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OUR WORLD IS AT SERIOUS RISK
NINE CHALLENGES OF THE
21ST
CENTURY THAT WILL
HAVE GLOBAL BENEFIT
WHEN WE MEET THEM
OUR WORLD IS AT SERIOUS RISK
YOURYOUR
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
DATA BASESDATA BASES
AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
•NATURAL HAZARDS
•INVENTORY
•VULNERABILITY
•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
GOAL: DISASTERGOAL: DISASTER
RESILIENCERESILIENCE
•PREPAREDNESS
•PROTECTION
•SCENARIOS
•EMERGENCY RESPONSE
•RECOVERY/RECONSTR.
POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
DISASTER RESILIENCE
PRE- AND POST-DISASTER
ASSESSMENTS
RENEWING INFRASTRUCTURE
PROTECTING CYBER SPACE
DISASTER RESILIENCE
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you make
people, buildings, and infrastructure
disaster resilient in communities that
are known to be at high risk from
floods, severe windstorms,
earthquakes, landslides, tsunamis,
volcanic eruptions, and wildfires?
PRE- AND POST-DISASTER
ASSESSMENTS
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you use
computer and information
technology to create realistic pre-
event disaster scenarios and post-
disaster assessments for use in
educational surges, recovery and
reconstruction, and policies?
RENEWING COMMUNITY
INFRASTRUCTURE
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
renew aging, increasingly
vulnerable community
infrastructure while
simultaneously maintaining
and/or improving the
environmental balance?
CYBER SPACE
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
protect the global information
infrastructure from identity
theft, viruses, and other threats
while sustaining a timely flow
of high-quality data?
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO
HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT
(SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND
FAILURE)
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION
AND PLAN
TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP
POOR DETAILING AND WEAK
CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
FRAGILITY OF NON-STRUCTURAL
ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF
INCOMING WAVES
TSUNAMISTSUNAMIS
INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE
RUNUP
VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE
RUNUP
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF
BUILDINGS
FLOODING
INADEQUATE HORIZONTAL
AND VERTICAL EVACUATION
PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF
TSUNAMI
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
LOSS OF FUNCTION OF
STRUCTURES IN FLOODPLAIN
FLOODSFLOODS
INUNDATION
INTERACTION WITH
HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
STRUCTURE & CONTENTS:
DAMAGE FROM WATER
WATER BORNE DISEASES
(HEALTH PROBLEMS)
EROSION AND MUDFLOWS
CONTAMINATION OF GROUND
WATER
CAUSES OF
RISK
CAUSES OF
RISK
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
WIND PENETRATING BUILDING
ENVELOPE
SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
SEVERE
WINDSTORMS
UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM
FLYING DEBRIS
STORM SURGE
IRREGULARITIES IN
ELEVATION AND PLAN
SITING PROBLEMS
FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
“DISASTER
LABORATORIES”
LATERAL BLAST
VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
VOLCANIC
ERUPTIONS
PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
FLYING DEBRIS
VOLCANIC ASH
LAVA FLOWS
LAHARS
TOXIC GASES
CAUSES OF
RISK
CAUSES OF
RISK
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
SITING AND BUILDING ON
UNSTABLE SLOPES
LANDSLIDESLANDSLIDES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO FALLS
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO TOPPLES
SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE
TO SPREADS
SOIL AND ROCK
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS
PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE
FAILURE SHAKING
GROUND SHAKING THAT
TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILDFIRESWILDFIRES
MANMADE FIRES
PROXIMITY OF URBAN AREA
TO WILDLANDS INTERFACE
WIND DIRECTION (DAY AND
NIGHT)
DRYNESS
HIGH TEMPERATURES
FUEL SUPPLY
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
PROLONGED LACK OF
PRECIPITATION
DROUGHTSDROUGHTS
LOSS OF SOIL MOSTURE
LOSS OF AGRICULTURAL
PRODUCTIVITY
DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF
GROUND WATER
LOSS OF VEGETATION
INSECT INFESTATION
LOSS OF LAND FROM
DESERTIFICATION
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
CAUSES OF
DAMAGE
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
HEALTHCARE
NEW MEDICINES
CLEAN WATER
TO BE ELABORATED
SEPARATELY
HEALTHCARE
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
identify the specific factors
behind wellness and illness,
and follow through on them to
realize the global promise of
healthcare?
NEW MEDICINES
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
find new treatments for age-old
scourges such as malaria and
the emerging diseases?
CLEAN WATER
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
increase the precious and
relatively short supply of clean
water for personal use and
irrigation in all areas of the
world?
CARBON SEQUESTRATION
SOLAR ENERGY
TO BE ELABORATED
SEPARATELY
INCREASING THE BENEFIT/COST
OF SOLAR ENERGY
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
convert and store the power of
sunshine at a cost competitive
with fossil fuels?
CARBON SEQUESTRATION
• THE CHALLENGE: How do you
capture the carbon dioxide
produced from fossil-fuel
burning, and confine the
excess carbon underground?

