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                                                    Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                             Received: March 28, 2006
                                                                                                                          Accepted after revision: July 21, 2006
                                                    DOI: 10.1159/000096306
                                                                                                                          Published online: November 24, 2006




Low Prevalence of Anti-Hepatitis C Virus
Antibodies in Mexico: A Systematic Review
Erwin Chiquete Arturo Panduro
Department of Molecular Biology in Medicine, Hospital Civil de Guadalajara ‘Fray Antonio Alcalde’, and
Department of Physiology, Centro Universitario de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Guadalajara,
Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico




Key Words                                                                  blood transfusion. Confirmation of specific anti-HCV anti-
Anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico, prevalence HCV infection,                   bodies by recombinant immunoblot assay ranged from 30
epidemiology Hepatitis C, Mexico Liver disease                             to 100%, whereas confirmation of viremia by PCR ranged
Prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies                                          from 16 to 80%. In 3 studies on HCV genotype frequency,
                                                                           genotype 1 had crude prevalence ranging from 63 to 70%,
                                                                           subtype 1b being the most prevalent (21–47%). Conclu-
Abstract                                                                   sions: The prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico
Background: The prevalence of reactive tests to anti-hepa-                 might be lower than previously estimated. Transfusion of
titis C virus (HCV) antibodies in Mexico is unknown, though                blood products is the main risk factor. HCV subtype 1b is the
estimated to be 1%. There is no single nation-wide study or                most prevalent among persons with confirmed viremia. In-
comprehensive literature review addressing the epidemiol-                  formation of a nation-wide survey is mandatory.
ogy of HCV infection in Mexico. Methods: We did a system-                                                                 Copyright © 2007 S. Karger AG, Basel
atic review of English- and Spanish-language literature
reporting on the frequency of anti-HCV antibodies in as-
ymptomatic persons at low risk, of studies performed                            Introduction
in Mexico. An exhaustive search in MEDLINE, IMBIOMED,
MedicLatina, ARTEMISA and MEDIGRAPHIC databases was                           The prevalence and risk factors for hepatitis C virus
undertaken. Weighted mean prevalence (WMP) was calcu-                      (HCV) infection vary widely by geographic region [1]. In
lated after combining the results of each study. Results: 22               countries in which the abuse of illicit intravenous drugs
studies involving 825,377 persons at low risk, mainly blood                is not frequent, the recipients of transfusion before the
donors, were identified. Crude seroprevalence reported in                  systematic screening for HCV in blood banks represent
each study ranged from 0.1 to 2%, with 16 (73%) studies re-                the larger group of persons living with HCV infection
porting below 1%. Overall, WMP of anti-HCV antibodies                      [1–4]. In Mexican blood banks, non-remunerated blood
(tested by enzyme immunoassay) was 0.37% (95% CI, 0.36–                    donation and screening of potential donors by using a
0.38%), differing by country region and immunoassay gen-                   structured questionnaire of risk factors and anti-HCV
eration (p ! 0.01). The most frequent risk factor reported was             testing have been practiced by law since 1993 [5]. In this


                          © 2007 S. Karger AG, Basel                       Dr. Arturo Panduro, Servicio de Biología Molecular en Medicina
                          0300–5526/07/0501–0001$23.50/0                   Hospital Civil de Guadalajara ‘Fray Antonio Alcalde’, Hospital 278, Colonia El Retiro
Fax +41 61 306 12 34                                                       Guadalajara Jalisco 44280 (Mexico)
E-Mail karger@karger.ch   Accessible online at:                            Fax +52 3614 7743
www.karger.com            www.karger.com/int                               E-Mail apanduro@prodigy.net.mx or biomomed@cencar.udg.mx
country the current prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies                   reporting the following data: country region and group of risk
has been estimated to be about 1% [6]. However, this                    studied (the address of the investigators was not used as surrogate
                                                                        of the country region), total number of persons, number of sero-
rough estimate on seroprevalence derives mainly from a                  reactive cases and laboratory methods used. We took measures to
few prior studies on blood donors. Furthermore, even                    detect overlapping reports on the same study population or its
when these and new reports appeared in indexed journals                 fraction (e.g. serial cumulative reports in blood banks). These
since 1994, they have not been included explicitly in re-               measures included analysis of the study period, sample size and
cent international reviews regarding the epidemiology of                centers where studies were performed.
HCV infection around the world [1, 7].                                     Data Extraction
   We conducted a systematic review on the prevalence                      After the assessment for eligibility, the following data were
of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico and focused on stud-                   extracted: year of publication, total number of persons studied,
ies using enzyme immunoassay tests and reporting on                     number of persons with reactivity to anti-HCV antibodies, im-
asymptomatic people at low risk. The present study is the               munoassay method, region of the country where the sampling
                                                                        was undertaken, population type in terms of risk for HCV infec-
first to use a systematic review and meta-analysis meth-                tion and, when reported, independent risk factors for the infec-
odology to estimate the seroprevalence of anti-HCV an-                  tion. HCV genotype frequency was extracted from the studies
tibodies in Mexico.                                                     reporting on 150 persons with detectable HCV RNA in serum.

