Study:  Descriptive value: ◦ How many medical students smoke cigarettes? ◦ What is the age and sex distribution of medical students who smoke cigarettes?  Analytic value: ◦ Is there an association between regular cigarette smoking and test scores among med students?
  • 27. Cohort Study: Structure • Prospective • Retrospective Exposure Outcome time
  • 28. Cohort Study: Strength  Exposure variable was present before outcome variable  Incidence  Multiple outcomes of a single exposure  Retrospective cohorts where available are cheaper and quicker.  Analyse predictors (risk factors) thereby enabling calculation of relative risk.
  • 29. Measuring Relative Risk Risk ratio Disease (relative risk) Yes No A A+B C C+D Yes A B Risk Factor No C D
  • 30. Cohort Study: Weakness  Confounding variables  Selection bias  Loss to follow up  Recall bias
  • 32. Case-Control Study  Retrospective Exposure Outcome time
  • 33. Case-Control Study: Structure TARGET CASES ACTUAL CASES Males with prostate cancer Males with prostate cancer confirmed Dietary Zinc intake by biopsy YES Dietary Zinc intake NO ACTUAL CONTROLS TARGET admitted to hospital for non- Males CONTROLS Males withoutand non-hormone related neoplastic prostate cancer disease time
  • 34. Case Control Study: Strength • Simple, fast and inexpensive • Rare outcome & long latency period • Determines the strength of the association between each predictor variable and the presence or absence of disease • Determines odds ratio
  • 35. Case Control Study: Weakness  Can only look at one outcome  Confounding variables  Bias is a major problem ◦ Selection ◦ Recall
  • 36. Hierarchy of Study Types Descriptive Analytic •Case report •Case series •Survey Observational Experimental •Cross sectional •Randomized •Case-control controlled trials •Cohort studies Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome
  • 38. RCTs:  Gold standard: Causality  Investigator controls the predictor variable (intervention or treatment)  Randomization: ◦ The only way to avoid selection and confounding bias
  • 39. Guarding against Bias: Design  Randomization ◦ Simple ◦ Urn method ◦ Computer generated  Equal treatment  Blinding ◦ Single ◦ Double ◦ Triple
  • 40. Guarding against Bias: Analysis  Sample size  Reporting effect size  Intention to treat principle
  • 41. Sample Size  Optimal sample size ◦ Type I Error: False positives < 5% P-value < 0.05  Probability that H0 is rejected ◦ Type II Error: False negatives > 20%  Less than 1/20 = statistically significant
  • 42. P-value & CI  Confidence Interval relates to P-value ◦ Confidence level = 95% ◦ Confidence limits = Range  Wider CI reflects higher confidence level ◦ Ex. 99% CI when mean age CI = 25 and 29
  • 43. Effect Size  The observed relationship between an intervention and an outcome is statistically expressed as an “estimate of effect” ◦ Odds ratio (OR) or a ◦ Relative risk (RR)  True effect size lies within confidence interval
  • 44. Intention-to-treat analysis:  Including and analysing all randomised patients according to their original treatment allocation, irrespective of whether they actually received or completed the treatment.  This preserves the unbiased comparison of treatment groups afforded by randomization.
