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The Classical Liberal Tradition
Tradition:

Adam Smith vs. Karl Marx
J
James R. Otteson, PhD
,
Joint Professor of Philosophy and Economics,Yeshiva University
Charles G. Koch Senior Fellow, The Fund for American Studies
Part I: What Is Political Philosophy?
p y
One b
basic question:
What kind of government should we have?
Lots of choices:
Democracy, aristocracy, monarchy, constitutional
republic.
bli
Classical liberal, socialist.
Criteria?
Ci i?
Here Is One Criterion: Ideal Goodness
Plato (428-348BC)
(
)
The Republic (~380)
Kallipolis = ruled by the
best.
Philosopher-kings: The
p
g
Good Life.
Jobs, goods, marriage,
g
g
children, education, …
Everything!
A Second Criterion:
Appropriateness or F
A
Fitness.
Thomas Hobbes (1588(
1679).
Humans: competitive,
distrustful, vain—and
distrustful vain and thus
violent.
Needed: all-powerful
p
“leviathan” to keep peace.
Think of children during
recess ....
Perhaps y noticed …
p you
Both of those lead to ‘total’ states.
That is, some person or persons with absolute authority.
Are there criteria that lead to limited states?
That is, limitations on state authority?
Yes …
A Third Criterion: Legitimacy
: g
y
John Locke (1632-1704).
Freedom and equality.
“Natural rights” to life,
liberty, and property.
lb
d
No slavery!
American founding.
A ‘principled’ case for
classical l b l
l
l liberalism.
A Fourth Criterion: Prosperity
Adam Smith (1723-90).
“Father of economics.”
The ‘economic’ case for
classical l b l
l
l liberalism.
Private property, markets,
and trade wealth &
prosperity.
Part II: What Is Adam Smithian
“Classical Liberalism”?
“Cl
l L b l ”?
Smith s
Smith’s question: What
institutions allow people to
f
flourish and p p
prosper?
His “classical liberal”
answer:
Private property.
Free trade.
“Justice” (= life,
property, contracts).

What else is classical
liberalism?
1. Individual’s priority over
Individual s
the state.
2. Multiple “good lives.”
p g
3. Competition.
4. Consent.
. Co se t.
5. Even … revolution?
Smith’s An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of
the W l h of N
h Wealth f Nations (1776)
Beginning of “economics.”
Profound influence on British and American
political policy.
What did it claim?
Free trade, limited government, competition, and
open markets: keys to human prosperity.
That’s “classical liberalism.”
What Is WN’s Argument?
g
“It is the great multiplication of the productions of
all the diff
ll h different arts, i consequence of the di i i of
in
f h division f
labour, which occasions, in a well-governed society,
that universal opulence which extends itself to the
p
lowest ranks of the people.”
Division of labor exploits local knowledge.
Specialization leads to surplus (“multiplication of
production”).
Surplus i
S l
increasing goods d
i
d
decreasing prices.
i
i
Everyone can afford more (“universal opulence”).
Why Free (Not “Fair”) Trade?
Cooperation and M
C
d Mutual B f
l Benefit
“In a civilized society man stands at all times in need of
y
the co-operation and assistance of great
multitudes, while his whole life is scarce sufficient to
gain the friendship of a few persons.” (Cooperation.)
“[Man] has almost constant occasion for the help of his
brethren, and it is in vain for him to expect it from their
benevolence only. He will be more likely to prevail if he
can interest their self love in his favour, and shew them
self-love
favour
that it is for their own advantage to do for him what
he requires of them.” (Mutual benefit.)
q
. (
f )
Why Free Markets?
Markets “encourage every man to apply himself to a
particular occupation, and to cultivate and bring to
perfection whatever talent or genius he may possess.”
“[T]he
“[ ]h most di i il geniuses are of use to one
dissimilar
i
f
another; the different produces of their respective talents
[…]
[ ] being brought as it were into a common stock where
brought,
were,
stock,
every man may purchase whatever part of the produce
of other men’s talents he has occasion for.”
Thus: markets opportunities choices diversity.
Self-Interest, Competition, and
the “
h “Invisible Hand”
bl
d”
“As every individual, therefore, endeavours as much as he
As
can … to direct [his] industry that its produce may be of the
greatest value; every individual necessarily labours to
render the annual revenue of the society as great as
he can.”
“[B]y directing [his] industry in such a manner as its produce
may b of the greatest value, he i t d only his own
be f h
l h intends l hi
gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an
invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his
intention.”
”
Invisible hand: unintended but real benefits for others from
se te est.
self-interest.
Part III
III:
Adam Smith vs. Karl Marx
Here are Karl Marx (1818-1883) and
Friedrich Engels (1820-1895):
F d h E l (1820 1895)
Predictions from Marx’s
1843 C
Communist M f
Manifesto:
Smithian “political economy” will: concentrate
p
power and property in the hands of a few and
p p y
lead to only two classes, the propertied and the
p p y
propertyless.
2. The “ideologies” of free trade and free
p
,
g
competition enslave workers, rendering them
powerless against and exploited by employers.
1.
Marx s
Marx’s predictions (cont d.):
(cont’d.):
Workers’ wages will steadily decline to
“subsistence” l l standard of li i f ll as
“ b
” levels;
d d f living falls
well.
4.
4 Instead of greed driven and alienating “market
greed-driven
market
forces,” the “most advanced and resolute”
intellectuals must “wrest” “all capital from the
p
bourgeoisie” and “centralise all instruments of
production in the hands of the state.”
3.