                                                                            Data Synthesis
                                                                            Since not all studies included complete demographic data, it
    Methods                                                             was not possible to obtain information regarding age, gender and
                                                                        economical status; therefore, these variables were not summa-
    Operational Definitions                                             rized. The main research objective of this systematic review was
    In the following, persons at low risk for HCV infection are         ‘prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies’. From the data of primary
considered those who lack the following antecedents: use of il-         studies we calculated the 95% confidence intervals (CI) for crude
licit intravenous drugs, symptoms or laboratory evidence of liver       seroprevalence of each report. We did different estimates on over-
dysfunction, multiple transfusions, hemodialysis, hemophilia,           all seroprevalence in Mexico. The pooled prevalence (PP) was cal-
imprisonment, and healthcare personnel or a remunerated blood           culated as follows: PP = ni/N, where ni = number of seroreactive
donor [5].                                                              cases in each study, and N = total number of persons assessed. The
                                                                        mean prevalence (MP) was estimated with the formula: MP =
    Literature Search and Identification of Studies                       prev i/S, where prev i = prevalence in each study, and S = number
    To identify English- or Spanish-language studies published          of studies. We also calculated the weighted mean prevalence
between January 1993 and October 2005 reporting on the preva-           (WMP) in order to restrict the bias that may impose the hetero-
lence of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico, we first performed a            geneous nature of the reports. WMP was calculated as follows [8]:
computer-aided search of national and international databases.          WMP = ( i prev i)/ i, where i = 1/[prev i (1 – prev i)/Ni]. Here,
The databases searched were MEDLINE, IMBIOMED, MedicLa-                 WMP is regarded as the most accurate method to estimate preva-
tina, ARTEMISA and MEDIGRAPHIC. In MEDLINE, the fol-                    lence of anti-HCV after considering several reports. This method
lowing English text words were used as search terms: ‘Hepatitis         has proven to be reliable when combining a number of studies
[and] Mexico’, ‘Hepatitis [and] Mexican population’, ‘HCV [and]         with inherent heterogeneity in sample size and effects [8]. Overall
Mexico’ and ‘HCV [and] Mexican population’. In the databases of         seroprevalence was estimated according to generation of the im-
Mexican and Latin-American origin, the following Spanish text           munoassay method and state of the country. All estimates on se-
words were used as search terms: ‘Hepatitis’, ‘VHC’, ‘anti-VHC’,        roprevalence are expressed as proportions and the respective 95%
‘Hepatitis C’, ‘Prevalencia’ and ‘Banco de sangre’. Also, we did a      CI. 2 statistics were used to test differences in prevalence esti-
hand search of the references included in the articles retrieved by     mates between studies using second- or third-generation immu-
electronic search, in order to identify possible reports not initial-   noassay, and to test homogeneity among calculations for the dif-
ly obtained.                                                            ferent country states.

   Eligibility Criteria
   We included original contributions reporting on prevalence of
anti-HCV antibodies in different Mexican groups, using the stan-
dard screening test (i.e. second- or third-generation enzyme im-           Results
munoassays) [5]. Abstracts from conferences, syllabi of meetings
and personal communications were not eligible for the prevalence           By computer-aided and hand-search strategies we
analysis. Nevertheless, for the analysis on HCV genotypes we in-        identified 37 eligible studies. Two articles were excluded
cluded a multicenter study published in an internationally-edited       because the laboratory methods were not explicitly de-
book and another multicenter study reported as abstract and pre-
sented on platform in the Mexican Week of Gastroenterology, No-         clared. Three other studies were analyzed only for HCV
vember 2002. Articles from journals included or not in Index Me-        genotype frequency. Of the remaining 32 studies, 22 re-
dicus were considered eligible. We excluded articles not explicitly     ported on healthy people at low risk for HCV infection


2                       Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                              Chiquete/Panduro
Table 1. Studies reporting on the prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in asymptomatic persons at low risk

                        Year of        City (state)                      Population studied       Number         Seroprevalence     Ref.
                        publication                                                                              % (95% CI)

                        1994           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors              330           1.2 (0–2.4)         9
                        1994           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors            1,100           0.7 (0.2–1.2)      10
                        1994           Mexico City (D.F.)                Military blood donors   2,564           0.7 (0.4–1.0)      11
                        1994           Guadalajara (Jalisco)             Pregnant women            244             2 (0.3–3.7)      12
                        1995           Mexico City (D.F.)                Pregnant women          1,000           0.6 (0.1–1.1)      13
                        1996           Durango (Durango)                 Blood donors            5,915           1.5 (1.2–1.8)      14
                        1996           Mexico City (D.F.)                Healthy children          450           0.9 (0–1.8)        15
                        1996           Mexico City (D.F.)                Pregnant women          1,500           0.5 (0.1–0.9)      16
                        1996           Monterrey (Nuevo León)            Medical students          774           1.5 (0.6–2.4)      17
                        1997           Monterrey (Nuevo León)            Blood donors           78,566           0.5 (0.4–0.6)      18
                        1997           Morelia (Michoacán)               Blood donors            7,256           0.3 (0.2–0.4)      19
                        1999           Lagos de Moreno (Jalisco)         Blood donors            2,439           0.1 (0–0.2)        20
                        1999           La Barca (Jalisco)                Blood donors            1,465           0.3 (0–0.6)        20
                        1999           Guadalajara (Jalisco)             Blood donors            1,224           1.7 (1–2.4)        21
                        1999           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors            9,099           0.5 (0.4–0.6)      22
                        2001           León (Guanajuato)                 Blood donors           44,588           0.7 (0.6–0.8)      23
                        2002           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors           41,957           0.8 (0.7–0.9)      24
                        2003           Guadalajara (Jalisco)             Blood donors           57,108           0.8 (0.7–0.9)      25
                        2003           Irapuato (Guanajuato)             Blood donors            4,010           1.1 (0.8–1.4)      26
                        2004           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors            3,101           0.6 (0.4–0.8)      27
                        2004           Mexico City (D.F.)                Blood donors          511,115           0.3 (0.28–0.32)    28
                        2005           León (Guanajuato)                 Blood donors           49,272           0.7 (0.6–0.8)      29
                        2005           Mexico City (D.F.)1               Asymptomatic people       300             2 (0.4–3.6)      30
                                                                         in medical check-up

                            CI = Confidence interval; D.F. = Distrito Federal.
                            The serological method used to assess the presence of anti-HCV antibodies was a second-generation im-
                        munoassay until studies reported in 1997 (11 reports), after this year (from 1999 [18]), a third-generation assay
                        was used (11 reports). A study in 1999 [20] reports on two separate populations from the same state.
                            1 This study included 300 asymptomatic persons with two or more risk factors, however, since the most fre-

                        quent risk factors identified among positive cases were manicures or pedicures, as well as more than 3 sex part-
                        ners (all risk factors considered as ‘minor’, or with low evidence of causality), this study was included in the
                        estimate on seroprevalence among asymptomatic people at low risk.




