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THE
GOLD
WARS
A Golden Renaissance
 A Tribute to Ferdinand Lips (1931 – 2005)
WHAT ARE GOLD WARS?
Gold Wars are between governments and gold. This ultimately
restricts the constitutional rights of the people.

Gold is the vital barometer of the health of a nation’s currency.
The suppression of gold by government allows them to mask
the mismanagement of their currency.




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
MONETARY POLLUTION
The dollar’s purchasing power has been trashed in the post-war period. One dollar can buy
you less than one ninth of what it could have in 1950.



                                                                                                   DOLLAR – PURCHASING POWER PARITY BASIS

                                       4.5


                                        4


                                       3.5


                                        3


                                       2.5


                                        2


                                       1.5


                                        1


                                       0.5


                                        0
                                             Jan-50

                                                      Jan-53

                                                               Jan-56

                                                                        Jan-59

                                                                                 Jan-62

                                                                                          Jan-65

                                                                                                   Jan-68

                                                                                                            Jan-71

                                                                                                                      Jan-74

                                                                                                                               Jan-77

                                                                                                                                        Jan-80

                                                                                                                                                 Jan-83

                                                                                                                                                          Jan-86

                                                                                                                                                                   Jan-89

                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-92

                                                                                                                                                                                     Jan-95

                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-98

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-01

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jan-04

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-07

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan-10
The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                 All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                       The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                     Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GLOBAL DEBT MOUNTAIN
Today’s system of paper money is still very young. It depends solely on the belief that the
debts upon which it is based will be repaid someday.


                                                                    TOTAL DEBT & LIABILITIES AS % OF GDP

                                        400%                                                                                                                       Cost of ageing
                                                                                                                                                                   Structural deficit
                                        200%                                                                                                                       Initial debt level

                                          0%

                                       -200%

                                       -400%

                                       -600%

                                       -800%

                                       -1000%

                                       -1200%

                                       -1400%

                                       -1600%

                                       -1800%




                                                                                                                                                Greece
                                                  Italy



                                                          Germany



                                                                      France




                                                                                              USA
                                                                               Portugal




                                                                                                          UK



                                                                                                                       Spain



                                                                                                                                   Ireland
                                                Sources: EU Commission, Eurostat, CBO, IMF, Morgan Stanley Research




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                      The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                    Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
FERDINAND LIPS (1931 - 2005)




“Gold Ferdi, the Pope of Gold”, Karl Otto Pohl, former Head of the Bundesbank

He’s back but arguably he never left us – as his life’s work lives on through the Lips Institute
www.lips-institute.ch


The Mining Journal Investor Seminars       All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                             The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                           Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD WARS
Gold Wars are between governments and gold.
This ultimately restricts the constitutional rights of the people.




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD WARS OF THE 20TH
& 21ST CENTURIES
1. The Classical Gold Standard is abandoned in 1914

2. The Genoa Gold Standard 1922

3. Great Depression of 1930s – Exchange Stabilization Fund, Gold Reserve Act 1934

4. Bretton Woods 1944 – Gold Exchange Standard

5. Collapse of the London Gold Pool 1960s and 70s

6. Stagflation of 1970s and US Treasury and IMF Gold Sales

7. The Failure of the Second London Gold Pool of 1990s and 2000s?




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars    All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                          The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                        Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
THE LONDON GOLD POOL 1960 – 68
                                                 The Gold Price was fixed at $35 a troy ounce

                                                                                                 $38                                                  1954 – 1968 Morning Fix, Left Axis,
                                                                                                                                                      London Gold Market

                                                                                                                                                      US Gold Reserves

                                                                                                                                                      Yearly Tonnes, Right Axis
                                                                                           $37


                                                                                                                                               The London Gold Pool is dismantled

                                                                                                                          Berlin Crisis
                                                                              $36
                                                                                                                             London Gold Pool established
                                                                                                                                      Cuban Missile Crisis
                                                                         $35.50                                                                           Gulf of Tonkin Incident
                                                                                                                                                             De Gaulle’s gold speech
                                                                          Suez Canal nationalised
                                                                                                                                                                   Six day war
                                       $35.25
                                                       London Gold          Suez Crisis – France,
                                                       market reopened      Israel and Britain invade Egypt
                                       $35.20

                                       $35.15

                                       $35.10                                                                                                                                                  21,000

                                       $35.05                                                                                                                                                  19,000
                                                                                                                          First official US combat troops
                                                                                                                                          arrive in Vietnam
                                       $35.00                                                                                                                                                  17,000
                                                                                                                                                 France leaves the Gold Pool
                                       $34.95                                                                                                                                                  15,000
                                                                                                                                                        British pound devalued 14%
                                                                                                                  October 1960 gold crisis begins
                                       $34.90                                                                     as gold breaks $35.20                                                        13,000
                                                                                                                                                                          Tet Offensive
                                       $34.85                                                                                                                                                  11,000

                                                                                                                                                                                               9,000
                                                1954




                                                                  1956




                                                                                    1958




                                                                                                         1960




                                                                                                                            1962




                                                                                                                                               1964




                                                                                                                                                                   1966




                                                                                                                                                                                     1968
                                                 Source: Financial Graph & Art




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
THE TWO-TIER GOLD MARKET 1968
                                       When the Gold Price was fixed at $35

                                             1967-1971 Morning Fix - London Gold Market


                                           $46




                                                                                                    South Africa sells gold                      Nixon ends
                                           $44                                                      for foreign currency                         gold convertability

                                                                                                                 3                                     6



                                           $42

                                                                                                                                               5


                                           $40


                                                                                                                                                           Run on US dollar,
                                                                                                                                                           deutche mark
                                                                                                                                                           allowed to float
                                                 Gold Pool dismantled,
                                           $38                            1
                                                       price spikes up
                                                    South African gold
                                                                          2
                                                       boycott begins


                                           $36                                                                       4




                                                                                                        South Africa accepts
                                           $34
                                                                                                        US compromise. London gold
                                                                                                        hits lowest level in history.