  • 45. RCTs: Weakness  Expensive  Legnthy  External validity
  • 47. Systematic Review  Attempts to review all of the relevant articles in the field  Uses study design based on the hierarchy of evidence ◦ Most use RCTs (gold standard)  Uses clearly defined parameters
  • 48. Systematic Review  Accurate and reliable  Reduces large quantities of information into manageable size  External validity is more applicable than populations from single studies
  • 50. Meta-analysis  Type of systematic review that focuses on numerical results ◦ Uses statistics to integrate findings  Can detect small effects across a group of studies that individually lack statistical power to detect the effect  Common problem is heterogeneity of studies ◦ Noncompatibility
  • 51. Rating Quality of Studies
  • 54. EBM Level Therapy/Prognosis/Aetiology 1a SR (with homogeneity) of RCTs 1b Individual RCT (with narrow Confidence Interval) 1c All or none case report/series 2a SR (with homogeneity) of cohort studies 2b Cohort study 3a SR (with homogeneity) of case-control studies 3b Case-Control Study 4 Case-series 5 Expert opinion without explicit critical appraisal, or based on physiology, bench research or "first principles" GRADE system: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development & Evaluation
  • 55. EBM - What is it? Clinical Expertise Research Patient Evidence Preferences
  • 56. EBM Method Ask clinical questions Acquire the Appraise best evidence the evidence Apply evidence to patient care
  • 57. Ask Clinical Questions P I C O Patient/ Intervention/ Population Comparison Outcome Exposure does In patients with compared to decrease LUTS? treatment BPH surgery with alpha blocker
  • 58. Acquire the Best Evidence  Where do you find high-quality evidence? ◦ Textbook (print or online) ◦ Pre-appraised evidence  Best Evidence  Clinical Evidence (Therapy only)  Cochrane Collaboration (Therapy only)  UpToDate ◦ Medline or PubMed search: find and review articles
  • 59. Appraise the Evidence  Are the results valid?  What are the results?  Can we apply the results to our patient?
  • 60. Appraise the Evidence  Determine if evidence is unbiased or flawed ◦ Critically appraise articles yourself ◦ Used a source that appraises trials for you  Best Evidence  Clinical Evidence  Cochrane Library  UpToDate
  • 61. Apply the Evidence  Evidence must be applied to each individual patient ◦ Is your patient similar enough to those studied? ◦ Do benefits outweigh harms? ◦ Cost ◦ What are your patient’s values and preferences?
  • 62. Take Home Message  Research is like riding a bicycle ◦ It needs practice  Research needs planning ◦ If you fail to plan, you plan to fail  Not all of us need to do research ◦ But all of us should practice EBM

Notas do Editor

  1. P:The patient’s characteristics, including age, gender, and condition, plus other relevant clinical or medical history featuresI: What intervention are you considering evaluating or using? Describe the main intervention, exposure, test, or prognostic factor under consideration. In the case of treatment, this might be the standard of care or a placebo, or a “gold standard” diagnostic test. A Comparison is not always needed. Describe what is hoped to be achieved, measured or affected
  2. This is ur example.Say wat picot stands for.
  3. After formulating the question.. The search begins.
  4. Begins with: synthesized (campbell, aua/eau guidelines, e-medicine) + cochrane library – db of SR.. Under urology: subcateg (cancer, stones, incontinence) SR of all relevant articles pertaining to topic so back to ex. Urology: obstructive: prostate: different reviews for finasteride, tamsulosin, terazosin ttt for bphThen search databases ie BMJ EBM for relevant articles (case reports, cohorts, etc) which are peer-reviewed by a panel of clinical experts who rate the importance of each studyIf unsatisfactory results, fallback is larger database of journal articles (pubmed – over 5000 internation med journals)
  5. Descriptive studies give us a picture of what is happening in a population.Analytic studies attempt to establish a link btwn an exposure and an outcome.
  6. Descriptive shows incidence (# of new cases in time interval), prevalence (# of cases at point in time OR % as cases/population)Analytical observational: researcher measures the outcome Experimental: researcher manipulates outcome&lt;&gt; Evidence is stronger when studies can show relation btwn cause &amp; effect ( e as consequence of c)
  7. Surveys give a general outlook on a population ie questionnaire, Case reports or series (individual and collection of similar reports)
  8. Types of analytic observationalEach has an objective as we will see later
  9. (in direction of time: cross sec – same point in time, case cont – retrospective, cohort – prospective)
  10. Snapshot in time. Exposure &amp; outcome measured simultaneously. Impossible to distinguish which came first.
  11. Descriptive value shows prevalence. Also can establish association, but not cause &amp; effect.This is usually confirmed by longitudinal studies..
