SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 43
1
What’s next
on the open horizon
Doc Searls
Linux Journal • UC Santa Barbara • Harvard University
2
The Net is free.
Getting it to people isn’t.
3
Or easy.
Serious infrastructure isn’t cheap.
4
Some structures last a long time.
What here will last longest?
5
Some don’t last so long.
6
Here’s the same railroad
in 1854:
Boston winters were colder then.
7
Here’s the same crossing in 2008:
The bell last bonged in 1982.
8
Here’s the same pond last Fall:
We had one day of skating this Winter.
9
We like to think serious
infrastructure is permanent.
That’s why we like to sign it.
10
Civilization’s infrastructure
tends to be temporary.
Still, we like to “brand” everything.
11
Here’s a tale told in manhole covers.
12
How about this one?
Will “broadband” be around in 50 years?
10?
5?
13
Is the Net just some pipes?
That’s what Senator Stevens says.
14
Technically, he’s not wrong.
TCP · UDP · DCCP · SCTP
· RSVP · ECN IP · OSPF
· IS-IS · BGP · ARP ·
RARP · RIP · ICMP…
These are full of the
language of transport.
15
But practically speaking,
it’s something else.
All the Net’s protocols are just agreements.
Most of them are fairly informal.
They began with the first RFC, which said…
Simple use: As with any new facility, there will be a period of very light usage
until the community of users experiments with the network and begins to depend
upon it. One of our goals must be to stimulate the immediate
and easy use by a wide class of users. With this goal, it seems
natural to provide the ability to use any remote HOST as if it had been dialed up
from a TTY (teletype) terminal. Additionally, we would like some ability to
transmit a file in a somewhat different manner perhaps than simulating a
teletype.
That was in 1969.
16
Growth of the Net has been
loosely guided by the IETF.
David Clark: "We reject kings, presidents and voting.
We believe in rough consensus and running code"
17
The history of the Net has
always been a rough draft.
18
Bob Frankston calls the Net
“a class project” and “a prototype.”
“We need to step back and ask what we mean by "The
Internet" and why it is so important.
Internet is about relationships – you can create
solutions without having to depending on nor
negotiating with a myriad of gatekeepers in your
path.
Traditional telecommunications is about transport as a
service which means that it's all about controlling
the path and as much as the market will bear
— thus preventing the creation of solutions that are
not profitable to these intermediaries.”
19
But the Net was never designed
to make money for itself.
But it has proven very good at supporting the
making of money in other ways.
Today the amount of money made because of the Net
far exceeds the money made with the Net.
20
Jonathan Zittrain says
the Net is generative. So is the PC.
Thanks to their “hourglass” nature.
21
That same hourglass is behind
>500k open source code bases.
All of these are just building materials.
22
The result is a wild, open and free world.
How did this happen?
Besides the cool work by guys with the IETF and all that?
23
You have to look at where
these building materials come from.
Unlike stone and wood, code is a product of human thought.
24
Open code grows wild in nature.
Human nature, that is.
“Linux doesn’t grow on trees. It is trees.” — Jackson Shaw (ex-Microsoft)
25
Open source and the Net share
two ideals:
1) Nobody owns it
2) Everybody can use it
Plus one more…
26
3) Anybody can improve it
27
A useful thing happens
when anyone can improve code.
It gets better. Naturally.
28
Open source is organic.
Living code doesn’t stop growing.
It adapts. Constantly.
To the real world.
29
Every new piece of code
is like a new element in in the periodic table.
Except there’s no limit to how many elements there are.
Or how they’re combined.
Or how fast any of them can improve.
Or how many markets they can support.
30
Open source code is, like life,
naturally abundant.
It improves constantly.
There are now well over 500,000 code repositories.
All are commoditites. With huge because effects.
31
The challenge is to restore
humans to their rightful position.
This can’t be done from just the sell side.
People need the power to do it themselves.
Open source models the way.
Selling the Net as gravy on TV and telephony doesn’t.
32
So here’s what we’re doing.
projectvrm.org is a project of the Berkman Center.
We’re a development community.
And we’re building a new business model based on equipping customers…
With tools that make them much more effective participants in markets.
These will be tools of both independence and engagement.
They will help customers express their intentions and do business
Outside of any one company’s silo or walled garden.
33
Our first initiative
is a new business model for free media.
It will be based on what customers are willing to pay,
on their own, with minimal friction
— for goods that are already there for free,
including…
Public radio and TV
Newspapers and magazines online
Blogs
Podcasts
Music
34
Our tool for that is the “r-button”:
It says,
“I want to pay…
what I want.” And/or,
“I want to relate…
on my terms…
and not just yours.”
“This is my code’s way
of letting your code know that.
Even if you’re not listening. Yet.”
35
The relbutton can represent
four different states.
1. Intention to relate or buy (from
anybody, on my conditions).
2. Existing relationship (that can be
unpacked by clicking on it).
3. Intention to sell, but also to relate on
your (the buyer’s) terms, as well as
mine (the seller’s).
4. A place where buyers and sellers can
meet and relate on equal footing.
36
Here’s where you’ll see it first.
On a radio tuner for the iPhone and other
mobile internet devices.
37
Here the relbutton provides
a new business model for media.
Starting with noncommercial sources.
And growing to include everything.
38
So think of the last mile
as the first market
Think of your CLEC or ISP as the “back end that’s next door.”
Help customers use Amazon & Google back-end services, or…
Do the same thing yourself, but with latencies those guys can’t match.
Think about how to empower customers to do new things in new ways.
— Not just old things in better ways. (e.g. POTS over IP, HDTV)
Think about markets as environments for relationships…
And how you can help make those relationships work better.
39
Think of the market for new services
based on the Net as a utility.
The Net will become as necessary and common as roads, water, electricity
and waste treatment.
It is already used for far more than telephony and television. In the long
run those are just two among many data types.
The sweet spot in the market will be in helping business do business…
— Helping customers relate, converse and transact with vendors.
— Helping individuals and businesses use the Net’s back-end utilities…
Compute power, offsite backup and storage, heavy graphical rendering, etc.
40
Think about how to help DIY build-out
by local residents and neighborhoods
James Hettrick: “It will be as easy to install and maintain fiber as it is to do
the same with a home sprinkler system.”
There will be a whole new business in helping residents and small
contractors do “last yard” build-out.
Your customers will be your partners, not just your consumers.
Or your competitors.
Think about the customer as the start point, rather than the end point.
41
So the biggest growth opportunity
for people in this room…
Is to support the free and open Net.
Plus the individuals and businesses that grow there.
And the markets that they’ll build with your help.
42
Think about how to make money
because of the Net, not just with it.
“Triple Play” sells the Net as gravy on top of telephony and television. It
leverages the new on the old.
It’s a “with” model. In the long run it reduces you to just “the phone/cable”
company, with some Net on top.
Far more money is made on the Net than in it.
Think about how you can make “trillion play” happen…
And then about what business can be had in supporting that.
43
Q&A
Doc Searls
Contact:
Doc@Searls.com

