Brazil is now a country divided between PT (Worker Party) and anti PT which resulted in the last presidential elections. Based on the results of the presidential elections in his first round, it appears that supporters of PT represent 41.59% (voters Dilma Rousseff). The difference (58.41%) represents the position of the PT opponents who do not accept the policy put in place by this party and its leaders in the conduct of the nation's destiny. This dissatisfaction was manifested in the first round of presidential elections and also happened radicalized form of the demonstrations of June 2013 throughout the country resulting from the mismanagement of the economy by the Dilma Rousseff government and systemic corruption that pervades public administration in Brazil. The existence of a divided and radicalized country that registers nowadays it will become a task difficult to perform by Rousseff to rule Brazil if she wins elections. Aécio Neves is the alternative anti PT to climb the power in the second round of presidential elections. If Aécio Neves win the presidential elections in the second round and not try to unite the nation around a common project of national development also fail because the country will remain divided and of difficult governance.

1. BRAZIL: FUTURE SCENARIOS OF A DIVIDED AND RADICALIZED
COUNTRY
Fernando Alcoforado *
Brazil is now a country divided between PT (Worker Party) and anti PT which resulted
in the last presidential elections. Based on the results of the presidential elections in his
first round, it appears that supporters of PT represent 41.59% (voters Dilma Rousseff).
The difference (58.41%) represents the position of the PT opponents who do not accept
the policy put in place by this party and its leaders in the conduct of the nation's destiny.
This dissatisfaction was manifested in the first round of presidential elections and also
happened radicalized form of the demonstrations of June 2013 throughout the country
resulting from the mismanagement of the economy by the Dilma Rousseff government
and systemic corruption that pervades public administration in Brazil.
The existence of a divided and radicalized country that registers nowadays it will
become a task difficult to perform by Rousseff to rule Brazil if she wins elections. The
permanence of the PT in power with the victory of Dilma Rousseff in the second round
of elections may constitute institutional political instability factor because without the
support of the majority of the nation would lose her condition to govern the nation.
Dilma Rousseff would be a copy of Nicolas Maduro, president of Venezuela, facing
serious problems of governance in their deeply divided country. The legitimacy of a
ruler only materializes in practice when he has the active support of the majority of the
nation. The serious problems faced by the nation at the present time are demanding a
ruler who has the ability to unite the nation around a common project. Besides
demonstrating incompetence in the management of the national economy, the PT and
Rousseff not gather more political conditions for the country to unite around a common
project of national development.
Aécio Neves is the alternative anti PT to climb the power in the second round of
presidential elections. If Aécio Neves win the presidential elections in the second round
and not try to unite the nation around a common project of national development also
fail because the country will remain divided and of difficult governance. To Aécio
Neves clump to the nation around a common project of national development he should
bury the neoliberal model that is bringing unhappiness to Brazilian nation since the
Fernando Henrique Cardoso administration that has run out on government Rousseff
and to develop a strategic plan for Brazil with the participation of representatives of the
productive sectors, states, municipalities and civil society. We must not forget that
Aécio Neves in power will face the angry opposition of the PT and its allies. One way
to counteract this angry opposition is articulating its government with representatives of
the productive sectors, states, municipalities and civil society.
The success of the assemblage of the nation around a common project of national
development also depends on the effort that the future ruler aiming to make the
administrative decentralization of the federal government through the creation of
regional structures that allow integration of the actions of federal, state and municipal
governments in promoting the development of each region of Brazil. We must consider
that the decentralization of the administrative machinery of the government is one of the
preconditions for economic decentralization of Brazil. To promote the economic
development of Brazil should be adopted in each region the model of endogenous
development that emphasizes the need for each regional society lead and drive their
own regional development, conditioning the mobilization of productive factors
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2. available in its area and its endogenous potential with the support of the federal
government, state and local governments and with the effective participation of the
private sector and organized civil society.
Aécio Neves fail as anti PT alternative government if remains the failed neoliberal
model and not try to unite the nation around a common national development project
proposed in the above terms. Do not just defeat Dilma Rousseff in the second round of
presidential elections. Government legitimacy of Aécio Neves will only be achieved if
they replace the failed neoliberal model of development by focusing on the domestic
market which is absolutely necessary because Brazil cannot remain dependent on Brazil
export revenues, especially from China that is experiencing a slowdown in its growth
and the world economy is in recession toward depression. The expansion of the internal
market depends, however, the increase in public and private investments aimed at
promoting economic growth.
To increase public investment, the government needs to renegotiate with its creditors
repayment of domestic debt lengthening it for a certain period of time and on the other
hand, make its current expenses are reduced drastically as, for example, reducing the
number of ministries and commissioned positions occupied by supporters of the current
government, to dispose of public funds to invest, especially in poor economic
infrastructure (energy, transport and communications) and social (education, health,
housing and sanitation). To increase private investment, the future government needs to
adopt a policy of low interest rates and dramatically reduce the tax burden.
A government that does not propose to restructure the national economy as described
above will be doomed to failure. The same scenario of ungovernability with the re-election
of Dilma Rousseff also would reproduce with Aécio Neves government that
decides maintain the "status quo" and do not take the initiative to liaise with
representatives of the productive sectors, states, municipalities and Civil Society in the
search for solutions to national problems. Maintaining the "status quo" would put the
future government Aécio Neves in mass grave of discredit towards the nation.
Aécio Neves need to understand that the Brazilian nation is waiting for a government
that is the antithesis of the authoritarian Dilma Rousseff government that never spoke
with the society aiming to build a common national development project. The nation is
waiting for a leader who has the stature of a statesman as was Vargas who promoted the
construction of modern Brazil with the industrialization process after the global
economic crisis of 1929 and the Revolution of 1930 A serious crisis currently
experienced by Brazil is demanding a true statesman at the helm of the nation that
restructures the national life on a new basis. The restructuring of national life should not
be restricted only to the field of economics. The spread of crime in Brazilian society and
the systemic corruption in the state apparatus is demanding a ruler who is capable of
performing this task with the firm support of the majority of the nation.
* Fernando Alcoforado , member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor of Territorial
Planning and Regional Development from the University of Barcelona, a university professor and
consultant in strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is
the author of Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova
(Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São
Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado.
Universidade de Barcelona, http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e
Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX
e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of
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3. the Economic and Social Development-The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Muller
Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe
Planetária (P&A Gráfica e Editora, Salvador, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e
combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011)
and Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012),
among others.
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