                                                                         1968             1969                    1970                    1971



                                       Source: Financial Graph & Art




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                       All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                             The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                           Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IS UNDERVALUED
Price is the level at which one exchanges; value is whether
it is worth it. Nominal new price highs in gold do not signal
an overvalued market.




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IN ‘REAL’ DOLLARS IS STILL
VERY UNDERVALUED
Gold in current dollar terms is still 30% off the high it reached in 1980. Re-basing,
hedonistic adjustments, etc have lowered the CPI levels and with it the true value of gold
adjusted for inflation.
                                                                                                     GOLD IN CURRENT DOLLARS

                                       1,800

                                       1,600

                                       1,400

                                       1,200

                                       1,000

                                        800

                                        600

                                        400

                                        200

                                          0
                                               Mar-70
                                                        Mar-72
                                                                 Mar-74
                                                                          Mar-76
                                                                                   Mar-78
                                                                                            Mar-80
                                                                                                     Mar-82
                                                                                                              Mar-84
                                                                                                                       Mar-86
                                                                                                                                Mar-88
                                                                                                                                         Mar-90
                                                                                                                                                  Mar-92
                                                                                                                                                           Mar-94
                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-96
                                                                                                                                                                             Mar-98
                                                                                                                                                                                      Mar-00
                                                                                                                                                                                               Mar-02
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mar-04
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar-06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar-08
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Mar-10
The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                              All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                    The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                  Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IS UNDERVALUED
IN CURRENCY TERMS
The official gold reserve in banks throughout 1930s to 1950s was 40% but in reality was much
higher. Even to achieve this backing, assuming current gold supply, the price of gold will have
to rise by three to four times.

                                                                  GOLD BACKING OF THE U.S. MONETARY BASE
                                                               (CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION + BANK RESERVE CASH)


                                       150%


                                       125%

                                                                                                                                                   100% Gold-Backed
                                       100%


                                       75%


                                       50%


                                       25%


                                        0%
                                          1915




                                                                                                                                                           1995
                                                 1920

                                                        1925

                                                               1930

                                                                      1935

                                                                             1940

                                                                                    1945

                                                                                           1950

                                                                                                  1955

                                                                                                         1960

                                                                                                                1965

                                                                                                                       1970

                                                                                                                              1975

                                                                                                                                     1980

                                                                                                                                            1985

                                                                                                                                                    1990



                                                                                                                                                                  2000

                                                                                                                                                                         2005

                                                                                                                                                                                2010
                                              Sources: U.S. Federal Reserve / World Gold Council




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                  All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                        The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                      Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
COMMODITIES ARE UNDERVALUED
RELATIVE TO US EQUITIES
Commodities as a whole are very cheap compared to equities. At Hinde we believe commodities
will rise as currency creation competes with supply constraints. This will be gold positive.

                                                                                                                      CRB/S&P RATIO

                                        4


                                       3.5


                                        3


                                       2.5


                                        2


                                       1.5


                                        1


                                       0.5


                                        0
                                             Oct-57


                                                      Oct-60


                                                               Oct-63


                                                                        Oct-66


                                                                                 Oct-69


                                                                                          Oct-72


                                                                                                   Oct-75


                                                                                                             Oct-78


                                                                                                                        Oct-81


                                                                                                                                 Oct-84


                                                                                                                                          Oct-87


                                                                                                                                                   Oct-90


                                                                                                                                                            Oct-93


                                                                                                                                                                     Oct-96


                                                                                                                                                                              Oct-99


                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct-02


                                                                                                                                                                                                Oct-05


                                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct-08
The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IS UNDERVALUED VERSUS
US EQUITIES
Gold vs S&P would have go up six times to match the 1980 highs.


                                                                                                                     GOLD RELATIVE TO S&P 500

                                       600



                                       500



                                       400



                                       300



                                       200



                                       100



                                         0
                                             Oct-70

                                                      Oct-72

                                                               Oct-74

                                                                        Oct-76

                                                                                 Oct-78

                                                                                          Oct-80

                                                                                                   Oct-82

                                                                                                            Oct-84

                                                                                                                     Oct-86

                                                                                                                              Oct-88

                                                                                                                                       Oct-90

                                                                                                                                                Oct-92

                                                                                                                                                         Oct-94

                                                                                                                                                                  Oct-96

                                                                                                                                                                           Oct-98

                                                                                                                                                                                    Oct-00

                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-02

                                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct-04

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Oct-06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Oct-08
                                                                                                                                         Gold/S&P




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                  All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                        The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                      Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IS UNDERVALUED VERSUS
US EQUITIES
Even more so on a total return basis:


                                                                                                                     GOLD RELATIVE TO S&P 500

                                       600                                                                                                                                                                                          600

