The Next Wave of 10GbE webcast with Crehan Research was held on 10/5 and focused on current and future 10GbE adapter and switch market drivers and adoption trends, and the effects of the introduction of 10GBASE-T products on the overall 10GbE market.
2. Webcast House Keeping All attendees will be on mute during the presentation Please submit your questions via the text/chat feature We will do all Q&A at the end of the presentation
3. Agenda Emulex - Next Steps in Networking Crehan Research - 10 Gigabit Ethernet (10GbE) Market Update Emulex – The Maturing Converged Market Place Q&A with Seamus Crehan
4. Shaun Walsh VP Marketing, Emulex Next Steps in Networking
17. Waves of 10GbE Adoption Sources: Crehan Research Server-class Adapter and LOM Report ESG Deployment Paper 2010 IDC WW External Storage Report 2010 IT Brand Pulse 10GbE Survey April 2010 FCoE Storage 25% of I/O 10GbE LOM Everywhere Wave 3 Cloud Container Servers for Web Giants and Telcos 1-2 Socket Server with NICs and Modular LOMs Wave 2 10GbE Adoption Waves 2-4 Socket X86 and Unix Rack Servers Drive 10Gb with Modular LOMs and UCNAs 10Gb NAS and iSCSI Drive IP SAN Storage for Unstructured Data Wave 1 10Gb LOM and Adapters for Blade Servers 50% of IT Managers Cite Virtualization as the Driver of 10GbE in Blades 2010 2011 2013 Beyond 2012
18. 10GbE Market Update Seamus Crehan Founder, Crehan Research, Inc Email: Seamus@CrehanResearch.com Phone: (650) 273-8400 CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
19. 10GbE Server Adapter & LOM Port Shipments 10GbE Server Adapter/LOM Shipments Ports growing ~ 20% Q/Q 1H11 port shipments of ~2.3 M Close to doubling Y/Y Very strong traction without: Romley/Sandy Bridge upgrade 10GBASE-T Strong macro economy Ports in Millions CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
20. Current Market Adoption & Drivers Blade servers Virtualization Storage network attach Cloud & large production data centers Massive expansion of connected devices High-density server access switches Market close to doubling Y/Y 10 CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
21. Future Market Drivers Continuation of current market drivers Romley/Sandy Bridge Convergence Storage – FCoE, iSCSI HPC – Low latency “Big Data” 10GBASE-T 11 Server Adapter/LOM Shipments Ports in Millions CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
22. 10GBASE-T Adapter/LOM Adoption Ramp starting in 2012 FlexLOM/daughter card Native LOM Stand-up cards Numerous high-density/high-volume server access switches Large installed base of Cat 6/6a data center cabling 12 10GbE Port Interface Shipments Ports in Millions CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
23. 10GbE Adapter/LOM Pricing Trends Steep ASP declines Multiport solutions Increased copper mix Mezzanine card and LOM mix Significant 10GbE bandwidth discount on all major form-factors Cable and slot savings 13 Server Adapter/LOM Bandwidth Pricing $ ASP per Gigabit of Bandwidth CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
24. Server Access Switches Ports growing ~ 20% Q/Q Quarterly run-rate >1M ports Recent traction stronger in Fixed/T-o-R High density 10GBASE-T switches from numerous vendors ASP per port halved since 2008 14 Server Adapter/LOM Bandwidth Pricing Port Shipments in Millions (Bars) CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
25. 10GBASE-T Data Center Switch Adoption High-density fixed/top-of-rack switches High-density chassis/modular end-of-row line cards 10GBASE-T close to half of data center switch ports by end of 2015 More on-board LOM and pre-installed cabling reduces customers variable cost of 10GBASE-T adoption 15 10GBASE-T Data Center Switch Ports % of Total Datacenter Switch Port Mix CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
26. BASE-T Factors for Speed Upgrade Power Cabling installed base LOM for rack servers Server-access switches Bandwidth discount 16 CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
27. 10GbE Pricing TrendsSwitch + Server Connection Significant bandwidth discount for 10GbE connection versus 1GbE connection Bandwidth discount continues to increase ~40% in 2008 ~60% in 2011 ~70% in 2012 Network hardware only – also incremental cable savings 17 Switch + Server Pricing Trends $ ASP per Port (Switch + Server) CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
28. Summary 10GbE server-class adapter & LOM shipments have reached significant volumes already. Traffic/device growth, virtualization, convergence, cloud and bandwidth cost savings have been, and will remain key drivers. Impending key drivers such as Romley/Sandy Bridge,10GBASE-T, more attractive pricing and emerging applications will propel next adoption stage. Expect 10GBASE-T to become majority of server-class adapter/LOM and data center switch connections. 18 CREHAN RESEARCH Inc. restricted -- do not redistribute without permission
30. Evolution of 10GbE Network Convergence HP FlexFabric IBM Virtual Fabric Cisco UCS Dell NPAR 10GbE LOM 10GbE CNAs HW iSCSI/FCoE x86 and Unix Blade and Rack HP iSCSI/FCoE NetApp iSCSI/FCoE EMC iSCSI/FCoE DELL iSCSI/DCB IBM iSCSI/FCoE VMware vNICs Virtual Switch ESX HW iSCSI ESX FCoE VM vCenter Blade Switches Blade PTMs TOR Switches Core Directors Converged Fabric-based Computing Converged Switching Convergence for Server Virtualization Converged Adapters & LOMs Converged Storage
31. Wrap Up Many Phase to Market Transitions and Implementation 10GBASE-T will drive 10GbE Cost in Racks Network Convergence is Coming; Best to be Ready Management of Domains Will be the Most Challenging 10GBASE-T is Like Hanging Out with an Old Friend
32. THANK YOU For more information, please contact Shaun Walsh 949.922.7472 shaun.walsh@emulex.com