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

11月大會 我的夢..
11月大會 我的夢..11月大會 我的夢..
11月大會 我的夢..hpbest
 
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 091st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09Haggen So
 
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free Culture
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free CultureIntroduction to Web 2.0 & Free Culture
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free CultureHaggen So
 
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact ConferenceDoc Searls
 
2008 06 02_scopenl-a
2008 06 02_scopenl-a2008 06 02_scopenl-a
2008 06 02_scopenl-aDoc Searls
 
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 091st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09Haggen So
 
Fx 70 Benchmark
Fx 70 BenchmarkFx 70 Benchmark
Fx 70 BenchmarkInnos
 
Had You Got It ponywang
Had You Got It ponywangHad You Got It ponywang
Had You Got It ponywangVERABLOG
 
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehicles
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehiclesVRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehicles
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehiclesDoc Searls
 
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon12011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon1Doc Searls
 
Creative Commons Presentation at UST
Creative Commons Presentation at USTCreative Commons Presentation at UST
Creative Commons Presentation at USTHaggen So
 
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310Marc de Vries
 
Eic2008munich1
Eic2008munich1Eic2008munich1
Eic2008munich1Doc Searls
 
網路拍賣
網路拍賣網路拍賣
網路拍賣future20
 

Viewers also liked (20)

11月大會 我的夢..
11月大會 我的夢..11月大會 我的夢..
11月大會 我的夢..
 