(mostly blood donors, age 18–65 years) and 10 on people               2%, with 16 (73%) studies reporting seroprevalence be-
at high risk. Of the 22 studies involving people at low risk,         low 1%. Overall, PP was 0.46% (95% CI, 0.44–0.48%), MP
11 used a second-generation immunoassay and the other                 was 0.87% (95% CI, 0.85–0.89%) and WMP was 0.37%
11 a third-generation method. One of the studies on peo-              (95% CI, 0.36–0.38%). However, there were differences in
ple at low risk assessed blood donors attending blood                 seroprevalence estimates when comparing studies using
banks from two different cities of the same state. Another            second- or third-generation immunoassay (p ! 0.01 for
study also reported on deferred blood donors, who were                all prevalence estimates) (table 2). There was a consider-
considered at high risk for the purposes of this analysis.            able heterogeneity among WMP estimates for each state
                                                                      of the country (p = 0.006) (table 1, fig. 1).
   Prevalence of Anti-HCV Antibodies among People at
   Low Risk                                                              Risk Factors for HCV Infection
   The 22 studies on people at low risk involved 825,377                 Of the 22 studies reporting on people at low risk, we
persons from six states of the country (table 1). The crude           identified 5 (23%) in which independent risk factors for
seroprevalence reported in each study ranged from 0.1 to              HCV infection were described (table 3). The most fre-


Hepatitis C in Mexico                                                 Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                          3
Table 2. Estimates on prevalence of
anti-HCV antibodies according to              Immunoassay              Estimates
generation of the immunoassay method                                   pooled prevalence   mean prevalence    weighted mean prevalence
                                                                       % (95% CI)          % (95% CI)         % (95% CI)

                                              Second generation1       0.54 (0.53–0.55)    0.94 (0.88–1)      0.54 (0.50–0.58)
                                              Third generation2        0.45 (0.44–0.46)    0.80 (0.78–0.82)   0.36 (0.35–0.37)

                                                 CI = Confidence interval.
                                                  1
                                                   A total of 11 reports from 1994 to 1997 using a second-generation immunoassay
                                              were included involving 99,699 persons.
                                                 2 A total of 11 reports from 1999 to 2005 using a third-generation immunoassay were

                                              included involving 725,678 persons.




quent risk factor was blood transfusion (reported in 4 out
of 5 studies). In the study in which major surgeries arose
as the unique independent risk factor [9], the authors de-
clared that blood transfusion could not be discarded with
the study methodology applied.

   Prevalence of Anti-HCV Antibodies among Special
   Groups of Persons at High Risk
   We identified 10 studies reporting on special groups
of persons who are at supposed high risk for HCV infec-
tion (table 4). The crude prevalence reported in each
study ranged from 1 to 32%. Patients with liver cirrhosis
had the highest prevalence of anti-HCV (32%). Notewor-
thily, healthcare personnel did not have a different prev-
alence of anti-HCV antibodies from the population con-
sidered at low risk. Since the group of studies reporting
on persons at high risk was heterogeneous with respect to
the putative source of the infection and selection criteria
                                                                    Fig. 1. Weighted mean prevalence (and 95% confidence interval)
for entering in studies, combined estimates on prevalence           of anti-HCV antibodies determined by second- and third-genera-
for these subgroups were not performed.                             tion immunoassay methods combined, calculated for each state
                                                                    of Mexico for which data were available (six states). D.F. stands
   Confirmation of the Presence of Anti-HCV Antibodies              for ‘Distrito Federal’ (Federal District).
   and of HCV RNA in People at Low Risk
   There were 5 studies reporting on confirmation of the
presence of anti-HCV antibodies by recombinant immu-
noblot assay (RIBA) or the presence of HCV RNA by nu-                  HCV Genotypes
cleic acid amplification testing (NAT) in people at low                Our literature search yielded three reports on the fre-
risk. RIBA turned out positive in 30–100% of the serore-            quency of HCV genotypes in cohorts including 150 per-
active cases to screening test (3 studies, WMP = 36.3%;             sons. An early study from the West of Mexico reported
95% CI, 28.4–44.2%). The presence of viremia was ascer-             on 90 patients with detectable HCV RNA [40]. In this re-
tained in 16–80% of cases by NAT (4 studies,                        port the frequency of HCV genotypes was as follows:
WMP = 29.9%; 95% CI, 22.3–37.4%). Among persons                     1a = 42%; 1b = 21%; 2a/2c = 20%; 4 = 16%, and 3 = 1%.
with a positive RIBA test, viremia was ascertained in 50–           In a multicenter study [41] reporting on 162 blood donors
93% cases (2 studies, WMP = 91.5%; 95% CI, 83.3–                    with detectable HCV RNA the genotype frequency was:
99.7%).                                                             1b = 47%; 1a = 17%; 2b = 15%; 2a/2c = 12%; 3a = 6%;


4                     Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                            Chiquete/Panduro
Table 3. Independent risk factors for
HCV infection in asymptomatic persons        Year of       City (state)              Population studied   Risk factors           Ref.
at low risk                                  publication

                                             1994          Mexico City (D.F.)        Blood donors         Major surgery           9
                                             1994          Guadalajara (Jalisco)     Pregnant women       Blood transfusion      12
                                             1996          Durango (Durango)         Blood donors         Blood transfusion      14
                                                                                                          Sexual promiscuity
                                             2002          Mexico City (D.F.)        Blood donors         Nasal cocaine use      24
                                                                                                          Dental procedures
                                                                                                          Sexual promiscuity
                                                                                                          Blood transfusion
                                                                                                          Household contact
                                             2005          León (Guanajuato)         Blood donors         Blood transfusion      29
                                                                                                          Alcoholism
                                                                                                          Sexual promiscuity
                                                                                                          Hospitalizations

                                                 D.F. = Distrito Federal.
                                                 Only studies reporting odds ratios are included in this table. The risk factors are
                                             ranked in order of their contribution to predict anti-HCV seroreactivity, from the high-
                                             est to the lowest odds ratios.




