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Solar Works for Minnesota
  An Affordable, Job-Creating, 10% Clean Local Solar Energy Standard




                                                                    Presentation by John Farrell
Version 3                                                 ILSR’s Director of Democratic Energy
February 14, 2013                                                                jfarrell@ilsr.org
What 10% Solar Means

•Creating over 8,000 good jobs in the state’s solar
 industry, including 1,300 manufacturing jobs

•Getting over 2% of our electricity from solar by 2022
 and 10% by 2030

•Putting solar on as many as 50,000 Minnesota rooftops,
 from residential to small businesses to big businesses

•Millions of dollars in energy savings and billions of
 dollars in economic activity
Results: Solar Energy for Minnesota

6,000
                                                                 10%
           megawatts



4,500




3,000
                                   2.5%
                               of electricity
1,500




   0
    2014    2016       2018   2020   2022   2024   2026   2028   2030
Results: Solar Jobs for Minnesota

7,000
                                                                   10%
           installation                                  Installation     6,500
           operations
           manufacturing
           megawatts
5,250




3,500                             2.5%

1,750
                                                          Operations 1,300
                                                       Manufacturing 1,300


   0
    2014   2016     2018   2020   2022   2024   2026      2028          2030
How it Works

• Solar requirement: Like the Renewable
  Energy Standard (RES), utilities must
  buy sufficient solar to meet target.


• Broad participation: Utility must meet             Sample Distribution of Solar Projects
  target by purchasing solar from
  projects of various sizes.                                                              400
                                         Residential            2.5%

                                                                                      250
                                     Small Commercial                       12.5%

                                                                          100
                                       Med. Commercial                                25%

                                                                     56
                                    Large Commercial                                         35%

                                                                20
                                            Utility Scale
                       # of projects                                                  25%
                       % of capacity
                                                            0         100
                                                                      0.1       200
                                                                                0.2    300
                                                                                       0.3    400
                                                                                              0.4
How it’s Financed
                                        Sample Solar Price for Commercial Solar (100-300 kW)
                                        20¢
• Utility calculates a buy-all “value
  of solar” price they will pay for
  solar electricity based on its value                        Incentive sunsets
  to their grid system.                15¢


• A production-based incentive
  layers on top of the value of solar   10¢
  price to make solar projects
  financeable.
                                         5¢
• The incentive is calculated
  based on the solar array size.
                                         0¢
                                              2014   2017   2020   2023    2026    2029
• The value of solar price and
  incentive are paid on a 20-year,                             Declining incentive
  standard contract.                                           Utility value of solar
What’s the Benefit?                       What’s the Cost?

• 6,600 jobs (over 1,300 in              • Up to $37 million per year in solar
  manufacturing)                           incentives (~$1 per month per
                                           residential electricity customer)
• 50,000 rooftops with local solar
  power


• Millions of dollars in electricity
  savings for Minnesota homes and
  businesses


• $7 billion in economic activity
                                         •




               Every $1 in incentives buys $10 in economic output
How Strong is Support for Solar Power?
                               Support for using more solar power



  Democrats                                                                                   99%


Independents                                                                83%


 Republicans                                                        76%

               0%             25%              50%                         75%                         100%


                    Support             Undecided                            Oppose
                                          Poll conducted January 2012 by Minnesota Environmental Partnership and RE AMP
How Strong is Support for Solar Power?
                    Willingness to pay at least $2 per month for more solar power



  Democrats                                                                                    97%


Independents                                                                      86%


 Republicans                                                                          89%

               0%             25%                 50%                         75%                         100%


                     $2 per month or more                       Less/Don’t Know
                                             Poll conducted January 2012 by Minnesota Environmental Partnership and RE AMP
Comparison: Who’s Setting the Solar Pace?

10%
                                                                                 10%
           Minnesota
      NM   other state standards
8%



6%

                                                         AZ


4%                                  NM

                                                                   DE

                    NJ              CO



2%                                  MD

                                                        NV    IL




0%
  2014       2016        2018      2020   2022   2024              2026   2028   2030
Comparison: Who’s Using Buy-All, Sell-All?




                                          Buy All Programs
                                           Statewide
                                           1 or more local/
                *distributed generation    regional programs

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Solar Works for Minnesota

  • 1. Solar Works for Minnesota An Affordable, Job-Creating, 10% Clean Local Solar Energy Standard Presentation by John Farrell Version 3 ILSR’s Director of Democratic Energy February 14, 2013 jfarrell@ilsr.org
  • 2. What 10% Solar Means •Creating over 8,000 good jobs in the state’s solar industry, including 1,300 manufacturing jobs •Getting over 2% of our electricity from solar by 2022 and 10% by 2030 •Putting solar on as many as 50,000 Minnesota rooftops, from residential to small businesses to big businesses •Millions of dollars in energy savings and billions of dollars in economic activity
  • 3. Results: Solar Energy for Minnesota 6,000 10% megawatts 4,500 3,000 2.5% of electricity 1,500 0 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
  • 4. Results: Solar Jobs for Minnesota 7,000 10% installation Installation 6,500 operations manufacturing megawatts 5,250 3,500 2.5% 1,750 Operations 1,300 Manufacturing 1,300 0 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
  • 5. How it Works • Solar requirement: Like the Renewable Energy Standard (RES), utilities must buy sufficient solar to meet target. • Broad participation: Utility must meet Sample Distribution of Solar Projects target by purchasing solar from projects of various sizes. 400 Residential 2.5% 250 Small Commercial 12.5% 100 Med. Commercial 25% 56 Large Commercial 35% 20 Utility Scale # of projects 25% % of capacity 0 100 0.1 200 0.2 300 0.3 400 0.4
  • 6. How it’s Financed Sample Solar Price for Commercial Solar (100-300 kW) 20¢ • Utility calculates a buy-all “value of solar” price they will pay for solar electricity based on its value Incentive sunsets to their grid system. 15¢ • A production-based incentive layers on top of the value of solar 10¢ price to make solar projects financeable. 5¢ • The incentive is calculated based on the solar array size. 0¢ 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 • The value of solar price and incentive are paid on a 20-year, Declining incentive standard contract. Utility value of solar
  • 7. What’s the Benefit? What’s the Cost? • 6,600 jobs (over 1,300 in • Up to $37 million per year in solar manufacturing) incentives (~$1 per month per residential electricity customer) • 50,000 rooftops with local solar power • Millions of dollars in electricity savings for Minnesota homes and businesses • $7 billion in economic activity • Every $1 in incentives buys $10 in economic output
  • 8. How Strong is Support for Solar Power? Support for using more solar power Democrats 99% Independents 83% Republicans 76% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Support Undecided Oppose Poll conducted January 2012 by Minnesota Environmental Partnership and RE AMP
  • 9. How Strong is Support for Solar Power? Willingness to pay at least $2 per month for more solar power Democrats 97% Independents 86% Republicans 89% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% $2 per month or more Less/Don’t Know Poll conducted January 2012 by Minnesota Environmental Partnership and RE AMP
  • 10. Comparison: Who’s Setting the Solar Pace? 10% 10% Minnesota NM other state standards 8% 6% AZ 4% NM DE NJ CO 2% MD NV IL 0% 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
  • 11. Comparison: Who’s Using Buy-All, Sell-All? Buy All Programs Statewide 1 or more local/ *distributed generation regional programs