Tullamore
TullamoreTullamore
Tullamore
 
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 091st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ Software Freedom Day HK 09
 
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free Culture
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free CultureIntroduction to Web 2.0 & Free Culture
Introduction to Web 2.0 & Free Culture
 
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
 
2008 06 02_scopenl-a
2008 06 02_scopenl-a2008 06 02_scopenl-a
2008 06 02_scopenl-a
 
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 091st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09
1st Year of Creative Commons Hong Kong @ BarCamp HK 09
 
Fx 70 Benchmark
Fx 70 BenchmarkFx 70 Benchmark
Fx 70 Benchmark
 
Had You Got It ponywang
Had You Got It ponywangHad You Got It ponywang
Had You Got It ponywang
 
Wonderland
WonderlandWonderland
Wonderland
 
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehicles
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehiclesVRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehicles
VRM + CRM and why individuals need their own X-wing vehicles
 
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon12011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
 
Japanese Internment
Japanese InternmentJapanese Internment
Japanese Internment
 
Creative Commons Presentation at UST
Creative Commons Presentation at USTCreative Commons Presentation at UST
Creative Commons Presentation at UST
 
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310
Cbw Mitex Retail Top 220310
 
The
TheThe
The
 
Birr
BirrBirr
Birr
 
Eic2008munich1
Eic2008munich1Eic2008munich1
Eic2008munich1
 
網路拍賣
網路拍賣網路拍賣
網路拍賣
 
Solzhenitsyn
SolzhenitsynSolzhenitsyn
Solzhenitsyn
 

Similar to 2008 05 19_zhonetech1

What's in the Blocks?
What's in the Blocks?What's in the Blocks?
What's in the Blocks?David Birch
 
Copyright economy updated
Copyright economy updatedCopyright economy updated
Copyright economy updatedJyrki Kasvi
 
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is Not
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is NotMoney Is Broken; Its Future Is Not
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is Notwinklevosscap
 
Crypto-economy : a new digital economy
Crypto-economy : a new digital economyCrypto-economy : a new digital economy
Crypto-economy : a new digital economyClément Jeanneau
 
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014Marios Kyriazis
 
Open source: can you ignore it?
Open source: can you ignore it?Open source: can you ignore it?
Open source: can you ignore it?CS, NcState
 
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0New Media Days
 
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?Peter Troxler
 
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014Carrie Brooks
 
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)Felipe Prado
 
The Digital Social Contract
The Digital Social Contract The Digital Social Contract
The Digital Social Contract Ogilvy
 
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARD
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARDCours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARD
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARDMélanie Pillard
 
Reframing the Net
Reframing the NetReframing the Net
Reframing the NetDoc Searls
 
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdf
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdfWhat Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdf
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdfssuserdf0d4c2
 

Similar to 2008 05 19_zhonetech1 (20)

Rc 11.networks
Rc 11.networksRc 11.networks
Rc 11.networks
 
What's in the Blocks?
What's in the Blocks?What's in the Blocks?
What's in the Blocks?
 
Web 3.0
Web 3.0Web 3.0
Web 3.0
 
NAR Presentation
NAR Presentation NAR Presentation
NAR Presentation
 
Networked citizens
Networked citizensNetworked citizens
Networked citizens
 
E commerce
E commerceE commerce
E commerce
 
Copyright economy updated
Copyright economy updatedCopyright economy updated
Copyright economy updated
 
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is Not
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is NotMoney Is Broken; Its Future Is Not
Money Is Broken; Its Future Is Not
 
Crypto-economy : a new digital economy
Crypto-economy : a new digital economyCrypto-economy : a new digital economy
Crypto-economy : a new digital economy
 
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014
Internet of things and nanothings workshop may 2014
 
Open source: can you ignore it?
Open source: can you ignore it?Open source: can you ignore it?
Open source: can you ignore it?
 
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0
Derrick De K Brainframes Of Web 2.0
 
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?
Troxler: Third Industrial Revolution?
 