(Note: These are all empirical claims.)
Smith Makes Opposite Prediction
in Each C
h Case:
1. The “obvious and simple system of natural liberty”

will enable more and more to ascend out of
poverty, creating large and thriving middle
class.
2. Free trade, free competition, and the abolition of
special privileges (like state-enforced monopolies)
will lead to increasing economic prosperity
for everyone, including workers.
Smith s
Smith’s Predictions (cont’d.):
(cont d.):
3. Over time, employer competition will lead to

steadily increasing wages, benefits, and
g
overall standards of living.
4. Decentralized markets will precipitate
g
greater prosperity than centrallyp p
y
y
planned economies will.
So . . . Who’s Right?
Who s
Marx or Smith?
Smith is.
On every count
count.
Consider the
United S
U d States of America:
fA
The middle class dominates American economics.
.
Think Wal-Mart and Ford vs. Cartier’s and Jaguar.
Over the last two centuries, working conditions in
,
g
America have steadily improved.
These conditions are now at levels unimaginable j a
g
just
generation or two ago (ask your grandparents!), and
dramatically better than that of most other countries
today.
Evidence of Improvement Over Time:
Costs Go Down, Q li G U
C
G D
Quality Goes Up
A 3-minute phone call f
h
ll from
New York to San Francisco
cost 90 hours of labor in
1915; in 2009 it cost 4
seconds. (How much time
(
you spend on the cell
phone?)
Three hearty meals in
1919, 9.5 hours; today, 1.0
and f ll
d falling.

Housing cost 7.8 h
hours of
f
work PSF in 1920; today,
4.9—with
4 9 with much higher
quality and better amenities
(
(indoor plumbing, central
p
g,
heating, electricity, etc.).
And consider: antibiotics,
lasers, and prosthetics.
In America:
Markets and competition have led to economic growth,
falling prices, and higher standards of living.
Computer processing power per dollar.
Freud, soap,
Freud soap and civilization
civilization.
Have you ever had a toothache?
My one-bathroom flat in Scotland. (One bathroom?! Egad!)

Workers’ wages, benefits, and standards of living are arguably
better here than anywhere else in the world
Certainly better than most places in the world
world;
Far, far better than for most of human history.
More Generally:
Worldwide: free-market-based economies have dwarfed
centrally-planned economies i productive power.
t ll l
d
i in d ti
Ex.: Impressive numbers by Soviet Union during Cold War often pure
fabrications.
Tanks economic prosperity.

Free economies have led to prosperity for everyone—
including especially the p
g p
y poor.
Poor are far better off in market-based economies than in
centrally-planned economies.
Don’t believe me?
Consider:
In l 1900
I early 1900s, only super-rich had automobiles.
l
i hh d t
bil
Today:
>90% of American households have cars
cars;
60% have two or more.