                                                                                                                                                  The Gold v S&P ratio is currently one fifth
                                       500                                                                                                        of the high it reached in the early 1980s.                                        500
                                                                                                                                                  Gold v Total Return S&P, however,
                                                                                                                                                  is standing at only one twelfth the peak
                                       400                                                                                                        it reached in 1980.                                                               400



                                       300                                                                                                                                                                                          300



                                       200                                                                                                                                                                                          200



                                       100                                                                                                                                                                                          100



                                         0                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                                             Oct-70

                                                      Oct-72

                                                               Oct-74

                                                                        Oct-76

                                                                                 Oct-78

                                                                                          Oct-80

                                                                                                   Oct-82

                                                                                                            Oct-84

                                                                                                                      Oct-86

                                                                                                                                Oct-88

                                                                                                                                         Oct-90

                                                                                                                                                   Oct-92

                                                                                                                                                            Oct-94

                                                                                                                                                                     Oct-96

                                                                                                                                                                              Oct-98

                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct-00

                                                                                                                                                                                                Oct-02

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct-04

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct-06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct-08
                                                                                                                               Gold/S&P
                                                                                                                               Gold/Total Return S&P




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                  All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                        The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                      Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD UNDERVALUED BUT
OUTPERFORMING ALL ASSET CLASSES
Over the last twenty years, gold has outperformed all major asset classes on many time horizons.


                                                                       GOLD V MAJOR ASSETS

                                       350%                                                                                                                             10y US Treasury (total return*) (*from 1994)
                                                                                                                                                                        S&P 500
                                       300%                                                                                                                             MSCI World
                                                                                                                                                                        CRB Index
                                                                                                                                                                        Gold (USD)
                                       250%


                                       200%


                                       150%


                                       100%


                                       50%


                                        0%


                                       -50%
                                              1y Return   5yr Return            10y Return                    15y Return                    20y Return




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD IS UNDEROWNED




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
MOST CENTRAL BANKS
HOLD LITTLE GOLD
Emerging market central banks hold very little gold. Their primary holdings are in US
Treasuries. The scope for gold allocation in emerging markets is huge.

                                                                          PERCENTAGE OF RESERVE ASSETS IN GOLD

                                       100%

                                                 87.9%
                                       90%
                                                            78.5%     78.4%
                                       80%                                       75.2%

                                       70%

                                       60%

                                       50%

                                       40%

                                       30%

                                       20%
                                                                                                  12.6%
                                                                                                                   8.1%
                                       10%
                                                                                                                                    3.0%            1.7%             0.5%
                                        0%
                                                   US




                                                                                                    World
                                                             France




                                                                       Germany




                                                                                   Netherlands




                                                                                                                                     Saudi Arabia




                                                                                                                                                      China
                                                                                                                    India




                                                                                                                                                                      Brazil
                                              Source: IMF




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                             All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                   The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                 Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
MOST CENTRAL BANKS
 NOW LOVE GOLD
 For the first time in forty years, central banks are beginning to buy more gold. China, Russia,
 India and Sri Lanka and others are now buyers on any weakness in the gold price.


                                        NET CENTRAL BANK SALES                                                   CENTRAL BANK % RESERVES IN GOLD SINCE 1970

MILLION                                                                                  %
OUNCES
        20                                                                              70


        10                                                                              60


          0                                                                             50


       -10                                                                              40


       -20                                                                              30


       -30                                                                              20


       -40                                                                              10
              1951
              1953
              1955
              1957
              1959
              1961
              1963
              1965
              1967
              1969
              1971
              1973
              1975
              1977
              1979
              1981
              1983
              1985
              1987
              1989
              1991
              1993
              1995




              2005
              2007
              2009
              1997
              1999
              2001
              2003




                                                                                                 1972

                                                                                                        1974
                                                                                                               1976

                                                                                                                      1978

                                                                                                                             1980

                                                                                                                                    1982
                                                                                                                                           1984

                                                                                                                                                  1986
                                                                                                                                                         1988

                                                                                                                                                                1990
                                                                                                                                                                       1992

                                                                                                                                                                              1994

                                                                                                                                                                                     1996

                                                                                                                                                                                            1998
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2000

                                                                                                                                                                                                          2002
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2004
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2008
              Source: IMF                                                                    Source: IMF




 The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                            All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
 Date: 07/09/10                                                  The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                 Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
PAPER CURRENCY DWARFS
GOLD ACCUMULATION
Central banks are net buyers. But as fast as they might buy their paper currency reserves
keep growing faster. Russia has bought over 220 tonnes of gold between 2000 to 2010.
In 2000 the ratio of Russian gold holdings to their currency was 24.6%; now it is 5.1%.


                                                     CENTRAL BANK HOLDINGS OF GOLD IN MM TROY OUNCES                                                                                                                  CENTRAL BANK TOTAL INTERNATIONAL RESERVES – $ VALUE

1,200                                                                                                                                                                                             BILLION $

                                                                                                                                                                                                        8000

1,150
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7000

                                                                                                                                                                                                        6000
1,100
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5000

                                                                                                                                                                                                        4000
1,050

                                                                                                                                                                                                        3000

                                                                                                                                                                                                        2000
1,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                        1000

 950




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1994

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1997

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2003

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1973

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1976

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1979

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1982

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1985

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1988

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1991
        Oct-70

                 Oct-72

                          Oct-74

                                   Oct-76

                                            Oct-78

                                                       Oct-80

                                                                Oct-82

                                                                         Oct-84

                                                                                  Oct-86

                                                                                           Oct-88

                                                                                                    Oct-90

                                                                                                             Oct-92

                                                                                                                      Oct-94

                                                                                                                               Oct-96

                                                                                                                                        Oct-98

                                                                                                                                                 Oct-00

                                                                                                                                                          Oct-02

                                                                                                                                                                   Oct-04

                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-06

                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct-08




           Source: IMF                                                                                                                                                                                         Source: IMF




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                                                                        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                                                                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                                                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
BUY WHAT CHINA IS BUYING: CHINA
GOLD & SILVER LIBERALISATION
The defining moment for the War on Gold? August 2010 will be the time we look back and say
that was when the war was potentially won. China’s PBoC announced “to further develop the
gold market”. This country has a serious affinity for gold.