Table 4. Studies reporting on seroprevalence of anti-HCV in persons considered at high risk

Year of     City (state)             Population studied                                         Number    Seroprevalence        Ref.
publication                                                                                               % (95% CI)

1994         Mexico City (D.F.)      Patients with elevated liver enzymes                         450     14.8 (11.5–18.1)      31
1995         Mexico City (D.F.)      Healthcare personnel                                         289      2.1 (0.4–3.7)        32
1997         Guadalajara (Jalisco)   Healthcare personnel                                          62      1.6 (1.57–1.63)      33
2000         Mexico City (D.F.)      Patients with chronic renal failure                          235     10.2 (6.3–14.1)       34
2000         Mexico City (D.F.)      Patients at emergency room                                   909      7.8 (6.1–9.5)        35
2001         Mexico City (D.F.)      Medical residents                                             89      1.1 (1.08–1.12)      36
2003         Mérida (Yucatán)        Patients with cirrhosis                                      153      32 (24.6–39.4)       37
2004         Mexico City (D.F.)      Patients with chronic renal failure                          149      6.7 (2.7–10.7)       38
2004         Mexico City (D.F.)      Deferred blood donors according to medical history         1,057      1.3 (0.62–1.98)      27
2005         Durango (Durango)       Prison inmates                                               181      10 (5.6–14.4)        39

   CI = Confidence interval; D.F. = Distrito Federal.




1a/1b = 2%, and other not classified = 1%. In another                     Discussion
multicenter study [42] on 419 patients with detectable
HCV RNA, the frequency of HCV genotypes was the fol-                   There is no single nation-wide study that describes the
lowing: 1b = 41%; 1a = 18%; 2a/2c = 13%; 1a/1b = 11%;               epidemiology of HCV infection in Mexico. In a remedial
2b = 9%; 3a = 6%, and other genotypes (2a, 3b and 4) =              situation, but for exploratory purposes only, a systematic
2%. Thus, genotype 1 had crude prevalence ranging from              review offers the opportunity of gaining insight in this
63 to 70%, subtype 1b being the most frequent in the                important issue, as well as planning comprehensive col-
two multicenter studies.                                            laborative studies of a national scale. This strategy of


Hepatitis C in Mexico                                               Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                         5
combining evidence on the frequency of HCV infection          ropean countries [52], but different from that of the USA
has been used [43–46]and has provided very useful infor-      [52, 54], where subtype 1a is the most frequent. However,
mation. Similar analyses can be undertaken in develop-        in the first study on HCV genotype distribution (in the
ing countries in which a large nation-wide study is, at the   West of Mexico) our group found that genotype 1a was
present time, unaffordable.                                   the most frequent [40]. This could be explained at least in
    Our calculations on the prevalence of anti-HCV anti-      part with the analysis of migration patterns, since the
bodies in Mexico yielded lower numbers than previously        West of Mexico is one of the country regions with the
estimated [6, 7]. We found that the large majority of stud-   highest migration rates to the USA [48]. The reason of the
ies reported seroprevalence below 1%. These estimates on      differences in genotype distribution seen even in nearby
seroprevalence differed according to the laboratory meth-     countries is not clear; nevertheless, it might be due to dif-
od used. This may be due at least in part to inherent dif-    ferent routes of infection, time of acquisition and, as has
ferences in the immunoassay methodology, as second-           been suggested elsewhere [52], it may provide clues re-
generation immunoassay is less sensitive and specific         garding the historical origin of HCV.
than third-generation [47], but also to the fact that when       The information provided in this review should be
second-generation immunoassay was used, the smallest          taken with caution. Only 6 of the 32 states that conform
sample sizes were assessed. In these circumstances, we        to Mexico were analyzed. Other states may have data that
cannot definitively attribute the higher seroprevalence       have not reached publication. A special interest may be
observed before 1999 compared with that seen after this       focused on the states from the Southeast of Mexico, where
year to a decrease in the frequency of HCV infection.         prevalence of hepatitis B is higher than in the rest of the
Nonetheless, PP, MP and WMP for each immunoassay              country [55]. Also, the majority of persons included in
generation (or time period) were lower than 1–1.9%,           our analysis, mainly blood donors, might not be repre-
which is one of the previously attributed prevalences of      sentative of the general population.
HCV infection in Mexico [7]. Assuming an overall sero-           In summary, the prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies
prevalence of about 0.4% and since the total population       in Mexico might be lower than previously thought. This
size in Mexico is near 100 million [48], the number of        and other epidemiological issues can only be fully ad-
persons seroreactive to anti-HCV antibodies in screening      dressed in a large nation-wide survey using immunoas-
tests is supposed to be about 400,000. Furthermore, the       say and molecular methodology. Hence, multicenter col-
true prevalence of HCV-infected people could be even          laborative studies in Mexico are mandatory.
lower, since a major part of the persons at low risk who
resulted in being reactive to screening tests may be false
positives [49–50]. Thus, extrapolating the scarce data on        Acknowledgements
confirmation of anti-HCV by RIBA or HCV viremia by
                                                                  This work was supported by a grant from The National Coun-
NAT, there would be 144,000 persons with specific anti-
                                                              cil of Science and Technology, Mexico, to Dr. Arturo Panduro
HCV antibodies and about 199,600 persons with viremia,        (Salud 2004-C01-025, CONACyT). The authors thank Laura V.
respectively.                                                 Sánchez, PhD, for her kind attention and critical suggestions for
    As expected, in this analysis, transfusion of blood       this work.
products was found to be the main risk factor for HCV
infection. As the use of illicit intravenous drugs is very
infrequent in Mexico [51], a lower incidence of this infec-
tion can be expected in the future if the mode of trans-
mission remains unchanged. Hence, even when marijua-
na and cocaine inhalation are the preferred forms of tak-
ing drugs among Mexican drug addicts [51], the use of
illicit intravenous drugs should be prevented emphati-
cally.
    HCV genotype 1 appears to be the most prevalent in
Mexico, subtype 1b being the most common genetic vari-
ant, as reported in the two largest multicenter studies.
This distribution pattern of HCV genotypes is similar to
that seen in Japan [52], South America [53] and some Eu-


