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Chapter 06
• Working Capital and the Financing Decision




                                               6-1
Chapter Outline
• Working capital management
• Current asset management
• Asset financing
• Long-term versus short-term financing
• Risk and profitability vis-à-vis asset
  financing
• Expected value analysis may sometimes be
  employed
                                             6-2
Working Capital Management
• The financing and management of the
  current assets of a firm
  – Crucial to achieving long-term objectives of the
    firm or its failure
  – Requires immediate action




                                                       6-3
The Nature of Asset Growth
• Effective current assets management
  requires matching of the forecasted sales
  and production schedules
• Differences in actual sales and forecasted
  sales can result in:
  – Unexpected buildup.
  – Reduction in inventory, affecting receivables and
    cash flow
• Firm’s current assets could be:
  – Self-liquidating
  – ‘Permanent’ current assets.
                                                   6-4
The Nature of Asset Growth (cont’d)




                                  6-5
Controlling Assets – Matching Sales
          and Production
• Fixed assets grow slowly with:
  – Increase in productive capacity
  – Replacement of old equipment
• Current assets fluctuate in the short run,
  depending on:
  – Level of production versus the level of sales
     • When production is higher than sales the inventory
       rises
     • When sales are higher than production, inventory
       declines and receivables increase
                                                            6-6
Controlling Assets – Matching Sales
      and Production (cont’d)
• Cash budgeting process
  – Level production method
    • Smooth production schedules
    • Use of manpower and equipment efficiently to lower
      cost
  – Match sales and production as closely as
    possible in the short run
    • Allows current assets to increase or decrease with the
      level of sales
    • Eliminates the large seasonal bulges or sharp
      reductions in current assets
                                                           6-7
Matching Sales and Production-
     McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
• A good example of seasonal sale
• Has significant share of sales and earnings
  in the third and fourth quarters
• Due to seasonal nature of textbook
  publishing
  – Lenders and financial managers need to plan
    inventory
  – Lack of correct inventory planning can lead to
    lost sales
                                                     6-8
Quarterly Sales and Earnings Per
    Share for McGraw Hill




                                   6-9
Seasonal Sales Pattern in Target and
          Limited Brands
• Like publishers, retail companies do not
  stock inventory for more then a year
• Fourth quarter is the biggest quarter for
  retailers
• As per the figure, the Target is growing
  much faster than the Limited Brands
• Even then, in the fourth quarter, peak
  earnings are almost equal for both the
  companies
                                              6-10
Quarterly Sales and Earnings Per
Share, Target and Limited Brands




                                   6-11
Point-of-Sales Terminals
• Retail-oriented firms use new, computerized
  inventory control systems linked online
  – Digital inputs or optical scanners
     • Helps adjust orders or production schedules
  – Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)




                                                     6-12
Temporary Assets under Level
     Production – An Example
• Yawakuzi Motorcycle Company
  – Sales fluctuations: High sales demand during
    early spring and summer; sales drop during
    October through March
  – Decision: Apply level production method - 12-
    month sales forecast is issued
  – Result: Level production and seasonal sales
    combine to produce fluctuating inventory



                                                    6-13
Yawakuzi Sales Forecast (in units)




                                     6-14
Yawakuzi’s Production Schedule
       and Inventory




                                 6-15
Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts, and
    Payments, and Cash Budget




                                  6-16
Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts, and
Payments, and Cash Budget (cont’d)
• Table 6-3 is created to examine the buildup
  in accounts receivable and cash
  – Sales forecast: Based on assumptions taken
    earlier (table 6-1)
  – Cash receipts: 50% cash collected during the
    month of sale and 50% pertains to the prior
    month
  – Cash budget: a comparison of cash receipt and
    payment schedules to determine cash flow

                                                6-17
Total Current Assets, First Year
          ($millions)




                                   6-18
Yawakuzi’s Nature of Asset Growth




                                6-19
Cash Budget and Assets for II Year
With No Growth in Sales ($millions)
• Graphic presentation of the current asset
  cycle.




                                              6-20
Patterns of Financing
• Selection of external sources to fund
  financial assets is an important decision
• The appropriate financing pattern:
  – Matching of asset buildup and length of
    financing pattern




                                              6-21
Matching Long-Term and Short-
         Term Needs




                                6-22
Alternative Plans
• It is important to consider other alternatives
  – The challenge of constructing a financial plan is
    to prioritize the current assets into temporary
    and permanent
  – The exact timing of asset liquidation, even in the
    light of ascertaining dollar amounts is onerous
  – It is also difficult to judge the amount of short-
    term and long-term financing available