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Challenges for disaster reduction in the 21st century

  • 1. OUR WORLD IS AT SERIOUS RISK
  • 2. NINE CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY THAT WILL HAVE GLOBAL BENEFIT WHEN WE MEET THEM
  • 3. OUR WORLD IS AT SERIOUS RISK
  • 4. YOURYOUR COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY DATA BASESDATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS •NATURAL HAZARDS •INVENTORY •VULNERABILITY •LOCATION RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK GOAL: DISASTERGOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE •PREPAREDNESS •PROTECTION •SCENARIOS •EMERGENCY RESPONSE •RECOVERY/RECONSTR. POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
  • 5. DISASTER RESILIENCE PRE- AND POST-DISASTER ASSESSMENTS RENEWING INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTING CYBER SPACE
  • 6. DISASTER RESILIENCE • THE CHALLENGE: How do you make people, buildings, and infrastructure disaster resilient in communities that are known to be at high risk from floods, severe windstorms, earthquakes, landslides, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, and wildfires?
  • 7. PRE- AND POST-DISASTER ASSESSMENTS • THE CHALLENGE: How do you use computer and information technology to create realistic pre- event disaster scenarios and post- disaster assessments for use in educational surges, recovery and reconstruction, and policies?
  • 8. RENEWING COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE • THE CHALLENGE: How do you renew aging, increasingly vulnerable community infrastructure while simultaneously maintaining and/or improving the environmental balance?
  • 9. CYBER SPACE • THE CHALLENGE: How do you protect the global information infrastructure from identity theft, viruses, and other threats while sustaining a timely flow of high-quality data?
  • 10. INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES SOIL AMPLIFICATION PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND FAILURE) IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP POOR DETAILING AND WEAK CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS FRAGILITY OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE “DISASTER LABORATORIES” “DISASTER LABORATORIES”
  • 11. HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF INCOMING WAVES TSUNAMISTSUNAMIS INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS FLOODING INADEQUATE HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL EVACUATION PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE “DISASTER LABORATORIES” “DISASTER LABORATORIES”
  • 12. LOSS OF FUNCTION OF STRUCTURES IN FLOODPLAIN FLOODSFLOODS INUNDATION INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS STRUCTURE & CONTENTS: DAMAGE FROM WATER WATER BORNE DISEASES (HEALTH PROBLEMS) EROSION AND MUDFLOWS CONTAMINATION OF GROUND WATER CAUSES OF RISK CAUSES OF RISK DISASTER LABORATORIES DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 13. WIND PENETRATING BUILDING ENVELOPE SEVERE WINDSTORMS SEVERE WINDSTORMS UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM FLYING DEBRIS STORM SURGE IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN SITING PROBLEMS FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE “DISASTER LABORATORIES” “DISASTER LABORATORIES”
  • 14. LATERAL BLAST VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS PYROCLASTIC FLOWS FLYING DEBRIS VOLCANIC ASH LAVA FLOWS LAHARS TOXIC GASES CAUSES OF RISK CAUSES OF RISK DISASTER LABORATORIES DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 15. SITING AND BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES LANDSLIDESLANDSLIDES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE SHAKING GROUND SHAKING THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE DISASTER LABORATORIES DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 16. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILDFIRESWILDFIRES MANMADE FIRES PROXIMITY OF URBAN AREA TO WILDLANDS INTERFACE WIND DIRECTION (DAY AND NIGHT) DRYNESS HIGH TEMPERATURES FUEL SUPPLY CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE DISASTER LABORATORIES DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 17. PROLONGED LACK OF PRECIPITATION DROUGHTSDROUGHTS LOSS OF SOIL MOSTURE LOSS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF GROUND WATER LOSS OF VEGETATION INSECT INFESTATION LOSS OF LAND FROM DESERTIFICATION CAUSES OF DAMAGE CAUSES OF DAMAGE DISASTER LABORATORIES DISASTER LABORATORIES
  • 18. HEALTHCARE NEW MEDICINES CLEAN WATER TO BE ELABORATED SEPARATELY
  • 19. HEALTHCARE • THE CHALLENGE: How do you identify the specific factors behind wellness and illness, and follow through on them to realize the global promise of healthcare?
  • 20. NEW MEDICINES • THE CHALLENGE: How do you find new treatments for age-old scourges such as malaria and the emerging diseases?
  • 21. CLEAN WATER • THE CHALLENGE: How do you increase the precious and relatively short supply of clean water for personal use and irrigation in all areas of the world?
  • 22. CARBON SEQUESTRATION SOLAR ENERGY TO BE ELABORATED SEPARATELY
  • 23. INCREASING THE BENEFIT/COST OF SOLAR ENERGY • THE CHALLENGE: How do you convert and store the power of sunshine at a cost competitive with fossil fuels?
  • 24. CARBON SEQUESTRATION • THE CHALLENGE: How do you capture the carbon dioxide produced from fossil-fuel burning, and confine the excess carbon underground?