6                   Intervirology 2007;50:1–8                                       Chiquete/Panduro
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  • 1. Review Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 Received: March 28, 2006 Accepted after revision: July 21, 2006 DOI: 10.1159/000096306 Published online: November 24, 2006 Low Prevalence of Anti-Hepatitis C Virus Antibodies in Mexico: A Systematic Review Erwin Chiquete Arturo Panduro Department of Molecular Biology in Medicine, Hospital Civil de Guadalajara ‘Fray Antonio Alcalde’, and Department of Physiology, Centro Universitario de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico Key Words blood transfusion. Confirmation of specific anti-HCV anti- Anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico, prevalence HCV infection, bodies by recombinant immunoblot assay ranged from 30 epidemiology Hepatitis C, Mexico Liver disease to 100%, whereas confirmation of viremia by PCR ranged Prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies from 16 to 80%. In 3 studies on HCV genotype frequency, genotype 1 had crude prevalence ranging from 63 to 70%, subtype 1b being the most prevalent (21–47%). Conclu- Abstract sions: The prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico Background: The prevalence of reactive tests to anti-hepa- might be lower than previously estimated. Transfusion of titis C virus (HCV) antibodies in Mexico is unknown, though blood products is the main risk factor. HCV subtype 1b is the estimated to be 1%. There is no single nation-wide study or most prevalent among persons with confirmed viremia. In- comprehensive literature review addressing the epidemiol- formation of a nation-wide survey is mandatory. ogy of HCV infection in Mexico. Methods: We did a system- Copyright © 2007 S. Karger AG, Basel atic review of English- and Spanish-language literature reporting on the frequency of anti-HCV antibodies in as- ymptomatic persons at low risk, of studies performed Introduction in Mexico. An exhaustive search in MEDLINE, IMBIOMED, MedicLatina, ARTEMISA and MEDIGRAPHIC databases was The prevalence and risk factors for hepatitis C virus undertaken. Weighted mean prevalence (WMP) was calcu- (HCV) infection vary widely by geographic region [1]. In lated after combining the results of each study. Results: 22 countries in which the abuse of illicit intravenous drugs studies involving 825,377 persons at low risk, mainly blood is not frequent, the recipients of transfusion before the donors, were identified. Crude seroprevalence reported in systematic screening for HCV in blood banks represent each study ranged from 0.1 to 2%, with 16 (73%) studies re- the larger group of persons living with HCV infection porting below 1%. Overall, WMP of anti-HCV antibodies [1–4]. In Mexican blood banks, non-remunerated blood (tested by enzyme immunoassay) was 0.37% (95% CI, 0.36– donation and screening of potential donors by using a 0.38%), differing by country region and immunoassay gen- structured questionnaire of risk factors and anti-HCV eration (p ! 0.01). The most frequent risk factor reported was testing have been practiced by law since 1993 [5]. In this © 2007 S. Karger AG, Basel Dr. Arturo Panduro, Servicio de Biología Molecular en Medicina 0300–5526/07/0501–0001$23.50/0 Hospital Civil de Guadalajara ‘Fray Antonio Alcalde’, Hospital 278, Colonia El Retiro Fax +41 61 306 12 34 Guadalajara Jalisco 44280 (Mexico) E-Mail karger@karger.ch Accessible online at: Fax +52 3614 7743 www.karger.com www.karger.com/int E-Mail apanduro@prodigy.net.mx or biomomed@cencar.udg.mx
  • 2. country the current prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies reporting the following data: country region and group of risk has been estimated to be about 1% [6]. However, this studied (the address of the investigators was not used as surrogate of the country region), total number of persons, number of sero- rough estimate on seroprevalence derives mainly from a reactive cases and laboratory methods used. We took measures to few prior studies on blood donors. Furthermore, even detect overlapping reports on the same study population or its when these and new reports appeared in indexed journals fraction (e.g. serial cumulative reports in blood banks). These since 1994, they have not been included explicitly in re- measures included analysis of the study period, sample size and cent international reviews regarding the epidemiology of centers where studies were performed. HCV infection around the world [1, 7]. Data Extraction We conducted a systematic review on the prevalence After the assessment for eligibility, the following data were of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico and focused on stud- extracted: year of publication, total number of persons studied, ies using enzyme immunoassay tests and reporting on number of persons with reactivity to anti-HCV antibodies, im- asymptomatic people at low risk. The present study is the munoassay method, region of the country where the sampling was undertaken, population type in terms of risk for HCV infec- first to use a systematic review and meta-analysis meth- tion and, when reported, independent risk factors for the infec- odology to estimate the seroprevalence of anti-HCV an- tion. HCV genotype frequency was extracted from the studies tibodies in Mexico. reporting on 150 persons with detectable HCV RNA in serum. Data Synthesis Since not all studies included complete demographic data, it Methods was not possible to obtain information regarding age, gender and economical status; therefore, these variables were not summa- Operational Definitions rized. The main research objective of this systematic review was In the following, persons at low risk for HCV infection are ‘prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies’. From the data of primary considered those who lack the following antecedents: use of il- studies we calculated the 95% confidence intervals (CI) for crude licit intravenous