                                                    6-23
Long-Term Financing
• Firms can be assured of having adequate
  capital at all times:
  – Use long-term capital to cover part of the short-
    term needs
  – Long-term capital can be used to finance:
     • Fixed assets
     • Permanent current assets
     • Part of the temporary current assets



                                                    6-24
Using Long-Term Financing for Part
       of Short-Term Needs




                                 6-25
Short- Term Financing
• Small businesses do not have total access
  to long-term financing
  – They rely on short-term bank and trade credit
  – Advantage: interest rates are lower
  – Short-term finances are used finance:
    • Temporary current assets
    • Part of the permanent working capital needs




                                                    6-26
Using Short-Term Financing for Part
       of Long-Term Needs




                                  6-27
Term Structure of Interest Rates
• A yield curve – that shows the relative level
  of short-term and long-term interest rates
  – U.S. government securities are popular as they
    are free of default risks
  – Corporate debt securities entail a higher interest
    rate due to more financial risks
  – Yield curves for both securities change daily to
    reflect:
     • Current competitive conditions
     • Expected inflation
     • Changes in economic conditions
                                                    6-28
Basic Theories - Yield Curve
• Liquidity premium theory
  – Long-term rates should be higher than short-
    term rates
• Market segmentation theory
  – Treasury securities are divided into market
    segments by the various financial institutions
    investing in the market
• Expectations hypothesis
  – Yields on long-term securities is a function of
    short-term rates

                                                      6-29
Long- and Short-Term Annual
            Interest Rates
• Relative volatility and the historical level of
  short-term and long-term rates




                                                    6-30
Alternative Financing Plans
• A Decision Process: Comparing alternative
  financing plans for working capital




                                              6-31
Impact of Financing Plans on
          Earnings




                               6-32
Varying Condition and its Impact
• Tight money periods
  – Capital is scarce making short-term financing
    difficult to find or may ensue very high rates
  – Inadequate financing may mean loss of sales or
    financial embarrassment
• Expected value
  – Represents the sum of the expected outcomes
    under both conditions


                                                  6-33
Expected Returns under Different
     Economic Conditions




                                   6-34
Expected Returns for High Risk
            Firms




                                 6-35
Toward an Optimal Policy
• A firm should:
  – Attempt to relate asset liquidity to financing
    patterns, and vice versa
  – Decide how it wishes to combine asset liquidity
    and financing needs
     • Risk-oriented firm - short-term borrowings and low
       degree of liquidity
     • Conservative firm - long-term financing and high
       degree of liquidity


                                                            6-36
Net working capital as a percentage of
      sales—S&P Industrials




                                         6-37
Asset Liquidity and Financing
           Assets




                                6-38
End
Q


          6-39
Q&A

      6-40
Thank You.