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014
Personal Essay Writing Contests 2014
 
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)
2600 v25 n4 (winter 2008)
 
The Digital Social Contract
The Digital Social Contract The Digital Social Contract
The Digital Social Contract
 
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARD
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARDCours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARD
Cours Réseaux Sociaux Bachelor M. PILLARD
 
Reframing the Net
Reframing the NetReframing the Net
Reframing the Net
 
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdf
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdfWhat Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdf
What Is Web3_HBR 10-05-2022.pdf
 
Me, Myself and Mine
Me, Myself and MineMe, Myself and Mine
Me, Myself and Mine
 

More from Doc Searls

2021 11 09_mill06
2021 11 09_mill062021 11 09_mill06
2021 11 09_mill06Doc Searls
 
Doc searls zuora3
Doc searls zuora3Doc searls zuora3
Doc searls zuora3Doc Searls
 
Day3iiw sesion
Day3iiw sesionDay3iiw sesion
Day3iiw sesionDoc Searls
 
Iiw xxxii-intention-session
Iiw xxxii-intention-sessionIiw xxxii-intention-session
Iiw xxxii-intention-sessionDoc Searls
 
2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlandoDoc Searls
 
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon12011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon1Doc Searls
 
2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlandoDoc Searls
 
2016 04 25 VRM Day
2016 04 25 VRM Day2016 04 25 VRM Day
2016 04 25 VRM DayDoc Searls
 
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_bDoc Searls
 
The Liberated Customer is Good for Business
The Liberated Customer is Good for BusinessThe Liberated Customer is Good for Business
The Liberated Customer is Good for BusinessDoc Searls
 
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforumDoc Searls
 
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont12008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1Doc Searls
 
2011 03 22_kynetx1
2011 03 22_kynetx12011 03 22_kynetx1
2011 03 22_kynetx1Doc Searls
 
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact ConferenceDoc Searls
 
2009 04 06 Minnewebcon
2009 04 06 Minnewebcon2009 04 06 Minnewebcon
2009 04 06 MinnewebconDoc Searls
 
2009 03 24 Lunchtalk
2009 03 24 Lunchtalk2009 03 24 Lunchtalk
2009 03 24 LunchtalkDoc Searls
 
2008 07 25 Vrm
2008 07 25 Vrm2008 07 25 Vrm
2008 07 25 VrmDoc Searls
 
2007 09 24 Didw
2007 09 24 Didw2007 09 24 Didw
2007 09 24 DidwDoc Searls
 
2007 12 12 Lesweb3
2007 12 12 Lesweb32007 12 12 Lesweb3
2007 12 12 Lesweb3Doc Searls
 

More from Doc Searls (20)

2021 11 09_mill06
2021 11 09_mill062021 11 09_mill06
2021 11 09_mill06
 
Doc searls zuora3
Doc searls zuora3Doc searls zuora3
Doc searls zuora3
 
Day3iiw sesion
Day3iiw sesionDay3iiw sesion
Day3iiw sesion
 
Iiw xxxii-intention-session
Iiw xxxii-intention-sessionIiw xxxii-intention-session
Iiw xxxii-intention-session
 
2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando
 
Mcluhan
McluhanMcluhan
Mcluhan
 
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon12011 04 06_sugarcon1
2011 04 06_sugarcon1
 
2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando2015 12 09a_mozlando
2015 12 09a_mozlando
 
2016 04 25 VRM Day
2016 04 25 VRM Day2016 04 25 VRM Day
2016 04 25 VRM Day
 
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b
2009 08 04_chilling_vs_radio_b
 
The Liberated Customer is Good for Business
The Liberated Customer is Good for BusinessThe Liberated Customer is Good for Business
The Liberated Customer is Good for Business
 
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum
2011 06 07_personaldemocracyforum
 
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont12008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1
2008 06 02_mobilemonday_timesfont1
 
2011 03 22_kynetx1
2011 03 22_kynetx12011 03 22_kynetx1
2011 03 22_kynetx1
 
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
2009 11 18 Kynetx Impact Conference
 
2009 04 06 Minnewebcon
2009 04 06 Minnewebcon2009 04 06 Minnewebcon
2009 04 06 Minnewebcon
 