drugs, symptoms or laboratory evidence of liver seroprevalence of each report. We did different estimates on over- dysfunction, multiple transfusions, hemodialysis, hemophilia, all seroprevalence in Mexico. The pooled prevalence (PP) was cal- imprisonment, and healthcare personnel or a remunerated blood culated as follows: PP = ni/N, where ni = number of seroreactive donor [5]. cases in each study, and N = total number of persons assessed. The mean prevalence (MP) was estimated with the formula: MP = Literature Search and Identification of Studies prev i/S, where prev i = prevalence in each study, and S = number To identify English- or Spanish-language studies published of studies. We also calculated the weighted mean prevalence between January 1993 and October 2005 reporting on the preva- (WMP) in order to restrict the bias that may impose the hetero- lence of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico, we first performed a geneous nature of the reports. WMP was calculated as follows [8]: computer-aided search of national and international databases. WMP = ( i prev i)/ i, where i = 1/[prev i (1 – prev i)/Ni]. Here, The databases searched were MEDLINE, IMBIOMED, MedicLa- WMP is regarded as the most accurate method to estimate preva- tina, ARTEMISA and MEDIGRAPHIC. In MEDLINE, the fol- lence of anti-HCV after considering several reports. This method lowing English text words were used as search terms: ‘Hepatitis has proven to be reliable when combining a number of studies [and] Mexico’, ‘Hepatitis [and] Mexican population’, ‘HCV [and] with inherent heterogeneity in sample size and effects [8]. Overall Mexico’ and ‘HCV [and] Mexican population’. In the databases of seroprevalence was estimated according to generation of the im- Mexican and Latin-American origin, the following Spanish text munoassay method and state of the country. All estimates on se- words were used as search terms: ‘Hepatitis’, ‘VHC’, ‘anti-VHC’, roprevalence are expressed as proportions and the respective 95% ‘Hepatitis C’, ‘Prevalencia’ and ‘Banco de sangre’. Also, we did a CI. 2 statistics were used to test differences in prevalence esti- hand search of the references included in the articles retrieved by mates between studies using second- or third-generation immu- electronic search, in order to identify possible reports not initial- noassay, and to test homogeneity among calculations for the dif- ly obtained. ferent country states. Eligibility Criteria We included original contributions reporting on prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in different Mexican groups, using the stan- dard screening test (i.e. second- or third-generation enzyme im- Results munoassays) [5]. Abstracts from conferences, syllabi of meetings and personal communications were not eligible for the prevalence By computer-aided and hand-search strategies we analysis. Nevertheless, for the analysis on HCV genotypes we in- identified 37 eligible studies. Two articles were excluded cluded a multicenter study published in an internationally-edited because the laboratory methods were not explicitly de- book and another multicenter study reported as abstract and pre- sented on platform in the Mexican Week of Gastroenterology, No- clared. Three other studies were analyzed only for HCV vember 2002. Articles from journals included or not in Index Me- genotype frequency. Of the remaining 32 studies, 22 re- dicus were considered eligible. We excluded articles not explicitly ported on healthy people at low risk for HCV infection 2 Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 Chiquete/Panduro
  • 3. Table 1. Studies reporting on the prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in asymptomatic persons at low risk Year of City (state) Population studied Number Seroprevalence Ref. publication % (95% CI) 1994 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 330 1.2 (0–2.4) 9 1994 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 1,100 0.7 (0.2–1.2) 10 1994 Mexico City (D.F.) Military blood donors 2,564 0.7 (0.4–1.0) 11 1994 Guadalajara (Jalisco) Pregnant women 244 2 (0.3–3.7) 12 1995 Mexico City (D.F.) Pregnant women 1,000 0.6 (0.1–1.1) 13 1996 Durango (Durango) Blood donors 5,915 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 14 1996 Mexico City (D.F.) Healthy children 450 0.9 (0–1.8) 15 1996 Mexico City (D.F.) Pregnant women 1,500 0.5 (0.1–0.9) 16 1996 Monterrey (Nuevo León) Medical students 774 1.5 (0.6–2.4) 17 1997 Monterrey (Nuevo León) Blood donors 78,566 0.5 (0.4–0.6) 18 1997 Morelia (Michoacán) Blood donors 7,256 0.3 (0.2–0.4) 19 1999 Lagos de Moreno (Jalisco) Blood donors 2,439 0.1 (0–0.2) 20 1999 La Barca (Jalisco) Blood donors 1,465 0.3 (0–0.6) 20 1999 Guadalajara (Jalisco) Blood donors 1,224 1.7 (1–2.4) 21 1999 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 9,099 0.5 (0.4–0.6) 22 2001 León (Guanajuato) Blood donors 44,588 0.7 (0.6–0.8) 23 2002 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 41,957 0.8 (0.7–0.9) 24 2003 Guadalajara (Jalisco) Blood donors 57,108 0.8 (0.7–0.9) 25 2003 Irapuato (Guanajuato) Blood donors 4,010 1.1 (0.8–1.4) 26 2004 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 3,101 0.6 (0.4–0.8) 27 2004 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors 511,115 0.3 (0.28–0.32) 28 2005 León (Guanajuato) Blood donors 49,272 0.7 (0.6–0.8) 29 2005 Mexico City (D.F.)1 Asymptomatic people 300 2 (0.4–3.6) 30 in medical check-up CI = Confidence interval; D.F. = Distrito Federal. The serological method used to assess the presence of anti-HCV antibodies was a second-generation im- munoassay until studies reported in 1997 (11 reports), after this year (from 1999 [18]), a third-generation assay was used (11 reports). A study in 1999 [20] reports on two separate populations from the same state. 