America may soon be first nation with more automobiles
than people.
Similarly with most necessities, especially f , clothing, and
y
, p
y food,
g,
shelter: getting cheaper while quality improves.
And Don’t Forget . . .
Don t
Americans today: more leisure time than any generation of
Americans has ever had.
(Again, ask your grandparents—they’ll tell you!)
An indicator: Americans spend on average 35 hours per
week just watching TV!
(If you add in video games, texting, and net surfing, over
40 hours.)
A main h l h problem f
health bl facing A
America’s l
’ low-income
citizens today is not starvation, but . . .
Obesity!
Ob it !
What to Conclude from This?
Markets, trade, and private property, have enabled us to
work l and yet afford more.
k less d
ff d
Our standard of living is higher than that of previous
generations.
generations
Average annual per-capita income for past 10,000 years:
$100; worldwide average in 2009, $10,500.
g
Today in America: $46,400.
Don’t take my word: Check this for yourself.
Please! (And tell your friends!)
Part IV: An Objection
America’s increasing prosperity, at least over the
g
y
last 100 years, is correlated with increasing
g
government.
economic regulation by the g
So: Is America’s prosperity due to government
,
j
intervention in markets, rather than just to markets?
Do we need government regulation of markets?
Answer:
It would appear not. Why?
Government regulation of markets is inversely
correlated with economic prosperity.
Evidence: the freer the markets in a country, the
more it protects private property, and the lower
its trade b
d barriers and taxes, … the h h its
d
h higher
overall prosperity.
Thus:
Th
Classical liberalism increasing prosperity;
Government
Go ernment regulation d
decreasing prosperit
i prosperity.
What Is This Evidence?
Economic Freedom of theWorld Index (http://www.freetheworld.com/)
Correlation between economic f d and economic prosperity in
C
l
b
freedom d
~140 countries since 1975.
“Economic freedom”: “Individuals have economic freedom when
property they acquire without the use of force, fraud, or theft is
protected from physical invasions by others and they are free to
use, exchange, or give their property as long as their actions do
g
g
p p y
g
not violate the identical rights of others. An index of economic
freedom should measure the extent to which rightly acquired
p p y p
property is protected and individuals are engaged in voluntary
gg
y
transactions.”
A notably Smithian definition!
The results?
The Economic Freedom (EF) Rankings
of the Top Ten Countries:
f h T T C
i
(from Economic Freedom of theWorld 2008)
Hong Kong
Singapore
New Zealand
Average of top 10
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Chile
Canada
Australia
United States
Ireland
I l d

0

2

4

6

Score (out of 10)

8

10
For Comparison, the Bottom Ten:
p
,
Chad
Central Afr. Rep.
Guinea-Bissau
Congo, Dem. R.
Venezuela
Niger
Congo, Rep.
Congo Rep Of
Myanmar
Angola
Zimbabwe
0

2

4

6

Score (out of 10)

8

10
Correlations: EF and Wealth

GDP Per Capita
P
(pp 2006
pp),

Correlation between
regulation and per-capita
income.
Note: d ff
difference between
b
bottom and top quartiles is
$35,000
nearly ten fold
ten-fold.
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$ ,
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0

Least Free
Qua t e
Quartile

3rd Quartile

2nd Quartile

Most Free
Qua t e
Quartile
EF and Economic Growth:
:

GD Per Capita % Growth,
DP
1994-200
03

Correlation between
government regulation and
growth (as % of GDP
increase):

2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0

Bottom
Quintile

Fourth
Quintile

Third
Quintile

Second
Quintile

Top Quintile
United Na
ations
Human Deve
elopment
Index
x

EF and Prosperity: Overall Quality of Life
p y
Q
y f f
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0

Least Free
Quartile

3rd Quartile

2nd Quartile

Most Free
Quartile

EF and UN’s “Development Index,” combined measurement of: (1) life expectancy,
(2) adult literacy rates, (3) school enrollment, and (4) per-capita incomes.
Q
Quality of Life, Take 2: Life Expectancy
y
,
:
p
y
80

Years

60
40
20
0

Least Free
Quartile

3rd Quartile

2nd Quartile

Most Free
Quartile

Note: difference between top and bottom quartiles
y years.
is over twenty y
Quality of Life, Take 3: Children

Bottom is levels of child
labor (% of 10 14 year olds
10-14 year-olds
in work force) against EF.

Per 1,000 live births,
1
2006

80
60
40
20
0

Least Free
Quartile

3rd Quartile

2nd Quartile

Most Free
Quartile

25
Percentage of children
10-14 who are in the
labour force
r

Top g p is levels of infant
p graph
f
mortality measured against
EF.