             6-41

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Topic 003

  • 1. Chapter 06 • Working Capital and the Financing Decision 6-1
  • 2. Chapter Outline • Working capital management • Current asset management • Asset financing • Long-term versus short-term financing • Risk and profitability vis-à-vis asset financing • Expected value analysis may sometimes be employed 6-2
  • 3. Working Capital Management • The financing and management of the current assets of a firm – Crucial to achieving long-term objectives of the firm or its failure – Requires immediate action 6-3
  • 4. The Nature of Asset Growth • Effective current assets management requires matching of the forecasted sales and production schedules • Differences in actual sales and forecasted sales can result in: – Unexpected buildup. – Reduction in inventory, affecting receivables and cash flow • Firm’s current assets could be: – Self-liquidating – ‘Permanent’ current assets. 6-4
  • 5. The Nature of Asset Growth (cont’d) 6-5
  • 6. Controlling Assets – Matching Sales and Production • Fixed assets grow slowly with: – Increase in productive capacity – Replacement of old equipment • Current assets fluctuate in the short run, depending on: – Level of production versus the level of sales • When production is higher than sales the inventory rises • When sales are higher than production, inventory declines and receivables increase 6-6
  • 7. Controlling Assets – Matching Sales and Production (cont’d) • Cash budgeting process – Level production method • Smooth production schedules • Use of manpower and equipment efficiently to lower cost – Match sales and production as closely as possible in the short run • Allows current assets to increase or decrease with the level of sales • Eliminates the large seasonal bulges or sharp reductions in current assets 6-7
  • 8. Matching Sales and Production- McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. • A good example of seasonal sale • Has significant share of sales and earnings in the third and fourth quarters • Due to seasonal nature of textbook publishing – Lenders and financial managers need to plan inventory – Lack of correct inventory planning can lead to lost sales 6-8
  • 9. Quarterly Sales and Earnings Per Share for McGraw Hill 6-9
  • 10. Seasonal Sales Pattern in Target and Limited Brands • Like publishers, retail companies do not stock inventory for more then a year • Fourth quarter is the biggest quarter for retailers • As per the figure, the Target is growing much faster than the Limited Brands • Even then, in the fourth quarter, peak earnings are almost equal for both the companies 6-10
  • 11. Quarterly Sales and Earnings Per Share, Target and Limited Brands 6-11
  • 12. Point-of-Sales Terminals • Retail-oriented firms use new, computerized inventory control systems linked online – Digital inputs or optical scanners • Helps adjust orders or production schedules – Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) 6-12
  • 13. Temporary Assets under Level Production – An Example • Yawakuzi Motorcycle Company – Sales fluctuations: High sales demand during early spring and summer; sales drop during October through March – Decision: Apply level production method - 12- month sales forecast is issued – Result: Level production and seasonal sales combine to produce fluctuating inventory 6-13
  • 14. Yawakuzi Sales Forecast (in units) 6-14
  • 15. Yawakuzi’s Production Schedule and Inventory 6-15
  • 16. Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts, and Payments, and Cash Budget 6-16
  • 17. Sales Forecasts, Cash Receipts, and Payments, and Cash Budget (cont’d) • Table 6-3 is created to examine the buildup in accounts receivable and cash – Sales forecast: Based on assumptions taken earlier (table 6-1) – Cash receipts: 50% cash collected during the month of sale and 50% pertains to the prior month – Cash budget: a comparison of cash receipt and payment schedules to determine cash flow 6-17
  • 18. Total Current Assets, First Year ($millions) 6-18
  • 19. Yawakuzi’s Nature of Asset Growth 6-19
  • 20. Cash Budget and Assets for II Year With No Growth in Sales ($millions) • Graphic presentation of the current asset cycle. 6-20
  • 21. Patterns of Financing • Selection of external sources to fund financial assets is an important decision • The appropriate financing pattern: – Matching of asset buildup and length of financing pattern 6-21
  • 22. Matching Long-Term and Short- Term Needs 6-22
  • 23. Alternative Plans • It is important to consider other alternatives – The challenge of constructing a financial plan is to prioritize the current assets into temporary and permanent – The exact timing of asset liquidation, even in the light of ascertaining dollar amounts is onerous – It is also difficult to judge the amount of short- term and long-term financing available 6-23
  • 24. Long-Term Financing • Firms can be assured of having adequate capital at all times: – Use long-term capital to cover part of the short- term needs – Long-term capital can be used to finance: • Fixed assets • Permanent current assets • Part of the temporary current assets 6-24
  • 25. Using Long-Term Financing for Part of Short-Term Needs 6-25
  • 26. Short- Term Financing • Small businesses do not have total access to long-term financing – They rely on short-term bank and trade credit – Advantage: interest rates are lower – Short-term finances are used finance: • Temporary current assets • Part of the permanent working capital needs 6-26
  • 27. Using Short-Term Financing for Part of Long-Term Needs 6-27
  • 28. Term Structure of Interest Rates • A yield curve – that shows the relative level of short-term and long-term interest rates – U.S. government securities are popular as they are free of default risks – Corporate debt securities entail a higher interest rate due to more financial risks – Yield curves for both securities change daily to reflect: • Current competitive conditions • Expected inflation • Changes in economic conditions 6-28
  • 29. Basic Theories - Yield Curve • Liquidity premium theory – Long-term rates should be higher than short- term rates • Market segmentation theory – Treasury securities are divided into market segments by the various financial institutions investing in the market • Expectations hypothesis – Yields on long-term securities is a function of short-term rates 6-29
  • 30. Long- and Short-Term Annual Interest Rates • Relative volatility and the historical level of short-term and long-term rates 6-30
  • 31. Alternative Financing Plans • A Decision Process: Comparing alternative financing plans for working capital 6-31
  • 32. Impact of Financing Plans on Earnings 6-32
  • 33. Varying Condition and its Impact • Tight money periods – Capital is scarce making short-term financing difficult to find or may ensue very high rates – Inadequate financing may mean loss of sales or financial embarrassment • Expected value – Represents the sum of the expected outcomes under both conditions 6-33
  • 34. Expected Returns under Different Economic Conditions 6-34
  • 35. Expected Returns for High Risk Firms 6-35
  • 36. Toward an Optimal Policy • A firm should: – Attempt to relate asset liquidity to financing patterns, and vice versa – Decide how it wishes to combine asset liquidity and financing needs • Risk-oriented firm - short-term borrowings and low degree of liquidity • Conservative firm - long-term financing and high degree of liquidity 6-36
  • 37. Net working capital as a percentage of sales—S&P Industrials 6-37
  • 38. Asset Liquidity and Financing Assets 6-38
  • 39. End Q 6-39
  • 40. Q&A 6-40
  • 41. Thank You. 6-41