1 This study included 300 asymptomatic persons with two or more risk factors, however, since the most fre- quent risk factors identified among positive cases were manicures or pedicures, as well as more than 3 sex part- ners (all risk factors considered as ‘minor’, or with low evidence of causality), this study was included in the estimate on seroprevalence among asymptomatic people at low risk. (mostly blood donors, age 18–65 years) and 10 on people 2%, with 16 (73%) studies reporting seroprevalence be- at high risk. Of the 22 studies involving people at low risk, low 1%. Overall, PP was 0.46% (95% CI, 0.44–0.48%), MP 11 used a second-generation immunoassay and the other was 0.87% (95% CI, 0.85–0.89%) and WMP was 0.37% 11 a third-generation method. One of the studies on peo- (95% CI, 0.36–0.38%). However, there were differences in ple at low risk assessed blood donors attending blood seroprevalence estimates when comparing studies using banks from two different cities of the same state. Another second- or third-generation immunoassay (p ! 0.01 for study also reported on deferred blood donors, who were all prevalence estimates) (table 2). There was a consider- considered at high risk for the purposes of this analysis. able heterogeneity among WMP estimates for each state of the country (p = 0.006) (table 1, fig. 1). Prevalence of Anti-HCV Antibodies among People at Low Risk Risk Factors for HCV Infection The 22 studies on people at low risk involved 825,377 Of the 22 studies reporting on people at low risk, we persons from six states of the country (table 1). The crude identified 5 (23%) in which independent risk factors for seroprevalence reported in each study ranged from 0.1 to HCV infection were described (table 3). The most fre- Hepatitis C in Mexico Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 3
  • 4. Table 2. Estimates on prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies according to Immunoassay Estimates generation of the immunoassay method pooled prevalence mean prevalence weighted mean prevalence % (95% CI) % (95% CI) % (95% CI) Second generation1 0.54 (0.53–0.55) 0.94 (0.88–1) 0.54 (0.50–0.58) Third generation2 0.45 (0.44–0.46) 0.80 (0.78–0.82) 0.36 (0.35–0.37) CI = Confidence interval. 1 A total of 11 reports from 1994 to 1997 using a second-generation immunoassay were included involving 99,699 persons. 2 A total of 11 reports from 1999 to 2005 using a third-generation immunoassay were included involving 725,678 persons. quent risk factor was blood transfusion (reported in 4 out of 5 studies). In the study in which major surgeries arose as the unique independent risk factor [9], the authors de- clared that blood transfusion could not be discarded with the study methodology applied. Prevalence of Anti-HCV Antibodies among Special Groups of Persons at High Risk We identified 10 studies reporting on special groups of persons who are at supposed high risk for HCV infec- tion (table 4). The crude prevalence reported in each study ranged from 1 to 32%. Patients with liver cirrhosis had the highest prevalence of anti-HCV (32%). Notewor- thily, healthcare personnel did not have a different prev- alence of anti-HCV antibodies from the population con- sidered at low risk. Since the group of studies reporting on persons at high risk was heterogeneous with respect to the putative source of the infection and selection criteria Fig. 1. Weighted mean prevalence (and 95% confidence interval) for entering in studies, combined estimates on prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies determined by second- and third-genera- for these subgroups were not performed. tion immunoassay methods combined, calculated for each state of Mexico for which data were available (six states). D.F. stands Confirmation of the Presence of Anti-HCV Antibodies for ‘Distrito Federal’ (Federal District). and of HCV RNA in People at Low Risk There were 5 studies reporting on confirmation of the presence of anti-HCV antibodies by recombinant immu- noblot assay (RIBA) or the presence of HCV RNA by nu- HCV Genotypes cleic acid amplification testing (NAT) in people at low Our literature search yielded three reports on the fre- risk. RIBA turned out positive in 30–100% of the serore- quency of HCV genotypes in cohorts including 150 per- active cases to screening test (3 studies, WMP = 36.3%; sons. An early study from the West of Mexico reported 95% CI, 28.4–44.2%). The presence of viremia was ascer- on 90 patients with detectable HCV RNA [40]. In this re- tained in 16–80% of cases by NAT (4 studies, port the frequency of HCV genotypes was as follows: WMP = 29.9%; 95% CI, 22.3–37.4%). Among persons 1a = 42%; 1b = 21%; 2a/2c = 20%; 4 = 16%, and 3 = 1%. with a positive RIBA test, viremia was ascertained in 50– In a multicenter study [41] reporting on 162 blood donors 93% cases (2 studies, WMP = 91.5%; 95% CI, 83.3– with detectable HCV RNA the genotype frequency was: 99.7%). 1b = 47%; 1a = 17%; 2b = 15%; 2a/2c = 12%; 3a = 6%; 4 Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 Chiquete/Panduro
  • 5. Table 3. Independent risk factors for HCV infection in asymptomatic persons Year of City (state) Population studied Risk factors Ref. at low risk publication 1994 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors Major surgery 9 1994 Guadalajara (Jalisco) Pregnant women Blood transfusion 12 1996 Durango (Durango) Blood donors Blood transfusion 14 Sexual promiscuity 2002 Mexico City (D.F.) Blood donors Nasal cocaine use 24 Dental procedures Sexual promiscuity Blood transfusion Household contact 2005 León (Guanajuato) Blood donors Blood transfusion 29 Alcoholism Sexual promiscuity Hospitalizations D.F. = Distrito Federal. Only studies reporting odds ratios are included in this table. The risk factors are ranked in order of their contribution to predict anti-HCV seroreactivity, from the high- est to the lowest odds ratios. Table 4. Studies reporting on seroprevalence of anti-HCV in persons considered at high risk Year of City (state) Population studied Number Seroprevalence Ref. publication % (95% CI) 1994 Mexico City (D.F.) Patients with elevated liver enzymes 450 14.8 (11.5–18.1) 31 1995 Mexico City (D.F.) Healthcare personnel 289 2.1 (0.4–3.7) 32 1997 Guadalajara (Jalisco) Healthcare personnel 62 1.6 (1.57–1.63) 33 2000 Mexico City (D.F.) Patients with chronic renal failure 235 10.2 (6.3–14.1) 34 2000 Mexico City (D.F.) Patients at emergency room 909 7.8 (6.1–9.5) 35 2001 Mexico City (D.F.) Medical residents 89 1.1 (1.08–1.12) 36 2003 Mérida (Yucatán) Patients with cirrhosis 153 32 (24.6–39.4) 37 2004 Mexico City (D.F.) Patients with chronic renal failure 149 6.7 (2.7–10.7) 38 2004 Mexico City (D.F.) Deferred blood donors according to medical history 1,057 1.3 (0.62–1.98) 27 2005 Durango (Durango) Prison inmates 181 10 (5.6–14.4) 39 CI = Confidence interval; D.F. = Distrito Federal. 