20
15
10
5
0

Bottom
Quintile
Q intile

Fourth
Quintile
Q intile

Third
Quintile
Q intile

Second
Quintile
Q intile

Top
Quintile
Q intile
Quality of Life, Take 4: Environment

Index (out of 100)

EF rated against
environmental
performance. 100
f
80
60
40
20
0

Least Free
Quartile

3rd Quartile

2nd Quartile

Most Free
Quartile
So, the Response to the Objection:
,
p
j
EF tracks measurements of prosperity closely, up and
down.
Demonstrates: as government economic regulation increases,
prosperity decreases; and vice-versa.
d
This holds for a number of variables:
EF Tracks Positively with Increases in:
y
Money, both as per-capita
income and real economic
growth
Life expectancy
Infant survival
Child nutrition
Literacy
L
Food production

Access to health care
Access to safe water
Percentage of GDP dedicated
to research and development
Political stability
Peace
But: How Do Markets Affect the Poor?
Recent studies conducted by the World Bank that looked at data
from 137 countries:
“Private property rights, fiscal discipline, macro stability, and
openness to trade increases the income of the poor to the same extent
d
h
f h
h
that it increases the income of other households in society” (emphasis
added).
).
WB Report adds: not a “trickle-down” process; benefits for rich
and poor created “contemporaneously.”
WB Report: Government spending = negative (!) effect.
Evidence from the Economic Freedom Index
Supports S
S
Same C l i
Conclusion:

In
ncome Level of the
f
Poo
orest 10%, 1990
0-2006

Poorest 10% earn more in
economically free countries—
by f t f ten!
b factor of t !
$9,000
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0

Least Free
Quartile

3rd
Quartile

2nd
Quartile

Most Free
Quartile
So . . . Smith vs. Marx:
Both: large influence on the history of the world.
Smith’s influence:
Almost universally beneficial, especially for the poor.
In U.S.: both “rich” and “poor” are getting richer;
“poor” at faster rate.

Marx’s influence, h
M ’ i fl
however …
Not so beneficial …
Part V: Marx’s influence:
Marx s
Everywhere Marxian political-economic ideas have been
implemented have suffered terrible consequences:
All at or near the bottom of the economic freedom
ranking;
ki
All are exceedingly poor.
Compare Actual Results:
Per C
P Capita P h
Purchasing Power Parity
P
P
Hong Kong (#1), $42,700 vs. China (#82) …
China: $6500.
China, $6500 vs. Taiwan (#16), $30,200.
South Korea (#32), $27,700 vs. North Korea (n/r)* …
(#32) $27 700 s
North Korea: $1800.
Cuba (n/r)*, $ ,
( ) , $9,700 vs. “Little Havana” …
Miami, Florida: $33,712.
*EFI does not rank North Korea or Cuba because of insufficient verifiable information. The

Heritage Foundation, which does its own rankings (available here:
http://www.heritage.org/index/ranking.aspx),
http://www heritage org/index/ranking aspx) puts North Korea dead last of 179
countries evaluated and Cuba third-to-last.
And that is not even considering …
. . . the approximately one hundred million innocent
people killed during the twentieth century by their own
governments in the name of Marxian ideals.
f
Consider: Lenin and Stalin.
V. I. Lenin (1917-24):
(
)
4,017,000 dead.
Joseph Stalin (1929-53):
42,672,000 d d
42 672 000 dead.
Soviet slave-labor system under
Lenin and Stalin killed almost
40 million people over some 70
years—more than twice as
many as killed by 400 years of
brutal African slave trade.
Mao Tse tung
Tse-tung
1927-76 (includes guerilla
(
g
period): 37,828,000 dead.
Not all records are open to
p
the public yet.
Final tally may have Mao
surpassing Stalin.
Pol Pot
1968-87: 2,397,000 dead.
, ,
Most lethal murderer in
twentieth century:
1975-9: k ll d 8% of population
killed
f
annually.
Khmer Rouge killed 31% of all
men, women, and children in
Cambodia.
The odds of surviving: 2.2 to 1.
g

(Pol Pot died peacefully in 1998
after a one-year house arrest.)
Cheong Ek Mass Grave in Cambodia,
Exhumed i 1980: “Th Killing Fi ld ”
E h
d in 1980 “The Killi Fields”
About 9 miles
outside of Phnom
Penh, Cambodia’s
capital;
capital home of
some 129 mass
graves.
Now principally a
tourist destination.
Final Lesson
Classical liberal tradition and Adam Smith have a great deal to
offer: prosperity and liberty
liberty.
Perhaps literally the difference between life and death:
Indirectly, alleviating poverty; and
Directly, decentralizing power.