2009 03 24 Lunchtalk
2009 03 24 Lunchtalk2009 03 24 Lunchtalk
2009 03 24 Lunchtalk
 
2008 07 25 Vrm
2008 07 25 Vrm2008 07 25 Vrm
2008 07 25 Vrm
 
2007 09 24 Didw
2007 09 24 Didw2007 09 24 Didw
2007 09 24 Didw
 
2007 12 12 Lesweb3
2007 12 12 Lesweb32007 12 12 Lesweb3
2007 12 12 Lesweb3
 

Recently uploaded

Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage Cost
Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage CostLeverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage Cost
Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage CostZilliz
 
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubUnleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubKalema Edgar
 
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test Suite
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test SuiteTake control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test Suite
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test SuiteDianaGray10
 
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL Certs
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL CertsScanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL Certs
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL CertsRizwan Syed
 
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .Alan Dix
 
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdf
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdfHyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdf
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdfPrecisely
 
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine Tuning
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine TuningDSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine Tuning
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine TuningLars Bell
 
"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan
"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan
"ML in Production",Oleksandr BaganFwdays
 
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering Tips
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering TipsVertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering Tips
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering TipsMiki Katsuragi
 
How to write a Business Continuity Plan
How to write a Business Continuity PlanHow to write a Business Continuity Plan
How to write a Business Continuity PlanDatabarracks
 
Story boards and shot lists for my a level piece
Story boards and shot lists for my a level pieceStory boards and shot lists for my a level piece
Story boards and shot lists for my a level piececharlottematthew16
 
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks..."LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...Fwdays
 
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):comworks
 
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQL
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQLDeveloper Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQL
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQLScyllaDB
 
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)Mark Simos
 
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024Stephanie Beckett
 
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platforms
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platformsDevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platforms
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platformsSergiu Bodiu
 
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache Maven
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache MavenDevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache Maven
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache MavenHervé Boutemy
 
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?Mattias Andersson
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage Cost
Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage CostLeverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage Cost
Leverage Zilliz Serverless - Up to 50X Saving for Your Vector Storage Cost
 
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubUnleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
 
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test Suite
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test SuiteTake control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test Suite
Take control of your SAP testing with UiPath Test Suite
 
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL Certs
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL CertsScanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL Certs
Scanning the Internet for External Cloud Exposures via SSL Certs
 
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .
From Family Reminiscence to Scholarly Archive .
 
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdf
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdfHyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdf
Hyperautomation and AI/ML: A Strategy for Digital Transformation Success.pdf
 
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine Tuning
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine TuningDSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine Tuning
DSPy a system for AI to Write Prompts and Do Fine Tuning
 
"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan
"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan
"ML in Production",Oleksandr Bagan
 
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering Tips
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering TipsVertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering Tips
Vertex AI Gemini Prompt Engineering Tips
 
How to write a Business Continuity Plan
How to write a Business Continuity PlanHow to write a Business Continuity Plan
How to write a Business Continuity Plan
 
Story boards and shot lists for my a level piece
Story boards and shot lists for my a level pieceStory boards and shot lists for my a level piece
Story boards and shot lists for my a level piece
 
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks..."LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
 
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
 
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQL
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQLDeveloper Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQL
Developer Data Modeling Mistakes: From Postgres to NoSQL
 
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)
Tampa BSides - Chef's Tour of Microsoft Security Adoption Framework (SAF)
 
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024
What's New in Teams Calling, Meetings and Devices March 2024
 
E-Vehicle_Hacking_by_Parul Sharma_null_owasp.pptx
E-Vehicle_Hacking_by_Parul Sharma_null_owasp.pptxE-Vehicle_Hacking_by_Parul Sharma_null_owasp.pptx
E-Vehicle_Hacking_by_Parul Sharma_null_owasp.pptx
 
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platforms
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platformsDevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platforms
DevEX - reference for building teams, processes, and platforms
 
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache Maven
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache MavenDevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache Maven
DevoxxFR 2024 Reproducible Builds with Apache Maven
 
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?
Are Multi-Cloud and Serverless Good or Bad?
 