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
CURRENCY REFORM –
YUAN LIBERALISATION
China has so far been accumulating mainly dollar assets rather than gold as its reserves
balloon. The potential free float of the Yuan paves the way towards currency reform with
Russia et al.
                                                                                   CHINA: FX RESERVES AND GOLD AS A % OF RESERVES

                                       3,000                                                                                                                                                      5.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                  4.5%
                                       2,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                  4.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                  3.5%
                                       2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                  3.0%

                                       1,500                                                                                                                                                      2.5%

                                                                                                                                                                                                  2.0%
                                       1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.5%

                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.0%
                                        500
                                                                                                                                                                                                  0.5%

                                          0                                                                                                                                                       0.0%
                                               Oct-96


                                                        Oct-97


                                                                 Oct-98


                                                                          Oct-99


                                                                                       Oct-00


                                                                                                Oct-01


                                                                                                               Oct-02


                                                                                                                         Oct-03


                                                                                                                                   Oct-04


                                                                                                                                              Oct-05


                                                                                                                                                        Oct-06


                                                                                                                                                                  Oct-07


                                                                                                                                                                             Oct-08


                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct-09
                                                                                                                   Gold as a %
                                                                                                                   FX Reserves, $ mns




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                     All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                           The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                         Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
BRICS ADVOCATE CURRENCY REFORM




January 2009 Russian leader Mr Putin said the leading powers should ensure an “irreversible”
move toward a system of multiple reserve currencies, questioning the “reliability” of the US dollar
as a safe store of value. “The pride of Wall Street investment banks doesn’t exist anymore,”

March 2009 PBoC Governor Zhou calls for new reserve currency “that is disconnected
from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent
deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies.”


The Mining Journal Investor Seminars       All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                             The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                           Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLDEN DEMOGRAPHICS: EMERGING
MARKET OWNERSHIP IS LOW
It’s not just emerging central banks that are underinvested. On a per capita basis,
China and India own much less than many other countries, as well as below the world average.
This is noteworthy for two gold loving countries.
                                                                                                              GOLD DEMAND (GRAMS PER CAPITA)

                                        5

                                       4.5
                                                                                                                                                 China still hugely underowns gold.
                                        4                                                                                                        It owns much less on a per capita
                                       3.5
                                                                                                                                                 basis than several other countries,
                                                                                                                                                 and also owns less than the
                                        3                                                                                                        world average.
                                       2.5

                                        2

                                       1.5

                                        1

                                       0.5

                                        0
                                                                                            Vietnam




                                                                                                               US




                                                                                                                                                 UK
                                                                      Hong Kong




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Japan
                                                             Turkey




                                                                                                                                                              South Korea
                                                                                                      Egypt




                                                                                                                                                                                                     Indonesia
                                                                                                                     Italy

                                                                                                                             Thailand

                                                                                                                                        Russia




                                                                                                                                                                            World

                                                                                                                                                                                    Taiwan
                                              Saudi Arabia




                                                                                  Germany




                                                                                                                                                                                             China




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         France
                                                                                                                                                      India



                                             Source: UN, WGC




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                      The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                    Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD INVESTMENT
IS INFINITESIMAL
Imagine the impact of a shift out of bond markets into Gold…

                                       TRILLION $
                                                                                                      200.0




                                             150




                                             100




                                                                                       60.2
                                              50



                                                      0.8               5.0
                                                    INVESTMENT




                                                                     MARKET VALUE




                                                                                     GLOBAL MONEY
                                                                                        SUPPLY (M3)



                                                                                                      FINANCIAL
                                                                                                         ASSETS
                                                          GOLD




                                                                      OF ALL GOLD




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                             All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                   The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                 Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD INVESTMENT
HISTORICALLY MINUTE
In 1932 the allocation of gold relative to global financial investments was 20%. Today it stands
at 0.8%. To rise to 2% would require 85,000 tonnes, approximately 34 years mine supply
at existing rates.
                                                                  GOLD + GOLD MINING EQUITIES AS A % OF GLOBAL ASSETS

                                       35%



                                       30%



                                       25%



                                       20%



                                       15%



                                       10%



                                       5%



                                       0%
                                                       1921             1932                     1948                          1981                          2009

                                             Source: Erste Bank




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                            All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                  The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD UNDEROWNED AND FALLING
SUPPLY, RESERVE GRADE
So much demand but not so much supply. There have been less than 5 gold discoveries over
10mm troy oz. this past decade. Barrick needs to replace 9mm troy oz. of production a year.