Note: A Smithian society will not be perfect.
But …
No society ever will be.
Thus: relatively better.
Evidence suggests Smithian classical liberal society is superior to
any other known alternative.
The 20th Century Was a 100-Year Contest
between S i h and M
b
Smith d Marx.
Smith Wins by a Knock-Out.
Knock Out.
Thank you!
James R. Otteson

212.960.5402

Yeshiva University

otteson@yu.edu
y

500 West 185th Street

jamesotteson.com

New York, NY 10033

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Adam smith-and karl marx ldeology

  • 1. The Classical Liberal Tradition Tradition: Adam Smith vs. Karl Marx J James R. Otteson, PhD , Joint Professor of Philosophy and Economics,Yeshiva University Charles G. Koch Senior Fellow, The Fund for American Studies
  • 2. Part I: What Is Political Philosophy? p y One b basic question: What kind of government should we have? Lots of choices: Democracy, aristocracy, monarchy, constitutional republic. bli Classical liberal, socialist. Criteria? Ci i?
  • 3. Here Is One Criterion: Ideal Goodness Plato (428-348BC) ( ) The Republic (~380) Kallipolis = ruled by the best. Philosopher-kings: The p g Good Life. Jobs, goods, marriage, g g children, education, … Everything!
  • 4. A Second Criterion: Appropriateness or F A Fitness. Thomas Hobbes (1588( 1679). Humans: competitive, distrustful, vain—and distrustful vain and thus violent. Needed: all-powerful p “leviathan” to keep peace. Think of children during recess ....
  • 5. Perhaps y noticed … p you Both of those lead to ‘total’ states. That is, some person or persons with absolute authority. Are there criteria that lead to limited states? That is, limitations on state authority? Yes …
  • 6. A Third Criterion: Legitimacy : g y John Locke (1632-1704). Freedom and equality. “Natural rights” to life, liberty, and property. lb d No slavery! American founding. A ‘principled’ case for classical l b l l l liberalism.
  • 7. A Fourth Criterion: Prosperity Adam Smith (1723-90). “Father of economics.” The ‘economic’ case for classical l b l l l liberalism. Private property, markets, and trade wealth & prosperity.
  • 8. Part II: What Is Adam Smithian “Classical Liberalism”? “Cl l L b l ”? Smith s Smith’s question: What institutions allow people to f flourish and p p prosper? His “classical liberal” answer: Private property. Free trade. “Justice” (= life, property, contracts). What else is classical liberalism? 1. Individual’s priority over Individual s the state. 2. Multiple “good lives.” p g 3. Competition. 4. Consent. . Co se t. 5. Even … revolution?
  • 9. Smith’s An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the W l h of N h Wealth f Nations (1776) Beginning of “economics.” Profound influence on British and American political policy. What did it claim? Free trade, limited government, competition, and open markets: keys to human prosperity. That’s “classical liberalism.”
  • 10. What Is WN’s Argument? g “It is the great multiplication of the productions of all the diff ll h different arts, i consequence of the di i i of in f h division f labour, which occasions, in a well-governed society, that universal opulence which extends itself to the p lowest ranks of the people.” Division of labor exploits local knowledge. Specialization leads to surplus (“multiplication of production”). Surplus i S l increasing goods d i d decreasing prices. i i Everyone can afford more (“universal opulence”).
  • 11. Why Free (Not “Fair”) Trade? Cooperation and M C d Mutual B f l Benefit “In a civilized society man stands at all times in need of y the co-operation and assistance of great multitudes, while his whole life is scarce sufficient to gain the friendship of a few persons.” (Cooperation.) “[Man] has almost constant occasion for the help of his brethren, and it is in vain for him to expect it from their benevolence only. He will be more likely to prevail if he can interest their self love in his favour, and shew them self-love favour that it is for their own advantage to do for him what he requires of them.” (Mutual benefit.) q . ( f )
  • 12. Why Free Markets? Markets “encourage every man to apply himself to a particular occupation, and to cultivate and bring to perfection whatever talent or genius he may possess.” “[T]he “[ ]h most di i il geniuses are of use to one dissimilar i f another; the different produces of their respective talents […] [ ] being brought as it were into a common stock where brought, were, stock, every man may purchase whatever part of the produce of other men’s talents he has occasion for.” Thus: markets opportunities choices diversity.