  12. Cohort is example of longitudinal study. This study Follows subjx over time to see who will develp outcome and who will not (incidence)&lt;&gt;(prospective or retro)Looksfwd in time exposure to outcome.. Or when data is already collected or exposure would be unethical (smoking) is done retro.
  13. Since cohort studies measure potential causes before the outcome has occurred.. Exposure precedes outcome. Cause is somewhat established. CFVIncidence is new cases that develop over time interval.RR is probability of developing outcome if exposed vs if not exposed
  14. Risk factor = exposureDisease = outcome&lt;&gt; To calc RR..RR =1 no diff RR &lt;1 = exposed group less likely to develop disease RR &gt;1 = exposed group more likely to develop
  15. CFV = all other factors that differ btwn groups (exp and nonexp) Ex. Asthma (exp)  lung cancer (outcome)…. Protects? Don’t think so. Asthmatics don’t smoke. Smoking is CFV.Selection = sample is not representative of the pop. (employed ppl better health than unemployed)Losing contactRecall = in retro, ppl more likely to remember certain events they believe to be risk factors
  16. Works backwards. Starts with outcome. Compares to control group w/o outcome. Then determines retro whether exposure prevalence is higher in cases than controls. So take for example pts w prostate cancer .. And lets say for example dietary factors in carcinogenesis.
  17. Simple = questionnaireIn rare cases, ie new variant CJD, limited cases present; and long latency time to develop disease; preferrable to work retrospectiveCase control studies gives researcher clues as to which factors are assoc w disease (predictor variable) OR = probability of even happening vs not happening (odds of exposed group developing outcome vs odds of non exposed gp developing outcome)1 = no diff. btwnppl in group w event and group w/o event
  18. Gold stand. = in establishing causal effects in studies of therapyRandomly assigning subjx to groups prevents selection biasPrevents CFV by a randomised controlled trial (RCT)—the investigator experiments with the effect of the exposure by assigning exposure to a random sample of the study subjects.the randomisation process allows the investigator to assume that not only known, but also unknown, potential confounders are distributed evenly among the exposed and the unexposed. Therefore, they are not associated with the exposure, hence they cannot be confounders.
  19. Several ways rcts guard against biasRndm: to balance btwn known &amp; unknown factorsSimple = coin toss Urn= drawing balls Blinding:pts or researcher: pts AND researcher: subjct, researcher, person treating
  20. One of most important safeguards is choosing sample size necessary to detect clinically significant data.
  21. Optimal size is calc by comp. balance btwn type I and II errors. Sample size shud be so that Max prob of making type 1; 5% or less. Max false negative; 20% or lessImp bc more subjx r needed to lower error rate of type II. Inadequate sample size can show no diff. when in fact there is.&lt;&gt;Relates to (Pvalue) Prob H0 is rejected. 1/20 or less = statistically significant = 1/20 that difference is dt chance thus rejecting null hypothesis H0 (no diff)
  22. 95% level corresponds to hypothesis testing with p-values less than 0.05Means that 95% of time we expect true value to be between upper &amp; lower confidence limitsEx. If the value is mean age of first birth in women w bleeding disorders; CI = 25.5 and 28.4; there4 we are 95% confident that the true mean age lies btwn 25.5 and 28.4
  23. Large trials can cost millions of dollars. Can take a long period to conduct. Also exposing pts to inferior ttt is thought to be unethical.Can not be generalized to broader community.. Usually dt strict selection criteria.
  24. Reviews all study designs, but focuses mostly on RCTs as they are gold standard, and give most unbiased outcome
  25. Quality…. And quantity.
  26. Uses hierarchy of evidence and grades them in levelsThis scheme was developed at the centre for EBM at oxford university and uses the GRADE system.For studies of therapy/prognosis/aetiology.. This is brief description.