                                GOLD MINE SUPPLY HEADING DOWN                                                                             GLOBAL MINE COSTS AND RESERVE GRADE g/t

                                                                                                               750                                                                                                                                 1.8
                                                                                     Tonnes
12%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1.7
                                                                                     2500                      650
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1.6
9%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Reserve Grade g/t
                                                                                                               550
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1.5




                                                                                                Costs US$/oz
6%                                                                                                             450                                                                                                                                 1.4
                                                                                     2000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1.3
3%                                                                                                             350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1.2
0%                                                                                   1500                      250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1.1

-3%                                                                                                            150                                                                                                                                 1




                                                                                                                     1992

                                                                                                                            1993

                                                                                                                                   1994

                                                                                                                                          1995

                                                                                                                                                 1996

                                                                                                                                                        1997

                                                                                                                                                               1998

                                                                                                                                                                      1999




                                                                                                                                                                                                                2005

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2007

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2009
                                                                                                                                                                             2000

                                                                                                                                                                                    2001

                                                                                                                                                                                           2002

                                                                                                                                                                                                  2003

                                                                                                                                                                                                         2004
-6%                                                                                  1000
      1987        1990        1993      1996     1999   2002   2005   2008   2011E                                          Cash cost

                                                                                                                            Total costs
               Mine Supply             Mine Supply                                                                          Reserve grade

      Source: World Gold Council, UBS




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                           All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                               Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
THE FINAL BATTLE?
“In order to improve your game, you must study the endgame
 before everything else, for whereas the endings can be
 studied and mastered by themselves, the middle game and
 the opening must be studied in relation to the endgame”
                                                                                                                          Jose Raul Capablanca




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD ‘SHORTS’ UNDER PRESSURE
A series of actions have perhaps uncovered the distressed nature of the short perpetrators
in the precious metals market.


Mysterious BIS Gold Swaps July 2010
• 380 tonnes of gold is swapped between BIS and unnamed commercial bank
• FT and WSJ post conflicting commentary from BIS themselves on counterparties involved

CFTC Hearings March 2010
• Precious Metals trader blows whistle on manipulation of Comex market
• Comex commercial bank short positions have been reducing as investigation mounts

IMF Quietly Selling Gold
• 15 tonnes a month for first half of 2010




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
FAILURE OF THE SECOND LONDON
GOLD POOL 2000 TO ?
Physical Gold dumped into the PM Fix to contain its price in a covert version of the 1960’s
London Gold Pool. Selling at PM fix and purchasing at the AM fix for last nine yrs returns
US$1,400 per troy ounce.
                                                                                     CUMULATIVE INTRADAY CHANGE AND CUMULATIVE
                                                                                         OVERNIGHT CHANGE IN GOLD 2001-2010

                                                                    1600                                                                                                      100                                  Overnight

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Intraday
                                                                    1400                                                                                                      0
                                       Cum. Overnight Change $/oz




                                                                    1200




                                                                                                                                                                                       Cum. Intraday Change $/oz
                                                                                                                                                                              -100

                                                                    1000
                                                                                                                                                                              -200
                                                                    800
                                                                                                                                                                              -300
                                                                    600

                                                                                                                                                                              -400
                                                                    400

                                                                                                                                                                              -500
                                                                    200


                                                                       0                                                                                                      -600
                                                                      1/1/2001           9/28/2003          6/24/2006                  3/20/2009                   12/15/2011


                                                                           Source: Adrian Douglas, www.marketforceanalysis.com




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
GOLD – WHERE ARE WE NOW?
Gold went up considerably more in the 70s compared to the last decade.




         GOLD REBASED FOR COMPARISON – 1970-1980 AND 1999 TO PRESENT                                                                                                                                                                                                    GOLD IN NOMINAL $S FROM 1970-1980
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           AND FROM 1999 TO PRESENT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1900
16X
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1700
14X
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1500
12X
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1300

10X     1971 Nixon closes                                                                                                                                                                                                           1100

        ‘Gold Window’                                                                                                                                    Are we here?
 8X                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 900

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    700
 6X
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    500
 4X
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    300

 2X                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           6   12    18    24    30    36    42    48    54     60   66      72   78   84   90   96   102   108   114   120
                                      JAN 72
                                               JULY 72


                                                                  JULY 73




                                                                                                                                                                           JAN 79
                                                                                                                                                                                    JULY 79
                   JAN 71
                            JULY 71




                                                         JAN 73


                                                                            JAN 74
                                                                                     JULY 74
                                                                                               JAN 75
                                                                                                        JULY 75




                                                                                                                                     JAN 77
                                                                                                                                              JULY 77




                                                                                                                                                                                              JAN 80
                                                                                                                                                                                                       JULY 80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 JAN 81
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          JULY 81
         JULY 70




                                                                                                                  JAN 76




                                                                                                                                                        JAN 78
                                                                                                                                                                 JULY 78
                                                                                                                           JULY 76




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Months from Jan 1970, Jan 1999 resp.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1970-1980
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1999-Present
                                                                            1970-1980                                          1999-PRESENT




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars                                                                                                                                                                        All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                                                                                                                                                                                              The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE CAPITAL




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars   All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                         The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                       Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
HINDE GOLD FUND:
A UNIQUE INVESTMENT
• A long bias gold bullion fund with close adherence to USD spot gold price

• A managed gold investment in three share classes EUR, GBP or USD

• A potential return in excess of the spot gold price

• A cheap method of owning physical allocated gold

• A secure method of owning physical allocated gold

• An investment in growing gold ounces vis a vis up to 25 % small cap mining holding