  • 13. Self-Interest, Competition, and the “ h “Invisible Hand” bl d” “As every individual, therefore, endeavours as much as he As can … to direct [his] industry that its produce may be of the greatest value; every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the society as great as he can.” “[B]y directing [his] industry in such a manner as its produce may b of the greatest value, he i t d only his own be f h l h intends l hi gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention.” ” Invisible hand: unintended but real benefits for others from se te est. self-interest.
  • 14. Part III III: Adam Smith vs. Karl Marx
  • 15. Here are Karl Marx (1818-1883) and Friedrich Engels (1820-1895): F d h E l (1820 1895)
  • 16. Predictions from Marx’s 1843 C Communist M f Manifesto: Smithian “political economy” will: concentrate p power and property in the hands of a few and p p y lead to only two classes, the propertied and the p p y propertyless. 2. The “ideologies” of free trade and free p , g competition enslave workers, rendering them powerless against and exploited by employers. 1.
  • 17. Marx s Marx’s predictions (cont d.): (cont’d.): Workers’ wages will steadily decline to “subsistence” l l standard of li i f ll as “ b ” levels; d d f living falls well. 4. 4 Instead of greed driven and alienating “market greed-driven market forces,” the “most advanced and resolute” intellectuals must “wrest” “all capital from the p bourgeoisie” and “centralise all instruments of production in the hands of the state.” 3. (Note: These are all empirical claims.)
  • 18. Smith Makes Opposite Prediction in Each C h Case: 1. The “obvious and simple system of natural liberty” will enable more and more to ascend out of poverty, creating large and thriving middle class. 2. Free trade, free competition, and the abolition of special privileges (like state-enforced monopolies) will lead to increasing economic prosperity for everyone, including workers.
  • 19. Smith s Smith’s Predictions (cont’d.): (cont d.): 3. Over time, employer competition will lead to steadily increasing wages, benefits, and g overall standards of living. 4. Decentralized markets will precipitate g greater prosperity than centrallyp p y y planned economies will.
  • 20. So . . . Who’s Right? Who s Marx or Smith? Smith is. On every count count.
  • 21. Consider the United S U d States of America: fA The middle class dominates American economics. . Think Wal-Mart and Ford vs. Cartier’s and Jaguar. Over the last two centuries, working conditions in , g America have steadily improved. These conditions are now at levels unimaginable j a g just generation or two ago (ask your grandparents!), and dramatically better than that of most other countries today.
  • 22. Evidence of Improvement Over Time: Costs Go Down, Q li G U C G D Quality Goes Up A 3-minute phone call f h ll from New York to San Francisco cost 90 hours of labor in 1915; in 2009 it cost 4 seconds. (How much time ( you spend on the cell phone?) Three hearty meals in 1919, 9.5 hours; today, 1.0 and f ll d falling. Housing cost 7.8 h hours of f work PSF in 1920; today, 4.9—with 4 9 with much higher quality and better amenities ( (indoor plumbing, central p g, heating, electricity, etc.). And consider: antibiotics, lasers, and prosthetics.
  • 23. In America: Markets and competition have led to economic growth, falling prices, and higher standards of living. Computer processing power per dollar. Freud, soap, Freud soap and civilization civilization. Have you ever had a toothache? My one-bathroom flat in Scotland. (One bathroom?! Egad!) Workers’ wages, benefits, and standards of living are arguably better here than anywhere else in the world Certainly better than most places in the world world; Far, far better than for most of human history.
  • 24. More Generally: Worldwide: free-market-based economies have dwarfed centrally-planned economies i productive power. t ll l d i in d ti Ex.: Impressive numbers by Soviet Union during Cold War often pure fabrications. Tanks economic prosperity. Free economies have led to prosperity for everyone— including especially the p g p y poor. Poor are far better off in market-based economies than in centrally-planned economies. Don’t believe me?
  • 25. Consider: In l 1900 I early 1900s, only super-rich had automobiles. l i hh d t bil Today: >90% of American households have cars cars; 60% have two or more. America may soon be first nation with more automobiles than people. Similarly with most necessities, especially f , clothing, and y , p y food, g, shelter: getting cheaper while quality improves.