1a/1b = 2%, and other not classified = 1%. In another Discussion multicenter study [42] on 419 patients with detectable HCV RNA, the frequency of HCV genotypes was the fol- There is no single nation-wide study that describes the lowing: 1b = 41%; 1a = 18%; 2a/2c = 13%; 1a/1b = 11%; epidemiology of HCV infection in Mexico. In a remedial 2b = 9%; 3a = 6%, and other genotypes (2a, 3b and 4) = situation, but for exploratory purposes only, a systematic 2%. Thus, genotype 1 had crude prevalence ranging from review offers the opportunity of gaining insight in this 63 to 70%, subtype 1b being the most frequent in the important issue, as well as planning comprehensive col- two multicenter studies. laborative studies of a national scale. This strategy of Hepatitis C in Mexico Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 5
  • 6. combining evidence on the frequency of HCV infection ropean countries [52], but different from that of the USA has been used [43–46]and has provided very useful infor- [52, 54], where subtype 1a is the most frequent. However, mation. Similar analyses can be undertaken in develop- in the first study on HCV genotype distribution (in the ing countries in which a large nation-wide study is, at the West of Mexico) our group found that genotype 1a was present time, unaffordable. the most frequent [40]. This could be explained at least in Our calculations on the prevalence of anti-HCV anti- part with the analysis of migration patterns, since the bodies in Mexico yielded lower numbers than previously West of Mexico is one of the country regions with the estimated [6, 7]. We found that the large majority of stud- highest migration rates to the USA [48]. The reason of the ies reported seroprevalence below 1%. These estimates on differences in genotype distribution seen even in nearby seroprevalence differed according to the laboratory meth- countries is not clear; nevertheless, it might be due to dif- od used. This may be due at least in part to inherent dif- ferent routes of infection, time of acquisition and, as has ferences in the immunoassay methodology, as second- been suggested elsewhere [52], it may provide clues re- generation immunoassay is less sensitive and specific garding the historical origin of HCV. than third-generation [47], but also to the fact that when The information provided in this review should be second-generation immunoassay was used, the smallest taken with caution. Only 6 of the 32 states that conform sample sizes were assessed. In these circumstances, we to Mexico were analyzed. Other states may have data that cannot definitively attribute the higher seroprevalence have not reached publication. A special interest may be observed before 1999 compared with that seen after this focused on the states from the Southeast of Mexico, where year to a decrease in the frequency of HCV infection. prevalence of hepatitis B is higher than in the rest of the Nonetheless, PP, MP and WMP for each immunoassay country [55]. Also, the majority of persons included in generation (or time period) were lower than 1–1.9%, our analysis, mainly blood donors, might not be repre- which is one of the previously attributed prevalences of sentative of the general population. HCV infection in Mexico [7]. Assuming an overall sero- In summary, the prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies prevalence of about 0.4% and since the total population in Mexico might be lower than previously thought. This size in Mexico is near 100 million [48], the number of and other epidemiological issues can only be fully ad- persons seroreactive to anti-HCV antibodies in screening dressed in a large nation-wide survey using immunoas- tests is supposed to be about 400,000. Furthermore, the say and molecular methodology. Hence, multicenter col- true prevalence of HCV-infected people could be even laborative studies in Mexico are mandatory. lower, since a major part of the persons at low risk who resulted in being reactive to screening tests may be false positives [49–50]. Thus, extrapolating the scarce data on Acknowledgements confirmation of anti-HCV by RIBA or HCV viremia by This work was supported by a grant from The National Coun- NAT, there would be 144,000 persons with specific anti- cil of Science and Technology, Mexico, to Dr. Arturo Panduro HCV antibodies and about 199,600 persons with viremia, (Salud 2004-C01-025, CONACyT). The authors thank Laura V. respectively. Sánchez, PhD, for her kind attention and critical suggestions for As expected, in this analysis, transfusion of blood this work. products was found to be the main risk factor for HCV infection. As the use of illicit intravenous drugs is very infrequent in Mexico [51], a lower incidence of this infec- tion can be expected in the future if the mode of trans- mission remains unchanged. Hence, even when marijua- na and cocaine inhalation are the preferred forms of tak- ing drugs among Mexican drug addicts [51], the use of illicit intravenous drugs should be prevented emphati- cally. HCV genotype 1 appears to be the most prevalent in Mexico, subtype 1b being the most common genetic vari- ant, as reported in the two largest multicenter studies. This distribution pattern of HCV genotypes is similar to that seen in Japan [52], South America [53] and some Eu- 6 Intervirology 2007;50:1–8 Chiquete/Panduro
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