2008 05 19_zhonetech1

  • 1. 1 What’s next on the open horizon Doc Searls Linux Journal • UC Santa Barbara • Harvard University
  • 2. 2 The Net is free. Getting it to people isn’t.
  • 4. 4 Some structures last a long time. What here will last longest?
  • 6. 6 Here’s the same railroad in 1854: Boston winters were colder then.
  • 7. 7 Here’s the same crossing in 2008: The bell last bonged in 1982.
  • 8. 8 Here’s the same pond last Fall: We had one day of skating this Winter.
  • 9. 9 We like to think serious infrastructure is permanent. That’s why we like to sign it.
  • 10. 10 Civilization’s infrastructure tends to be temporary. Still, we like to “brand” everything.
  • 11. 11 Here’s a tale told in manhole covers.
  • 12. 12 How about this one? Will “broadband” be around in 50 years? 10? 5?
  • 13. 13 Is the Net just some pipes? That’s what Senator Stevens says.
  • 14. 14 Technically, he’s not wrong. TCP · UDP · DCCP · SCTP · RSVP · ECN IP · OSPF · IS-IS · BGP · ARP · RARP · RIP · ICMP… These are full of the language of transport.
  • 15. 15 But practically speaking, it’s something else. All the Net’s protocols are just agreements. Most of them are fairly informal. They began with the first RFC, which said… Simple use: As with any new facility, there will be a period of very light usage until the community of users experiments with the network and begins to depend upon it. One of our goals must be to stimulate the immediate and easy use by a wide class of users. With this goal, it seems natural to provide the ability to use any remote HOST as if it had been dialed up from a TTY (teletype) terminal. Additionally, we would like some ability to transmit a file in a somewhat different manner perhaps than simulating a teletype. That was in 1969.
  • 16. 16 Growth of the Net has been loosely guided by the IETF. David Clark: "We reject kings, presidents and voting. We believe in rough consensus and running code"
  • 17. 17 The history of the Net has always been a rough draft.
  • 18. 18 Bob Frankston calls the Net “a class project” and “a prototype.” “We need to step back and ask what we mean by "The Internet" and why it is so important. Internet is about relationships – you can create solutions without having to depending on nor negotiating with a myriad of gatekeepers in your path. Traditional telecommunications is about transport as a service which means that it's all about controlling the path and as much as the market will bear — thus preventing the creation of solutions that are not profitable to these intermediaries.”
  • 19. 19 But the Net was never designed to make money for itself. But it has proven very good at supporting the making of money in other ways. Today the amount of money made because of the Net far exceeds the money made with the Net.
  • 20. 20 Jonathan Zittrain says the Net is generative. So is the PC. Thanks to their “hourglass” nature.
  • 21. 21 That same hourglass is behind >500k open source code bases. All of these are just building materials.
  • 22. 22 The result is a wild, open and free world. How did this happen? Besides the cool work by guys with the IETF and all that?
  • 23. 23 You have to look at where these building materials come from. Unlike stone and wood, code is a product of human thought.
  • 24. 24 Open code grows wild in nature. Human nature, that is. “Linux doesn’t grow on trees. It is trees.” — Jackson Shaw (ex-Microsoft)
  • 25. 25 Open source and the Net share two ideals: 1) Nobody owns it 2) Everybody can use it Plus one more…
  • 26. 26 3) Anybody can improve it
  • 27. 27 A useful thing happens when anyone can improve code. It gets better. Naturally.
  • 28. 28 Open source is organic. Living code doesn’t stop growing. It adapts. Constantly. To the real world.
  • 29. 29 Every new piece of code is like a new element in in the periodic table. Except there’s no limit to how many elements there are. Or how they’re combined. Or how fast any of them can improve. Or how many markets they can support.
  • 30. 30 Open source code is, like life, naturally abundant. It improves constantly. There are now well over 500,000 code repositories. All are commoditites. With huge because effects.
  • 31. 31 The challenge is to restore humans to their rightful position. This can’t be done from just the sell side. People need the power to do it themselves. Open source models the way. Selling the Net as gravy on TV and telephony doesn’t.
  • 32. 32 So here’s what we’re doing. projectvrm.org is a project of the Berkman Center. We’re a development community. And we’re building a new business model based on equipping customers… With tools that make them much more effective participants in markets. These will be tools of both independence and engagement. They will help customers express their intentions and do business Outside of any one company’s silo or walled garden.
