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THE FLUCTUATIONS OF US
DOLLAR & ITS EFFECTS
TOWARDS THE WORLD
ECONOMY


          NAME                    MATRIC NO.

          LIM SHI YING (LEADER)   BG 0911 0373

          LEE KIT YI              BG 0911 0329

          LIM WOON SIN            BG 0911 0374

          SHALANI D/O NADARAJAH   BG 0911 0278

          TAI SIANG YING          BG 0911 0111

          TANG HWEE PING          BG 0911 0093
INTRODUCTION
                   significant dominant currency


                  roughly two thirds of all official
 US DOLLAR             exchange reserves


               denominated in more than four-fifths of all
                   foreign exchange transactions



                    lead the purchasing power of US
                               consumers

                       Mid -2009 , began to turn
                             down again
OBJECTIVES

   To investigate the factors that influence the US
    dollar.

   To determine the impact of the US dollar fluctuation
    towards the world economy, and the countries that
    have been affected the most.

   To evaluate the policy that has been implementing
    to the fluctuations of US dollar.
FACTORS INFLUENCE U.S. DOLLAR

   Trade deficits
    downward pressure dollar value

   Housing bubble
    speculation in house value

   Size and liquidity of U.S asset markets
    the foreign central bank increase foreign reserves

   Interest rate
    Treasuries declines, the investment is less attractive
CONTINUED…
   Currency peg
    weaker currency would peg itself

   Market psychology
    expected the future path of dollar

   Inflation
     purchasing power of currency

   Gold fundamentals
     dollar decrease, gold increase.
THE EFFECT OF US DOLLAR FLUCTUATIONS
TOWARDS THE WORLD ECONOMY


 Gradually depreciation
   - rebalancing of the US current account deficit
  - strengthen domestic demand
 - broaden world economies

 Sharpen depreciation

 - Weak domestic demand
  - decline in export
CONTINUED…
- lower growth in the countries who rely on export to
  US.
- Lead to rising inflation

 Dollar appreciated

 - increase the purchasing power
  - increase import demand, stimulate exporter
  countries economy growth.
THE COUNTRIES HAVE BEEN
AFFECTED THE MOST

   The Economy of the Middle East

   The economic conditions in the United States

   The impact exchange rate is seen on oil demand and
    supply.

   Japan and China.
CONTINUED….

   affects the output of the East Asian economies in
    both trade and foreign direct investment.

   Affects India’s economy.

   The value of total U.S trade with Africa had
    increased.
POLICY TO RESPONSE

   1) Government direct intervention in the Foreign
    Exchange

- Treasury buying or selling foreign exchange



   2) Monetary policy

- changes of interest rates
CONTINUED….

   3) Fiscal policy & Federal debt

    - Government’s spending and taxing

   4) Lower foreign trade barriers

    -boost the demand for U.S. goods and services
CONCLUSION

   depreciation of U.S dollar value has great
    influences

   World economic effect

   Policy response

   Eurodollar

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Novak Djokovic ( P Slide)

  • 1. THE FLUCTUATIONS OF US DOLLAR & ITS EFFECTS TOWARDS THE WORLD ECONOMY NAME MATRIC NO. LIM SHI YING (LEADER) BG 0911 0373 LEE KIT YI BG 0911 0329 LIM WOON SIN BG 0911 0374 SHALANI D/O NADARAJAH BG 0911 0278 TAI SIANG YING BG 0911 0111 TANG HWEE PING BG 0911 0093
  • 2. INTRODUCTION significant dominant currency roughly two thirds of all official US DOLLAR exchange reserves denominated in more than four-fifths of all foreign exchange transactions lead the purchasing power of US consumers Mid -2009 , began to turn down again
  • 3. OBJECTIVES  To investigate the factors that influence the US dollar.  To determine the impact of the US dollar fluctuation towards the world economy, and the countries that have been affected the most.  To evaluate the policy that has been implementing to the fluctuations of US dollar.
  • 4. FACTORS INFLUENCE U.S. DOLLAR  Trade deficits downward pressure dollar value  Housing bubble speculation in house value  Size and liquidity of U.S asset markets the foreign central bank increase foreign reserves  Interest rate Treasuries declines, the investment is less attractive
  • 5. CONTINUED…  Currency peg weaker currency would peg itself  Market psychology expected the future path of dollar  Inflation purchasing power of currency  Gold fundamentals dollar decrease, gold increase.
  • 6. THE EFFECT OF US DOLLAR FLUCTUATIONS TOWARDS THE WORLD ECONOMY  Gradually depreciation - rebalancing of the US current account deficit - strengthen domestic demand  - broaden world economies  Sharpen depreciation  - Weak domestic demand - decline in export
  • 7. CONTINUED… - lower growth in the countries who rely on export to US. - Lead to rising inflation  Dollar appreciated  - increase the purchasing power - increase import demand, stimulate exporter countries economy growth.
  • 8. THE COUNTRIES HAVE BEEN AFFECTED THE MOST  The Economy of the Middle East  The economic conditions in the United States  The impact exchange rate is seen on oil demand and supply.  Japan and China.
  • 9. CONTINUED….  affects the output of the East Asian economies in both trade and foreign direct investment.  Affects India’s economy.  The value of total U.S trade with Africa had increased.
  • 10. POLICY TO RESPONSE  1) Government direct intervention in the Foreign Exchange - Treasury buying or selling foreign exchange  2) Monetary policy - changes of interest rates
  • 11. CONTINUED….  3) Fiscal policy & Federal debt - Government’s spending and taxing  4) Lower foreign trade barriers -boost the demand for U.S. goods and services
  • 12. CONCLUSION  depreciation of U.S dollar value has great influences  World economic effect  Policy response  Eurodollar