• A liquid investment, no subscription or redemption fees, and same month dealing




The Mining Journal Investor Seminars       All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed.
Date: 07/09/10                             The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest.
                                           Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance
Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance

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Gold Wars: A Golden Renaissance

  • 1. THE GOLD WARS A Golden Renaissance A Tribute to Ferdinand Lips (1931 – 2005)
  • 2. WHAT ARE GOLD WARS? Gold Wars are between governments and gold. This ultimately restricts the constitutional rights of the people. Gold is the vital barometer of the health of a nation’s currency. The suppression of gold by government allows them to mask the mismanagement of their currency. The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 3. MONETARY POLLUTION The dollar’s purchasing power has been trashed in the post-war period. One dollar can buy you less than one ninth of what it could have in 1950. DOLLAR – PURCHASING POWER PARITY BASIS 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Jan-50 Jan-53 Jan-56 Jan-59 Jan-62 Jan-65 Jan-68 Jan-71 Jan-74 Jan-77 Jan-80 Jan-83 Jan-86 Jan-89 Jan-92 Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Jan-07 Jan-10 The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 4. GLOBAL DEBT MOUNTAIN Today’s system of paper money is still very young. It depends solely on the belief that the debts upon which it is based will be repaid someday. TOTAL DEBT & LIABILITIES AS % OF GDP 400% Cost of ageing Structural deficit 200% Initial debt level 0% -200% -400% -600% -800% -1000% -1200% -1400% -1600% -1800% Greece Italy Germany France USA Portugal UK Spain Ireland Sources: EU Commission, Eurostat, CBO, IMF, Morgan Stanley Research The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 5. FERDINAND LIPS (1931 - 2005) “Gold Ferdi, the Pope of Gold”, Karl Otto Pohl, former Head of the Bundesbank He’s back but arguably he never left us – as his life’s work lives on through the Lips Institute www.lips-institute.ch The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 6. GOLD WARS Gold Wars are between governments and gold. This ultimately restricts the constitutional rights of the people. The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 7. GOLD WARS OF THE 20TH & 21ST CENTURIES 1. The Classical Gold Standard is abandoned in 1914 2. The Genoa Gold Standard 1922 3. Great Depression of 1930s – Exchange Stabilization Fund, Gold Reserve Act 1934 4. Bretton Woods 1944 – Gold Exchange Standard 5. Collapse of the London Gold Pool 1960s and 70s 6. Stagflation of 1970s and US Treasury and IMF Gold Sales 7. The Failure of the Second London Gold Pool of 1990s and 2000s? The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 8. THE LONDON GOLD POOL 1960 – 68 The Gold Price was fixed at $35 a troy ounce $38 1954 – 1968 Morning Fix, Left Axis, London Gold Market US Gold Reserves Yearly Tonnes, Right Axis $37 The London Gold Pool is dismantled Berlin Crisis $36 London Gold Pool established Cuban Missile Crisis $35.50 Gulf of Tonkin Incident De Gaulle’s gold speech Suez Canal nationalised Six day war $35.25 London Gold Suez Crisis – France, market reopened Israel and Britain invade Egypt $35.20 $35.15 $35.10 21,000 $35.05 19,000 First official US combat troops arrive in Vietnam $35.00 17,000 France leaves the Gold Pool $34.95 15,000 British pound devalued 14% October 1960 gold crisis begins $34.90 as gold breaks $35.20 13,000 Tet Offensive $34.85 11,000 9,000 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 Source: Financial Graph & Art The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 9. THE TWO-TIER GOLD MARKET 1968 When the Gold Price was fixed at $35 1967-1971 Morning Fix - London Gold Market $46 South Africa sells gold Nixon ends $44 for foreign currency gold convertability 3 6 $42 5 $40 Run on US dollar, deutche mark allowed to float Gold Pool dismantled, $38 1 price spikes up South African gold 2 boycott begins $36 4 South Africa accepts $34 US compromise. London gold hits lowest level in history. 1968 1969 1970 1971 Source: Financial Graph & Art The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 10. GOLD IS UNDERVALUED Price is the level at which one exchanges; value is whether it is worth it. Nominal new price highs in gold do not signal an overvalued market. The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 11. GOLD IN ‘REAL’ DOLLARS IS STILL VERY UNDERVALUED Gold in current dollar terms is still 30% off the high it reached in 1980. Re-basing, hedonistic adjustments, etc have lowered the CPI levels and with it the true value of gold adjusted for inflation. GOLD IN CURRENT DOLLARS 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Mar-70 Mar-72 Mar-74 Mar-76 Mar-78 Mar-80 Mar-82 Mar-84 Mar-86 Mar-88 Mar-90 Mar-92 Mar-94 Mar-96 Mar-98 Mar-00 Mar-02 Mar-04 Mar-06 Mar-08 Mar-10 The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 12. GOLD IS UNDERVALUED IN CURRENCY TERMS The official gold reserve in banks throughout 1930s to 1950s was 40% but in reality was much higher. Even to achieve this backing, assuming current gold supply, the price of gold will have to rise by three to four times. GOLD BACKING OF THE U.S. MONETARY BASE (CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION + BANK RESERVE CASH) 150% 125% 100% Gold-Backed 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 1915 1995 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 2000 2005 2010 Sources: U.S. Federal Reserve / World Gold Council The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 13. COMMODITIES ARE UNDERVALUED RELATIVE TO US EQUITIES Commodities as a whole are very cheap compared to equities. At Hinde we believe commodities will rise as currency creation competes with supply constraints. This will be gold positive. CRB/S&P RATIO 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Oct-57 Oct-60 Oct-63 Oct-66 Oct-69 Oct-72 Oct-75 Oct-78 Oct-81 Oct-84 Oct-87 Oct-90 Oct-93 Oct-96 Oct-99 Oct-02 Oct-05 Oct-08 The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 14. GOLD IS UNDERVALUED VERSUS US EQUITIES Gold vs S&P would have go up six times to match the 1980 highs. GOLD RELATIVE TO S&P 500 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Oct-70 Oct-72 Oct-74 Oct-76 Oct-78 Oct-80 Oct-82 Oct-84 Oct-86 Oct-88 Oct-90 Oct-92 Oct-94 Oct-96 Oct-98 Oct-00 Oct-02 Oct-04 Oct-06 Oct-08 Gold/S&P The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 15. GOLD IS UNDERVALUED VERSUS US EQUITIES Even more so on a total return basis: GOLD RELATIVE TO S&P 500 600 600 The Gold v S&P ratio is currently one fifth 500 of the high it reached in the early 1980s. 500 Gold v Total Return S&P, however, is standing at only one twelfth the peak 400 it reached in 1980. 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 Oct-70 Oct-72 Oct-74 Oct-76 Oct-78 Oct-80 Oct-82 Oct-84 Oct-86 Oct-88 Oct-90 Oct-92 Oct-94 Oct-96 Oct-98 Oct-00 Oct-02 Oct-04 Oct-06 Oct-08 Gold/S&P Gold/Total Return S&P The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 16. GOLD UNDERVALUED BUT OUTPERFORMING ALL ASSET CLASSES Over the last twenty years, gold has outperformed all major asset classes on many time horizons. GOLD V MAJOR ASSETS 350% 10y US Treasury (total return*) (*from 1994) S&P 500 300% MSCI World CRB Index Gold (USD) 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% 1y Return 5yr Return 10y Return 15y Return 20y Return The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 17. GOLD IS UNDEROWNED The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 18. MOST CENTRAL BANKS HOLD LITTLE GOLD Emerging market central banks hold very little gold. Their primary holdings are in US Treasuries. The scope for gold allocation in emerging markets is huge. PERCENTAGE OF RESERVE ASSETS IN GOLD 100% 87.9% 90% 78.5% 78.4% 80% 75.2% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 12.6% 8.1% 10% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0% US World France Germany Netherlands Saudi Arabia China India Brazil Source: IMF The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 19. MOST CENTRAL BANKS NOW LOVE GOLD For the first time in forty years, central banks are beginning to buy more gold. China, Russia, India and Sri Lanka and others are now buyers on any weakness in the gold price. NET CENTRAL BANK SALES CENTRAL BANK % RESERVES IN GOLD SINCE 1970 MILLION % OUNCES 20 70 10 60 0 50 -10 40 -20 30 -30 20 -40 10 1951 1953 1955 1957 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 2005 2007 2009 1997 1999 2001 2003 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Source: IMF Source: IMF The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 20. PAPER CURRENCY DWARFS GOLD ACCUMULATION Central banks are net buyers. But as fast as they might buy their paper currency reserves keep growing faster. Russia has bought over 220 tonnes of gold between 2000 to 2010. In 2000 the ratio of Russian gold holdings to their currency was 24.6%; now it is 5.1%. CENTRAL BANK HOLDINGS OF GOLD IN MM TROY OUNCES CENTRAL BANK TOTAL INTERNATIONAL RESERVES – $ VALUE 1,200 BILLION $ 8000 1,150 7000 6000 1,100 5000 4000 1,050 3000 2000 1,000 1000 950 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 Oct-70 Oct-72 Oct-74 Oct-76 Oct-78 Oct-80 Oct-82 Oct-84 Oct-86 Oct-88 Oct-90 Oct-92 Oct-94 Oct-96 Oct-98 Oct-00 Oct-02 Oct-04 Oct-06 Oct-08 Source: IMF Source: IMF The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 21. BUY WHAT CHINA IS BUYING: CHINA GOLD & SILVER LIBERALISATION The defining moment for the War on Gold? August 2010 will be the time we look back and say that was when the war was potentially won. China’s PBoC announced “to further develop the gold market”. This country has a serious affinity for gold. The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 22. CURRENCY REFORM – YUAN LIBERALISATION China has so far been accumulating mainly dollar assets rather than gold as its reserves balloon. The potential free float of the Yuan paves the way towards currency reform with Russia et al. CHINA: FX RESERVES AND GOLD AS A % OF RESERVES 3,000 5.0% 4.5% 2,500 4.0% 3.5% 2,000 3.0% 1,500 2.5% 2.0% 1,000 1.5% 1.0% 500 0.5% 0 0.0% Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Gold as a % FX Reserves, $ mns The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 23. BRICS ADVOCATE CURRENCY REFORM January 2009 Russian leader Mr Putin said the leading powers should ensure an “irreversible” move toward a system of multiple reserve currencies, questioning the “reliability” of the US dollar as a safe store of value. “The pride of Wall Street investment banks doesn’t exist anymore,” March 2009 PBoC Governor Zhou calls for new reserve currency “that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies.” The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 24. GOLDEN DEMOGRAPHICS: EMERGING MARKET OWNERSHIP IS LOW It’s not just emerging central banks that are underinvested. On a per capita basis, China and India own much less than many other countries, as well as below the world average. This is noteworthy for two gold loving countries. GOLD DEMAND (GRAMS PER CAPITA) 5 4.5 China still hugely underowns gold. 4 It owns much less on a per capita 3.5 basis than several other countries, and also owns less than the 3 world average. 