  • 26. And Don’t Forget . . . Don t Americans today: more leisure time than any generation of Americans has ever had. (Again, ask your grandparents—they’ll tell you!) An indicator: Americans spend on average 35 hours per week just watching TV! (If you add in video games, texting, and net surfing, over 40 hours.) A main h l h problem f health bl facing A America’s l ’ low-income citizens today is not starvation, but . . . Obesity! Ob it !
  • 27. What to Conclude from This? Markets, trade, and private property, have enabled us to work l and yet afford more. k less d ff d Our standard of living is higher than that of previous generations. generations Average annual per-capita income for past 10,000 years: $100; worldwide average in 2009, $10,500. g Today in America: $46,400. Don’t take my word: Check this for yourself. Please! (And tell your friends!)
  • 28. Part IV: An Objection America’s increasing prosperity, at least over the g y last 100 years, is correlated with increasing g government. economic regulation by the g So: Is America’s prosperity due to government , j intervention in markets, rather than just to markets? Do we need government regulation of markets?
  • 29. Answer: It would appear not. Why? Government regulation of markets is inversely correlated with economic prosperity. Evidence: the freer the markets in a country, the more it protects private property, and the lower its trade b d barriers and taxes, … the h h its d h higher overall prosperity. Thus: Th Classical liberalism increasing prosperity; Government Go ernment regulation d decreasing prosperit i prosperity.
  • 30. What Is This Evidence? Economic Freedom of theWorld Index (http://www.freetheworld.com/) Correlation between economic f d and economic prosperity in C l b freedom d ~140 countries since 1975. “Economic freedom”: “Individuals have economic freedom when property they acquire without the use of force, fraud, or theft is protected from physical invasions by others and they are free to use, exchange, or give their property as long as their actions do g g p p y g not violate the identical rights of others. An index of economic freedom should measure the extent to which rightly acquired p p y p property is protected and individuals are engaged in voluntary gg y transactions.” A notably Smithian definition! The results?
  • 31. The Economic Freedom (EF) Rankings of the Top Ten Countries: f h T T C i (from Economic Freedom of theWorld 2008) Hong Kong Singapore New Zealand Average of top 10 Switzerland United Kingdom Chile Canada Australia United States Ireland I l d 0 2 4 6 Score (out of 10) 8 10
  • 32. For Comparison, the Bottom Ten: p , Chad Central Afr. Rep. Guinea-Bissau Congo, Dem. R. Venezuela Niger Congo, Rep. Congo Rep Of Myanmar Angola Zimbabwe 0 2 4 6 Score (out of 10) 8 10
  • 33. Correlations: EF and Wealth GDP Per Capita P (pp 2006 pp), Correlation between regulation and per-capita income. Note: d ff difference between b bottom and top quartiles is $35,000 nearly ten fold ten-fold. $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $ , $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Least Free Qua t e Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Qua t e Quartile
  • 34. EF and Economic Growth: : GD Per Capita % Growth, DP 1994-200 03 Correlation between government regulation and growth (as % of GDP increase): 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Bottom Quintile Fourth Quintile Third Quintile Second Quintile Top Quintile
  • 35. United Na ations Human Deve elopment Index x EF and Prosperity: Overall Quality of Life p y Q y f f 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Least Free Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Quartile EF and UN’s “Development Index,” combined measurement of: (1) life expectancy, (2) adult literacy rates, (3) school enrollment, and (4) per-capita incomes.
  • 36. Q Quality of Life, Take 2: Life Expectancy y , : p y 80 Years 60 40 20 0 Least Free Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Quartile Note: difference between top and bottom quartiles y years. is over twenty y
  • 37. Quality of Life, Take 3: Children Bottom is levels of child labor (% of 10 14 year olds 10-14 year-olds in work force) against EF. Per 1,000 live births, 1 2006 80 60 40 20 0 Least Free Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Quartile 25 Percentage of children 10-14 who are in the labour force r Top g p is levels of infant p graph f mortality measured against EF. 20 15 10 5 0 Bottom Quintile Q intile Fourth Quintile Q intile Third Quintile Q intile Second Quintile Q intile Top Quintile Q intile