  • 33. 33 Our first initiative is a new business model for free media. It will be based on what customers are willing to pay, on their own, with minimal friction — for goods that are already there for free, including… Public radio and TV Newspapers and magazines online Blogs Podcasts Music
  • 34. 34 Our tool for that is the “r-button”: It says, “I want to pay… what I want.” And/or, “I want to relate… on my terms… and not just yours.” “This is my code’s way of letting your code know that. Even if you’re not listening. Yet.”
  • 35. 35 The relbutton can represent four different states. 1. Intention to relate or buy (from anybody, on my conditions). 2. Existing relationship (that can be unpacked by clicking on it). 3. Intention to sell, but also to relate on your (the buyer’s) terms, as well as mine (the seller’s). 4. A place where buyers and sellers can meet and relate on equal footing.
  • 36. 36 Here’s where you’ll see it first. On a radio tuner for the iPhone and other mobile internet devices.
  • 37. 37 Here the relbutton provides a new business model for media. Starting with noncommercial sources. And growing to include everything.
  • 38. 38 So think of the last mile as the first market Think of your CLEC or ISP as the “back end that’s next door.” Help customers use Amazon & Google back-end services, or… Do the same thing yourself, but with latencies those guys can’t match. Think about how to empower customers to do new things in new ways. — Not just old things in better ways. (e.g. POTS over IP, HDTV) Think about markets as environments for relationships… And how you can help make those relationships work better.
  • 39. 39 Think of the market for new services based on the Net as a utility. The Net will become as necessary and common as roads, water, electricity and waste treatment. It is already used for far more than telephony and television. In the long run those are just two among many data types. The sweet spot in the market will be in helping business do business… — Helping customers relate, converse and transact with vendors. — Helping individuals and businesses use the Net’s back-end utilities… Compute power, offsite backup and storage, heavy graphical rendering, etc.
  • 40. 40 Think about how to help DIY build-out by local residents and neighborhoods James Hettrick: “It will be as easy to install and maintain fiber as it is to do the same with a home sprinkler system.” There will be a whole new business in helping residents and small contractors do “last yard” build-out. Your customers will be your partners, not just your consumers. Or your competitors. Think about the customer as the start point, rather than the end point.
  • 41. 41 So the biggest growth opportunity for people in this room… Is to support the free and open Net. Plus the individuals and businesses that grow there. And the markets that they’ll build with your help.
  • 42. 42 Think about how to make money because of the Net, not just with it. “Triple Play” sells the Net as gravy on top of telephony and television. It leverages the new on the old. It’s a “with” model. In the long run it reduces you to just “the phone/cable” company, with some Net on top. Far more money is made on the Net than in it. Think about how you can make “trillion play” happen… And then about what business can be had in supporting that.

Editor's Notes

  1. Not too long ago, who would have thought that a bunch of programmers and hackers spread all over the world, with no centralized control, contributing to the same code base … would lead to better quality software rather than a big mess ? Real news about OSS is not that its FREE -- its that its BETTER. [And Linux is more secure. Disaster recovery = key. In commercial model, you ’ d only be able to run it with specific environment. Often have to maintain obsolete OS and tools. On top of that, it will cost you another 100,000$ and incalcuable amounts. So IT sys admin at a major bank in MySQL and PhP and Perl, document management system. Anybody who ’ s competent can run the thing. Provides 80% of functionality – good enough. ]
  2. And the result was that the ecosystem within a few short years filled up with software . What we ’ re doing is scaffolding the structures that hold up business . In ways that allow you to build and re-build. Pull out this server, put in that server…. Constantly changing. Need flexibilty to do that. More than Linux. Everythings going open source. (85,000 open source projects today) OS, App servers, Web servers, Databases, portals, collaboration software – e.g. Apache TomCat, Gnome, MySQL …. [CA saying we want to build tools that run above the DB level. Commoditize DB .. Going one level above Oracle. We love Linux, we want to run DB on it.] And countless more OSS components are contributed every week.