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Vietnam US UK Hong Kong Japan Turkey South Korea Egypt Indonesia Italy Thailand Russia World Taiwan Saudi Arabia Germany China France India Source: UN, WGC The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 25. GOLD INVESTMENT IS INFINITESIMAL Imagine the impact of a shift out of bond markets into Gold… TRILLION $ 200.0 150 100 60.2 50 0.8 5.0 INVESTMENT MARKET VALUE GLOBAL MONEY SUPPLY (M3) FINANCIAL ASSETS GOLD OF ALL GOLD The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 26. GOLD INVESTMENT HISTORICALLY MINUTE In 1932 the allocation of gold relative to global financial investments was 20%. Today it stands at 0.8%. To rise to 2% would require 85,000 tonnes, approximately 34 years mine supply at existing rates. GOLD + GOLD MINING EQUITIES AS A % OF GLOBAL ASSETS 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1921 1932 1948 1981 2009 Source: Erste Bank The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 27. GOLD UNDEROWNED AND FALLING SUPPLY, RESERVE GRADE So much demand but not so much supply. There have been less than 5 gold discoveries over 10mm troy oz. this past decade. Barrick needs to replace 9mm troy oz. of production a year. GOLD MINE SUPPLY HEADING DOWN GLOBAL MINE COSTS AND RESERVE GRADE g/t 750 1.8 Tonnes 12% 1.7 2500 650 1.6 9% Reserve Grade g/t 550 1.5 Costs US$/oz 6% 450 1.4 2000 1.3 3% 350 1.2 0% 1500 250 1.1 -3% 150 1 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 -6% 1000 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011E Cash cost Total costs Mine Supply Mine Supply Reserve grade Source: World Gold Council, UBS The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 28. THE FINAL BATTLE? “In order to improve your game, you must study the endgame before everything else, for whereas the endings can be studied and mastered by themselves, the middle game and the opening must be studied in relation to the endgame” Jose Raul Capablanca The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 29. GOLD ‘SHORTS’ UNDER PRESSURE A series of actions have perhaps uncovered the distressed nature of the short perpetrators in the precious metals market. Mysterious BIS Gold Swaps July 2010 • 380 tonnes of gold is swapped between BIS and unnamed commercial bank • FT and WSJ post conflicting commentary from BIS themselves on counterparties involved CFTC Hearings March 2010 • Precious Metals trader blows whistle on manipulation of Comex market • Comex commercial bank short positions have been reducing as investigation mounts IMF Quietly Selling Gold • 15 tonnes a month for first half of 2010 The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 30. FAILURE OF THE SECOND LONDON GOLD POOL 2000 TO ? Physical Gold dumped into the PM Fix to contain its price in a covert version of the 1960’s London Gold Pool. Selling at PM fix and purchasing at the AM fix for last nine yrs returns US$1,400 per troy ounce. CUMULATIVE INTRADAY CHANGE AND CUMULATIVE OVERNIGHT CHANGE IN GOLD 2001-2010 1600 100 Overnight Intraday 1400 0 Cum. Overnight Change $/oz 1200 Cum. Intraday Change $/oz -100 1000 -200 800 -300 600 -400 400 -500 200 0 -600 1/1/2001 9/28/2003 6/24/2006 3/20/2009 12/15/2011 Source: Adrian Douglas, www.marketforceanalysis.com The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 31. GOLD – WHERE ARE WE NOW? Gold went up considerably more in the 70s compared to the last decade. GOLD REBASED FOR COMPARISON – 1970-1980 AND 1999 TO PRESENT GOLD IN NOMINAL $S FROM 1970-1980 AND FROM 1999 TO PRESENT 1900 16X 1700 14X 1500 12X 1300 10X 1971 Nixon closes 1100 ‘Gold Window’ Are we here? 8X 900 700 6X 500 4X 300 2X 100 -100 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 JAN 72 JULY 72 JULY 73 JAN 79 JULY 79 JAN 71 JULY 71 JAN 73 JAN 74 JULY 74 JAN 75 JULY 75 JAN 77 JULY 77 JAN 80 JULY 80 JAN 81 JULY 81 JULY 70 JAN 76 JAN 78 JULY 78 JULY 76 Months from Jan 1970, Jan 1999 resp. 1970-1980 1999-Present 1970-1980 1999-PRESENT The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 32. HINDE CAPITAL The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.
  • 33. HINDE GOLD FUND: A UNIQUE INVESTMENT • A long bias gold bullion fund with close adherence to USD spot gold price • A managed gold investment in three share classes EUR, GBP or USD • A potential return in excess of the spot gold price • A cheap method of owning physical allocated gold • A secure method of owning physical allocated gold • An investment in growing gold ounces vis a vis up to 25 % small cap mining holding • A liquid investment, no subscription or redemption fees, and same month dealing The Mining Journal Investor Seminars All material is compiled from sources believed to be accurate, but no accuracy can be guaranteed. Date: 07/09/10 The presentation is for information purposes only and is not a solicitation to invest. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution is strictly prohibited.