  • 38. Quality of Life, Take 4: Environment Index (out of 100) EF rated against environmental performance. 100 f 80 60 40 20 0 Least Free Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Quartile
  • 39. So, the Response to the Objection: , p j EF tracks measurements of prosperity closely, up and down. Demonstrates: as government economic regulation increases, prosperity decreases; and vice-versa. d This holds for a number of variables:
  • 40. EF Tracks Positively with Increases in: y Money, both as per-capita income and real economic growth Life expectancy Infant survival Child nutrition Literacy L Food production Access to health care Access to safe water Percentage of GDP dedicated to research and development Political stability Peace
  • 41. But: How Do Markets Affect the Poor? Recent studies conducted by the World Bank that looked at data from 137 countries: “Private property rights, fiscal discipline, macro stability, and openness to trade increases the income of the poor to the same extent d h f h h that it increases the income of other households in society” (emphasis added). ). WB Report adds: not a “trickle-down” process; benefits for rich and poor created “contemporaneously.” WB Report: Government spending = negative (!) effect.
  • 42. Evidence from the Economic Freedom Index Supports S S Same C l i Conclusion: In ncome Level of the f Poo orest 10%, 1990 0-2006 Poorest 10% earn more in economically free countries— by f t f ten! b factor of t ! $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Least Free Quartile 3rd Quartile 2nd Quartile Most Free Quartile
  • 43. So . . . Smith vs. Marx: Both: large influence on the history of the world. Smith’s influence: Almost universally beneficial, especially for the poor. In U.S.: both “rich” and “poor” are getting richer; “poor” at faster rate. Marx’s influence, h M ’ i fl however … Not so beneficial …
  • 44. Part V: Marx’s influence: Marx s Everywhere Marxian political-economic ideas have been implemented have suffered terrible consequences: All at or near the bottom of the economic freedom ranking; ki All are exceedingly poor.
  • 45. Compare Actual Results: Per C P Capita P h Purchasing Power Parity P P Hong Kong (#1), $42,700 vs. China (#82) … China: $6500. China, $6500 vs. Taiwan (#16), $30,200. South Korea (#32), $27,700 vs. North Korea (n/r)* … (#32) $27 700 s North Korea: $1800. Cuba (n/r)*, $ , ( ) , $9,700 vs. “Little Havana” … Miami, Florida: $33,712. *EFI does not rank North Korea or Cuba because of insufficient verifiable information. The Heritage Foundation, which does its own rankings (available here: http://www.heritage.org/index/ranking.aspx), http://www heritage org/index/ranking aspx) puts North Korea dead last of 179 countries evaluated and Cuba third-to-last.
  • 46. And that is not even considering … . . . the approximately one hundred million innocent people killed during the twentieth century by their own governments in the name of Marxian ideals. f
  • 47. Consider: Lenin and Stalin. V. I. Lenin (1917-24): ( ) 4,017,000 dead. Joseph Stalin (1929-53): 42,672,000 d d 42 672 000 dead. Soviet slave-labor system under Lenin and Stalin killed almost 40 million people over some 70 years—more than twice as many as killed by 400 years of brutal African slave trade.
  • 48. Mao Tse tung Tse-tung 1927-76 (includes guerilla ( g period): 37,828,000 dead. Not all records are open to p the public yet. Final tally may have Mao surpassing Stalin.
  • 49. Pol Pot 1968-87: 2,397,000 dead. , , Most lethal murderer in twentieth century: 1975-9: k ll d 8% of population killed f annually. Khmer Rouge killed 31% of all men, women, and children in Cambodia. The odds of surviving: 2.2 to 1. g (Pol Pot died peacefully in 1998 after a one-year house arrest.)
  • 50. Cheong Ek Mass Grave in Cambodia, Exhumed i 1980: “Th Killing Fi ld ” E h d in 1980 “The Killi Fields” About 9 miles outside of Phnom Penh, Cambodia’s capital; capital home of some 129 mass graves. Now principally a tourist destination.
  • 51. Final Lesson Classical liberal tradition and Adam Smith have a great deal to offer: prosperity and liberty liberty. Perhaps literally the difference between life and death: Indirectly, alleviating poverty; and Directly, decentralizing power. Note: A Smithian society will not be perfect. But … No society ever will be. Thus: relatively better. Evidence suggests Smithian classical liberal society is superior to any other known alternative.
  • 52. The 20th Century Was a 100-Year Contest between S i h and M b Smith d Marx.
  • 53. Smith Wins by a Knock-Out. Knock Out.
  • 54. Thank you! James R. Otteson 212.960.5402 Yeshiva University otteson@yu.edu y 500 West 185th Street jamesotteson.com New York, NY 10033